March Madness: NCAA Tournament West Region odds, picks and predictions

Looking at March Madness futures odds to win the 2024 NCAA Tournament West Region, with expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The regions and seeding for the NCAA Tournament have been decided with Selection Sunday in the rearview mirror. The West Region includes quite a few notable teams with a chance to make some noise in the tournament.

Below, we look at BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA Tournament West Region futures odds and and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

The North Carolina Tar Heels (27-7) earned the top seed in the West Region, while the Howard Bison (16-15) and the Wagner Seahawks (18-16) will meet Tuesday in the First Four to determine who faces the Tar Heels in the round of 64. The region’s 2-3-4 seeds are Arizona (25-8), Baylor (23-10), and Alabama (21-11).

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West Region futures odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook’s access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 5:57 a.m. ET.

1 seed: North Carolina +300 (bet $100 to win $300)

2 seed: Arizona +280 (bet $100 to win $280)

3 seed: Baylor +800 (bet $100 to win $800)

4 seed: Alabama +750 (bet $100 to win $750)

5 seed: Saint Mary’s +1600 (bet $100 to win $1,600)

6 seed: Clemson +3000 (bet $100 to win $3,000)

7 seed: Dayton +3000 (bet $100 to win $3,000)

8 seed: Mississippi State +2200 (bet $100 to win $2,200)

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9 seed: Michigan State +2200 (bet $100 to win $2,200)

10 seed: Nevada +3000 (bet $100 to win $3,000)

11 seed: New Mexico +3000 (bet $100 to win $3,000)

12 seed: Grand Canyon +6600 (bet $100 to win $6,600)

13 seed: Charleston +20000 (bet $100 to win $20,000)

14 seed: Colgate +40000 (bet $100 to win $40,000)

15 seed: Long Beach State +20000 (bet $100 to win $20,000)

16 seed: Howard/Wagner +40000 (bet $100 to win $40,000)

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West Region expert pick and prediction

Arizona Wildcats (+280)

The Wildcats (25-8) have the talent to win the whole darn thing, but can they put it together for 6 straight games? That’s the big question. They ended the regular season with a disappointing loss on the road to a middling USC squad and were ousted in the Pac-12 tournament by the eventual champs, the Oregon Ducks. So why I do I like them to win the West Region? Because they have the clearest path to the Elite Eight of anyone in the West.

Guard play is vital in the NCAA Tournament and Arizona has All-American G Caleb Love, who was in the 2022 Final Four with North Carolina. He led the team in scoring at 18.1 points per game (PPG). Arizona also has a pair of 7-footers in the low block, headlined by C Oumar Ballo who averaged a double-double for the season (13.1 points, 10 rebounds). The Wildcats will be a tough out for anyone in this tournament.

Top 25: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

West Region contenders

North Carolina Tar Heels (+300)

I’d be remiss not to mention North Carolina (27-7) as a threat in the West Region as the No. 1 seed. UNC features 4 players averaging double-figures in scoring, led by 1st-team All-American point guard R.J. Davis (21 PPG).

North Carolina is balanced outside and inside with their senior leader F Armando Bacot, who averages a double-double (14.1 points, 10.2 rebounds). He and Davis enter this tournament with big chips on their shoulders from their 2022 National Championship 72-69 loss to Kansas. They are the biggest challenger to the Arizona Wildcats.

Clemson Tigers (+3000)

Clemson (21-10) played an outstanding non-conference schedule and beat NCAA Tournament teams UAB, Boise State, Alabama, South Carolina, and TCU. The Tigers finished 3rd in field-goal percentage offense and defense in the ACC. They may have finished in a tie for 5th in the ACC, but make no mistake, this team earned their spot in the Big Dance.

Senior C PJ Hall leads the Tigers with 18.8 PPG and had 7 double-doubles this season. Clemson got a huge offensive boost from 5th-year senior Syracuse transfer G Joseph Girard III (15.7 PPG). This squad brings a lot to the court which could give other team fits.

West Region long shot

Grand Canyon Lopes (+6600)

The Antelopes (29-4) won the Western Athletic Conference regular-season (17-3) and tournament titles. Grand Canyon’s average margin of victory in the WAC was 11.2 PPG. They are coached by Bryce Drew, one of the legends of March Madness. Drew hit a buzzer beater for No. 13 Valparaiso to beat No. 4 Ole Miss in the 1st round of the 1998 NCAA Tournament. He knows what it takes to win in the Big Dance.

Grand Canyon brings a balanced attack,leading the WAC in scoring defense (64.8) and 2nd in scoring offense (75.9). Senior G Tyon Grant-Foster is the WAC men’s player of the year after averaging 19.8 points and 6 rebounds per game and shooting nearly 45% from the field for the season. This team can play with anyone in the country.

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College Sports Wire: Men’s hoops / Women’s hoops / High School

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North Carolina and South Carolina both get 4-star commitments

North Carolina and South Carolina both get 4-star commitments

The college football season is about to begin in earnest this coming weekend, but recruiting the next round of talent is a year-round slog. On Monday, two regional schools both scored commitments from four-star defensive recruits in the class of 2023.

First, North Carolina got a commitment from Varina (Va.) linebacker Kaveion Keys. He is the 25th-ranked linebacker in this class and the fifth-best overall player in the state of Virginia. Keys (6-foot-3, 205 pounds) had 16 offers in total, including ECU, Auburn and Penn State.

Keys can also play wide receiver and scored two touchdowns last week.

According to Tar Heels Wire, UNC may need to continue recruiting Keys to keep him in the fold.

North Carolina was also trying to land Charles Herbert Flowers (Md.) EDGE Desmond Umeozulu. However, South Carolina scored a commitment from him.

Umeozulu (6-foot-6, 239 pounds) had 36 offers, including Boston College, Ohio State and UNC, and is ranked No. 21 at his position and No. 4 in Maryland.

South Carolina is now No. 15 in 247Sports’ 2023 recruiting class rankings. Meanwhile, North Carolina is only a few spots lower at No. 20.

More Stories:

4-star OT Monroe Freeling commits to Georgia

USA TODAY Sports Super 25: Week 1

Top-ranked EDGE Keon Keeley ‘definitely’ visiting Florida this fall

Live-Stream High School Football:

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Oklahoma looks like the trending choice for four-star LB Lewis Carter out of Tampa, Florida

Momentum is starting to pick up significantly in Oklahoma’s favor for four-star linebacker Lewis Carter out of Tampa, Florida.

Oklahoma has become an absolute machine in July and by all accounts, it’s not slowing down this month in the slightest.

After starting the month ranked somewhere in the 40s nationally in team recruiting rankings for the class of 2023, Oklahoma has taken a gigantic Superman-sequel leap into the top 15 of college football recruiting and the best part is: The month of July has more commits to come.

One of the players whom the Sooners are closing in on is four-star athlete Lewis Carter.

Carter, a projected linebacker out of Tampa, Florida, fits the modern off-ball linebacker mold of today. He’s not some hulking 6-foot-3 behemoth but a little undersized with speed to burn and some pop behind his pads. He has the ability to play in space, which is where today’s games are being decided. At six feet tall and playing somewhere around 200 pounds it’s possible the Sooners could move him to safety but it looks like he’ll get a shot as a linebacker out of high school.

The Under Armour All-American boasts over 40 confirmed offers but the Auburn Tigers, North Carolina Tarheels, Clemson Tigers and the Sooners seem to be standing out the most.

Less than 24 hours after Oklahoma landed their 15th commitment of the 2023 class, cryptic “lock” emojis flooded social media from former Sooner great Rufus Alexander and director of recruiting J.R. Sandlin on Friday morning. Those were followed by Carter posting this tweet.

To cap it all off, multiple 247Sports crystal ball and On3 predictions were dropped from Oklahoma and Auburn insiders, raising the idea that Carter’s recruitment could be winding down and Oklahoma looks to be the favorite.

With that said, a Carter commitment would be another major pickup as Brent Venables continues to remake the defensive roster in his image. One that more closely resembles the elite defenses he built while at Clemson.

Lewis Carter’s Recruiting Profile

Crystal Ball

Film

HUDL

Twitter reacts to Commanders selection of UNC QB Sam Howell

Sam Howell was a steal. What did Twitter think?

The Washington Commanders had multiple opportunities to select North Carolina quarterback Sam Howell before eventually landing him with the No. 144 overall pick — the first selection in the fifth round.

The Commanders acquired the Panthers’ No. 144 and No. 149 picks in a trade for the No. 120 selection and a seventh-rounder.

Howell was a three-year starter at North Carolina, breaking multiple school and ACC records. One year ago, some believed Howell would be in consideration for the No. 1 pick in 2022, but he struggled early after the Tar Heels worked to replace Howell’s top three wide receivers and top two running backs. Four of those players were selected in the 2021 NFL draft, including wide receiver Dyami Brown to Washington.

Howell was a steal for Washington. What does Twitter think?

Commanders select North Carolina QB Sam Howell No. 144 overall in the 2022 NFL draft

Washington selects UNC QB Sam Howell in the 2022 NFL draft.

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The Washington Commanders selected North Carolina quarterback Sam Howell with the No. 144 overall selection in the 2022 NFL draft.

Howell was expected to go somewhere in the first two rounds, but Howell fell to day three, and the value proved too much for Washington. Head coach Ron Rivera said the Commanders would add a third quarterback, and Howell joins Carson Wentz and Taylor Heinicke on Washington’s roster.

Howell joins former Tar Heels Cole Holcomb and Dyami Brown on Washington’s roster. Brown had two 1,00-yard seasons with Howell as his quarterback.

As a three-year starter at UNC, Howell was an All-ACC player who was outstanding in his first two seasons but struggled in 2021. Howell’s struggles coincide with losing his top two running backs and top three wide receivers (including Brown).

Howell is a tremendous value for Washington.

Lejond Cavazos to transfer to North Carolina

Good luck in the Carolina blue! #GoBucks

Former Ohio State defensive back Lejond Cavazos will be continuing his college football career in Chapel Hill for the North Carolina Tarheels. The announcement came on Cavazos’ Twitter account Monday evening.

Cavazos was originally a four-star prospect out of IMG Academy in Bradenton, Florida, and committed to the Buckeyes in the 2020 recruiting class. He had earned a backup role in Columbus but was presumably looking for a bigger one in a crowded secondary.

Once the 6-foot, 190-pound San Antonio native entered the transfer portal, there was a gob of interest from programs all across the country, but he ultimately chose to make his decision to play for UNC.

Cavazos still has three years of eligibility remaining and we wish him luck in the Carolina Blue.

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Winner’s Circle: Double your Final Four title odds by picking a matchup, you coward

We’re swinging for the fences.

Welcome to the Winner’s Circle, a weekly column by Bet For The Win senior writer Prince J. Grimes. Here, you’ll read about stats and trends that can help you make informed betting predictions for the week ahead and beyond. Got something you want to see in the next Winners Circle, shoot Prince a message and check back next week for the response.

I can say with a lot of confidence that the majority of college hoops fans weren’t hoping for a storybook ending to Mike Krzyzewski’s career. A lot of those people would’ve been perfectly happy if Duke was eliminated from the NCAA tournament in the first round. But as we prepare for the Final Four this weekend, you have to admit the way things have shaped up is pretty cool.

Duke is set to face archival North Carolina in the Final Four, and the storylines write themselves. It’s the first time Duke and UNC will meet in the NCAA tournament. The last time these teams played, UNC stunned Duke in Coach K’s final game at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Now, the Tar Heels — who ended Saint Peter’s incredible run — stand in the way of his chance to capture a sixth title on the way out. Duke is favored by 4.5 points, as are the Kansas Jayhawks in the other semifinal game against Villanova.

The spread in that latter matchup might’ve been closer if not for an unfortunate injury to Villanova guard Justin Moore in their win over Houston. He was diagnosed with a torn Achilles, putting some doubt on what they might be able to accomplish against Kansas and beyond. The Jayhawks (+175) join Duke (+150) with the best odds to win it all.

Injury news hit the NBA as well, with Boston Celtics center Robert Williams reportedly tearing his meniscus. The injury comes in the midst of an incredible run by the Celtics from 10th to first place in the Eastern Conference. Williams is a big part of what they’ve been able to do on defense and he’ll be sorely missed as we move closer to the playoffs.

Not all news was bad, however, as Chris Paul made his return to the Phoenix Suns last week. They didn’t miss a beat in his absence, going 11-4 without him, but the Point God no doubt makes them better. They’re 2-0 since getting him back, winning both games against playoff teams — the Philadelphia 76ers and Denver Nuggets — by 10 points each. This week, they’ll have games against the West’s next best teams, the third place Golden State Warriors on Wednesday and the second place Memphis Grizzlies on Friday.

Here are a few more things I’m looking at in the week ahead.

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March Madness: Final Four long shots worthy of NCAA Tournament futures bet

Assessing the NCAA Tournament futures betting odds, with the best long-shot predictions and picks to make the Final Four.

The “Big Dance” is finally here, and it’s time to dive into which teams could get hot and surprisingly make a Final Four run with the Round of 64 kicking off Thursday. Below, we look at 4 teams with decent value and their NCAA Tournament Final Four futures odds and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The last week of college basketball has been thrilling. With teams like Virginia Tech making runs to win its conference championship, fans have already been given a plethora of upsets.

However, nothing compares to that Cinderella story that may commence its run in just a few short days. Let’s dive into which teams have a chance to make their Final Four dreams a reality.

Final Four long-shot predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday, March 15 at 10:53 a.m. ET.

Virginia Tech Hokies (+2000)

  • Bet $100 to win $2,000

The No. 24 nationally-ranked Hokies are one of the hottest teams in the nation, and sometimes, that’s all you need.

As fans saw against Duke, the Hokies have versatile big men mixed with elite sharpshooters. Their Kenpom ranking is 23. The only higher double-digit seed is San Francisco.

Tech may actually have to go through San Fran to reach the final four, but its region has the bubble No. 1 seed and then a No. 2 seed that’s reluctant to shoot threes.

VT has an adjusted offensive efficiency that ranks 18th in the nation per Kenpom. If they stay hot, watch out. The Hokies will play No. 6-seeded Texas Longhorns in the Round of 64.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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North Carolina (+2000)

  • Bet $100 to win $2,000

North Carolina, like Tech, has defeated No. 2 Duke recently. UNC is the No. 8 seed in the same region — the East. The Tar Heels will have Marquette in the first round. UNC beat Duke and Virginia Tech late in the season.

One key for UNC is its size. Led by 6-foot-10 C Armando Bacot so it’ll be able to hang with teams like Kentucky in the paint and also a tandem of quick guards in Caleb Love and Leaky Black.

UNC is Kenpom’s 29th-best team with a top-65 offense and defense. It has the talent, size, and shooting to make a run.

South Dakota State (+10000)

  • Bet $100 to win $10,000

Sure, it was in the Summit, but SDSU won every single conference game (18-0) and then its conference tourney en route to a 30-4 record.

SDSU is a 13 seed and will take on No. 4-seeded Providence. Providence is favored by just 1.5 points which sounds absurd for a 4 vs. 13 seed.

SDSU comes in at No. 71 on the Kenpom rankings, and the impressive part about its game is that it sits No. 12 in adjusted offensive efficiency. The Jackrabbits are going to be able to score at a high rate.

Douglas Wilson has averaged over 16 points per game for three straight seasons. He’s the real deal and has shot 57.4% from the floor for the season.

The road is difficult with Iowa, Providence, Kansas and Wisconsin or Auburn in the way, but the value here is impeccable for a team as dominant and experienced as SDSU.

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Chargers in attendance to scout pair of notable games

Chargers scouts are back on the road to find talent for the 2022 NFL draft.

The Los Angeles Chargers were one of several teams that did their homework on a handful of prospects on Saturday.

There was one scout in attendance to watch Cincinnati vs. Miami (OH). Another scout was in Chapel Hill, NC to watch Virginia Tech take on North Carolina.

Here’s a look at the prospects that should have drawn the attention of the Bolts:

Cincinatti

EDGE Myjai Sanders

CB Ahmad Gardner

TE Josh Whyle

CB Coby Bryant

Miami (OH)

DL Dominique Robinson


North Carolina

OL Marcus McKethan

OL Jordan Tucker

RB Ty Chandler

S Trey Morrison

WR Khafre Brown

Virginia Tech

EDGE Amare Barno

OL Lecitus Smith

TE James Mitchell

WR Tre Turner

College golf: Arizona, North Carolina split team title at The Prestige

Arizona survived both some swirling desert winds and the Greg Norman Course at PGA West to tie North Carolina for the team title.

LA QUINTA, Calif. — When Texas and Oklahoma State withdrew from the Prestige men’s college golf tournament over concerns about California’s COVID-19 restrictions and whether the tournament in La Quinta would be played at all, the Arizona Wildcats were happy to take one of the open spots in the event.

While Texas and Oklahoma State had their replacement tournament in Houston postponed by snow and sub-freezing temperatures, the Wildcats enjoyed three days of breezy sunshine on the way to a share of the Prestige crown with the North Carolina Tar Heels.

“I don’t even know, to be honest with you,” Arizona head coach Jim Anderson said when asked what his team would be doing if the Prestige slot hadn’t opened up. “So much of COVID is a little bit one step at a time. If this didn’t work, we did have a massive contingency plan to maybe try to host another tournament ourselves in our desert.”

Instead, the Wildcats survived both some swirling and strong desert winds and the Greg Norman Course at PGA West to tie North Carolina, which finished an hour earlier and had slowly moved up the leaderboard most of the day Wednesday as Arizona, Arizona State and Pepperdine struggled to finish their rounds in freshening winds in the final nine holes.

Arizona, fourth in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin team rankings, and North Carolina each finished 54 holes at 4-under 848 under the five-play, four-count format, one shot ahead of Pepperdine, which finished in the top three of the desert tournament for the fourth year in a row, all without winning the event.

Arizona State, which at times on the back nine held the outright lead of the event, stumbled down the stretch and finished fourth, six shots behind the co-winners.

The Prestige: Team scores | Individual scores

North Carolina’s 4-under total for the final 18 holes was the second-best total of the day behind only Stanford’s 8-under performance. Arizona finished 1-over for the day, while Pepperdine, the second-round lead, struggled to a 5-over final round.

Climbing up the leaderboard

“I don’t know if it was a good thing or a bad thing,” North Carolina head coach Andrew DiBitetto said about finishing an hour ahead of the three leading teams for most of the day. “I just know the golf course was very difficult and very demanding and obviously some windy conditions. So we talk to our guys all the time about being mentally tough and resilient and executing at a high level under pressure. And that’s exactly what they did.”

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With North Carolina finished at 4 under and a team or individual playoff ruled out by officials as the sun drifted behind the Santa Rosa Mountains, the final threesome came to the 18th hole with Arizona still alive for a solo victory and Pepperdine looking for a share of the title. Arizona’s Trevor Werbylo’s approach shot on the 461-yard par-4 missed the green and kicked about 40 feet from the green with another 20 feet to the pin.

His delicate pitch shot climbed a slope, found the putting surface and rolled to just three feet from the cup. He made the three-footer to not only clinch a tie for the team victory for the Wildcats, but also part of a three-way tie for the individual title. Werbylo, Ludvig Aberg of Texas Tech and Jacob Skov Olesen of Texas Christian all finished the three rounds at 4-under 209 on the par-71 Norman Course.

Pepperdine had a chance for a team tie, but Joey Vrzich’s 12-foot birdie putt burned the right edge of the cup and stayed out.

“The 18th hole, that green is tough,” said Werbylo, who had made a tough par putt on the 17th hole to keep the Wildcats’ title chances alive. “Especially with the wind coming out of the right. It’s a small target. I pulled it. I had a tough chip, but it was doable. I kind of landed it right where I wanted to.”

“There’s not a guy I would rather put in that position beside Trevor,” Anderson said. “He’s been our anchor for a couple of years. But we have a great team around him, all of the guys.”

Werbylo’s up-and-down par on the 18th gave him a 2-under 69 for the day. Aberg shot 73 in the final round, while Skov Olesen shot 70. But Aberg and Skov Olesen were gone from the course by the time Werbylo finished his round, with COVID-19 restrictions meaning teams were asked to leave the golf course when their rounds were over rather than congregating around the clubhouse.

North Carolina’s final-round charge was led by a 67 by Ryan Burnett and a 69 by Austin Hitt, including a 25-foot birdie putt on the 18th hole. Burnett, Hitt and Dylan Menante of Pepperdine all finished the event at 3-under 210, one shot out of the three-way tie for the individual title.

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