MLB moneyline against the spread ATS Over Under OU total run line – Page 309

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Rockies (2-1) and San Diego Padres (1-2) wrap up their 4-game season-opening series on Sunday. Furst pitch is 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rockies lead 2-1

After Colorado took the first 2 games of the series 7-2 and 4-1, the Padres picked up their 1st win of the year on Saturday, beating the Rockies 8-4. SS Xander Bogaerts hit a 2-run HR in the 1st inning and SP Michael Wacha didn’t allow a run for the 1st 4 innings and got the win with 6 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 3 BB and 2 K’s.

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Rockies at Padres projected starters

LHP Austin Gomber vs. RHP Seth Lugo

Gomber was 5-7 with a 5.56 ERA in 2022. He had a 1.37 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 124 2/3 IP last season.

Had 5.75 ERA in 17 starts in 2022
1-0 with 0.96 ERA in 3 appearances (1 start) vs. Padres last season

Lugo was 3-2 with a 3.60 ERA in 2022. He had a 1.17 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 65 IP in relief in 2022.

Appeared in 62 games for New York Mets in 2022, all in relief
Is making first start since the 2020 season

Rockies at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:19 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rockies +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Padres -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-110) | Padres -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Rockies at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Rockies 3

Moneyline

The Rockies did steal the 1st 2 games of the series, but after they had the 2nd-worst road record in the majors last season at 27-54 it is hard to think they would take 3 of 4 on the road to open the season.

But at -225, betting the Padres to win outright doesn’t pay off enough.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Padres covered the run line Saturday in their win over Colorado. But the Padres were 32-53 ATS at home last season. Four of their 6 wins over the Rockies at home last season were by 2 or more runs. Six of their 9 wins over the Rockies last season overall were by 2 or more runs.

BET PADRES -1.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

Two of the 3 games in this series have had more than 8 total runs. Sixteen of the last 22 games between the 2 teams have had at least 8 runs.

BET OVER 8 (-115).

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San Francisco Giants at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Francisco Giants at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Francisco Giants (1-1) and New York Yankees (1-1) meet Sunday afternoon to cap off a 3-game series at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Yankees odds, and make our expert MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

San Francisco rebounded from an Opening Day 5-0 shutout by posting a 7-5 win in Saturday’s game despite striking out 13 times. The Giants have been whiffed 29 times in 2 games.

New York is looking to jump out to a fast start as it did a year ago en route to notching a plus-1.48 average run differential and a 99-63 record. The Yankees went 15-6 in April, outscoring opponents 100-61.

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Giants at Yankees projected starters

RHP Ross Stripling vs. RHP Jhony Brito

Stripling went 10-4 with a 3.01 ERA in a swingman role for the Toronto Blue Jays last season. He registered a 1.02 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 134 1/3 IP across 32 games (24 starts).

Current Yankees batters own an aggregate .697 OPS against him.
Walk rate in 2022 was the best of his 7-year career (career 2.1 BB/9).

Brito is a 25-year-old hurler making his Major League debut. In 2022, he pitched a combined 112 2/3 IP at Double- and Triple-A (11-4, 2.96 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 35 BB, 91 K).

Clocked a 2.08 ERA over 13 IP in Grapefruit League action.
Owns an average mid-90s fastball and a slightly above-average change-up.

Giants at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:17 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Giants +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Giants at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Giants 4

Moneyline

Stripling has allowed 5 ER (and 3 HR) over 6 career IP spanning 2 appearances at Yankee Stadium. Last year, New York batters faced him twice and slashed a .324/.361/.471. Stripling usually has more trouble on hard-hit balls against right-handed bats despite being a righty, and that’s a major concern when facing this Yankee lineup.

Brito mixes in plenty of gray area here, but with the way New York usually plays at home and the home nine owning the deeper bullpen, a YANKEES (-150) play is worth a partial-unit outlay.

Run line/Against the spread

A first-time starter nixes any aggression when taking on this game as a betting proposition. PASS on getting the Yanks by with a multi-run cushion.

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Over/Under

Again, the Brito start adds more chance to the mix. STEER CLEAR of betting the total in this one.

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Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles (1-1) and Boston Red Sox (1-1) close out their season-opening 3-game series at Fenway Park on Sunday. First pitch is set for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Orioles took Thursday’s lid-lifter 10-9. The Red Sox bounced back with a dramatic 9-8 win on Saturday.

The Red Sox were trailing 8-7 on Saturday, but won when CF Adam Duvall hit a 2-out, 2-run HR in the bottom of the 9th. The walk-off HR capped a comeback from a 7-1 deficit in the the 3rd inning.

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Orioles at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Cole Irvin vs. RHP Tanner Houck

Irvin pitched for Oakland last season, going 9-13 with a 3.98 ERA. He notched a 1.16 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 181 IP.

Owns a 4.40 ERA over 405 career IP
Faces what figures to be a left-leaning Boston lineup; held lefty batters to a .638 OPS last season

Houck went 5-4 with a 3.15 last season. He appeared in 32 games (4 as a starter) and logged a 1.18 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.4 in 60 IP.

Has held opposing batters to a .658 OPS in 8 career April games (5 starts)
Albeit in a small sample, he has held current Baltimore bats to an aggregate .528 OPS

Orioles at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:43 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Orioles +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Red Sox -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-165) | Red Sox -1.5 (+135)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Orioles at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Boston 6, Baltimore 5

Moneyline

This has been a level series the last couple of years, and both starting pitchers are fade-worthy, being slightly overrated by their 2022 surface numbers. PASS, and look to the Over for the best leverage.

Run line/Against the spread

The Red Sox are a theoretical lean here, but the 30-cent line is tough to work around. PASS.

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Over/Under

The weather is a factor (temps not expected to reach 40), but the play here is to follow games 1 and 2 into the Over column. A depth of batters on each side is dialed in so far. The starters both had favorable numbers around the margins last season and are a bit overrated on paper. And neither bullpen is in great shape after the 36 runs scored so far.

TAKE THE OVER 9 (-105).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (0-2) and Texas Rangers (2-0) meet Sunday for the final game of a 3-game series. First Pitch from Globe Life Field is set for 7:08 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rangers lead the season series 2-0. Texas won the 2022 series 4-0.

Pitching and defense have proven to be problems for the Phillies to start the season, as they have given up a combined 27 runs and 5 HRs with 2 errors over their first 2 games.

The Rangers plated 11 runs on Opening Day Thursday and followed that up with 16 runs Saturday. Texas is the only team in the loaded AL West to not have suffered a loss in its opening series.

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Phillies at Rangers projected starters

LHP Bailey Falter vs. LHP Martin Perez

Falter went 6-4 with a 3.86 ERA in 2022. He had a 1.21 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 84 IP.

Was stellar in away games last season with a 3-1 record, 2.42 ERA, and 15 runs allowed through 44 2/3 IP across 9 starts and 1 relief appearance.
Has not faced Texas in his first 2 seasons.
Struggled in April last season, going 0-1 record and a 4.91 ERA in 4 relief appearances.

Perez went 12-8 with a 2.89 ERA in 2022. He had a 1.26 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 196 1/3 IP.

Was solid at home last year with a 5-4 record and 2.92 ERA with only 5 home runs allowed through 92 1/3 IP across 16 starts.
Was 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA through 13 IP across 2 starts vs. Phillies in 2022; most recent appearance 6 IP, 0 R, 6 H, 3 BB, 6 K on June 21

Phillies at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Phillies +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Rangers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-190) | Rangers -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Phillies at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 6, Phillies 2

Moneyline

BET RANGERS (-125).

The Rangers have dominated the Phillies over the last 2 seasons. The Phillies are 0-8 in the last 8 meetings with the Rangers in Texas and 3-13 in the last 16 meetings overall. The Rangers may be 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a left-handed starter but that doesn’t outweigh the Phillies’ struggles, but perhaps it limits their output.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN RANGERS -1.5 (+155).

Only 1 of the last 9 meetings between these clubs has been a 1-run game and with the way the Rangers have dominated the Phillies so far they are the more likely side to cover. The Phillies have called on their bullpen a lot through the first 2 games of the series and may need to ask a lot from Falter.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-105).

The Under cashed in the final 3 meetings between these teams last season, and it is unlikely that the Rangers will stay as hot at the plate as they have been to start the year. Expect this game to be a lower-scoring game with Perez

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Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago White Sox (1-2) and Houston Astros (2-1) meet Sunday for the final game of their opening 4-game set. First pitch from Minute Maid Park is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 2-1

After Chicago took the opener 3-2, thanks to 1B Andrew Vaughn’s 9th-inning, tiebreaking, 2-run double, Houston won the next 2 games, 6-3 Friday and 6-4 Saturday.

LF Yordan Alvarez’s base-clearing double did the damage in Friday’s win for Houston, while RF Kyle Tucker’s 7th-inning, RBI single broke a 3-3 tie in Saturday’s victory.

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White Sox at Astros projected starters

RHP Mike Clevinger vs. RHP Luis Garcia

Clevinger went 7-7 in 2022 with a 4.33 ERA (114 1/3 IP, 55 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 in 22 starts and 1 relief appearance for the Padres.

Was mediocre on the road last season with a 4-4 record and 5.46 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 39 ER) with 11 HR allowed and 23 BB.
Making his White Sox debut after signing as a free agent in December.

Garcia went 15-8 with a 3.72 ERA (157 1/3 IP, 65 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 28 starts last season.

Was very good at home with an 11-3 record but had a 4.46 ERA (84 /23 IP, 43 ER) with 16 HR and 19 BB in 15 starts.
Career vs. White Sox: 1-0, 3.00 ERA (12 IP, 4 ER) in 2 starts, including a 21-5 victory at Chicago last August.

White Sox at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:57 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): White Sox +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Astros -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-140) | Astros -1.5 (+115)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

White Sox at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, White Sox 3

Moneyline

BET ASTROS (-165).

The White Sox have been terrible in Houston recently. They are 5-17 in their last 22 games in Houston. Plus, they are also only 11-23 in the last 34 meetings overall while the Astros are 4-0 in Garcias’ last 4 starts overall.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Though I could see a lean to the White Sox +1.5 (-140) as they tend to play the Astros close. Houston only won 4 of the 7 games against Chicago last season.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-110).

In the last 10 White Sox-Astros meetings the Under is 4-5-1. My gut feeling just sees a tight, low-scoring game in the finale. Plus, it’s a get-away day for the White Sox, who fly to Chicago after the game for their Monday home opener.

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New York Mets at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Mets at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (2-1) and Miami Marlins (1-2) meet Sunday for the final game of this 4-game series. First pitch from loanDepot park is set for 4:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-1

So far, scoring 5 or more runs has proven the key for the Mets to win, which is exactly what they did in their 2 victories this series at Miami. They won Thursday’s opener 5-3, lost Friday 2-1 and prevailed Saturday 6-2.

The Marlins hit more homers (4) than the Mets (2) in the first 3 games of this series, but the Mets have produced more RBI hits.

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Mets at Marlins projected starters

RHP Kodai Senga vs. LHP Trevor Rogers

Senga signed a $75 million, 5-year deal with the Mets in the offseason after previously pitching for the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks in Japan.

Spring training: 1-2, 4.00 ERA (9 IP, 4 ER), 6 H, 1 HR, 5 BB, 10 K, 1.22 WHIP in 3 starts
Last season in Japan: 11-6, 1.89 ERA (148 IP, 31 ER), 159 K, 1.04 WHIP, 9.7 K/9, 3.0 BB/9 in 23 games

Rogers was 4-11 with a 5.47 ERA (107 IP, 65 ER) with a 1.51 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 in 23 starts last season.

Spring training: 0-1, 5.00 ERA (18 IP, 10 ER), 15 H, 1 HR, 3 BB, 17 K, 1.00 WHIP in 5 starts
Career vs. Mets: 2-1, 2.76 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 39 K in 6 starts, including 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 6 ER) in 2 starts last season

Mets at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:32 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mets -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Marlins +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+135) | Marlins +1.5 (-160)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Mets at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 6, Marlins 3

Moneyline

BET METS (-125).

The Mets took 2 of the first 3 games of this series and won last season’s series 13-6. They are 7-3 in the last 10 vs. the Marlins and 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Miami.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN METS -1.5 (+135).

I usually don’t like to bet the moneyline and the run line on the same team in the same game, but the trends are too strong here for the Mets.

Only 2 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings have been decided by 1 run — 4 were decided by 2 runs.

Of the Mets’ last 7 wins vs. the Marlins, 6 have been by 2 runs or more, including 5 victories by at least 4 runs.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-105).

The Over has cashed more than often when these 2 meet. The Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Miami.

The Over is also 11-1 in the Mets’ last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter, per Covers.com.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (1-1) and Los Angeles Dodgers (1-1) play the third game of their 4-game series to open the season Saturday night. First pitch is Saturday at 9:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

After a season-opening 8-2 win Thursday by the Dodgers, the Diamondbacks evened the series Friday with a 2-1 win as road underdogs. RP Drey Jameson pitched 4 innings in relief, allowing only 1 run on 2 hits, while OF Kyle Lewis hit a 2-run, pinch-hit homer in the 8th inning to give the Snakes the win.

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Madison Bumgarner vs. LHP Clayton Kershaw

Bumgarner (7-15, 4.88 ERA in 2022) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.44 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 through 158 2/3 IP last season.

Lost 6 of his final 7 decisions in 2022
1-2 with 4.76 ERA in 3 starts vs. Dodgers in 2022

Kershaw (12-3, 2.28 ERA in 2022) makes his 1st start of the season. He had a 0.94 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 126 1/3 IP last season.

Picked up the win his final 5 regular-season starts
Allowed 2 or fewer runs in each of his final 8 starts in the regular season

Diamondbacks at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (+100) | Dodgers -1.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Diamondbacks at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

The Diamondbacks’ win Friday was only their 3rd at Dodger Stadium since July 2021, although they have won 3 of the last 5 meetings there.

Kershaw was again dominant to end last season while Bumgarner struggled.

The Dodgers should bounce back in a big way Saturday, but don’t bet the moneyline having to wager 2 1/2 times what you can win.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Both teams are 1-1 ATS to start the season.

The Dodgers were a league-best 50-33 ATS at home last season, including the postseason.

The Diamondbacks, though, were the league’s 2nd-best team against the spread on the road, going 50-31 ATS away from home in 2022.

Ten of the Dodgers’ wins over the Diamondbacks since the start of 2022 have been by 2 or more runs.

BET DODGERS -1.5 (-120).

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Over/Under

Early in the season, we often see starters not going deep in games.

The total was 8 or more runs in 6 of Bumgarner’s final 9 starts last season.

However, 10 of the last 12 meetings between the teams have had 7 or fewer runs.

BET OVER 7.5 (-120).

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New York Mets at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Mets at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (1-1) face the Miami Marlins (1-1) Saturday in the 3rd game of a 4-game series at loanDepot park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

Miami came away with a 2-1 victory Friday to draw both of these squads back to .500 baseball. 1B Pete Alonso hit his first HR of the season in the 9th inning in Friday’s loss.

The Marlins LHP Jesus Luzardo notched 5 K and 0 ER in 5 2/3 IP in his season debut Friday. Miami’s 2 runs came from HRs by OF/2B Jazz Chisholm Jr. and OF/DH Jorge Soler.

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Mets at Marlins projected starters

RHP Tylor Megill vs. RHP Edward Cabrera

Megill posted a 4-2 record in 9 starts and 6 relief appearances during the 2022 season. He finished with a 5.13 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 47 1/3 IP.

Hasn’t made a start since June 16 of last season vs. the Milwaukee Brewers as he ended the 2022 campaign in the bullpen.
Allowed 2 or more ER in 6 of his 9 starts in 2022.

Cabrera registered a 6-4 record in 14 starts during the 2022 season, finishing with a 3.01 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 71 2/3 IP.

Tallied 5 or more K’s in 8 of his 14 starts in 2022.
Logged 6 or more IP in only 3 of his 14 starts last season.

Mets at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:53 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Marlins +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+140) | Marlins +1.5 (-165)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Mets at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 6, Marlins 3

Moneyline

Following a loss to the Marlins on Friday, I’ll side with the METS (-120) to secure the victory on Saturday. Both teams have inexperienced pitchers on the mound, so I’ll take the better lineup in this NL East showdown.

Run line/Against the spread

METS -1.5 (+140) is the pick in this game with New York looking to avoid starting the season with a 1-2 record. Eight of the last 10 meetings between these clubs have been decided by 2 or more runs.

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Over/Under

Even though it’s early in the season and it’s a decently high total, OVER 8 -105) is how I’d wager. Both pitchers involved in this game are inexperienced and could allow a decent number of base runners and give way to the bullpen early.

We’ve seen 8 or more runs scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings between these teams.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Reds (0-1) welcome the Pittsburgh Pirates (1-0) to Great American Ball Park Saturday. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pittsburgh leads 1-0

The Reds lost their season-opening game to Pittsburgh 5-4. Second baseman Jonathan India and DH Jake Fraley both led the team with 2 hits.

Pittsburgh, on the other hand, was led by SS Oneil Cruz, who had 2 RBIs and 1 HR Thursday. The Pirates bullpen pitched 4 1/3 innings and allowed 0 ER.

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Pirates at Reds projected starters

LHP Rich Hill vs. LHP Nick Lodolo

Hill (8-7, 4.27 ERA) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.303 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 124 1/3 IP in 2022.

Hill came over to Pittsburgh from Boston.
The 43-year-old veteran was 5-3 on the road last season.

Lodolo (6-6, 3.66 ERA) makes his 1st start. He has a 1.248 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 through 103 1/3 IP.

Lodolo is just 25 years old and led the league in hitting batters last season (19).
He was 3-4 in 12 games started at GABP last season. In those, he had just a 2.85 ERA.

Pirates at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pirates +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Reds -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-165) | Reds -1.5 (+135)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Pirates at Reds nickname picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Pirates 3

Moneyline

BET REDS (-145).

Lodolo pitched his best at home last season, and he has shown promise in the majors. The Reds ended Thursday with fewer runs but more hits and a better batting average.

In the first half of the season in 2022, the Reds were 3-2 against Pittsburgh at home. This is a good bounce-back spot with a quality prospect on the mound for Cincinnati.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There isn’t much value here either way as these teams played a close battle Thursday. Reds -1.5 (+135) isn’t worth the risk here.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-110).

Both starting pitchers from Thursday were taken out with over a 7.70 ERA. Hunter Greene had an 8.10 ERA while Mitch Keller had a 7.71 ERA. Hill and Lodolo should be better and limit batters.

Lodolo’s last 3 starts of the 2022 season went Under this total. Hill went Under this total in his last 2 starts of last season and in 3 of his last 5.

For a small unit, take the UNDER 8.5 (-110).

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Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Guardians (1-1) and the Seattle Mariners (1-1) play the 3rd contest in a 4-game series Saturday. First pitch at T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Series tied 1-1. Mariners won the season series 6-1 in 2022.

The Guardians were blanked 3-0 in the opener Thursday as they cobbled together just 4 hits in the lower-scoring affair. However, Cleveland posted 9 runs on 13 hits as it broke out the lumber Friday, including a 2-for-4 night with a double and 5 RBIs from OF Steven Kwan.

The Mariners had a clean game defensively on Thursday but they committed 3 errors in Friday’s setback. Seattle also struck out 13 times in Friday’s loss, including 3 apiece by OFs Teoscar Hernandez and Jarred Kelenic.

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Guardians at Mariners projected starters

RHP Aaron Civale vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Civale went 5-6 with a 4.92 ERA in 2022. He had a 1.19 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 97 IP across 20 starts.

Struggled on the road last season, going 1-3 with a 5.88 ERA with 6 HR allowed in 52 IP across 11 starts
Allowed 4 ER, 4 H, 2 HR and 2 BB in just 6 1/3 IP in a 4-0 loss at Seattle on Aug. 28 last season

Gilbert was 13-6 with a 3.20 ERA last season. He finished with a 1.18 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 185 2/3 IP across 32 starts.

Managed a 5-5 record, 3.25 ERA and 76 K across 83 IP with a .254 opponent batting average (OBA) in 14 home starts in 2022
Yielded 2 ER, 8 H and 0 BB with 2 K across 6 1/3 IP in no-decision against Cleveland on Aug. 26 last season

Guardians at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:19 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Guardians +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mariners -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-185) | Mariners -1.5 (+150)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Guardians at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Guardians 3

Moneyline

The MARINERS (-140) are a strong play at home, looking to bounce back from a loss in Friday’s game.

Civale struggled on the road in 2022, and he served up a couple of homers in his only start in Seattle last season.

Run line/Against the spread

The MARINERS -1.5 (+150) are worth a look on the run line at plus money.

Not only did Seattle win 6 of 7 games against Cleveland last season, but it also won 5 of the 6 outings by 2 or more runs. So if you like the M’s to win, you should like them on the run line, too.

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Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (+100) is the lean. Cleveland found its bats after getting blanked in the opener.

The Guardians cashed the Over in Civale’s final 4 outings of the season, while the Over is 5-2 in their past 7 games against AL West teams.

The Over is 6-1-1 in the past 8 games for the Mariners against AL Central teams, too, while going 5-2-1 in the past 8 home games dating back to last season.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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