MLB moneyline against the spread ATS Over Under OU total run line – Page 308

Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Braves (2-1) and St. Louis Cardinals (2-1) open a 3-game series Monday at Busch Stadium in an early season battle of NL pennant contenders. First pitch is at 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; Atlanta won the 2022 season series 4-3.

The Braves came up short in their attempt at a 3-game sweep of the Washington Nationals Sunday, falling 4-1 in the finale. 1B Matt Olson had a big series, going 4-for-11 (.364) with 2 home runs and 3 RBIs.

The Cards took 2 of 3 from the Toronto Blue Jays in their opening series as they stormed off with a 9-4 victory Sunday. DH Nolan Gorman hit 2 homers and drove in 4 runs in the finale.

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Braves at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Charlie Morton vs. RHP Jake Woodford

Morton makes his first start. He was 9-6 with a 4.34 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 through 173 IP last season.

Allowed 4 ER on 5 H and 3 BB with 4 K in 5 IP in no-decision at St. Louis last season (Aug. 27).
Started slowly last year with a 7.00 ERA (14 ER in 18 IP) in 4 April starts.

Woodford makes his 1st start. He was 4-0 with a 2.23 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 through 48 1/3 IP last season.

Had a great spring with a 2.04 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and a surprising 18 K’s in 17 2/3 IP.
Won his only start last season with 5 1/3 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB and 1 K against the Cubs.

Braves at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Braves -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Cardinals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+130) | Cardinals +1.5 (-155)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Braves at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Cardinals 5

Moneyline

The Braves are the correct side here, but the Cards’ bats will make it interesting. The Cards plated 22 runs in their first 3 games, but the Braves have more talent in the bullpen to offset them. Woodford keeps the game close, but Atlanta delivers late.

Take the BRAVES (-130).

Run line/Against the spread

I’m not a fan of either side here and want to look elsewhere. As previously mentioned, I think the game is tight in the first 5 innings. So I’m going with UNDER 4.5 RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-120) to win a FULL UNIT, and I’ll drop a HALF UNIT on UNDER 3.5 RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (+155).

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Over/Under

The Braves’ bullpen has been lights-out with a 1.50 ERA, but this Cardinals lineup is loaded with good eyes that grind out at-bats. The Cards’ pen has not been good with a 4.61 ERA. While I like the Under for the first 5, I like the Over for the entire game. Take the ALTERNATE OVER 8.5 (+100) as this could be a shootout late. It also hedges the possibility both teams fire out of the gates early.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Rays (3-0) are set to begin a 3-game series against the Washington Nationals (1-2) on Monday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; these teams haven’t met since 2021.

The Rays made light work of the Detroit Tigers to begin the season, outscoring them 21-3 in their 3-game series. LHP Jeffrey Springs was impressive in his season debut Sunday with 0 ER, 0 H, 12 K and 1 BB in 6 IP.

The Nationals beat the Braves 4-1 on Sunday to prevent the series sweep after being outscored 14-3 in the first two games of the series to begin the season. LHP Mackenzie Gore was solid with 1 ER, 3 H, 6 K and 4 BB in 5 1/3 IP in Washington’s 1st victory of the season.

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Rays at Nationals projected starters

RHP Drew Rasmussen vs. RHP Trevor Williams

Rasmussen notched an 11-7 record in 28 starts during the 2022 season. He finished with a 2.84 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9, and 7.7 K/9 in 146 IP.

Had 6 IP or more in 5 of his last 6 starts in 2022.
Had the 16th-best ERA amongst all pitchers with at least 140 IP last season.

Williams registered a 3-5 record in 9 starts during the 2022 season as a member of the New York Mets. He finished with a 3.21 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 89 2/3 IP.

Had just one start (Aug. 20) between July 8 and the end of the season.
Allowed 1 or 2 ER in each of his final 7 appearances in 2022, although 3 of those outings where more than 4 IP.

Rays at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:48 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rays -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (-105) | Nationals +1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Rays at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Nationals 2

Moneyline

PASS.

Even with the Rays (-175) expected to secure the win on Monday, taking them at the current odds isn’t worth the risk. However, I’m fine using Tampa Bay’s money line in parlays if you need to add some juice.

Run line/Against the spread

RAYS -1.5 (-105) is the pick in this contest with Tampa Bay being the far superior team. Rasmussen is poised for another stellar year and the Rays should be able to have success against Williams.

Williams struggled in spring training with a 4.43 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9, and 6 K/9, while also allowing 3 HR in 22 1/3 IP.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-115) is what I’m siding with in this game despite the Rays likely putting up a few runs on Williams. Rasmussen should shut down the Nationals’ lineup and have a chance at a quality start to begin the season.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (0-3) and New York Yankees (2-1) open a 3-game series Monday at Yankee Stadium that could provide a preview to October baseball. First pitch is at 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting since the 2021 season when the teams split 4 games

The short-handed Phillies were swept by the Texas Rangers in a 3-game series to open the season. The absences OF Bryce Harper (elbow) and 1B Rhys Hoskins (knee) have been evident as the team could only muster 1 run on 9 hits in a 2-1 loss Sunday night.

The Yankees took 2 of 3 from the San Francisco Giants to open the year and scored at least 5 runs in each game. OF Aaron Judge picked up where he left off, going 6-for-13 (.462) with 2 homers and 4 RBIs. OF Giancarlo Stanton also hit 2 homers in the opening series.

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Phillies at Yankees projected starters

RHP Taijuan Walker vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

Walker was 12-5 with a 3.49 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 157 1/3 IP last season.

In 2 starts against NYY last year: 1-0, 4.50 ERA, 1.50 WHIP
Has held current Yankees hitters to a .254 BA and a 21.2 K% in 137 plate appearances

Cortes was 12-4 with a 2.44 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 158 1/3 IP last season.

Did not face the Phillies last season, but only allowed interleague hitters a .167 OBA in 60 ABs.
Was 6-1 with a 1.95 ERA, 0.82 WHIP and 9.1 K/9 in 15 home starts last year.

Phillies at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:24 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Phillies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-145) | Yankees -1.5 (+120)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Phillies at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Phillies 3

Moneyline

The Yankees are the clear choice, and I’m not usually interested in -175 moneylines. However, they’re at home, with Nasty Nestor on the hill and have mashed through the first 3 games. Try to secure a half-unit by taking YANKEES -175.

Run line/Against the spread

The Phillies allowed 29 runs in their first 3 games, and the Yankees won 2 of the 3 by multiple runs. The +120 return here is pretty good considering how poorly Philly has come out of the gates. Take the YANKEES -1.5 (+120).

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Over/Under

So the Yankees have been good for 5 runs in every game, and the Phillies scored 7, 3 and 1. This is an overwhelmingly good total that could go either way. We would need the Phils to score 3 just to push, but it’s a lot to ask to get anything more in order to cash it.

PASS.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Rockies (2-2) and Los Angeles Dodgers (2-2) open a 2-game series Monday night. First pitch at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Dodgers won the season series 11-8 in 2022.

The Rockies picked up a 7-2 win at the San Diego Padres on Opening Day and followed that up with a 4-1 win Friday. However, the Padres were able to scratch back to salvage a 4-game series split by handing Colorado losses on Saturday (8-4) and Sunday (3-1).

The Dodgers won a pair of high-scoring games against the Arizona Diamondbacks to start the season, including an 8-2 win on Opening Day Thursday and a 10-1 victory Saturday. However, L.A. split the set as it lost a pair of 2-1 games on Friday and Sunday.

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Rockies at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Ryan Feltner vs. RHP Michael Grove

Feltner went 4-9 with a 5.83 ERA in 2022. He had a 1.41 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 97 1/3 IP across 19 starts and 1 relief appearance.

Was 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA and .200 opponent batting average (OBA) with 6 K across 9 1/3 IP in 1 start and 1 relief appearance against the Rockies in 2022
Posted a 2-5 record, 5.73 ERA and .281 OBA in 55 IP across 11 road starts while serving up 11 of his 16 HR allowed

Grove was 1-0 with a 4.60 ERA last season. He finished with a 1.43 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 29 1/3 IP across 6 starts and 1 relief appearance.

Faced the Rockies in his final start of 2022, allowing 4 ER, 6 H, 2 HR and 2 BB with 3 K across 5 IP in a no-decision
Was 1-0 with a 5.03 ERA and .294 OBA across 19 2/3 IP in 4 home starts and 1 relief appearance in 2022

Rockies at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:21 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rockies +195 bet ($100 to win $195) | Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (+100) | Dodgers -1.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Rockies at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 7, Rockies 4

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-250) had a hard time with the Rockies (+195) in 2022, and they turn to their 5th starter Grove to try and snap the team on track here.

Risking 2 1/2 times your potential return is quite expensive in this case and it’s best to AVOID and look to the run line instead.

Run line/Against the spread

The DODGERS -1.5 (-120) are a better play on the run line.

The Rockies are still just 6-15 in the past 21 games against NL West teams despite a pair of wins to start the season in San Diego.

Meanwhile, the Dodgers have won 56 of the past 78 meetings at Chavez Ravine against the Rox and are 51-21 in the past 72 meetings overall.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-110) is the lean with a pair of back-end rotation pitchers toeing the slab.

We’ll be going against the series trends a bit, as the Under was 12-5-2 in the 19 meetings last season, including 6-2-1 in the 9 battles at Dodger Stadium.

However, with unproven starters Feltner and Grove squaring off, we could see some offensive fireworks.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago Cubs (1-2) will begin a 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds (2-1) on Monday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Cubs went 11-8 vs, the Reds in 2022

The Cubs wrapped up a 3-game series at Wrigley Field against the Milwaukee Brewers losing 9-5 on Sunday, the 2nd straight loss after a win on Opening Day. SS Dansby Swanson has gotten off to a great start for Chicago, going 7-for-12 with 2 RBIs in his first 3 games with his new team.

The Reds went 2-1 in their 3-game opening series against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Cincinnati won 3-1 on Sunday as Graham Ashcraft pitched 7 strong inning (4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB 6 K’s). Jason Vosler, filling in at 1B with Joey Votto injured, hit a solo HR.

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Cubs at Reds projected starters

LHP Drew Smyly vs. RHP Connor Overton

Smyly was 7-8 in 22 starts in 2022 with a 3.47 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, and 7.7 K.9 in 106 1/3 IP.

Has made 22-plus starts in back-to-back seasons
His 3.47 ERA in 2022 was the best mark of his career in a season where he started in 10-plus games since 2015

Overton was 1-0 in 4 starts last season with a 2.73 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 3 BB/9, and 3.8 K/9 in 33 IP.

Has yet to make more than 4 starts in a season
Didn’t allow more than 2 runs in any of his 4 starts in 2022

Cubs at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:12 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Cubs -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Reds +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+135) | Reds -1.5 (-160)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Cubs at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 4, Reds 3

Moneyline

Even though the Reds have surprisingly begun the season with a winning record, I’ll back the CUBS (-125) in this NL Central matchup.

Run line/Against the spread

REDS +1.5 (-160) is how I’d wager on the spread, though, I’d prefer to get it at -150 odds or better if available. Cincinnati is capable of keeping this game close at home with neither team getting consistency from its bats to begin the season.

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Over/Under

UNDER 9 (-120) is the pick in this contest despite Great American Ball Park being a favorable hitting venue. Smyly and Overton should have solid outings against these lineups, and fewer than 9 runs have been scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (2-2) visit the San Diego Padres (2-2) Monday with the 1st pitch at 9:40 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Padres won 2022 season series 14-5

The Diamondbacks split a 4-game series at the Los Angeles Dodgers to start the season, winning 2-1 on Sunday. A 2-out, 9th-inning bunt single by OF Jake McCarthy drove in the winning run. Starter Zach Davies pitched 5 strong innings, allowing 1 ER, 4H, 2 BBs and 4 K’s.

The Padres split their opening series against the Colorado Rockies, winning the final 2 games. On Sunday, a 3-run HR by SS Xander Bogaerts in the 2nd inning was enough offense in a 3-1 win. Starter Seth Lugo went 7 innings and allowed only 1 run on 4 hits.

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Diamondbacks at Padres projected starters

RHP Ryne Nelson vs. LHP Ryan Weathers

Nelson was 1-1 with 1.47 ERA in 2022. He had a 0.82 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 18 1/3 IP last season.

2 of 3 starts as rookie were against Padres
1-1 with 2.19 ERA against Padres in 12 1/3 IP

Weather was 0-0 with a 9.82 ERA in 2022. He had a 2.73 WHIP, 4 BB and 3 K through 3 2/3 IP.

Had 4.91 ERA in 5 spring training appearences
Is 0-1 with 6.75 ERA vs. Arizona in 4 appearances (2 starts)

Diamondbacks at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:41 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Padres -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-175) | Padres -1.5 (+145)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Diamondbacks at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

The Diamondbacks were 2-7 in San Diego last season and 5-14 against the Padres overall.

Both teams will have their 5th starter on the mound so expect the bullpens to factor in early. San Diego’s bullpen only worked 2 innings in their win on Sunday, while Arizona’s pitched 4 innings and has gone 14 innings through 4 games.

The rested Padres relievers will be the difference.

BET PADRES (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

The Padres’ 2 wins were both by at least 2 runs while Arizona’s 2 losses have both been by at least 6 runs.

The Padres had baseball’s 2nd-worst home ATS record last season at 32-53 ATS.

Betting the Diamondbacks to cover isn’t as good a value at -175 as the Padres on the moneyline at -140, so PASS on this bet.

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Over/Under

Both teams have had 2 games of more than 8 runs and 2 of fewer than 8. Ten of their 19 games last season had fewer than 8 total runs.

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

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Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (2-1) and the Seattle Mariners (1-3) open a 3-game series Monday. First pitch at T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting. Los Angeles won the season series 10-9 in 2022.

The Angels lost their opener at the Oakland Athletics 2-1 Thursday, but Los Angeles bounced back with consecutive wins by a combined 19-1 score over the weekend.

The Mariners opened with a 3-0 victory over the visiting Cleveland Guardians on Opening Day, but Seattle was outscored 17-9 in the following 3 games, including a 6-5 extra-inning loss Sunday.

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Angels at Mariners projected starters

LHP Reid Detmers vs. RHP George Kirby

Detmers went 7-6 with a 3.77 ERA in 2022. He had a 1.21 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 129 IP across 25 starts.

Was so-so on the road in 2022, going 3-3 with a 4.47 ERA and .274 opponent batting average (OBA), allowing 5 HR across 56 1/3 IP in 12 starts
Went 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA while posting 10 K in 13 IP in 2 starts vs. SEA in 2022

Kirby was 8-5 with a 3.39 ERA last season. He finished with a 1.21 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 130 IP across 25 starts.

Allowed 9 HR in 77 1/3 IP while posting a .272 OBA across 13 starts at T-Mobile Park last season
Was 2-2 with a 3.04 ERA and .239 OBA with 29 K across 23 2/3 IP vs. LAA in 2022

Angels at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:56 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Angels +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Mariners -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-165) | Mariners -1.5 (+135)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Angels at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 5, Mariners 4

Moneyline

The ANGELS (+125) did a pretty good job against the Mariners last season, winning 10 of the 19 regular-season meetings while cashing in 6 of 9 games at T-Mobile Park.

The Halos lost in their series opener against the A’s, but L.A. is 5-2 in the past 7 series openers dating back to last season. The Mariners have dropped 4 in a row inside the division dating back to last season, too.

Run line/Against the spread

The ANGELS +1.5 (-165) aren’t priced out of line if you want a little insurance and can’t bring yourself to play the visitors straight up.

However, Detmers was dominant against the Mariners last year and Seattle is just 3-9 in the past 12 series openers despite an Opening Day win.

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Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (-105) is worth playing lightly.

The Mariners allowed 6 or more runs in 2 of the past 3 games and cashed the Over in both outings. The Over is also 7-2 in the past 9 meetings between these American League West Division rivals.

The Over is 4-0 in the past 4 road games for the Angels against a right-handed starting pitcher dating to last season, while going 15-7-4 in the past 26 for the Mariners against a left-handed starter.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (3-1) visit the Milwaukee Brewers (2-1) Monday in the 2023 home opener at American Family Field. First pitch is slated for 2:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting. New York took 4 of 6 games in 2022, but were outscored by the Brewers 27-25.

New York is coming off a 4-game series at the Miami Marlins. The Mets won 3 of those games and allowed just 8 total runs in the series.

The Brewers won 2 of 3 games from the Chicago Cubs in a season-opening set at Wrigley Field. Monday’s game kicks off 6 straight games at home for Milwaukee, which played .568-ball (46-35) at home last season.

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Mets at Brewers projected starters

RHP Carlos Carrasco vs. RHP Freddy Peralta

Carrasco went 15-7 with a 3.97 ERA last year and had a 1.33 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 152 IP.

Posted a 4.57 ERA on the road
Has struggled against current Milwaukee batters: .886 aggregate OPS

Peralta logged a 4-4 record, 3.58 ERA, and 1.04 WHIP in 2022. He notched a 3.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 78 IP.

Has held current Mets batters to an aggregate .515 OPS
Battled injury problems in 2022, missing time with shoulder issues
Coughed up 3 HR in 9 1/3 IP in Brewers spring training
Has held opposing bats to an OPS under-.650 in his last 10 April games

Mets at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:06 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Brewers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-190) | Brewers -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Mets at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

With 2 solid starters and 2 solid bullpens, this matchup is perhaps best leveraged with the Under, but this is a solid price for the visitors. Run Line-averse bettors should consider a fair price on the Mets here. Otherwise, PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Peg the opener as a low-scoring affair. The run-and-a-half cushion for the Mets helps offset their travel and a likely-more-fatigued back end of the bullpen. BACK NEW YORK +1.5 (-190).

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Over/Under

Look for these pitchers to be ahead of the hitters. With the Mets scoring 5-plus runs 3 times in 4 games and the Brewers scoring 9 on Sunday, these bats may well be getting a half-run of recency bias thrown in to this figure.

BACK THE UNDER 8 (-105).

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Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Detroit Tigers (0-3) and the Houston Astros (2-2) open a 3-game series at Minute Maid Park on Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Astros won the season series 7-0 in 2022.

The Tigers have stumbled out of the chute, getting swept in a 3-game road series at the Tampa Bay Rays to start the year. Detroit amassed just 3 runs in 3 games while allowing 21, although the Under cashed in 2 of the 3 outings.

The Astros split a 4-game series at home against the Chicago White Sox to kick off the year, losing by a 6-3 count Sunday. Houston cashed the Over in each of the past 3 games after an Under result on Opening Day.

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Tigers at Astros projected starters

LHP Matthew Boyd vs. RHP Hunter Brown

Boyd went 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA in 2022 with the Seattle Mariners. He had a career-best 0.98 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 13 1/3 IP across 10 relief appearances and no starts.

Making his first start in the majors since Sept. 4, 2021, when he was first with the Tigers
Made a relief appearance against the Astros on Oct. 15 last season, allowing a hit and a walk while retiring a batter in an 8-pitch outing

Brown was 2-0 with a 0.89 ERA last season. He finished with a 1.08 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 20 1/3 IP across 2 starts and 5 relief appearances.

The Detroit native faced the Tigers at Comerica Park last season, allowing 2 ER, 5 H and 2 BB with 6 K across 6 IP in a win Sept. 13
Went 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA with 12 K and a .143 opponent batting average (OBA) across 10 1/3 IP in 1 start and 3 relief appearances at home in 2022

Tigers at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:33 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Tigers +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Astros -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-110) | Astros -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Tigers at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 7, Tigers 2

Moneyline

The Astros (-225) will cost more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive for a single bet. Even including Houston in a multi-team parlay sucks a lot of value out of your ticket.

AVOID, and focus on the run line instead.

Run line/Against the spread

ASTROS -1.5 (-110) is a solid play. The Tigers were atrocious in their opening series in St. Petersburg, getting outscored 21-3 while losing every game by at least 4 runs.

The Tigers have dropped 6 in a row on the road dating back to last season and have won just 19 of their last 60 against winning teams. Detroit is just 7-20 in the past 27 meetings with Houston, including dropping 4 straight at Minute Maid Park.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-110) is worth playing lightly.

The Under cashed in 2 of the 3 games for the Tigers against the Rays, mainly because the offense could cobble together just 3 total runs in the 3-game sweep.

The Astros cashed the Over in the past 3 games, averaging 5.0 runs per game and allowing 4.4 runs per game. Houston’s lineup is capable of taking care of the Over on its own against the Tigers.

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Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Guardians (2-1) visit the Seattle Mariners (1-2) for the finale of a season-opening 4-game series Sunday at T-Mobile Park, starting at 4:10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cleveland leads 2-1

Cleveland has allowed just 7 ER over 3 games, with the staff pitching around 8 extra-base hits. The Guardians prevailed by yielding a mere .231 on-base percentage leading off innings and a .182 batting average with runners in scoring position.

Seattle is looking to avoid 3 straight losses at home for the first time since July 22-24 last season. The 2022 Mariners took 6 of 7 games from Cleveland, outscoring the Guardians 29-11.

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Guardians at Mariners projected starters

RHP Cal Quantrill vs. LHP Marco Gonzales

Quantrill went 15-5 with a 3.38 ERA a year ago. He posted a 1.21 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 186 1/3 IP across 32 starts.

Did well to avoid hard contact but also benefited from a lower-than-average 9.6% HR/FB rate.
Has a history of fast starts, allowing a .628 OPS over 12 previous April games.

Gonzales threw 183 innings in 32 starts last season. He went 10-15 with a 3.13 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9.

Has held current Cleveland batters to an aggregate .669 OPS.
Logged a 3.58 ERA and 1.15 WHIP at home last year.

Guardians at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Guardians -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mariners -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+150) | Mariners +1.5 (-185)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Guardians at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

This one is a pick ’em, but the only lean here is toward more offense.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID.

More juice here than on the ML play. Look to the Over for the best leverage in Sunday’s series finale.

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Over/Under

This one has a fairly strong fade lean against both starters and what is likely a careful day for the Cleveland bullpen. Both starters had surface numbers propped up by some favorable numbers around the edges last season and neither had a strong exhibition season.

This series has had a couple of pitchers’ duels and one slugfest (sort of) so far. Look for the batting to prevail and balance things out with a higher-scoring game Sunday.

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-110).

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