Tag: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds odds predictions pick betting line spread

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago Cubs (72-64) face the Cincinnati Reds (71-67) on Sunday to end a 4-game series. First pitch from the Great American Ballpark is at 12:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 7-5

After splitting a doubleheader on Friday, Saturday’s game was a classic pitching duel between 2 teams fighting to make the playoffs.

The Reds won 2-1 as LHP Andrew Abbott threw 6 1/3 innings allowing just 4 hits, including a solo HR to Cubs 3B Jeimer Candelario. Chicago’s RHP Javier Assad, who started this season as a relief pitcher, threw 8 scoreless innings, but the Cubs RHP Mark Leiter Jr, promptly loaded the bases in the bottom of the 9th and the Reds won on a fielder’s choice by RF Hunter Renfroe.

Cubs vs. Reds projected starters

RHP Jameson Taillon vs. RHP Carson Spiers

Taillon (7-9, 5.62 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 121 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 6-2 loss vs. the Milwaukee Brewers on Monday
  • 2023 road stats: 4-3, 5.34 ERA (55 2/3 IP, 33 ER) in 11 starts
  • Career vs. Reds: 5-5, 4.57 ERA (82 2/3 IP, 42 ER) in 15 starts

Spiers is making his MLB debut. He is 8-3 with a 3.69 ERA with the AA Chattanooga Lookouts and has a 1.34 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 83 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 8 K in an 6-5 home loss to the Tennessee Smokies on Sunday
  • Allows a .211 opponent batting average against righties and .243 versus lefties.

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Cubs vs. Reds odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:53 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs -134 (bet $134 to win $100) | Reds +114 (bet $100 to win $114)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+116) | Reds +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 11 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Cubs vs. Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 8, Reds 7

Moneyline

The Cubs are 17-13 as a road favorite while the Reds are 21-24 as a home ‘dog. And while the Reds this year have been great ATS as an underdog (67.3%), they only post a 49.5% win percentage. The Reds may cover but the Cubs should win this game, especially against a rookie pitcher.

BET CUBS -134.

Run line/Against the spread

The Reds have been the best team ATS this year. And, like the Baltimore Orioles last year, the Reds are covering because the sportsbooks were not expecting the team to be good this year. Of their 138 games, the Reds have been underdogs in 107 of them, covering in 72 of those games (67.3%).

That being said, there is more value in picking the Cubs moneyline than the Reds ATS so I would PASS and stay with the moneyline.

Over/Under

After Saturday night’s pitching duel, expect the offense of both teams to return, but note that the Cubs have gone Under in their last 6 games and the Reds in their last 7.

Despite that streak the overall trends point to more runs. Coming off a loss the Cubs have the 4th best Over record (35-28) in MLB, while the Reds have the 5th best Over record (38-32) after a win.

The sportsbooks also expect a high scoring game, hence their line. But I still LEAN OVER 11 (-112).

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Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago Cubs (72-63) will play the 3rd game of a 4-game series against the Cincinnati Reds (70-67) Saturday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 6-5

On Friday, the Cubs split a doubleheader against the Reds, winning the 1st game 6-2 and losing the 2nd contest 3-2. Chicago has tallied a 7-3 record in its last 10 games, putting it only 3 1/2 games behind the Milwaukee Brewers for 1st place in the NL Central.

In Friday’s 2nd game against the Cubs, OF Jake Fraley made his 1st start since Aug. 3, and he registered 3 hits in his return to help the Reds secure the win. Cincinnati is 4-6 in its last 10 contests and is 3 games behind Chicago for 2nd place in the NL Central.

Cubs at Reds projected starters

RHP Javier Assad vs. LHP Andrew Abbott

Assad (3-2, 2.96 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 79 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 10-1 road victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates Sunday
  • Road stats: 3-0, 2.16 ERA (33 1/3 IP, 8 ER) in 3 starts and 6 relief appearances.
  • Career vs. Reds: 0-1, 3.00 ERA (18 IP, 6 ER) in 2 starts and 2 relief appearances.

Abbott (8-4, 3.35 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 88 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 6 K in a 4-1 road defeat to the San Francisco Giants Monday
  • Home stats: 3-2, 2.84 ERA (44 1/3 IP, 14 ER) in 7 starts.
  • Career vs. Cubs: 0-0, 10.80 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 4 ER) in 1 start.

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Cubs at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Reds -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+140) | Reds +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cubs at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 5, Reds 4

Moneyline

Following the doubleheader Friday, I’ll back the CUBS (-115) on the road in Saturday’s matchup. Assad has been a formidable starter since joining Chicago’s rotation, and Abbott has given up 3 runs or more in 3 of his last 5 starts for Cincinnati.

Run line/Against the spread

While the Reds should stay within striking distance against the Cubs, go ahead and PASS on the run line in this divisional showdown. Taking Cincinnati to keep the game within a run isn’t worth the risk at -165 odds.

Over/Under

UNDER 9.5 (-110) is the lean in this game despite Great American Ball Park being a hitter-friendly venue. The Cubs are 6-4 to the Under in their last 10 games overall, while the Reds are 7-3 to the Under in their last 10.

Also, the Under has been achieved in 3 consecutive meetings, and 2 of those meetings took place in Cincinnati.

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Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago Cubs (1-2) will begin a 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds (2-1) on Monday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Cubs went 11-8 vs, the Reds in 2022

The Cubs wrapped up a 3-game series at Wrigley Field against the Milwaukee Brewers losing 9-5 on Sunday, the 2nd straight loss after a win on Opening Day. SS Dansby Swanson has gotten off to a great start for Chicago, going 7-for-12 with 2 RBIs in his first 3 games with his new team.

The Reds went 2-1 in their 3-game opening series against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Cincinnati won 3-1 on Sunday as Graham Ashcraft pitched 7 strong inning (4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB 6 K’s). Jason Vosler, filling in at 1B with Joey Votto injured, hit a solo HR.

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Cubs at Reds projected starters

LHP Drew Smyly vs. RHP Connor Overton

Smyly was 7-8 in 22 starts in 2022 with a 3.47 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, and 7.7 K.9 in 106 1/3 IP.

  • Has made 22-plus starts in back-to-back seasons
  • His 3.47 ERA in 2022 was the best mark of his career in a season where he started in 10-plus games since 2015

Overton was 1-0 in 4 starts last season with a 2.73 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 3 BB/9, and 3.8 K/9 in 33 IP.

  • Has yet to make more than 4 starts in a season
  • Didn’t allow more than 2 runs in any of his 4 starts in 2022

Cubs at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Reds +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+135) | Reds -1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Cubs at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 4, Reds 3

Moneyline

Even though the Reds have surprisingly begun the season with a winning record, I’ll back the CUBS (-125) in this NL Central matchup.

Run line/Against the spread

REDS +1.5 (-160) is how I’d wager on the spread, though, I’d prefer to get it at -150 odds or better if available. Cincinnati is capable of keeping this game close at home with neither team getting consistency from its bats to begin the season.

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Over/Under

UNDER 9 (-120) is the pick in this contest despite Great American Ball Park being a favorable hitting venue. Smyly and Overton should have solid outings against these lineups, and fewer than 9 runs have been scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

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Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (73-88) and Cincinnati Reds (62-99) cap off a 6-game home-and-home set Wednesday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Chicago leads 10-8

Chicago took all 3 games at Wrigley Field (Friday-Sunday), and now Cincinnati has taken the first 2 games at Great American in this odd, season-ending 6-pack. The Cubs had won 7 games in a row and 11 of 12 before arriving in Cincinnati Monday.

The Reds snapped a 6-game losing skid with Monday’s triumph over Chicago, but Cincy continues to struggle with the bats. The Reds have scored 6 runs on 12 hits in this series; they have slashed an anemic .177/.254/.274 (.528 OPS) since Sept. 22. Over that stretch, Cincinnati has scored just 2.0 runs per game.

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Cubs at Reds projected starters

RHP Adrian Sampson vs. RHP Graham Ashcraft

Sampson (4-5, 3.10 ERA)  has appeared in 20 games, making 18 starts. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 101 2/3 IP.

  • Has registered a 1.60 ERA over his last 7 starts
  • Has logged a 2.42 ERA over his last 5 starts against Cincinnati (2021-22)

Ashcraft (5-5, 4.52 ERA) has authored a 1.40 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 99 2/3 IP across 18 starts.

  • Has allowed 26 base runners in 11 1/3 IP against Chicago this season (11.91 ERA)
  • Owns a 3.98 home ERA

Cubs at Reds odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Cubs -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Reds +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+127) | Reds +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -117 | U: -103)

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Cubs at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 5, Reds 4

Moneyline

Chicago is playing out the dog days of the season in a better collective frame of mind. Cincinnati is just limping to the finish line, and its offense has been abysmal.

The starting pitchers’ numbers and the batters they face Wednesday are compelling. That’s enough of a Cubs plus and Reds negative to provide some leverage on CHICAGO (-125), especially when you add in some value on the visitors’ side in the bullpen availability department.

Run line/Against the spread

Sampson does have some fade in his numbers. With the Reds getting last licks and Chicago being a club that plays a ton of 1-run games, PASS and focus on the Cubs’ ML play.

Over/Under

Likable in some run-scoring facets; unlikable in others. Same deal on run-prevention indicators. Call this one a tangle of mixed signals and STEER CLEAR.

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Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (73-87) and Cincinnati Reds (61-99) play the second game of a 3-game set Tuesday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cubs lead 10-7

The Cubs’ 7-game winning streak came to an end after a 3-1 loss Monday at the Reds. Chicago starter RHP Hayden Wesneski allowed 1 ER on 4 H with 6 K through 6 IP in the loss.

The Reds avoided recording their 100th loss of the season with Monday’s win. Cincinnati starter RHP Hunter Greene allowed 0 ER on 2 H with 8 K through 6 IP as the Reds snapped a 6-game losing skid.

The Reds have not lost 100 or more games since the 1982 season when they finished 61-101.

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Cubs at Reds projected starters

RHP Javier Assad vs. RHP Luis Cessa

Assad (2-2, 3.62 ERA) makes his 8th start and 9th appearance. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 32 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win Thursday vs. the Philadelphia Phillies with 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 3 K
  • Only career start vs. Reds: Loss Sept. 7 with 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 6 K

Cessa (4-4, 4.76 ERA) makes his 10th start and 46th appearance. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 75 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision Wednesday at the Pittsburgh Pirates with 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 2 K
  • Has lost 3 of his last 4 decisions
  • 2022 vs. Cubs: 0-0 with a 7.00 ERA (9 IP, 7 ER) in 1 start and 4 relief appearances

Cubs at Reds odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:21 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Reds -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+150) | Reds +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -103 | U: -117)

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Cubs at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 3, Cubs 2

Moneyline

BET REDS (-115).

The Reds will stay motivated Tuesday to avoid losing their 100th game. Assad struggled last time he faced the Reds and Tuesday shouldn’t be any different.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Reds +1.5 (-200) is too expensive to bet, and I wouldn’t take Cincinnati to win by multiple runs because this should be a close game.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-117).

The Under is 8-0 in Cessa’s last 8 starts and 6-3-1 in the Reds’ last 10 games. Expect another low-scoring affair between these teams.

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Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (73-86) and Cincinnati Reds (60-99) meet Monday at 6:40 p.m. ET at Wrigley Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs at Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Chicago leads 10-6

The NL Central foes are continuing a 6-game home-and-home series: The Cubs took 3 straight from Cincinnati Friday-Sunday.

Chicago not only swept the Reds, but they swept the Philadelphia Phillies in 3 games before that. The Cubs have won 7 consecutive games and 11 of their last 12. Chicago pitching has registered a tidy 1.93 ERA over that stretch and the Cubs have outscored foes 47-26 in that time.

The Reds scored just 3 runs in the 3 game at Wrigley Field. Cincinnati is 1-9 in its last 10 games, producing all of a .505 OPS over that span.

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Cubs at Reds projected starters

RHP Hayden Wesneski vs. RHP Hunter Greene

Wesneski (3-1, 2.33 ERA) has appeared in 5 games, making 3 starts. He has notched a 0.96 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 27 IP.

  • Owns a 1.96 ERA as a starter
  • Has pitched 110 1/3 IP at Triple-A this season with a 3.92 ERA, 1.16 WHIP

Greene (4-13, 4.66 ERA) is tabbed for his 24th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 119 2/3 IP.

  • Has a 1.06 ERA, 0.94 WHIP in 17 IP since returning Sept. 17 from an IL stay (shoulder)
  • Threw 97 pitches in his last start Tuesday, his most in a game since July 26
  • Has faced the Cubs twice this season: 1-1, 8.00 ERA, 9 IP, 9H, 8 R, 3 BB and 4 K

Cubs at Reds odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Cubs +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Reds -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-205) | Reds -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Cubs at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Cubs 4

Moneyline

The Cubs were a nice end-of-the-season play based on their runs-vs.-runs allowed profile and the analytics underpinning their offense and pitching/defense numbers. And Chicago responded with a run that has been profitable for Cubs bettors.

But can the run and the value pricing continue?

For this first game in Cincinnati, the matchup on the mound has a needle pointing the other way, so no value can be found: PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Wesneski has been helped along by a favorable .239 batting average on balls in play so far. Greene has been sharp of late, and he has fly-ball stuff which should be aided by a stiff inward breeze in this game.

Still, the Cubs bullpen is in decent shape, and Chicago +1.5 is worth a play at -190 or better. KEEP AN EYE ON THIS LINE.

Over/Under

It’s a play counter to the weather conditions in the forecast, but the top play as listed for this one is the OVER 7.5 (-112).

Both offenses have a bit more to give. The Reds offense has been undone by shaky clutch performances recently. And both starters have their recent numbers colored by turns against a woeful Pittsburgh Pirates offense. A bit of final-week fatigue bounce for both would not be a surprise.

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Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (53-79) visit the Chicago Cubs (56-78) to begin a 3-game series Tuesday at Wrigley Field. First pitch is 7:40 pm. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Chicago leads 6-4

The Chicago Cubs have lost 4 series in a row including a recent sweep by the St. Louis Cardinals over the weekend. They hope for a fresh start at home against the Reds, who are also out of the hunt in the NL Central.

The Reds are coming off a 10-0 shutout win against the Colorado Rockies Sunday. They are batting .274 over the past 5 games, which is much higher than their 2022 average of .242.

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Reds at Cubs projected starters

RHP Justin Dunn vs. LHP Wade Miley

Dunn (1-2, 4.63 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 23 1/3 IP.

  • Has tossed 5 IP or fewer in 5 of his 6 starts
  • Last start: No Decision vs. Cardinals last Tuesday with 4 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 0 BB and 4 K

Miley (1-0, 2.84 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 19 IP.

  • Making his first start since a June 10th no-decision at the New York Yankees due to a shoulder injury
  • Has allowed a .172 opponent batting average to left-handed hitters in 2022

Reds at Cubs odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:13 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Reds +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Cubs -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-150) | Cubs -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Reds at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 4, Reds 3

Money line

The Reds are 1-6 in their last 7 games when they allow 2 runs or less in their last game. The Cubs have won 6 of their previous 8 home games when they face a team with a losing record. The Cubs are the better team on paper and should win at home.

The straight money line is heavily juiced but you can find more value with CUBS 9 INNINGS ML (-145).

Run line/Against the spread

Cincinnati is 32-32 ATS on the road and the Cubs are slightly worse at home with an ATS record of 32-34. Best to AVOID the spread.

Over/Under

The Chicago Cubs have hit the Over in 2 of their 15 games when coming back from a day off.
The Reds have struggled to maintain a hitting streak, going Under 4 straight times after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (47-65) go for the haymaker against the Cincinnati Reds (44-68) Sunday at Great American Ball Park in the finale of a 3-game set. First pitch is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cubs lead 6-3

The Cubs took care of business Thursday in Iowa at the Field of Dreams game with a 4-2 victory. They flew to Cincinnati and dispatched the Reds 7-2 Saturday and look for the sweep Sunday. The Cubs have won 6 of 8 and 12 of 20 as they clearly received a jolt from not trading C Willson Contreras and OF Ian Happ at the deadline. Contreras has homered in 3 of his last 9 games, including Saturday.

The Reds have lost 5 in a row and are just 3-7 in the last 10 games. So what’s their problem? They’ve forgotten how to hit and scored just 23 runs during the stretch. They’ve scored 2 runs or fewer in 8 of those 10 games.

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Cubs at Reds projected starters

RHP Keegan Thompson vs. RHP Justin Dunn

Thompson (9-5, 3.36 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 99 IP.

  • Not good on the road with a 5.09 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 6.6 K/9 vs. 2.40 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 8.5 K/9 at home
  • Allowed 4 ER on 8 H and struck out 8 in 6 1/3 IP in a loss to Reds at Wrigley Field June 28

Dunn (0-1, 5.79 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 3 ER on 5 H, 2 BB and struck out 2 in 4 2/3 IP in a loss to the Mets Aug. 8.

  • Was 0-3 with a 6.92 ERA, 1.81 WHIP and 8.0 K/9 in 7 starts at Triple-A Louisville
  • He features a 4-seam fastball that averages 92 mph, a curveball, slider and changeup. Opponents hit his fastball at a .222 clip in his 1st start. He had an above-average spin rate on the heater last season in the 76th percentile.

Cubs at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:26 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Cubs -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Reds +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+105) | Reds +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Cubs at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 5, Reds 2

Money line

The Cubs have a clear advantage on the mound and in the batter’s box. Chicago’s bullpen (4.01 ERA) is a full run better than Cincinnati’s last-ranking 5.05 ERA. Paying so much juice on the Cubs, especially to sweep, is a risky proposition. However, it makes sense here. Take the CUBS (-155) for a HALF UNIT.

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Run line/Against the spread

Seven of the last 8 Cubs wins have been by more than 1 run while the last 8 losses for the Reds have been by more than 1 run. I’ll take the CUBS -1.5 (+105). If you’re not comfortable with that, the CUBS FIRST 9 INNINGS (-133) would work too.

Over/Under

The Over has been the traditional betting method at Great American Ball Park, but Cincinnati hasn’t done its part of late. The Over is just 2-7-1 for them in the last 10. The Under is 4-0-1 in the Cubs’ last 5 games with the total set between 9.0-10.5. The Under is 4-0-1 in the Reds’ last 5 against a team with a losing record. Another factor coming into play here is the weather. There’s a 67% chance of rain with the wind blowing toward the left-field foul pole. Take the UNDER 9.5 (-125).

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Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Field of Dreams Game odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (45-65) and Cincinnati Reds (44-66) begin a 3-game series Thursday with the opener being the nationally televised Field of Dreams Game in Dyersville, Iowa, at 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). The Reds, who are the home team, will host the final 2 games of the series back in Cincinnati Saturday and Sunday. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cubs lead 4-3

The Cubs just concluded a 4-2 homestand in which they allowed just 15 runs in the 6 games.

The Reds just got swept in 3 at the Mets, finishing up a 9-game road trip with a 4-5 record.

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Cubs at Reds projected starters

LHP Drew Smyly vs. LHP Nick Lodolo

Smyly (4-6, 3.97 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 65 2/3 IP.

  • Since coming off IL in early July, has a 4.30 ERA and 7.0 K/9 in 5 starts spanning 23 IP
  • Owns a 4.50 ERA on the road this season with a 6.6 K/9 and 6 HR allowed in 38 IP

Lodolo (3-3, 4.40 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 in 43 IP.

  • Has swing-and-miss stuff, as his 29.0% K% ranks 12th among all starters who have thrown 40-plus innings
  • Has struggled with control lately, with 11 walks in 18 2/3 IP in his last 4 starts

Cubs at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:53 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Cubs -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Reds -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+145) | Reds +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Cubs at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Cubs 4

Money line

Both teams have had rough seasons, but both have been playing better since the All-Star break. The Cubs have a 10-8 record over that span, while the Reds check in at 10-9.

Lodolo could have a big game if he can harness his control. He typically generates a lot of whiffs, and the Cubs strike out at the 2nd highest rate vs lefties. Lodolo’s plus stuff is worth gambling on. Back the REDS (-115).

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Run line/Against the spread

This is likely to be a close game between 2 pretty evenly matched teams.  While flipping the line to Reds +1.5 (-180) is worth considering, they aren’t likely to run away with the game. They rank 29th in wRC+ vs LHP and as the “home” team, a last-inning win would probably be by a single run. PASS on the run line.

Over/Under

We’ve noted the struggles of both teams against left-handed pitching, so neither side should be expected to come through with an offensive explosion in this game. The Under has hit in 8 of the last 10 games for the Reds and in 12 of the last 16 for the Cubs. Look for those trends to continue and for this total to sneak in UNDER 9.5 (-130).

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Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (18-24) and Cincinnati Reds (12-30) will play the 3rd of their 4-game series Wednesday with the first pitch from the Great American Ball Park at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cubs lead 2-0 after wining the first 2 games of the series, outscoring the Reds 18-8.

The Cubs are on a 3-game winning streak after they had lost 4 straight. They’ve been a streaky team lately, also winning 4 in a row earlier this month. They rank in the middle of MLB in most hitting categories, scoring the 14th-most runs (184) and ranking 15th in team batting average (.236).

The Reds have lost 4 of their last 5 games, but have righted the ship a bit as the season has gone on. Nine of their 12 wins this season have come since May 7, going 9-8 in that stretch.

Cubs at Reds projected starters

RHP Kyle Hendricks vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Hendricks (2-4, 4.89 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 49 2/3 IP.

  • Gave up 4 HR, 7 ER in last start May 20 vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks, both his highest totals of the season.
  • Has had 5 starts allowing 2 or fewer runs, but also 3 starts allowing 6-plus runs.
  • Is 7-5 with a 4.32 ERA in 22 career starts against the Reds.

Castillo (0-2, 4.60 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 15 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed just 2 R in 6 IP with 5 K no walks in last start May 20, a 2-1 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays.
  • Is 5-5 with a 3.97 ERA in 14 career starts against the Cubs.

Cubs at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:36 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Cubs +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Reds -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-175) | Reds -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Cubs at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 6, Reds 4

Money line

Hendricks has struggled this season, but it’s somewhat surprising to see the Cubs as underdogs in this matchup. They’ve been solid on the road, going 11-9 away from Wrigley Field, and they easily took the first 2 games of this series.

I like the CUBS (+120) on the money line to win outright against a Reds team that hasn’t hit the ball well at all this season.

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Run line/Against the spread

You can take a little bit of insurance on the run line by taking the Cubs +1.5 (-175), but that line is juiced too heavily for me to bet on it. I’d much rather just stick to the money line and aim for the Cubs to take the 3rd game of the series.

PASS on the spread.

Over/Under

The total went Over in each of the first 2 games of the series, with 15 and 11 runs being scored. With 2 pitchers on the mound who don’t strike out batters at a high rate, I think we could see another high-scoring game in Cincinnati. Plus, the total has gone Over in each of the Cubs’ last 5 games.

Bet the OVER 8.5 (-122).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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