Tag: Mets Brewers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (3-3) take on the Milwaukee Brewers (4-1) in the finale of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch at American Family Field is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 2-0.

The Mets lost 9-0 to the Brewers Tuesday as RHP Max Scherzer struggled on the mound. The righty was tagged for 5 ER on 8 H (3 HR) and 2 BB with 2 K across 5 1/3 IP.

The Brewers have outscored the Mets 19-0 in the first 2-game of the series. Milwaukee hit 5 HR Tuesday with OF Garrett Mitchell and 3B Brian Anderson contributing 2 each.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Mets at Brewers projected starters

LHP David Peterson vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Peterson (0-1, 1.80 ERA) will make his 2nd start of the season. He allowed 1 ER on 8 H and 1 BB with 5 K over 5 IP in his debut at the Miami Marlins Friday.

  • Finished 2022 in the bullpen for his final 7 appearances and hasn’t been credited with a win since Aug. 27.
  • Went 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in 1 start and 1 relief appearance vs. Milwaukee last season.

Burnes (0-1, 7.20 ERA) will make his 2nd start. He allowed 4 ER on 4 H and 3 BB with 3 K over 5 IP in his debut at the Chicago Cubs Thursday.

  • Only allowed more than 3 ER once in his final 6 starts last season (5 ER allowed to the Mets on Sept. 19).
  • Went 1-1 with a combined 5.40 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 9.3 K/9 while allowing a .267 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts against the Mets last season.

Mets at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Brewers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-185) | Brewers -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Mets at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, Mets 3

Moneyline

I’ll back the BREWERS (-135) Wednesday despite Burnes struggling in his 1st start of the season. I expect him to bounce back and Milwaukee’s bats are hot right now.

Run line/Against the spread

BREWERS -1.5 (+150) has solid value as Milwaukee looks to complete the series sweep over New York. The Brewers have outscored the Mets 25-0 in the last 3 meetings dating back to last season.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-120).

The winner has scored at least 5 runs in 8 of the last 10 meetings between these clubs. The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee and is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings overall.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Skyler Carlin on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (3-2) visit the Milwaukee Brewers (3-1) Tuesday as the NL clubs continue their 3-game set at American Family Field with the middle contest. First pitch is slated for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 1-0

New York was pummeled 10-0 in Monday’s matinee opener. They were held to just 3 hits while the pitching staff allowed more than 3 runs in a game for the 1st time this season.

After scoring 1 run in the 3rd and 2 in the 4th, the Brewers put it away with a 7-run 5th, capped by rookie 2B Brian Turang’s grand slam. The Brewers have scored 19 runs over their last 2 games — they beat the Chicago Cubs 9-5 at Wrigley Field Sunday.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Mets at Brewers projected starters

RHP Max Scherzer vs. LHP Wade Miley

Scherzer (1-0, 4.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start of 2023.

  • Last outing: W, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 2 BB, 6 K in 5-3 road win at Miami Marlins Thursday; registered 13 swings and misses in 91 pitches
  • Last season: 11-5, 2.29 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 10.7 K/9, 1.5 BB/9 in 145 1/3 IP (23 starts)
  • Pitched 6 shutout frames (with 9 K’s) here in September
  • Owns a 1.55 ERA across his last 5 starts against the Brewers

Miley will be making his 2023 debut.

  • Last season: 2-2, 3.16 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 6.8 K/9, 3.4 BB/9 in injury-shortened 37-inning season across 9 games (8 starts) for the Cubs
  • Current Mets own an aggregate .710 OPS against him
  • Historically, March/April is Miley’s best month in terms of allowed OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage) at .679

Mets at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:01 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Mets -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Brewers +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+110) | Brewers +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Mets at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

The Mets (-150) are a fair favorite here. The true odds are likely buried in between these prices. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

No interest in supporting either side. PASS.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 series meetings.

New York’s offense has gotten off to a slow start, and that is somewhat due to a .289 on-base percentage when leading off innings and a .184 batting average with runners in scoring position.

Lean into the offense for both clubs and add in some starting pitching fade on both sides (kinder ERAs than deserved last season), and OVER 8 (-115) is a nice play in this matchup.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (3-1) visit the Milwaukee Brewers (2-1) Monday in the 2023 home opener at American Family Field. First pitch is slated for 2:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting. New York took 4 of 6 games in 2022, but were outscored by the Brewers 27-25.

New York is coming off a 4-game series at the Miami Marlins. The Mets won 3 of those games and allowed just 8 total runs in the series.

The Brewers won 2 of 3 games from the Chicago Cubs in a season-opening set at Wrigley Field. Monday’s game kicks off 6 straight games at home for Milwaukee, which played .568-ball (46-35) at home last season.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Mets at Brewers projected starters

RHP Carlos Carrasco vs. RHP Freddy Peralta

Carrasco went 15-7 with a 3.97 ERA last year and had a 1.33 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 152 IP.

  • Posted a 4.57 ERA on the road
  • Has struggled against current Milwaukee batters: .886 aggregate OPS

Peralta logged a 4-4 record, 3.58 ERA, and 1.04 WHIP in 2022. He notched a 3.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 78 IP.

  • Has held current Mets batters to an aggregate .515 OPS
  • Battled injury problems in 2022, missing time with shoulder issues
  • Coughed up 3 HR in 9 1/3 IP in Brewers spring training
  • Has held opposing bats to an OPS under-.650 in his last 10 April games

Mets at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Brewers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-190) | Brewers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Mets at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

With 2 solid starters and 2 solid bullpens, this matchup is perhaps best leveraged with the Under, but this is a solid price for the visitors. Run Line-averse bettors should consider a fair price on the Mets here. Otherwise, PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Peg the opener as a low-scoring affair. The run-and-a-half cushion for the Mets helps offset their travel and a likely-more-fatigued back end of the bullpen. BACK NEW YORK +1.5 (-190).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

Look for these pitchers to be ahead of the hitters. With the Mets scoring 5-plus runs 3 times in 4 games and the Brewers scoring 9 on Sunday, these bats may well be getting a half-run of recency bias thrown in to this figure.

BACK THE UNDER 8 (-105).

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (95-55) and Milwaukee Brewers (78-70) meet for a  Wednesday matinee to cap off a 3-game series. First pitch from American Family Field will be at 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 4-1

The Mets have scored 7 runs in each of the first 2 games of this series, both of which were wins. New York has rolled 7s in 3 straight victories since Sunday, and the club has won 6 straight games overall.

The Brewers have lost 3 straight games and have coughed up 26 runs in the process. Milwaukee has allowed 4.41 runs per game (18th MLB) on the season, but since Aug. 23, the Brewers have yielded 5.26 RPG.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Mets at Brewers projected starters

RHP Taijuan Walker vs. RHP Adrian Houser

Walker (12-4, 3.42 ERA) has logged a 1.18 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 142 IP across 26 starts.

  • Has given the Mets 7 or more innings in back-to-back starts
  • Facing a Brewers offense that has been much tougher against right-handers (.750 OPS) than left-handers (.665 OPS)

Houser (6-9, 4.85 ERA) has appeared in 20 games this season and made 19 starts. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 94 2/3 IP.

  • Sporting a 5.40 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 18 1/3 IP across 5 starts since returning from a lengthy stint on the IL
  • Facing a Mets team more accomplished against righties (.756 OPS) than lefties (.704)

Mets at Brewers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Brewers +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+122) | Brewers +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Mets at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Brewers 4

Money line

The Brewers are a lean in some facets of this match-up, but Houser has been too iffy of late. Milwaukee may be worth a look on the Run Line, but even then, the better play here is the total.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Milwaukee has played well at home and its bullpen is in better shape than New York’s in the back end.

PASS on the current tag, but consider a line watch: Milwaukee +1.5 would have some value priced at -140 or better.

Over/Under

There is some fade lean to both sides of the starting pitching matchup, and the offenses favor the righty-righty matchup.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-120).

Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

[mm-video type=playlist id=01fb7dafw2b08817yr player_id=none image=https://sportsbookwire.usatoday.com/wp-content/plugins/mm-video/images/playlist-icon.png]

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (93-55) and Milwaukee Brewers (76-68) continue a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from American Family Field is at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 3-1

The Mets hoisted crooked numbers in 3 innings en route to taking Monday’s opener 7-2. New York has won 5 consecutive games and has outscored foes 30-10 in that stretch.

The Brewers had been hitting the ball well at home before running into a strong Max Scherzer effort Monday. Milwaukee had logged a fine .801 OPS while going 10-3 over its previous 13 games at home.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Mets at Brewers projected starters

RHP Carlos Carrasco vs. RHP Aaron Ashby

Carrasco (15-6, 3.70 ERA) has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 141 IP in 26 starts.

  • Has a 2.68 ERA over his last 7 starts
  • Owns a 1.66 ERA, 1.02 WHIP over his last 4 road outings
  • Struck out a season-high 11 batters in his last start

Ashby (2-10, 4.58 ERA) has appeared in 23 games, making 17 starts. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 96 1/3 IP.

  • Returning from the IL (shoulder) to serve as an opener in a bullpen game for Milwaukee
  • Expected to be followed by LHP Brent Suter (3.92 ERA, 1.26 WHIP)

Mets at Brewers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:08 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Brewers -105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+140) | Brewers +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Mets at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, Mets 3

Money line

Milwaukee has played well at home. A bullpen game provides some hidden leverage for bettors, because the Brewers relief corps figures as one undervalued by its surface numbers. It’s a pen that does well to get a decent number of ground balls, yet its been tagged by a relatively high number of home runs on fly balls.

Carrasco is coming off a 105-pitch outing and his making his 2nd start off a stay on the IL. The veteran righty has gone past 95 pitches 4 times this season. The next-time-outs have resulted in a 6.52 ERA.

New York is coming off a game that saw it clinch a playoff berth for the 1st time since 2016. White the Mets still have a division flag to fight for, they may be in all-ahead-two-thirds mode in this one.

BACK THE BREWERS (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID. Milwaukee is the lean in principle, but the juice wipes out any value potential.

Over/Under

Can’t parse any expected-vs.-actual results value here: PASS.

Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (93-55) and Milwaukee Brewers (76-68) open a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from American Family Field is at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 2-1

The Mets are coming off a 4-game sweep of the Pittsburgh Pirates to wrap up a 7-game home stand at 4-3. New York now finds itself on the road where recent weeks have netted a mixed bag of results. The Mets are 8-8 over their last 16 games away from Citi Field; they’ve registered a sub-par 4.76 ERA over that stretch.

The Brewers are fresh off taking 2 of 3 games from New York’s American League entry over the weekend. Milwaukee downed the Yankees 7-6 Friday and 4-1 Saturday before dropping a 12-8 slugfest Sunday.

The Brewers’ offense has come alive of late, and the club has played quite well in its home park. Milwaukee owns a .750 OPS over its last 22 games. The Brewers have logged a fine .801 OPS while going 10-3 over their last 13 games at home.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Mets at Brewers projected starters

RHP Max Scherzer vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Scherzer (9-4, 2.26 ERA) has authored a 0.92 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 127 2/3 IP across 20 starts.

  • Coming off the 15-day IL (oblique) for this start; last pitched Sept. 3 against the Washington Nationals with 1 ER allowed across 5 IP
  • Owns a 4.58 ERA over his last 3 road starts

Burnes (10-7, 2.97 ERA) is tabbed for his 30th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 through 179 IP.

  • Has logged a 1.93 ERA over 3 starts against New York (2021-22)
  • Owns a 5.34 ERA over his last 5 starts

Mets at Brewers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:02 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Brewers -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+160) | Brewers +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Mets at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Mets 3

Money line

The venue and Scherzer coming off the shelf are keys here. Burnes has held current New York batters to a whiff-heavy .621 OPS.

The Mets have lost 3 road-series openers in a row. They are 4-6 over their last 10 road games against over-.500 foes.

BACK THE BREWERS (-112).

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID. Milwaukee is the lean in principle, but the juice wipes out any value potential.

Over/Under

Can’t parse any expected-vs.-actual results value here: PASS.

Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (73-80) face the Milwaukee Brewers (92-62) Saturday in the second game of a three-game series at American Family Field. The Brewers won the series opener 5-1 Friday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Mets LHP Rich Hill (6-7, 3.87 ERA) makes his 30th start and 31st appearance. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 148 2/3 IP.

  • He is 0-3 across 10 starts and one relief appearance since joining New York. The Mets are 4-6 when he starts.
  • Allowed 2 runs on 6 hits across 4 2/3 innings in a 3-2 win Sept. 19 against the Philadelphia Phillies his last time out.

Brewers RHP Corbin Burnes (10-4, 2.34 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and league-leading 12.6 K/9 through 158 IP.

  • Has won eight straight decisions and has not taken a loss in a game since May 25.
  • The Brewers have not lost in his last 11 starts. The last time they lost with him on the mound was July 7 at the Mets when he allowed 1 earned run on 6 hits over 5 2/3 innings.

Mets at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:24 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Brewers -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-125) | Brewers -1.5 (+102)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Prediction

Brewers 4, Mets 2

Money line (ML)

The Mets only have one win in their last nine games. They are 29-47 on the road and 36-52 against winning teams this season.

You can’t ignore the fact that the Brewers have won Burnes’ last 11 starts. They did lose five games in a row and were swept by the Cardinals before Friday’s opener, but they had won 9 of their 12 games prior.

Take the BREWERS  (-220).

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Six of the Mets’ last eight losses were by at least 2 runs. At 34-42 ATS, the Mets have the third-worst record against the spread on the road.

Only two of the Brewers’ last 20 wins have been one-run games. They are 85-69 ATS overall this season.

As I expect a Brewers outright win, you can bet they will also cover.

Take the BREWERS -1.5 (+102).

Over/Under (O/U)

Eight of the last 12 games for the Mets had totals of 8 or more runs, while five of the last eight games for the Brewers have had totals of 8 or more.

However, none of the four games between the teams this season reached 8 total runs.

Only one of Hill’s last six starts has had 8 or more runs, while half of Burnes’ last eight starts have had at least 8 runs.

We should expect more good pitching Saturday.

Take UNDER 7.5 (-115).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (73-79) and Milwaukee Brewers (91-62) open a three-game series Friday at American Family Field. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Mets RHP Tylor Megill (3-5, 4.57 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 80 2/3 IP.

  • Pitched to a 7.66 ERA over 24 2/3 innings across his last five outings.
  • Has been hurt by a 17.4% HR/FB rate and has struggled with contact as his Barrel rate, HardHit rate and Average Exit Velocity are all in the 29th or worse percentile.

Brewers LHP Eric Lauer (6-5, 3.03 ERA) makes his 19th start and 23rd appearance. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 107 IP.

  • Has a 1.90 ERA and allowed only 3 home runs across 42 2/3 innings spanning his last eight starts.
  • His xFIP and xERA are nearly a full-run higher than his surface ERA as he has benefitted from a well-below-average .251 BABIP and well-above-average 80.5% left on base rate.

Mets at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Brewers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-175) | Brewers -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Prediction

Brewers 6, Mets 3

Money line (ML)

Milwaukee enters Friday’s contest on a five-game losing skid after being swept at home in a four-game series by the St. Louis Cardinals. New York comes in with just one win in its last eight games.

The Mets have struggled on the road all season, evidenced by their 29-46 record away from Citi Field, and have found no success against left-handed starters against whom they are 17-32.

The Brewers have an edge here in the starting pitching matchup and in relief pitching. This should be an excellent “get right” spot for them.

Back the BREWERS (-145).

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Megill has allowed 4 or more earned runs in five of his nine starts since the beginning of August, so there may be adequate opportunity Friday for the Brewers to get their bats back in order after scoring just 10 runs in their four-game series against the Cardinals.

Milwaukee’s bullpen is second in SIERA, xFIP and K-BB% over the last 14 days, while New York is very middle-of-the-pack across those categories through the same timeframe.

Anticipating Milwaukee’s bullpen to hang on to any lead it’s given by Lauer, consider there is some value to be had with a play on MILWAUKEE -1.5 (+140).

Over/Under (O/U)

This number feels too low for two starting pitchers of this caliber, particularly at hitter-friendly Am Fam Field.

There should be enough action Friday to reach the OVER 8.5 (-102).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Andrew Reid on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]