Tag: MLB moneyline against the spread ATS Over Under OU total run line

San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (87-69) welcome the San Francisco Giants (77-79) to Chase Field Monday for the 1st game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Giants at Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 6-4

The Giants beat the Kansas City Royals 2-0 Sunday to complete the 3-game sweep, outscoring the Royals 13-1. The Giants have won 5 of their last 6 games, all on the road. They are 36-42 in away games this season and 76-80 against the spread (ATS).

The Diamondbacks lost 10-9 to the Milwaukee Brewers in a shootout Sunday. Arizona has scored at least 5 runs in 5 straight games and has won 4 of those. It is 43-33 at home, yet is just 5-7 over its last 12 games at home. The Diamondbacks are 81-74 ATS.

Giants at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Hayden Birdsong vs. LHP Eduardo Rodriguez

Birdsong (4-5, 4.74 ERA) makes his 15th career start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 5.5 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 62 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 5-3 road win over the Baltimore Orioles Wednesday
  • 2024 away stats: 3-3, 5.55 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Diamondbacks: 0-1, 6.00 ERA (3 IP, 2 ER), 2.67 WHIP, 12.0 K/9 in 1 start

Rodriguez (3-3, 5.09 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 40 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 11 K in 9-4 road win over the Colorado Rockies Wednesday
  • 2024 home stats: 0-2, 6.05 ERA (19 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 4 starts
  • Career vs. Giants: 1-0, 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER), 0.83 WHIP, 15.0 K/9 in 1 start

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Giants at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Sunday at 10:47 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Giants +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Diamondbacks -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-145) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Giants at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Giants 5

Moneyline

PASS.

The Diamondbacks are far too expensive of a favorite to play at home, especially considering how well the Giants have played as of late. Similarly, the Giants aren’t worth a play on the moneyline and have more attractive odds on the spread.

Run line/Against the spread

BET GIANTS +1.5 (-145).

The Giants have been playing extremely well on the road and against competent opponents. Both the Royals and Orioles have winning  records and the Giants won 5 of 6 against those teams in their last 2 road series. San Francisco has allowed just 9 total runs in those 6 games and has allowed just 6 total runs in Birdsong’s last 2 starts.

Also, 2 of the last 3 games between these teams have ended within 1 run. The Diamondbacks have allowed 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games and have outright lost in 3 of Rodriguez’s last 4 starts. Put it all together and back GIANTS +1.5 (-145).

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-110).

In the 10 games between these 2 teams this season, 6 of them would’ve gone Over this total. One team has scored at least 6 runs in 4 of the last 5 games and 1 team has scored at least 8 runs in 3 of those 5 games.

Neither starting pitcher has been consistently efficient this season. The Diamondbacks are 3-2 O/U in their last 5 games and 88-61-6 O/U on the season. The Giants have gone Over in 4 of their last 6 and are 79-71-6 O/U.

Back OVER 9 (-110).

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Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (85-71) welcome the Seattle Mariners (80-76) to Minute Maid Park Monday for the 1st game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mariners vs. Astors odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 6-4

The Mariners lost to the Texas Rangers Sunday 6-5 to close out that 3-game series. They did win 2 of 3 against the Rangers after losing 2 of 3 to the New York Yankees in the series prior. Seattle is 6-3 over its last 9 game and is 5 games behind Houston for the AL West lead and 2 games out of the final AL Wild Card spot. The Mariners are 66-90 against the spread (ATS) and 34-44 on the road.

The Astros had their 3-game winning streak snapped Sunday, dropping the final game of their series with the Los Angeles Angels 9-8. Houston lost 2 of 3 on the road to the San Diego Padres prior to that. Houston boasts a 45-33 record at Minute Maid Park. It is 81-74 ATS.

Mariners at Astros projected starters

RHP Bryce Miller vs. RHP Hunter Brown

Miller (11-8, 3.06 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 173 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 8 K in 2-1 home loss to the New York Yankees Wednesday
  • 2024 away stats: 5-5, 4.44 ERA (77 IP, 38 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Astros: 3-1, 3.18 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 0.95 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 5 starts

Brown (11-8, 3.57 ERA) makes his 30th start and 31st appearance. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 164 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 4-3 road win over the San Diego Padres Tuesday
  • 2024 home stats: 5-4, 3.49 ERA (80 IP, 31 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Mariners: 1-2, 5.73 ERA (22 IP, 14 ER), 1.86 WHIP, 13.1 K/9 in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mariners at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Sunday at 10:27 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Astros -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-165) | Astros -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mariners at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Astros 3

Moneyline

BET MARINERS (+125).

The Astros haven’t consistently won with Brown on the mound, going 2-3 in his last 5 starts and 14-16 in games he has pitched. They are 7-7 in his home starts.  At the same time, the Mariners have played very well on the road as of late. They won 2 of 3 at the Rangers and have won 6 of their last 8 road games. The Astros, while they have won 3 of their last 4, have allowed 20 runs in their last 3 games, so their defense has left much to be desired.

At these odds, back MARINERS (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no great value here. The Mariners are too expensive to take as a run-line underdog, and the Astros are too risky to play as a run-line favorite. Avoid this play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

The Astros, while their defense and pitching struggled against the Angels, have still gone 3-4 O/U in their last 7 games. They are 63-87-5 O/U on the season and are 1-2 O/U in Brown’s last 3 starts.

The Mariners are 1-5-2 O/U in Miller’s last 8 starts. He is among their best pitchers. Both teams have a solid starting options which should result in few runs for the 1st several innings. Seattle has allowed 16 total runs in its last 5 games.

Play UNDER 8 (-115).

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Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (73-83) welcome the Boston Red Sox (78-78) to Rogers Centre Monday for the 1st game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:07 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 6-4

The Red Sox swept the Minnesota Twins in a Sunday doubleheader, winning 8-1 and then 9-3. Boston did lose the opener of the 3-game series and is just 3-4 over its last 7. The Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East and a solid 41-37 on the road. They are 73-83 against the spread (ATS).

The Blue Jays, who are 5th in the AL East, were swept by the Tampa Bay Rays on the road, dropping Sunday’s final game of the series 4-3 as a +115 underdog. Toronto lost 2 of 3 to the Texas Rangers in the series prior. It is 1-5 in its last 6 games and 6-12 over its last 18. The Blue Jays are 38-37 at home and 79-77 ATS.

Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Tanner Houck vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Houck (8-10, 3.21 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 173 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 2-1 road win over the Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday
  • 2024 away stats: 4-4, 3.08 ERA (79 IP, 27 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-1, 3.94 ERA (32 IP, 14 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 7 appearances (6 starts)

Bassitt (10-13, 4.16 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 166 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 13-8 road loss to the Texas Rangers Tuesday
  • 2024 home stats: 7-7, 4.58 ERA (96 1/3 IP, 49 ER), 1.43 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 17 starts
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 2-1, 2.21 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 6 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Sunday at 10:07 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Blue Jays -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+170) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-210)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -125)

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Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (+100).

Simply put, the Red Sox have been hot while the Blue Jays have been the polar opposite. Boston is 4 games out the last Wild Card spot and has something to play for while the Blue Jays have already been eliminated. The Red Sox are 2-1 in Houck’s last 3 starts and have won 3 of their last 5 games.

Boston has found its offense as well, scoring 17 runs in its last 2 games. The Blue Jays have totaled 5 runs in their last 3 games, so their offense has disappeared. Toronto has lost 3 in a row, but each loss was by 1 run, giving the moneyline value here over the run line.

With all that in mind, back RED SOX (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Red Sox as a run-line favorite, especially against a pitcher of Bassitt’s caliber, are far too risky to take. Similarly, the Blue Jays are too expensive to play as a run-line underdog.

Avoid this play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-125).

The Blue Jays have gone Under in 5 straight games, scoring just 9 total runs in those games and allowing just 10. Toronto has one of its stronger pitchers starting on the mound as well.

The Red Sox have gone Over in 2 straight, but have gone Under in 3 of their last 5. They have defended at a high level, allowing just 11 runs over their last 5 games. While their offense has been hot over the last 2, they have tallied 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7.

Put it all together and take UNDER 8 (-125).

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Chicago White Sox at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago White Sox at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (89-66) welcome the Chicago White Sox (36-119) to Petco Park Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the White Sox at Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 2-0

The Padres beat the White Sox 3-2 to open the series Friday and then continued that streak with a 6-2 win Saturday, closing as heavy favorites in both. They have won 7 of their last 8 games and sit 2nd in the NL West. San Diego is 44-36 at home on the season and 79-76 against the spread (ATS).

The White Sox did sustain a 3-game winning streak Sept. 14-16, but are now riding a 4-game skid. They lost a series 2-1 to the Los Angeles Angels Monday through Wednesday. Chicago, despite that win streak, has still dropped 8 of its last 11 games. It is 16-61 on the road and 63-92 ATS.

White Sox at Padres projected starters

RHP Sean Burke vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Burke (1-0, 2.25 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 3rd appearance. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 8 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 4-3 home victory over Oakland A’s Sunday
  • 2024 stats with Triple-A Charlotte: 2-6, 4.62 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 12.0 K/9 in 16 starts
  • Has never faced Padres

Darvish (6-3, 3.21 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 70 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 3-1 home victory over Houston Astros Monday
  • 2024 home stats: 3-3, 3.75 ERA (48 IP, 20 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 in 10 starts
  • Career vs. White Sox: 3-2, 3.57 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 in 7 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

White Sox at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): White Sox +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Padres -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: White Sox +2.5 (-130) | Padres -2.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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White Sox at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, White Sox 2

Moneyline

PASS.

The Padres (-350) are again a hefty favorite in this one, so much so that there is no moneyline play. The White Sox are unlikely to avoid a sweep here.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PADRES -2.5 (+110).

The Padres have been winning with ease as of late. They won a series against the Astros 2-1 Monday through Wednesday and swept the San Francisco Giants in 3 games Sept. 13-15.

The White Sox have lost 2 of their last 4 games by more than 2 runs. Chicago has scored a total of 7 runs over its last 4 games and will be facing a strong starting option in Darvish. Expect the Padres to again win by a sizable margin, and take PADRES -2.5 (+110).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (+100).

The White Sox haven’t been able to score consistently as of late and have gone Under in 3 of their last 4 games. They are 0-3-1 O/U in that stretch. They are 66-80 O/U on the season. Chicago is 3-8-1 O/U in its last 12.

The Padres have gone Under in 5 of their last 6 games (0-5-1 O/U) and allowed a total of just 4 runs over their last 3.

Take UNDER 7.5 (+100).

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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (92-63) and the New York Mets (86-68) wrap up a 4-game series Sunday. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 7-5

The Phillies beat the Mets 12-2 on Friday night to clinch a postseason berth for the 3rd consecutive season. They lost 5-1 on Saturday. With a victory Sunday, Philadelphia can clinch its 1st NL East Division title since 2011.

Philadelphia is struggling lately, going 2-4 in the past 6 games, all on the road. The Over has cashed in the 1st 3 games of this series, averaging 7.0 runs per game (RPG), while allowing 6.0 RPG.

New York has won 5 of the past 6 games while the Over has connected in 5 consecutive outings. The Mets have scored 38 runs in the 5-game span, or 7.6 RPG. They’ve allowed 7.0 RPG in the 1st 3 games of this set, too.

Phillies at Mets projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Wheeler (16-6, 2.56 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 186 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 5-1 road victory vs. Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 6-3, 2.85 ERA, 85 1/3 IP, 27 ER, 9 HR, 0.97 WHIP, .197 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 22 BB, 90 K in 14 starts
  • Last 7 games: 5-1, 1.84 ERA, 44 IP, 9 ER, 6 BB, 49 K, 0.80 WHIP
  • Career vs. Mets: 5-4, 3.64 ERA, 89 IP, 36 ER, 4 HR, 19 BB, 85 K, 1.17 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 14 starts

Megill (4-5, 4.08 ERA) makes his 14th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 68 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 R (0 ER), 2 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 10-1 home victory vs. Washington Nationals Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-3, 3.68 ERA, 44 IP, 18 ER, 4 HR, 1.20 WHIP, .221 OBA, 17 BB, 45 K in 9 appearances (8 starts)
  • Last 7 games: 2-1, 3.38 ERA, 34 2/3 IP, 13 ER, 12 BB, 34 K, 1.10 WHIP
  • Career vs. Phillies: 3-1, 2.54 ERA, 28 1/3 IP, 8 ER, 17 H, 7 BB, 28 K, 0.85 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 7:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Mets +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+110) | Mets +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: +100 | U: -130)

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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Mets 2

Moneyline

The PHILLIES (-160) are a solid play as moderate favorites, as they look to spray the champagne and celebrate a division title on national TV Sunday night.

The Mets (+135) have delayed the celebration as long as possible, but the pitching scales are slightly tipped in favor of the visitors with Wheeler on the bump.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more adventurous, play PHILLIES -1.5 (+110) at plus-money rather than going with the moneyline.

Philadelphia has managed 10 victories in the past 17 games since Sept. 4, and 7 of those victories have come by 2 or more runs. So, if you like the Phils to get the win, you should like them to cover the run line, too.

Over/Under

UNDER 7 (-130) is a solid play in this series finale, but it was a much better play when it opened at 7.5 at plus-money.

There is a lot on the line, and this should have a playoff feel in the Sunday Night Game of the Week. The Under is 5-1 in Wheeler’s past 6 starts for the Phillies. And, for the Mets, the total has gone low in 3 of Megill’s previous 5 starting assignments.

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Colorado Rockies at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Colorado Rockies at LA Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Colorado Rockies (60-95) and the LA Dodgers (92-63) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rockies vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 6-3

The Rockies doubled up the Dodgers 6-3 on Saturday behind RHP Cal Quantrill, pushing against the total (9) at most shops. The pesky Rockies are 6-3 across the past 9 games, as they’re not going quietly into the night. The Over is 2-0-1 in the past 3 games, and 6-4-1 across the past 11 outings.

Rockies RHP Antonio Senzatela made his season debut Monday after a 16-month layoff due to Tommy John surgery.

The Dodgers offense has been on fire in the past 7 games, averaging 9.2 runs per game (RPG). It’s no surprise that the Over is 7-0-1 in the past 8 games, and 10-1-1 across the previous 12 outings.

Rockies at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Antonio Senzatela vs. RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Senzatela (0-0, 6.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 2.00 WHIP, 6.0 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 2 K in 3-2 home victory Monday vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (67 pitches)
  • 2023 road splits: 0-1, 4.70 ERA, 7 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 3 HR, 1.17 WHIP, .250 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 2 BB, 4 K in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 4-5, 5.98 ERA, 64 2/3 IP, 43 ER, 13 HR, 23 BB, 37 K, 1.63 WHIP, 5.1 K/9 in 15 appearances (13 starts)

Yamamoto (6-2, 2.63 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 82 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 9-0 road victory vs. Atlanta Braves Monday
  • 2024 home splits: 3-1, 3.32 ERA, 43 1/3 IP, 16 ER, 5 HR, 1.06 WHIP, .241 OBA, 6 BB, 51 K in 9 starts
  • Last 7 games: 2-1, 1.83 ERA, 34 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 9 BB, 42 K, 1.14 WHIP
  • Career vs. Rockies: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 4-1 home victory June 1

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rockies at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 7:07 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Rockies +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Dodgers -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +2.5 (-115) | Dodgers -2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rockies at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Rockies 4

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-350) will cost you 3 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward straight up.

Yamamoto has just 2 starts under his belt since returning from a 3-month absence due to a right rotator cuff strain.

PASS, as even including L.A. in a multi-leg parlay isn’t a recommended option.

Run line/Against the spread

The ROCKIES +2.5 (-115) are worth a look catching the runs. Colorado has been pesky down the stretch as we head to the final week.

The Dodgers -2.5 (-105) are a risk, as Yamamoto has just 8 IP under his belt in 2 starts since returning from injury. Both he and Senzatela aren’t likely to go very deep into the game.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-105) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

We’re going with the trends for the Dodgers here, as the Over is 8-0-1 in the past 9 games, and 11-1-1 in the previous 13 contests.

The Over is 2-0-1 in the past 3 for the Rockies, while going 4-1-1 in the past 6 meetings with the Dodgers.

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Cleveland Guardians at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Guardians at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (90-66) and the St. Louis Cardinals (78-77) wrap up a 3-game interleague series Sunday. First pitch from Busch Stadium is set for 2:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Guardians vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Guardians clinched a playoff spot Thursday, and they secured the AL Central Division title on Saturday despite a loss to the Cardinals. It is Cleveland’s 2nd division title in the past 3 seasons, and 1st for 1st-year skipper Stephen Vogt.

Cleveland is 6-2 in the past 8 games after Saturday’s 6-5 loss. The Over (7.5) cashed in that loss, and that was a rarity, too. The Under is still 15-3-3 across the previous 21 contests.

The Cardinals have been eliminated from the postseason hunt, but they’re not tossing in the towel. St. Louis has won 4 of the past 6 games, while going 6-2 in the previous 8 outings at home. The Under is 9-3 in the past 12 outings, and 10-3-1 across the past 14 home contests.

The win Saturday snapped a 5-game skid in interleague play for the Cards. St. Louis is still just 2-6 in the past 8 tries against the AL.

Guardians at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Gavin Williams vs. RHP Andre Pallante

Williams (3-10, 5.12 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 70 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 4-1 home setback vs. Minnesota Twins Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-3, 3.86 ERA, 37 1/3 IP, 16 ER, 2 HR, 1.13 WHIP, .190 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 16 BB, 34 K in 8 starts
  • Last 7 games: 1-6, 6.03 ERA, 31 1/3 IP, 21 ER, 28 H, 17 BB, 34 K, 1.44 WHIP
  • Has never faced Cardinals

Pallante (7-8, 3.87 ERA) makes his 19th start and 28th appearance. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 109 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 4-0 home victory vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Monday
  • 2024 home splits: 5-5, 4.18 ERA, 60 1/3 IP, 28 ER, 3 HR, 1.43 WHIP, .262 OBA, 24 BB, 51 K in 10 starts (14 appearances)
  • Last 7 games: 3-2, 2.98 ERA, 42 1/3 IP, 14 ER, 21 BB, 35 K, 1.32 WHIP
  • Career vs. Guardians: 0-0, 1 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 2 relief appearances

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Guardians at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:47 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Guardians -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Cardinals -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+155) | Cardinals +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Guardians at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

It’s worth playing the CARDINALS (-105) lightly in the interleague series finale.

The Guardians (-115) aren’t likely to be terribly motivated after having clinched the division Saturday night. In addition, Williams is on the mound, and he has struggled for the entirety of the season.

Be careful, though, as the Cards are still just 4-5 in the past 9 contests, while cashing in 2 of the previous 6 home interleague battles.

Run line/Against the spread

The Cardinals +1.5 (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s just a little too risky for a standalone play. It’s OK to toss St. Louis into a multi-leg parlay, though.

Williams just can’t be trusted for the Guardians -1.5 (+155), especially to pitch the team to a win by 2 or more runs.

AVOID.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-105) is quite risky with Williams, although his splits are much better on the road. Pallante actually has some surprisingly good numbers, though.

The Under is 5-2 across the past 7 games for the Cardinals, while going 11-4-1 in the previous 15 contests.

And, for the Guardians, the Under has dominated lately. Cleveland has hit the Under at a 15-3-3 pace in the past 21 contests, while going 8-2-2 in the previous 12 outings away from home.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (87-68) and the Milwaukee Brewers (88-67) wrap up a 4-game series on Sunday. First pitch from American Family Field is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 4-2

The Diamondbacks have won the 1st 3 games of this series, outscoring the Brewers 17-5 and cashing as the favorite in 2 of the outings. The Under is also 2-1 in the 1st 3 games of the set.

Arizona has won 4 in a row, rebounding after a 1-4 skid from Sept. 13-17, which included 2 losses in a 3-game set vs. the Brewers in Phoenix. The Under has connected in 4 of the past 6 outings for the Snakes.

The Brewers have clinched the division, so they’re not exactly playing with a lot of urgency. Milwaukee became the 1st team in the majors to clinch a postseason bid Wednesday, and the Brew Crew has won the NL Central crown 2 consecutive seasons.

Despite the division title, Milwaukee has won just once in the past 5 games, while cashing low on the total in 4 of those contests.

Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Frankie Montas

Montgomery (8-7, 6.23 ERA) makes his 21st start and 25th appearance. He has a 1.64 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 112 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 4 K in 8-2 road setback vs. Colorado Rockies Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 4-3, 5.44 ERA, 51 1/3 IP, 31 ER, 7 HR, 1.38 WHIP, .279 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 14 BB, 34 K in 9 starts (10 appearances)
  • Last 7 games: 1-1, 5.83 ERA, 29 1/3 IP, 19 ER, 10 BB, 22 K, 1.53 WHIP
  • Career vs. Brewers: 2-2, 2.93 ERA, 27 2/3 IP, 9 ER, 29 H, 6 BB, 34 K, 1.27 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 in 5 starts

Montas (7-11, 4.50 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 144 IP with Reds and Brewers.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 10 K in 5-1 home setback vs. Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits: 1-7, 4.15 ERA, 60 2/3 IP, 28 ER, 7 HR, 1.32 WHIP, .254 OBA, 20 BB, 62 K in 12 starts
  • Last 7 games: 2-3, 3.02 ERA, 41 2/3 IP, 14 ER, 16 BB, 48 K, 1.06 WHIP
  • Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1-2, 7.24 ERA, 13 2/3 IP, 11 ER, 2 HR, 7 BB, 15 K, 1.46 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+165) | Brewers +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Diamondbacks 5

Moneyline

The BREWERS (-120) are the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

Neither of these pitchers give bettors a lot of confidence, as Montgomery has been a disaster most of the season, while Montas has had issues at home in his stops in Cincinnati and Milwaukee this season.

This could be a game which is decided by the bullpens, as the starters likely won’t last long.

Run line/Against the spread

The Brewers +1.5 (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, if you decided to take a little bit of insurance, and not play Milwaukee straight up.

That’s too much risk and not enough reward straight up. However, if you were to toss Milwaukee into a multi-leg parlay, either with other MLB games, WNBA playoff games or NFL contests, it wouldn’t be the end of the world.

AVOID.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-120) is the strongest play in this series finale.

While the Under has cashed at a 4-1-1 clip in the past 6 games for Milwaukee, it should be able to get to the southpaw Montgomery, who has been very giving all season.

The Diamondbacks have piled up 26 runs in the past 4 outings, splitting the Over 2-2 in those contests. Like Montgomery, Montas is very giving, and Arizona should get the sticks going against him.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (72-83) and the Cincinnati Reds (76-80) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Pirates vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 7-5

Regardless of what happens Sunday, the Pirates will have won the season series from the Reds, as the teams do not meet again. It gets even more difficult for Cincinnati, as it has to try to solve rookie RHP Paul Skenes.

The Pirates have struggled in this series, with the Reds outscoring them 15-4 in the 2 games, with Cincinnati cashing as a slight favorite in each outing. The Over-Under has split in the 1st 2 games of the series.

Pittsburgh has won just twice in the past 9 games, while the Under is on a 6-2 run across the past 8 outings.

Cincinnati has a winning record in September, going 12-7. The Over has connected 6 of the previous 8 contests.

RHP Hunter Greene (elbow) returns from the injured list to make his 1st start since Aug. 13, after being sidelined nearly 6 weeks due to an elbow injury.

Pirates at Reds projected starters

RHP Paul Skenes vs. RHP Hunter Greene

Skenes (10-3, 2.07 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 126 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 4-0 road setback vs. St. Louis Cardinals Monday
  • 2024 road splits: 4-2, 1.49 ERA, 54 1/3 IP, 9 ER, 3 HR, 0.87 WHIP, .175 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 14 BB, 75 K in 9 starts
  • Last 7 games: 4-2, 2.25 ERA, 40 IP, 10 ER, 13 BB, 51 K, 1.08 WHIP
  • Career/2024 vs. Reds: 2-0, 0.75 ERA, 12 IP, 1 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 16 K, .195 OBA in 2 starts

Greene (9-4, 2.83 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 143 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H (1 solo HR), 1 BB, 8 K in 4-1 home victory vs. St. Louis Cardinals Aug. 13
  • 2024 home splits: 5-3, 3.39 ERA, 77 IP, 29 ER, 8 HR, 1.10 WHIP, .210 OBA, 28 BB, 93 K in 13 starts
  • Last 7 games: 4-0, 0.98 ERA, 46 IP, 5 ER, 12 BB, 53 K, 0.70 WHIP
  • Career vs. Pirates: 0-3, 3.00 ERA, 33 IP, 11 ER, 2 HR, 15 BB, 47 K, 1.12 WHIP, 12.8 K/9 in 6 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Pirates -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Reds +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates -1.5 (+135) | Reds +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pirates at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 3, Reds 2

Moneyline

The PIRATES (-120) are the play with Skenes on the hill, as they look to salvage at least 1 game from the season’s final meeting against the Reds (+100).

Go lightly, though, as the Bucs are just 7-7 in the past 14 starts by Skenes, as he just doesn’t get enough support. Pittsburgh has scored 3 or fewer runs in 8 of the past 10 games, too, so it really hasn’t been supporting any of its pitchers.

Run line/Against the spread

The Reds +1.5 (-160) are a little too expensive, if you woud like a little insurance. Yes, the Pirates -1.5 (+135) have had trouble with the sticks, but Greene is coming back after a 5-week stint on the injured list.

PASS, and just focus on the moneyline play.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-110) is the best play on the board.

Skenes has kept scores down in his starts, with the Under cashing in each of the previous 3 outings for the All-Star rookie. The Under is 1-0-1 in his 2 outings against the Reds, too.

If Greene can pitch like he was prior to his injury, that would be amazing for Under bettors. He has a minuscule 0.98 ERA in his previous 7 outings.

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Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (81-74) and Baltimore Orioles (86-69) close out a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Tigers vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Detroit leads 3-2

Detroit beat Baltimore 6-4 Saturday in 10 innings while covering as a +119 road underdog. After allowing the Orioles to tie the game in the bottom of the 9th, the Tigers twice in the 10th to win and inch closer to securing a playoff spot. Detroit is a half-game behind the Minnesota Twins for the last AL Wild Card spot and a game behind the Kansas City Royals for the 2nd spot.

Baltimore leads the Wild Card race by 4 1/2 games and is nearly a lock to make the playoffs. The Orioles are 5 games behind New York for the AL East crown.

Tigers at Orioles projected starters

Undecided vs. RHP Albert Suarez

No Detroit pitcher announced at time of publishing.

Saurez (8-6, 3.60 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 122 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 10-0 humiliation vs. San Francisco Giants Tuesday
  • First career start vs. Detroit

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Tigers at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Orioles -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-200) | Orioles -1.5 (+185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Tigers at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 7, Orioles 6

Moneyline

LEAN TIGERS (+110).

Detroit is the hotter team, being 4-1 in its last 5 road ganes and 7-3 in its last 10 overall while Baltimore is only 2-3 in its last 5 at home and 4-6 in its last 10 overall. The Tigers have also played the Orioles very well lately, being 3-2 in the last 5 meetings.

This is a lean because Baltimore is the better team and because the Orioles are 6-4 in their last 10 vs. Detroit.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

With both teams fighting for playoff rights, I expect this to be a very close matchup, so I have the Tigers covering as +1.5 (-200) underdogs. However, this line is set very favorably towards Detroit, so betting on it is not worth the risk, bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

If you are comfortable with the risk here, you can divvy up units between here and the ML.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

The Over has hit in 5 straight games for Baltimore, which is 85-61-9 ATS  this season. For Detroit, the over is 3-2 in its last 5 road games. The Over has also hit in back-to-back meetings between these teams.

Be aware that the Over is only 5-5 in the last 10 meetings, 4-6 in Detroit’s last 10 games, and 5-5 in Baltimore’s last 10 games.

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