Jaguars vs. Colts: Key matchups

Jaguars vs. Colts: Key matchups

The Jacksonville Jaguars season is coming to a close as they travel to Indianapolis with a chance to end the year on a high note against the Colts.

It’s been a rocky year for the organization. The team that owner Shad Khan called the most talented Jaguars team ever cratered to a lock in the first 10 slots in April’s NFL draft.

Furthermore, this could be head coach Doug Pederson and general manager Trent Baalke’s last game in their respective positions.

A lot of change should be on the way in Jacksonville. Yet, there is a game to be played as the Jaguars hope to secure their fifth victory of the campaign.

For the final time this season, Jaguars Wire takes a closer look at the key matchups ahead of the Jaguars’ matchup against the Colts.

Jaguars defense vs. Colts quarterback Joe Flacco

Entering the season, the Jaguars’ defense was supposed to be a strength and was boldly predicted to be a top-10 unit in 2024. Instead, it’s been one of the worst in the league right alongside the Carolina Panthers.

This week presents an opportunity for Jacksonville’s defense to end on a strong note. The unit’s play in recent weeks has gotten better thanks to improved discipline, the development of rookie interior linemen Maason Smith and Jordan Jefferson, and the production of pass rush duo of Travon Walker and Josh Hines-Allen.

This front will be taking on a Colts offense that has allowed the eighth-highest pressure rate in the NFL at 37.8 percent, according to Next Gen Stats. With Joe Flacco and the lack of mobility will allow the Jaguars to be more aggressive at attacking the QB and could evolve an increase in blitzes from defensive coordinator Ryan Nielsen.

Flacco has his moments in the sun but is prone to mistakes as of late. If the Jaguars want to end the year right, getting home on the veteran signal-caller and forcing him into bad decisions will be key.

Hines-Allen will be unavailable for the game due to personal reasons, emphasizing the need for big days from Walker, Smith and Jefferson, among other Jaguars’ trench players.

Jaguars offensive line vs. Colts defensive line

This game will be won and lost in the trenches. Jacksonville has held the edge compared to its opponents in this regard in recent weeks, especially on the offensive side of the ball.

The Jaguars’ offensive line has seen consistent play up front from their interior with guards Ezra Cleveland and Brandon Schreff alongside center Mitch Morse. Right tackle Anton Harrison has improved his played in recent weeks as well, and the team currently bestows a 12.3 percent pressure rate allowed, the fifth-lowest in the NFL, according to Next Gen Stats.

However, the front five will face one of the NFL’s best interior defensive linemen, DeForest Buckner, who possesses the second-highest pressure rate in the league among pass rushers with at least 200 rushing snaps (12.3 percent).

Slowing down Buckner won’t be easy, but blocking the rest of the Colts’ defensive front might not be as hard. The unit has been an Achilles heel for Indianapolis all season, posing an advantage for Jacksonville.

If the Jaguars can quiet Buckner in the trenches, this could spell success for quarterback Mac Jones and company.

All-22 review: Diving into Jaguars’ film vs. Raiders

All-22 review: Diving into Jaguars’ film vs. Raiders

The Jacksonville Jaguars head into the final two weeks of the season still in contention for the No. 1 overall pick in the NFL Draft.

Following their loss to the Las Vegas Raiders, the Jaguars currently possess the No. 3 overall selection and, with help, could land themselves a top-of-the-order choice for the third time in five years.

But there are some positives to take away from Jacksonville’s defeat on Sunday. Jaguars Wire takes a deep dive into the All-22 film to look at some of the bright spots from the team’s 12th loss of the season.

Maason Smith flashes brightly as a possible key 2025 piece

The decision to keep Smith sidelined early in the season when the defense began to struggle remains questionable at best. The second-round pick from the LSU Tigers has seen more time on the field with the Jaguars on their way to a potential top-five selection in the NFL Draft.

Smith may not have blown up the box score against the Raiders, but he was disruptive in what was the best game of his young career with a sack and two tackles for loss.

Smith flashed the raw power and functional athleticism that made him a Top 50 selection. He showed a nice bull rush that was effective when he kept his pad level low and maintained adequate leverage at the point of attack.

With his long arms and wingspan, Smith used it to his advantage to push blockers into the backfield and create penetration in the run game. He also did a good job of working laterally at the line of scrimmage and staying disciplined in his respective gap.

Smith must learn to keep his pads low and not expose his chest as often as he did Sunday on top of adding more moves to his pass rush arsenal. However, he has a bright future with the team and with continued development, he could be a key asset for Jacksonville in 2025.

Montaric Brown offers a serviceable performance in place of Ronald Darby

With Darby having been benched and inactive against Las Vegas, Brown stepped in on the perimeter and performed. There were some questionable moments from the former Arkansas Razorback but there were plenty of positive ones as well.

Brown was often sticky in man coverage reps while displaying sufficient change of direction to stay in phase with his primary receiver. When playing press, he more often played feet-first and allowed himself to stay stride for stride with his man.

Brown’s reps in zone coverage were also impressive. He offered sufficient spacing and spatial awareness to make plays within his vicinity. There were moments when his eyes were caught in the backfield but he would later rebound, showing he can be someone the Jaguars can lean on as a depth piece in the secondary in the future.

Mitch Morse is a key cog in the middle of the Jaguars OL

The Jaguars have gotten exactly what they were hoping for when they signed Morse from the Buffalo Bills this past offseason.

Morse has remained consistent at center throughout the season and is a crucial aspect of why the Jaguars’ interior offensive line has the second-lowest pressure rate in the NFL, according to Next Gen Stats.

On Sunday against the Raiders, Morse was sufficient on the field. There were a couple of mishaps, including some early miscommunication along the line and getting beat in the run game on occasion.

Yet, the veteran middleman of Jacksonville’s line was steady enough to keep the interior of his unit as rock solid as it could be. He helped his teammates in their sets and got his eyes around fast when dealing with looping rushers. Morse’s functional movement ability allows him to seamlessly work to the second level in the run game.

Extra Notes

  • Brian Thomas Jr. is a complete game-changer and was a big reason why the Jaguars were still in the game late in the fourth quarter. His size, explosiveness, ball skills and run-after-catch ability have made him a fearful playmaker for any defense to play against.

Jaguars vs. Jets: Key matchups

Jaguars vs. Jets: Key matchups

The Jacksonville Jaguars head into Week 15 coming off a refreshing victory at Tennessee last Sunday. It’s only the team’s third win of what has otherwise been a tumultuous losing season.

This weekend provides a favorable opportunity to add another mark to the win column, although the team’s draft positioning may once again falter. The Jaguars host the New York Jets in 2024’s first matchup between teams mathematically eliminated from the playoffs.

Jaguars Wire takes a closer look at the key matchups in Jacksonville’s next-to-last home game of the season.

Jaguars WR Brian Thomas Jr. vs. Jets CB Sauce Gardner

It’s becoming clearer that the Jaguars rookie sensation is already one of the best players on the roster. He was a key reason for the team’s success in Nashville last weekend with eight catches on 12 targets for 86 yards, putting his season total at 54 grabs for 851 yards and six touchdown receptions.

This weekend, Thomas will go one-on-one against one of the best cornerbacks in football, Sauce Gardner.

The Jets have not had the season they were hoping for and are a mess of a franchise at the moment. However, the two-time All-Pro Gardner remains a bright spot, and winning against him in coverage is no easy feat.

That said, Gardner has had some struggles this season, especially on deeper crossing patterns, which could favor Thomas in space and offer run-after-catch opportunities against man coverage.

If Thomas has yet another productive day against Gardner and the Jets secondary, Jacksonville has a chance at winning two games in a row.

Jaguars LT Walker Little vs. Jets pass rushers

There’s a reason the Jaguars extended Walker Little to a three-year, $40.5 million contract. His play since becoming the team’s starting left tackle hasn’t been perfect but has been trending upward in recent weeks, especially in pass protection.

According to Next Gen Stats, Little’s quarterback pressure rate is the fourth-lowest among starting left tackles with at least 150 snaps.

Little faces a daunting task this weekend, however. His likely opponent on most snaps, Jets defensive end Will McDonald IV, has 10 sacks and 52 quarterback pressures on the season.

The Jets are like the Jaguars defensively as they have more trust in their four-down linemen to generate pressure by moving them around the line, rather than pulling out all the stops like some teams.

Little will need to be prepared for whoever New York will throw his way. Don’t forget about Haason Reddick, Michael Clemons and, occasionally, Quinnen Williams.

Jaguars RB Tank Bigsby vs. Jets run defense

Bigsby has established himself as Jacksonville’s running back of the future while putting the team in a tough position with his fellow running mate Travis Etienne Jr. While that is not the topic of this section, how Bigsby can beat New York’s run defense is.

The Jets rank No. 16 in the NFL in rushing yards allowed (119.9) and run stuff percentage (17.1%), and have allowed the 11th-most expected points added (EPA) rushing.

This could be another week where Bigsby sees another 20-plus touch game. The key to turning usage into production is trusting the blocks of interior linemen, center Mitch Morse and guards Brandon Scherff and Ezra Cleveland.

Bigsby is one of the league’s better space-creators and the Jets have allowed the ninth-most yards after contact per attempt (3.14) in the NFL. Bigsby’s 4.9 yards per attempt on inside-designed runs are the seventh-most in the NFL this season, according to Next Gen Stats.

While running backs may not matter to some, Bigsby will play a key part in Jacksonville’s chances at victory this weekend. Bringing him down won’t be an easy feat for New York.

Jaguars vs. Titans: Key matchups

Jaguars vs. Titans: Key matchups

The Jacksonville Jaguars have faced the worst-case scenario of worst-case scenarios the way this season has gone, from playoff expectations in the preseason to likely possessing the No. 1 overall draft choice for the third time in five years.

The 2-10 Jaguars enter Week 14 with the worst record in the league. But they have a chance to put smiles on fans’ faces as they are set to take on the 3-9 Tennesee Titans in an AFC South matchup in Nashville.

Jaguars Wire takes a look at the key matchups that could determine the outcome of Jacksonville vs. Tennessee.

Titans QB Will Levis vs. Jaguars QB Mac Jones

This game will come down to which quarterback makes the fewest mistakes.

Jones and Levis are two quarterbacks who received plenty of hype and attention in their respective drafts but have failed to meet their expectations as signal-callers. Both have been underwhelming since entering the league and their futures with their current teams seem uncertain.

However, both players will square off in this AFC South rivalry game. Mac Jones has thrown for 484 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions in the last three games, two as the starter and in relief of Lawrence against Houston last week.

Levis has played much better since returning from a throwing shoulder injury in Week 10 than before he missed time.

Levis has thrown for 960 yards with seven touchdowns and just two interceptions in the last four weeks, compared to 699 yards with five touchdowns and seven interceptions in the first five games of the season. He is making fewer mistakes and operating fairly cleanly.

Jones must protect the ball better for the Jaguars’ offense to beat against the No. 1 passing defense in the NFL. It starts with better consistency and rhythm as a signal-caller to give his playmakers, including rookie sensation Brian Thomas Jr., a chance to win downfield, where Jacksonville succeeded in the passing game when Lawrence was available.

If Jones can play a mistake-free game, the Jaguars’ chances of a win increase significantly.

Titans DL Jeffery Simmons vs. Jaguars interior OL

An area of strength for Jacksonville has been its interior line play with guards Ezra Cleveland and Brandon Scherff along with center Mitch Morse. This week they will be taking on a game-wrecker in defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons, one of the best players in the NFL at his position.

That said, Simmons is experiencing a relatively down year. He has generated a 9.7 percent pressure rate this season, ranking No. 49 of 107 qualifying defensive linemen, per NFL Pro.

Still, Simmons has reminded teams just how explosive and quick he can be off the line of scrimmage with 11 quick pressures (tied for tenth-most in the NFL) and 15 run stuffs (No. 3), according to Next Gen Stats.

The Jaguars interior offensive line has allowed some of the lowest pressure rates at right guard (3.9%) and left guard (4.4%) and the fifth-fewest run stuffs in the league (44). The latter stat has allowed the Jaguars to remain in the top half in rushing yards per attempt, at 4.5.

Simmons, along with Titans rookie standout T’Vondre Sweat (27 run stops), will be a big challenge for the Jaguars offensive line.

Yet, if the combo of Scherff, Morse and Cleveland can win at the line of scrimmage Sunday, Jones should play with clean pockets while running backs Tank Bigsby and Travis Etienne Jr. get to tout the ball for decent chunk gains, potentially leading to win No. 3 for Jacksonville.

Jaguars vs. Texans: Key matchups

Jaguars vs. Texans: Key matchups

The Jacksonville Jaguars are coming off their bye week, ideally refreshed and refocused for their final stretch of the 2024 season as they host Houston this weekend.

This will be a crucial six-game marathon for the Jaguars as the future around the coaching staff and front office hangs in the balance following a lowly 2-9. On a positive note, franchise quarterback Trevor Lawrence appears closer to returning to play this week after missing two games with an injury to his non-throwing shoulder.

While Jacksonville almost certainly won’t make the postseason, it could begin to cause some panic among Houston fans with an upset.

Jaguars Wire takes a closer look at some of the key matchups for this weekend.

Jacksonville WR Brian Thomas Jr. vs. Houston CB Derek Stingley Jr.

This one-on-one battle represents two gifted athletes who will be among the best players at their respective positions for years to come. Stingley has been playing at a high level this season and is one of Houston’s best defenders while Thomas has emerged as one of the better young wide receivers in the league and one of the faces of Jacksonville’s future.

It can’t be emphasized enough how crucial of a matchup this is. Thomas has played well the last several weeks and emerged as the Jaguars’ top playmaker this year. With Lawrence potentially back under center, the team’s first-round selection this year could see his target share increase.

Stingley is one of the best man-cover corners in the game. He uses his size, technique, and pure athleticism to shut down any receiver who lines up against him. Thomas offers the skill set to beat man defenders at will with the incredible fluidity, short-area quickness and ultra-explosiveness that has made him a three-level threat.

If Thomas wins this battle, Jacksonville will be one step closer to pulling off an upset.

Jaguars’ offensive line vs. Texans’ defensive line

For as bad as things have been for the Jaguars this season, their offensive line remains steady, especially in the interior. The team has allowed the sixth-lowest pressure rate in the NFL (28.7%) and will take on a Texans’ defense that ranks third in pressure rate (40.3%).

Winning in the trenches has been an up-and-down battle for Jacksonville all season and Sunday features a chance to win there on both sides of the ball. According to Next Gen Stats, Jaguars guards Exra Cleveland and Brandon Scherff and center Mitch Morse have all allowed pressure on under five percent of their pass-blocking snaps. 

The edges are where it gets tricky as tackles Walker Little and Anton Harrison will be going up against Texans defensive ends Danielle Hunter and Will Anderson Jr., one of the best pass-rushing duos in the league. Jacksonville will need its young tackles to have quality starts to slow down Houston’s pass rushers.

This is not a favorable matchup for the Jaguars. It could be if Harrison and Little can stay consistent in their pass-blocking sets and generate momentum in the run game on the edges, which will be key in taking on the No. 5 defense in yards allowed. 

Houston RB Joe Mixon vs. Jacksonville run defense

One of the stories of the Jaguars this season has been their putrid defensive play in almost all facets, especially against the run where they have allowed the seventh-most rushing yards in the NFL (135.5).

However, interestingly enough, they have defended the run well on outside-designed runs. Jacksonville has allowed the second-fewest rushing yards over expected (-65) and the seventh-lowest success rate (34.0%) on those specific play calls, according to Next Gen Stats.

Defensive ends Josh Hines-Allen and Travon Walker have been big reasons for Jacksonville’s success against outside runs. Walker is third on the team in run stops (35) and Hines-Allen has 23 on the season. Their power at the point of attack and discipline against the run has been very notable this year. 

This week, they’ll take on Mixon, who has run nine of his touchdowns to the outside and has the fifth-most RYOE (+116) in that area in the NFL. Texans offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik tends to use the outside zone to work away from the tackle box and stress defenders on the edges.

Setting the edge will be key for the Jaguars, especially against Mixon. Walker and Hines-Allen must do their job to squeeze their respective gaps and become force defenders to bottle Mixon inside.

If the Jaguars can limit Mixon’s ability to stretch the edge, Jacksonville will have a chance to pull off a nice victory on Thanksgiving weekend. 

Bills GM Brandon Beane: ‘We have been all in, all along’

Buffalo Bills general manager Brandon Beane joined the Pat McAfee show Wednesday to answer some questions in light of the recent trade for wide receiver Amari Cooper.

Beane made one thing loud and clear. The Bills were never thinking about a rebuild. The trade for Cooper was evidence that the Bills are still very much all in to win the whole thing.

“We are still all in… If Cleveland wasn’t ready to do this we were going to continue to monitor it,” Beane said. “We still got a few weeks before the deadline. If we feel there is something else that we need or we feel there is something else that can get us over the top… we have been all in all along.”

When the Bills didn’t bring back a handful of marquee players this offseason, there were murmurs that it was a “reload” or “rebuild” year for the team. Jordan Poyer, Tre’Davious White, Stefon Diggs, Mitch Morse, Gabe Davis, Micah Hyde… there were a lot of familiar names and trusted leaders who exited the team. But, Beane had a plan all along. It wasn’t a rebuild, it was a transition.

“I know we have lost some names this offseason… some guys who have been captains… this was what I said was an offseason of transition,” Beane said. “The mindset here, as long as Josh Allen is our quarterback, we’re going to try to win this thing and we’re going to do what we can every single year.”

So, sitting at 4-2 with a lead in the AFC East, the team added a legit number-one receiver and has left the door open to upgrade the team further before the trade deadline. These are reassuring words from Beane if you are a Bills fan.

Take a look at the full response from Beane on the Pat McAfee Show:

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Josh Allen, Sean McDermott on facing former Bills Gabe Davis, Mitch Morse

Josh Allen, Sean McDermott on facing former Bills Gabe Davis, Mitch Morse

As the Buffalo Bills (2-0) prepare to host the Jacksonville Jaguars (0-2) on ‘Monday Night Football’, quarterback Josh Allen and head coach Sean McDermott were asked about their thoughts on going up against a couple of familiar faces.

Both wide receiver Gabe Davis and center Mitch Morse will be making their return to Orchard Park, NY on Monday. Morse was with the Bills from 2019-2023, while Davis was a member of the team from 2020-2023. Both players served as captains in Buffalo and left their mark on the fans, coaches, and players in the locker room.

“I wish those guys well,” McDermott said during a press conference Wednesday. “Two studs as it relates to what they added here and two guys I love being around. They helped us have the success that we had when they were here. We’re happy if they’re happy and their families are happy.”

Allen, having taken snaps from Morse for five years, and throwing passed to Davis for four years, expressed how much the two mean to him during a press conference Thursday:

“Two guys that mean a lot to me… not just football-wise but off-the-field-wise. There’s a lot of conversations that we’ve had over the years that I wouldn’t take back for anything. They’ve been brothers to me and I hope they feel the same about me. I have so much respect for those guys.”

The Week 3 game has probably been circled on the calendar of both Morse and Davis since the 2024 schedule was released. Morse played a big role in Allen’s development, being a veteran and a steady force for him under center following a wildly up-and-down rookie year. And, we will always have the “Gabe Davis game” to remember from the 2021 postseason, as he scored four touchdowns and racked up over 200 receiving yards.

The Bills have lost their last two matchups to the Jaguars (2021, 2023) so they’ll be focused on the task at hand come Monday.

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All-22 review: Jaguars’ concerning red zone sequence vs. Browns

All-22 review: Jaguars’ concerning red zone sequence vs. Browns

The Jacksonville Jaguars have started the season winless following this past weekend’s defeat to Cleveland at home, 18-13

This was yet another game where the Jaguars had opportunities to score but failed to produce.

One painful sequence stood out from the game: a goal-to-go situation late in the first half, during which Jacksonville had to take two timeouts and settled for a field goal due to a mix of communication issues and poor execution. 

Jaguars head coach Doug Pederson and quarterback Trevor Lawrence addressed these issues in their respective post-game press conferences. Pederson pointed to situational awareness with the play clock running down.

“It can’t happen. It just can’t happen,” Pederson said.

Lawrence pointed out the team’s red-zone struggles as the Jaguars scored touchdowns on one-of-four trips inside the 20-yard line, noting some key plays from that key first-half drive and that they must do better in these situations.

“It’s just little details. We were in the red zone twice close, inside the 5-yard line and didn’t score,” said Lawrence, who completed just 14 of 30 pass attempts for 214 yards. “You can’t do that in this league. You’ve got to take advantage of those opportunities.”

Jaguars Wire took a closer look at what happened in this specific goal-to-go sequence and how it displays bigger problems for Jacksonville’s offense, a combination of mixed assignments and head-scratching decisions by personnel and coaching alike

What led the Jaguars to goal-to-go 


To set the scene, it was the second quarter of the game with the Browns up 10-0 following a field goal on their previous drive. The Jaguars took possession with 9:52 left in the first half.

This drive began with a play-action to draw Cleveland’s linebackers to the line of scrimmage and get Jacksonville tight end Brenton Strange open on a deep backside post. The route concept worked. 

However, wide receiver Gabe Davis was forced to block defensive end Za’Darius Smith and predictably got beat on the edge, forcing Lawrence to bail on Strange and complete a negative check-down play to Christian Kirk.

Jacksonville proceeded to pick up positive yardage on its next four plays: A 10-yard pass to Davis, a three-yard 3rd and 1 rush by running back Travis Etienne Jr., a 20-yard follow-up scamper by Etienne, and a three-yard run by running back D’Ernest Johnson.

Then another negative play occurred. As JP Acosta of SB Nation pointed out, this was a single-back stick concept that nearly turned into a disaster for Lawrence. Cleveland cornerback Martin Emerson almost secured the interception but dropped it while falling to the ground. 

The pass was tipped at the line of scrimmage by linebacker Jordan Hicks. Still, it was on a line toward rookie wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr., who needed to turn his head around quicker given how quickly the throw left Lawrence’s hand. This play was designed to create an easy third-down situation, and it nearly turned into a turnover.

Facing 3rd and 7 at Cleveland’s 35-yard line, Lawrence took off for a 33-yard gain to give Jacksonville first and goal at the two, marking one of the Jaguars’ biggest plays of the game. 

The field goal that should never have happened

The following three-play sequence encapsulates the issues Jacksonville currently faces offensively.

Before a first and goal run, Pederson is forced to call timeout due to the play clock running down, the first discombobulating domino to fall as the Jaguars were within five yards of the goal line. Lawrence took the blame for it.

‘The clock was rolling and it was after a big play. We didn’t have the urgency getting out of the huddle, getting up to the line and seeing the play clock,” Lawrence explained. “I own that one, and we took the first time-out.”

On first and goal, Jacksonville came out with 12 personnel – two tight ends, two wide receivers and one running back – and motioned Thomas right to left before the snap. 

The play-call was a dive between the tackles against an eight-man box. Center Mitch Morse did not climb to the second level to block Browns linebacker Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, while left guard Ezra Cleveland only brushed him on his combo block.

Owusu-Koramoah filled the A-gap and recorded a tackle for loss on Etienne.

The next play is an example of a lack of executing assignments by one or multiple players, something that has plagued the team throughout the Pederson era, especially since the Jaguars began a 1-7 slide in Week 13 of last season. 

The Jaguars came out of the empty shotgun with 11 personnel – one running back, one tight end and three wide receivers. Lawrence discussed this specific play when asked about the red-zone issues Sunday afternoon.

“You look back at the drive earlier in the first half [when] we had the two time-outs … I think I missed Brian who was open, and then after that had to scramble,” Lawrence said.

It is good to see the franchise quarterback admit a mistake on a specific play like this. However, it did not help that his offense played from that specific formation in this area of the field, an empty look without additional blocking help.

While the play design and execution were good to start, Lawrence bailed from the pocket as he anticipated but did not necessarily face pressure, resulting in another missed opportunity for the Jaguars. 

Then, before third and goal, the Jaguars burned another timeout to avoid a delay of game penalty, a clear indication of poor communication which Lawrence verified post-game.

“It’s just communication. We’re getting in, getting in late, we’re trying to figure it out,” Lawrence said. “Obviously [tight end] Evan [Engram] went down today before the game, so some things changed, but it doesn’t matter. There’s no excuses. You’ve got to perform and you’ve got to be able to adjust.”

On third and goal after the timeout, the offense once again came out of 11 personnel. The formation is trips left with Thomas motioning left to right pre-snap to create doubles. 

Thomas and Strange run a bench concept to the right, while Davis and Kirk run crossers from the left. The issue here is that the play has Johnson chipping before running a delayed angle route to work from the right side of the field to the left.

As you can see above, there are no open receivers against the Browns’ Cover 1-hole defense, forcing Lawrence to attempt a tight window throw while Davis was not looking, which ended up behind the receiver and fell into the turf.

The initial pressure forced Lawrence to take an extra hitch and navigate the pocket, potentially delaying the pass’ delivery.

If anything, this is not an ideal play selection in this situation against this coverage, especially in a condensed field zone and against a Browns defense that is known for shutting down quality offenses.

After starting the sequence two yards from the goal line, the Jaguars settled for three points, four yards removed from the plane.

What to make of the goal-line sequence

This sequence and overall drive displayed a key element that Jacksonville is missing: An offensive identity. 

It has been difficult to decipher what the Jaguars’ offense is supposed to be or what they want to lean on through two games. Jacksonville’s apparent lack of vision for its offense is costing the club games, and casting a shadow over the strong performance of its defense to start the season.

Inconsistent play-calling and play choices in critical situations have been detrimental, whether it be on goal-to-go, third downs or even early downs. The Jaguars have also abandoned their successful under-center play-action passing game at times.

There are communication issues, missed assignments and a lack of discipline displayed on tape on numerous occasions dating back to last season.

Each factor was apparent in Jacksonville’s biggest missed opportunity against Cleveland, the above drive. 

3 bold predictions for the Jacksonville Jaguars’ 2024 season

3 bold predictions for the 2024 Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jacksonville Jaguars kick off their regular season Sunday with a road trip to Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami Dolphins. 

This is the time of the season when fans’ optimism and hope are at an all-time high before the reality of meaningful wins and losses. With postseason aspirations once again, Jacksonville has the talent to get there.

Accordingly, Jaguars Wire has prepared a few hot takes for Jacksonville entering the 2024 campaign, three bold predictions for the Jaguars after their active offseason building a hopeful Super Bowl contender.

Trevor Lawrence posts career-high numbers under Press Taylor

Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) warms up before a preseason NFL football game Saturday, Aug. 17, 2024 at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fla. [Corey Perrine/Florida Times-Union]
Entering the NFL, Lawrence was considered one of the best quarterback prospects in the modern era with career expectations through the roof.

He is off to a good statistical start to his now-four-year career, averaging a 68.8 percent completion percentage and hovering around seven yards per passing attempt.

The former No. 1 overall selection started his first eight games of the 2023 season with a nine-to-four touchdown-to-interception ratio, completing just over 68 percent of his throws. Jacksonville went 6-2 in that stretch.

But as Jaguars fans are well aware, the season went downhill after the halfway point along with Lawrence’s play, though he battled through nagging injuries late in the campaign.

The biggest thing the Jaguars should learn from last season is to stay hot when they get hot, and the same can be said for their signal-caller. Likely operating under Press Taylor in his second season as Jacksonville’s full-time play-caller, Lawrence should have enough comfort within the offense to do so.

The former Clemson standout will post career-high numbers in passing yards, touchdowns, yards per attempt, and a career-low in interceptions. I envision Lawrence producing a stat line of 4,350 yards, 32 touchdowns, eight interceptions and 8.1 yards-per-pass attempt.

He will benefit from Jacksonville’s new-look wide receiver room (more on this in our next prediction) and a healthier offensive line to put Jacksonville’s offense back on the track it followed to the 2022-23 AFC Divisional Round of the playoffs.

Brian Thomas Jr. leads all rookies (and the team) in receiving yards

Aug. 7, 2024: Jaguars wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. on Day 12 of Jacksonville’s 2024 training camp. [Credit: Zach Goodall – Jaguars Wire/USA TODAY SMG]
General manager Trent Baalke prioritized surrounding Lawrence with talent this offseason by adding wide receiver Gabe Davis, center Mitch Morse, and rookie Brian Thomas Jr.

Jacksonville’s first-round selection is a gifted athlete who ran a 4.33-second 40-yard dash at the NFL Scouting Combine. He displayed that explosiveness consistently during his final season at LSU, averaging over 17 yards per catch and posting 17 touchdowns.

Thomas wins with instant acceleration that allows him to stack defensive backs on vertical routes while having the short-area quickness to gain yards after the catch with creativity.

He is a raw playmaker who continues to develop his route tree and technique as a route-runner, but showed progress in this department during training camp and the preseason. He averaged 31 yards per reception over three exhibition catches this August. 

Jacksonville surrounded Thomas with several capable playmakers as he adjusts to the speed of the NFL, taking the stress of being the Jaguars’ No. 1 receiving threat off his plate as a rookie.

I see him benefitting from that lack of pressure and Lawrence’s bounce-back year, and believe he could lead all rookie wide receivers in yards.

Arizona’s Marvin Harrison Jr., New York’s Malik Nabers, Kansas City’s Xavier Worthy and Chicago’s Rome Odunze are all rookie playmakers who could be productive from the jump.

The same can be said for Thomas, whose athletic skill set will open up the Jaguars’ passing game beyond his own production.

By the end of the season, the former All-SEC standout will be the top target for Lawrence, finishing the season with over 1,200 yards and eight touchdowns. 

Jacksonville wins the AFC South, making a surprise deep playoff run

Aug 10, 2024; Jacksonville, Florida, USA; Jacksonville Jaguars head coach Doug Pederson and offensive coordinator Press Taylor look on before a preseason game against the Kansas City Chiefs at EverBank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

This seems like a tall task in itself. The Jaguars play in a division that includes three other teams with playoff aspirations. They also play in the AFC, which until further notice, is run by Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs.

Two years ago, Lawrence led this team from worst to first with a home playoff win and came close to unseating the Chiefs in the divisional round.

Inconsistencies were cause for concern last season, but the ultimate reason Jacksonville fell apart was Lawrence’s multiple injuries, paired with top receivers Christian Kirk and Zay Jones (now with Arizona) dealing with their own hurts.

That changes this year with injuries behind the Jaguars, a rejuvenated offense under Taylor and a top-10 defensive unit coached by new defensive coordinator Ryan Nielsen putting the squad back in contention. 

With big seasons from Lawrence and Thomas, Jacksonville finishes 4-2 in the division with losses to Houston and Indianapolis while compiling an 11-6 record to snag the AFC South division crown and the No. 3 seed in the AFC.

Lawrence, who I believe finishes the season with MVP votes, will lead his team to the AFC championship. But ultimately, the Jaguars will fall just short of their first Super Bowl appearance to Mahomes in Arrowhead Stadium. 

Three key matchups for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Miami Dolphins

Three key matchups for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Miami Dolphins

The Jacksonville Jaguars kick off their regular season with a road trip to South Florida to take on the Miami Dolphins in a significant early-season game on Sunday. 

Both teams enter the 2024 campaign with eyes toward the postseason. Jacksonville is looking to return to the playoffs after squandering a healthy record late in the season while Miami is eyeing a third consecutive trip.

Week 1 does not always offer a clear snapshot of a team’s strengths and weaknesses. However, it will allow the Jaguars to assess theirs against an opponent some consider possible Super Bowl contenders

Identifying the key battles this weekend is important. With that in mind, here are three matchups the Jaguars must win to pull off a victory in Miami Gardens.

Jacksonville’s defense vs. Miami’s offense

These two units are the strengths of their respective teams and should provide an enticing head-to-head matchup.

The Dolphins have one of the most explosive offenses in the league due to the brilliance of head coach and offensive play-caller Mike McDaniels. He takes after his former coach in San Francisco, Kyle Shanahan, with exotic formations, route concepts, shifts and motions that generate chaos and confusion with opposing defenses.

One thing that should comfort Jaguars fans is that Jacksonville has a defense that is more than capable of slowing down the speedy talents of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle.

Defensive coordinator Ryan Nielsen is one of the few in his position that gets his players to elevate their play while remaining disciplined, as seen in the tremendous growth of Atlanta’s defense under his leadership last year.

While the Jaguars have some depth questions at cornerback, Nielsen has a defensive line capable of generating pressure off four-man rushes alone.

No matter how it’s put, Miami’s offense remains a tough one to tame. The biggest question around this unit is whether it can become more physical up front despite losing guard Robert Hunt in free agency offseason.

Bringing a physical element versus the run and remaining even-keeled against a terrific wide receiver duo will be a significant key in Jacksonville’s hopes of winning this game.

Protecting Trevor Lawrence from the Dolphins’ pass rush

When a team has a franchise quarterback as Jacksonville and Miami do, protecting its star is of utmost importance.  Having a capable offensive line is a necessary step in that direction.

The Jaguars’ offensive line looks to be a much more steady group after last season’s debacle. The team signed former Buffalo center Mitch Morse in the offseason, shoring up the middle of their line and giving Trevor Lawrence an added layer of protection.

This offensive line will take on a group that lost two key defensive linemen this offseason, Christian Wilkins and Andrew Van Ginkel. It’s unclear if star pass rusher Jaelan Phillips will be playing at full speed coming off a torn Achilles last season.

Yet, Miami’s defensive front and pass rush still feature a fair amount of talent for Jacksonville to contend with.

The Dolphins will likely deploy first-round selection Chop Robinson in sub-packages as a third-down pass rusher, using his speed and explosiveness to get by the likes of tackles Cam Robinson and Anton Harrison.

Defensive tackle Zach Sieler, meanwhile, could prove to be a handful for guards Ezra Cleveland and Brandon Scherff.

If the Jaguars can limit the Dolphins’ pressures while adding some creativity to their offensive scheme, their chances of victory will increase.

Trevor Lawrence vs. Tua Tagovailoa 

While it’s impossible for quarterbacks to have a legitimate one-on-one matchup, the dual between these two signal callers will be quite intriguing for fans of both teams and those of the wider NFL.

Lawrence and Tagovailoa were on the receiving end of historic contract extensions this offseason, with the former receiving a five-year, $275 million extension and the latter four years, $212.4 million.

Now, the two quarterbacks will go toe-to-toe to showcase why they deserved their top-dollar contracts.

The biggest question with Lawrence entering the season is if he can remain consistent and play to the level that got Jacksonville off to an 8-3 start in 2023.

The former No. 1 overall selection is looking to prove he is still one of the better signal-callers in the game. The former Clemson standout had issues last season with protecting the ball and some have questioned whether he still be an elite quarterback in the NFL.

This will be a good first test for Lawrence against a defense coached by new defensive coordinator Anthony Weaver. There’s no question he’s a better talent than Tagovailoa, but both have their own approaches to how they play.

Tagovailoa understands how to operate the offense he plays while being a high-level processor to distribute the ball to his playmakers. Lawrence has the same capability but with a gunslinger mentality, inviting risks. Who makes the biggest throw in the biggest moment will be key on Sunday. 

The Dolphins will likely be another strong defensive unit that will likely give any quarterback fits, especially with safety Jevon Holland and, if he is available, cornerback Jalen Ramsey in the secondary. 

A win and a strong outing by Lawrence & Co. at Hard Rock Stadium will give Jacksonville a bolt of confidence heading into their home opener against the Cleveland Browns.