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Kentucky at Florida odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Kentucky at Florida odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Kentucky Wildcats (18-9, 9-5 SEC) battle the Florida Gators (14-13, 7-7) at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center Wednesday. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Kentucky vs. Florida odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

The Wildcats beat the Gators 72-67 at home on Feb. 4, covering as 4.5-point favorites. The Over 132.5 hit.

The Wildcats enter off a 66-54 victory over Tennessee Saturday, covering as 1.5-point home underdogs. They are 4-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last 6 games and 12-14-1 ATS on the season.

The Gators are coming off an 84-65 loss at Arkansas Saturday, failing to cover as 8.5-point road underdogs. They are 1-4 ATS over their last 5 games and 13-14 ATS on the season.

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Kentucky at Florida odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:12 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Kentucky -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Florida +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Against the spread (ATS): Kentucky -2.5 (-110) | Florida +2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 140.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Kentucky at Florida picks and predictions

Prediction

Kentucky 70, Florida 65

Moneyline

AVOID.

Kentucky (-140) may look enticing as a moneyline play, especially coming off a win against Tennessee. However, Florida is 9-4 straight up at home.

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Against the spread

LEAN KENTUCKY -2.5 (-110).

The Wildcats have been rolling as of late, and the Gators haven’t been great ATS at home.

Florida is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games, 4-6 ATS as an underdog this season and just 7-6 ATS at home. The Cats are 4-1 ATS over their last 5 road games as well.

Kentucky also matches up well and the size to limit F Colin Castleton, the Gators’ leading scorer. Back KENTUCKY -2.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 140.5 (-115).

The Wildcats have been better offensively as of late, and are 6-1 O/U in their last 7 outings. At this total though, they haven’t been great this season. They are 5-6 O/U with a total that closed at 140.5 or more points. The Gators, on the other hand, are 7-7 O/U in conference play and 4-6 O/U as an underdog.

Given that the size that both teams possess should counter the top scorers (Castleton for Florida and C Oscar Tshiebwe for Kentucky), back UNDER 140.5 (-115).

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Florida at Alabama odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Florida at Alabama odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Florida Gators (13-10, 6-4 SEC) take on the No. 3 Alabama Crimson Tide (20-3, 10-0) Wednesday. Tip from Coleman Coliseum is set for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Florida vs. Alabama odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Florida fell 72-67 on the road at Kentucky on Saturday, barely failing to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. It is 6-3 outright in its last 9 games and 6-3 against the spread (ATS) in that span. On the season, the Gators are 12-11 ATS.

Alabama took down LSU 79-69 on Saturday, also barely failing to cover as 11-point road favorites. It is 9-1 in its last 10 games and 7-3 ATS in that span. The Crimson Tide are 13-9-1 ATS this season.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Florida at Alabama odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:36 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Off the board
Against the spread (ATS): Florida +9.5 (-120) | Alabama -9.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Florida at Alabama picks and predictions

Prediction

Alabama 71, Florida 59

Moneyline

Not available. And even if it was, the moneyline would not be worth a play on heavily-favored Alabama.

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Against the spread

LEAN ALABAMA -9.5 (+100).

While the Gators have played well recently, they have struggled to score. Their offense ranks 245th in FG percentage (43.4%) and 265th in 3-point FG percentage (32.4%) while Alabama’s defense has excelled in those categories ranking 3rd in opponent FG percentage (37.3%) and 2nd in opponent 3-point FG percentage (26.1%).

Coupled with those stats, the Crimson Tide have played great at home this season, going 11-0 including a 57-point win over Vanderbilt on Jan. 31.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 148.5 (-115).

The Under is 7-1 in the Gators’ last 8 road games, 6-1 in their last 7 Wednesday games, and 12-2 in their last 14 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600.

As it stands, 148.5 points would be the 2nd-highest closing line in Florida’s last 10 games; its O/U record in those 10 games is 3-7. Florida also has a season O/U record of just 8-15.

For the Crimson Tide, the Under is 5-0 in their last 5 games against a team with a road winning percentage under .400, the Under is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall, 5-1 in their last 6 home games, and 4-1 in their last 5 games following an outright win.

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Tennessee at Florida odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Tennessee at Florida odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 2 Tennessee Volunteers (18-3, 7-1 SEC) face the rival Florida Gators (12-9, 5-3) in Gainesville Wednesday. Tip from Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center is at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Tennessee vs. Florida odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Tennessee enters on a 4-game win streak, most recently recording an 82-71 victory as a 5.5-point favorite against current-No. 9 Texas Saturday. That victory displayed the Volunteers’ ability to win by outscoring opponents and not just by using their elite defense to shut teams down.

Florida allows 65.0 points per game (60th) and will be able to hold down the Volunteers, but Tennessee is 1st in the nation with 54.5 points allowed per game and an opponents’ field-goal percentage of 34.5%. Florida’s mediocre offense (71.9 points per game, 174th) will be forced into bad shots all night.

Florida ranks 23rd in the nation with an opponents’ field-goal percentage of 39.7% and will need to force the Volunteers into plenty of scoreless possessions if they want to try to pull off an upset.

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Tennessee at Florida odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Tennessee -240 (bet $240 to win $100) | Florida +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
Against the spread (ATS): Tennessee -5.5 (-105) | Florida +5.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 132.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Tennessee at Florida picks and predictions

Prediction

Tennessee 68, Florida 61

Moneyline

PASS.

Tennessee comes in on a 4-game win streak since losing to Kentucky on Jan. 14. An 82-71 win over current-No. 9 Texas Saturday followed a 70-41 demolition of Georgia last Wednesday.

Florida is much more like the latter and a low-scoring affair is in store for Gainesville on Wednesday.

Despite that Tennessee (-240) is likely to win, that’s far too steep for a standalone wager. However, it’s a fine addition to a parlay.

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Against the spread

BET TENNESSEE -5.5 (-105).

Tennessee is battle-tested this season with matchups against top-10 opponents in Texas and Arizona. The Volunteers’ defense will once again hold a lesser team to minimal points and will be able to run away from the Gators. The line should be closer to 8 points, so the 2.5 points of value make this a strong play.

Over/Under

UNDER 132.5 (-115) is the play on the total.

Both teams have elite defenses and neither offense is potent, both scoring fewer than 75 points per game.

Tennessee put up 82 in its win over Texas, but that was against a Longhorns team whose offensive prowess determined the need to do so. The Gators’ offense will not make this needed, and a defensive game is more likely in this SEC tilt.

Tennessee held Georgia to 41 in its last conference game and it will be able to hold Florida to the high 50s Wednesday.

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Florida at Auburn odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Florida at Auburn odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Florida Gators (7-5) and the No. 23 Auburn Tigers (10-2) meet Wednesday at Neville Arena in Auburn, Ala. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Florida vs. Auburn odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

The Gators have had a tough time of it lately, dropping 2 of the last 3 games, while going just 5-5 SU in the previous 10 outings. Florida has managed a dismal 4-7 ATS mark in the last 11 games, too. The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 games.

The Tigers rebounded from a 74-71 loss at USC, taking out its frustration on Washington in an 84-61 win in Seattle last Wednesday, easily covering as a 3-point favorite. Quite the opposite of Florida, the Over has cashed in 5 in a row for Auburn.

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Florida at Auburn odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:43 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Florida +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Auburn -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Florida +5.5 (-110) | Auburn -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Florida at Auburn picks and predictions

Prediction

Auburn 79, Florida 64

Moneyline

PASS. Don’t even think about it.

Against the spread

AUBURN -5.5 (-110) is a strong play, especially playing on its home floor in the Southeastern Conference opener.

Florida +5.5 (-110) has struggled against the number lately, going 5-11 ATS in the last 16 games overall, while cashing just 1-5 ATS in the last 6 games on the road. The Gators are also a dismal 3-14 ATS in the last 17 contests against teams with a winning overall record, too.

The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this series, while the favorite has cashed at an 8-2 ATS clip in the previous 10 meetings.

Over/Under

OVER 141.5 (-110) is the lean, but go lightly, with a half-unit play at best.

The Over has hit in 5 in a row for Auburn. And while the Under has dominated for Florida lately, the Over is 5-2 in the last 7 games following a straight-up loss.

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Florida vs. Oklahoma odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Florida vs. Oklahoma odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Oklahoma Sooners (8-3) battle the Florida Gators (7-4) Tuesday at Spectrum Center in Charlotte, N.C.. Tip is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Florida vs. Oklahoma odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Gators destroyed the Ohio Bobcats 82-48 Wednesday, covering as 12.5-point favorites. Florida is 2-2 straight up in a neutral environment, have covered 3 of its last 4 games and is 5-6 against the spread (ATS) this season.

The Sooners are 3-1 straight up on a neutral court. They did not cover as 23-point home favorites in an 87-66 win against Central Arkansas Saturday. Oklahoma is also 5-6 ATS this season and is just 1-3 ATS over its last 4 games. The Sooners’ strength is in their offensive efficiency, ranking 4th in the NCAA in field goal percentage (51.5%).

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Florida vs. Oklahoma odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:10 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Florida +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Oklahoma -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Florida +3.5 (-115) | Oklahoma -3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Florida vs. Oklahoma picks and predictions

Prediction

Oklahoma 69, Florida 63

Moneyline

PASS.

I like Oklahoma (-170) here, but I would rather take the points than play them to win outright.

Against the spread

BET OKLAHOMA -3.5 (-105).

The two times that Florida has been an underdog this season, it lost 90-83 against Xavier as a 2-point ‘dog and 75-54 against UConn as a 4-point ‘dog. It is also just 1-3 ATS on a neutral court, having lost 2 of those 4 games by more than 3 points.

Oklahoma is 3-1 ATS on a neutral court and won all 3 of those covers by more than 3 points. They were a small favorite or an underdog in 2 of those games.

6-foot-2 Nevada transfer G Grant Sherfield is the real deal as well, shooting 55.4% from deep and averaging 17.6 points per game. Considering their strength in this environment, back OKLAHOMA -3.5 (-105).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 133.5 (-110).

Both teams are 5-6 O/U this season with the Gators having gone Under in 4 of their last 5 games.

C Colin Castleton, who is the main scorer for Florida, stands 6-foot-8, so he should be able to clog up the lane and make things difficult for Sherfield as well.

One of the 2 teams has scored 65 or fewer in all of Florida’s last 5 games. Considering the trends and the presence of Castleton, back the UNDER 133.5 (-110).

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Las Vegas Bowl: Florida vs. Oregon State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Florida vs. Oregon State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Florida Gators (6-6) and No. 16 Oregon State Beavers (9-3) clash in the 2022 Las Vegas Bowl Saturday at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Kickoff will be at 2:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Florida vs. Oregon State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Florida lost its last 2 regular-season games and is 2-4 over its last 6. The Gators’ defense has scuffled, allowing 40 or more points in 3 of those 4 setbacks. The UF defense finished the season with 28.8 points allowed per game, 11th in the SEC.

Oregon State — ranked 14th in the College Football Playoff rankings — is on a more solid trend line. The Beavers are 5-1 straight up and 6-0 against the spread over their last 6 games. Four of those covers were by double-digit margins for a squad that improved quite a bit on defense this season. The Beavers head into Saturday ranked 20th in the nation in defending the run (114.0 yards per game).

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Florida vs. Oregon State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Florida +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Oregon State -330 (bet $330 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Florida +8 (-108) | Oregon State -8 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 53 (O: -109 | U: -111)

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Florida vs. Oregon State picks and predictions

Prediction

Oregon State 31, Florida 24

Moneyline

Florida has a lot of players sitting this one out, and that includes starting QB Anthony Richardson. In steps Ohio State transfer QB Jack Miller as the signal caller. It’s still a talented UF roster hitting the field in Las Vegas, but perhaps one without much significant depth.

Oregon State may have a motivational edge here, and the Beavers have the run game to exploit a weakness in Florida’s defense.

Still, this number is a big lean toward OSU that has grown even bigger as we get nearer to kickoff. Consider a line watch and take Florida at +320 or better to capitalize on value, otherwise AVOID.

Against the spread

Florida’s talent base and prep time make, coupled with just too big of a line here which makes the GATORS +8 (-108) a small-confidence play.

Over/Under

Too much gray area with talent sitting this one out. There are some Over signals, but when you adjust for absences the game flow figures to make for a lot of running.

PASS.

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UConn at Florida odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Connecticut at Florida odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 5 UConn Huskies (9-0) travel to Gainesville to face the Florida Gators (6-3) Wednesday at 9 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UConn at Florida odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

After starting the season unranked, UConn has jumped to No. 5 early in the season and are now the favorites to win the Big East Conference over preseason pick Creighton.

UConn has used the Big East’s 2nd-ranked offense (82.9 PPG) to win games. Behind Adama Sanogo (18.7 PPG) the offense has been able to outpace its opponents while Sanogo also leads the Huskies at 6.9 rebounds per game.

Florida has also been able to count on its offense and its 81.0 PPG average is 4th in the SEC behind national leader Missouri, Alabama, and Kentucky. Florida, with 3 losses, is not to thay caliber yet. But by the end of the season, the Gators could be a dangerous team in the SEC.

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UConn at Florida State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): UConn -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Florida +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
Against the spread (ATS): UConn -4.5 (-105) | Florida +4.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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UConn at Florida picks and predictions

Prediction

UConn 85, Florida 76

Moneyline

PASS.

Unless you think the underdog will win, the ML wager does not make sense. UConn (-200) should win this game and taking Florida +150 is not an effective way to spend your money. UConn has showed no signs of struggles in any game this season and this game will be no different. Stay away from the ML.

Against the spread

BET UCONN -4.5 (-105).

While this is the 1st true road game for the Huskies, they have had plenty of games away from Storrs to get ready for this matchup.

Games in Porland against Oregon, Alabama and Iowa State have prepared them for a road tilt in Gainesville. While Florida will get better as the season goes on, the Huskies are good now and they will show it again Wednesday with a resounding victory. Take UCONN -4.5 (-105).

Over/Under

BET OVER 143.5 (-110).

With both teams averaging over 80 points per game, the number here of 143.5 is just a few points too low. I do not see either defense holding down the opposing offense and if this line stays under 147, I like the OVER 143.5 (-110) as my favorite play.

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Florida at Florida State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Florida at Florida State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Florida Gators (6-5) travel to Tallahassee to battle the in-state rival No. 16 Florida State Seminoles (8-3) Friday at 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Florida vs. Florida State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY sports.

Despite Anthony Richardson throwing for 400 yards Saturday, Florida was beaten 31-24 as 14-point favorites by the Vanderbilt Commodores. It was the 2nd time Richardson passed for more than 400 yards and the Gators lost (453 yards and 2 TD in the 38-33 loss to Tennessee on Sept. 24).

Florida State beat UL-Lafayette 49-17 on Saturday, covering the 22.5-point spread. The Seminoles ran for 251 yards. Against a Florida defense which is susceptible to the run, the Seminoles and QB Jordan Travis will look to replicate these numbers.

Although Travis was only 9 of 14 passing against UL-Lafayette for 112 yards and 1 TD, his true value is as a runner where he ran 5 times for 38 yards and 2 TDs. This will be a fun matchup of 2 elite running QBs. The winner will be the defense that can stop the other team’s QB more often.

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Florida at Florida State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:07 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Florida +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Florida State -370 (bet $370 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Florida +9.5 (-108) | Florida State -9.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 58 (O: -109 | U: -111)

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Florida at Florida State picks and predictions

Prediction

Florida State 41, Florida 27

Moneyline

PASS. Unless you think Florida can win there’s nothiing to look at here.

Against the spread

FLORIDA STATE -9.5 (-112).

Florida is on the right path for the future. Coach Billy Napier is bringing in the recruits Dan Mullen wouldn’t and 2023 will be a better year for the Gators. But Florida State has started its ascension this season under Travis and coach Mike Norville. After a Week 1 victory over LSU, the Seminoles has stayed hot for most of the season, and they will look to finish off strong.

Florida does not have the defense to hold up against FSU’s run game and it will show during this matchup. Florida State -9.5 (-112) is the way to go here, and this is my favorite play.

Over/Under

OVER 58 (-109).

Florida State might have to do much of the heavy lifting to get this game over, but I think it will.

After giving up 31 to Vanderbilt on Saturday, Florida and its mediocre defense will have nothing to control the run game of the Seminoles. While Florida State has a solid defense, Richardson will be able to once again use his arm and legs to get scores in this matchup.

Florida is not likely to make this interesting or close, but they will score enough, even if it is in garbage time, to take this game Over the total of 58 (-109).

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Florida vs. Georgia odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Florida vs. Georgia odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Florida Gators (4-3, 1-3 SEC) and the No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (7-0, 4-0) play Saturday at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Fla. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Florida vs. Georgia odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Gators hit the road for their annual neutral-site battle against the rival Bulldogs. These teams are back at TIAA Bank Field after playing on campus in Gainesville last season, a 34-7 win by the Bulldogs.

The Bulldogs are coming off a 55-0 win over Vanderbilt on Oct. 15, and have outscored their last 2 opponents 97-10. It’s UGA’s first back-to-back covers of the season. Georgia hasn’t covered three in a row since Sept. 25-Oct. 9, 2021.

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Florida vs. Georgia odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 6:33 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Florida +900 (bet $100 to win $900) | Georgia -2000 (bet $2,000 to win $100)
Against the spread: Florida +22.5 (-108) | Georgia -22.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 56.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Florida vs. Georgia picks and predictions

Prediction

Georgia 37, Florida 18

Moneyline

Georgia (-2000) will cost you 20 times your potential return, and there is never a reason to bet a favorite so heavy — especially in a rivalry game. You just never know.

PASS.

Against the spread

FLORIDA +22.5 (-108) is worth a look in this rivalry game.

The Gators are looking to avoid consecutive losses for the first time in the Billy Napier era. The offense hasn’t been the problem for UF, as it has scored 29 or more points in 5 of its 7 games to date, but the defense has coughed up 26 or more points in 5 outings, too.

Florida has actually been dusted for 436.9 total yards per game to rank 112th, and it is even worse with 192.6 rushing yards per outing to check in 115th. However, Georgia will still have a difficult time getting the cover as QB Anthony Richardson will make some big plays to keep Florida in it.

Over/Under

UNDER 56.5 (-110) is the lean here, ever so slightly.

The Under is 7-3-1 in the previous 11 meetings in this series. The Under is also 5-2 in the past 7 games for Florida against winning teams, too.

It’s all about the Under for the Georgia side, too. The Under is 7-1-1 in the previous 9 outings dating back to last season while going 6-1 in the past 7 neutral-site games and 4-1 in the past 5 SEC contests.

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Missouri at Florida odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Missouri at Florida odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Missouri Tigers (2-3, 0-2 SEC) head to Gainesville to take on the Florida Gators (3-2, 0-2) Saturday. Kickoff is at noon ET (ESPNU). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Missouri vs. Florida odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Both of these teams are looking for their first SEC victory. Missouri is coming off what might be the best definition of a “moral victory” in recent team history. The Tigers lost 26-22 to Georgia last Saturday as 31-point underdogs. Mizzou led most of the game, too — the Bulldogs didn’t take their first lead until late in the 4th quarter.

Florida is coming off a blowout 52-17 victory over Eastern Washington Sunday, covering the spread as a 32-point favorite. Florida QB Anthony Richardson has a combined 693 passing yards, 6 total TDs and 2 INTs over the team’s last 2 games.

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Missouri at Florida odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:05 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Missouri +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Florida -475 (bet $475 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Missouri +10.5 (-108) | Florida -10.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Missouri at Florida picks and predictions

Prediction

Missouri 30, Florida 27

Moneyline

MISSOURI (+360) has an attractive moneyline for those looking for an underdog to get them more than 3 and a half times their money back. The Tigers played their best football of the season last week by battling Georgia close and lost a close overtime road game against Auburn (17-14) Sept. 24. Mizzou should be fired up to get its first conference win of the season.

Against the spread

If you’re feeling the Tigers but aren’t quite trusting that they can pull off a road victory in The Swamp, take MISSOURI +10.5 (-108) to cover a spread that’s way too big.

Missouri’s defense played great against one of the best teams in the country last week, and while the Tigers’ offense isn’t top-tier, neither is Florida’s defense which is allowing 193.2 yards rushing per game (113th). Mizzou should take advantage after its RBs earned 126 yards on the ground against the Bulldogs last week.

Over/Under

This is a true wild card, with the Over going 1-4 in Mizzou’s games and 3-2 in Florida’s games this season. Florida is averaging 32.2 points per game, while Mizzou is putting up 26.8 per game. However, with Mizzou’s defense playing well, Florida may have trouble getting over its season average. I’d AVOID the Over/Under for this matchup.

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Want action on this game or any other NCAA football matchup? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

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