Florida State at Wake Forest odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Florida State Seminoles at Wake Forest Demon Deacons odds and lines, with college football expert picks and predictions.

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The Florida State Seminoles (7-0, 5-0 ACC) and Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-3, 1-3) clash in a Saturday noon ET (ABC) game at Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium in Winston-Salem. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Florida State vs. Wake Forest odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Florida State is No. 4 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. The Seminoles remained unbeaten with a 38-20 win over the then-No. 17 Duke Blue Devils last Saturday. The 5th-highest scoring team in FBS (41.6 points per game) now hits the road for the 1st time in over a month.

The Demon Deacons have had no such lofty scoring numbers of late, but last Saturday they snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 21-17 home win over the Pittsburgh Panthers. Wake Forest has averaged just 15.5 PPG over its last 4 games.

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Florida State at Wake Forest odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Florida State -1400 (bet $1,400 to win $100) | Wake Forest +800 (bet $100 to win $800)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Florida State -20.5 (-110) | Wake Forest +20.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Florida State at Wake Forest picks and predictions

Prediction

Florida State 27, Wake Forest 13

Moneyline

Wake is the slight lean against the number, but its real win probability is not fairly rewarded here. PASS.

Against the spread

The Deacons have won 4 in a row ATS as a double-digit underdog, including being a +21 at Clemson earlier this month and losing that game 17-12. Wake has had a couple of recent ATS losses very much colored by turnover/short-field leakage.

FSU has converted 75% of its red-zone trips into TDs to lead the ACC. On defense, Wake Forest leads the ACC in that category, allowing foes in the red zone to score TDs just 36.8% of the time. How that strength-on-strength matchup plays out is a big factor here.

With a likable Under, this is a big number for Florida State to cover, even as it looks to avenge 3 straight losses to the Deacons.

The lean is on the home side, but its a small-to-moderate one. Consider a half-unit on WAKE FOREST +20.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The total has gone Under in 5 consecutive FSU-WFU games. The total has also gone Under in 4 of Florida State’s last 5 games on the road. And the Under has cashed in 5 straight Wake Forest games.

Look for Florida State to take an early lead and for a very strong Seminoles pass defense to stifle a Wake comeback effort through the air. FSU trends toward a slower pace, and it should control the pigskin and clock time in this one.

BACK THE UNDER 51.5 (-110).

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Duke at Florida State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Duke Blue Devils at Florida State Seminoles odds and lines, with college football expert picks and predictions.

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The No. 17 Duke Blue Devils (5-1, 2-0 ACC) and No. 4 Florida State Seminoles (6-0, 4-0) tangle Saturday at Doak Campbell Stadium. Kickoff is slated for 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Duke vs. Florida State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Blue Devils came off a bye week to beat N.C. State 24-3 last Saturday. Duke has exhibited a decent run game (198.5 yards per game) and a staunch defense. It has held foes to 14 points or fewer in each win and is allowing only 9.8 points per game (4th in FBS).

Florida State sports a more versatile offense. The Seminoles rank 12th in yards per rush (5.5), but they’ve also managed 272.0 passing YPG (36th). Last Saturday, FSU cranked out 535 total yards in a 41-3 win over Syracuse. The ‘Noles take the field in this contest with a 21-0 all-time record against Duke.

Florida State is No. 4 and Duke is No. 17 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Duke at Florida State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:12 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Duke +450 (bet $100 to win $450) | Florida State -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Duke +14.5 (-110) | Florida State -14.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Duke at Florida State picks and predictions

Prediction

Florida State 34, Duke 17

Moneyline

No lean and no interest wading through the amount of juice between these prices. PASS.

Against the spread

Since 1995, FSU is 12-5 ATS in this series. But figure this one as highly probable to land in the Seminoles-by-13-to-20 bucket. Your fellow bettors have this one surrounded. Move along.

STEER CLEAR.

Over/Under

Duke has hit the Over in its last 4 road games (+4.00 units, 91% ROI). Florida State has hit the Over in 7 of its last 8 games at home (+5.90 units, 67% ROI).

The last meeting was in 2020, and the ‘Noles won that one 56-35. This one should involve more defense, but the Over is still a likable play.

Duke’s diversity on 1st down plays them to enough of an advantage, and that’s how they can counteract FSU’s competency on pass defense.

Both teams excel in turning redzone trips into touchdowns. Both play at relatively slow paces, but the tempo for each has picked up in recent weeks. So, look for a final tally with a good enough chance to reach the mid-to-high 50s.

The total here looks to be highly influenced by a couple recent games on each side. Those contests are rife with awful 3rd-down performances and untimely drive-ending turnovers.

On a benign-weather evening in Tallahassee, BACK THE OVER 49.5 (-110).

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First look: Duke at Florida State odds and lines

Looking at Saturday’s Duke Blue Devils at Florida State Seminoles college football odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

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The Duke Blue Devils (5-1, 2-0 ACC) and Florida State Seminoles (6-0, 4-0) tangle Saturday in Tallahassee. Kickoff in the Atlantic Coast Conference battle at Doak Campbell Stadium is slated for 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we look at Duke vs. Florida State odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Also see: SportsbookWire’s college football picks and predictions.

Duke is No. 17 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. The Blue Devils came off a bye week to beat N.C. State 24-3 on Saturday. Duke has exhibited a decent run game (198.5 yards per game) and a staunch defense. It has held foes to 14 points or less in each win and allows only 9.8 points per game (4th-best in the nation), and its 4.5 yards allowed per play ranks 11th in the nation.

No. 4 Florida State sports a more versatile offense. The Seminoles rank 12th in yards per rush (5.5), but they’ve also managed 272.0 passing YPG (36th). On Saturday, FSU cranked out 535 total yards in a 41-3 win over Syracuse.

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Duke at Florida State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 6:55  p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Duke +480 (bet $100 to win $480) | Florida State -690 (bet $690 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Duke +13.5 (-102) | Florida State -13.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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2023 betting stats

  • ML: Duke 5-1 | Florida State 6-0
  • ATS: Duke 4-2 | Florida State 4-2
  • O/U: Duke 2-3-1 | Florida State 4-2

Duke vs. Florida State head-to-head

Duke and FSU will meet for the 22nd time and the Seminoles have never lost to Duke. They lead the series 19-0 (wins in 2006-07 were vacated) and all but 4 of those games have been decided by margins of 3 scores or more. Since 1995, FSU is 12-5 ATS.

The last meeting was in 2020 and the ‘Noles won 56-35.

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Syracuse at Florida State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Syracuse at Florida State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Syracuse Orange (4-2, 0-2 ACC) visit the 4th-ranked Florida State Seminoles (5-0, 3-0) on Saturday. Kickoff from Doak Campbell Stadium is set for noon E.T. (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Syracuse vs. Florida State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Syracuse was blown out 40-7 by the North Carolina Tar Heels last week while failing to cover as a 9.5-point road underdog. QB Garrett Shrader went 15 of 21 for 124 yards and an INT while RB LeQuint Allen had the only Orange TD. The Syracuse defense had no answers for UNC QB Drake Maye, who threw for 442 yards and 3 TDs.

Florida State took down Virginia Tech 39-17 last week while failing to cover as a 23.5-point home favorite. QB Jordan Travis threw for 170 yards and 2 TDs while RB Trey Benson ran the ball 11 times for 200 yards and 2 TDs. In total, the Seminoles had 282 rushing yards for 3 TDs.

Florida State is No. 4 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Syracuse at Florida State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:35 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Syracuse +575 (bet $100 to win $575) | Florida State -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Syracuse +17.5 (-110) | Florida State -17.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 54.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Syracuse at Florida State picks and predictions

Prediction

Florida State 37, Syracuse 21

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no money to be made betting on Florida State at -900. They are a justifiable heavy favorite in this matchup after a poor performance from Syracuse last week. This should be an easy victory for the Seminoles. At best, include the Florida State ML in a parlay to increase your odds for an easy leg.

Against the spread

LEAN SYRACUSE +17.5 (-110).

While Florida State is the clear favorite, it has not had a dominant win in the past 3 weeks and is just 1-3 ATS in its last 4 games as a double-digit favorite. The Seminoles defense has been their biggest liability this season and that is what will keep Syracuse in this game enough to cover the spread.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 54.5 (-105).

Syracuse is just 1-4 on Overs this season while only scoring 21 combined points in the last 2 games. The Seminoles have not scored more than 39 points in any of their last 3 games and have played closer games of late resulting in the Under hitting at a higher rate.

The Under is also 1-5 in the last 6 meetings between these programs dating back to 2016.

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Virginia Tech at Florida State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Virginia Tech at Florida State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Virginia Tech Hokies (2-3, 1-0 ACC) and the No. 5 Florida State Seminoles (4-0, 2-0 ACC) meet Saturday at Doak Campbell Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Virginia Tech vs. Florida State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Hokies snapped a 3-game losing skid with a 38-21 victory over Pittsburgh in their conference opener last Saturday. Virginia Tech was a 3-point underdog in that one and easily cashed the Over (40.5). The cover ended a 0-3 against the spread (ATS) run and improved the Hokies to 2-3 ATS on the year.

Florida State returns to the field for the first time since their 31-24 victory over Clemson in Death Valley on Sept 23. The Seminoles have scored over 50 points per game at Doak Campbell Stadium but this is their ACC home opener. They have covered in 3 of their 4 games this season and have cashed the Over in 3 of 4 as well.

The Seminoles are ranked No. 5 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Virginia Tech at Florida State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Virginia Tech +1100 (bet $100 to win $1,100) | Florida State -2500 (bet $2,500 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Virginia Tech +23.5 (-105) | Florida State -23.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Virginia Tech at Florida State picks and predictions

Prediction

Florida State 45, Virginia Tech 20

Moneyline

Florida State (-1100) should have no problems with Virginia Tech Saturday, but no way you should ever bet $1100 to win $100.

AVOID.

Against the spread

PASS.

This is a big number to cover even in a lopsided matchup like this one. I am always wary when you’ve got this big of a favorite in a conference game. I do lean towards Florida State covering this game but not enough to make this bet.

These programs have played tight games, and Virginia Tech is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Each of their last 5 games against each other has had a margin over victory of 21 points or fewer.

Over/Under

BET OVER 52.5 (-115).

Florida State has gone over this total score in all 4 of their games this season. Virginia Tech cleared this in their last game against Pittsburgh.

The two have gone over in 4 of their 5 head-to-head matchups.

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Florida State at Clemson odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Florida State at Clemson odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 3 Florida State Seminoles (3-0) travel to Death Valley to take on the No. 23 Clemson Tigers (2-1, 0-1 ACC) Saturday at 12p.m. (ABC). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Florida State vs. Clemson odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Florida State suffered a couple of scares last Saturday against Boston College. The first scare was that the Seminoles barely prevailed 31-29 as 27.5-point favorites despite being ahead by 21 points in the 3rd quarter. The second scare was when QB Jordan Travis came up injured at the end of the 1st half. Lucky for the Seminoles, Travis was able to return to the game following halftime or they may have lost a game they should easily win.

Clemson has recorded back-to-back victories after losing its season opener to Duke 31-13. The Tigers recorded a 48-14 victory at home last Saturday against Florida Atlantic, comfortably covering as 24.5-point favorites. While Florida State and Florida Atlantic are only separated by 442 miles, the difference in talent is much greater. This discrepancy is something the Tigers will need to overcome if they want to avoid starting 0-2 in conference play.

Florida State is No. 3 and Clemson is No. 23 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Florida State at Clemson odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 12:25 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Florida State -134 (bet $134 to win $100) | Clemson +112 (bet $100 to win $112)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Florida State -2.5 (-110) | Clemson +2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Florida State at Clemson picks and predictions

Prediction

Florida State 34, Clemson 27

Moneyline

PASS.

While Florida State at -134 is excellent value, the likelihood of the team winning by 1 or 2 points and not covering the spread is not worth the extra .24 of juice.

The Tigers have been an up-and-down team this season and the Seminoles have probably gotten their clunker out of the way. We saw in the Week 1 demolition of LSU what Florida State can do, and much of the same could be set to happen here.

Against the spread

BET FLORIDA STATE -2.5 (-110).

Despite Clemson winning the last 7 matchups in this series, Florida State has taken it to a different level in 2023 while Clemson is stuck in 2016 mode.

Travis has thrown for 739 yards so far this season with 8 TDs and 1 INT for the Seminoles and with six-foot-seven WR Johnny Wilson and six-foot-four WR Keon Coleman hauling down passes, it is a difficult position for any team to try and stop them.

Although the FSU defense has not been as good as hoped, DL Jared Verse is still a 1st-round NFL talent player and has the ability to get through a less-than-solid offensive line in Clemson. The Seminoles should be able to get pressure and disrupt Tigers QB Cade Klubnik.

FSU will put up enough points to stay ahead of Clemson and cover this short line.

Over/Under

BET OVER 55.5 (-105).

Not only is Florida State rolling on offense in 2023, but Clemson finally came to life in a 48-14-win Saturday over Florida Atlantic.

This matchup has gone Over in 6 of its last 10 meetings and many of those meetings came with Clemson having a top 5 defense. Clemson went to Tallahassee and scored a 34-28 victory over FSU when these teams met last season, comfortably cashing the Over (51).

FSU has playoffs on its mind in 2023, but it must win this game and do it handily to get there. Most of the damage might be taken care of here before halftime and both teams will continue to use their first-team offense as this game should stay close throughout.

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First look: Florida State at Clemson odds and lines

Looking at Saturday’s Florida State at Clemson college football odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

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The No. 3 Florida State Seminoles (3-0) will travel to Death Valley to battle the No. 23 Clemson Tigers (2-1) Saturday at noon ET (ABC). Below, we look at Florida State vs. Clemson odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Also see: SportsbookWire’s college football picks and predictions.

After Florida State defeated LSU 45-21 in Week 1, thoughts were rampant the Seminoles were going to roll to the playoffs. After a tricky game Saturday, a 31-29 thriller against Boston College, these thoughts have tempered a bit. But this could just be the wakeup call Mike Norvell and Florida State needed heading into its biggest matchup of the year against Clemson.

For Clemson, a 28-7 Week 1 embarrassment to Duke has left them reeling. But it was also the wakeup call it needed as it has rallied for 2 straight wins, including defeating Florida Atlantic 48-14 Saturday.

This will be the game of the year in the ACC and the winner will have the inside track at being the top seed heading into the ACC Championship game.

Rankings courtesy of the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

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Florida State at Clemson odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Florida State -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Clemson +104 (bet $100 to win $104)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Florida State -2.5 (-105) | Clemson +2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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2023 betting stats

  • ML: Florida State 3-0 | Clemson 2-1
  • ATS: Florida State 2-1 | Clemson 1-2
  • O/U: Florida State 3-0 | Clemson 2-1

Florida State vs. Clemson head-to-head

The past 10 games in this series have been thoroughly dominated by the Tigers. Clemson has a 7-3 S/U advantage in this game. Meanwhile, it also has covered in 7 of 10 games and the Under has hit in 6 of 10 games.

During a 3-game losing streak in 2022, Florida State lost this game 34-28 as 4.5-point underdogs at home in Tallahassee. This will be in Clemson and the Seminoles will look to take revenge and control of the ACC with a victory.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire

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Florida State at Boston College odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Florida State at Boston College odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Florida State Seminoles (2-0) hit the road to battle the Boston College Eagles (1-1) on Saturday. Kickoff from Alumni Stadium is set for noon ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Florida State vs. Boston College odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Florida State is looking for its 3rd win in a row after knocking off LSU 45-24 in its opening week and rolling past Southern Mississippi 66-13 last week. While the Seminoles had 4 passing TDs, it was the running game that was most impressive. FSU had 306 yards and 4 rushing TDs. RB Trey Benson led the way with 79 yards and 3 TDs on 9 carries.

Boston College dropped its 1st game to Northern Illinois 27-24, but bounced back with a 31-28 victory against Holy Cross. RB Kye Robichaux rushed 19 times for 94 yards and a TD in the victory.

Florida State is No. 3 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Florida State at Boston College odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:21 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Florida State -5000 (bet $5000 to win $100) | Boston College +1500 (bet $100 to win $1500)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Florida State -26.5 (-110) | Boston College +26.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Florida State at Boston College picks and predictions

Prediction

Florida State 42, Boston College 14

Moneyline

PASS.

At -5000 odds, there is no profit to be made on a Florida State team that should undoubtedly win on Saturday.

Against the spread

LEAN FLORIDA STATE -26.5 (-110).

Boston College has given up 27 and 28 points respectively in each of its first 2 weeks against much less talented offenses than that of the Seminoles.

On the other hand, Florida State has scored 45 and 66 points respectively in each of its first 2 games with their offense looking unstoppable. Look for the Seminoles to find success both through the air and on the ground while their defense haunts the Eagles offense.

Over/Under

BET OVER 48 (-110).

With the Seminoles high-powered offense, expect them to carry much of the point scoring load. They have almost surpassed this total on their own in their previous 2 games. On the other side of the football, the Eagles offense has shown through their 1st 2 weeks it is capable of putting the ball in the end zone, which should result in the Over hitting easily.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @seth_orlemann on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire

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Southern Miss at Florida State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Southern Miss at Florida State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Southern Miss Golden Eagles (1-0) and the Florida State Seminoles (1-0) meet Saturday at Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Southern Miss vs. Florida State game odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Southern Miss pounded Alcorn State of the FCS last Saturday in Hattiesburg, 40-14. The Golden Eagles totaled 441 yards of offense, while passing for 296 yards. It held Alcorn State to just 44 passing yards and 3.1 yards per pass, and USM won the turnover battle with a plus-1 ratio. The Golden Eagles also had 25 first downs to just 8 for the Braves.

Florida State opened with a 45-24 thrashing of LSU in a battle of top-10 teams in Orlando last Sunday. QB Jordan Travis registered 5 total TDs, while WR Keon Coleman hauled in 3 of the scores in his team debut. Coleman tied for the record for the most receiving TDs in a single game by an FSU player in the past 25 years.

Florida State is No. 5 in the USA TODAY Sports AFCA Coaches Poll.

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Southern Miss at Florida State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Southern Miss +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000) | Florida State -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Southern Miss +31 (-110) | Florida State -31 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 53 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Southern Miss at Florida State picks and predictions

Prediction

Florida State 48, Southern Miss 14

Moneyline

Florida State (-10000) will cost you $100 for every $1 won, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward. No one needs a buck that badly.

PASS.

Against the spread

FLORIDA STATE -31 (-110) is worth a look laying the points in its home opener.

FSU won 5 of its 7 games at home, building momentum heading into 2023. The Seminoles split 3-3 ATS in 6 games at home against FBS teams, and it has won the past 6 regular-season games, while going 5-1 against the spread (ATS) during the span.

This bet comes with some risk, however, as Southern Miss +31 (-110) covered 5 of 6 games on the road last season, including an outright win at Tulane, a team which ended up in the Cotton Bowl.

Over/Under

OVER 53 (-110) might be the best play on the board, and Florida State might be able to take care of it on its own with its high-octane offense.

Southern Miss cashed the Over last weekend against Alcorn State, and the Over is 6-1 in the past 7 games overall dating back to Oct. 27, 2022.

Florida State also hit the Over against LSU last weekend, and the Over has hit in 4 straight dating back to last season, while going 6-2 in the past 8 games overall.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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LSU vs. Florida State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s LSU vs. Florida State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 5 LSU Tigers (0-0) and No. 8 Florida State Seminoles (0-0) meet in Sunday night’s Camping World Kickoff in Orlando. Kickoff at Camping World Stadium is slated for 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the  LSU vs. Florida State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Louisiana State went 10-4 a year ago, averaging 34.5 points per game and yielding 22.5. The Tigers lost to these Seminoles 24-23 in a season-opening game that included a blocked extra point with no time remaining. Then LSU  went on to win 9 of its next 10 games and eventually represent the SEC West in that league’s title game.

The No. 8 Seminoles went 10-3 in 2022; they averaged 36.1 PPG while allowing 20.6 PPG. All 3 of Florida State’s losses came in a 3-week stretch from Oct. 1-15 and came against ranked foes; the last 2 were in games decided by 1 score.

FSU is 8-2 across 10 all-time meetings against LSU. The ‘Noles and Tigers first met in 1968.

LSU is No. 5, and FSU is No. 8 in the USA TODAY Sports AFCA Coaches Poll

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LSU vs. Florida State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:50 a.m. ET,

  • Moneyline: LSU -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Florida State +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread (ATS): LSU -2.5 (-105) | Florida State +2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 56.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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LSU vs. Florida State picks and predictions

Prediction

LSU 27, Florida State 24

Moneyline

FSU was in control of last year’s game 24-10 at the 5-minute mark. The Tigers got back in the game late after struggling to move the ball early. LSU’s 3 touchdown drives were of 82, 75 and 99 yards; all came in the final 16 minutes.

The Tigers are the lean in a revenge game, even one played in the state of Florida. An LSU -120 play would have enough leverage. But PASS on the current tag.

Against the spread

The 247 Talent Composite gives LSU a significant edge in a roster comparison with the Seminoles. Look for the Tigers to be able to run the ball and be adequate in slowing the FSU ground game.

The 2022 ‘Noles would sometimes be too dependent on 3rd-down success; that could well bite them in this battle.

Peg the Bayou Bengals as being the more battle-tested in this matchup.

BACK LSU -2.5 (-105).

Over/Under

Figure this contest leaning toward some run-game clock compression. But the total has dropped a couple points during the week; it hopped under a couple mid-level key numbers (58, 57) in the process.

STEER CLEAR.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
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