The Florida Gators (13-10, 6-4 SEC) take on the No. 3 Alabama Crimson Tide (20-3, 10-0) Wednesday. Tip from Coleman Coliseum is set for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Florida vs. Alabama odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Florida fell 72-67 on the road at Kentucky on Saturday, barely failing to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. It is 6-3 outright in its last 9 games and 6-3 against the spread (ATS) in that span. On the season, the Gators are 12-11 ATS.
Alabama took down LSU 79-69 on Saturday, also barely failing to cover as 11-point road favorites. It is 9-1 in its last 10 games and 7-3 ATS in that span. The Crimson Tide are 13-9-1 ATS this season.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
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Florida at Alabama odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:36 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Off the board
- Against the spread (ATS): Florida +9.5 (-120) | Alabama -9.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Florida at Alabama picks and predictions
Prediction
Alabama 71, Florida 59
Moneyline
Not available. And even if it was, the moneyline would not be worth a play on heavily-favored Alabama.
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Against the spread
LEAN ALABAMA -9.5 (+100).
While the Gators have played well recently, they have struggled to score. Their offense ranks 245th in FG percentage (43.4%) and 265th in 3-point FG percentage (32.4%) while Alabama’s defense has excelled in those categories ranking 3rd in opponent FG percentage (37.3%) and 2nd in opponent 3-point FG percentage (26.1%).
Coupled with those stats, the Crimson Tide have played great at home this season, going 11-0 including a 57-point win over Vanderbilt on Jan. 31.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 148.5 (-115).
The Under is 7-1 in the Gators’ last 8 road games, 6-1 in their last 7 Wednesday games, and 12-2 in their last 14 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600.
As it stands, 148.5 points would be the 2nd-highest closing line in Florida’s last 10 games; its O/U record in those 10 games is 3-7. Florida also has a season O/U record of just 8-15.
For the Crimson Tide, the Under is 5-0 in their last 5 games against a team with a road winning percentage under .400, the Under is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall, 5-1 in their last 6 home games, and 4-1 in their last 5 games following an outright win.
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