Dixie Vodka 400 at Homestead-Miami odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s Dixie Vodka 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway sports betting odds and lines, with NASCAR analysis, picks and tips.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads down to Homestead-Miami Speedway for the Dixie Vodka 400. The green flag drops Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET with the race televised on FOX. Below, we analyze the Dixie Vodka 400 odds and betting lines, with NASCAR picks and tips with odds from BetMGM sportsbook.

Dixie Vodka 400: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday, June 13 at 6:20 a.m. ET.

Sunday’s race at Homestead-Miami Speedway will be the first sporting event with fans in the stands since mid-March. NASCAR will allow 1,000 fans, just military members or first responders, to attend as honorary guests. Fans will be required to wear masks, will be screened upon arrival and will be expected to follow physical-distancing guidelines at six feet apart.

Even with a smattering of people in the grandstands, this event will have a much different look and feel from previous seasons. From 2002 to 2019, the South Florida track hosted the final race of the season, leading to the crowning of the Cup Series champion. Joe Gibbs Racing’s Kyle Busch (+500 for Sunday’s race) won the championship with a checkered flag at this track last season, his second trip to Victory Lane at HMS in five years.

  • Six of the previous seven races have been won by a driver starting fifth or better. Denny Hamlin (+1000), Joey Logano (+800), Brad Keselowski (+1000), Busch and Chase Elliott (+700) are in starting spots 1 through 5.
  • Toyota has been the Victory Lane in two of the past three at Homestead-Miami Speedway, and four of the past seven.
  • Busch leads all drivers with 463 laps led, although he ranks 12th among active drivers with a 16.33 Average-Finish Position (AFP) across his 15 career starts at this track.
  • Rick Ware Racing’s J.J. Yeley (+100000) and Front Row Motorsports’ Michael McDowell (+50000) lead all active drivers with four DNFs apiece.

Who is going to win the Dixie Vodka 400?

HAMLIN (+1000) was a big disappointment at Martinsville Wednesday night, but has had strong results at this track in the past. Look for a nice bounce back. Plus, he is a strong value at this price.

Hamlin has two career wins at Homestead-Miami Speedway, while posting four top-5 runs, 10 top-10 finishes, 256 laps led and a 10.53 AFP in 15 starts at the track.

KEVIN HARVICK (+400) is always a threat at Homestead-Miami Speedway. He leads all active drivers with a sparkling 6.42 AFP in 19 career starts. While he has just one win, he has placed inside the top 5 on 11 different occasions while leading 414 laps. He has never finished lower than 20th at this track, too.


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CHASE ELLIOTT (+700) has yet to taste victory at HMS, but has never finished lower than 15th, either. In fact, he has a 9.50 AFP, second best in the field among drivers with at least four starts.

Homestead-Miami Speedway prop bets

HARVICK (-154) is a strong play to finish inside the top 5. In addition, HAMLIN (+140) is worth a roll of the dice to finish in the top 5, too.

Among the best finishing position matchups, take HAMLIN (-112) to finish better than Keselowski. CLINT BOWYER (-106) is a good bet to outpace William Byron, while Florida native ARIC ALMIROLA (+125) is a value play over Tyler Reddick.

Homestead-Miami Speedway long-shot bets

AUSTIN DILLON (+1400) has the best potential to crash the party and spoil the day for the favorites. He has shown tremendous and consistent improvement since making his debut at this track in 2014. He improved to 15th in 2015, 12th in 2016, 11th in both 2017 and 2018 and eighth last season.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 at Martinsville odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Wednesday’s Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 at Martinsville Speedway sports betting odds and lines, with NASCAR analysis, picks and tips.

The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Martinsville Speedway for the Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500. The green flag drops Wednesday at 7:15 p.m. ET with the race televised on FOX Sports 1. Below, we analyze the Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 odds and betting lines, with NASCAR picks and tips with odds from BetMGM sportsbook.

Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, June 10 at 5:20 a.m. ET.

Penske Racing’s Brad Keselowski (+600 for Wednesday’s race) won the spring NASCAR Series Cup race at venerable Martinsville Speedway in 2019, while Joe Gibbs Racing’s Martin Truex Jr. (+600) picked up checkers in the fall race during the playoffs.

  • Both winners in 2019 started from the third position in the grid, and each of the previous 13 winners have started third or lower. The last driver to win from Row 1 was Jimmie Johnson (+2000), both in the spring 2013 race and fall 2012 installment.
  • Ford has won three of the previous four Martinsville races, while Toyota has won two of the past five. Johnson last took Chevrolet to Victory Lane in the fall 2016 race.
  • Johnson leads all active drivers with 2,863 laps led in his 36 career starts at Martinsville. He has nine victories, 19 top-5 finishes and 24 top-10 runs with just two DNFs and a 9.31 Average-Finish Position (AFP).
  • Five drivers in Wednesday’s field have at least two grandfather clocks – the “trophy” for winning at Martinsville – in their shops: Johnson (9), Denny Hamlin (5), Kurt Busch (2), Kyle Busch (2) and Keselowski (2) each have multiple wins at the paper-clip short track in the hills of Virginia.
  • Team Penske’s Ryan Blaney (+1100) is on the pole for Wednesday’s race. In eight career starts at Martinsville he has no wins, but a solid three top-5 finishes, four top-10 wins, 145 laps led and 12.88 AFP.

Who is going to win the Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500?

The Virginia native Hamlin (+700) is second among active drivers with 1,566 laps led in 28 starts with five victories and a 9.39 AFP. Hamlin, who is from Chesterfield, Va., has also posted 15 runs inside the top 5 with 21 in the top 10.

JGR’s Hamlin goes off from the 12th spot on Wednesday night. Two of his five wins at Martinsville have come from the pole, but his other three victories are when he started 15th or lower.

TRUEX JR. (+600) has managed just one win in his career at Martinsville, the fall race last season. But he has been eighth or better in each of his past five Martinsville runs, including four top-5 finishes, and he has a 7.1 AFP across his past 10 starts at the track. That’s third best among all drivers dating back to the spring 2015 run. Truex goes off fifth.


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KESELOWSKI (+600) enters Wednesday’s race with eight consecutive top-10 finishes, including wins in the spring races in 2017 and 2019. The Penske driver, who has two victories across the past four races, will start from the outside of Row 3. In fact, Penske has three Fords starting in the top six, with Blaney (+1100) on the pole and Joey Logano (+900) firing off third. All three Penske drivers are worth a look, with Keselowski the best bet of the triumvirate.

Martinsville Speedway prop bets

KESELOWSKI (+100) is a value play over Kyle Busch in head-to-head betting, while BLANEY (-105) is a decent option against his teammate Logano.

You can also bet on the Top Ford Car. Put your money on KESELOWSKI (+250) as he looks to bring his manufacturer another strong finish.

Martinsville Speedway long-shot bets

JOHNSON (+2000) continues to endure the longest win drought of his career dating back to June 2017 at Dover International Speedway. He has racked up nine grandfather clocks for the Hendrick shop and his living room, but No. 10 might be the most special if he is able to bring it home Wednesday night. Give him a look at this price, as he is bound to break through – plus, Martinsville is one of his best tracks.

Want action on this race? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter, and follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Brad Keselowski says he doesn’t respect confederate flag but won’t tell fans ‘to get rid of it’

Brad Keselowski and Ryan Blaney weighed in on confederate flags at NASCAR races.

After white supremacist Dylann Roof shot and killed nine people at the Emanuel African Methodist Episcopal Church in Charleston, South Carolina in 2015, then-Governor Nikki Haley and the state government removed the confederate flag from South Carolina statehouse grounds. Roof was photographed repeatedly with the flag and wanted to start a race war.

At the time, NASCAR issued a statement supporting Haley and reaffirmed its “long-standing policy to disallow the use of the Confederate Flag symbol in any official NASCAR capacity.” But it didn’t go as far as to ban the flag, a symbol of slavery and oppression, from the track, so the flag is ever-present at NASCAR races. Instead, fans had the option to use an exchange program, turning in confederate flags and receiving American ones.

As people in the U.S. and around the world have been protesting en masse the last two weeks and demanding justice for George Floyd and other victims of police brutality, discussions about the confederate flag and NASCAR returned.

Following Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Series race at Atlanta Motor Speedway, Team Penske drivers Brad Keslowski and Ryan Blaney were asked if it’s time for the governing body to review its policy regarding the confederate flag.

Keselowski — who famously celebrates his race wins with a burnout and a giant American flag sticking out of his No. 2 Ford — answered:

“I only salute one flag and that’s America’s. I recognize that that flag might mean something different to different people, but it doesn’t mean United States of America to me. But I’m not gonna tell people they need to get rid of it. That’s not my right either. But I certainly don’t salute it or respect it or probably anyone else who feels the same way. But, at the end of the day, it’s not our call.”

His teammate was a little more direct with his response to the confederate flag question. Blaney — who also noted he participated in protests in Charlotte last week — said:

“As far as the confederate flags go, they had that trade your flag in, and I think everyone has their beliefs. It’s tough, but I don’t really enjoy it because sometimes I feel like the people that wave them mean the negative when they wave them, and that’s not cool.

“Yeah, I’d love to not see them at the race track, honestly, because it doesn’t make everyone comfortable, so that’s kind of where I stand on that. Bring your 50 stars flag; I think that would be way better.”

Keselowski and Blaney were two of several big-name drivers who helped make a video about speaking out against racism and encouraging people to listen and educate themselves, as protests against police brutality and for justice continue around the globe. Both drivers had previously posted on social media about Floyd’s death as well.

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NASCAR at Atlanta 2020 Live Stream, Start Time, TV Channel, NASCAR Starting Lineup

The final race of the weekend for NASCAR is the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 with 40 of the best drivers, check out the live stream.

NASCAR has come back with a vengeance after their two-month hiatus and has been racing every week since they’ve been back on the track. We have the final race of the weekend on Sunday with the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

NASCAR is still going without the practice or qualifying rounds so it will come down to track experience and knowledge for the 40 drivers that will be competing on Sunday.

Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500

  • Date: Sunday, June 7, 2020
  • Start time: 3:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: Atlanta Motor Speedway
  • TV Channel: FOX, FOX Deportes
  • Live Stream: fuboTV (watch for free)

With experience and knowledge of the track coming into play, without any practice or qualifying rounds that leads us to believe the drivers with previous wins should be in play for Sunday’s race.

Kevin Harvick (7-2) is the favorite with Kyle Busch (13-2), Brad Keselowski (13-2), Denny Hamlin (12-1), and Jimmie Johnson (18-1) cracking the top 5 contenders according to the odds board at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

NASCAR Starting Lineup

1. (9) Chase Elliott, Chevrolet.

2. (10) Aric Almirola, Ford.

3. (22) Joey Logano, Ford.

4. (18) Kyle Busch, Toyota.

5. {14) Clint Bowyer, Ford.

6. (2) Brad Keselowski, Ford.

7. (12) Ryan Blaney, Ford.

8. (88) Alex Bowman, Chevrolet.

9. (4) Kevin Harvick, Ford.

10.(11) Denny Hamlin, Toyota.

11. (19) Martin Truex Jr., Toyota.

12. (1) Kurt Busch, Chevrolet.

13. (17) Chris Buescher, Ford.

14. (20) Erik Jones, Toyota.

15. (48) Jimmie Johnson, Chevrolet.

16. (3) Austin Dillon, Chevrolet.

17. (6) Ryan Newman, Ford.

18. (38) John Hunter Nemechek, Ford.

19. (42) Matt Kenseth, Chevrolet.

20. (24) William Byron, Chevrolet.

21. (21) Matt DiBenedetto, Ford.

22. (47) Ricky Stenhouse Jr., Chevrolet.

23. (43) Bubba Wallace, Chevrolet.

24. (8) Tyler Reddick, Chevrolet.

25. (32) Corey LaJoie, Ford.

26. (51) Joey Gase, Ford.

27. (95) Christopher Bell, Toyota.

28. (13) Ty Dillon, Chevrolet.

29. (37) Ryan Preece, Chevrolet.

30. (77) JJ Yeley, Chevrolet.

31. (41) Cole Custer, Ford.

32. (27) Josh Bilicki, Ford.

33. (15) Brennan Poole, Chevrolet.

34. (53) Garrett Smithley, Chevrolet.

35. (00) Quin Houff, Chevrolet.

36. (34) Michael McDowell, Ford.

37. (96) Daniel Suarez, Toyota.

38. (66) Timmy Hill, Toyota.

39. (78) BJ McLeod, Ford.

40. (7) Reed Sorenson, Chevrolet.

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Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway sports betting odds and lines, with NASCAR analysis, picks and tips.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Atlanta Motor Speedway for the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500. The green flag drops Sunday at 3 p.m. ET on FOX. Below, we analyze the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 odds and betting lines, with NASCAR picks and tips with odds from BetMGM sportsbook.

Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday, June 5 at 6:05 p.m. ET.

Penske Racing’s Brad Keselowski (+800) is the defending winner of this race, and he picked up checkers last season after starting from the 19th position.

  • The past three winners of the NASCAR Cup Series race in Atlanta have been in a Ford, with the three previous winners in a Chevrolet. A Toyota hasn’t been to Victory Lane in Atlanta since the AdvoCare 500 in 2013 when Kyle Busch (+650) raced to the win.
  • Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott (+600) has drawn the pole position, as starting spots 1-12 were a random draw from charter teams in those positions in team owner points.
  • The pole sitter hasn’t won in Atlanta in 18 Cup races dating back to Kasey Kahne (now retired) when he won the Golden Corral 500 in his Dodge March 20, 2006.
  • Four of the past six winners in Atlanta have started in position No. 10 or lower in the starting grid.
  • Stewart-Haas Racing driver Kevin Harvick (+450) leads all active drivers with 1,197 laps led in Atlanta. The next closest competitor is Ganassi’s Kurt Busch (+1600) with 802.

Who is going to win the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500?

While a pole sitter hasn’t hoisted the trophy in Atlanta since 2006, ELLIOTT (+600) is always a good choice. He has been running very consistently since the restart of the season and has been in contention for every race since the return.

Elliott leads all active drivers with a 10.5 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in four starts in Atlanta, posting a top-5 run and three top-10 finishes. He has never ended up lower than 19th at the track.

KURT BUSCH (+1600) has three wins under his belt in Atlanta, while turning in seven top-5 showings and 14 top-10 runs in 28 career starts. Plus, he has a strong 14.9 AFP along with those 802 laps led. Father Time isn’t catching up with the veteran – he turns 42 in August – especially as far as Atlanta in concerned, as he leads all drivers with a 6.9 AFP across the past 10 starts at the track. That includes finishes of fourth, seventh, eighth and third over the past four runs.


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KESELOWSKI (+800) is running with a lot of confidence, and is the defending champ of this race. He also won last week at Bristol for his second victory in the past three races. And remember, Ford has been to Victory Lane in each of the past three Atlanta runs, so …

Atlanta Motor Speedway prop bets

KURT BUSCH (-125) is almost a near certainty to finish INSIDE THE TOP 10, so play that. In addition, take the elder BUSCH (-115) over Jimmie Johnson in a head-to-head, best finishing position prop.

Another strong head-to-head play is ARIC ALMIROLA (-115) over Matt DiBenedetto. Almirola hasn’t exactly lit the track afire, but DiBenedetto just has never been able to figure the place out. In four Cup starts, DiBenedetto is 29th, 28th, 31st and 26th.

Atlanta Motor Speedway long-shot bets

Ol’ wily veteran MATT KENSETH (+6000) of Ganassi Racing is worth a roll of the dice here. He has never won in 29 tries in Atlanta, but has turned in 11 top 5s, 17 top 10s and he has led 363 laps in his career. He has an 11.93 AFP, best among all active drivers with at least five starts at the venerable, bumpy track.

If you’re looking for a REAL long shot to bet on, try DANIEL SUAREZ (+50000). He has three Cup starts under his belt in Atlanta, finishing 21st in his debut in 2017, 15th in 2018 and 10th in 2019. Of course, he is now in a more inferior machine, racing for Gaunt Brothers Racing in the No. 96 Toyota rather than his previous years with JGR and one season with SHR, thus the extremely long odds. But hey, it’s worth a $1 bet.

Want action on this race? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter, and follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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The Coca-Cola 600, a NASCAR ‘crown jewel’ race, is too long

NASCAR’s longest race of the year is *too long*.

The Coca-Cola 600 is just too long. The second of what NASCAR considers its four “crown jewels” throughout the 36-race season, it’s the Cup Series’ longest race by about 100 miles and is the only one broken into four stages, instead of three.

And it lasted for more than five hours Sunday night, ending a few minutes after midnight at Charlotte Motor Speedway. So not only was this year’s Memorial Day Weekend event (won by Brad Keselowski) a five-and-a-half-hour extravaganza thanks, in part, to a 68-minute rain delay, but because of a handful of overtime laps tacked on at the end, it was also the longest race in NASCAR Cup Series history.

607.5 miles. That’s excessive, and with the length not presenting the same challenges it once did, the logic behind it doesn’t really hold up.

More on that in a second, but first: This race is way too long for anyone beyond the absolute most diehard and longtime NASCAR fans.

Synonymous with Memorial Day Weekend, the Coke 600 is an annual event since 1960, coronavirus pandemic or not, and one that typically caps off the biggest day in the world for motor sports. Formula 1’s Monaco Grand Prix and the IndyCar Series’ Indianapolis 500 are usually held earlier in the day, respectively. (Monaco was canceled, and the Indy 500 is now scheduled for August.)

The 2018 Coca-Cola 600. (AP Photo/Mike McCarn)

The Coke 600’s distance just desperately needs to be altered so the race is not as brutally long, especially with other sports organizations, like Major League Baseball, pushing to speed up their competitions.

But the 600-mile length is tradition too, you say?

“Tradition, shmadition.” That’s what Denny Hamlin said in May 2019 when asked about keeping the race’s length, adding:

“If the race was 300 miles, you’re going to have the same, I believe, core group watch the race and possibly even more that are interested because it’s not five hours long.”

Even during Sunday night’s race, Martin Truex Jr. and his No. 19 Toyota team echoed the thoughts of the many racing and general sports fans whose attention spans were surely dwindling when they had this exchange over the radio halfway into a 400-lap race:

Of course, not every driver feels that way.

Kevin Harvick has said it’s different once you win it. Keselowski told USA TODAY Sports last year that NASCAR “needs one 600-mile race that connects it back and showcases that stock car automobile racing has had to pushing the limits of a vehicle, specific to performance and endurance.”

A 600-mile race may be a great way to celebrate the sport’s and event’s history, but when NASCAR is trying to expand its shrinking fan base, who’s really interested in sticking around for a five-hour saga?

Gone are the days when only a handful of cars would finish on the lead lap, and it was a question of how many cars could be engineered to withstand such an exhaustive race. At the 1960 World 600, only the winner ended on the lead lap, and 36 of the 55 cars didn’t even finish.

Compared with today, stock cars largely survive 600 miles without blowing an engine, and the iconic event can be largely uneventful, as we saw Sunday with only four caution flags because of on-track incidents. Of the 40 cars that started the race, 19 finished on the lead lap, and only three didn’t finish at all.

When asked last year about the grueling race, Kyle Busch said the sport needs the 600-miler, adding:

“Is it [tough] on the cars? No. The cars are way too sophisticated now. I bet you we could probably go 800 maybe even 1,000 miles on a race car before you’d start to see problems.”

We can confidently speak for everyone when we say: Pass.

(Chris Graythen/Getty Images)

Plus, when racing on the traditional 1.5-mile oval, Charlotte Motor Speedway’s best asset is geography, not its penchant for delivering captivating races. And the 600 has long been painful to watch, particularly when preceded by hundreds of miles in Indy and Monaco.

Now, if you think NASCAR will never, ever, in a million years redesign one of its “crown jewel” races, you’re probably among the majority. Really, it does seem impossibly unlikely. But there is some precedent here in NASCAR and at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

Forever, Daytona’s summer race was always over the weekend of July 4th, until this year when it will be the regular-season finale in August. After nearly two decades of Homestead-Miami Speedway hosting NASCAR’s championship weekend, Phoenix Raceway is taking over this season. For 40 years, The Clash, an exhibition race before the Daytona 500, was run on the 2.5-mile oval, but next season among the several updates to Daytona Speedweeks, it’ll be on the 3.56-mile road course. Breaking races into three stages — four if it’s the Coke 600, remember! — wasn’t even a thing until 2017, and NASCAR’s points and playoff systems feel like they’re regularly being overhauled.

And for nearly 60 years, the Cup Series only raced on the 1.5-mile oval before changing things up in 2018 and making the second Charlotte race of the year on a half-road course, half-oval “roval.” Inventive, revolutionary and a necessary jolt to a nine-month schedule still in need of more updates, like shortening the length of the Coke 600.

So here’s what you do: Keep the weekend of the race, obviously. Keep the spectacle of it all, and keep the “600” in the name — just make it 600 kilometers, dropping the length almost in half to about 373 miles.

“All sports adapt and change,” Hamlin said last year. “I hate it when people say, ‘Well, that’s the way it always was.’ Things are different. I’d be just as happy with a Coke 300 trophy as a Coke 600 to be honest with you.”

It doesn’t have to be the Coke 300, but it really shouldn’t be a true 600-miler anymore either.

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Brad Keselowski on winning NASCAR’s iconic Coca-Cola 600: ‘I’m tickled to death’

Brad Keselowski held off Jimmie Johnson to win one of the biggest races on NASCAR’s schedule — and the longest.

Brad Keselowski is slowly collecting checkered flags for NASCAR’s biggest races, and just after midnight on Memorial Day at Charlotte Motor Speedway, the 36-year-old Team Penske driver added another.

Keselowski in the No. 2 Ford held off seven-time champion Jimmie Johnson to win the Coca-Cola 600, the longest race on NASCAR’s schedule which actually turned out to be the longest race in Cup Series history, per FOX’s broadcast, because of overtime late Sunday night/early Monday morning.

It’s Keselowski’s first Coke 600 win, his first checkered flag of the 2020 season and his 31st career victory.

“I’ve wanted to win the 600 my whole life,” Keselowski said on a Zoom call with reporters after the race. “I wish it was in front of everybody. I recognize that’s not always how it works.”

NASCAR considers its “crown jewel” races to be the season-opening Daytona 500 (Daytona International Speedway), the Coca-Cola 600, the Brickyard 400 (Indianapolis Motor Speedway) and the Southern 500 (Darlington Raceway), but Keselowski said he’d throw Bristol Motor Speedway’s night race into that category too.

So by NASCAR’s count, he’s won three of four “crown jewels,” and by his own, it’s four of five. He’s only missing the Daytona 500.

In his on-track interview after the race, Keselowski told FOX Sports’ Jamie Little:

“It’s a major! It’s the Coke 600, and this leaves only one major left for me, the Daytona 500, so we’re checking them off. … We might not have been the fastest car today, but, wow, did we grind this one out, Jamie. The pit crew at the end, the yellow right before the last had a blazing stop to get us up front and put us in position. All these things just came together, and I’m tickled to death. It’s a little overwhelming to be honest.”

More than five hours after the initial checkered flag — there was an (entertaining) early rain delay for 68 minutes — Chase Elliott had the lead on Lap 398 of what was originally scheduled to be a 400-lap, 600-mile race. But a caution came out thanks to his Hendrick Motorsports teammate, William Byron, and when he turned to pit road, Keselowski took over.

Keselowski held onto the lead off the restart ahead of Johnson with just two overtime laps for a total of 405 trips around the Charlotte track. Elliott, however, still managed to finish third.

While being interviewed on the 1.5-mile track, Keselowski explained how he’s been in similar situations in the past but wasn’t able to come away with the win. He even thought that was going to be the case again.

He told FOX Sports:

“I feel like I’ve thrown this race away a handful of times, and I felt we were gonna lose it today. I know we’ve lost it the way Chase lost it, and that really stinks. And today, we finally won it that way, and I’m so happy for my team. I wish my wife was here. I wish my daughters were here.

NASCAR’s not done with Charlotte Motor Speedway yet. The Cup Series returns to the track Wednesday for its fourth race back following a 10-week hiatus this spring because of the COVID-19 outbreak.

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Brad Keselowski believes NASCAR (and it’s rivalries) are just heating up

SportsPulse: Mackenzie Salmon connected with NASCAR star Brad Keselowski to discuss NASCAR’s return and get his thoughts on the latest Chase Elliott, Kyle Busch feud.

SportsPulse: Mackenzie Salmon connected with NASCAR star Brad Keselowski to discuss NASCAR’s return and get his thoughts on the latest Chase Elliott, Kyle Busch feud.

NASCAR Toyota 500 at Darlington odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Wednesday’s Toyota 500 at Darlington Raceway sports betting odds and lines, with NASCAR analysis, picks and tips.

The NASCAR Cup Series races at Darlington Raceway Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. ET for the Toyota 500. Below, we analyze the Toyota 500 odds and betting lines, with NASCAR picks and tips with odds from BetMGM sportsbook.

Toyota 500: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday, May 19 at 7:25 a.m. ET.

The NASCAR Cup Series guys returned to action last Sunday, with Stewart-Haas Racing driver Kevin Harvick (+400) coming away with the checkered flag, his 50th win at the Cup level. He enters this one as the chalk, but is he the driver to beat?

  • There’s no qualifying for Wednesday’s 500 as the starting lineup is set using the finishing order from Sunday’s run. However, positions 1-20 are inverted, so Harvick starts 20th and Ryan Preece (+20000) will be on the pole after he finished 20th Sunday.
  • Harvick started sixth Sunday, making it six Darlington races in a row where the winner started sixth or better. The last pole winner was Harvick in the 2014 Bojangles Southern 500.
  • Joe Gibbs Racing driver Erik Jones (+1800) finished eighth Sunday. He has finished eighth or better in all four of his starts at the South Carolina track.
  • Penske Racing driver Brad Keselowski (+900) was second to Harvick’s 159 laps led Sunday with 80. Hendrick Motorsports driver Alex Bowman (+800), who finished second, was third in laps lead with 41.

Who is going to win the Toyota 500?

JGR’s Kyle Busch (+700) stumbled to a 26th-place finish in Sunday’s race, a shocking result considering he had posted finishes of seventh or better in seven of his previous eight starts at the “Track Too Tough to Tame.” Despite Sunday’s poor showing, BUSCH IS A SOLID PLAY.

Busch is second among active drivers with 716 laps led across 16 career starts at Darlington, with Harvick leading the way with 740 laps led across 24 starts. However, Busch’s average laps led per start is much better at 44.75 to Harvick’s 30.83.

Busch’s teammate DENNY HAMLIN (+800) posted a fifth-place finish Sunday. He now has two wins, eight top-5 finishes and 12 top-10 showings with 562 laps led across 15 career Darlington starts with a 7.6 Average-Finish Position (AFP). He’ll start 16th Wednesday, and is ALWAYS A WISE PICK at this track.


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Joey Logano (+1100) is an intriguing pick for Wednesday. He starts third behind long shots Preece and Ty Dillon (+25000), but is clearly the most proven driver in the front two rows – Clint Bowyer (+3000) starts in the 4 spot. While Logano has never won at Darlington, he has a 16.6 AFP with three top-5 showings and five top-10 finishes and 103 laps led.

Darlington Raceway long-shot bets

Looking to long shots, Preece and Dillon are obvious picks because of their advantageous starting spots, but will it matter? In four career starts at Darlington, the younger Dillon brother has an AFP of just 18.3, while Preece finished 20th Sunday and 22nd in his only previous start at Darlington last season. Go very, very lightly on these two, if at all.

The better bet might be TYLER REDDICK (+5000). He surprised with a seventh-place run Sunday in his Cup debut at Darlington. As such, his odds are much shorter than they might normally be, but he is still a pretty strong value. JOHN HUNTER NEMECHEK (+15000) also might be worth a roll of the dice after a stupendous ninth-place run Sunday.

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Brad Keselowski warns against NASCAR drivers having ‘false sense of confidence’ in return

Keselowski explained why he has little to no trust in his fellow drivers afters NASCAR’s 10-week hiatus.

NASCAR drivers haven’t competed on a real track in a real race since early March, and, as the sport returns Sunday after missing eight races because of the coronavirus pandemic, the first time drivers climb into their seats behind the wheel will be at the beginning of the race at Darlington Raceway.

But the sport’s return comes with complications and several adjustments that will make the event quite different from a traditional race day. In the first four races NASCAR announced for its return, there will be no practice or qualifying — with an exception for the latter at the Coca-Cola 600.

And since the stateside COVID-19 outbreak began months ago, drivers haven’t been behind the wheel of their stock cars or had the chance to run some test laps.

Understandably, that makes Brad Keselowski a little nervous. While the 2012 Cup Series champ spoke with NBC Sports on Wednesday, Mike Tirico asked how much trust he has in his fellow, rusty drivers.

Keselowski said: “Very little to none.”

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But he also explained how the NASCAR world’s pivot to iRacing during the coronavirus-related hiatus may hinder drivers on the track when they initially return for the first of four races in two weeks.

The No. 2 Team Penske Ford driver told Tirico:

“There’s been a lot of talk about how NASCAR pivoted into e-racing, and if you followed the iRacing series that NASCAR had, they had some good success with that, ratings and so forth. But the reality is it’s not the same.

“The tactics are not the same. It looks pretty good, the graphics are pretty cool, but the way the cars drive is not the same. The way the race slows is not the same. Everything about it is much, much different.

“So the problem with that is if you’ve had success with some of the simulators or the internet events, you build almost a false sense of confidence. And that false sense of confidence, when you get on the real race track, can be a big problem. So there’s a lot of drivers that have been putting a lot of time behind the simulator, and I’m not sure that’s a good thing.”

And the famously formidable nature of Darlington’s 1.366-mile track certainly doesn’t help anything. Keselowski said if drivers had to pick the most challenging track to resume competition on — and do it without practice or qualifying — Darlington would be among the most difficult.

Several drivers, such as Jimmie Johnson, Clint Bowyer and William Byron, previously explained to For The Win how realistic iRacing is compared with real life, from the traction on the track to how quickly their tires wear out. But no matter how much time they spend with a simulator, they often say nothing replaces being in an actual car.

NASCAR’s first race back following its season suspension because of the coronavirus pandemic is Sunday, May 17 at Darlington Raceway (3:30 p.m. ET, FOX). The race’s official name is The Real Heroes 400.

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