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2024 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: The best bets for Sunday’s 2024 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix at the Circuit of the Americas, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

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The NASCAR Cup Series moves to the Circuit of the Americas Sunday for the 2024 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix. The green flag is scheduled to drop approximately at 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the 2024 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix: What you need to know

23XI Racing driver Tyler Reddick is the defending champ, snapping the early dominance of Chevrolet in the first 2 Cup races in Austin
Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott won the inaugural Cup race at this track in May 2021, with Trackhouse Racing’s Ross Chastain picking up checkers in March 2022
Elliott has made 2 Cup starts at the track, finishing with a win and a 4th-place finish, while leading 5 laps
Chastain is close on Elliott’s heels with a dominant 3.0 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 3 Cup starts, finishing 1st in 2022, sandwiched by a pair of 4th-place runs in 2021 and 2023
Reddick leads all active drivers with 43 laps led in 3 Cup races, followed by Chastain (35) and Hendrick’s William Byron (28)
Byron has posted a 9.3 AFP in 3 Cup races at COTA, finishing 5th, 11th and 12th
23XI Racing’s Bubba Wallace has had a nightmare 3 runs in Austin over the years, finishing 37th, 38th and 39th, with all 3 starts resulting in DNFs
Trackhouse Racing’s Daniel Suarez also hasn’t fared well in 3 Cup starts at COTA, posting a 28.0 AFP with finishes of 24th, 27th and 33rd despite a 7.3 Average-Start Position and 16 laps led

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2024 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:42 a.m. ET.

CHASE ELLIOTT (+1200) has been dominant in his 2 Cup starts at COTA. He missed last season’s run due to injury. The most popular driver in the sport is in dire need of a victory, as he is winless since Oct. 2, 2022 at Talladega.

Elliott was completely blanked in 2023, and so far in 2024 he has managed just a single top-10 in 5 starts. That top-10 finish came last week at Bristol, and the 5 laps he led at the Coliseum were his first since he ticked off 13 laps in front at the Daytona 500. Perhaps he’ll carry over his momentum from Bristol into this weekend’s race at a track he has fared well, albeit a brief sample size.

2024 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix – Contender

ROSS CHASTAIN (+1400) has a little bit longer odds, but we’ve seen him do extremely well in 3 Cup races at COTA since the venue became part of the official schedule in 2021.

Chastain has 3 top-5 finishes, including the 2022 victory, and he has never finished lower than 4th. If you’re a little more on the conservative side, you can get CHASTAIN TOP-10 FINISH (-130), or you can still double up by taking CHASTAIN TOP-5 FINISH (+180). Again, he has finished 4th or better in all 3 Cup starts at the track, so both props are quite attractive.

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2024 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix prop picks

MATCHBET – ROSS CHASTAIN Over Daniel Suarez (-190)

It’s a little on the pricey side, but Chastain is a good bet to finish higher than Suarez at COTA.

Chastain, the watermelon farmer, has never finished lower than 4th in 3 Cup runs in Austin, while Suarez has finishes of 24th, 27th and 33rd for that ugly 28.0 AFP in his 3-race history at the track.

Suarez has had the hot hand this season, already punching his ticket to the playoffs with a victory in Atlanta. But Chastain is the play here, and it likely won’t be close.

KAMUI KOBAYASHI TOP-10 FINISH (+250)

It’s a little on the far-fetched side, but it’s worth a roll of the dice at plus-money for the chance to more than double up.

Former F1 driver Kobayashi makes his 2nd-career Cup, driving for 23XI Racing. There was a report Denny Hamlin stated Kobayashi was faster than 23XI driver and Cup regular Reddick in the COTA simulator, for whatever that’s worth. He’ll be behind the wheel of the No. 50 Toyota on Sunday. Kobayashi has raced at the Circuit of the Americas before, albeit in a completely different machine. But he knows the track, and he is worth a roll of the dice at this price point.

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2022 Quaker State 400 NASCAR odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Quaker State 400 in Hampton, Ga., with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Atlanta Motor Speedway in Hampton, Ga., Sunday for the 2022 Quaker State 400. The green flag is set to drop a little after 3 p.m. ET (USA). Below we analyze the 2022 Quaker State 400 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions.

Sunday’s race is scheduled for 260 laps on the 1.54-mile long quad-oval at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

This is the second stop of the season at the venerable track outside of Greater Atlanta. Hendrick Motorsports driver William Byron won the 501-mile run in late March, averaging 126.584 mph in a race that featured a record 46 lead changes, besting the 45 lead changes in the 1982 Fall Race when Bobby Allison raced to checkers in his Buick.

2022 Quaker State 400: What you need to know

After 5 consecutive victories by Ford from February 2017 to March 2021, Chevrolet has raced to Victory Lane in the last 2 installments.
Chevrolet and Ford both have 5 Atlanta wins since the Fall Race in 2013. That’s the last time Toyota has been able to pick up checkers at this track.
B’s are wild – as Byron, Kurt Busch and Ryan Blaney have won the past 3 races in Atlanta.
Hendrick’s Chase Elliott is on the pole after Saturday’s qualifying round was wiped out by rain.
Trackhouse Racing’s Ross Chastain will start on the outside of Row 1, with Road America winner Tyler Reddick going off from the third spot.

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Quaker State 400 – Expert picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:36 a.m. ET.

ELLIOTT (+1000) is listed as the co-favorite with Chastain and Blaney. The Georgia native is a much better play than those 2 drivers. In 8 career starts at his home track, Elliott has yet to win, but he has a top-5 finish and 6 top-10 runs with 68 laps led. He also leads all active drivers with a 12.6 Average-Finish Position (AFP).

KURT BUSCH (+2000) is worth a roll of the dice, as he leads all active drivers with 4 career wins in Atlanta with 9 top-5 runs, 17 top-10 finishes and 952 laps led with a 14.6 AFP.

Quaker State 400 picks – Long shot

BRAD KESELOWSKI (+3000) has struggled with his new team in 2022, but he could be dangerous at AMS. Keselowski has 2 wins, 4 top-5 finishes and 9 top-10 runs in 15 career Atlanta starts while posting a 15.0 AFP. As such, he is worth a small-unit play.

In addition, KESELOWSKI TOP-10 FINISH (+155) at plus-money is still a pretty solid value, and likely a lot more realistic.

Quaker State 400 prop picks

CHRIS BUESCHER TOP-10 FINISH (+140)

Buescher is worth a look for a top-10 run. He has made 8 starts in Atlanta during his Cup Series career, posting 3 top-10 finishes with a 17.3 AFP, improving from an Average Start Position of 21.9.

MARTIN TRUEX JR. – GROUP 4 WINNER (+240)

Truex Jr. is the favorite to finish better than Alex Bowman (+240), Austin Cindric (+260) and Chase Briscoe (+260).

MTJ has 25 career Atlanta Cup starts under his belt, posting 6 top-5 finishes and 13 top-10 runs while leading 356 laps. He has 4 DNFs, tied for the most among all active drivers, so there is some risk. But he has the highest AFP of the 4 drivers in Group 4.

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2022 Kwik Trip 250 NASCAR odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s 2022 Kwik Trip 250 at Road America in Elkhart Lake, Wis., with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Road America in Elkhart Lake, Wis., Sunday for the 2022 Kwik Trip 250 presented by JOCKEY Made in America. The green flag is set to drop a little after 3 p.m. ET (USA). Below we analyze the 2022 Kwik Trip 250 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions.

Sunday’s race is scheduled for 62 laps and 250 miles on the 4.048-mile road course at Road America which features elevation change and 14 turns. The Cup Series returned to the track in 2021 after a 65-year hiatus.

There aren’t a lot of recent results at this track, although it is a historic track dating back to the early days of NASCAR. There are also plenty of active drivers with experience on this Wisconsin road course from their days in the Xfinity Series.

2022 Kwik Trip 250: What you need to know

Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott won the 2021 race, leading 24 laps after starting in the 34th position.
TrackHouse Racing’s Ross Chastain won the 1st road course stop of the season, edging out A.J. Allmendinger at the Circuit of the Americas in Austin, Texas, in late March.
At Sonoma in mid-June, Daniel Suarez came up with his 1st-ever NASCAR Cup Series victory on the road course in the Toyota/Save Mart 350.
Penske Racing’s Austin Cindric managed a 38th-place finish last season in one of his few starts as a part-time driver for Penske. However, in 5 Xfinity races at Road America he has a win, 36 laps led and a 12.8 Average-Finish Position (AFP), so he has plenty of good experience here.
Joe Gibbs Racing driver Christopher Bell also has an Xfinity Series win at this track in his 3 starts on the circuit, and he was a runner-up last season in the NASCAR Cup Series.

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Kwik Trip 250 – Expert picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:23 a.m. ET.

ELLIOTT (+350) is listed as the favorite, and the defending champ has been a tremendous road course driver throughout his career. This is the safest play on the board given his win last year, moving all the way up from a starting position of 34th.

CHASE BRISCOE (+750) was a respectable 6th last season. Like Elliott, the driver of the No. 14 car was forced to matriculate his way up through the field from an ugly starting spot of 35th.

In addition to a small-unit play on the outright win, take a look at BRISCOE TOP-10 FINISH (+100).

Kwik Trip 250 picks – Long shot

BELL (+2000) acquitted himself well here in the Cup Series last season with a runner-up finish. JGR’s Bell has been a little disappointment overall, but he can wash all of that bad taste away with a victory on this road course. As mentioned, this will be his 5th career start at the track, once on the Cup Series, and 3 times in the Xfinity Series with 1 win and 10 laps led.

Kwik Trip 250 prop picks

AUSTIN CINDRIC TOP-5 FINISH (+140)

The driver of the No. 2 Ford has an Xfinity win under his belt at this track. While last season’s finish was a disaster, he was able to lead 2 laps before a rear gear issue forced him out of the race.

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2022 Toyota/Save Mart 350 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s 2022 Toyota/Save Mart 350 odds at in Sonoma, Calif., with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series comes to Sonoma Raceway in Sonoma, Calif. Sunday for the 2022 Toyota/Save Mart 350. The green flag is set to drop a little after 4 p.m. ET (FS1). Below we analyze the 2022 Toyota/Save Mart 350 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions.

Sunday’s race is scheduled for 110 laps and 350 kilometers at Sonoma Raceway. The track has been reconfigured to incorporate the popular “Chute”, making Turn 7 a high-speed corner, which has had plenty of passing and incidents in the past.

With the Carousel gone, and the Chute returning, the race length remains the same, but we now have 110 laps, rather than 90 in 2021. Martin Truex Jr. was the last driver to win using the Chute configuration back in 2018.

2022 Toyota/Save Mart 350: What you need to know

Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson picked up the checkered flag last season in the Carousel layout, snapping a 2-race win streak at Sears Point by Truex.
Ford hasn’t been to Victory Lane at Sonoma since July 2017 when Kevin Harvick raced to checkers. Ford has just 2 wins in the past 18 races at the course, too.
Truex posted an average speed of 82.882 mph in June 2018 in the most recent track configuration featuring The Chute, and the high-speed Turn 7.
Erik Jones actually leads all active drivers with a 12.8 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 4 career Sonoma starts, posting a pair of top-10 finishes.
Kyle Busch (2) and Truex (3) are the only active drivers with multiple victories at this track. Busch has a 14.6 AFP in 16 career Cup starts at Sonoma, including 2 wins, 6 top-5 runs and 8 top-10 finishes.
Kurt Busch is 2nd to Truex (213) among all active drivers with 206 laps led at this track.

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Toyota/Save Mart 350 – Expert picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9 a.m. ET.

CHASE ELLIOTT (+550) is installed as the favorite, and he has been a road-course sensation during the early part of his career. While he has never won at Sonoma, he has a solid 14.4 AFP with 2 top-5 finishes in 5 career Cup runs. He was a runner-up to Larson (+700) last season in this event, too.

TRUEX JR. (+900) is also a strong play based upon his history at the track, including wins in 2 of his past 3 Cup starts at Sonoma.

Toyota/Save Mart 350 picks – Long shot

ERIK JONES (+5000) has never won in his 4 career Cup starts at this California road course, but he has been as high as 7th. A simple $2 bet can net a $100 return, and it’s worth a roll of the dice based upon his solid showings in the past.

Toyota/Save Mart 350 prop picks

KEVIN HARVICK TOP-10 FINISH (+140)

Harvick at plus-money for a top-10 finish should be a steal. He has managed a victory with 6 top-5 finishes and 10 top-10 runs in 20 career Cup starts at Sonoma, leading 95 laps. His 13.2 AFP leads all active drivers with a minimum of 5 Cup starts at the track, too.

ERIK JONES TOP-10 FINISH (+150)

Jones is a bargain at plus-money for a top-10 run. Above, we touched on his success at this track in his previous 4 Cup starts. He leads all drivers with a 12.8 AFP, and he has been in the top-10 twice. He was 9th on the road course at COTA in late March, and he was 11th at Sonoma last season. This is a bet worth making.

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2021 Bass Pro Shops Night Race odds, picks and prediction

Looking at the odds for Saturday’s 2021 Bass Pro Shops Night Race, with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series returns to Bristol Motor Speedway for the Bass Pro Shops Night Race Saturday. The green flag is set to drop at approximately 7:35 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 Bass Pro Shops Night Race odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions.

This will be the first race on the pavement at Bristol Motor Speedway this season as you might recall we had a dirt-surface race March 29, which was won by Penske Racing’s Joey Logano.

The last driver to win on the pavement was Stewart-Haas Racing’s Kevin Harvick last Sept. 19, in the night race.

2021 Bass Pro Shops Night Race: What you need to know

Martin Truex Jr., of Joe Gibbs Racing, is on the pole for Saturday’s race. He hasn’t had a lot of success at this track in the past, however, posting just two top-5 runs, three top-10 finishes and no wins with a 20.73 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 30 career Cup starts.
MTJ’s teammate Kyle Busch has dominated at Bristol. The driver of the No. 18 machine leads all active drivers with eight wins, 14 top-5 finishes, 19 top-10 runs and 2,592 laps led with a 12.77 AFP.
Kurt Busch is second to his little brother with six career victories at Bristol, and he has 21 top-10 finishes in his 40 career Cup starts.
Harvick won last summer’s night race, and he is one of just four active drivers with at least three career Cup wins at BMS. The Busch Bros. and Penske’s Brad Keselowski (3) are the others.

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Federated Auto Parts 400 picks contest

Who is going to win the 2021 Bass Pro Shops Night Race?

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

KYLE BUSCH (+380) is the favorite here. His brother KURT BUSCH (+1500) has decent odds considering he has six career victories in Thunder Valley. Take advantage.

KYLE LARSON (+425) has never won in 12 career Cup starts, and he has just two finishes inside the Top 5, or 16.7 percent of his starts. However, he has a respectable 14.42 AFP, but I’d look elsewhere for bettor values.

CHASE ELLIOTT (+750) is also searching for his first-ever victory at this track. He has 10 career Cup runs, with half of his starts resulting in finishes of 10th or better. He also has 310 laps led under his belt already, and he leads all active drivers with a 12.1 AFP.

Long-shot and prop bets for the 2021 Bass Pro Shops Night Race

Besides Kurt Busch to win, which is worth a small-unit play in and of itself, take KURT BUSCH TOP 10 FINISH (-135) for a solid value.

KEVIN HARVICK TOP 10 FINISH (-200) is a little on the pricey side, but he has 20 top-10 finishes in his 40 career Cup starts, so it’s a good bet.

I also really like the prop for car number of race winner. Play OVER 11.5 (+100) at even money, and if the race winner has a car number of 12 or higher, you’ll win. That includes eight-time winner Kyle Busch, although his brother Kurt, Elliott or Larson are not included.

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Super Start Batteries 400 at Kansas odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Thursday’s Super Start Batteries 400 Presented by O’Reilly Auto Parts at Kansas Speedway sports betting odds and lines, with NASCAR analysis, picks and tips.

The NASCAR Cup Series moves to the Kansas Speedway for the Super Start Batteries 400 Presented by O’Reilly Auto Parts. The green flag drops Thursday at 7:30 p.m. ET with the race televised on NBCSN. Below, we analyze the Super Start Batteries 400 odds and betting lines, with NASCAR picks and tips with odds from BetMGM sportsbook.

Super Start Batteries 400: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 8:20 a.m. ET.

Thursday’s race at Kansas Speedway will be the 29th installment since its NASCAR Cup Series debut race back in 2001 – won by Jeff Gordon.

Denny Hamlin took checkers in the last Kansas Cup race (Oct. 20, 2019), while Brad Keselowski raced to a win in the spring run (May 11, 2019).
All three manufacturers have had success at Kansas Speedway in recent seasons, with Chevrolet, Ford and Toyota each posting a win across the past three races. In the past six races, though, Toyota has three checkered flags, while Chevrolet has raced to wins in 12 of the 28 Cup races at the track.
Richard Childress Racing’s Austin Dillon was an upset winner last Sunday at Texas. He has an impressive 13.8 Average-Finish Position (AFP) across his past eight Kansas starts. Fellow RCR driver Tyler Reddick ended up second in Texas, and was ninth in his Kansas Cup debut last season.
Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott was the last driver to steer a Chevy to Victory Lane at this track and has a sparkling 2.33 AFP across his past three Kansas starts.

Who is going to win the Super Start Batteries 400?

ELLIOTT (+650 for Thursday’s race) has one win in his past three Kansas Cup starts along with three consecutive top-5 showings. While there has been a couple of upset winners the past two weekends with Cole Custer at Kentucky and Dillon winning in Texas, look for one of the favorites to come through in this one.

Elliott started 13th in his winning run at Kansas in the Fall of 2018, and the average starting position of the past three winners is 13.3.

KEVIN HARVICK (+450), of course, is among the favorites Thursday night. He leads all drivers with a 9.79 AFP (min. two Cup starts) in 28 Cup races in Kansas, picking up three victories with eight top-5 showings and 15 top-10 runs. He also leads the way among all drivers with 855 laps led.

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MARTIN TRUEX JR. (+650) went off the rails at Texas, clipping teammate Kyle Busch in the middle of the run and was never able to recover, ending up 29th. Look for MTJ to return with a vengeance at Kansas, a track where he has won twice, posting eight top-5 finishes and led 759 laps in 23 Cup starts, good for a 13.87 AFP.

Kansas Speedway long-shot bets

JIMMIE JOHNSON (+3500) has three wins in 27 career Cup starts while posting a 10.33 AFP. Of course, all of that success came with crew chief Chad Knaus at the top of JJ’s pit box. Meanwhile, the seven-time Cup champion Johnson hasn’t won since June 2017. Will he never win a Cup race again? Don’t bet on it. He’s a GREAT SMALL-UNIT PLAY at this price.

Knaus, by the way, will be away from William Byron’s team for the birth of his second child. Keith Rodden will take over crew chief duties for the No. 24.

TYLER REDDICK (+3500) had his best career Cup finish last Sunday, rolling to a second-place finish. Is it Reddick’s turn this week? This will be only his second Kansas Cup race – as mentioned above, he finished ninth last year.

Lastly, don’t forget Kansas native CLINT BOWYER (+4000) at his home track. While he has never won in 23 career starts here, he has three top-5 showings, eight top-10 runs, 63 laps led and a 15.7 AFP. One of these days he is going to win in his native Sunflower State.

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GEICO 500 at Talladega odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s Geico 500 at Talladega Superspeedway sports betting odds and lines, with NASCAR analysis, picks and tips.

The NASCAR Cup Series moves to the Talladega Superspeedway for the GEICO 500. The green flag drops Sunday at 3 p.m. ET with the race televised on FOX. Below, we analyze the GEICO 500 odds and betting lines, with NASCAR picks and tips with odds from BetMGM sportsbook.

GEICO 500: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday, June 19 at 4:50 p.m. ET.

Sunday’s run at the Talladega Superspeedway is the first on a superspeedway track since the Daytona 500 opened the 2020 Sprint Cup Series season. That seems so long ago, as the stands were packed during pre-COVID 19 days. However, Talladega will actually host 5,000 fans in the frontstretch grandstands/towers, and there will be a limited amount of motorhome spots available outside of the track, too.

Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott (+800 for Sunday’s race) won the spring race at Talladega last season, while Penske Racing’s Ryan Blaney (+1100) took checkers in the fall race at the Alabama superspeedway.
Talladega’s tri-oval is 2.66 miles long, compared to Daytona International Speedway, which is 2.5 miles long. There are four turns, and those turns have a 33-degree bank with a slight bank or fifth turn in front of the main grandstand.
Each of the past five winners have started fourth or lower in the grid, and 15 of the previous 16 winners have started from the outside of Row 2 or lower.
Ford has dominated this track in recent years, posting eight victories in the past nine starts.

Who is going to win the GEICO 500?

BRAD KESELOWSKI (+850) leads all active drivers with five victories at Talladega, so the Penske driver has to be considered a must-bet option, especially considering Ford’s dominance in recent seasons.

Keselowski has seven top-5 finishes, 11 top-10 showings and 293 laps led in his 22 career starts with a 16.0 Average-Finish Position (AFP) and four DNFs.

JOEY LOGANO (+900), Keselowski’s teammate, picked up a victory in the spring 2018 Talladega race, and has raced to Victory Lane in three of the past nine Cup races at Talladega Superspeedway. In 22 career starts, Logano has finished inside the top 5 on eight occasions, leading 319 laps and posting a 16.2 AFP.

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CHASE ELLIOTT (+800) has been a quick study at Talladega, picking up a win in eight Cup starts at the track. In addition, he has three top-5 showings and four top-10 finishes, while racking up 126 laps in the front of the pack and turning in a 13.25 AFP, second among active drivers with at least three career Cup starts at the superspeedway.

Talladega Superspeedway prop bets

ARIC ALMIROLA (-110) has stepped up his game in recent seasons, bringing it home inside the top 10 in each of his past seven Talladega starts. As such, he is a SOLID BET TO FINISH INSIDE THE TOP 10 yet again. The defending champ from the fall race, Blaney (-200) is a little on the expensive side even for a top-10 finish. While yes, he won last season at the track, he had posted a 23.8 AFP in the previous five runs at ‘Dega. A better bet might be Ryan Newman (+185), as he has finished inside the top 10 in four of the past five runs at the superspeedway.

For Talladega, you can take part in group betting. If you’re new to betting, this simply means you choose one driver among a listed group of four. Whomever places highest cashes a winning ticket. In Group 3 betting, AUSTIN DILLON (+250) is a good play in the group with William Byron (+215), Matt DiBenedetto (+250) and Christopher Bell (+275).

Among the best finishing position matchups, take LOGANO (-118) to finish better than Denny Hamlin. ALMIROLA (-115) is a good bet to outpace Alex Bowman, while DILLON (-118) is also worth playing against DiBenedetto.

Talladega Superspeedway long-shot bets

RICKY STENHOUSE JR. (+2000) is always worth a look at superspeedways. He picked up a win here during the spring 2017 run in his Ford, while starting from the pole position. In 13 career Cup starts here, he has five top-5 showings, eight top-10 runs and a 11.62 AFP, leading all active drivers.

ALMIROLA (+2000) is also worth a roll of the dice, posting a win, four top-5 runs, eight top-10 results and 46 laps led with a 15.35 AFP in his 20 career Talladega starts. And, as mentioned, he has cracked off seven straight runs finishing ninth or better, including the win in the fall of 2018 at ‘Dega.

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Dixie Vodka 400 at Homestead-Miami odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s Dixie Vodka 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway sports betting odds and lines, with NASCAR analysis, picks and tips.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads down to Homestead-Miami Speedway for the Dixie Vodka 400. The green flag drops Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET with the race televised on FOX. Below, we analyze the Dixie Vodka 400 odds and betting lines, with NASCAR picks and tips with odds from BetMGM sportsbook.

Dixie Vodka 400: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday, June 13 at 6:20 a.m. ET.

Sunday’s race at Homestead-Miami Speedway will be the first sporting event with fans in the stands since mid-March. NASCAR will allow 1,000 fans, just military members or first responders, to attend as honorary guests. Fans will be required to wear masks, will be screened upon arrival and will be expected to follow physical-distancing guidelines at six feet apart.

Even with a smattering of people in the grandstands, this event will have a much different look and feel from previous seasons. From 2002 to 2019, the South Florida track hosted the final race of the season, leading to the crowning of the Cup Series champion. Joe Gibbs Racing’s Kyle Busch (+500 for Sunday’s race) won the championship with a checkered flag at this track last season, his second trip to Victory Lane at HMS in five years.

Six of the previous seven races have been won by a driver starting fifth or better. Denny Hamlin (+1000), Joey Logano (+800), Brad Keselowski (+1000), Busch and Chase Elliott (+700) are in starting spots 1 through 5.
Toyota has been the Victory Lane in two of the past three at Homestead-Miami Speedway, and four of the past seven.
Busch leads all drivers with 463 laps led, although he ranks 12th among active drivers with a 16.33 Average-Finish Position (AFP) across his 15 career starts at this track.
Rick Ware Racing’s J.J. Yeley (+100000) and Front Row Motorsports’ Michael McDowell (+50000) lead all active drivers with four DNFs apiece.

Who is going to win the Dixie Vodka 400?

HAMLIN (+1000) was a big disappointment at Martinsville Wednesday night, but has had strong results at this track in the past. Look for a nice bounce back. Plus, he is a strong value at this price.

Hamlin has two career wins at Homestead-Miami Speedway, while posting four top-5 runs, 10 top-10 finishes, 256 laps led and a 10.53 AFP in 15 starts at the track.

KEVIN HARVICK (+400) is always a threat at Homestead-Miami Speedway. He leads all active drivers with a sparkling 6.42 AFP in 19 career starts. While he has just one win, he has placed inside the top 5 on 11 different occasions while leading 414 laps. He has never finished lower than 20th at this track, too.

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CHASE ELLIOTT (+700) has yet to taste victory at HMS, but has never finished lower than 15th, either. In fact, he has a 9.50 AFP, second best in the field among drivers with at least four starts.

Homestead-Miami Speedway prop bets

HARVICK (-154) is a strong play to finish inside the top 5. In addition, HAMLIN (+140) is worth a roll of the dice to finish in the top 5, too.

Among the best finishing position matchups, take HAMLIN (-112) to finish better than Keselowski. CLINT BOWYER (-106) is a good bet to outpace William Byron, while Florida native ARIC ALMIROLA (+125) is a value play over Tyler Reddick.

Homestead-Miami Speedway long-shot bets

AUSTIN DILLON (+1400) has the best potential to crash the party and spoil the day for the favorites. He has shown tremendous and consistent improvement since making his debut at this track in 2014. He improved to 15th in 2015, 12th in 2016, 11th in both 2017 and 2018 and eighth last season.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway sports betting odds and lines, with NASCAR analysis, picks and tips.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Atlanta Motor Speedway for the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500. The green flag drops Sunday at 3 p.m. ET on FOX. Below, we analyze the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 odds and betting lines, with NASCAR picks and tips with odds from BetMGM sportsbook.

Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday, June 5 at 6:05 p.m. ET.

Penske Racing’s Brad Keselowski (+800) is the defending winner of this race, and he picked up checkers last season after starting from the 19th position.

The past three winners of the NASCAR Cup Series race in Atlanta have been in a Ford, with the three previous winners in a Chevrolet. A Toyota hasn’t been to Victory Lane in Atlanta since the AdvoCare 500 in 2013 when Kyle Busch (+650) raced to the win.
Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott (+600) has drawn the pole position, as starting spots 1-12 were a random draw from charter teams in those positions in team owner points.
The pole sitter hasn’t won in Atlanta in 18 Cup races dating back to Kasey Kahne (now retired) when he won the Golden Corral 500 in his Dodge March 20, 2006.
Four of the past six winners in Atlanta have started in position No. 10 or lower in the starting grid.
Stewart-Haas Racing driver Kevin Harvick (+450) leads all active drivers with 1,197 laps led in Atlanta. The next closest competitor is Ganassi’s Kurt Busch (+1600) with 802.

Who is going to win the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500?

While a pole sitter hasn’t hoisted the trophy in Atlanta since 2006, ELLIOTT (+600) is always a good choice. He has been running very consistently since the restart of the season and has been in contention for every race since the return.

Elliott leads all active drivers with a 10.5 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in four starts in Atlanta, posting a top-5 run and three top-10 finishes. He has never ended up lower than 19th at the track.

KURT BUSCH (+1600) has three wins under his belt in Atlanta, while turning in seven top-5 showings and 14 top-10 runs in 28 career starts. Plus, he has a strong 14.9 AFP along with those 802 laps led. Father Time isn’t catching up with the veteran – he turns 42 in August – especially as far as Atlanta in concerned, as he leads all drivers with a 6.9 AFP across the past 10 starts at the track. That includes finishes of fourth, seventh, eighth and third over the past four runs.

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KESELOWSKI (+800) is running with a lot of confidence, and is the defending champ of this race. He also won last week at Bristol for his second victory in the past three races. And remember, Ford has been to Victory Lane in each of the past three Atlanta runs, so …

Atlanta Motor Speedway prop bets

KURT BUSCH (-125) is almost a near certainty to finish INSIDE THE TOP 10, so play that. In addition, take the elder BUSCH (-115) over Jimmie Johnson in a head-to-head, best finishing position prop.

Another strong head-to-head play is ARIC ALMIROLA (-115) over Matt DiBenedetto. Almirola hasn’t exactly lit the track afire, but DiBenedetto just has never been able to figure the place out. In four Cup starts, DiBenedetto is 29th, 28th, 31st and 26th.

Atlanta Motor Speedway long-shot bets

Ol’ wily veteran MATT KENSETH (+6000) of Ganassi Racing is worth a roll of the dice here. He has never won in 29 tries in Atlanta, but has turned in 11 top 5s, 17 top 10s and he has led 363 laps in his career. He has an 11.93 AFP, best among all active drivers with at least five starts at the venerable, bumpy track.

If you’re looking for a REAL long shot to bet on, try DANIEL SUAREZ (+50000). He has three Cup starts under his belt in Atlanta, finishing 21st in his debut in 2017, 15th in 2018 and 10th in 2019. Of course, he is now in a more inferior machine, racing for Gaunt Brothers Racing in the No. 96 Toyota rather than his previous years with JGR and one season with SHR, thus the extremely long odds. But hey, it’s worth a $1 bet.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Food City presents the Supermarket Heroes 500 at Bristol odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s Food City presents the Supermarket Heroes 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway sports betting odds and lines, with NASCAR analysis, picks and tips.

The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Bristol Motor Speedway for the Food City presents the Supermarket Heroes 500. The green flag drops Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Supermarket Heroes 500 odds and betting lines, with NASCAR picks and tips with odds from BetMGM sportsbook.

Supermarket Heroes 500: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday, May 29 at 3:35 p.m. ET.

Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott (+900) was able to end his streak of bad luck by capturing checkers at the Alsco Uniforms 500 at Charlotte Motor Speedway Thursday night. He is among the favorites to win again Sunday.

Elliott leads all active drivers with an 11.5 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in eight career starts at Bristol. While he has never won at “The Last Great Colosseum,” he has three top-5 finishes, four top-10 showings and 199 laps led with no DNFs. He took third, 11th and fifth in his past three Bristol starts.
Joe Gibbs Racing driver KYLE BUSCH (+450) is the favorite, but he just hasn’t been himself. He’s only led 14 laps this season, and all of those occurred at the Daytona 500. That means the No. 18 machine hasn’t been out front in seven races dating back to Feb. 17. He leads all drivers with eight wins at Thunder Valley, posting a 13.45 AFP with 2,333 laps led in 29 career starts. He is sure to get it going at Bristol.
Ganassi Racing’s Matt Kenseth (+2500) is second among active drivers with four wins at Bristol. He owns 15 top-5 finishes and 22 top-10 runs in 36 career starts there with a 13.61 AFP and 1,583 laps led.
Kenseth’s Ganassi teammate KURT BUSCH (+1400) has managed six wins in 38 career starts at Bristol, second among active drivers only to his younger brother. The elder Busch has 12 top-5 finishes, 20 top-10 results and 1,095 laps led with only three DNFs.
Two of the past four pole sitters at Bristol have ended up winning, and four of the past 10 starters from the No. 1 position have come away with checkers.
Toyota has won four of the past five starts at Bristol Motor Speedway.

Who is going to win the Supermarket Heroes 500?

Both BUSCH BROTHERS would make for solid plays here – with a KYLE win paying 4.5 to 1 or better yet, a KURT victory scoring a nice 14-to-1 payoff.

Meanwhile, Hendrick Motorsports driver JIMMIE JOHNSON (+2000) is looking to snap a 103-start win drought. He is one of eight active drivers with two or more wins at the track.

The seven-time champ Johnson has a 13.28 AFP in 36 career starts with only 15 of his results outside of the top 10. He also has 914 laps led at Bristol and just one DNF.

Stewart-Haas Racing’s KEVIN HARVICK (+800) had a strong car Thursday night in Charlotte, but he faded late. He is also one of those multiple winners at Bristol, and figures to be right there in the end. He has 912 laps led and a 13.84 AFP in his career at the short track.

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BRAD KESELOWSKI (+1400) of Penske Racing had several years of ugly results at Bristol, but he showed well in last season’s summer “Night Race” with a third-place run. He has two career checkered flags at the short track, as does his teammate JOEY LOGANO (+600). The two Penske drivers have combined to lead 1,461 total laps at Thunder Valley, too. And don’t forget about Penske’s Ryan Blaney (+1600). He finished seventh, fourth and 10th in his past three Bristol runs.

Bristol Motor Speedway long-shot bets

Harvick’s teammate CLINT BOWYER (+2500) has never won in 28 career starts at Bristol, but he is always in the mix. He has seven top-5 showings, 15 top-10 finishes and a strong 14.07 AFP with only two DNFs and 281 laps led. Bowyer is eighth or better in each of his past four Bristol starts. A $10 wager would profit $250 if he claims the checkered flag.

JTG Daugherty’s RICKY STENHOUSE JR. (+4000) turned in a top-5 finish in Thursday’s Charlotte race, and he’ll arrive at Bristol brimming with confidence. He has always showed well at the short track, posting a 14.43 AFP in 14 career starts and just one DNF, although he has never led one lap here. Last season was a train wreck, as he was 33rd in both starts, but he averaged a 7.3 AFP in four starts from Summer 2016 to Spring 2018 at BMS. Backing the 40-to-1 long shot is worth a roll of the dice.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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