The Atlanta Braves (23-24) and Boston Red Sox (29-19) will open a brief two-game series Tuesday night at Fenway Park, with the first pitch coming at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Charlie Morton is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 2-2 with a 4.60 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 45 IP over 9 starts.
In his last outing Morton pitched six innings of one-run ball against the Mets, allowing just two hits and striking out eight, but didn’t factor into the decision. He’s 0-1 in his last three starts and has a 6-1 career record against the Red Sox with an ERA of 4.01.
RHP Garrett Richards is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. He is 4-2 with a 3.72 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 and 4.1 BB/9 in 48 1/3 IP over 9 starts.
Richards has allowed two or fewer runs in four of his last five starts and is 4-0 in that stretch. He’s only made one career start against the Braves, going six innings and allowing no runs with 10 strikeouts.
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Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Braves -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (+135) | Red Sox +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Braves 6, Red Sox 4
Money line (ML)
Both the Braves and Red Sox have been playing well lately, each winning four of their last five games. The Braves took three of four from the Pirates, outscoring Pittsburgh 33-3 in the final three games of the series. Their offense has been led by OF Ronald Acuna Jr., while the pitching staff more or less slowed down the Pirates and Mets.
I like the BRAVES (-115) to win this one outright on the road and extend their winning streak to four games.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Braves easily covered the spread in their last three games with three huge wins, but they’re only 18-29 against the spread this season. Boston, on the other hand, is 26-22 ATS, though only 5-5 in its last 10 games.
I wouldn’t wager much on the Braves to cover the spread, but a slight lean to ATLANTA -1.5 (+135).
Over/Under (O/U)
In the Red Sox’s last five games, the total has gone Over four times. Despite scoring just six runs in their last two games, Boston has one of the most potent lineups in baseball, as do the Braves.
With the power that both teams possess, I like the OVER 9.5 (-110).
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