What should fans be expecting from Zion Williamson in his first career game?
After months of waiting, the Zion Williamson era in New Orleans is finally about to begin on Wednesday night, as the No. 1 overall draft pick returns from a knee injury to make his NBA debut at home against the San Antonio Spurs (9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN). Williamson will reportedly not have a minutes limit, but it seems likely that Pelicans coach Alvin Gentry will ease Williamson into the season after he missed 44 games due to injury.
How will Zion perform in his debut? Williamson came into the league with unbelievable expectations, but given his injury history, remaining healthy and on the court may outweighs his production as a priority for the rest of his rookie season.
To get an idea of how budding superstars fare in their very first NBA games, we went back and checked the stats of 12 current and former NBA stars. We’ll start with the two players that Williamson has been compared to most often, Charles Barkley and Blake Griffin.
Previewing Wednesday’s Washington Wizards at Miami Heat sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.
The Washington Wizards (14-28) visit the Miami Heat (30-13) Wednesday at AmericanAirlines Arena for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze the Wizards-Heat odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
This is the third and final regular-season meeting between the two. The Heat (-9.5, O/U: 228.5) won at home 112-103 Dec. 6, while the Wizards (+11, O/U: 224) returned the favor, holding home court for a 123-105 win Dec. 30.
Both teams won Monday. The Wizards snapped a three-game skid with a 106-100 home victory vs. the Detroit Pistons. The Heat, also on a one-game win streak, needed overtime to get past the visiting Sacramento Kings 118-113.
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Wizards at Heat: Key injuries
Wizards
PF Rui Hachimura (groin) out
SG Garrison Mathews (ankle) out
C Anzejs Pasecniks (ankle) questionable
PF Moritz Wagner (ankle) out
PG John Wall (Achilles) out
Heat
SF Jimmy Butler (hip) probable
PG Goran Dragic (knee) probable
SF Duncan Robinson (ankle) questionable
SF Justise Winslow (back) out
Wizards at Heat: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.
AVOID. It’s no surprise the Heat are -500 because they own the league’s best home record at 19-1, but that is just too much chalk. Every $1 wagered on the Heat ML profits only $0.20 if they win. The Wizards (+375) offer a 3.75-to-1 payoff, but they’re not winning in Miami – they’re 5-17 on the road this season.
The HEAT (-9.5, -121) are the STRONGEST PLAY if Butler doesn’t sit. They’ll be focused on avenging the 18-point loss in D.C. three weeks ago. Miami owns the best ATS home record at 15-4-1 and the second-best ATS overall record at 25-16-2 (just behind the Oklahoma City Thunder’s 29-15 mark). If Butler takes the night off this becomes a small-unit wager.
New to sports betting? Every $1.21 wagered on the Heat’s spread will profit $1 if they win by 10 or more points.
Again, Butler’s status dictates the wager. If he plays, the OVER 227.5 (-115) is worth backing. The Wizards give up the most points in the league, allowing 119.8 PPG. Plus, Washington and Miami are both Over teams. The Wizards are 23-18-1 O/U on the season, while the Heat are 26-16-1. BUT, if Butler sits, this is NO PLAY.
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Johnny’s record since Dec. 1: 35-21-2. Strongest plays: 20-7.
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Previewing Wednesday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Toronto Raptors sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.
The Philadelphia 76ers (29-16) visit the Toronto Raptors (29-14) Wednesday at Scotiabank Arena for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze the 76ers-Raptors sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
76ers at Raptors: Key Injuries
76ers
C Joel Embiid (hand) out
Raptors
PF Dewan Hernandez (ankle) out
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76ers at Raptors: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.
The Raptors (-250) have won four straight games and have soared back into third spot in the Eastern Conference while winning seven of their last 10 games. The 76ERS (+200) have also won four straight and are an adequate 6-4 across their last 10 outings. They’re the value pick Wednesday at a very attractive betting number for this head-to-head rivalry meeting.
Toronto is 15-7 at home for the season while Philly is just 9-14 on the road. The two teams have split their two meetings this season, with both sides winning on home court. The 76ers are 5-2 with Embiid on the sideline for their recent run, and they’ve had four different leading scorers over that stretch.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Sixers to win outright returns a profit of $20.
The SIXERS (+5.5, +105) are still catching plus-money to stay within 5 points in a loss or win outright. It’s not as profitable as the moneyline, but it can be backed as a secondary play with Philly losing 101-96 in Toronto Nov. 25, and winning 110-104 at home Dec. 8.
Both teams have taken advantage of soft schedules during their four-game streaks. Wednesday night will represent the biggest test for both sides during the stretch. The Raptors are 24-19 against the spread overall and 13-9 at home, while the Sixers are 19-22-4 ATS overall and just 7-14-2 on the road. Liking the Sixers to pull the straight-up upset on the road, take the spread for some insurance.
Take the UNDER 218.5 (-115). The 76ers defense ranks second in the NBA with 105.0 points per game allowed, while the Raptors give up just 106.2 PPG. The two teams combine to average 220.7 PPG, but both of their two meetings this season fell well short of 218.5, and the Raptors won’t need to worry about Embiid.
Esten’s NBA betting record: 151-124
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Previewing Wednesday’s Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.
The Utah Jazz (30-13) and Golden State Warriors (10-35) will do battle at the Chase Center in San Francisco at 10 p.m. ET. We analyze the Jazz-Warriors odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Jazz at Warriors: Key injuries
Warriors
PG Stephen Curry (hand) out
SG Jacob Evans (concussion) questionable
PF Kevon Looney (abdominal) out
SF Glenn Robinson III (ankle) probable
SG Klay Thompson (knee) out
Jazz at Warriors: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.
The Jazz (-455) are just too expensive, as there is no way to justify risking more than four and a half times your potential investment. AVOID. There just isn’t enough value in backing Utah with a $10 bet returning a profit of only $2.20 with an outright victory. The Warriors are +340.
The JAZZ (-9.5, -106) have gotten PG Mike Conley Jr. back from injury, and he has been folded into the offense nicely. They’re second in the Northwest Division and they’re running like a finely tuned machine. The Warriors (+9.5, -115) … not so much. They’re banged up, and not playing well. It’s a far cry from the better part of the last decade where they have been championship caliber.
Utah is 5-1 ATS in the past seven as a favorite, and 7-2 ATS in the past nine on the road while cashing in 16 of the past 21 overall. Golden State has been better against the number lately, but is 2-7 ATS in the past nine meetings with Utah and 1-6 ATS in the past seven in the Bay Area against the Jazz.
The OVER 216.5 (-110) is the lean, although the trends are all over the board. I expect the Jazz to win this one rather handily, although it might not be until the final minute before this one inches across the line. I wouldn’t get too carried away betting the total in this one.
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Previewing Wednesday’s San Antonio Spurs at New Orleans Pelicans sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.
The San Antonio Spurs (19-23) and New Orleans Pelicans (17-27) will do battle at the Smoothie King Center at 9:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Spurs-Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Spurs at Pelicans: Key injuries
Spurs
SF Rudy Gay (illness) probable
SF DeMarre Carroll (illness) out
Pelicans
PF Derrick Favors (back) questionable
SG Josh Hart (ankle) questionable
PG Jrue Holiday (elbow) probable
SF Darius Miller (Achilles) out
C Jahlil Okafor (back) questionable
SG JJ Redick (hamstring) probable
SG Kenrich Williams (back) out
PF Zion Williamson (knee) probable
Spurs at Pelicans: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 8 a.m. ET.
Back the PELICANS (-167). In one of the most highly anticipated games for the NBA, we finally get to see rookie PF Zion Williamson in action for the first time in a regular-season game, barring a last-second setback. The crowd at Smoothie King Center will be rocking, and it will be interesting to see how head coach Alvin Gentry folds him into action with the Pellies doing well with SF Brandon Ingram up front and solid backcourt play lately.
The PELICANS (-3.5, -115) have the potential to be really good down the stretch. While they’re in last place of the Southwest Division, they’re just 3 1/2 games out of a playoff spot. They’re 3 games back of the Spurs (+3.5, -106), one team they’ll be chasing, so this is a super important game. The Pelicans will use the energy of Zion’s return to ‘spur’ them on to a win and cover.
The OVER 236.5 (-115) is worth a small-unit play, even with this high number. The Over is 11-1 in the past 12 games for the Pelicans, and 6-0 in their past six home games. The Over is 11-5 in San Antonio’s past 16 games overall, and 4-0 in the past four on the road against teams with a losing home record. All signs point to a high-scoring affair.
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The No. 1 overall pick out of Duke will make his debut Wednesday night against the San Antonio Spurs at just the right time for the New Orleans Pelicans, a team that’s suddenly come together over the last month or so.
There are so many questions swirling about Williamson after his return from knee surgery, and so much speculation about what he’ll be able to do in the NBA.
I’ll add to it, with a prediction that’s probably not that nuts for those fans who watched him with the Blue Devils: he’s going to turn out to be something we’ve never seen before.
This is the Williamson who blew out his shoe while playing for Duke, likely because of the sheer force he put on his foot (and knee) while trying to pivot. It’s the Williamson who brings Shaquille O’Neal-like rim-shattering thunder when he dunks, who could prove critics wrong by hitting threes occasionally and make himself unguardable in the process. He’ll wow you with his underrated ball-handling skills for a man that size. And his otherworldly springiness will lead to surprise blocks and steals like this one:
Look at that speed! Look at that bounce!
And that SIZE! The Charles Barkley comparisons were somewhat apt, but Barkley didn’t seem this explosive above the rim. At 6-foot-6 and 285 pounds, it’s shocking at how nimble and smooth he is. A reminder: there are two NBA players heavier than Williamson is, and they’re 7-foot-4 (Boban Marjanovic, 290 pounds) and 7-foot-5 (Tacko Fall, 311 pounds).
Yes, that’s led to all the concerns about his size and his knees, with the Pels saying his weight isn’t an issue, but now, New Orleans is helping him with his “kinetic chain” to take pressure off certain parts of his body. We’ve actually seen that before with Steph Curry and his ankles (that worked out well!), but you get the point. He’s the rarest of body types in the league.
Is he going to keep getting hacked to go to the line, where he might struggle (he hit 64 percent from the charity stripe in his one year with Duke)? Or is that a bad idea because he’s strong enough to fight through some arms near the rim to give himself and-ones forever?
You get the point.
Maybe Williamson’s weight is a problem, or his penchant to explode from the floor too much for his body to take. But on the night of his debut, everything is possible, even in the limited time he’ll be on the court. Be prepared to see something you’ve never seen before, and marvel.
Each week, HoopsHype’s staff gives our Top 10 candidates for this year’s Most Valuable Player award. Which stars have stood out thus far?
Each week, HoopsHype’s staff gives the Top 10 candidates for this year’s Most Valuable Player award. This list highlights stars who are in the mix for the 2019-20 MVP award due to their impressive play.
Which stars have stood out? Here are our latest MVP rankings:
Jimmy Butler’s play has taken a slight dip recently, which would explain why he’s ranked lower on our list this week than he has in a while. In his last three games prior to missing the Miami Heat’s Monday night contest against the Sacramento Kings, Butler averaged 14.0 points and 6.0 rebounds on porous 36.4/28.6/80.0 shooting splits, so maybe getting that last game off to rest what was described as a hip injury was for the best, and could help the All-Star get back on track. At the same time, Butler’s jumper has been off all season long, so Miami is going to have to hope he finds his groove from the outside if they want to be at peak form when the playoffs roll around.
On Monday, Portland Trail Blazers star Damian Lillard set a career-high and MLK Day record scoring clip when he dropped 61 points against the Golden State Warriors, to go with 11 triples, 10 rebounds and seven assists on the evening.
It was yet another magnificent outing for Lillard, who is the sole reason the Blazers are within two games of the Western Conference’s eighth seed despite what a tumultuous campaign they’ve had so far. With their All-NBA floor general in the game, Portland is 11.2 points per 100 possessions better than when he’s on the bench, which speaks to the heavy load Lillard has had to carry this year.
Usually, players on sub-.500 teams don’t get much of a look for MVP, but Lillard’s individual brilliance this year warrants a lot of credit. Without him, the Blazers would be battling for higher draft lottery odds and not for a spot in the postseason.
According to multiple advanced metrics, including Win Shares per 48 Minutes, Box Plus/Minus and Player Efficiency Rating, 2019-20 has easily been Donovan Mitchell’s best career season, as the talented young 2-guard has finally made the jump many expected him to make as a sophomore last year. Last week, Mitchell posted a ridiculous road performance, dropping 46 points and six rebounds while sinking seven three-pointers, many of the beyond difficult variety.
Mitchell’s high level of play has helped catapult the Utah Jazz to ranking sixth in net rating past the halfway mark of the season after a slow start to the campaign for the team. If Mitchell keeps it up, Utah is only going to get tougher.
It’s somehow flown under the radar even despite playing in a massive market, but Kawhi Leonard has been performing at an absurd level recently, averaging 36.0 points, 5.6 rebounds, 4.8 assists and 2.8 steals over his last five games on fiery 55.8/42.9/86.1 shooting splits. The Los Angeles Clippers are 4-1 in that stretch, with the only loss coming on the road to a tough Denver Nuggets team. Leonard’s been so great this year that the Clippers rank fifth in net rating league-wide, despite the fact that Leonard and Paul George have only suited up together 18 total times this entire season, with a 14-4 record to show for it in those contests. Once that duo manages to string together a few weeks’ worth of games together, it’ll be interesting to see how the Clippers are performing. Could be scary.
A lot of the talk centered around the Nuggets recently has been about 21-year-old phenom Michael Porter Jr.‘s recent breakout, which is a shame because that has somewhat overshadowed All-Star big man Nikola Jokic’s impressive uptick in play. Since the start of the month, Jokic is averaging 23.7 points, 10.1 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game while sinking a steamy 40 percent of his outside looks. Jokic has been so good that even despite a lot of injuries to the top of their rotation, Denver is currently second in the West with a 30-13 record. The Nuggets’ future with Jokic and Porter in their frontcout is looking scarily promising.
Ranking ninth in the NBA in points per game and third in blocks, the only reason Anthony Davis has taken a slight tumble in our rankings this week is due to the fact that he missed five games with a bruised tailbone. In his return outing for the Los Angeles Lakers, Davis had a quiet outing, dropping just nine points and four rebounds in under 23 minutes in what was probably L.A.’s worst performance of the season. No need to fret, though, as Davis will likely be back to his dominant self before too long.
After some up-and-down play since returning from an ugly ankle sprain, Luka Doncic was outstanding against Portland on Friday against the Blazers, exploding for 35 points, eight rebounds and seven assists, a performance that included multiple clutch shots, like the dagger three that effectively put the game to bed:
Luka Doncic (35 PTS) steps back for his career-high 8th triple and to extend the Mavs lead!@trailblazers 109@dallasmavs 120
That was just one of Doncic’s eight three-pointers on the night, too.
With recent changes the Dallas Mavericks have made to Doncic’s minutes (he’ll no longer play entire first and third quarters like he was earlier in the season), expect to see many more clutch moments coming up for the Slovenian superstar, now that he’ll have more energy late in games.
After somewhat struggling in the month of December after missing some time with injury (and we use struggling here in comparison to his otherworldly standards), LeBron James has bounced back in a big way thus far in January, averaging 25.7 points and 11.3 assists over the past three weeks while shooting over 50 percent from the floor. James’ best recent performance came on Saturday against the Houston Rockets, when he dropped 31 points and 12 assists as he was serenaded by MVP chants…by a road crowd in Houston. Shouldn’t come as a surprise, then, that James is the leading All-Star vote-getter this season.
There may not be a full-blown crisis quite yet in Houston, but things are teetering as the team has lost five of their last six games and fallen to sixth in the West. It may not be so coincidental that over that stretch, James Harden has been struggling mightily, averaging 27.7 points per game while shooting 34.8 percent from the floor, and 23.9 percent from beyond the arc. As has been the case for years, the Rockets will only go as far as Harden takes them, so they’re going to need their superstar 2-guard to find his jumper, and soon, because you don’t want to fall too far behind in the Western Conference playoff race at any point of the season.
On the season, Giannis Antetokounmpo ranks second league-wide in scoring and fifth in rebounds while placing second in field-goal percentage among ball-handlers. His Milwaukee Bucks, meanwhile, are second in offensive efficiency, first in defensive efficiency and first in overall net rating – by a mile. Things are going so well for Giannis and Co., in fact, that the reigning league MVP and 2019-20 MVP frontrunner recently told The Athletic that there isn’t a team in the league that the Bucks can’t beat. Bold statement, but one that Milwaukee has very much backed up thus far this season.
You can follow Frank Urbina on Twitter: @FrankUrbina_.
LeBron James and the lakers fell 139-107 versus the Celtics in Boston on Monday, but LBJ is making headlines responding postgame to something that happened on a different basketball court.
LeBron James and the lakers fell 139-107 versus the Celtics in Boston on Monday, but LBJ is making headlines responding postgame to something that happened on a different basketball court.
James’ teenaged son, Bronny, was playing in a game of his own on MLK Day when someone threw something at the younger James’ back while he was inbounding the ball.
“I mean it’s just disrespectful, and it was a little kid I don’t know how old that little kid was,” LeBron said. “I don’t know if he learned that on his own or he learned that at home or whatever the case may be, but it’s disrespectful. I wonder how old that kid is if he was around Bronny’s age or Bryce’s age.”
James explained that he was at his son’s game and saw the official stop the game, but that he did not realize why that happened until he saw the video after arriving at TD Garden for his own game.
Bronny’s teammate, Zaire Williams, told reporters after the HoopHall Classic, which wrapped up in Springfield, Massachusetts Monday, “You’d be surprised by all the stuff Bronny has to go through. It’s not fair, but he doesn’t let it phase him at all. I’m learning how to be more like that from him and he’s younger than me.”
LeBron agreed that his 14-year-old is level headed, saying he’s calmer than both of his parents, adding, “I guess he’s taken that from me too. I let a lot of (expletive) go. (…) But that (expletive) made me mad when I saw it.”
The 90-minute ride in a vehicle (which USA Today Sports confirmed as the means of transportation) to Springfield from Boston is something James said he doesn’t mind, calling it “special,” that he and his son have games that close to one another so far from their California home.
“The only bad thing about today is I took two Ls,” LeBron said. “The James gang took two Ls today. There’s always better days.”
Any competitive advantage in an NBA season is important whether it is home cooking or the comfort and familiarity of your own locker room.
Any competitive advantage in an NBA season is important whether it is home cooking or the comfort and familiarity of your own locker room.
For this study, we subtracted the difference from the team winning percentage on the road from their winning percentage at home. This illustrates, in part, the impact of playing in their own city has had on franchises around the league. We looked at all games played since the Basketball Association of America merged with the NBA in 1946-47.
Note that all numbers included below for teams are based on their records when playing in their current cities. That means that Golden State Warriors accounts for San Francisco both now and in the 1960s (not Oakland) while the Nets are in Brooklyn (not New Jersey), the Grizzlies are in Memphis (not Vancouver), the Jazz are in Salt Lake City (not New Orleans), etc.
Overall, this research helps show how much better a team has historically played depending on the location of the game.
Perhaps the most obvious takeaway is that the two NBA cities with the highest elevations (Denver and Utah) both rank in the Top 3. In fact, the Nuggets have won nearly twice as many games when they have played at home compared to their road appearances.
Back in 2013, Neil Payne contextualized the geographical advantages for these games (via ESPN):
“One explanation for this phenomenon is that Denver and Salt Lake City are, at 5,883 feet and 4,227 feet, respectively, the two highest-altitude cities in the entire NBA by far. (Ranking third in elevation is Phoenix at a paltry 1,132 feet.) Certainly, this is a major factor – the relatively thin air at such high elevations causes the players’ bodies to have less oxygen available for circulation to their muscles, resulting in quicker fatigue. Denver and Utah players seem to acclimate to this, offering them a presumed advantage.”
The aforementioned advantage is so distinct that in 2015, the league made an effort to schedule the Nuggets as the first stop on a trip from the east or put a day of rest in between games for teams coming from the west.
Another interesting takeaway is that cities that are known for a more vibrant nightlife (Miami, Los Angeles and New York) all fall fairly low on this list. It is common to hear “Los Angeles nightlife is undefeated” or the “South Beach Flu” after the Heat or the Lakers win a game at home. But the win-loss totals indicate that visiting teams may not be as impacted as many thought.
For further proof, Sports Insights NBA expert Carl Sack told The Action Network’s Matt Moore in 2018 that his data also indicated a regression to the mean rather than anything particularly noteworthy about party cities.
One final note is that the teams that have played the fewest total games at home (Oklahoma City Thunder, Brooklyn Nets and Golden State Warriors) fared the worst for these rankings.
These three teams rank in the Bottom 4 for home games based on sheer volume and newness in their home arenas. Whether it’s based on earning loyalty from the fans or something deeper, it was particularly interesting to see some kind of correlation even if there is no causation.
HoopsHype’s Alberto de Roa contributed research to this report
The Celtics smashed the Lakers on Monday night, but due to extenuating circumstances it doesn’t feel like a rivalry … yet.
The Boston Celtics crushed the Los Angeles Lakers last night. Really smacked them. They won 139-107 and it honestly didn’t even feel that close.
Five Celtics finished in double digits, and the whole team shot the lights out, going 55 percent from the field and 47 percent from deep. Anthony Davis — playing on a minutes restriction after coming back from a tailbone injury — got in foul trouble early and wasn’t much of a factor, finishing with 9 points on 3-for-7 shooting. LeBron James finished with just 15 points on 5-for-12 shooting. It was ugly from the Lakers, and the Celtics were red hot, and the game was a blowout.
Perhaps that was due to the Lakers, and notably their two biggest stars, no-showing. They looked tired and disinterested, and so despite the Celtics’ excellent play, the game never rose to anything beyond routine. It didn’t feel like Lakers vs. Celtics. It felt like a midseason NBA game.
This is the big issue with the Lakers, and one we’ve written about before. When LeBron and AD show up and play well, they look just about unstoppable. When either is hurt, or has an off night, or both have an off night (which happened on Monday), they can look like a lottery team.
The Lakers looked like a lottery team on Monday night, so the game didn’t feel special. We had a big Jaylen Brown dunk on LeBron and, other than that? Not much.
Hopefully, we’ll get there. These two teams are forever linked due to Kobe and Garnett and Pierce and [gestures broadly to the entire 1980s] but it’s just not there yet with these two groups. James and Davis are focused on their own team right now, and figuring out who among the roster can help them when it comes to playoff time. The Lakers are playing lots of guys and seeing who can hang, and unfortunately, not a ton of them are passing this test at the moment. Kyle Kuzma is so in his own head I want to give him a hug.
The Celtics, on the other hand, are finding their stride. They played just eight guys last night for most of the game, a shortened, playoff-style lineup. They wanted to see how they could do against the best and went full bore.
The Lakers treated it like a sparring session, so it felt like a sparring session. It’s a bummer for casual fans, who wanted to see a heavyweight fight, another chapter of a classic rivalry. But there’s just not enough history between these players yet, and the Lakers and Celtics are at such different parts of their seasons, it didn’t come together. Hopefully, next time, it will.