The Washington Wizards (14-28) visit the Miami Heat (30-13) Wednesday at AmericanAirlines Arena for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze the Wizards-Heat odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
This is the third and final regular-season meeting between the two. The Heat (-9.5, O/U: 228.5) won at home 112-103 Dec. 6, while the Wizards (+11, O/U: 224) returned the favor, holding home court for a 123-105 win Dec. 30.
Both teams won Monday. The Wizards snapped a three-game skid with a 106-100 home victory vs. the Detroit Pistons. The Heat, also on a one-game win streak, needed overtime to get past the visiting Sacramento Kings 118-113.
Get some action on this game or others by placing a bet at BetMGM.
Wizards at Heat: Key injuries
Wizards
- PF Rui Hachimura (groin) out
- SG Garrison Mathews (ankle) out
- C Anzejs Pasecniks (ankle) questionable
- PF Moritz Wagner (ankle) out
- PG John Wall (Achilles) out
Heat
- SF Jimmy Butler (hip) probable
- PG Goran Dragic (knee) probable
- SF Duncan Robinson (ankle) questionable
- SF Justise Winslow (back) out
Wizards at Heat: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Heat 133, Wizards 111
Moneyline (ML)
AVOID. It’s no surprise the Heat are -500 because they own the league’s best home record at 19-1, but that is just too much chalk. Every $1 wagered on the Heat ML profits only $0.20 if they win. The Wizards (+375) offer a 3.75-to-1 payoff, but they’re not winning in Miami – they’re 5-17 on the road this season.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
The HEAT (-9.5, -121) are the STRONGEST PLAY if Butler doesn’t sit. They’ll be focused on avenging the 18-point loss in D.C. three weeks ago. Miami owns the best ATS home record at 15-4-1 and the second-best ATS overall record at 25-16-2 (just behind the Oklahoma City Thunder’s 29-15 mark). If Butler takes the night off this becomes a small-unit wager.
New to sports betting? Every $1.21 wagered on the Heat’s spread will profit $1 if they win by 10 or more points.
Over/Under (O/U)
Again, Butler’s status dictates the wager. If he plays, the OVER 227.5 (-115) is worth backing. The Wizards give up the most points in the league, allowing 119.8 PPG. Plus, Washington and Miami are both Over teams. The Wizards are 23-18-1 O/U on the season, while the Heat are 26-16-1. BUT, if Butler sits, this is NO PLAY.
Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.
Johnny’s record since Dec. 1: 35-21-2. Strongest plays: 20-7.
January’s strongest plays: 9-4.
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