Tag: Washington Nationals betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals and Cincinnati Reds open their seasons with the 1st game of a 3-game set Thursday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Reds won 4-3 last season

The Nationals finished last season with a 71-91 record, good for last in the NL East. They finished 4 games behind the New York Mets and 33 behind the 1st-place Atlanta Braves. Washington had a 37-44 road record last year.

Cincinnati finished 3rd in the NL Central last season, just 1 game behind the Chicago Cubs. It was 82-80 on the season and 38-43 at home. The Reds were hit hard with injuries during training camp with the most notable being 2B Matt McLain, who tore his labrum and is expected to miss an extended period of time.

Nationals at Reds projected starters

RHP Josiah Gray vs. RHP Frankie Montas

Gray (8-13, 3.91 ERA in 2023) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.46 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 159 innings last season.

  • 2023 road stats: 4-7, 2.97 ERA (100 IP, 33 ER) in 18 starts
  • 2023 vs. Reds: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER (5 R), 8 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 9-2 home loss July 5
  • Career vs. Reds: 1-1, 3.27 ERA (11 IP, 4 ER) in 2 starts

Montas (5-12, 4.05 ERA in 2022) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.25 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 144 1/3 IP with the New York Yankees and Oakland Athletics in 2022 — only pitched 1 1/3 innings in 2023 due to right shoulder surgery.

  • 2022 home stats: 2-7, 3.11 ERA (89 2/3 IP, 31 ER) in 15 starts
  • Career vs. Nationals: 0-0, 33.75 ERA (1 1/3 IP, 5 ER) in 2 relief appearances — last faced Washington in 2017

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Nationals at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Reds -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-155) | Reds -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Nationals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Nationals 2

Moneyline

PASS.

There is minimal value on the home Reds (-155) to beat a Nationals team that struggled last season and has made minimal offseason improvements.

Run line/Against the spread

BET REDS -1.5 (+125).

Montas will be the difference maker in this matchup. He is seeing his 1st action in a year and coming off shoulder surgery. Montas has displayed good control over his career and is looking to turn the page after his injury. While the Reds dealt with a difficult spring training, expect their bats to be hot in front of their home crowd.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (+100).

The Under is 7-3 between these teams dating back to Aug. 2022. In last season’s series, the Under went 2-5. Both teams are navigating difficulties, but the Nationals will make the difference here. Both teams finished with a below-.500 Over record last season.

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Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (69-89) and the Baltimore Orioles (98-59) finish a 2-game series Wednesday at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 3-0

It was a classic pitcher’s duel Tuesday night in Baltimore. A solo home run by Orioles SS Gunnar Henderson in the 1st inning was the only run scored by either team.

Nationals RHP Josiah Gray threw 6 innings, allowing just 5 H and 2 BB with 7 K. But Orioles’ RHP Kyle Bradish had a better night, throwing 8 shutout innings with just 3 H, 2 BB with 4 K.

Nationals at Orioles projected starters

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Grayson Rodriguez

Corbin (10-14, 5.13 ERA) makes his 32nd. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 175 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 9-6 home loss vs. the Atlanta Braves on Friday
  • 2023 road stats: 6-5, 4.83 ERA (91 1/3 IP, 49 ER) in 16 starts.
  • Career vs. Orioles: 1-4, 4.93 ERA (42 IP, 23 ER) in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance

Rodriguez (6-4, 4.49 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 116 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 7 K in a 5-2 road loss vs. Cleveland Guardians on Thursday
  • 2023 home stats: 3-2, 4.88 ERA (59 IP, 32 ER) in 11 starts
  • First career start against the Nationals

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Nationals at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:32 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Orioles -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+100) | Orioles -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Nationals 5

Moneyline

There are a lot of reasons to pick the Orioles to sweep the season series against the Nationals, but on the betting side there is no value at picking Baltimore at -250. It is best to PASS and look at the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

Washington has been surprisingly successful against the spread this season. They have covered in 49 of 77 games as a road underdog (63.6%). They also are 48-40 ATS after a loss.

The Orioles, who are among the best teams in baseball, struggle at home as a favorite, covering just 40% of the time (23-34) in Camden Yards.

You don’t often see plus odds when you add runs so I like the value in picking the Nationals to keep it close or possibly win.

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (+100).

Over/Under

After Tuesday’s 1-0 game, Wednesday’s line sits at a lowly 7.5 runs.

Among the things Washington batters do right is avoid striking out. They rank 2nd in strikeouts per game (7.08). But Washington pitchers struggle to get strikeouts and rank 28th in opponent strikeouts (7.53).

After a win, Baltimore is 51-41-5 toward the Over while Washington is 43-41-4 after a loss.

There should be a lot of contact on the ball Wednesday.

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-115).

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Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (69-88) take a short trip to Maryland to visit the Baltimore Orioles (97-59) to open a 2-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 2-0

Washington suffered an 8-5 loss as a +247 home underdog Sunday vs. the Atlanta Braves. The Nationals have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are 4-6 in their last 10. The Nationals, 35-41 on the road this season, are last in the NL East and has already been eliminated from playoff contention.

After a 3-game skid, Baltimore won the last 2 games vs. the Cleveland Guardians to split the 4-game series. The Orioles lead the AL East and have already clinched a playoff berth, but the division title is still up for grabs. Baltimore is 2 1/2 games ahead of the 2nd-place Tampa Bay Rays.

Nationals at Orioles projected starters

RHP Josiah Gray vs. RHP Kyle Bradish

Gray (8-12, 4.00 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 153 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 13-3 home win Wednesday vs. the Chicago White Sox
  • Career vs. Baltimore: 0-1, 1.80 ERA (5 IP, 1 ER), 4 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 1 start

Bradish (11-7, 3.01 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 158 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 9 K in a 2-1 road loss Wednesday vs. the Houston Astros
  • Career vs. Washington: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (6 IP, 0 ER), 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 1 start

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Nationals at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:26 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Orioles -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+100) | Orioles -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nationals at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 4, Nationals 0

Moneyline

PASS.

Baltimore should pick up the win here but as a -250 favorite the line is not worth betting the juice. Bet on the run line and/or O/U instead.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN ORIOLES -1.5 (-115).

The Orioles have been dominant vs. Washington lately, going 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. The Orioles are 6-4 in the last 10 while the Nationals are 4-6 over that same span. Baltimore is also 45-30 at home on the year while Washington is 14 games under .500 on the road. I expect the Orioles to put the Nationals away early.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-110). 

The Under has hit in the last 9 straight Baltimore-Washington matchups. The Under is also 4-1 in Baltimore’s last 5 overall and 6-3 in its last 10. The Under has hit in each of Bradish’s last 2 starts overall and hit in his only career start vs. Washington.

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (97-55) and Washington Nationals (68-85) begin a 4-game series Thursday. First pitch from Nationals Park is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 4-2

Atlanta has lost 5 of its last 6 games allowing nearly 9 runs per game over this stretch. They come to the nation’s capital for the 1st time since April 2 and will play the Nationals 7 times over the last 10 games of the season. The Braves have already clinched the N.L. East.

The Nationals have won 2 of the 1st 3 games of their 7-game homestand. Their series victory over the Chicago White Sox was their 1st at home since Aug. 20. Washington is 33-44 at Nationals Park this season.

Braves at Nationals projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Jake Irvin

Fried (7-1, 2.64 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 71 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-6 road victory at the Philadelphia Phillies on Sept. 12
  • 2023 road stats: 5-0, 1.74 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 8 ER), .219 opponent batting average (OBA) in 8 starts
  • 2023 vs. Nationals: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 1 start, a 7-2 road win March 30

Irvin (3-6, 4.34 ERA) will make his 24th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 118 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 6 K in a 5-3 loss at the Milwaukee Brewers Friday
  • 2023 home stats: 2-4, 4.10 ERA (83 1/3 IP, 38 ER), .241 OBA in 16 starts
  • Has never faced the Braves as a starter

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Braves at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:51 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -2.5 (+105) | Nationals +2.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Braves at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Nationals 2

Moneyline

PASS.

The Braves will win this game but I’m not going to bet 2 1/2 units to win back 1. That’s just never a good bet anyway you slice it.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BRAVES -2.5 (+105).

You don’t see the -2.5 run line very often when it comes to MLB games. I don’t mind taking the extra run in this matchup.

Fried has been stellar on the road this season. And since 2021, he is 5-2 with a 4.14 ERA against the Nationals. In Atlanta’s 4 wins over Washington this season, they have won by multiple runs in 3 of them.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (+100).

I love that you are getting plus odds on this bet. In their 7 meetings this season, the total runs scored has been 9 or less in 6 of them.

The Nationals have also been under this total in 5 of their last 6 games.

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Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (62-72) welcome the Miami Marlins (66-67) to Nationals Park Thursday for the opener of a 4-game series. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Miami leads 7-2

The Nationals are 6-4 over their last 10 games and are 26 games back of the Atlanta Braves in the NL East. Washington is 33-36 at home this season. It lost 2 of 3 to the Toronto Blue Jays to start the week, including a 7-0 defeat in Wednesday’s finale.

The Marlins were swept in a 2-game series by the Tampa Bay Rays, losing Wednesday 3-0 and Tuesday 11-2. They are 2-8 over their last 10 games and 28-36 on the road. Miami sits 21 1/2 games behind the Braves.

Marlins at Nationals projected starters

LHP Braxton Garrett vs. RHP Joan Adon

Garrett (7-5, 3.96 ERA) makes his 26th start and 27th appearance. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 134 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 3 K in a 7-4 home loss over the Nationals Friday
  • 2023 away stats: 4-2, 2.86 ERA in 63 IP in 12 starts

Adon (2-0, 5.25 ERA) makes his 5th start and 7th appearance. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 24 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 3 K in a 7-4 road win over the Marlins Friday
  • 2023 home stats: 0-0, 9.90 ERA in 10 IP in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance

Marlins at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Nationals +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins -1.5 (+100) | Nationals +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Marlins at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 5, Marlins 3

Moneyline

BET NATIONALS (+135).

These teams have played three 3-game series this season, and the Marlins have swept 2 of them. However, Miami has been awful over its last 13 games, posting just a 3-10 record. The Marlins have lost Garrett’s last 2 starts as well and are also 28-36 on the road.

Washington is 29-36 at home so slightly better. Simply put, the Nationals have been the better team as of late and are 6-4 over their last 10. Adon looked dominated in his last start against Miami. Washington is also better than Miami after a loss (35-36 compared to 30-36) which both teams are in this situation.

Take NATIONALS (+135).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Marlins aren’t juicy enough at -1.5 (+100) to consider — I would want to see them at least at (+120). The Nationals seem like a better moneyline play here given the odds.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).

The Nationals are 2-3 O/U over their last 5 games and 63-66-5 O/U on the season. They went Under in 2 of their last 3 games against the Marlins as well. The total is 3-5-1 O/U in the two sides’ 9 games in 2023.

Miami is 59-70-4 O/U this season and 1-3 O/U over its last 4 games. It has scored 2 or fewer in 4 straight games. It is 2-8 O/U over its last 10 games. Put it all together and take the UNDER 8.5 (-105).

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (67-56) face the Washington Nationals (56-68) in the MLB Little League Classic. First pitch from the Muncy Bank Ballpark at Historic Bowman Field in Williamsport, Pa., is on Sunday Night Baseball at 7:10pm ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 7-5

After Philadelphia’s stunning 8-7 loss to the Washington Nationals on Friday, where they blew a 6-1 lead, Saturday was Washington’s turn to implode.

The Nationals took a 3-0 into the 7th inning thanks to RHP Jake Irvin’s 6 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, and 7 K, but the bullpen immediately unraveled. Phillies RF Nick Castellanos hit a 3-run home run to tie the game in the 7th.

And then the 8th inning was a disaster for Washington. RHP Cory Abbott allowed 8 runs including 2 solo HRs from SS Trea Turner and a 3-run shot from 2B Bryson Stott. The Phillies won 12-3.

Phillies vs. Nationals projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Trevor Williams

Wheeler (9-5, 3.63 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 144 innings.

  • Last start: No decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 2-1 loss vs. Toronto Blue Jays on Tuesday
  • 2023 road stats: 6-3, 3.24 ERA (77 2/3 IP, 28 ER) in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Nationals: 12-14, 4.66 ERA (181 2/3 IP, 94 ER) in 31 starts

Williams (5-7, 5.20 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 117 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No decision, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K in an 8-7 home win against the Oakland Athletics on Sunday
  • 2023 home stats: 2-3, 4.85 ERA (55 2/3 IP, 30 ER) in 11 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-4, 6.00 ERA (39 IP, 26 ER) in 9 appearances (7 starts)

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Phillies vs. Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:28 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Nationals +185 (bet $100 to win $185)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -2.5 (+110) | Nationals +2.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Phillies vs. Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 7, Nationals 5

Moneyline

The initial pitching matchup favored Philadelphia. LHP Ranger Suárez has beaten Washington more than any other team in his career but was a late scratch. Wheeler can fill in his shoes quite well.

He’s 12-14 against Washington in his career and is pitching well this season. His 10 K/9 is the 2nd best in his career and his strikeout to walk ratio (5.52) is his best.

Also, Williams has struggled against Philadelphia, posting a 1-4 record.

But -225 is too high to grab them at the moneyline. It’s best to PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

It’s uncommon to see a 2.5 run line in baseball. But getting just above even money on a Phillies team who has the 3rd-worst record against the spread this season (52-71) is not ideal. And Philadelphia is last in MLB in cover percentage after a win (39.4%).

On the flip side, Washington’s has a surprisingly good cover rate after a loss (56.7%) which is 8th best in baseball.

BET NATIONALS +2.5 (-135).

Over/Under

Both teams trend toward the Under this season, but more recently, they have been hitting the Over. The Phillies and Nationals are on 3-game Over streaks, including the 1st 2 games of this series.

In the last 3 games, the Phillies are 3rd in runs per game (9.3) while the Nationals are 6th (7.0). Philadelphia has done it with the long ball, averaging 3.3 HRs a game. Washington on the other hand is last in HRs per game (0.3) and is 1sst in doubles.

The books like a lower scoring game, but I like the value in seeing the runs continue to flow.

LEAN OVER 9 (+100).

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Boston Red Sox at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Boston Red Sox at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Boston Red Sox (63-57) and Washington Nationals (54-67) meet Thursday at 4:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network) to close out a 3-game series at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Boston had just 4 hits in Wednesday’s 6-2 loss, and the Red Sox own a mere .545 OPS in this series. The Crimson Hose have struggled in games against the Senior Circuit as they are 19-23 against the NL.

Since July 8, Washington is 13-3 at home. Over those 16 games, the Nationals have banged out an .817 OPS.

Red Sox at Nationals projected starters

LHP Chris Sale vs. LHP Patrick Corbin

Sale (5-2, 4.52 ERA) is tabbed for his 13th start. He has logged a 1.12 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 63 2/3 inning.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 7 K in a 5-2 home win over the Detroit Tigers Friday
  • 2023 road stats: 4-2, 5.34 ERA in 32 IP in 6 starts
  • Has faced the Nationals once in his career (2 1/3 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 3 BB on Oct. 3, 2021)
  • Making his 2nd start off the IL (left scapula)

Corbin (7-11, 4.85 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 through 137 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 H, 1 R (0 ER), 7 BB, 2 K in 6-2 loss at Philadelphia Phillies Aug. 10
  • 2023 home stats: 3-7, 4.78 ERA in 69 2/3 IP in 12 starts
  • Has faced Boston twice in his career: 0-2, 8.22 ERA in 7 2/23 IP (2013-16)

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Red Sox at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Red Sox -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (-115) | Nationals +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Red Sox at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Nationals 5

Moneyline

At 4.36 runs per game and 5.07 RPG allowed, the Nats are a bit too far over their skis with their overall record. Both runs scoring figures aren’t fully supported by analytics either, so Washington is certainly a fade candidate in a vacuum.

But a 2nd start off an IL visit is usually a turn from which to steer clear. And Boston owns a whiff-heavy .644 OPS vs. lefty pitching since the break.

AVOID.

Run line/Against the spread

Same as above. This isn’t a great game for betting sides. PASS.

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Over/Under

The Nationals have banged the ball around at home of late. Sale starting for Boston swings the Nats around to their best platoon side (.772 OPS vs. left-handers).

With pitching being the negative here and with both sides being bottom-third units defensively, BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-110) on a warm night with an outward breeze in the forecast.

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Boston Red Sox at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (62-56) and Washington Nationals (53-66) meet Tuesday at 7:05 p.m. ET to open a 3-game series at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting since Boston swept 3 games in 2021

Boston hits the road after a 5-5 home stand. The Red Sox are 1-game under-.500 (27-28) on the road this season. They are 4 games under .500 (18-22) against NL teams.

The Nationals have struggled at home this season, but not of late. Since July 8, Washington is 12-2 in D.C. Over those 14 games, the Nats have banged out an .824 OPS.

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Red Sox at Nationals projected starters

RHP Nick Pivetta vs. RHP Josiah Gray

Pivetta (8-6, 4.16 ERA) is tabbed for his 11th start. He has logged a 1.17 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 97 1/3 innings across 28 games (10 starts).

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 8 K in a 4-3 win over the Kansas City Royals Wednesday
  • 2023 road stats: 2-2, 3.61 ERA in 42 1/3 IP in 12 games (4 starts)
  • Last 5 starts vs. Nationals: 0-5, 11.25 ERA in 20 IP (2018-19)
  • Has authored a 2.54 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, and 39:7 K:BB across 28.1 IP since the All-Star break

Gray (7-9, 3.69 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 126 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 2 BB, 5 K in 5-4 win at Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
  • 2023 home stats: 3-5, 5.17 ERA in 47 IP over 9 starts
  • Has faced Boston once as a starter: allowed 1 R on 3 H in 6 IP Oct. 2, 2021
  • Owns a 5.87 ERA, 1.48 WHIP at home since 2021
  • Owns an 80.4% left-on-base rate; has allowed a .250 batting average on balls in play in high-leverage situations

Red Sox at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:24 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Red Sox -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (-105) | Nationals +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Red Sox at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Nationals 4

Moneyline

Gray is enough of a fade candidate to make Boston a lean. At 4.34 runs per game and 5.09 RPG allowed, the Nats are also a tad overcooked as a ball club.

Catch a better Sox price on the run line. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Washington offense has gotten a big, somewhat lucky, boost from a .321 BABIP in high-leverage situations at the plate. Gray has needed 173 pitches to go just 8 1/3 innings over his last 2 starts. He’s allowed 15 baserunners and 9 runs over those 2 turns.

There is some risk here with the way the Nats have played at home lately. But Boston has some value here. FanDuel Sportsbook has the better price on this one: RED SOX -1.5 (+100). Consider going with a partial-unit play as the lean is moderate at best.

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Over/Under

The Nationals have posted a .776 OPS over their last 10 games and an .824 mark over their last 14 games at Nationals Park.

Gray is suspect here and so is the Boston bullpen to a small extent. Both sides rate as bottom-third defensively.

Again, FanDuel’s price offers more leverage here. On a warm evening in D.C., BACK THE OVER 9 (-110).

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Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (50-65) and Philadelphia Phillies (63-52) wrap up their 4-game series at Citizens Bank Park Thursday. First pitch is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 5-4

The Nationals lost 7-0 Wednesday and were held hitless for the first time since moving from Montreal. Washington slipped to 4-2 during its 7-game road trip. The Nats have been outscored 65-33 by the Phillies over the season series.

Philadelphia won for the 7th time in their last 10 games behind a no-hitter from RHP Michael Lorenzen Wednesday. It was the first Phillies no-hitter since Cole Hamels tossed one in 2015. Phili is 32-22 on the season at Citizens Bank Park.

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Nationals at Phillies projected starters

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Corbin (7-11, 5.03 ERA) will make his 24th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 132 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 6-3 road victory vs. Cincinnati Reds Friday
  • 2023 away splits: 4-4, 5.31 ERA (62 2/3 IP, 37 ER), .271 OBA in 11 starts
  • First start vs. Phillies in 2023
  • 2022 vs. Phillies: 0-4, 11.74 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 20 ER) in 4 starts

Nola (9-8, 4.58 ERA) will make his 24th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 143 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 7-5 home loss vs. Kansas City Royals Friday
  • 2023 home splits: 4-3, 3.75 ERA (57 2/3 IP, 24 ER), .210 OBA in 9 starts
  • First start vs. Nationals in 2023
  • 2022 vs. Nationals: 1-1, 1.52 ERA (23 2/3 IP, 4 ER) in 4 starts

Nationals at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:17 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Phillies -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+105) | Phillies -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Nationals 2

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Phillies (-250) are likely to win this game and that’s why they are such heavy favorites, but this price tag makes the risk not worth the reward.

I will say that I don’t hate the idea of putting half a unit on the Nationals (+200) simply for the value because Philly only leads the season series 5-4. I’m not predicting that outcome, but we have seen odder things happen.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-125).

It is shocking to see that Nola has not started against the Nationals in any of their 9 games this season but he has probably been licking his chops after owning Washington in 2022.

Corbin has just one career win against Philadelphia over 9 starts. When you look at the heart of the Phillies lineup; OF Bryce Harper, C J.T. Realmuto, 3B Alec Bohm and DH Kyle Schwarber all have over a .289 batting average and .400 OBP.  Philadelphia is also 18-16 against lefties this season.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-105).

This may be a little bit of a risk being that these two teams have been at 9 total runs or more in 6 of their 9 matchups.

Nola will handle this Nationals lineup who has averaged just over 3 1/2 runs per game against Philadelphia.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Game 1 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (49-63) and the Philadelphia Phillies (61-51) open a 4-game series Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch in Game 1 of Tuesday’s doubleheader is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 3-3

These teams were expected to open the 4-game set Monday, but Mother Nature had other plans. Monday’s postponed game is being made up as part of a doubleheader Tuesday.

Washington played with a little ‘Natitude’ over the weekend, sweeping a 3-game set from the Cincinnati Reds. The Nats have won 5 of the past 6 games overall, but Washington is still 14 games under .500 overall. The Under has cashed in 4 straight, and 6 of the past 7 outings.

Philadelphia took 2 of 3 games from the suddenly pesky Kansas City Royals at home over the weekend, and the Phillies are 5-2 across the past 7 games overall. Totally opposite of the Nats, the Over has cashed in 3 in a row, and 4 of the past 5 games for the Phils.

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Nationals at Phillies projected starters

RHP Trevor Williams vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Williams (5-6, 4.72 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 108 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 5-2 road loss vs. New York Mets on July 30
  • 2023 road splits: 3-3, 5.02 ERA (57 1/3 IP, 32 ER – 14 HR), .305 opponent batting average (OBA) in 12 starts

Wheeler (8-5, 3.71 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 131 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 9-8 road loss in 12 innings vs. the Miami Marlins Wednesday
  • 2023 home splits: 2-2, 4.03 ERA (60 1/3 IP, 27 ER – 7 HR), .226 OBA in 10 starts

Nationals at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Phillies -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+115) | Phillies -1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Nationals at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Nationals 4

Moneyline

The Phillies (-275) will cost you nearly 3 times your potential return, and that’s just way too much risk for not enough reward.

Plus, Philadelphia has had a difficult time with the Nationals (+220) this season, and Washington is playing pretty good ball lately, too.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

If things go according to plan, the PHILLIES -1.5 (-140) should be able to cover the run line in Game 1.

Williams has been very giving this season, coughing up 14 homers in 57 1/3 IP across 12 road outings. That’s bad news when playing in a bandbox like Citizens Bank Park. Expect the Philadelphia offense to come alive, especially with a wind blowing from left field to right field at 13-16 mph.

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Over/Under

OVER 9 (+100) is the lean, and remember the wind situation. Left-handed batters could see some wind-aided homers against the pitchers, especially Williams.

The Over is 6-2-1 in the past 9 meetings in this series and is 4-1 in Philadelphia’s last 5 games overall.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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