Tag: Washington Nationals betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Tampa Bay Rays at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (47-32) open a two-game series against the Washington Nationals (38-38) Tuesday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Rich Hill is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays. He is 6-2 with a 3.52 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 in 76 2/3 IP over 15 starts.

Hill has recorded a 3.55 ERA in seven road starts this season, but it has come with a weak 6.3 K/9, compared to 11.3 at home. He hasn’t been missing as many bats lately, as his 7.1% swinging strike rate in June is a big drop from his 15.5% rate in May.

RHP Joe Ross is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 4-7 with a 4.12 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 through 74 1/3 IP over 14 starts.

Ross had a 5.40 ERA at the end of May but has turned things around, allowing 0 ER in three of his last four starts. The sample is small and skewed by a 10 ER outing in mid-April, but Ross has a 5.74 ERA and 2.36 HR/9 in five home starts this season.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Rays at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Nationals -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rays -1.5 (+145) | Nationals +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Nationals 6, Rays 4

Money line (ML)

Hill went on a stretch where he was among the league’s most dominant pitchers, but he has cooled off lately. Since recording 25 swinging strikes in his May 25 start, his velocity has dipped and he has tallied a total of just 26 swings and misses in his last five starts.

The Nationals have been red-hot, winning 12 of their last 15 games. We’ll give them a slight edge in this matchup, so a small play on NATIONALS (-110) is the recommendation.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Neither side of this line looks like a great value, so it may be best to PASS on the run line. Of the alternate lines, NATIONALS -1.5 (+170) has some appeal, but Ross can’t be counted on to completely shut down the Tampa offense.

Over/Under (O/U)

Hill doesn’t quite look like the same pitcher we saw a month ago when he was dominating. Ross has looked pretty good lately, but he has a 4.86 ERA since 2017, and he has had a couple of blowups (8 ER and 10 ER) this year, as well.

OVER 9 (-105) is the best bet for this game, as both teams should put some runs on the board.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (36-38) play the Miami Marlins (33-43) Sunday in their four-game series finale at loanDepot park. Game 4’s first pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Washington hopes to salvage a series split since Miami has won back-to-back games by a combined score of 14-4 after the Nationals won the series opener.

Season series: Nationals lead 4-2.

RHP Max Scherzer makes his 15th start for the Nationals. Scherzer is 6-4 with a 2.19 ERA (82 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 0.83 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 3-2, with 5 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB and 8 K at the Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday.
  • Scherzer got a win earlier this season vs. the Marlins (May 2) with a stat line of 9 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 9 K in Washington’s 3-1 victory.
    • vs. Marlins on the current roster: 166 at-bats with a .205/.250/.337 slash line, 52/7 K/BB, 5 HR and 13 RBIs.

RHP Sandy Alcantara is on the mound for the Marlins. Alcantara is 4-6 with a 2.93 ERA (101 1/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 across an MLB-high 16 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 8 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 3 K in Miami’s 2-1 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays Tuesday.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 79 at-bats with a .253/.344/.418 slash line, 17/10 K/BB, 3 HR and 10 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:17 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Marlins +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals -1.5 (+135) | Marlins +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Nationals 5, Marlins 0

Money line (ML)

GIMME the NATIONALS (-140) for 1 unit because Scherzer dominates the Marlins historically and pitches very well in Miami.

Scherzer is 14-5 with a 2.99 ERA and 1.05 WHIP against the Marlins for his career and is 7-4 with a 2.47 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in Miami’s home ballpark.

Furthermore, Scherzer’s advanced pitching numbers vs. this Miami lineup are dramatically better than Alcantara’s against current Washington batters.

Scherzer has a 2.19 FIP, .250 expected wOBA, .207 expected batting average, .320 expected slugging percentage and 31.9% strikeout rate against active Marlins hitters (141 plate appearances).

On the other side, Alcantara has a 5.11 FIP, .365 expected wOBA, .255 expected batting average, .521 expected slugging percentage and 20.8% strikeout rate vs. current Nationals batters (77 plate appearances).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS since the Marlins +1.5 (-160) have one of the best run line records vs. divisional foes in the majors (16-9 ATS) while the Nationals -1.5 (+135) have one of the worst (13-18 ATS).

Also, Washington is only 3-7 ATS this year as a road favorite and Miami is 7-4 ATS as a home underdog.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 6.5 (-115) for a half unit because nearly all of the early action on the total is on the Over (according to Pregame.com), so we have a “contrarian play.”

Moreover, these teams have an 8-20 O/U record when these starters are on the mound, the Nationals are 13-19-3 O/U on the road and the Marlins are 15-18-2 O/U at home.

Plus, the Under has cashed in six straight Scherzer starts and the Under is 3-0-1 in Alcantara’s last four home starts.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (36-37) and Miami Marlins (32-43) play the third game of a four-game set Saturday with a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch at loanDepot park in Miami. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 5-5 with a 5.40 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 7.3 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 in 76 2/3 IP over 14 starts.

Corbin has won back-to-back starts for the first time this season, and he is looking for his first three-game win streak since Sept. 12-23, 2019. He allowed two earned runs, four hits and four walks across seven innings in a win May 1 against Miami, too.

RHP Zach Thompson is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 1-2 with a 1.50 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 12 IP over 3 starts.

Thompson hasn’t lasted longer than five innings in any of his three starts. He has allowed just one unearned run, four hits and three walks with 13 strikeouts across nine innings over the past two starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Marlins +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals -1.5 (+135) | Marlins +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Nationals 5, Marlins 2

Money line (ML)

The NATIONALS (-120) are looking for the bounce back after getting dusted 11-2 by the Marlins (+100) in Friday’s game. Washington is 3-0 across Corbin’s past three outings, and 7-3 across his past 10 starts overall.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The NATIONALS -1.5 (+135) are a decent play on the run line, as they have won six of their past 12 games by two or more runs. They’re 3-1 in the past four against the Marlins +1.5 (-160), winning all three outings by at least two runs, too.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 8 (-115) is the lean here. The Under has hit in 12 of the past 16 as a favorite while going 20-8-1 in the past 29 against NL East foes. The Under is also 8-3 in the past 11 at home against a left-handed starting pitcher.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (31-43) and Washington Nationals (36-36) play the second game of a four-game series at loanDepot park Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Jon Lester (1-2, 3.96 ERA) makes his 11th start for the Nationals. The veteran lefty has a 1.44 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 through 50 innings.

  • Hard-hit rate is down from recent seasons but his 27.0% fly-ball rate is well above both his career and league averages
  • Picked up his first win of the season Saturday by allowing just 2 ER over 6 IP against the New York Mets

RHP Pablo Lopez (3-4, 2.86 ERA) enters his 16th start of 2021. He has compiled a 1.07 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 over 85 IP.

  • Hard-hit and fly-ball rates are both safely below the MLB average but his 3.26 FIP suggests some regression for his career-best ERA
  • Pitched 7 scoreless innings on the road against the Nationals April 30 but the Marlins lost 2-1

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:16 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Marlins -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-175) | Marlins -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Marlins 6, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

The MARLINS (-145) dropped Thursday’s series opener 7-3 but are in a good spot to bounce back and get their first win in the season series against the Nationals. Lopez has been the better of the two starters all season and pitched well against Washington in his April meeting.

Miami has just a .657 team OPS against left-handed pitching this season but Lester has given up a home run in four straight outings and, as noted, is struggling with fly balls.

Miami also has the bullpen advantage over Washington with its relievers combining for a better ERA and xFIP over the last two weeks.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

MARLINS -1.5 (+145) is the better play. This is a heavy fade of Lester while trusting Lopez to pitch deeper into the game. The odds are too heavily skewed by Washington’s five-game winning streak with those victories coming against three different teams and in three different locales.

On a game level, the Nationals are last in baseball with a 29.9% fly-ball rate and will struggle to cause much trouble against Lopez in the pitcher-friendly loanDepot park.

Over/Under (O/U)

Back the OVER 7.5 (-115) on a line too heavily fading the offenses and showing too much trust in the pitching. Both starters and bullpens have been better than the advanced numbers suggest they should be.

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Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (35-36) and Miami Marlins (31-42) open a four-game series Thursday at 7:10 p.m. ET at loanDepot park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Joe Ross is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. In 13 starts this season, Ross is 3-7 with a 4.54 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 67 1/3 IP.

Ross is tough on right-handed batters (career .669 OPS against); Miami bats more righties than most lineups. The Washington hurler has pitched well away from home (3.65 road ERA).

RHP Cody Poteet is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. His is 2-2 with a 3.90 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 8.5 K/9, and 3.9 BB/9 in 27 2/3 IP over 6 starts.

Poteet has logged an 8.44 ERA in three starts since getting out to a hot start (1.06 ERA through first three starts).

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Marlins +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals -1.5 (+125) | Marlins +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Nationals 5, Marlins 4

Money line (ML)

Washington opened a 6-game road trip with back-to-back 1-run wins at Philadelphia, and the Nationals head into Thursday’s tilt on a 4-game winning streak. The Nats went just 3-9 with a .595 OPS from May 27-June 8. They are 11-3 with a .783 OPS in 14 games since.

The Marlins head into this series on a different trend line. Miami is 2-7 with a .561 OPS in its last 9 games; the Marlins are 7-17 since May 27.

Peg NATIONALS (-125) as the play in the Thursday opener. In his overall numbers, Poteet has gotten by with a .200 batting average on balls in play, and he hands off to a struggling Marlins bullpen. Ross’ road success and dominance of righty bats are compelling factors.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the added juice here. A +130 tag on the Nats would make things more interesting, but a move to that range seems unlikely.

Over/Under (O/U)

On just a slim margin, figure the OVER 8.5 (-105) as the best way to go on a well-made total.

The Nationals may well be a team capable of another half-run per game. They are underperforming their quality-of-contact numbers by a hefty margin compared to most clubs. They also own a low-BABIP .679 OPS in high-leverage situations.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (34-36) and Philadelphia Phillies (34-36) play the finale of a two-game set Wednesday with a 1:05 p.m. ET first pitch at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Erick Fedde is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 4-4 with a 3.33 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 in 51 1/3 IP over 10 starts.

Fedde has two wins and a no-decision in his last three starts, taking his most recent loss four starts back on May 11. Unfortunately, that loss came against these same Phillies when he allowed 3 ER, 5 H and 3 BB in just 5 IP.

RHP Vince Velasquez is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. He is 2-2 with a 4.44 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 and 5.3 BB/9 in 52 2/3 IP over 10 starts and 4 relief appearances.

Velasquez coughed up 4 R(3 ER) on 4 H and 4 BB over 4 IP in a loss at San Francisco Friday and he hasn’t won in four starts since May 25 in Miami. He allowed 3 ER, 4 H and 1 BB with 4 K over 4 IP in a no-decision against the Nats June 6.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:07 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals -1.5 (+150) | Phillies +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Nationals 5, Phillies 3

Money line (ML)

NATIONALS (-105) are the play in the finale of this quick, testy set. We saw fireworks on Tuesday involving Phillies manager Joe Girardi and Nationals hurler Max Scherzer during a requested check for a foreign substance – the third time in the game Scherzer had been checked. It will be interesting to see if it spills over into Wednesday.

Washington won Tuesday’s game by a 3-2 count, and Philadelphia is now just 2-5 across their last seven overall. Meanwhile, the Nats are red-hot, winners of three in a row and eight of their last nine. Fedde has been electric lately too, so back the visitors.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The NATIONALS -1.5 (+150) are worth a roll of the dice at this good price. While Tuesday’s win was just a one-run game, Washington has won by two or more runs in four of their past six victories.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 9 (-115) is the lean here. It cashed Tuesday with a combined total of five runs, and the Under is 5-1 across the last six for the Nats.

The Under is also 6-2 across the past eight for Philadelphia. More importantly, the Under has hit in six of the seven meetings between these teams this season.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s New York Mets at Washington Nationals and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (35-26) travel to the nation’s capital to open a four-game series with the Washington Nationals (30-35) at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

New York had its three-game winning streak snapped Thursday in a 2-0 loss to the Chicago Cubs, but the Mets took the first three games of that series and are 14-6 in their last 20 games.

Washington has won four in a row and five of its last six including a three-game sweep vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates and two victories against the NL West-leading San Francisco Giants.

Season series: Mets lead 2-1.

LHP Joey Lucchesi is the projected starter for the Mets. Lucchesi is 1-4 with a 5.18 ERA (33 IP, 19 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 across seven starts and three bullpen appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 6 K in New York’s 7-3 loss vs. the San Diego Padres Sunday.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 40 at-bats with a .225/.295/.425 slash line, 9/4 K/BB, 2 HR and 5 RBIs.

RHP Erick Fedde makes his 10th start for the Nationals. Fedde is 4-4 with a 3.86 ERA (44 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 2-0, with 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 7 K Saturday vs. the Giants.
  • Fedde took a loss earlier this season to the Mets with a stat line of 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 3 K in Washington’s 6-0 defeat.
  • vs. Mets on the current roster: 69 at-bats with a .246/.333/.333 slash line, 14/7 K/BB, 1 HR and 9 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Mets at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:27 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Nationals -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets -1.5 (+150) | Nationals +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Nationals 6, Mets 3

Money line (ML)

GIMME the NATIONALS (-115) FIRST 5 INNINGS for 1 unit because Washington’s lineup has hit lefties very well this season and I give Fedde the starting pitching edge over Lucchesi.

For example, the Nationals batters are top-10 in several advanced hitting categories against LHP such as wRC+, wOBA and OPS.

Also, even though Fedde’s basic stat line wasn’t that impressive in his start against the Mets earlier this season, there are positive advanced numbers from that outing that gives me hope we’ll get a quality start from Fedde.

For instance, Fedde’s 6.7% hard-hit rate was by far his lowest of the season that start, despite his contact rate that day of 88.4% being the second-highest of any start this year.

Furthermore, Lucchesi has a road record of 0-4 in 7 appearances, with a 7.29 ERA, .354 opponent’s wOBA, and .538 slugging percentage, while surrendering 17 of his 19 runs away from Citi Field. Comparatively, his home record is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA, .269 opponent’s wOBA and .275 slugging percentage.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the alternate spread of NATIONALS -1.5 (+165) for a quarter unit because Washington’s bullpen is well-rested so I have faith the relievers can lock down a multi-run lead given to them.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS because I think Washington’s lineup does some damage today but the Nationals are 9-26 O/U at home and a 1-7-1 O/U when Fedde gets the start.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (23-42) and Washington Nationals (28-35) continue a three-game series at Nationals Park Tuesday with a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Tyler Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. Through a dozen starts this season, Anderson is 3-6 with a 4.52 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 over 67 2/3 IP.

Anderson is a fly-ball pitcher who has been undone by unplayable fly balls of late. He has yielded 3.1 HR/9 while hoisting a 6.84 ERA over his last 5 starts.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starter for the Nationals. He is 3-5 with a 6.21 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 across 62 1/3 IP over 12 starts.

Corbin owns a 6.23 ERA over his last 5 starts. The veteran southpaw is tough on lefty bats (.533 OPS allowed this season, .639 career). Pittsburgh bats lefties vs. lefties 37% of the time (28% MLB average).

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Pirates at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Nationals -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-150) | Nationals -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Nationals 5, Pirates 3

Money line (ML)

Washington defeated Pittsburgh 3-2 in Monday’s opener, and the Pirates are just 5-17 over their last 22 games. They head into Tuesday’s contest on an eight-game losing skid.

Both teams have struggled in hitting the baseball with any authority of late. For the season. Washington is 29th in scoring with 3.7 runs per game; Pittsburgh is 30th, scoring just 3.5 runs per game.

The way the Nats have sequenced their base runners and their batting average on balls in play in high-leverage situations suggest an upside of perhaps 4.20-to-4.25 RPG. Statcast quality of contact metrics back up that analysis.

Corbin has been undone lately by high averages on balls in play. Before those issues, the veteran lefty had logged three straight solid games at home.

BACK THE NATIONALS (160).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Consider a WASHINGTON -1.5 (+125) play in concert with the above ML action. Six of Pittsburgh’s eight straight losses were by multiple runs; four were by 3 runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS on a total with underlying signals pointing both up and down.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (23-41) and Washington Nationals (27-35) open a three-game series Monday with a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP JT Brubaker is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 4-5 with a 3.90 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 9.3 K/9, and 2.0 BB/9 in 60 IP over 11 starts.

Since posting a tidy 2.58 ERA through his first 7 starts, Brubaker has yielded a 6.23 ERA in his last 4 outings.

LHP Jon Lester is the projected starter for the Nationals. He is 0-2 with a 4.19 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 6.3 K/9, and 3.7 BB/9 in 38 2/3 IP over 8 starts.

Lester issued a season-high 4 walks in his last outing, a 3 2/3-inning affair Tuesday against the Rays. His 3.7 walks per nine this season is his highest mark since 2007.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Pirates at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:33 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Nationals -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates -1.5 (+155) |  Nationals +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Nationals 5, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

The Pirates have been swept in two straight series and are just 5-16 over their last 21 games. The Nationals are coming off a weekend split against the Giants; they are 6-6 in their last dozen games.

Both teams have struggled in hitting the baseball with any authority of late. For the season. Washington ranks 28th in scoring with 3.76 runs per game; Pittsburgh ranks 30th, scoring just 3.48.

There are too many cross signals to put this game in any sort of high-confidence-wager category, but the NATIONALS (-115) are a “lean”. The way the Nats have sequenced their base runners and their batting average on balls in play in high-leverage situations suggest an upside of perhaps 4.20-to-4.25 RPG. Statcast quality of contact metrics back up that analysis.

Still, Brubaker is the more likable starter here. However, Pittsburgh does struggle mightily against lefties (.638 OPS), and Lester has held current Bucs bats to a .699 OPS and .096 isolated power in past meetings. Add in an advantage for the Nats bullpen over their counterparts from the Steel City.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the more juice-laden run line figures.

Over/Under (O/U)

Tag this game with enough double-digit probability to make for value on the OVER 8.5 (-120). A breeze out to left-center is in the forecast, and both bullpens could use a day off which may show in the latter innings.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (39-23) and Washington Nationals (25-34) meet Saturday at 2:05 p.m. ET for the first game of a double-dip at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Kevin Gausman is the projected Game 1 starting pitcher for the Giants. Gausman is 7-0 with a 1.27 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 10.8 K/9, and 1.9 BB/9 in 77 2/3 IP over 12 starts.

Over his last 5 starts, the veteran righty has logged just 1.1 BB/9 against 12.9 K/9. During that stretch, he’s posted a tidy 0.28 ERA.

RHP Erick Fedde takes the mound for the Nationals. He is 3-4 with a 4.35 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 8.2 K/9, and 4.1 BB/9 in 39 1/3 IP over 8 starts.

Fedde has been on the COVID-19 Injured List and hasn’t made a Major League start since May 16. He did make a rehab start for Single-A Wilmington on June 5.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Giants at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:06 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Nationals +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (+120) | Nationals +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 6 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Giants 4, Nationals 3

Money line (ML)

This four-game series was to have started Thursday night but that contest was postponed due to rain. The Giants then defeated the Nationals, 1-0, on Friday night. The Saturday doubleheader will be comprised of two 7-inning games.

With the win in the opener, San Francisco has won nine of its last 12 games, and this pitching matchup is very much in the Giants’ favor. Fedde coming off the IL and having six days off since his rehab stint is problematic for Nats’ bettors. Over his career, he’s coughed up an .836 OPS when starting on long rest.

BACK THE GIANTS (-160). 

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the pricey run line action. Stick with the ML play in the 7-frame game environment.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Giants’ offense has been tremendous on the road (.756 OPS heading into the series); the Nats look to be under-performing on their quality of contact and are a decent play to pick up the pace with the bats. With this contest being the first of two on the day, bullpen management also figures to expose some lesser arms if things swing a few runs one way or the other.

BACK THE OVER 6 (-110).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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