Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (70-90) welcome the Philadelphia Phillies (94-66) to Nationals Park Saturday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 8-3

The Phillies are 2 games behind the LA Dodgers for the top spot in the National League — Philadelphia has the breaker. The Phillies lost to the Nationals 9-1 to open the series Friday. They have lost 4 of their last 6 games. They are just 40-39 on the road this season and 79-81 against the spread (ATS) overall. Philadelphia beat the Chicago Cubs in 2 of 3 games prior to this series.

The Nationals snapped their 4-game losing streak with the win Friday. They were swept in a 3-game home series by the Kansas City Royals and dropped 3 of 4 games to the Cubs prior to that. Washington is 37-42 at home this season and 87-73 ATS overall.

Phillies at Nationals projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. LHP MacKenzie Gore

Wheeler (16-7, 2.56 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 193 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 2-1 road loss to New York Mets Sunday
  • 2024 away stats: 6-4, 2.83 ERA (92 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 0.99 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 15 starts
  • Career vs. Nationals: 14-15, 4.50 ERA (202 IP, 101 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 34 starts

Gore (10-12, 4.04 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 160 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 5-1 road win over Cubs Sept. 21
  • 2024 home stats: 7-6, 3.99 ERA (88 IP, 39 ER), 1.63 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 in 18 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-4, 5.72 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.53 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 8 appearances (7 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Nationals +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Phillies -1.5 (-115) | Nationals +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Phillies at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Nationals 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no value here. Wheeler is an ace, and the Phillies (-200) should come out on top. They are unplayable at these odds, though.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-115).

The Phillies have dominated with Wheeler on the mound this season. They have won and covered in 3 of his last 5 starts, having outscored opponents 28-7. Philadelphia has a much steadier offense as well, having scored 4 or more runs in 3 of its last 4 games.

The Nationals have been held scoreless in 3 of their last 5 games and lost 6 of their last 10 by multiple runs. With those trends in mind, back PHILLIES -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-110).

The Nationals have gone Over in 2 straight games and 5 of their last 10. They have scored 13 runs over their last 2 games, so there has been some life in their offense.

Similarly, the Phillies are 6-1-1 O/U in their last 8 games. They have scored at least 6 runs in 4 of their last 8 as well. Take OVER 7.5 (-110).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (94-65) visit the Washington Nationals (69-90) Friday to open a 3-game series. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 6:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 8-2

Philadelphia beat the Chicago Cubs 9-6 Wednesday while covering as a -213 home favorite. The Phillies are locked into a tight battle with the LA Dodgers for the top seed in the NL playoff with Philadelphia a half-game back.

Washington lost 7-4 to the Kansas City Royals Thursday as a +150 home underdog. The Nationals have lost 9 of their last 10 games.

Phillies at Nationals projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. RHP Trevor Williams

Suarez (12-7, 3.15 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 148 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 6-3 loss at the New York Mets Saturday
  • Career vs. Washington: 7-1, 3.64 ERA (54 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 in 8 appearances (1 start)

Williams (5-1, 2.19 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 61 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 3-1 outing vs. the Chicago Cubs Friday
  • Career vs. Philadelphia: 2-4, 5.29 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 11 appearances (9 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:08 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-110) | Nationals +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -125)

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Phillies at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Nationals 2

Moneyline

PASS.

The Phillies will pick up the win as -185 favorites, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites.

While I do recommend passing here and betting on the spread and/or total instead, because I expect the Phillies to win by such a healthy margin, it is okay if you choose to divvy up units between this bet and the spread.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-110).

Philadelphia has dominated Washington winning 8 of 10 meetings and only allowing the Nationals to finish within 1 run in 2 of those 8 wins.

The Nationals are also only 1-9 in their last 10 overall and have only finished within 1 run of their opponent in 3 of those 9 losses.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-125).

The Under has hit in 5 of Washington’s last 6 games and is 2-1 in its last 3 at home. The Under has also hit in each of the last 3 Philadelphia-Washington meetings in the Nation’s Capital.

This is a lean because the Over is 5-3-2 in Philly’s last 10 overall.

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Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (84-74) and Washington Nationals (69-89) conclude a 3-game series Thursday. First pitch from Nationals Park is slated for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Royals vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Royals 2-0

After dropping 7 in a row, the Royals are a victory away from completing a sweep of the Nationals. Kansas City pitching held Washington scoreless through the first 2 games, winning 1-0 in 10 innings Tuesday as a -196 favorite and 3-0 Wednesday as a -126 fave.

The Royals’ magic number is 3. They are tied with the Detroit Tigers (84-74) for the final 2 Wild Card spots and lead the Minnesota Twins (82-76) by 2 games and the Seattle Mariners (82-77) by 2½ games.

Washington has not been able to get the bats going against the Kansas City Royals, only amassing 7 total hits over these 2 games, including just 2 in Wednesday’s loss. The Nationals have dropped 8 of their last 9 games. They have long been eliminated from playoff contention.

Royals at Nationals projected starters

RHP Michael Wacha vs. LHP Patrick Corbin

Wacha (13-8, 3.28 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 161 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 2-1 home loss vs. San Francisco Giants Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 6-5, 3.68 ERA (80 2/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Nationals: 4-2, 2.74 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 7 games (6 starts)

Corbin (6-13, 5.58 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 169 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 7-6 loss at Chicago Cubs Sept. 19
  • 2024 home splits: 4-5, 4.41 ERA (85 2/3 IP, 42 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 15 starts
  • Career vs. Royals: 1-0, 3.38 ERA (16 IP, 6 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Last start vs. Royals: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 12-10 road win May 26, 2023

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Run line (RL/Against the spread (ATS): Royals -1.5 (-105) | Nationals +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Royals at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 5, Nationals 2

Moneyline

PASS.

The Royals (-175) cannot afford to lose this game which is why I’m predicting a Kansas City win, but I’ll take my wager to the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ROYALS -1.5 (-105).

Kansas City really needs this victory. Washington’s starting pitcher Corbin has been a bit of a gamble in the past — and is definitely not the pitcher you want to bet on. While he’s shown some improvement lately, going 4-1 over his last six starts, he still has a reputation for struggling at times.

On the flip side, the Royals are in a good spot right now. Wacha has been solid, posing a 1.99 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 5 ER) in his last 4 starts but only going 2-2.

With Tuesday’s win, Kansas City reached .500 (21-21) in interleague play; Washington fell to 21-24. The Royals are 39-38 on the road, while the Nationals are 36-41 at home.

Considering all these factors, BACKING ROYALS -1.5 (-105) looks like a smart move.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-120).

The Under has been easy cashes in the first 2 games of this series and is 6-1 in the last 7 head-to-head meetings dating back to 2019.

The Royals have been leaning heavily toward the Under as well, with it hitting in 8 of their last 10 games. They own the 4th best Under record in the majors this season at 85-68-5, according to Teamrankings.com.

The Nationals are also an Under team, cashing below the total in the each of the last 5 games. They rank 8th in Unders at 78-72-8.

With both teams struggling to score lately, BETTING UNDER 8.5 (-120) is the way to go.

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Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (83-74) and Washington Nationals (69-88) meet in the middle game of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 6:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Royals vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Kansas City leads 1-0

Kansas City snapped a 7-game losing streak in winning 1-0 in 10 innings Tuesday while covering as a -196 road favorite. CF Kyle Isbel broke the Royals’ streak of 27 straight scoreless innings by scoring on an error. The Royals are tied with the Detroit Tigers for 2nd AL Wild Card spot.

Washington has lost back-to-back games and has gone scoreless in both losses. The Nationals have lost 7 of their last 8 games scoring 14 total runs in that span.

Royals at Nationals projected starters

RHP Michael Lorenzen vs. LHP DJ Herz

Lorenzen (7-6, 3.43 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 126 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 1 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 1 K in a 6-1 win over Cleveland Guardians on Aug. 27
  • Has been out with a hamstring injury since his last start
  • Career vs. Washington: 1-2, 5.35 ERA (35 1/3 IP, 21 ER), 25 H, 17 BB, 24 K in 15 appearances (4 starts)

Herz (4-8, 4.30 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 83 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 10-0 embarrassment vs. the New York Mets Wednesday
  • First career start vs. Kansas City

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Nationals -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals -1.5 (+150) | Nationals +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Royals at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 3, Nationals 2

Moneyline

LEAN ROYALS (-115).

Kansas City is fighting for a playoff spot, so the extra motivation should give the Royals an extra boost and I expect them to get back to their winning ways. But be aware Kansas City is only 3-7 in its last 10 overall and 4-6 in its last 10 games vs. Washington.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I expect the Nationals to cover here as +1.5 (-185) underdogs considering how well they have played KC lately. However, this line is set far too heavily to risk betting on, so bet on the moneymen and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (+100).

The Under has hit in each of Washington’s last 4 games and in each of its last 4 games at home while also going 7-3 in its last 10 overall. For Kansas City, the Under is 3-1 in its last 4 on the road and 7-3 in its last 10 overall.

The Under has also hit in each of the last 3 KC-Washington meetings, also hitting in each of the last 3 in the Nation’s Capital.

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Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (82-74) and the Washington Nationals (69-87) open a 3-game interleague series Tuesday. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 6:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Royals vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Nationals won 2 of 3 in 2023

The Royals are still battling for a AL playoff spot with 6 games remaining, but Kansas City has dropped 7 in a row. The Royals have scored 2 or fewer runs in 5 consecutive games and have been shut out in each of the past 2 games.

The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 games for Kansas City, while going 15-5-1 in the past 21 outings dating back to Aug. 30. The total has gone low at a 9-2-1 clip in the past 12 games at home.

The Nationals dropped 3 out of 4 games against the Chicago Cubs over the weekend, and the Under has cashed in each of the past 3 games.

Washington is 5-3 in the past 8 interleague games, while the Under has cashed in 4 straight games against the AL. Kansas City has lost 4 straight interleague contests, and the Under is 3-1 in that span.

Royals at Nationals projected starters

LHP Cole Ragans vs. LHP Mitchell Parker

Ragans (11-9, 3.24 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 180 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 3-1 home loss in 10 innings vs. Detroit Tigers last Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 4-4, 3.07 ERA, 85 IP, 29 ER, 7 HR, 1.08 WHIP, .201 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 30 BB, 95 K in 14 starts
  • Last 7 games: 2-2, 3.15 ERA, 40 IP, 14 ER, 17 BB, 51 K, 1.08 WHIP
  • Has never faced Nationals

Parker (7-10, 4.44 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 146 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 1 K in 10-1 road setback vs. New York Mets Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits: 5-4, 2.81 ERA, 83 1/3 IP, 26 ER, 11 HR, 1.03 WHIP, .229 OBA, 13 BB, 72 K in 14 starts
  • Last 7 games: 1-4, 6.48 ERA, 33 1/3 IP, 24 ER, 12 BB, 36 K, 1.65 WHIP
  • Has never faced Royals

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:14 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Royals -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Nationals +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals -1.5 (+100) | Nationals +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Royals at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 3, Nationals 2

Moneyline

The ROYALS (-165) are an extremely risky play given the fact they’re on a 7-game losing skid. But Kansas City is still very much alive for a postseason spot, and it’s all there for them heading into the final week.

The Nationals (+135) turn to the southpaw Parker, but he has been extremely erratic lately. Look for the Kansas City offense to get the job done after a tough week.

Run line/Against the spread

The NATIONALS +1.5 (-120) aren’t a bad play if you are a little more conservative, and you’d like some insurance.

Washington is a respectable 12-11 in the past 23 games as an underdog on the run line since Aug. 23, winning 8 of those games outright.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-115) is a strong play based on recent trends.

The Under has cashed in 3 in a row for the Nats, while going 8-3-1 across the past 12 games. The Under is 4-0-1 in the past 5 games at home, too.

For the Royals, the Under is 4-1 in the past 5 outings, totaling just 4 runs of offense. The total has gone low at a 15-5-1 clip in the previous 21 games, too.

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Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago Cubs (77-75) welcome the Washington Nationals (68-84) to Wrigley Field Thursday to open a 4-game series. First pitch is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Nationals vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cubs lead 3-0

The Cubs are coming off a 2-1 series loss to the Oakland A’s. They lost 5-3 Wednesday, dropping their 2nd straight game. Chicago had also lost 2 of 3 games at the Colorado Rockies Friday through Sunday. It is 5-7 over its last 12 games and 39-35 at home this season. Chicago is 72-80 against the spread (ATS).

The Nationals, who are 32-45 on the road this season, were swept in 3 games at the New York Mets. After losing 10-1 Tuesday, they lost the Wednesday finale 10-0. Washington is 4-4 over its last 8 games, though. It is 83-69 ATS on the season.

Nationals at Cubs projected starters

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Javier Assad

Corbin (6-13, 5.45 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 165 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-1 home victory over Miami Marlins Saturday
  • 2024 away stats: 2-8, 6.58 ERA (79 1/3 IP, 58 ER), 1.74 WHIP, 6.7 K/9 in 15 starts
  • Career vs. Cubs: 5-2, 4.09 ERA (66 IP, 30 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 12 appearances (11 starts)

Assad (7-5, 3.27 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 137 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 9-5 road loss to Rockies Friday
  • 2024 home stats: 3-2, 2.24 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Nationals: 1-0, 2.45 ERA (11 IP, 3 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 4.1 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Nationals at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Cubs -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Nationals +1.5 (-135) | Cubs -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nationals at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 6, Nationals 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no great value here. The Cubs (-190) are rightfully expensive home favorites, especially with Assad on the mound. They aren’t worth a play to win outright, though.

Run line/Against the spread

BET CUBS -1.5 (+110).

The Cubs offense has been far more consistent over the last few weeks, and Chicago has the better pitcher on the mound Thursday.

Corbin has been awful on the road this season, and the Nationals have been outscored 22-2 in their last 3 games. Even in their last 9, they have been outscored 46-22. Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games as an underdog.

With Chicago having scored at least 3 runs in 9 straight games, expect it to get on the board enough to cover.

Take CUBS -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).

The Cubs have gone Over in 2 of their last 3 games and 7 of their last 9. They have also scored at least 5 runs in 7 of 9 games and allowed at least 4 in 5 of their last 7.

Washington has gone Over in back-to-back games. Given those trends, especially for the Nationals’ defense, take OVER 8.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Washington Nationals at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington Nationals at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (68-83) and the New York Mets (83-68) wrap up a 3-game series on Wednesday. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Nationals vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 10-2

The Mets are in a very strong spot to make the postseason, and if they do, they might want to send thank you notes to Washington. New York has won 10 of the 12 meetings this season, including the 1st 2 games in this series. New York won 10-1 behind RHP Tylor Megill on Tuesday.

New York is just 5-4 in the previous 9 outings, but it is 8-1 across the past 9 appearances in front of the home fans.

For Washington, it has long since been eliminated from the postseason chase. The Nationals haven’t thrown in the towel, though, going 6-5 across the past 11 outings, while the Under is on a 5-1-1 run in the past 7 contests.

Nationals at Mets projected starters

LHP DJ Herz vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Herz (4-7, 3.70 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 80 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H (1 solo HR), 1 BB, 5 K in 4-1 home win vs. Miami Marlins Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 1-2, 3.54 ERA, 28 IP, 11 ER, 6 HR, 1.14 WHIP, .200 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 11 BB, 32 K in 6 starts
  • Last 7 games: 2-3, 2.91 ERA, 34 IP, 11 ER, 17 BB, 39 K, 1.15 WHIP
  • 2024/Career vs. Mets: 0-1, 4.66 ERA, 9 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 2 HR, 2 BB, 13 K, .293 OBA in 2 starts

Quintana (9-9, 3.91 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 159 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 11-3 road victory vs. Philadelphia Phillies Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 4-5, 3.97 ERA, 77 IP, 34 ER, 17 HR, 1.27 WHIP, .242 OBA, 27 BB, 62 K in 14 starts
  • Last 7 games: 3-2, 3.76 ERA, 40 2/3 IP, 17 ER, 37 H, 15 BB, 28 K, 1.28 WHIP
  • Career vs. Nationals: 3-1, 2.25 ERA, 40 IP, 10 ER, 0 HR, 13 BB, 26 K, 1.08 WHIP, 5.9 K/9 in 7 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Nationals at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Mets -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-155) | Mets -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Nationals at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

The NATIONALS (+145) are a worth a roll of the dice in this battle of southpaws.

Washington has dropped 10 of 12 meetings this season with the Mets (-175), and each of the 1st 2 games in the current series. However, the Nats are worth playing behind Herz, who has really come into his own in his rookie campaign.

Run line/Against the spread

If you like to play it a little safe, NATIONALS +1.5 (-155) isn’t priced out of line for some insurance.

Washington was annihilated Tuesday, but it cashed as an underdog on the run line in the series opener loss, 2-1.

The Nationals are a respectable 8-6 in the past 14 games on the run line as an underdog, with 6 outright wins.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-115) is the lean, but play it safe with a half-unit play at most..

The Under is on a 5-1-1 run for Washington in the past 7 games, while going 9-5 in the past 14 road contests.

The Under is 2-1 in the past 3 games for the Mets, while 3-1 in the previous 4 starts by Quintana.

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Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (54-92) and Washington Nationals (65-80) begin a 4-game series Thursday. First pitch from Nationals Park is slated for 6:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Marlins vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Nationals lead 8-1

The Nationals rebounded from a 12-0 loss to the Atlanta Braves Tuesday with an impressive 5-1 victory on Wednesday in the 2nd game of a 6-game homestand. Washington has had Miami’s number this season, winning 8 of their 9 meetings and outscoring them 57-24.

The Marlins head into this series after a 3-game sweep by the Pirates in Pittsburgh to start a 7-game road trip. Miami was outscored 12-7, continuing their road struggles this season, where they’re just 26-45.

Marlins at Nationals projected starters

RHP Darren McCaughan vs. LHP Mitchell Parker

McCaughan (0-0, 7.40 ERA) makes his 3rd start and his 8th appearance. He has a 1.85 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 5.2 K/9 in 24 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 9-5 home victory against Philadelphia Phillies Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 0-0, 10.66 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 15 ER (16 R), 2.13 WHIP, 3.6 K/9 in 3 games
  • Has never pitched against the Nationals

Parker (7-9, 4.43 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 136 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 8-6 victory at the Pittsburgh Pirates Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 5-4, 3.04 ERA (77 IP, 26 ER (30 R), 1.08 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 13 starts
  • 2024 vs. Marlins: 1-0, 1.80 ERA (10 IP, 2 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Marlins at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:28 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Nationals -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-140) | Nationals -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Marlins at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 7, Marlins 2

Moneyline

PASS.

I’ve got the Nationals (-175) taking care of business on Thursday, but I’m not paying that price.

Run line/Against the spread

BET NATIONALS -1.5 (+115).

The Nationals are in a prime spot to cover the -1.5 run line against the Marlins. Washington has owned this series all season, winning 8 of the 9 matchups — all of them by multiple runs in outscoring Miami by a combined 33 runs. The Marlins’ struggles against left-handed pitching add to the appeal, as they’ve hit just .229 against southpaws with an abysmal 10-40 record. With lefty Parker on the mound and Miami’s road woes (26-45), this game sets up perfectly for another Washington win by at least 2 runs.

Over/Under

PASS.

I’ve got no feel on this one. It’s been 5-5 O/U in their last 10 meetings.

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (79-66) and Washington Nationals (64-80) wrap up a quick 2-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 6:45 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Nationals lead 7-5

The Braves are tied for the final Wild Card spot in the National League with the division rival Philadelphia Phillies, 4 games clear of the Chicago Cubs with 17 regular-season games to go.

If not for the Nationals, the Braves would be in much better shape. They’ve dropped 7 of 12 meetings this season against Washington. In fact, Atlanta is just 24-21 inside the division while going just 39-35 on the road.

Atlanta paddled Washington 12-0 in Tuesday’s series opener as a light favorite (-134) while taking care of the Over (7.5) all on its own. Despite the Over, the Under is 8-2 across the past 10 games.

For Washington, it is just 3-7 in the past 10 games while dropping 4 in a row at home. The Over is on a 3-0 run, but the Under still has a 12-7 advantage in the past 19 outings dating back to Aug. 20.

Braves at Nationals projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Jake Irvin

Fried (9-8, 3.35 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 147 2/3 IP (1 CG).

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER (1 R), 5 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 3-1 home victory vs. Toronto Blue Jays Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 6-5, 3.19 ERA, 87 1/3 IP, 31 ER, 9 HR, 1.08 WHIP, .197 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 32 BB, 87 K in 15 starts (1 CG)
  • Career vs. Nationals: 8-4, 3.83 ERA (87 IP, 37 ER), 3 HR, 1.33 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 18 appearances (17 starts)

Irvin (9-12, 4.28 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 166 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 9-4 road setback vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Thursday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-8, 4.83 ERA, 63 1/3 IP, 34 ER, 10 HR, 1.29 WHIP, .270 OBA, 15 BB, 53 K in 11 starts
  • Career vs. Braves: 1-0, 3.15 ERA (20 IP, 7 ER), 1 HR, 1.40 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 4 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Nationals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -176 (bet $176 to win $100) | Nationals +148 (bet $100 to win $148)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-102) | Nationals +1.5 (-118)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Braves at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Nationals 3

Moneyline

The BRAVES (-176) are a little on the expensive side, but they’re not priced out of line if you’re a little bit of a conservative bettor. Be careful, though, as Atlanta has inexplicably struggled against the Nationals (+148) this season.

Atlanta appears to have solved its offensive woes with a 12-run breakout Tuesday after averaging just 2.6 runs per game in the previous 9 outings. It should have more success behind the southpaw Fried.

The Nationals (+148) have dropped 3 straight starts by Irvin while going just 2-5 in his previous 7 outings.

Run line/Against the spread

Take the BRAVES -1.5 (-102) at near even-money laying the run and a half. While Atlanta has managed 10 victories in the past 17 outings since Aug. 24, 9 of those wins have been by 2 or more runs. So, if you like Atlanta to win, you should like it to cash on the run line, especially against the very erratic Irvin.

While the Nationals +1.5 (-118) have been a thorn in the side of Atlanta, they’ve made to go just 3-5 in the past 8 outings as an underdog on the run line.

Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (-122) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Over has cashed in each of the previous 3 outings for the Nationals, and the total has gone high in 3 straight meetings with the Braves in the nation’s capital, too.

For the Braves, the total has gone low at an 8-2 clip in the past 10 outings. However, the Over is 5-3 in the past 8 games on the road.

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Washington Nationals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (62-77) and Pittsburgh Pirates (65-74) open a 4-game set Thursday. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-1

The Nationals fell 4-3 in 10 innings against the Miami Marlins Wednesday as -138 road favorites. Washington erased a 2-run deficit with a 3-run 8th inning, but RP Jose Ferrer allowed a game-tying RBI single in the bottom of the 8th and RP Derek Law gave up a walk-off RBI single in the 10th.

The Pirates snapped a 2-game winning streak Wednesday with a 12-0 loss against the Chicago Cubs as +177 road underdogs. Pittsburgh was the victim of a no-hitter while SP Domingo German allowed 6 ER in 3 innings to pick up the loss.

Nationals at Pirates projected starters

RHP Jake Irvin vs. LHP Bailey Falter

Irvin (9-11, 4.08 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 161 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-6 home setback against Cubs Friday
  • Has never faced Pirates

Falter (6-7, 4.41 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 116 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 10-8 loss at Cleveland Guardians Friday
  • Career vs. Nationals: 3-0, 2.22 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 7 appearances (4 starts), including 1-0 with 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start last year

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Nationals at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:38 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Pirates -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals -1.5 (+170) | Pirates +1.5 (-210)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Nationals at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 4, Nationals 3

Moneyline

BET PIRATES (-120).

Washington has lost 4 of its last 5 games and scored 3 or fewer runs in 3 of its last 4. Irvin has struggled recently. The Nationals have gone 2-4 in his last 6 starts, with him allowing 4 or more ER in 4 of the 6 outings. Pittsburgh has won 2 of its last 3 games and 3 of its last 5. It has scored 5 runs in 2 of its last 3.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on the Pirates’ ML.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

The Nationals have hit the Under in 8 of their last 10 games, including 3 of their last 4. They scored 3 runs or fewer in each of the 3 Unders and have put up 4 or fewer in 6 of their last 10 games. The Pirates were held hitless Wednesday and will expectedly bounce back; however, they have scored 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 5 games.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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