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In the 2023 Women’s World Cup 3rd-place match, Sweden battles Australia in Brisbane Stadium. Kickoff is set for 4 a.m. ET Saturday (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sweden vs. Australia odds, and make our best Women’s World Cup bets, picks and predictions.
Sweden lost to Spain 2-1 in Tuesday’s semifinal, ending the match with just 37% possession and 7 fewer shots. It did manage 1 more shot on frame. The No. 3 team in the FIFA Women’s World Rankings started its World Cup with a 2-1 victory over South Africa, a 5-0 win over Italy and 2-0 win over Argentina to win Group G. Sweden then took down the USA in penalty kicks 0-0 (5-4) and beat Japan 2-1 in the quarterfinals.
Australia, one of two host countries, lost Wednesday’s semifinal 3-1 to England. The 10th-ranked team in the world beat Ireland 1-0 and Canada 4-0 in the group stage, losing to Nigeria 3-2. It still finished atop Group B and then Denmark 2-0 in the Round of 16 before ousting France in penalty kicks in the quarterfinal. While it did draw even with England in the 63rd minute via a goal from star F Sam Kerr, Australia failed to score again and finished with 42% possession and 3 fewer shots.
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Sweden vs. Australia odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:13 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Sweden +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Australia +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Draw +250 (bet $100 to win $250)
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -125 | U: -110)
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Sweden vs. Australia picks and predictions
Prediction
Australia 2, Sweden 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET AUSTRALIA (+165).
Australia lost to England, but it had a better showing and should be more motivated in front of its home crowd. Kerr also looks healthy after a slow start to the tournament and will likely get a good chunk of minutes.
Australia had just 1 fewer shot on target than England while Sweden seemed to be dominated in most aspects of the game against Spain. Sweden beat USA in penalties and Japan 2-1, but it didn’t have the majority of possession in either.
Against Australia, a team with quality attackers, Sweden may again struggle to possession which should lead to fewer opportunities. Expect the side with basically a home-field advantage to come out on top. Back AUSTRALIA (+165).
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN OVER 2.5 (-125).
Sweden has gone Over in 2 of 3 knockout stage games while Australia has gone Over in 1 of 3.
Both teams had a 0-0 draw, but other than that match, each team had scored in every other knockout stage game. Australia has scored 3 goals in 3 matches with Sweden having scored the same amount.
Australia has gone Over this total in 3 of its last 5 matches, and it has arguably the best forward in the event healthy and capable of playing 90 minutes. Expect goals in this battle. Take OVER 2.5 (-125).
Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.
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