2023 Women’s World Cup: Sweden vs. USA odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Sweden vs. USA odds and lines, with Women’s World Cup soccer expert picks, predictions and best bets.

Sweden battles USA in the Round of 16 Sunday. Kickoff from Melbourne Rectangular Stadium is set for 5 a.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sweden vs. USA odds, and make our best Women’s World Cup bets, picks and predictions.

Sweden looked every bit of a team that could win the 2023 Women’s World Cup. It won all 3 group stage games, scoring 9 goals and allowing just 1. It beat South Africa 2-1, Italy 5-0 and Argentina 2-1. Sweden has a plethora of high-caliber players, but few in the tournament are more experienced than M Caroline Seger, who is the captain and has 200+ caps.

Sweden sits 3rd in the FIFA Women’s Rankings, only behind Germany (eliminated in group stage) and USA.

While the pre-tournament favorite, USA had a poor showing in the group stage and qualified with 1 more point than Portugal. It drew Portugal 0-0, drew Netherlands 1-1 and beat Vietnam 3-0. The concerning parts lie in how it has possessed. It had just 44% possession in its draws against Netherlands and Portugal2 games it was significantly favored in.

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Sweden vs. USA odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Sweden +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | USA +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Draw +210
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +135 | U: -190)

Sweden vs. USA picks and predictions

Prediction

USA 1, Sweden 1 (Sweden advances in penalty kicks)

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+210).

The USA is far better than it has played, and while I expect it to be sent home, the full-time battle should be a close one. USA had 2 group-stage draws, both of which it had more shots yet less possession.

Sweden dominated weaker opponents as it should have but it needed a 90th-minute goal to beat South Africa, the other team that qualified from Group G. Sweden has the experience and defensive aptitude to limit the United States, much like the Netherlands did.

Sweden had just 8 shots on frame against it throughout the first 3 matches. It also owned the majority of possession. These teams are as close as it gets, and for this value, back a full-time DRAW (+210).

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS. BET BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE – YES (+105).

Both teams have scored in every game outside of USA’s 0-0 draw with Portugal. Even in that game, the USA had 6 shots on frame. I wouldn’t be confident in the teams combining for Over 2.5 goals, but each has strong midfield play and should be able to have ample opportunities in the final 3rd.

USA has had at least 4 shots on goal in each match and at least 10 shots in each. Sweden hasn’t faced a team in the top 10, so its 1 goal allowed through the 3 matches isn’t quite as notable. It should feel some pressure from an athletic USA front.

Sweden has averaged 3 goals per game and notched 3 on Norway in its final World Cup tune-up match in April as well. While many goals being scored may not be likely, expect both to get on the board.

Take BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE (+105).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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2023 Women’s World Cup: Portugal vs. USA odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Portugal vs. USA odds and lines, with Women’s World Cup soccer expert picks, predictions and best bets.

Portugal (1 win, 1 loss, 0 draws) battles the USA (1-0-1) Tuesday in each nation’s final Women’s World Cup group stage match. Kickoff from Eden Park is set for 3 a.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Portugal vs. USA odds, and make our best Women’s World Cup bets, picks and predictions.

Portugal opened up its Group E play with a 1-0 loss to the Netherlands. It had just 1 shot on goal and 2 shots in that match, owning just 43% of the possession. It had a better showing in a 2-0 win over Vietnam Thursday with 29 shots and 9 on target with 70% possession. Portugal is 21st in the FIFA Women’s World Rankings.

With the Netherlands heavy favorites to beat Vietnam, it will likely advance. So a draw won’t be enough for Portugal to advance; it must beat the USA. Otherwise, the USA will advance.

USA sits atop the FIFA Women’s rankings, but didn’t play like No. 1 in a 1-1 draw with the Netherlands. It had just 43% of the game’s possession. It did end with 13 more shots and 3 more on target than Netherlands. USA also has a 3-0 win over Vietnam under its belt.

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Portugal vs. USA odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 12:48 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Portugal +950 (bet $100 to win $950) | USA -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Draw +425 (bet $100 to win $425)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -120 | U: -115)

Portugal vs. USA picks and predictions

Prediction

USA 2, Portugal 0

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

There’s really no team-specific value to play here. There’s heavy juice on the USA, as there should be. The bet for both teams not to score is (-225) and also has too much juice to consider.

The USA hasn’t played like the best team in the world, but the technical abilities are still there. Against a team outside the top 20 in the world, USA should be able to use that advance to win.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-115).

The books do not expect Portugal to score. That’s fine, but with that in mind, they would be assuming the USA scores 3 or more times for the Over.

USA has not shown that type of finishing in the final 3rd to assume it can do that. It scored 3 times on Vietnam and had just 7 shots on target. It then had just 4 shots on target against Netherlands.

Portugal played the Netherlands well, holding it just to just 5 shots on target, and should have success defensively against the USA. Similarly, the USA has yet to allow a goal this World Cup and has given up just 1 shot on target. It should hold Portugal scoreless.

USA scored 2 or fewer goals in 6 straight games prior to the World Cup. Take UNDER 2.5 (-115).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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2023 Women’s World Cup: USA vs. Netherlands odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s USA vs. Netherlands odds and lines, with Women’s World Cup soccer expert picks, predictions and best bets.

USA (1 win, 0 losses, 0 draws) battles Netherlands (1-0-0) in the 2nd match for each Group E nation. Kickoff from Wellington Regional Stadium is set for 9 p.m. ET Wednesday (FOX).  Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the USA vs. Netherlands odds, and make our best Women’s World Cup bets, picks and predictions.

The USWNT, the favorite to win the World Cup, won its 1st match against Vietnam 3-0 with 28 shots and 7 on target. Vietnam didn’t have a single shot. However, USA didn’t cover the 5.5-goal spread and wasn’t able to dominate as expected. USA is No. 1 in the FIFA Women’s World Rankings.

No. 9 Netherlands should pose a far greater challenge. It beat Portugal 1-0 Sunday via a 13th-minute goal from D Stefanie van der Gragt. Netherlands had 12 shot and 5 on target; Portugal had 2 shots and 1 on target. The Dutch are led by 30-year-old F Lieke Martens, who had 145 caps and 59 goals as of July 2.

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USA vs. Netherlands odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:04 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: USA -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Netherlands +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Draw +250
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +120 | U: -165)

USA vs. Netherlands picks and predictions

Prediction

USA 3, Netherlands 0

Moneyline (ML)

BET USA (-140).

While USA didn’t show it often in its opener, the skill is still there, and the defense held Vietnam to zero shots on target, which is impressive regardless of the opponent. The USA had many players making their World Cup debut as well, so nerves were likely high.

It also dominated possession, which the Netherlands didn’t do in its 1st game. Portugal has 44% of the game’s possession. Germany is the only top-5 team the Netherlands have played this year, and it lost 1-0 on April 7 at home.

Considering those struggles against top-tier sides and the USA’s dominance, take USA (-140) despite the juice.

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN OVER 2.5 (+120).

The Netherlands has a competent attack. It played 5 friendlies prior to the World Cup, and it scored at least 4 goals in 3 of them. It went north of this total in 4 of its 6 games this year. It did manage 12 shots against Portugal and may be able to test a young USA defense.

The USA has several big-name forwards like F Alex Morgan and F Sophia Smith. While it didn’t break through as often as expected against Vietnam, it did have 28 shots and should be able to convert more often if given those opportunities again.

Put both elite attacks together and back OVER 2.5 (+120).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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2023 Women’s World Cup: USA vs. Vietnam odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s USA vs. Vietnam odds and lines, with Women’s World Cup soccer expert picks, predictions and best bets.

USA battles Vietnam Friday to commence both teams’ 3-game group stage. Kickoff in the Group E battle from Eden Park in New Zealand is set for 9 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the USA vs. Vietnam odds, and make our best Women’s World Cup bets, picks and predictions.

The USWNT qualified for the World Cup as the Group A winner in the CONCACAF Women’s Championship in 2022. USA won all 3 games, scoring 9 goals and allowing 0. USA, the No. 1 team in the FIFA Women’s World Rankings, is the betting favorite to defend its 2019 Cup title won in France.

Vietnam, No. 32 in the FIFA rankings, qualified by winning in the play-offs for the AFC Women’s Asian Cup. It will be among 8 nations making its World Cup debut. Vietnam beat Chinese Taipei and Thailand in the play-off, scoring 4 goals and allowing 1 in the 2 matches. It had finished 3rd in Group C, losing 2 of 3 with a -6 goal differential.

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USA vs. Vietnam odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: USA -20000 (bet $20,000 to win $100) | Vietnam +3500 (bet $100 to win $3,500) | Draw +3000
  • Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -130 | U: -110)

USA vs. Vietnam picks and predictions

Prediction

USA 6, Vietnam 0

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

The USWNT is the most talented roster in the world. Unfortunately, for Vietnam, it won’t be at the level of its opponent, and it should result in an ugly result. However, at (-20000), there’s absolutely zero value in betting the heavy favorite to come out on top. Ultimately, pass on the moneyline.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 6.5 (-110).

USA has played 8 games in 2023 and played 7 games in 2022. It played teams like Wales, Japan, and Nigeria, all of which certainly aren’t top-tier nations. However, in neither calendar year did USA go Over 6.5 goals in a single match. It has scored 2 or fewer in 6 straight as well, all of which were held in the USA.

Vietnam doesn’t have the skill players to break through the USA backline either, so it is doubtful the underdog will be able to create many opportunities. USA has 7 clean sheets in 8 games in 2023.

Couple it all together and take the UNDER 6.5 (-110).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Mexico at USA odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Mexico at USA odds and lines, with expert USMNT picks, predictions and best bets.

The United States Men’s National Soccer Team welcomes Mexico to State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz., Wednesday for an international friendly. Kickoff is set for 10 p.m. ET and can be watched nationally on TBS. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mexico vs. USA odds, and make our best expert soccer picks and predictions.

This will be the USMNT’s 5th game since a thrilling World Cup run. In the previous 4 matches, the U.S. has drawn Columbia, lost to Serbia and defeated El Salvador and Grenada.

As for this matchup, it will be the inaugural Allstate Continental Clasico. While the USA will have a slew of young, fresh talent, players like D Sergino Dest and D Walker Zimmerman will be at this camp.

Mexico didn’t get to the knockout stage in the World Cup, scoring 4 points in 3 games. Since then, it has tied Jamaica 2-2 and beaten Suriname 2-0, both matches as part of the CONCACAF Nations League.

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Mexico at USA odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Mexico +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | USA +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Draw +220
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +115 | U: -165)

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Mexico at USA picks and predictions

Prediction

USA 1, Mexico 0

Moneyline (ML)

LEAN USA (+165).

USA, behind Dest, Zimmerman and several others, will have more experience on the pitch.

Mexico is bringing 2 forwards, neither of which have had a cap with the national team. Its 3 goalkeepers combine for just 5 caps as well, so inexperience is a very serious concern.

The USMNT has also won 3 of the last 4 matches between the 2 sides and has won the last 3 in a row in the United States. Considering its experience and recent success, back USA (+165).

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN UNDER 2.5 (-165).

All the experience for both teams comes from the backline. D Jesus Gallardo has 82 caps and D Nestor Araujo has 64. That will be the most experienced group for the road side, as it will be for the home side.

Couple that with this total having gone Under in 3 straight matches and in 6 of the last 8, take the UNDER 2.5 (-165) despite the juice.

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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USA vs. Colombia odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s USA vs. Colombia odds and lines, with USMNT expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The United States Men’s National Team battles the Colombia Men’s National Team Saturday in Los Angeles. Kickoff from Dignity Health Sports Park is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the USA vs. Serbia odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

The USMNT won’t have many familiar faces as this call-up roster seems more primed to showcase the next group of talent for the USA. The USMNT played Wednesday and lost 2-1 to Serbia, striking first on a goal by F Brandon Vazquez, who was making his first cap for USA. They did have 9 more shots yet had 1 fewer strike on goal. USMNT dominated possession with 62%.

Colombia, on the other hand, missed the 2022 World Cup. Their last competition was March 29, a 1-0 win over Venezuela. While this also won’t be Colombia’s A team, they do have talent with Columbus Crew F Cucho Hernandez, who scored 9 goals in 16 matches and completed changed the Crew’s season last year. They will also be the far fresher side as the USMNT played Wednesday.

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USA vs. Colombia odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: USA +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Colombia +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Draw +225
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +115 | U: -155)

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USA vs. Colombia picks and predictions

Prediction

USA 2, Colombia 2

Moneyline (ML)

LEAN DRAW (+225).

The USMNT showed a better-than-expected ability to get into the Serbian back line and get shots, but they struggled to finish. With so many players new to the roster, that should be expected. However, with 20 shots, they should be able to convert more against Colombia. Also, F Jesus Ferreira, who didn’t play Wednesday, should see time.

Colombia will have talent on their roster with Hernandez and talented LAFC F Chicho Arango. Both sides should be able to push forward, and with Colombia sitting 17th in the world rankings, they should present a challenge for the USMNT.

I expect to see some more of the USMNT more talented players like Ferreira, and at this value, a DRAW (+225) is how I’d play the moneyline.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 2.5 (+115).

The USMNT started D Walker Zimmerman Wednesday, and he is their best defender. They may opt to give D Sam Rogers more time along with potentially seeing M Paxten Aaronson. Players like Aaronson and Ferreira should bring pace while Colombia is going to have its own talented attackers.

Arango had 16 goals in 28 starts last season for LAFC. He can get into the final third with ease, and the combination of Arango and Hernandez could be trouble. Considering the talent that should be on display, back the OVER 2.5 (+115).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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USA vs. Serbia odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s USA vs. Serbia odds and lines, with USMNT expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The United States Men’s National Team battles the Serbia Men’s National Team Wednesday in Los Angeles. Kickoff from BMO Stadium is set for 10 p.m. ET (HBO Max). Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the USA vs. Serbia odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

The USMNT won’t have many familiar faces as this call-up roster seems more primed to showcase the next group of talent for the USA. As many as 13 players could make their 1st cap for the USA, including FC Cincinnati F Brandon Vazquez and America F Alejandro Zendejas. This will be the 1st action for the USMNT since it lost to the Netherlands in the Round of 16 of the 2022 World Cup.

The Serbian national team didn’t escape the group sage of the World Cup, but they did make the 32-team tournament which says enough about their quality. They only managed 1 point in their 3 games, a 3-3 draw with Cameroon. Serbia sits 21st in the world according to FIFA’s worl rankings while the USA is 13th.

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USA vs. Serbia odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:39 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: USA -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Serbia +440 (bet $100 to win $440) | Draw +290
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -108 | U: -122)

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USA vs. Serbia picks and predictions

Prediction

USA 1, Serbia 0

Moneyline (ML)

LEAN USA (-160).

The value isn’t necessarily here to make this a full-unit play, but the USMNT is bringing some talented players to take on what should be Serbia’s 2nd-string team. Both countries will feature young, promising talent.

The USMNT will feature some consistent names though, especially in the defensive side with M Kellyn Acosta and D Walker Zimmerman at camp. With several forwards likely getting time and making their first start, especially the highly-anticipated first cap for Zendejas, the forwards could struggle to find much comradery.

Nonetheless, there isn’t much impressive about this Serbian roster, and I’d back the USMNT here to hold them without a goal.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-122).

Given the turnover from the World Cup rosters for both teams, it doesn’t make much sense to use those performances to justify betting the Under.

At the same time, that helps justify it as the USMNT has 13 players making their 1st cap which could bode poorly for stringing together qualify attacking sets. The drama surrounding the USMNT and management could also bring unneeded distractions to the club.

None of Serbia’s players were on their World Cup roster with 3 MLS players highlighting the roster. The talent won’t be there to consistently get through what should be a strong USMNT defense.

Considering all the new talent being put together on short notice, back the UNDER 2.5 (-122).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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2022 World Cup: Netherlands vs. USA odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Netherlands vs. USA odds and lines, with World Cup soccer expert picks, predictions and best bets.

USA battles Netherlands in the first Round of 16 game Saturday. Kickoff from Khalifa International Stadium is set for 10 a.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Netherlands vs. USA odds, and make our best World Cup bets, picks and predictions.

Netherlands won Group A with 2 wins and a draw, taking down Sengal 2-0 in its opener on Nov. 21, drawing Ecuador 1-1 on Nov. 25 and beating the home country, Qatar, 2-0 Tuesday.

Netherlands has a star at each position group with Barcelona F Memphis Depay, Barcelona M Frenkie de Jong, and Liverpool D Virgil van Dijk. PSV Eindhoven M Cody Gakpo has scored in every game so far and is tied for the tournament lead with 3 goals.

USA finished 2nd in Group B, drawing Wales 1-1 on Nov. 21, drawing England 0-0 on Nov. 25 and beating Iran 1-0 Tuesday.

A first-half goal from Chelsea F Christian Pulisic secured the victory over Iran. Pulisic will be available after suffering a pelvic contusion on that goal, which is fortunate for the Americans as he is the most technical player in the attack.

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Netherlands vs. USA odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:43 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Netherlands -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | USA +330 (bet $100 to win $330) | Draw +240
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +145 | U: -170)

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Prediction

Netherlands 1, USA 1 (Netherlands advance in extra time)

Moneyline (ML)

LEAN DRAW (+240).

The United States has proven that it can hang with top-tier sides. The Netherlands should eventually win this game, but what USA showed against England should instill confidence in bettors.

USA held England to 3 shots on target and no goals which was an impressive showing as England tallied 9 goals in its other 2 games.

Netherlands also didn’t impress too much. It took down Qatar and Senegal but had 5 fewer shots than Senegal. Ecuador also ranks 44th in the world and drew the Netherlands.

For what each side showed through Group Stage, a DRAW (+240) has good value.

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN UNDER 2.5 (-170).

Every game by both teams in the Group Stage went under this total as both teams allowed just 1 goal each across their 3 games.

I wouldn’t hammer the total at this value though, but it is the only way I would play this game though considering the presence of van Djik and Manchester City M Nathan Ake in the back for Netherlands.

Similarly, the wingbacks for USA, AC Milan D Sergino Dest and Fulham D Antonee Robinson, have been extremely solid so far this tournament. With Pulisic banged up, the US attack may not be 100% either.

Back the UNDER 2.5 (-170) but for no more than a unit considering the value.

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

Want action on this contest or any other soccer matches? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

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2022 World Cup: Iran vs. USA odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Iran vs. USA odds and lines, with World Cup soccer expert picks, predictions and best bets.

Team USA (0 wins, 0 losses, 2 draws) needs to win its final group-stage match against Iran (1-1-0) Tuesday to advance to the Round of 16. Otherwise it’s go home for the USMNT. Kickoff for this Group B contest is 1 p.m. ET at Al Thumama Stadium (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Iran vs. USA odds, and make our best World Cup bets, picks and predictions.

USA tied England 0-0 Friday, arguably playing better than the Group B favorite. USA had more shots (10-8) and more than double the amount of corners (7 to 3).

In its World Cup opener, USA drew Wales 1-1 after American D Walker Zimmerman made a game-changing tackle that led to a game-tying, penalty-kick goal by F Gareth Bale for Wales.

For Iran, losing 6-2 to England in its opener didn’t matter after Friday’s 2-0 win over Wales in which Iran scored in the 98th and 101st minute. Iran controls its own destiny it will advance to the knock out stage with a win or tie vs. USA.

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Iran vs. USA odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:34 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Iran +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | USA +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Draw +245
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +145 | U: -170)

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Prediction

USA 1, Iran 0

Moneyline (ML)

BET USA (+102).

The USA should go all gas and no breaks, and it has the talent to do so. Players like M Gio Reyna have yet to play more than 45 minutes in a game and should be set to have a high level of involvement.

If the USA can create chances like it did vs. England, it will win Tuesday and move on to the Round of 16.

Iran only scored on Wales because Iran had a man advantage after Wales GK Wayne Hennessey received a red card in the 86th minute and had to be replaced.

USA looked good against the high-level competition of England, while Iran struggled to defend the quick-paced English side. Iran was even out-possessed 62% to 38% against Wales.

USA has the talent to dominate this match, and it should come out on top with everything at stake.

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN UNDER 2.5 (-170).

I don’t love the value, but it is the better side.

Iran didn’t score in 86 minutes vs. Wales until it had the man advantage thanks to the red card to the Welsh goalkeeper. Against England, Iran didn’t score until the game was far out of contention.

USA scored once on Wales and failed to find the back of the net against England despite getting 10 shots. USA’s finishing hasn’t been there, and it doesn’t appear to have a strong 9 in this tournament.

BACK UNDER 2.5 (-170) but only for a partial unit due to the value.

Also see: Iran vs. USA best prop bets

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

Want action on this contest or any other soccer matches? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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2022 World Cup: England vs. USA odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s England vs. USA odds and lines, with World Cup soccer expert picks, predictions and best bets.

Wrapping up Friday’s World Cup action in Group B, England (1 win, 0 losses, 0 draws) will battle the USA (0-0-1) at Al Bayt Stadium set. Kickoff is set for 2 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the England vs. USA odds, and make our best World Cup bets, picks and predictions.

England absolutely spanked Iran in its World Cup opener 6-2. England M Bukayo Saka led the scoring with 2 goals, referred to as a “brace” in soccer speak.

England had 79% of possession and 5 more shots (4 more shots on target). On a sour note for the England, F Harry Kane injured his ankle vs. Iran. He will be availalbe for the USA match, but the concern is if he will be 100%.

USA had an unsatisfying 1-1 draw with the F Gareth Bale-led Wales. US score 1st, early in the 1st half, but a late bad foul in the box by D Walker Zimmerman led to a penalty kick goal by Bale.

The Americans shockingly did not play M Gio Reyna, who will be 100% healthy and likely to start Friday. USA actually had 2 fewer shots on goal and 1 less shot on target vs. Wales despite having 59% of the possession.

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England vs. USA odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: England -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | USA +620 (bet $100 to win $620) | Draw +350
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Prediction

England 2, USA 1

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

There’s no value here. There wasn’t enough value Wednesday afternoon when England was favored at -170, and there’s definitely no value with the line up to -205 Friday before kickoff.

If I had to choose something, it would be the Draw (+350). USA played better than the numbers look against Wales, and England got on a role vs. Iran. What was impressive for the Americans, was their ability to limit quality Welsh chances.

Unlike Iran, USA has speed on the defensive edges in D Sergino Dest and D Antonee Robinson to help tame what England’s Saka and F Raheem Sterling are capable of doing.

It would be nice to profit 6.2 times an initial bet on the USMNT (+620), but I don’t see it happening. Still, if you want to gamble and win on a decent long shot … it would be fun to brag about cashing a USA (+620) ticket.

The unknown regarding Kane’s injury also makes the draw enticing. I would still PASS though with just a slight lean to the Draw (+350).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 2.5 (-120).

England looked unstoppable against Iran, and while the point still stands for Dest and Robinson, both received a full dose of work against Wales and could have tired legs.

The quality on the England side is difficult to overlook. England had 13 shots and put 7 on target. It controlled possession and looked incredible with its finishing. I expect a similar result.

England did, however, give up 2 goals to Iran, and the USA attack, led by Chelsea F Christian Pulisic, should be even more lethal. If the USMNT can get at least 3 shots on target, expect 1 to be converted.

The pace of this game, especially with the excitement on both ends, should produce goals as well. Each team was over 80% in passing accuracy, so they should be able to breakthrough backlines with that efficiency.

Also see: England vs. USA best prop bets

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

Want action on this contest or any other soccer matches? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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