Argentina (0-1-1 / W-D-L) takes on Sweden (2-0-0) Wednesday in each nation’s final 2023 Women’s World Cup group stage match. Kickoff from FMG Stadium Waikato is set for 3 a.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Argentina vs. Sweden odds, and make our best Women’s World Cup bets, picks and predictions.
Argentina opened its World Cup play with a 1-0 loss to Italy on July 24. It ended with just 1 shot on target and 47% of the possession. Against a weaker South Africa, Argentina made a dynamic comeback, scoring 2 goals after the 70th minute to tie the match at 2. Argentina had as many shots and 1 more shot on goal than South Africa. Argentina ranks 28th in the FIFA Women’s Rankings.
Sweden, the favorite in Group G, beat South Africa 2-1 but needed to pull off the come-from-behind win after getting down 1-0 in the 48th minute. It had 5 more shots and 2 more on frame than South Africa. It then blasted Italy, winning 5-0 Saturday. Sitting 3rd in the world rankings, Sweden is among the favorites to win the World Cup.
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Argentina vs. Sweden odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:21 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Argentina +450 (bet $100 to win $450) | Sweden -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Draw +280
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -125)
Argentina vs. Sweden picks and predictions
Prediction
Sweden 3, Argentina 0
Moneyline (ML)
PASS. LEAN BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE – NO (-145).
Sweden blasted an Italian side that ranks 16th in the world and also had beaten Argentina. In doing so, it allowed just two shots on goal. That’s an impressive performance.
While South Africa managed to break through, it had just 4 shots on goal against Sweden, netting 1. Argentina’s offense hasn’t been great and should struggle against a top side like Sweden, as it had just 1 shot on goal against Italy.
The moneyline plays are either too improbable or too expensive to play, but considering Argentina’s lack of consistent offense, take BOTH TEAMS NOT TO SCORE (-145).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 2.5 (-115).
The Swedish attack took a little bit to get going in its 1st game, but in its last 135 minutes (game and a half), it has 7 goals. It has scored 3 or more in 3 of its last 4 games and has scored 5 or more in 2 of its last 4.
Sweden has scored at least 3 goals in 4 of 7 games in 2023. There’s no reason to believe it will slow down even if it gets up by a goal or 2 against Argentina.
While Argentina is unlikely to score, and even the odds for both teams to score insinuate that, Sweden has allowed a goal in 4 of its last 5 games as well, making it reasonable to think Argentina could get on the board.
While Under this total has been hot in the tournament, in games in which one of these teams has performed, it is 3-1 O/U. Take OVER 2.5 (-115).
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