St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds odds predictions pick betting line spread

St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (63-79) and Cincinnati Reds (73-71) wrap up a 3-game series at Great American Ball Park Sunday. First pitch is slated for 1:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 5-4

The Cardinals have won 4 of their 5 games on a current 9-game road trip. Their 4-3 win on Saturday was their 7th win in their last 10 games scoring 6.4 runs on average. St. Louis is 32-39 away from Busch Stadium.

Cincinnati will try to finish their 10-game homestand at .500 with a win on Sunday over the Cardinals. They have lost 3 straight and have been outscored 21-11 during this slump. The Reds are 35-39 at Great American Ball Park.

Cardinals at Reds projected starters

RHP Miles Mikolas vs. RHP Hunter Greene

Mikolas (7-10, 4.63 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6 K/9 in 171 innings.

Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 10-6 win at the Atlanta Braves Tuesday
2023 vs. Reds: 1-1, 3.46 ERA (13 IP, 5 ER), 0 HR, 2 BB, 7 K in 2 starts
2023 road stats: 5-5, 4.00 ERA (90 IP, 40 ER), .281 OBA in 15 starts

Greene (3-6, 4.75 ERA) will make his 18th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 12 K/9 in 85 1/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-1 win at the San Francisco Giants on Aug. 30
Last start vs. Cardinals: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 4-3 road victory on June 11
2023 home stats: 0-4, 7.24 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 22 ER), .302 opponent batting average (OBA) in 6 starts

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Cardinals at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:05 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -105 (bet $105 to win $180) | Reds -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+150) | Reds +1.5 (-185)
Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Cardinals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Reds 5

Moneyline

BET CARDINALS (-105).

The Reds are in a bit of a tailspin and Greene does not seem like the guy to get them out of it. He has yet to win a game at home this season and has an ERA over 7 at Great American Ball Park.

St. Louis is firing on all cylinders right now scoring over 6 runs per game over their last 10. I’m going to ride the hot hand.

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID.

I am not going to touch the run line. I don’t have enough confidence in the Cardinals to cover the line and the -185 is not an enticing proposition.

Over/Under

PASS.

My lean is the Over, but I am not confident enough to take this bet. In their 9 meetings this season, these teams have gone Over this total in 6 of them.

When you look at this pitching match up, Green has allowed 5 or more ER in 2 of his last 3 starts while Mikolas has allowed at least 3 ER in his last 5 starts.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (62-79) and Cincinnati Reds (73-70) meet Saturday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 4-4

St. Louis won 9-4 at a +110 road underdog in Friday’s series opener. The Cardinals led 6-0 by the middle of the 3rd inning and from there it was simply about maintaining the lead. The Reds rallied back to within 2 runs, trailing 6-4 through 4 frames, but the Cards scored 3 runs through the 7th and 8th to put the game away.

The Cardinals are 6-4 in their last 10 and 31-39 on the road. Cincinnati is 5-5 in its last 10 games and 35-38 at home.

Cardinals at Reds projected starters

LHP Zack Thompson vs. RHP Carson Spiers

Thompson (4-5, 3.91 ERA) makes his 6th start and 22nd appearance. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 46 IP.

Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 6-4 home win Sunday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Career vs. Cincinnati: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (5 IP, 0 ER), 0 H, 3 BB, 5 K across 4 relief appearances

Spiers (0-0, 6.75 ERA) makes his 2nd career start.

Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 15-7 home loss Sunday vs. Chicago Cubs

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Cardinals at Reds odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:51 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -134 (bet $134 to win $100) | Reds +114 (bet $100 to win $114)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+112) | Reds +1.5 (-134)
Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cardinals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Reds 5

Moneyline

LEAN CARDINALS (-132).

The Cardinals are the slightly hotter team but these 2 squads have been very evenly matched this season. I am taking the Cardinals as they are 3-0 in Thompson’s last 3 starts while Spiers is still an unproven rookie. These teams have split their last 10 meetings and that small pitching advantage could be pivotal here.

Run line/Against the spread

BET REDS +1.5 (-142).

The Reds are a better team than the Cardinals, as their record shows, and I expect them to be able to cover here as slight home ‘dogs. The Reds haven’t been great at home but the Cardinals have been even worse on the road, and I believe at the very least that will be enough for the Reds to keep it close.

Over/Under

BET OVER 10.5 (-110).

The Over is 6-2 in 8 Cardinals-Reds meetings this season.

The Over is 6-0 in St. Louis’ last 6 games and 7-2-1 in its last 10 outings.

The Over has hit in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games.

The Over is also 3-0 in Thompson’s last 3 starts and hit in Spiers’ only start.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (61-79) open a weekend series against the Cincinnati Reds (73-69), who are in the middle of a heated Wild Card race. First pitch Friday is set for 6:40 p.m. ET at Great American Ballpark. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 4-3

The last place Cardinals won the 1st 2 games against the Atlanta Braves on their current 9-game road trip, but they lost 8-5 on Thursday night.

After dropping 6 of 8 games, the Reds have started to get back on track with wins in 4 of their last 6 contests.

Cardinals at Reds projected starters

LHP Drew Rom vs. LHP Andrew Abbott

Rom (0-2, 7.24 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.90 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 13 2/3 innings.

Went 9-6 with a 4.82 ERA, 4.6 BB/9, and 10.9 K/9 in 21 outings (20 starts) in Triple A. In 2 starts with the Cardinals’ Triple-A affiliate following his trade from Baltimore, he allowed 1 ER with 4 BB and 18 K
Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 7-6 loss to Pittsburgh

Abbott (8-4, 3.22 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 95 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 2-1 win over the Chicago Cubs.
Home stats: 3-2, 2.66 ERA (50 2/3 IP, 15 ER) with 8.9 K/9 in 8 starts. He has allowed 8 HR in those games (1.4 HR/9) but has been helped greatly by a .198 BABIP
Faced the Cardinals in June and shut them out for 5 2/3 IP, though it came with 3 BB and 4 K

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Cardinals at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:28 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Reds -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-185) | Reds -1.5 (+150)
Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cardinals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 7, Cardinals 5

Moneyline

Rom has really struggled with walks this season, which has led to an inflated ERA both at Triple-A and in his small MLB sample. He is sporting a weak 11/8 K/BB with the Cardinals so far, and in this game, he’ll be pitching in a hitter-friendly park against a team with a lot on the line. This is a solid price on the home team so jump on the REDS (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

Abbott has a shiny ERA at home, but his skills haven’t quite supported the excellent results. His offense should give him plenty of support, but the Cardinals have been hitting well lately and should keep it fairly close. We’ll side with the moneyline and PASS on this line.

Over/Under

The Cincinnati bats are lined up for a good day against a young pitcher who has yet to establish himself at the big-league level, and who gets himself into a lot of trouble with shaky control. On the other side, Abbott hasn’t been as good as his ERA would suggest.

The Cardinals have had a very disappointing season, but the offense has come to life lately, as they have scored 38 runs in their last 5 games (7.6 runs per game). When all is said and done, this game should end up real close to the total, but a small play on OVER 10.5 (-110) is the call here.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Reds (20-28) and the St. Louis Cardinals (22-28) meet Wednesday in Great American Ball Park for the 3rd game of a 4-game series. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Cardinals evened the series with an 8-5 victory Tuesday as -137 favorites.

In Monday’s opener, the Reds snapped a 4-game losing streak with a 6-5 win in 10-innings as +167 underdogs. Cincinnati is 4-7 over its last 11 home games.

The Cardinals have won 5 of their last 7 games, including a 3-1 series victory against the Los Angeles Dodgers prior to coming to Cincinnati. St. Louis sits 4th in the NL Central.

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Cardinals at Reds projected starters

LHP Steven Matz vs. RHP Ben Lively

Matz (0-5, 5.05 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 46 1/3 innings.

Is 5-8 in his second season with the Cardinals, following a 14-7 campaign with the Toronto Blue Jays the season prior
The Cardinals are 2-3 in Matz’s last 5 starts.

Lively (1-2, 2.45 ERA) makes his 4th appearance and 2nd start. He has a 0.73 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 11 innings.

Last start Friday vs. New York Yankees: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 2 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 8 K
Has 21 starts in his 29 career appearances since 2017
Lively has allowed just 7 hits in 11 innings.

Cardinals at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:20 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Reds +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (-105) | Reds +1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cardinals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Reds 5

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Cardinals are just 11-13 on the road while the Reds are 13-13 at home this season. Their bullpen has performed better than expected, and it should get a good amount of action on Wednesday. The Reds are more worthy of a spread play given the value.

Run line/Against the spread

BET REDS +1.5 (-115).

The Reds are a strong 26-22 ATS this season, and they have covered in 2 of their 3 games in which Lively has started on the mound.

The Cardinals are starting a pitcher who hasn’t performed well this season, and they are just 23-27 ATS on the year. Ultimately, given the season-long trends, back the REDS +1.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 10 (-115).

Both teams have consistently covered the Over. Both games in this series have hit double figures as well.

St. Louis is 27-22-1 O/U this season, and it has gone Over in 4 straight games. Cincinnati is 26-22 O/U on the season and 4-2 O/U in its last 6 games. Take the OVER 10 (-115).

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St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (75-55) and Cincinnati Reds (51-77) cap off a 3-game NL Central series Wednesday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: St. Louis leads 8-5

The Cardinals banged out 4 home runs among their 13 hits in Monday’s 13-5 win over the Reds. St. Louis then had just 4 hits in Tuesday’s 4-1 loss that snapped a 3-game win streak.

The Reds clocked a 5.43 ERA in 9 games prior to holding the Cards to 1 run Tuesday. Cincinnati is just 7-14 in its last 21 games.

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Cardinals at Reds projected starters

LHP Jose Quintana vs. LHP Mike Minor

Quintana (4-6, 3.45 ERA) has made 25 starts in 2022. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 127 2/3 IP.

Owns a 2.17 ERA in his last 7 starts
Tossed 5 shutout innings against the Reds on May 15

Minor (3-10, 6.10 ERA) is tabbed for his 16th start. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 79 2/3 IP.

Has struggled at home (6.37 ERA) and is up against a St. Louis club that leads the league in OPS against southpaws (.809)
Current Cardinals own a high-contact 1.049 OPS against him

Cardinals at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.

Money line: Cardinals -240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Reds +190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -2.5 (+102) | Reds +2.5 (-125)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Cardinals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Reds 4

Money line

The betting signals here cross back and forth around a Cardinals -225 equilibrium. That spells no value on these prices: AVOID.

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Run line/Against the spread

Same calculus on the run-line side of things, at both 1.5 and 2.5 runs.

St. Louis owns a .371 batting average on balls in play with runners in scoring position over the last month. Figure on some fade lean away from the Redbirds in the near future, but this pitching matchup and Cincy’s offensive struggles lately make for too much uncertainty.

STEER CLEAR.

Over/Under

BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-105).

There is some slight lean against Quintana and in favor of a Redbirds offense that hits left-handers hard. Mix in a forecast for a batter’s breeze in a ballpark that is batter-friendly to begin with.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (75-54) and Cincinnati Reds (50-77) continue a 3-game NL Central series Tuesday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: St. Louis took Monday’s series opener 13-4 and leads the season series 8-4

The Cardinals banged out 4 home runs among their 13 hits Monday. St. Louis has registered multiple round-trippers in 3 straight games and has recorded 31 HR over its last 16 games. The Redbirds own a .922 OPS and have scored 6.75 runs per game over that span.

The Reds own a 26-37 mark at home but have gone on some solid runs there. They are not on one of those runs now. Cincy is just 2-5 over its last 7 games at Great American and has played .300 ball overall since Aug. 8 (6-14).

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Cardinals at Reds projected starters

RHP Dakota Hudson vs. RHP Justin Dunn

Hudson (7-6, 4.23 ERA) is tabbed for his 24th start of the season. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 5.2 K/9 through 121 1/3 IP.

Has faced the Reds twice this season, posting one solid start and one disaster. The clunker (6 runs on 9 hits over 7 IP) was the most recent effort (June 12).
Owns a 5.05 ERA and 1.53 WHIP on the road this season.

Dunn (1-2, 5.12 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 19 1/3 IP.

Made his Reds debut on Aug. 8 after he missed the front half of the season while recovering from a shoulder injury.
Logged a 6.92 ERA in Triple-A before his call-up.
Owns a 4.13 ERA over 29 career games (all starts).

Cardinals at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:48 a.m. ET.

Money line: Cardinals -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Reds +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -2.5 (+102) | Reds +2.5 (-125)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

Cardinals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Reds 4

Money line

The Cards were a decent betting play heading into the back half of August, and they have paid off. St. Louis is 12-3 since Aug. 16. That value may now be leveling off.

However, the Cardinals are the closest thing to value on this particular Money Line play. Hudson may a bit too far out over his skis with his surface ERA, but he is backed by a solid enough bullpen and one that is well enough rested at the back end.

Consider a line watch: St. Louis (-205) would be a decent play. Otherwise, PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Check the ALTERNATE RUN LINE ST. LOUIS -1.5 (-135) as a more workable play than the -2.5 action.

Over/Under

Another LINE WATCH here: on a warm, breeze-blowing-out evening in Cincinnati, grab the OVER 9.5 for a partial-unit play if the price drops to -120, and consider full-unit plays at -115 or better.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (74-54) battle the Cincinnati Reds (50-76) Monday in the 1st game of a 3-game set at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cardinals lead 7-4

The Cardinals pulled one out late Sunday night with a 3-run home run by OF Tyler O’Neill to give them a 6-3 win and a series win over the Atlanta Braves. The Cards have remained hot, going 7-3, 14-6 and 23-7 over their last 10, 20 and 30 games, respectively. However, they’ve had trouble with Cincinnati and are just 3-3 at GABP this season — and the Reds were 10-9 against the Cards last season.

The Reds come into this one 4-6 over their last 10 contests, and those 4 wins came against the last-place Washington Nationals and the Pittsburgh Pirates. They’re just 7-13 over the last 20 games. They are slightly better at home with a 26-36 mark. It’ll be a challenge Monday as the team signed its starter — RHP Chase Anderson — just a few days ago.

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Cardinals at Reds projected starters

RHP Miles Mikolas vs. RHP Chase Anderson

Mikolas (10-10, 3.35 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 164 IP.

Was touched for 6 ER on 7 H and 2 BB with 4 K in 5 IP at GABP July 24.
Has a 5.40 ERA over 5 August starts; fatigue might be setting in after throwing just 44 2/3 big league innings the last 2 years combined.

Anderson (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his first appearance in the majors this season.

Was 2-4 with a 6.75 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 9 starts and 5 bullpen appearances with the Philadelphia Phillies last year.
Spent the last month as a reliever in Triple-A and threw a combined 10 pitches in his last 2 appearances, so he’s not built up to pitch deep into a game.

Cardinals at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:39 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Cardinals -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Reds +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (-135) | Reds +1.5 (+110)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

Cardinals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Reds 3

Money line

The Cards are heavy favorites, as they should be, but the Reds have given them fits. Mikolas is showing signs of fatigue and has a 6.58 ERA in 5 career starts in Cincinnati.

The Cards are going to score runs, though. They’ve plated 5 in 3 of the 6 games at GABP. It’s chalky but seems pretty probable to cash if you take CARDINALS OVER 4.5 TOTAL RUNS (-175).

Run line/Against the spread

The Reds are 26-36 straight up and 28-34 on the RL at home. That doesn’t give me much confidence that they can stay within a couple of runs. On the flip side, I’m not paying -135 for the Cards to win by 2 with a pitcher that is fading and has a bad history at this park. PASS on the RL.

However, I would take a chance on MIKOLAS UNDER 4.5 K’S (-114). It’s dicey because he’s capable of fanning 5 in every start. However, he has only done it 2 times in the last 7 outings and he hasn’t struck out 5 Reds over a span of 4 starts dating to 2019.

Over/Under

The wind is blowing toward the left-field foul pole at 11 mph, which shouldn’t affect much positively. Scoring 10 runs is definitely possible with a pitcher who struggles and a possible bullpen game for Cincinnati.

However, it has only happened once in 6 games at GABP between the teams this year. LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-122) or hope for a scoreless 1st inning for a better live bet.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (51-45) square off against the Cincinnati Reds (35-58) Sunday for the finale of a 3-game set at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: The Cardinals lead 7-3.

The Cards got back in the win column with a 6-3 victory Saturday after losing the series opener 9-5 Friday night. 1B Paul Goldschmidt continues to lead the charge as he’s 4-for-9 (.444) with 2 home runs and 4 RBIs in the series. Including the All-Star Game, he has homered in 4 straight games.

Cincinnati is throwing RHP Tyler Mahle at St. Louis Sunday in what could be one of his final starts in a Reds uniform. The talented right-hander is the subject of trade rumors before the Aug. 2 trade deadline. The Reds are 6-4 over their last 10 games.

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Cardinals at Reds projected starters

RHP Miles Mikolas vs. RHP Tyler Mahle

Mikolas (7-7, 2.54 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 120 1/3 IP.

Allowed 1 ER on 3 H and 1 BB with 4 K in 7 IP against the Reds at Busch Stadium July 16.
Is 1-2 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.38 WHIP spanning 4 career starts at Great American Ball Park.

Mahle (3-7, 4.48 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 92 1/3 IP.

Allowed 2 ER on 5 H and 3 BB with 3 K in 4 1/3 IP against the Cardinals April 23.
Is 3-4 with a 4.57 ERA in 13 career starts against St. Louis.
Is 0-5 with a 4.99 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 10 home starts vs. 3-2 with a 3.83 ERA and 0.98 WHIP on the road.

Cardinals at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:31 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Cardinals -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Reds +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+102) | Reds +1.5 (-125)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Cardinals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 7, Reds 4

Money line

The Cardinals have taken 2 of 3 games from the Reds in all 3 series thus far, with the final game of the most recent series being rained out before the All-Star break. That trend continues today with Mikolas on the bump. He hasn’t been great in a small sample size at GABP, but the All-Star right-hander gives the team a chance to win each time he pitches. Take the CARDINALS (-155) to close out the series.

Run line/Against the spread

Six of the Cards’ 7 wins against the Reds have been by more than 1 run. Once the Cards get Mahle out of that game and get to Cincinnati’s last-ranked bullpen with a 5.38 ERA, the floodgates should open.

Take the CARDINALS -1.5 (+102) for slight plus-money action.

Over/Under

Speaking of floodgates, the wind is blowing out to left field at 16 mph on this 93-degree day. That benefits Cardinals right-handed hitters such as Goldschmidt, 3B Nolan Arenado and OF Tyler O’Neill, who parked one yesterday. Game 1 went over, but Saturday’s game landed just short of the 10.5 clip. I think we go OVER 9.5 (-110) on getaway day.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (50-45) square off against the Cincinnati Reds (35-57) Saturday for the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: The Cardinals lead 6-3.

All of our picks hit in Friday’s series opener despite the incorrectly predicted score. The Reds took out the Cards 9-5 after getting to RHP Adam Wainwright for 7 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings as his struggles at Great American Ball Park continue. The Cards will turn to LHP Steven Matz Saturday, who will be making his first start since May 17.

The Reds are 7-3 over their last 10 games as they have some young pitching budding before our eyes. RHP Graham Ashcraft did allow 4 ER in 4 2/3 IP in the opener, but he tied a career-high with 8 K. Cincinnati is 9-17 against left-handed starters and will be an underdog again Saturday.

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Cardinals at Reds projected starters

LHP Steven Matz vs. LHP Mike Minor

Matz (3-3, 6.03 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 37 1/3 IP.

Making his first start since May 17 due to a shoulder issue.
His numbers are a little deceiving as his walk rate is decent, and his K-rate is great, but he allowed 15 ER across 5 IP over 2 bad starts; his ERA is 2.78 outside of those outings.
Held the Reds to 1 ER on 7 H and 2 BB with 6 K across 5 IP April 22.
Current Reds are hitting .415 in 44 plate appearances against Matz.

Minor (1-6, 6.21 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 42 IP.

Allowed 7 ER on 13 H, 3 BB with 14 K’s in 11 IP in 2 starts — both losses — against St. Louis this year.
Might need a defibrillator if home is where the heart is as he’s put up a 6.08 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP at Great American Ball Park.
Current Cardinals are hitting .317 with a .404 weighted on-base average in 70 plate appearances against Minor.

Cardinals at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:09 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Cardinals -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Reds +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (-105) | Reds +1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

Cardinals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Reds 5

Money line

The Cards are actually hitting better against left-handed pitching this year, which is something they don’t normally do. St. Louis is slashing .264/.337/.426 vs. LHP and .248/.316/.397 against RHP.

It’s not a very large sample size, but Matz is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 14 K in 10 2/3 IP at GABP lifetime. I expect him to go 5 IP and give up 3 ER, and the Cards’ shaky pen figures it out from there. I’m not paying -165, though. LEAN CARDINALS FIRST 5 INNINGS SPREAD -0.5 (-112).

Run line/Against the spread

The Reds are now 43-49 on the RL, which is pretty good for a 35-win team. The problem is Minor could allow this one to get out of reach, and while the Cards’ middle relief is bad, I don’t feel too comfortable going on the Reds’ RL again.

Let’s go in a different direction. Matz gives up hits in bunches. He has allowed 35 across 34 1/3 innings this year and 17 hits in 10 1/3 IP at GABP in his career. OVER 4.5 REDS TOTAL HITS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-133) looks good to me.

Over/Under

We feasted on the Over for 2 units Friday, but the book is setting a trap for the middle game of the series. They’re thinking “we’ve got 2 starters with bad ERA and 14 runs scored yesterday, let’s lay 10.5 out there and see who bites!”

The problem is that the wind is blowing in from right-center field at 12 mph. Don’t risk it unless this number comes back to 10 or 9.5 by first pitch to give a push cushion. PASS.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (50-44) start the 2nd half of their season against the Cincinnati Reds (34-57) Friday in the opener of a 3-game set at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: The Cardinals lead 6-2.

These teams got an extra day of vacation prior to the All-Star break when their Sunday matchup was nixed due to rain. The Cards finished the 1st half 9-11 over their last 20 games.

The Cardinals have pitching issues that have them shopping for starters as the trade deadline nears. The starting rotation has a 3.93 ERA, which is 15th in baseball, but it soars to 4.78 on the road.

The Reds were decent entering the break at 10-10 over their last 20 contests. They have a trio of players in RHP Luis Castillo, RHP Tyler Mahle and 3B Brandon Drury that could be moved at the deadline and are motivated to perform. Don’t take the Reds lightly in this series because of their record.

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Cardinals at Reds projected starters

RHP Adam Wainwright vs. RHP Graham Ashcraft

Wainwright (6-7, 3.00 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 across 111 IP.

Has trouble in Cincinnati with a 5.43 ERA through 109 1/3 IP at Great American Ball Park in his career.
Allowed 4 ER on 8 H and 3 BB with 3 K over 5 IP at Cincinnati April 24.
Numbers inflate on the road in 2022: 4.10 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 6.5 K/9 on road vs. 2.01 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 7.9 K/9 at home.

Ashcraft (4-2, 4.45 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 through 54 2/3 IP.

Allowed 4 ER on 9 H with 2 K over 4 2/3 IP against St. Louis June 12.
Has allowed at least 2 ER in 6 straight starts.
Better at home at 3-1 with a 2.67 ERA and 1.12 WHIP vs. 1-1 with a 6.66 ERA and 1.64 WHIP on the road.

Cardinals at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Cardinals -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Reds +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+102) | Reds +1.5 (-125)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Cardinals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Reds 5

Money line

For as bad as Wainwright has been in GABP, he still holds a career 7-7 record. That said, I think the Cards find a way to win, but I’m not confident enough to put -155 on it. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Reds are 42-49 on the RL, which is pretty good for a 34-win team. They are 13-11 in 1-run games, which is marginally better than the Cards at 13-12. The Reds could steal this game, but one thing is for certain – runs will be scored, and the Cardinals aren’t great in close games.

Give me the REDS +1.5 (-125).

Over/Under

The Over is the best bet in this game. With Wainwright’s documented struggles in Cincinnati and Ashcraft not missing many bats, 10 runs doesn’t seem like too tall of a task.

The wind is blowing out to left field at 9 mph. The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these sides, and it’s 4-0 in the Reds’ last 4 games overall and against teams with a winning record.

I’d hit OVER 9.5 (-115) for TWO UNITS.

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