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The St. Louis Cardinals (63-79) and Cincinnati Reds (73-71) wrap up a 3-game series at Great American Ball Park Sunday. First pitch is slated for 1:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Cardinals lead 5-4
The Cardinals have won 4 of their 5 games on a current 9-game road trip. Their 4-3 win on Saturday was their 7th win in their last 10 games scoring 6.4 runs on average. St. Louis is 32-39 away from Busch Stadium.
Cincinnati will try to finish their 10-game homestand at .500 with a win on Sunday over the Cardinals. They have lost 3 straight and have been outscored 21-11 during this slump. The Reds are 35-39 at Great American Ball Park.
Cardinals at Reds projected starters
RHP Miles Mikolas vs. RHP Hunter Greene
Mikolas (7-10, 4.63 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6 K/9 in 171 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 10-6 win at the Atlanta Braves Tuesday
- 2023 vs. Reds: 1-1, 3.46 ERA (13 IP, 5 ER), 0 HR, 2 BB, 7 K in 2 starts
- 2023 road stats: 5-5, 4.00 ERA (90 IP, 40 ER), .281 OBA in 15 starts
Greene (3-6, 4.75 ERA) will make his 18th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 12 K/9 in 85 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-1 win at the San Francisco Giants on Aug. 30
- Last start vs. Cardinals: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 4-3 road victory on June 11
- 2023 home stats: 0-4, 7.24 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 22 ER), .302 opponent batting average (OBA) in 6 starts
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Cardinals at Reds odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:05 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -105 (bet $105 to win $180) | Reds -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+150) | Reds +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Cardinals at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Cardinals 6, Reds 5
Moneyline
BET CARDINALS (-105).
The Reds are in a bit of a tailspin and Greene does not seem like the guy to get them out of it. He has yet to win a game at home this season and has an ERA over 7 at Great American Ball Park.
St. Louis is firing on all cylinders right now scoring over 6 runs per game over their last 10. I’m going to ride the hot hand.
Run line/Against the spread
AVOID.
I am not going to touch the run line. I don’t have enough confidence in the Cardinals to cover the line and the -185 is not an enticing proposition.
Over/Under
PASS.
My lean is the Over, but I am not confident enough to take this bet. In their 9 meetings this season, these teams have gone Over this total in 6 of them.
When you look at this pitching match up, Green has allowed 5 or more ER in 2 of his last 3 starts while Mikolas has allowed at least 3 ER in his last 5 starts.
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