San Diego State at UNLV odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s San Diego State Aztecs vs. UNLV Rebels odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks.

The San Diego State Aztecs (20-0, 9-0 Mountain West) travel to Fabulous Las Vegas to take on the UNLV Rebels (11-10, 6-2) in an MWC showdown Sunday at 4 p.m. ET at the Thomas & Mack Center.

We analyze the San Diego State-UNLV odds and betting lines, with college basketball betting advice and tips around this matchup.

San Diego State at UNLV: Three things you need to know

1. The fourth-ranked Aztecs (USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll) have been great on both sides of the ball. SDSU has been especially stingy on defense, allowing few good looks from anywhere on the floor and being lock-down proficient on the glass.

2. Analytics peg San Diego State as being one of the best in the nation when playing on the road. But there is also a thread of inconsistency running throughout the Aztecs’ numbers at home and abroad. These swings have come on offense and defense and against teams up and down the rankings.

3. The site of this one is significant. Advanced stats reveal that the Rebels have among the nation’s biggest drop-offs in home-vs.-road efficiency. The Rebs have won six straight on their home hardwood.


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San Diego State at UNLV: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at noon ET.

Prediction

UNLV 67, San Diego State 65

Moneyline (ML)

The spread and Over/Under look to be well-pegged by the betting public. But the UNLV side of the moneyline stands out here. UNLV +230 makes for decent value. The Rebels have offensive indicators pointed the right way, and the Aztecs are in a vulnerable spot. A comp for this one on the SDSU side is the Aztecs’ Jan. 14 at Fresno State, a non-cover of a 12.5-point spread and a contest that was played within one score mostly throughout. If you can see UNLV winning 3 of 10 meetings, the line here has value.

New to sports betting? A $10 moneyline play on UNLV would return a $23 profit.

Against the Spread (ATS)

In their six-game win streak at home, UNLV is 5-1 against the spread. The Runnin’ Rebels are 4-1 ATS over their last five games following a straight-up loss.

UNLV (+7.5 -134) line is a lean here. Shade this play as stronger than the O/U but weaker than the moneyline.

Over/Under (O/U)

San Diego State has had nine games on each side of the O/U. The Over is 11-10 in UNLV’s 21 games. The Under is 4-1 in UNLV’s last five games as a home underdog, and it’s 5-2 in SDSU’s last seven as a road favorite. The UNDER (133.5 -115) is a lean here.

Want some action on this matchup? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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San Diego State withstands early surge from Nevada, remains undefeated

San Diego State is still unblemished this year.

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The Wolfpack came out strong, but the Aztecs defense won out.


Contact/Follow  @aztecbreakdown & @MWCwire

On Saturday night the 18-0 San Diego State Aztecs put their undefeated streak (and MAP) on the line when they faced the 11-7 Nevada Wolf Pack. Nevada tried to break a streak of never winning a game in Viejas since joining the Mountain West Conference.

Early in the game Nevada seemed to be disturbed by the Aztecs defense, having 7 turnovers in the first 8 minutes. They settled in however, only committing one turnover in the last 12 minutes of the half. They managed to keep the game close and even take the lead in the first half, heading to the locker rooms ahead 35-33. The Wolf Pack shot the three-ball at a 54% clip in route to that lead.

That rate turned out to be unsustainable though, as the Aztecs came out swinging in the second half. They blitzed the Wolf Pack to the tune of a 7-0 run to open the half. The Wolfpack managed to tie the game at 40 a piece, but was never able to take the lead.

Nevada was held to 20 points on four made shots in the second half, with two of those shots coming in garbage time. The Aztecs clamped down on defense and never let up.

The final score was 68-55 Aztecs, and it wasn’t as close as it looks. The Aztecs committed a few turnovers and silly fouls once their bench went in over the last few minutes which let Nevada make some free throws to tighten the gap, even though the outcome was never in question.

Next up the Aztecs play Wyoming in Viejas, and a win will tie the 2010-2011 team for the best start an Aztec team has ever had. 

Next up for Nevada is a red hot UNLV team at home. Nevada is currently in a three way tie for 3rd place in the conference, with UNLV in second. A win would help close that gap.

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New Mexico Bowl: Central Michigan vs. San Diego State odds, lines, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s New Mexico Bowl between Central Michigan and San Diego State college football matchup, with college football betting odds, picks and best bets

The Central Michigan Chippewas (8-5) and San Diego State Aztecs (9-3) lock horns Saturday in the New Mexico Bowl. Kickoff at Dreamstyle Stadium in Albuquerque is set for 2 p.m. ET. We analyze the Central Michigan-San Diego State odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Central Michigan vs. San Diego State: Three things you need to know

1. Central Michigan is 28th in the nation with 445.6 yards per game and 44th in scoring at 31.9 points per game. The Chippewas are 20th against the run, allowing just 115.1 yards per game on the ground.

2. San Diego State, on the other hand, struggles to move the ball. The Aztecs are 115th in the nation in total yards (329.3), tied for 97th in passing yards (195.6), 103rd in rushing yards (133.7) and 119th in scoring (19.0). Defensively, though, the Aztecs are an outstanding fifth in total yards allowed (288.7), second against the run (72.3) and fourth in points allowed (12.8) per game.

3. Aztecs leading rusher RB Juwan Washington (ankle) is listed as questionable. If he cannot go it would be RB Chase Jasmin leading the charge, and he was more than capable with a team-best 4.6 yards per carry on 69 attempts while leading the team with three rushing TDs.


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Central Michigan vs. San Diego State: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 2:25 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Central Michigan 23, San Diego State 15

Moneyline (ML)

CENTRAL MICHIGAN (+145) is worth a roll of the dice, as it sports a decent offense and should be able to solve the San Diego State defense. The Aztecs (-176) really struggled offensively this season, Washington is iffy to play, and QB Ryan Agnew suffered a calf injury last time out (although he should be fine). Still, he is more of a caretaker than playmaker, and if CMU scores early it isn’t San Diego State’s forte to score a lot of points and come from behind.

Against the Spread (ATS)

CENTRAL MICHIGAN (+3.5, -115) is a super attractive play catching three and a hook. Even if the Chippewas can’t win outright, San Diego State (-3.5, -106) isn’t going to blow anyone out — ever. So light the fire up with the Chips and enjoy the payout.

For a little extra fun, take CMU +0.5 (-134) on the first-quarter line, and look for the Chippewas to fire out to an early lead. It’s bowl season, build that bankroll with some early fun.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS. The total 40.5 is just too risky here. If there was a lean, it’s to the under, as San Diego State struggles offensively. A more attractive play is betting the UNDER 21.5 (-125) on San Diego State’s team point total.

Get some action on this game or others, place a bet with BetMGM today. And for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Week 7 DPI Rankings: Lobos Rising After Six-Game Streak

It was back to non-conference play last week for the Mountain West. Not everybody was in action—and some who were now wish they hadn’t been.

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Week 7 DPI Rankings: Lobos Rising After Six-Game Streak


The top two stand pat, but plenty of movement below


Contact/Follow @andrewdieckhoff & @MWCwire

New Mexico, Boise State climbing in the latest DPI rankings for Week 7

It was back to non-conference play last week for the league’s affiliate members on the heels of the opening salvo to the long Mountain West season. Not everybody was in action—and some now wish they hadn’t been.

But it wasn’t all misery.

Some teams are making big strides, including one squad trying to make a move into the uppermost echelon of the MWC.

Below are the DPI rankings heading into the heart of Week 7. If you’re new to the rankings or just want a refresher, head here for a rundown of how the DPI is calculated. The ratings below reflect games played through Tuesday, December 17. As always, non-Division I games are not counted in the DPI.

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#1 — SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS

Last Week: #1

The Aztecs moved to the #1 spot in the Mountain West last week and with no games since their close shave against San Jose State, they haven’t moved much up or down. Brian Dutcher’s team is still undefeated and boasts one of the best defenses in the country. Malachi Flynn’s star turn has propelled SDSU into the national polls, along with the play of Matt Mitchell, Yanni Wetzell, and Jordan Schakel. If KJ Feagin can provide a little more offense, this team could really turn in a special season.

#2 — UTAH STATE AGGIES

Last Week: #2

It’s been a bit of a rough patch for the Aggies over the past few games. They still have one of the two best rosters in the league, but they aren’t quite living up to preseason expectations so far. After losing to Saint Mary’s and looking underwhelming in their first two Mountain West games, Utah State fell to BYU on Saturday in Salt Lake City. It was only their second loss, but it’s a missed opportunity for a good out-of-conference win to put on their NCAA Tournament resume.

#3 — NEW MEXICO LOBOS

Last Week: #4

The Lobos have won six straight after toppling New Mexico State and Grand Canyon since the last DPI rankings were posted here. Though they aren’t playing at the level of SDSU just yet, this patchwork roster of homegrown talent and incoming transfers has performed admirably in the early going. JaQuan Lyle has been everything that Paul Weir could have wanted and more. Oh, and Carlton Bragg is averaging a double-double. So far, so good.

#4 — NEVADA WOLF PACK

Last Week: #3

The Wolf Pack looked like they were starting to turn a corner over the past few weeks, winning five straight games on either side of Thanksgiving. But last week, Nevada was the second casualty of BYU’s surge, along with Utah State and UNLV. The offense had been clicking on all cylinders, but immediately downshifted from a 100-point performance against Air Force to a 42-point outing against the Cougars. That kind of volatility that makes it tough to trust Steve Alford’s club.

#5 — BOISE STATE BRONCOS

Last Week: #6

Leon Rice is getting things back on track in Boise, but outside of their win over BYU—before Yoeli Childs came back, of course—the Broncos haven’t really beaten anybody. It was another rocky showing for Boise State last week, with a midweek loss to Tulsa preceding a blowout win over Alabama State. Derrick Alston is averaging 21 points and Justinian Jessup is finding his form. But the starting five is not the problem here; Rice’s team suffers from a lack of depth.

#6 — COLORADO STATE RAMS

Last Week: #5

The Rams jumped out to a promising start, but they’ve lost three of their past four games, including both of their opening Mountain West bouts. Mixed in there was a 72-68 win over South Dakota State, and while the Jackrabbits are not a bad squad by any means, that they played CSU so closely gives a good indication of where the Rams are right now. Niko Medved’s team gave in-state rivals Colorado a run for their money, but ultimately fell 56-48 over the weekend.

#7 — AIR FORCE FALCONS

Last Week: #8

The defense still leaves a lot to be desired, but recently, the Falcons have been getting better results than they did during a rough November. The new month has been kinder to the cadets, with Air Force winning four of its past five (Note: Tuesday’s 99-42  win over Johnson & Wales is not counted in the DPI). AJ Walker has taken an important step forward as an offensive option. The sophomore was averaging 20 points per game over the past three games coming into Tuesday.

#8 — FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS

Last Week: #10

Justin Huston finally got his team to a second Division I win on Saturday against Cal Poly. But the bigger story here is the seven losses that they have already incurred. Nate Grimes is doing exactly what was expected of him so far, averaging a double-double with 13.5 points and 10.4 rebounds per night. Guards Jarred Hyder and New Williams both have some good performances under their belts, but they haven’t been able to click at the same time. That needs to change.

#9 — UNLV RUNNIN’ REBELS

Last Week: #9

The Rebels didn’t play last week, so the bad taste of the 33-point loss to BYU back has been lingering for a week and a half. There have been a lot of close calls, with UNLV playing in four separate overtime games so far. They are shooting under 42% from the field and turning the ball over 15 times a night. Games against Pacific and Robert Morris this week offer TJ Otzelberger the chance to start making some headway in his first year at the helm.

#10 — WYOMING COWBOYS

Last Week: #7

Allen Edwards got his Cowboys out to a 3-3 start, but they have dropped five straight games, including their most recent defeat at the hands of Northern Colorado. The Bears didn’t just sneak past Wyoming, either—the Big Sky hopefuls handed the home team a 21-point drubbing at Arena-Auditorium. The defense has been fair to middling, but the offense has been dreadful thus far. The Cowboys are shooting under 50% on two-pointers and just over 30% on threes.

#11 — SAN JOSÉ STATE SPARTANS

Last Week: #11

There’s a bit of a running joke around here about which Spartan is most likely to transfer next year, since the sputtering Spartans have seen five double-digit scorers depart in the past three offseasons—including Brandon Clarke, who parlayed his post-SJSU star turn at Gonzaga into a budding NBA career. All jokes aside, Seneca Knight has separated himself as the Spartans’ top option, scoring 12.5 points per game. Hopefully the sophomore can remain an important building block for Jean Prioleau.

That’s it for this week. Check back next week to see who’s rising and falling in the Mountain West and be sure to visit the Dieckhoff Power Index daily for updated rankings on all 353 teams in Division I basketball.

Andrew is a current USBWA member, covering college basketball for multiple outlets, including Mountain West Wire of the USA TODAY Sports Media Group and Busting Brackets of the FanSided Network. He also runs the Dieckhoff Power Index, a college basketball analytics system, and provides bracketology predictions throughout the season.

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