Analyzing the 2020 Super Bowl prop bets, and looking at the betting odds and lines around the total touchdowns scored.
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The 2020 Super Bowl is here, as the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs are putting the final touches on their game plans for Super Bowl LIV. It’s expected to be a competitive and close game with the Chiefs entering as 1.5-point favorites.
It should also be a fairly high-scoring game, pitting two of the top-five offenses in the NFL against each other. At the very least, it should be much higher scoring than Super Bowl LIII between the Los Angeles Rams and New England Patriots, which closed at 13-3 despite having an Over/Under of more than 57 points at most sportsbooks.
The Over/Under for Sunday’s game is set at 54.5 points, which implies an expected score of about 28-26. With Patrick Mahomes on one side and the league’s second-best rushing attack on the other, there should be touchdowns scored in bunches.
2020 Super Bowl Prop Bets: Total TDs Scored
But how many touchdowns will actually be scored? Let’s look at the odds and betting lines.
Over 5.5: -154 Under 5.5: +125
Over 6.5: +110 Under 6.5: -134
Over 7.5: +240 Under 7.5: -304
In the divisional round against the Texans, the Chiefs scored seven touchdowns themselves; Houston scored three. In the AFC Championship Game against Tennessee, they scored five touchdowns and there were eight total scored in the game.
Special NJ/WV betting line for the big game
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The 49ers offense hasn’t been quite as explosive this postseason, but they’ve still scored plenty of points. In the divisional round against the Vikings, they scored three touchdowns and Minnesota only scored one. The next week, they scored four touchdowns and the Packers found the end zone three times.
In the regular season, the 49ers averaged 3.5 touchdowns per game and their opponents averaged 2.3. The Chiefs scored 3.2 touchdowns per game and their opponents 2.3 per game. So, if together they averaged 6.7 touchdowns per game this season, betting the Over of 6.5 would seem like the best choice.
And looking at the different lines, that feels like the best combination of value and probability. You could play it safer by going over 5.5, but then you lose the value that comes with plus-money.
You figure Mahomes is going to score at least three touchdowns, and Damien Williams could chip in another for the Chiefs. On the 49ers’ side, their defense could score a touchdown itself, having done so five times in the regular season. Their ground game may not be as dynamic as the Chiefs’ passing attack, but Raheem Mostert is a big-play back, as is George Kittle at tight end.
I’d bet Over 6.5(+110) and feel good about getting plus-money.
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Analyzing 2020 Super Bowl prop betting odds and lines for the first half point total between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs.
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The public has been leaning to the Over for Sunday’s Super Bowl LIV at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla. The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs are expected to light up the scoreboard, with a projected points total for the game set at 54.5 at BetMGM. As far as the first-half total is concerned, that’s currently sitting at 26.5, so jump on it if you’re expecting a high-scoring affair, too. It’s very favorable at less than half of the full-game projection.
During the regular season, the 49ers registered 15.7 points per game in the first half, while yielding 8.4 points. They have logged 18.0 points across the past three games before halftime, while allowing just 3.3 points defensively.
For the Chiefs, they allowed just 10.4 first-half points during the regular season, although they have coughed up 16.0 points in the previous three outings. Offensively, QB Patrick Mahomes and company rolled up 17.6 points per game in the first half during the regular season, topping the charts in the NFL. That includes an impressive 19.7 points per game in the past three outings.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet at -115 would return a profit of $8.70, while a $10 bet at +110 would generate a profit of $11.
Special sports betting line for the big game
Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.
New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.
How the 49ers and Chiefs have fared so far
Looking to the first half of the NFC Championship Game, the 49ers fired out to a 27-0 lead over the visiting Green Bay Packers. RB Raheem Mostert led the charge, rolling up three rushing touchdowns (36 yards, 9, 18), but you can expect the Chiefs defense to key on him and try and shut his production down like they did for the most part against Tennessee Titans RB Derrick Henry in the AFC Championship Game.
Prior to that game, the 49ers threw up 14 points in the first half while allowing 10 points to the Minnesota Vikings in the NFC Divisional Round. It’s fair to say the Chiefs have a higher-octane offense than either of those teams, particularly in the pass game, so it will be an interesting first 30 minutes.
For the Chiefs, it was all offense and not much defense in the first half of their two postseason games so far. Remember, they fell behind against the Houston Texans by a 24-0 margin before rattling off 41 unanswered points, including 28 to close out the first half for a gaudy total of 52 points in the first 30 minutes. In the AFC Championship Game the first-half total also cashed, as the Chiefs again fell behind 17-7 before posting the final 14 points to take a 21-17 lead into the break.
If you’re playing the first-half total, the OVER 26.5 (-115) is the most intriguing total on the board. It’s fair to say we’ll see at least three touchdowns, and PKs Robbie Gould and Harrison Butker are very dependable, while also kicking in fair weather in South Florida.
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Analyzing the 2020 Super Bowl prop bets, and looking at the betting odds and lines around Kansas City Chiefs RB Damien Williams.
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Super Bowl LIV features two very evenly matched teams with the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs squaring off Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. The oddsmakers at BetMGM predict it to be a close battle with the Chiefs entering as 1.5-point favorites.
The 49ers boast a dominant ground game and defense, while the Chiefs have 2018 NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes and an offense that can light up a scoreboard in a hurry. One player who doesn’t get talked about much for Kansas City is RB Damien Williams.
That’s probably because he only started six games and rushed for 498 yards this season, not playing a significant role until the second half of the year. Entering Super Bowl LIV, he’s the Chiefs’ starter at running back.
Just how productive will he be against the 49ers defense, though? And should you bet on his rushing yards total for the game?
Damien Williams Super Bowl LIV rushing yards: 100.5
On the surface, it seems obvious to take the Under on that total. Williams has rushed for at least 100 yards only three times in his career and twice this season. In the playoffs, he has gained 92 yards on 29 carries.
When you look at the betting line, it’s not such an easy bet. The Over is +600, while the Under is -1000. In other words, a $10 bet on the Over will pay out $60, and a $10 wager on the Under will net you a whopping $1.
Risking $10 to win a buck doesn’t seem like smart business, especially with Williams’ speed. He had a 91-yard run this season, which was the longest in the NFL. he’s a big play waiting to happen, and although the 49ers allowed only two running backs to gain at least 100 yards against them this season, Williams is a firecracker.
Special sports betting line for the big game
Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.
New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.
It’ll be difficult for him to get enough opportunities to top the 100-yard mark. He has never received 20 carries in a single game in his career and only twice has he carried it more than 13 times. The Chiefs are clearly going to lean on their MVP quarterback, thus limiting the chances for Williams.
If the Chiefs want to attempt to negate the 49ers’ pass rush, utilizing draws and wide zone runs could help.
It’s not worth betting $10 to win $1. It’s certainly not worth laying down $100 to win $10 on the Under. You’re better off putting a wager on the OVER 100.5 (+600) and hoping Williams can find a crease and create a big play on the ground. He’s not going to get 20 carries, and in the two games in which he topped 100 rushing yards this season, he had a carry of 91 yards and 84 yards.
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How many points will be scored in the first quarter of the 2020 Super Bowl? Analyzing the 49ers-Chiefs betting odds and lines, with picks.
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Super Bowl LIV is expected to be a pretty high-scoring affair, as the San Francisco 49ers meet up with the Kansas City Chiefs Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. The projected points total for the game currently sits at 54.5 at BetMGM. The Chiefs are projected to score 28 points, while the implied total for the 49ers is 26.5 points.
But what about the first quarter of the game? It is typically the lower-scoring quarter, and the total for the first 15 minutes will typically fall below one-fourth of the game total. Let’s take a look at the betting options, and dig into some numbers to see which side would be best to take for the first quarter points total of Super Bowl LIV.
As you can see, the two teams are expected to combine for about 10 points in the first 15 minutes of action. Note that the payouts for the Over/Under 10.5 total are the same as the 11.5 total. While it’s highly unlikely the first quarter ends with exactly 11 points scored, we might as well take the extra point we’re being given. Therefore, use 10.5 if taking the Over, and 11.5 if betting the Under.
Let’s take a look at what the two teams have done so far this season during the first quarter.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet at -167 would return a profit of $5.99, while a $10 bet at +135 would generate a profit of $13.50.
Special sports betting line for the big game
Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.
New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.
How the 49ers and Chiefs have fared so far
There have been plenty of points scored early on in both Chief playoff games, as they have trailed 10-7 and 21-0 at the end of quarter number one in their two AFC playoff games. However, more than 10 points were scored in just five of their 16 regular-season games, and they didn’t clear the mark in any of their final seven games.
During that stretch, the Chiefs averaged 5.1 points during the first quarter, while they held their opponents to just 10 points total (1.4 per game). In those seven games, seven points or less were scored in the first quarter five times, though it happened just one other time over the course of Kansas City’s season.
As for the 49ers, there have been more than 10 points scored in the first quarter in 8 of their 18 games (including playoffs), but just three times in their last 10 games. The strong San Francisco defense has held its opponents scoreless through 15 minutes an impressive eight times, including in the NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers.
Using 7.5 points as the cutoff, the 49ers have landed Under that number just five times on the season. They have surrendered a total of just 73 points in the first quarter (4.1 per game).
The Chiefs and 49ers have each played to 10 points or less in the first quarter in the majority of their games this season. For both teams, it has been a more common occurrence during the second half of the year. Therefore, UNDER 11.5 (-125) looks like a solid play here.
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Should you make a moneyline bet on the San Francisco 49ers or Kansas City Chiefs to hold a lead after the first quarter of Super Bowl LIV?
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Two of the NFL’s best offenses will square off Sunday in Super Bowl LIV at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. The San Francisco 49ers ranked second in points scored this season, while the Kansas City Chiefs were fifth. Below, we’ll look at which team can get off to the better start in Super Bowl LIV with our best bet for the first-quarter moneyline.
We all know how good these offenses are, but which team will come out of the gates hotter? According to BetMGM, the first quarter moneyline is -110 for both teams. In other words, the oddsmakers don’t favor either the Chiefs or 49ers to hold the lead after the first 15 minutes.
If you’re going to bet on the first quarter moneyline, though, which team should you take?
Special sports betting line for the big game
Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.
New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.
The Chiefs enter Super Bowl LIV as 1.5-point favorites against the spread, but as we saw in their first two playoff games, they’ve had to come from behind to earn their victories. Against the Houston Texans, they were down 24-0 early in the second quarter before mounting a huge comeback to win 51-31. The Tennessee Titans held a 10-point lead the following week, but Kansas City erased that deficit, too.
The 49ers, on the other hand, haven’t trailed once in these playoffs and were only tied once (after the opening score). They were tied 7-7 after one quarter against the Minnesota Vikings in the Divisional Round, and they led 7-0 after 15 minutes against the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship.
Our best bet: 49ers (-110)
(Photo Credit: Kirby Lee – USA TODAY Sports)
So, based on recent history, the 49ers would look like the wiser bet for the first quarter moneyline. They’ve been more in control than the Chiefs this postseason and there were only four games this season in which they trailed after the first quarter. The Chiefs trailed after the first quarter seven times.
Only three teams were better than the 49ers in the first quarter this season. Their scoring margin in the first 15 minutes was plus-40, scoring 106 points to their opponents’ 66. The Baltimore Ravens, New England Patriots and Green Bay Packers were the only teams better in that department.
The Chiefs, on the other hand, were 12th in first-quarter scoring margin (plus-10). They scored 90 first-quarter points but allowed 80 to their opponents, which was 11th-worst in the NFL.
So if you’re going to wager on the first quarter money line, the 49ers look like a solid bet. They may not put up a ton of points with their ground-and-pound attack, but it’ll take the Chiefs some time to get in a rhythm offensively.
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Analyzing Super Bowl LIV prop bet odds, and looking at how many passing yards 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo will compile against the Chiefs.
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The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers meet in Super Bowl LIV Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. Here at SportsbookWire, we have you covered for all your prop betting needs for the big game.
Forget the one-player, one-Over/Under stat total prop bets. Check out the board at BetMGM, and we find four different Super Bowl LIV passing yards totals and their respective odds for 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo.
Of course, Jimmy G’s passing stats – or rather, the lack of them – have been a hot topic this postseason as he’s completed 17-of-27 passes for 208 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Those are two-game totals, mind you, as the Niners have employed a whopping 89-30 run-to-pass-play ratio, throwing the game back to the ground-and-pound 1970s.
With San Francisco ripping off 5.3 yards per rushing attempt and the opposing offenses of the Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers mustering only 17 total points through the first three quarters, Garoppolo really hasn’t needed to throw in the postseason, so he hasn’t – plain and simple.
Special sports betting line for the big game
Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.
New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.
The key question for us in deciding how to wager on this passing-yards prop is figuring out what’s likely to happen when the 49ers defense faces more of an offensive challenge than what it has received thus far in the postseason from Kirk Cousins and a less-than-vintage Aaron Rodgers.
Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs ranked fifth in the league with an average of 28.2 points per game during the regular season. The Chiefs have gone on to score 86 more points in two AFC playoff wins. With the Chiefs favored by 1.5 points and the game’s point total sitting at 54.5 as of Tuesday, Kansas City’s implied point total Sunday is 28.
(Photo Credit: Kelley L Cox – USA TODAY Sports)
When the opposition has scored even 21 or more points this season (seven games), Garoppolo has averaged 35.1 passing attempts, 24 completions and 295.9 passing yards per outing. He has thrown for at least 248 yards in six of those seven contests (five wins and two losses), including all three of his 300-plus-yard games, and no fewer than 200 in any of them.
Flipping things around, the Niners’ implied point total Sunday is 26.5, and in the 10 games this season, including the two playoff contests, in which KC has surrendered at least 21 points, the Chiefs have allowed an average of 274.4 passing yards. Note this is the average from the opposing quarterbacks and not the team passing yards, which deducts the yardage lost on sacks.
So that brings us to …
Our best bet: Jimmy Garoppolo Over 238.5 passing yards (-112)
The Niners figure to have a decent amount of success running against a KC defense, which ranked seventh-worst against the run (128.2 yards allowed) during the regular season, but has tightened up during the playoffs in allowing an average of 89.5 yards per contest.
Meanwhile, Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes and Co. are going to put up points, and Garoppolo is going to have to air it out in an attempt to keep pace. Throwing for at least 239 yards would appear to be a strong bet – my quick and dirty projection has Jimmy G finishing with 285 or so – and if you’re feeling frisky, go for the middle by also banging the Under 300.5 yards, although you’ll have to lay a hefty -435 to do so.
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Analyzing Super Bowl LIV prop bets between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs. What will be the first score of the game?
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The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers meet in Super Bowl LIV Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. Below, we look at what the first scoring play will be, based on the sports betting odds and lines at BetMGM for Super Bowl LIV.
Here at SportsbookWire, we have you covered for all your prop betting needs for the big game.
With both teams averaging at least 29.8 points per game, including 6.7 (49ers) and 5.4 (Chiefs) points in the first quarter, predicting the likeliest first score might simply come down to whichever potent offense gets the ball first Sunday in South Beach.
So, on that premise, let us begin by examining each team’s opening offensive possession stats in the 18 contests each has played on the road to Miami (including the postseason):
The 49ers have scored points on 11 of 18 opening possessions, tallying seven touchdowns and four field goals. One other first drive ended in a turnover: A Jimmy Garoppolo interception in Week 3 against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
The Chiefs have scored on half of their 18 opening offensive drives, notching seven TDs and a pair of field goals. All were in games started by wunderkind QB Patrick Mahomes. Another one of Kansas City’s opening drives ended in a missed 36-yard field-goal attempt and another concluded with a Mahomes interception in Week 14 at the New England Patriots.
Special sports betting line for the big game
Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.
New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.
Defensively, including the playoffs, San Francisco is giving up an average of 18.8 points per contest, including an average of 4.1 in the first quarter. Kansas City is allowing 20.2 points, with 6.2 coming in the opening quarter.
Breaking it down even further, here’s how each of the Big Game combatants fared on their opening defensive possessions through 18 games:
The 49ers have permitted points on only six of their opponents’ first drives (four TDs and two field goals). Two other opposing team opening possessions ended in a fumble and a missed field goal.
The Chiefs, meanwhile, have surrendered 10 scores (six TDs and four field goals) on opening drives, including one of each in the playoffs. Three other first drives by foes ended in turnovers, with the KC defense recovering two fumbles and picking off a pass.
Our best bet: 49ers TD (+200)
Despite the 49ers’ superior numbers across the board, as just detailed, and Kansas City’s sluggish starts during the postseason, which have resulted in double-digit second-quarter deficits in each game, the Chiefs are slight favorites to put up the first score Sunday.
Wagers on a 49ers TD or field goal as the first score of Super Bowl LIV will return more than their Kansas City counterparts and, again referencing the probabilities based on this season’s early in-game performances, we’ll go with head coach Kyle Shanahan scripting up an early TD drive for the 49ers as the likeliest first score of Super Bowl LIV.
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Analyzing the sports betting odds and chance of the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs to record the first score of Super Bowl LIV.
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The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers meet in Super Bowl LIV Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. Below, we look at which team is most likely to score first, based on the sports betting odds and lines at BetMGM for Super Bowl LIV.
Here at SportsbookWire, we have you covered for all your prop betting needs for the big game.
Which team will record the first score of Super Bowl LIV? (Including overtime, conversions do not count)
With both the 49ers (-106) and Chiefs (-115) averaging at least 28 points per contest to rank among the league’s top-five scoring offenses during the regular season, and the game’s Over/Under total being set at 54.5, we’d best start right from the beginning.
Both the 49ers and Chiefs rank among the league’s best in terms of first-quarter scoring, with San Francisco averaging 6.7 points (third overall, including the postseason) and Kansas City averaging 5.4 first-quarter points per game (10th).
Special sports betting line for the big game
Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.
New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.
Getting even more specific, the 49ers and Chiefs also ranked among the league’s best in terms of first-drive scores during the regular season. The Niners scoring on 10 of their 16 opening possessions (six touchdowns and four field goals). The Chiefs scored on nine of 16 opening drives (seven TDs and two field goals). The 49ers scored a first-quarter TD in each of their two NFC playoff games, with one coming on the opening possession. The Chiefs have scored a total of seven first-quarter points in their two playoff contests with no opening-possession points.
Defensively, both Big Game combatants owned top-10 scoring defenses during the regular season. The Chiefs allowed 19.3 points per game to rank a shade higher than the Niners (19.4). During the playoffs, Kansas City is allowing an average of 25.5 points while the boys from the Bay Area have limited foes to 15 points per outing.
(Photo Credit: Cary Edmondson – USA TODAY Sports)
In the first quarter this season (including the playoffs), the Niners are allowing 4.1 points per contest (11th-fewest in the league) while the Chiefs are surrendering 6.2 (28th). In its two playoff contests, the Chiefs have been outscored 31-7 in the first quarter while San Francisco owns a 14-7 advantage.
On opening defensive possessions, the Chiefs have surrendered scores in 10 of 18 games, allowing six TDs and four field goals. The Niners, meanwhile, have given up points on only six of 18 opening possessions (four TDs and two FGs) for the opposing offense.
Our best bet:49ers (-106)
Going by the just-digested numbers, we have to give the edge to the Niners, who not only have been more productive offensively early in games – a nod to some strong opening scripts by head coach Kyle Shanahan, arguably the game’s best play-caller – but they have been stingier defensively as well, particularly in the postseason. The Chiefs have dug themselves early-double-digit deficits in each of their two contests.
Strangely, though, Kansas City is the slight favorite here, with bettors having to pay a little more juice when siding with the formidable offensive duo of QB Patrick Mahomes and head coach Andy Reid.
Everything considered, however, it’s not wise to wager too much either way on this prop as the winning side may simply be determined by the coin toss and which team takes possession first.
Still, if you must have action here, play the percentages and give the nod to the Niners striking first on the scoreboard in South Beach.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
Looking at the multitude of ways to bet Super Bowl LIV, and how to get NFL action on the San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs matchup.
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Legal sportsbooks across the USA have rolled out the red carpet this week for those looking to get their NFL betting action on the Super Bowl LIV matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs. Our friends at BetMGM have a wide array of sports betting options for the big game, ranging from the outright winner to the result of the opening coin toss and everything in between and beyond.
Viewers and bettors don’t even need to be fans of either of this year’s participants to get a piece of the pie. Whether you’re looking to dip your toes in the water or dive headfirst into the sports betting pool, we at SportsbookWire have you covered. Here’s everything you need to know about betting Super Bowl LIV:
Super Bowl LIV betting: Outrights
As with any other game, the three main bet types are the Moneyline, Against the spread and the Over/Under. Here, we’re looking for the game winner, the winner against the points handicap and the total points scored in the game. The same betting logic applies as to any standard game, and you should be sticking by the same research methods which got you here.
Don’t get bogged down in the added volume of analysis and predictions around the Super Bowl. Everyone has a prediction. Look for values and if the line seems too close to call, step away and simply avoid the bet.
Be sure to investigate alternate lines, as well. The Super Bowl, like most games, brings with it a broad array of secondary options, such as lines for each half or quarter. Like the underdog to win the game outright? Bet them on more profitable lines to win by 1-6 points or exactly 3 points. These secondary lines can often be overlooked by the sportsbooks and are great sources of value as the betting public generally looks only at the principle lines and odds.
Special sports betting line for the big game
Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.
New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.
Super Bowl LIV betting: Prop bets
Photo Credit: Kelley L Cox – USA TODAY Sports
Player props
There’s no better way to stay involved in every single play of the Super Bowl than with player props. Options exist for the first touchdown of the game, last touchdown, total touchdowns and yardage totals for most offensive players involved. Defensive players aren’t left out, either. Get action on the number of sacks recorded by key defenders, or “will they or won’t they” record an interception.
As usual, quarterbacks are the stars of the show. Patrick Mahomes and Jimmy Garoppolo will be front and center in head-to-head competitions for statistical production, or on individual props estimating their yardage, touchdown and interception totals.
The main attraction, of course, is for Super Bowl MVP. Most players involved in the game are listed with corresponding odds from Mahomes’ +110 as the odds-on favorite to longshot Chiefs P Dustin Colquitt at +50000. Be sure to research the trends and play the odds. A QB has been named the MVP of 29 of the 53 Super Bowls to date.
If you don’t like the risk of the player props, despite more profitable odds, team props can be the better route to take. These look at the precise winning margin, which team will score first, last or most often, as well as total touchdowns or field goals for either side.
Bets can be broken down by team or combine the two sides. Look at the season-long trends for both teams to get an idea of how many times they run, pass or punt per game. How many sacks did they record and how many points did they give up on average?
Keep in mind, the Super Bowl features the best teams from the AFC and NFC. Make sure to discount outlier stats racked up against an inferior, bottom-feeding opponent early in the season.
Game props
Here, bettors can get action right from the get-go by betting on the result of the coin toss. From there, bet between the first play of the game being a run or pass, the first scoring play being a field goal, touchdown or safety.
Game props can also look at total penalties in the game or which penalty will be called first, or most often. Keep checking BetMGM throughout the week, as more and more betting options are being posted as we near Sunday’s 6:30 p.m. ET kickoff at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami.
With all these bets, it’s important to remember the odds at the sportsbook are reflective of which side is getting the most betting action. The Super Bowl typically draws in bets in hopes of high-scoring exciting games. Always be on the lookout for the best values. The most likely result isn’t always the most exciting. Know when to be contrarian and bet against the public.
Super Bowl LIV betting: Bankroll management
Photo Credit: Steve Mitchell – USA TODAY Sports
Despite all the build-up and hype around the event, it’s important to remember for betting purposes the Super Bowl is just another game. Sure, it marks the end of the NFL season, but sports bettors still have plenty of options throughout the year and the MLB season is just around the corner.
While there are more betting options available than any other game thus far this season, the size of your wagers shouldn’t be any different than they’ve been up to this point. Whatever your standard betting unit may be (i.e. $1, $5, $10 or $100) you should still be sticking to the same number of units for any wager as you did in Weeks 1 through 17.
Also, know your budget going into this. Carefully peruse the available betting options, take notes of bets which may be of interest, and whittle down your final choices rather than placing bets on the fly. It can be easy to get sidetracked while “window shopping.” Look for the best values and be selective.
Want action on the big game? Sign up and bet atBetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.
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