Pittsburgh Pirates at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (20-32) and Kansas City Royals (25-26) play the first game of a two-game series at Kauffman Stadium Monday with an 8:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Chad Kuhl is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 0-1 with a 6.32 ERA, 1.79 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 and 9.2 BB/9 over 15 2/3 IP through 4 starts.

Kuhl makes his first start since mid-April. He had been on the 10-day injured list due to right shoulder discomfort since April 22. In his first start before the injury, he had season highs with five innings pitched and six strikeouts in a no-decision against the Milwaukee Brewers April 18.

LHP Mike Minor is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. He is 3-2 with a 4.83 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 over 54 IP through 10 starts.

Minor was solid last time out, allowing just one earned run, two hits and four walks with a season-high tying nine strikeouts over five innings in a no-decision at the Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Pirates at Royals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Royals -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-135) | Royals -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (Over -115 | Under -105)

Prediction

Royals 6, Pirates 3

Money line (ML)

The ROYALS (-175) are the play, although at this price, they’re only worth a small-unit play. Minor has averaged six innings across the past three outings, so Kansas City certainly has the better pitcher on the bump. Kuhl is returning from a six-week injury, so he’ll likely be on a pitch count and he could struggle.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The ROYALS -1.5 (+110) are a decent option at plus-money. Over their past 10 wins, Kansas City has won eight by two or more runs. So, if you like the Royals to win, take a chance on them with the run line, too.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 8.5 (-115) is the slight lean here based on the Kuhl potential rust factor, even though the winds will be blowing in slightly from right field.

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Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (26-22) go for a three-game sweep of the Pittsburgh Pirates (18-30) Thursday at PNC Park. First pitch is set for 12:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

2021 series: Cubs lead 7-4

Chicago took the first two games of this series, winning 4-3 Tuesday and 4-1 Wednesday. The Pirates haven’t won a season series against the Cubs since 2014.

RHP Kyle Hendricks is projected to start the series finale for Chicago. The eight-year veteran is 4-4 with a 4.74 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 in 9 starts this season.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 12-3 victory at St. Louis Cardinals Friday
  • Career vs. Pirates: 6-10, 3.36 ERA (115 1/3 IP, 43 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 in 21 starts
  • 2021 vs. Pirates: 0-2, 7.88 ERA (8 IP, 7 ER), 13 H, 4 BB, 7 K in 2 starts

LHP Tyler Anderson is Pittsburgh’s projected starter. The six-year vet is 3-4 with a 4.73 ERA (51 1/3 IP, 27 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 in 9 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 9 ER, 10 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 20-1 drubbing at Atlanta Braves Friday
  • Career vs. Cubs: 3-2, 3.99 ERA (38 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 6 starts
  • 2021 vs. Cubs: 1-2, 3.93 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 19 H, 3 BB, 18 K in 3 starts

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Cubs at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cubs -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Pirates +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cubs -1.5 (+110) | Pirates +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Cubs 4, Pirates 2

Money line (ML)

CHICAGO (-150) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. Hendricks is having a solid May, posting a 3-1 record with a 2.36 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 7 ER) in 4 starts.

The Pirates have the worst home record (8-13) in the NL and are a woeful 6-17 overall this month.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. The lean would be with the Pirates +1.5 (-135) as four of their seven losses to the Cubs this season were one-run defeats, but I’m not laying the juice. Hendricks is on his game and the Bucs are spiraling.

ATS records: Cubs 27-21 | Pirates 21-27

Over/Under (O/U)

Back the UNDER 7.5 (-105) to win 0.3 UNITS. The Cubs are an Under team.

The Under is 6-1-1 in their last eight games, 10-3-1 in their last 14 and 12-4-1 in their last 17. The hesitation with a larger wager is that the Under is 2-7 in Hendrick’s starts, including 1-5 in his last 6.

The Pirates are also an Under team (see O/U record below), but are 10-10-1 O/U at home.

In addition, umpire Ryan Additon is scheduled to be calling balls and strikes Thursday. The Under is 4-1 in his last 5 games behind the plate.

O/U records: Cubs 19-26-3 | Pirates 20-25-3

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JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 51-47-2 15-17-1 -2.32
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 154-133-3 64-59-1 +9.58
*SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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[lawrence-newsletter]

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Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (25-22) and Pittsburgh Pirates (18-29) play the second game of a three-game set Wednesday at PNC Park with a 6:35 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Trevor Williams is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs. He is 2-2 with a 5.97 ERA, 1.78 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 and 4.8 BB/9 over 37 2/3 IP through 9 starts.

Williams allowed 2 solo home runs, 5 hits and 2 walks with 5 strikeouts across 4 2/3 innings; he took a no-decision in the Cubs’ 5-2 win over the Washington Nationals his last time out. This season he is 0-1 with an 8.59 ERA across two starts against the Pirates – his former organization.

RHP Wil Crowe is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 0-2 with a 4.91 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 and 4.6 BB/9 over 25 2/3 IP through 5 starts and 1 relief appearance.

Crowe coughed up 4 earned runs, 7 hits and 3 walks with a season-high 7 strikeouts across 5 innings earning no-decision at Atlanta last Thursday. His only quality start of the season came May 8 at Wrigley Field against the Cubs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Cubs at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cubs -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Pirates +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cubs -1.5 (+125) | Pirates +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (Over -115 | Under -105)

Prediction

Cubs 6, Pirates 5

Money line (ML)

The CUBS (-135) are a nice play straight up behind Williams, the former Pirates pitcher. He has been roughed up in two outings against his old employer, but Crowe hasn’t exactly been on point, either. This has the makings of a wild one.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The PIRATES +1.5 (-150) aren’t terribly expensive in this middle game of the set. The Bucs came up short by a 4-3 score against the Cubbies in the opener, covering the run line. This could be another close battle with a couple of mediocre hurlers toeing the slab.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 8.5 (-115) is the lean here. The Under surprisingly connected in the series opener, but this battle between Williams and Crowe should see plenty of crooked numbers on the board.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (24-22) and Pittsburgh Pirates (18-28) play the first game of a three-game set Tuesday at PNC Park with a 6:35 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Jake Arrieta is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs. He is 4-4 with a 4.46 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 6.6 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 over 42 1/3 IP through 8 starts.

Arrieta has lost three of his past four outings, including giving up 4 runs, 7 hits and 2 walks over 5 innings in a loss at home against the Washington Nationals his last time out. He has two wins and quality starts against the Pirates this season from April 3-8.

RHP Cody Ponce is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He was 1-1 with a 3.18 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 over 17 IP through 3 starts and 2 relief appearances in 2020.

Ponce has posted a 5.40 ERA across 11 2/3 innings across 2 starts and 1 relief appearance with Triple-A Indianapolis this season, walking 4 and striking out 11.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Cubs at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cubs -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Pirates +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cubs -1.5 (+110) | Pirates +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (Over -120 | Under +100)

Prediction

Cubs 9, Pirates 2

Money line (ML)

The Cubs (-150) are a little on the expensive side, especially on the road with a starting pitcher who has been rather erratic. Even so, I expect the Cubs to win but they’re a more attractive play on the run line.

PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The CUBS -1.5 (+110) took two of three on the road against the rival Cardinals, serving as a springboard into this series against the lowly Pirates +1.5 (-135).

If you like Chicago to win, and you should, they’re a much better play on the run line. Six of its past seven victories have been by two or more runs, so there’s a much better value at this price.

Surprisingly, the Cubs are just 5-4 against the Pirates this season, but the Bucs are playing their worst baseball of the season. They have lost six of the past seven, including a three-game sweep in Atlanta which saw them get outscored 33-3.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 8.5 (-120) is the play, mainly because of the struggles of the Pirates pitching staff lately. In fact, Chicago could take care of the Over without any help from the sticks of the Bucs.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (18-27) and Atlanta Braves (22-24) cap off a four-game set Sunday at 1:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP JT Brubaker is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 3-3 with a 3.27 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 9.0 K/9, and 2.5 BB/9 in 44 IP over 8.

Brubaker was roughed up in his last (May 18 at St. Louis: 5 runs in 5 2/3 IP), but he went into that start with a fine 2.58 ERA. Control has been a bit of an issue of late. Brubaker has walked 7 batters in his last 16 2/3 IP.

LHP Max Fried is the projected starter for the Braves. He is 1-2 with a 5.46 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 10.3 K/9, and 3.5 BB/9 in 28 IP over 6 starts.

Fried exited the last game due to cramping in his left hand, but he is expected IL stint in April; he has since logged a 1.59 ERA in 17 IP.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Pirates at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Pirates +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (+100) |  Pirates +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Braves 5, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

Highlighted by a 20-1 victory on Friday, the Braves have taken the first two games of this series. The Pirates lost Friday and Saturday and are 1-5 in their last six games and 6-16 in their last 22.

A price of 170-plus would make for more confidence in the play, but PITTSBURGH +165 is the lean here. Underlying batted-ball analytics indicate that Brubaker has been good enough to warrant a go, and there is enough gray area in Fried’s fitness and enough bullpen leverage on the Pirates side to warrant a play on the underdog.

The Pirates are 4-2 over their last six road-park get-away days.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The PIRATES +1.5 (-120) should be a slight lean for bettors who want a bit of “Pittsburgh-is-a-bad-team” insurance.

Over/Under (O/U)

Looking at Statcast numbers and some batting-average-on-balls-in-play figures in key situations, both sides are undercooked a bit with their offensive numbers.

The weather forecast calls for temps in the high-80s and an outward breeze (which figures to impact Fried’s fly-ball stuff more than Brubaker’s ground-ball stuff).

BACK THE OVER 8 (-110).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (18-26) and Atlanta Braves (21-24) play the second of a four-game set Saturday at Truist Park with a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Mitch Keller is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 2-5 with a 7.16 ERA, 1.81 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 5.5 BB/9 over 32 2/3 IP through 8 starts.

Keller actually hasn’t been horrible this season, and he keeps the ball in the park. He has served up just four home runs across his 32 2/3 innings.

However, he also has issued 13 walks with just 19 strikeouts, including at least two free passes in each of his past four outings.

RHP Bryse Wilson is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 1-2 with a 5.50 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, 5.5 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 over 18 IP through 4 starts.

Wilson will be recalled from Triple-A Gwinnett to face the Bucs. He allowed two earned runs, six hits and no walks with five strikeouts across six innings in a no-decision against the Toronto Blue Jays May 11, his last appearance in the majors.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Pirates at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:01 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-115) | Braves -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 9 (Over -120 | Under +100)

Prediction

Braves 7, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

The Braves (-200) certainly found their hitting shoes on Friday, rolling up 20 runs, including two grand slams and seven total homers, rebounding with authority after a series-opening loss Thursday.

But Atlanta has just been too erratic this season to lay two times your potential return. AVOID, and look to the run line instead.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The BRAVES -1.5 (-105) are much more affordable on the run line at near even money. Hopefully, they didn’t blow all of their runs in Friday’s 20-run outburst.

Atlanta should get plenty of base runners against the walk-happy Keller, but Wilson coming up from the farm is a concern.

He was good last time out and is working for a more permanent role with Huascar Ynoa (hand) on the injured list, so perhaps Wilson shows out.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9 (-120) flexed a little muscle on Friday night, dropping a 20-burger on the Bucs.

Pittsburgh’s offense should be much better against Wilson, who has allowed north of five runs in his four showings in the majors to date.

And the Braves will certainly be able to touch up Keller, so double digits in total runs should easily be within reach.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (17-25) will visit the Atlanta Braves (20-23) to kick off a four-game series Thursday. First pitch from Truist Park will be at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates at Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Wil Crowe is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 0-2 with a 4.35 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 4.4 BB/9 in 20 2/3 IP over 4 starts and 1 relief appearance.

The Pirates have lost three straight games started by Crowe, though he’s pitched at least five innings and allowed three or fewer runs in each of those appearances.

In his last time out against the Giants, Crowe struck out five batters across five innings and allowed three runs on six hits.

LHP Drew Smyly is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 2-2 with a 5.23 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 in 31 IP over 6 starts.

In his last two starts, Smyly has pitched 12 innings and allowed just one earned run with eight strikeouts and eight hits. The Braves won both games over the Milwaukee Brewers and Washington Nationals.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Pirates at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Braves -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-130) | Braves -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Braves 6, Pirates 3

Money line (ML)

The Braves are slight favorites at -185 despite dropping six of their last 10 games, including three of their last four. Smyly seems to have found a groove, though and has helped the Braves win his last two starts.

I like the BRAVES (-180) to win at home tonight with the lefty on the hill against a Pirates team that has scored more than three runs only twice in their last seven games.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Pirates are 19-23 ATS this season and both teams are just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games. I like the BRAVES -1.5 (+105) to cover the spread at home. They’ll tag Crowe for 4-5 runs and keep a sputtering Pittsburgh offense in check.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total has gone Under in each of Crowe’s last four starts, but in six of the last seven meetings between these teams, it’s gone Over the projected line.

Neither pitcher has performed particularly well this season, which I think will help push the line OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (17-23) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (23-18) for a two-game series at Busch Stadium. Tuesday’s first pitch is slated for 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cardinals lead 3-0 – they swept a three-game series in Pittsburgh April 30-May 2.

The NL Central rivals both had Monday off after returning from the West Coast. The Bucs are coming off a four-game split at the San Francisco Giants, while the Cardinals were swept in three at the San Diego Padres.

RHP JT Brubaker is projected to start for the Pirates Tuesday. Brubaker, who made his MLB debut last July, is 3-2 with a 2.58 ERA (38 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 7 starts this season.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 7-2 home victory vs. Cincinnati Reds May 11
  • Career vs. Pirates: 0-1, 3.86 ERA (7 IP, 3 ER), 10 H, 0 BB, 11 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance

RHP John Gant is the Cardinals’ projected starter. The six-year veteran is 2-3 with a 1.83 ERA (34 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.63 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 and 7.1 BB/9 in 7 starts. He is tied for the MLB lead with 27 walks.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 R, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 4 K at Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday – the Cardinals lost 4-1
  • Career vs. Pirates: 4-2, 3.93 ERA (34 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 5 starts and 12 relief appearances

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Pirates at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Cardinals -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-175) | Cardinals -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Cardinals 5, Pirates 2

Money line (ML)

ST. LOUIS (-140) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Cardinals, who must be happy to return home after dropping three straight at the Padres, have had the Pirates’ number recently. They are 23-9 vs. the Pirates over the last three seasons: 3-0 this year, 6-4 in 2020 and 14-5 in 2019.

The Pirates rank last in runs scored per game (3.45), and they’ve hit the fewest home runs (26) among all 30 major-league teams.

These projected starters faced off April 30 in Pittsburgh with Gant coming out on top 7-3. Gant scattered 3 hits and 5 walks in allowing just 1 earned run with 2 strikeouts in 5 innings. Brubaker yielded 3 earned runs on 7 hits with 0 walks and 7 K’s over 5 innings in taking the loss.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

ST. LOUIS -1.5 (+145) is worth a HALF-UNIT wager. The Cardinals are the third-best team when it comes to covering the run line. They beat the Pirates by scores of 7-3, 12-5 and 3-0 in the three games at Pittsburgh earlier this season.

ATS records: Pirates 19-21 | Cardinals 25-16

Over/Under (O/U)

Back UNDER 7.5 (-105) to win a QUARTER UNIT. The Under is 1-6 in Gant’s 7 starts, while it’s 2-4 when Brubaker takes the hill.

The fear is the Cardinals are on a 3-0 Over run, and two of the three games in the earlier meeting in Pittsburgh cashed Over tickets.

O/U records: Pirates 17-21-2 | Cardinals 19-18-3

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 42-45-2 12-15-1 -7.695
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 145-130-3 61-56-1 +5.855
*SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (16-16) play the Pittsburgh Pirates (14-20) Tuesday at PNC Park in Game 2 of their three-game set. First pitch is at 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Pirates with MLB picks and predictions.

Cincinnati drilled Pittsburgh 14-1 Monday and has won all four meetings so far this season by a combined score of 44-9.

RHP Jeff Hoffman makes his seventh start for the Reds. He is 2-2 with a 4.39 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9.

  • Last outing: Loss in 2 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 4 K last Tuesday against the Chicago White Sox.
  • Career vs. Pirates: 0-2 with a 10.13 ERA (8 IP, 9 ER), 2.88 WHIP and 5.6 K/9 across 2 starts.
    • vs. Pirates on the current roster: 19 at-bats with a .474/.524/.737 slash line and 1 HR.

RHP JT Brubaker gets the start for the Pirates. He is 2-2 with a 2.78 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 across 6 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 5 IP with 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB and 7 K in Pittsburgh’s 4-2 loss at the San Diego Padres Wednesday.
  • Career vs. Reds: 0-1 with a 1.93 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 1.39 WHIP and 9.6 K/9 in 2 starts.
    • vs. Reds on the current roster: 34 at-bats with a .235/.333/.294 slash line.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Reds at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Pirates -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Reds +1.5 (-200) | Pirates -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Pirates 5, Reds 2

Money line (ML)

GIMME the PIRATES (-120) for 1 unit because bookmakers have the right team favored and the “sharp” money is with Pittsburgh while the public is rolling with a Cincinnati team expected to compete for the NL Central crown.

It’s considered a possibility this Pirates team could lose 100 games this season and doesn’t nearly have the talent or expectations of the Reds; however, the starting pitching matchup is lopsided with Hoffman being a fringe rotation guy and Brubaker looking like a legitimate top-end starter thus far.

Also, this is a “Pros vs. Joes” spot in the betting market. According to Pregame.com, more money has been wagered on Pittsburgh’s money line whereas more bets have been placed on Cincinnati.

Typically, the money column represents the “sharp” side and the bets placed column represents the “average Joe”. It’s generally wiser to follow the money rather than the crowd of people in sports betting.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the PIRATES -1.5 (+165) for a quarter unit because Pittsburgh’s run line payout is chunky enough to sprinkle on and Hoffman has terrible numbers against this Pirates team.

Also, since the beginning of last season, Pittsburgh has the second-best run line cover rate in divisional games.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 8 (-115) for a quarter unit because the Pirates are 1-4 O/U this season in Brubaker starts and we have another “Pros vs. Joes” scenario in the market with the presumed “sharp” money on the Under and the “public money” on the Over.

My hesitancy with backing the Under is Cincinnati’s terrible bullpen combined with Hoffman’s splits against Pittsburgh and the Reds scored 11 or more runs in each of their last three games against the Pirates.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (13-16) and San Diego Padres (17-14) play the finale of a three-game set Wednesday at Petco Park with an 8:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP JT Brubaker is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 2-2 with a 2.63 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 and 1.6 BB/9 over 27 1/3 IP through 5 starts.

Brubaker allowed 3 or fewer runs in each of his 5 outings. Statistically, he had his worst outing of the season last time out Friday, allowing season highs of 3 earned runs and 7 hits in just 5 innings for his shortest outing since April 5.

RHP Yu Darvish is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 3-1 with a 2.13 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 11.6 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 over 38 IP through 6 starts.

Darvish turned in a quality start in each of his past 5 outings, and he struck out a season-high 12 batters last time out in 6 1/3 innings against the San Francisco Giants. He also allowed just 1 run on 3 hits and 1 walk with 6 strikeouts over 7 innings in a victory in Pittsburgh April 12.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Pirates at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Padres -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-110) | Padres -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 6.5 (Over -115 | Under -105)

Prediction

Padres 4, Pirates 1

Money line (ML)

The Padres (-250) will cost you two and a half times your potential return, and that’s risky business considering they have had difficulty scoring runs lately.

PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The PADRES -1.5 (-110) are worth a small-unit play, as they have one of their best pitchers on the bump.

Darvish has allowed just 5 earned runs across his last 33 1/3 innings spanning 5 starts. It won’t take much offense for the Padres to cover the run line here, and that’s good since they have managed just 4 runs in their last three games.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 6.5 (-105) is the lean, although it’s a very, very low number.

San Diego isn’t producing much with the bats, and Darvish won’t yield much, either. The Padres should win this series finale in a low-scoring game.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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