Sports blog information from USA TODAY.
Here’s your NFL futures betting primer for all of the smartest wagers to make before Week 1.
Every year the NFL honors the elite players of the league with its annual awards. Thanks to the level of speculation as to who will win the major accolades, you can make futures bets on most of them.
Below we take a look at who we think will win the awards this season as well as a long-shot candidate who could bring you a lot of money if he has the kind of season in which he is capable.
Note: All betting odds come from BetMGM Sportsbook.
Garoppolo hit his ceiling in San Francisco, but he can raise another team’s floor.
Jimmy Garoppolo is the classic case of a quarterback who raises the floor of a team but not necessarily the ceiling. As the starter in San Francisco, he’s reached two conference championship games (and one Super Bowl) in three years, but hasn’t been quite good enough to help the team land a title.
Attempting to get over the hump, the 49ers are apparently ready to turn to 2021 first-rounder Trey Lance at QB, as they’ve reportedly given Garoppolo’s agents permission to seek a trade. However, just because the Niners are done with the 30-year-old doesn’t mean he can’t help another team.
Here’s a look at five teams whose playoff odds hold a little more value by adding Garoppolo.
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Quarterbacks have won MVP every year since 2012.
With 50 days until the NFL’s opening kickoff between the Bills and Rams on Sept. 8, I decided to look for some 50-1 betting odds for the 2022 season with sneaky value.
Browsing through the futures on Tipico Sportsbook, MVP immediately jumped out to me because of one player: Cooper Kupp. To be clear, my personal favorite bet for MVP is Joe Burrow at +1200, but Kupp and a couple other non-quarterbacks have interesting cases at +5000.
The MVP of Super Bowl LVI, Kupp finished last season third in regular-season voting behind Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady. He returns to a similar situation in Los Angeles, where the Rams didn’t suffer any dramatic losses to their offense (he was putting up goofy numbers even before Odell Beckham joined). Yet, his 50-1 odds are long relative to the other finalists.
That’s for good reason: a wide receiver has never won MVP. Kupp put together one of the greatest seasons in NFL history, completing the receptions-yards-touchdowns triple-crown, and it still wasn’t enough to win. Odds of him putting together a similar season are probably longer than his MVP odds.
However, if the 29-year-old were somehow able to repeat, he’d likely have a greater chance at claiming the award than in 2021. He’ll have greater chemistry with Matthew Stafford after a year together. Also, I don’t think people realized his true value until the playoffs, when the difference he made was on full display. With a Super Bowl MVP to his name, voters will likely be more open to giving him consideration this year, especially if the league’s quarterbacks don’t continue to put up record-breaking numbers.
Another non-quarterback with 50-1 odds is Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor. It’s been 10 years since the last running back won the award — Adrian Peterson in 2012 — however Taylor is set up to have a monster season this year.
A runner-up to Kupp for 2021 Offensive Player of the Year, Taylor led the league in rushing yards and touchdowns, averaging over 100 yards per game. And at 23 years old, his best might still be ahead of him. The Colts will go as he goes, and Matt Ryan replacing the erratic Carson Wentz at quarterback could potentially make Taylor’s job a little easier. Plus, there’s still room for him to improve as a pass catcher.
In the same division, Derrick Henry, the 2020 Offensive Player of the Year, also has 50-1 odds. An injury that sidelined Henry for nine games last season is a bit concerning, as his mileage is beginning to pile up. But you can’t argue with the results when he’s on the field.
Even with all the missed time, Henry finished the season top 10 in rushing yards and touchdowns. His 117 yards per game average led the league. If he stays healthy, he could potentially find himself in the convo for MVP. Especially after the Tennessee Titans traded A.J. Brown in the offseason, which boosts the value of everyone remaining.
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Which NFL teams will go from worst to first in their division in the 2021 season? Ken Pomponio looks at the odds and makes his picks.
There is a rather short list of what can be counted on in each new National Football League season.
The Detroit Lions and Dallas Cowboys playing on Thanksgiving and QB Tom Brady‘s team competing in the Super Bowl are on there, of course. So is a worst-to-first success story in at least one of the league’s eight divisions.
Scope out these worst-to-first facts from 2003 – the season after the NFL realigned into its current eight four-team division format – through 2020 (a total of 18 seasons):
The Washington Football Team met all the above parameters in 2020, modestly improving from 3-13 in 2019 to 7-9 in 2020 but still winning the woebegone NFC East by a game. It was the franchise’s third worst-to-first ascension in the last nine seasons.
So which of the eight last-place finishers from 2020 are most likely to author a turnaround tale this season? Below, we rank the eight teams (with their current division-title odds) in order of least to most likely to go from worst to first in 2021 with NFL picks, predictions and best bets.
Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 5 p.m. ET.
Assessing the Chicago Bears’ projected win total for the 2020 NFL season, with best bets for their Over/Under.
How many games will the Chicago Bears win in the 2020 NFL season? We look at BetMGM‘s projected win total and the Over/Under odds, while looking back at the 2019 season and key offseason roster changes.
Although the Bears went 8-8 last season, it was a hugely disappointing campaign for Matt Nagy’s squad. They finished 12-4 in 2018, won the NFC North and appeared poised to continue improving under QB Mitchell Trubisky. That clearly didn’t happen.
Trubisky is now in danger of losing his job and the offense as a whole was one of the worst in the NFL last year. Chicago had the worst ATS record in football last season at 4-12, failing to cover spreads almost every week.
In what was a surprising move, the Bears acquired QB Nick Foles in a trade with the Jaguars. Some of their other big moves included signing DE Robert Quinn, TE Jimmy Graham and CB Artie Burns.
They did lose LB Nick Kwiatkoski and S Ha Ha Clinton-Dix in free agency, though, and OLB Leonard Floyd was cut.
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Week 1: at Lions
Week 2: vs. Giants
Week 3: at Falcons
Week 4: vs. Colts
Week 5: vs. Buccaneers
Week 6: at Panthers
Week 7: at Rams
Week 8: vs. Saints
Week 9: at Titans
Week 10: vs. Vikings
Week 11: BYE
Week 12: at Packers
Week 13: vs. Lions
Week 14: vs. Texans
Week 15: at Vikings
Week 16: at Jaguars
Week 17: vs. Packers
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Wednesday, Aug. 5 at 12:15 p.m. ET.
Projected wins: 8.5 / OVER: +145 / UNDER: -176
The Bears didn’t suffer any catastrophic losses this offseason and they did add a strong pass rusher in Quinn, but this team will go as Trubisky does. If he continues to play the way he did in 2019 and Foles can’t provide relief, the Bears will once again finish around .500.
The Packers still remain the favorites in the NFC North, but the Vikings are going to be playoff contenders and the Lions will once again have a healthy QB Matthew Stafford.
The Bears’ schedule will be a challenge and it’s a big reason I’d go with the UNDER (-176) in 2020.
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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
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Assessing the Cincinnati Bengals’ projected win total for the 2020 NFL season, with best bets for their Over/Under.
How many games will the Cincinnati Bengals win in the 2020 NFL season? We look at BetMGM‘s projected win total and the Over/Under odds, while looking back at the 2019 season and key offseason roster changes.
(Information from Covers.com.)
It wasn’t fun. Franchise wideout A.J. Green missed the entire season with ankle troubles. The Bengals ranked 30th in scoring (17.4 points per game), committed the sixth-most turnovers (30) and allowed fourth-highest total yards per game (393.7).
The positives: Their betting cache was much better than their game results. RB Joe Mixon flashed elite stretches, revealing his future as a franchise back (assuming he doesn’t hold out this preseason), and WR Tyler Boyd broke out.
Cincy staked its claim for the future with the No. 1 pick in the 2020 NFL Draft by picking QB Joe Burrow, who had arguably one of college football’s greatest seasons while leading LSU to the national championship.
Burrow offers the Bengals a talented leader who can make plays with his arm and feet; he could thrive in head coach Zac Taylor’s offensive scheme.
Along with Burrow, Cincinnati picked Clemson wideout Tee Higgins, who’ll likely succeed Green starting next season. Also containing Boyd, John Ross, and Auden Tate, this wideout group could take a major step forward in 2021.
Simple changes include welcoming back two major pieces: Green, who returns from the sidelines in likely his final season as a Bengal; and left tackle Jonah Williams, who missed his entire rookie season with a shoulder injury. The No. 11 overall pick in the 2019 draft out of Alabama should help stabilize the offensive line by protecting Burrow’s blindside. The arrival of guard Xavier Su’a-Filo also helps the middle of the O-line.
Though defensive-line standbys Geno Atkins and Carlos Dunlap remain in tow, Cincinnati defensive losses include nose tackle Josh Tupou, who has opted out for the season, and cornerbacks Dre Kirkpatrick and Darqueze Dennard, who were replaced by Minnesota Vikings castoffs Trae Waynes and Mackenzie Alexander. Meh.
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Week 1: vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Week 2: at Cleveland Browns
Week 3: at Philadelphia Eagles
Week 4: vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 5: at Baltimore Ravens
Week 6: at Indianapolis Colts
Week 7: vs. Cleveland Browns
Week 8: vs. Tennessee Titans
Week 9: BYE
Week 10: at Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 11: at Washington Football Team
Week 12: vs. New York Giants
Week 13: at Miami Dolphins
Week 14: vs. Dallas Cowboys
Week 15: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 16: at Houston Texans
Week 17: vs. Baltimore Ravens
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds current as of Tuesday, Aug. 4, at 8 a.m. ET.
Projected wins: 5.5 … OVER: -139 / UNDER: +115
Even with the NFL’s expanded playoff format, only two teams, max, may come out of the division among the Baltimore Ravens, Pittsburgh Steelers and the potentially rising Cleveland Browns. Maybe the Bengals steal one from the Steelers or Browns, but I’m not seeing two divisional victories.
However, the Bengals could steal two W’s in the first two weeks; the Chargers and Jaguars look to be in play. However, the next five games (wrapped around their Week 9 bye) look bleak.
The pendulum swings again immediately after their Week 10 draw at Pittsburgh; the Who Deys could snag at least two victories among a stretch that includes Washington, the Giants and the Dolphins.
Let’s pencil in a win against the Jaguars and Washington. The Giants and Dolphins are also in range. The Chargers, who have a talented defense, may be a reach for Burrow’s first NFL game following this COVID-19 preseason.
The Bengals are moving in a solid direction for a rebuild, but don’t overestimate those results for 2020. I’ll give them four wins, including a generous two of the aforementioned borderline opportunities.
That means I’d BET The Under 5.5 (+115), which would profit $11.50 on a $10 bet.
As high as I want to be on Cincinnati’s future, the 5-8 bracket for 2020 is a trap that offers little profit.
I’d rather BET 0-4 (+250) by assuming that they still could lose the borderline clashes with the Chargers, Giants and Dolphins, who have more polish on defense. Cincinnati still needs help on that side, which will still leak often against those three promising-to-great offenses and other more accomplished clubs on the schedule.
I’ll BET 4 wins (+400).
I also like the Team to lose all 6 division games (+350).
Consider First Regular-Season Win for the Chargers (+150) or Jaguars (+240), preferably Jacksonville.
See the full breakdown of all Bengals bets.
Want action on NFL futures betting? Sign up and place your legal sports wagers online at BetMGM. For more sports betting tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
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Looking at the updated betting odds to win the 2021 Super Bowl following the New England Patriots’ signing of QB Cam Newton.
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Cam Newton finally has a home for the 2020 NFL season. The New England Patriots took a chance on the free agent and former MVP quarterback, by signing him to a zero-risk, one-year contract Sunday, June 28. The Patriots’ signing of Newton helped shift the betting odds to win Super Bowl LV, pulling the Pats even with the Dallas Cowboys and Seattle Seahawks at +1800 – only five teams have lower odds, including Tom Brady’s new squad, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1400).
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Patriots to win Super Bowl LV will return a profit of $180. See the full Super Bowl LV betting odds at BetMGM below.
The signing of Newton caused changes throughout the Patriots’ 2020 futures odds at BetMGM.
They went from +115 to +110 to win the AFC East, and from +900 to +800 to win the AFC.
Their 2020 win total now sits at 9.5 with +105 for the OVER and -125 for the UNDER. They are -223 to make the playoffs and +180 to miss the postseason.
Additionally, Newton has soared to +2500 to be named the 2020 NFL MVP. He is +4000 to be named Offensive Player of the Year and +450 to be the Comeback Player of the Year – ranking as the second favorite behind Pittsburgh Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger (+350).
Odds via BetMGM, last updated Monday, June 29 at 1:10 p.m.
Baltimore Ravens +650 (was +750)
Kansas City Chiefs +650 (was +600)
San Francisco 49ers +800 (was +900)
New Orleans Saints +1200 (unchanged)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1400 (was +1200)
Dallas Cowboys +1800 (was +2000)
New England Patriots +1800 (was +2000)
Seattle Seahawks +1800 (was +2000)
Looking to place a bet on next year’s Big Game? Place your legal sports wagers online at BetMGM. Bet now!
Indianapolis Colts +2000 (was +2500)
Philadelphia Eagles +2000 (was +1800)
Minnesota Vikings +2200 (was +2500)
Green Bay Packers +2500 (was +2200)
Pittsburgh Steelers +2500 (was +2200)
Buffalo Bills +3000 (unchanged)
Los Angeles Chargers +3000 (was +5000)
Arizona Cardinals +4000 (was +5000)
Cleveland Browns +4000 (was +3500)
Los Angeles Rams +4000 (was +3000)
Tennessee Titans +4000 (was +3000)
Atlanta Falcons +5000 (was +4000)
Chicago Bears +5000 (was +4000)
Denver Broncos +5000 (unchanged)
Houston Texans +6500 (was +4000)
Detroit Lions +8000 (unchanged)
Las Vegas Raiders +8000 (was +6000)
New York Jets +8000 (was +10000)
Carolina Panthers +10000 (unchanged)
Cincinnati Bengals +10000 (unchanged)
Miami Dolphins +10000 (was +8000)
New York Giants +10000 (unchanged)
Jacksonville Jaguars +15000 (unchanged)
Washington Redskins +15000 (unchanged)
Super Bowl LV is scheduled for Sunday, Feb. 7, 2021, at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla. The game will be televised by CBS and called by Jim Nantz and Tony Romo.
Want action on any NFL futures? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.
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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
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Assessing the betting odds of the Las Vegas Raiders making the 2020 NFL playoffs and predicting their exact win total.
Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2020 NFL playoffs? Below, we look at the BetMGM betting odds and make our pick. We also predict their exact win total for the upcoming season.
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Tuesday, June 2 at 10:30 a.m. ET.
Yes: +240 | No: -304
The Raiders improved quite a bit last season after going just 4-12 in 2018. They finished the season at 7-9 and were in the playoff hunt until the final week of the season. In fact, you can make a strong case the Raiders should have made the playoffs if it weren’t for two fourth-quarter collapses in Weeks 15 and 17.
Entering Year 3 of head coach Jon Gruden’s rebuild, the Raiders’ roster has been dramatically overhauled. This offseason, general manager Mike Mayock and Gruden focused on retooling the defense in free agency, adding key veterans such as DT Maliek Collins, LB Cory Littleton and DE Carl Nassib. On paper, this is the most talent the Raiders have had on defense in some time.
The Raiders’ 2020 season will ultimately boil down to just how well QB Derek Carr plays. He set career highs in completion percentage, yards per attempt and passer rating in 2019, but it is clear Gruden wants his quarterback to be more aggressive throwing the ball down the field. The team added WR Henry Ruggs III with the No. 12 pick in the draft and that will finally give this offense the speed it has been lacking.
It’s clear this Raiders team is a distant second, at best, in the AFC West Division, and that means they will have to fight for a wild-card spot. The Raiders will play four playoff teams in their first five games. They could start the season off rough. Look for the Raiders to be a much-improved team from last season, but don’t necessarily expect them to make a run at the playoffs in 2020. Take the Raiders to MISS THE PLAYOFFS (-304) this season.
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| BAND | ODDS |
| 0-4 Wins | +1100 |
| 5-8 Wins | -223 |
| 9-12 Wins | +200 |
| 13-16 Wins | +12500 |
The Raiders won seven games last season, but they very easily could have won as many as 10 if it weren’t for a few last-second collapses. With a more difficult schedule this year, it seems unlikely they will improve by two or more wins this season.
The smart play here is to bet on the Raiders to win somewhere between 5-8 games (-223), but there is some outside potential they get to 9-12 (+200) if everything falls correctly. Given the odds for either bet, it’s not worth risking much here.
The most likely amount of wins for the Raiders this season based on the odds is 7 (+285). That feels about right given their schedule, their division and their roster.
There is a solid chance this team gets off to a slow start and that could have a major impact on their season. Six wins (+380) isn’t a bad bet and neither is 8 wins (+290). Expect the Raiders’ final win total in 2020 to fall between 6-8 wins with eight wins probably being the best bet on the board.
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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
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Assessing the betting odds of the Kansas City Chiefs making the 2020 NFL playoffs and predicting their exact win total.
Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the 2020 NFL playoffs? Below, we look at the BetMGM betting odds and make our pick. We also predict their exact win total for the upcoming season.
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Monday, June 1 at 2:55 p.m. ET.
Yes: -1429 | No: +800
The defending Super Bowl champions will see all key personnel from both sides of the ball return in 2020. RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (LSU) was added in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft to team up with RB Damien Williams in the backfield, while LB Willie Gay Jr. (Mississippi State) was chosen in the second round to bolster the defense.
There’s no value in betting the Chiefs to return to the postseason as a $10 bet will return a profit of just $0.70. It’s too much chalk to swallow and nothing is guaranteed year-over-year in the NFL.
The only play to make is a small wager on NO at +800 for an $80 return on a $10 bet should disaster strike the Chiefs in 2020, or to PASS on this wager altogether. We’ll find better value on the 2020 Chiefs below.
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| BAND | ODDS |
| 0-4 Wins | +100000 |
| 5-8 Wins | +2200 |
| 9-12 Wins | -200 |
| 13-16 Wins | +150 |
The Chiefs have won 12 games in three of their past four seasons while winning four consecutive AFC West titles. They haven’t won fewer than nine games since going just 2-14 in 2012 under coach Romeo Crennel.
Kansas City went a perfect 6-0 against divisional opponents last season. The Denver Broncos, Los Angeles Chargers and Las Vegas Raiders all project to be improved in 2020, making the road at least slightly more difficult for the Chiefs.
Place a larger wager on the 9-12 WINS band at -200 and hedge it with a smaller bet on 5-8 WINS (+2200). A $10 wager on the latter will return a nice profit of $220.
As noted above, a 12-win season has become fairly routine for coach Andy Reid and the Chiefs. As such, exactly 12 wins in 2020 is the betting favorite at +230. The next two favorites are 13 wins (+280) and 11 wins (+285).
The best value on the board is 9 WINS at +1000. A $10 bet will return a profit of $100. Look for the Chiefs to regress and go 4-2 or 3-3 in divisional play. They’ll also play difficult road games against the Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New Orleans Saints. They’ll host the Houston Texans in the season opener for their toughest non-divisional home game of the 2020.
Chase the value here while playing it safe with the 9-12 WINS BAND (-200). Taking a wild swing at the Chiefs to miss the playoffs (+800) also pairs well and hedges against a stronger AFC West Division in 2020.
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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
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Assessing the betting odds of the New England Patriots making the 2020 NFL playoffs and predicting their exact win total.
Will the New England Patriots make the 2020 NFL playoffs? Below, we look at the BetMGM betting odds and make our pick. We also predict their exact win total for the upcoming season.
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Sunday, May 24 at 3:45 p.m. ET.
Yes: -205 | No: +165
The Patriots enter the 2020 season looking to extend an 11-year playoff streak in which they won the AFC East Division crown each of those years. The last time they missed the playoffs, they went 11-5 in 2008 and finished second in the division.
Still, the bet to make is NO (+165). New England begins life without future Hall of Fame QB Tom Brady. He’s expected to be replaced under center by either Jarrett Stidham or Brian Hoyer. The Pats’ easiest route to the postseason remains via the division title, but the Buffalo Bills are primed to win their first division crown since 1995.
A $10 bet on the Patriots missing the 2020 playoffs returns a profit of $16.50. With question marks at the most important position, it’s the easy choice to make.
Place your legal NFL bets in CO, IN, NJ and WV at BetMGM. Bet now!
| BAND | ODDS |
| 0-4 Wins | +4000 |
| 5-8 Wins | +130 |
| 9-12 Wins | -160 |
| 13-16 Wins | +2000 |
The books are hedging against some major regression for the Pats by pricing the 5-8 win band as the second favorite. A $10 bet here will fetch a modest profit of $13 as what is the most realistic result.
Chase the value and count on disaster to strike the Pats in their first season without Brady leading the way. Bet 0-4 WINS (+4000) for a $400 return on a $10 bet. New England has owned the division over the last two decades, but with the quarterback competition now even, look for a 3-3 or 2-4 result in divisional play. In addition to the Bills, the Pats will play three road games against 2019 playoff teams, including the Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs.
The Pats will also play back-to-back West Coast road games against the Los Angeles Chargers and Los Angeles Rams in early December. Tough home games will come against the Las Vegas Raiders, Baltimore Ravens and Arizona Cardinals.
Following suit of the above selection, look for the Pats to win exactly 4 games at +6500. A $10 bet will fetch a profit of $650.
The Pats haven’t won fewer than 10 games since going 9-7 in 2002 and they haven’t finished with four or fewer wins since 1992. The team’s decision to not address the quarterback position since Brady’s free-agent departure will prove costly. It’s possible New England ends up in position to select Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence at the top of the 2021 NFL Draft.
Want action on NFL futures betting lines? Sign up and place your legal sports wagers online at BetMGM. For more sports betting tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.
Follow @EstenMcLaren on Twitter, and follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook. Please gamble responsibly.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
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