New England Patriots playoff odds and predicted total wins: NFL futures picks and best bets

Assessing the betting odds of the New England Patriots making the 2020 NFL playoffs and predicting their exact win total.

Will the New England Patriots make the 2020 NFL playoffs? Below, we look at the BetMGM betting odds and make our pick. We also predict their exact win total for the upcoming season.

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Sunday, May 24 at 3:45 p.m. ET.

Will the New England Patriots make the 2020 NFL playoffs?

Yes: -205 | No: +165

The Patriots enter the 2020 season looking to extend an 11-year playoff streak in which they won the AFC East Division crown each of those years. The last time they missed the playoffs, they went 11-5 in 2008 and finished second in the division.

Still, the bet to make is NO (+165). New England begins life without future Hall of Fame QB Tom Brady. He’s expected to be replaced under center by either Jarrett Stidham or Brian Hoyer. The Pats’ easiest route to the postseason remains via the division title, but the Buffalo Bills are primed to win their first division crown since 1995.

A $10 bet on the Patriots missing the 2020 playoffs returns a profit of $16.50. With question marks at the most important position, it’s the easy choice to make.


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How many games will the New England Patriots win in 2020? Bands

BAND ODDS
0-4 Wins +4000
5-8 Wins +130
9-12 Wins -160
13-16 Wins +2000

The books are hedging against some major regression for the Pats by pricing the 5-8 win band as the second favorite. A $10 bet here will fetch a modest profit of $13 as what is the most realistic result.

Chase the value and count on disaster to strike the Pats in their first season without Brady leading the way. Bet 0-4 WINS (+4000) for a $400 return on a $10 bet. New England has owned the division over the last two decades, but with the quarterback competition now even, look for a 3-3 or 2-4 result in divisional play. In addition to the Bills, the Pats will play three road games against 2019 playoff teams, including the Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs.

The Pats will also play back-to-back West Coast road games against the Los Angeles Chargers and Los Angeles Rams in early December. Tough home games will come against the Las Vegas Raiders, Baltimore Ravens and Arizona Cardinals.

How many games will the New England Patriots win in 2020? Exact number

Following suit of the above selection, look for the Pats to win exactly 4 games at +6500. A $10 bet will fetch a profit of $650.

The Pats haven’t won fewer than 10 games since going 9-7 in 2002 and they haven’t finished with four or fewer wins since 1992. The team’s decision to not address the quarterback position since Brady’s free-agent departure will prove costly. It’s possible New England ends up in position to select Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence at the top of the 2021 NFL Draft.

Want action on NFL futures betting lines? Sign up and place your legal sports wagers online at BetMGM. For more sports betting tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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NFL team win total best bets: How many games will the New England Patriots win in 2020?

Assessing the New England Patriots’ projected win total for the 2020 NFL season, with best bets for their Over/Under.

How many games will the New England Patriots win in the 2020 NFL season? We look at BetMGM‘s projected win total and the Over/Under odds, while looking back at the 2019 season and key offseason roster changes.

New England Patriots’ 2019 season

It was another very successful season for the Patriots, making the postseason yet again, although they lost in the wild card round. In the regular season, they went 12-4, winning an 11the consecutive AFC East title.

Against the spread, they finished 9-7 with a 7-9 Over/Under record in the regular season.

New England Patriots’ 2020 offseason changes

This offseason brought a ton of changes for the Pats. They released longtime K Stephen Gostkowski. QB Tom Brady signed with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers after 20 years with New England. They also lost LB Jamie Collins, LB Kyle Van Noy, DT Danny Shelton, C Ted Karras and WR Phillip Dorsett.

They signed QB Brian Hoyer, DL Beau Allen and WR Damiere Byrd.

They didn’t have a first-round pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. Their top pick was S Kyle Dugger out of Division II Lenoir-Rhyne University in the second round. They also added pass rusher Josh Uche (Michigan) in the second round.


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New England Patriots’ 2020 opponents

*-AFC East Division game

DATE OPPONENT (LOCATION)
Sept. 13 Miami Dolphins-* (H)
Sept. 20 at Seattle Seahawks (A)
Sept. 27 Las Vegas Raiders (H)
Oct. 4 at Kansas City Chiefs (A)
Oct. 11 Denver Broncos (H)
Oct. 25 San Francisco 49ers (H)
Nov. 1 at Buffalo Bills-* (A)
Nov. 9 at New York Jets-* (A)
Nov. 15 Baltimore Ravens (H)
Nov. 22 at Houston Texans (A)
Nov. 29 Arizona Cardinals (H)
Dec. 6 at Los Angeles Chargers (A)
Dec. 10 at Los Angeles Rams (A)
Dec. 20 at Dolphins-* (A)
TBD Bills-* (H)
Jan. 3 Jets-* (H)

New England Patriots’ 2020 win total: Best bet

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Friday, May 8 at 2:45 a.m. ET.

Projected wins: 9.5 / OVER: +150 / UNDER: -182

The Patriots appear to be rebuilding. They lost their quarterback and surprisingly, haven’t really replaced him. As of now, it looks like Jarrett Stidham, their 2019 fourth-round pick, could be their starter. Their top defense has lost very important players. They play a first-place schedule with a weakened roster. Luckily, they play in the AFC East, which appears to be soft, but they also have to play the NFC West and the AFC West, including the Super Bowl champion Chiefs.

This appears to be the season that the Patriots hit rock bottom. They have a depleted roster and a terrible salarly cap situation. This will be the first time since 2002 they do not win at least 10 games. Take the UNDER 9.5 (-182) this year on the Pats.

Want action on NFL futures betting? Sign up and place your legal sports wagers online at BetMGM. For more sports betting tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @senorjessroot on Twitter, and follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook. Please gamble responsibly.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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