Las Vegas Raiders playoff odds and predicted total wins: NFL futures picks and best bets

Assessing the betting odds of the Las Vegas Raiders making the 2020 NFL playoffs and predicting their exact win total.

Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2020 NFL playoffs? Below, we look at the BetMGM betting odds and make our pick. We also predict their exact win total for the upcoming season.

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Tuesday, June 2 at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2020 NFL playoffs?

Yes: +240  | No: -304 

The Raiders improved quite a bit last season after going just 4-12 in 2018. They finished the season at 7-9 and were in the playoff hunt until the final week of the season. In fact, you can make a strong case the Raiders should have made the playoffs if it weren’t for two fourth-quarter collapses in Weeks 15 and 17.

Entering Year 3 of head coach Jon Gruden’s rebuild, the Raiders’ roster has been dramatically overhauled. This offseason, general manager Mike Mayock and Gruden focused on retooling the defense in free agency, adding key veterans such as DT Maliek Collins, LB Cory Littleton and DE Carl Nassib. On paper, this is the most talent the Raiders have had on defense in some time.

The Raiders’ 2020 season will ultimately boil down to just how well QB Derek Carr plays. He set career highs in completion percentage, yards per attempt and passer rating in 2019, but it is clear Gruden wants his quarterback to be more aggressive throwing the ball down the field. The team added WR Henry Ruggs III with the No. 12 pick in the draft and that will finally give this offense the speed it has been lacking.

It’s clear this Raiders team is a distant second, at best, in the AFC West Division, and that means they will have to fight for a wild-card spot. The Raiders will play four playoff teams in their first five games. They could start the season off rough. Look for the Raiders to be a much-improved team from last season, but don’t necessarily expect them to make a run at the playoffs in 2020. Take the Raiders to MISS THE PLAYOFFS (-304) this season.


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How many games will the Las Vegas Raiders win in 2020? Bands

BAND ODDS
0-4 Wins +1100
5-8 Wins -223
9-12 Wins +200
13-16 Wins +12500

The Raiders won seven games last season, but they very easily could have won as many as 10 if it weren’t for a few last-second collapses. With a more difficult schedule this year, it seems unlikely they will improve by two or more wins this season.

The smart play here is to bet on the Raiders to win somewhere between 5-8 games (-223), but there is some outside potential they get to 9-12 (+200) if everything falls correctly. Given the odds for either bet, it’s not worth risking much here.

How many games will the Las Vegas Raiders win in 2020? Exact number

The most likely amount of wins for the Raiders this season based on the odds is 7 (+285). That feels about right given their schedule, their division and their roster.

There is a solid chance this team gets off to a slow start and that could have a major impact on their season. Six wins (+380) isn’t a bad bet and neither is 8 wins (+290). Expect the Raiders’ final win total in 2020 to fall between 6-8 wins with eight wins probably being the best bet on the board.

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NFL team win total best bets: How many games will the Las Vegas Raiders win in 2020?

Assessing the Las Vegas Raiders’ projected win total for the 2020 NFL season, with best bets for their Over/Under.

How many games will the Las Vegas Raiders win in the 2020 NFL season? We look at BetMGM‘s projected win total and the Over/Under odds, while looking back at the 2019 season and key offseason roster changes.

Las Vegas Raiders’ 2019 season

Record: 7-9 (3rd in the AFC West)

Against the spread record: 8-8

Over/Under record: 7-9

Las Vegas Raiders’ 2020 offseason changes

Notable departures:  LB Tahir Whitehead, CB Daryl Worley, LB Vontaze Burfict and S Karl Joseph.

Notable additions:  LB Cory Littleton, DE Carl Nassib, DB Damarious Randall, LB Nick Kwiatkoski, WR Nelson Agholor and TE Jason Witten.

Top draft picks: WR Henry Ruggs III (Round 1), CB Damon Arnette (Round 1), RB Lynn Bowden Jr. (Round 3), WR Bryan Edwards (Round 3)


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Las Vegas Raiders’ 2020 opponents

OPPONENT LOCATION
Kansas City Chiefs Home
Los Angeles Chargers Home
Denver Broncos Home
Buffalo Bills Home
Miami Dolphins Home
New Orleans Saints Home
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Home
Indianapolis Colts Home
Chiefs Away
Chargers Away
Broncos Away
Atlanta Falcons Away
Carolina Panthers Away
Cleveland Browns Away
New England Patriots Away
New York Jets Away

Las Vegas Raiders’ 2020 win total: Best bet

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Wednesday, May 6 at 3 p.m. ET.

Projected wins: 7.5 / OVER:  -115 / UNDER: -105

Though we don’t know the official details of the 2020 regular-season schedule, the known opponents and location set up favorably for the Raiders’ first season in Las Vegas. Who knows how big of a home advantage Sin City will provide for the Raiders but they’ll benefit from not having to go to New Orleans to face the Saints and hosting the Bills instead of possibly playing in bad weather on the road. Also, the Raiders head to New England to play a Tom Brady-less Patriots team and get a de facto ninth home game when they play the Chargers in Los Angeles.

The Raiders have seen improvements as a team and in the quarterback position in head coach Jon Gruden’s first two seasons.  The offense should be more productive after drafting WR Henry Ruggs III and two other wide receivers in the 2020 NFL Draft. The defense will be more talented with the addition of two linebackers—Littleton and Kwiatkoski—both graded by Pro Football Focus as in the top 15 of their position. It’s concerning they did essentially nothing to address a pass-rushing unit ranked 25th in sacks and 27th in QB pressure rate in 2019.

Nonetheless, I think Gruden and general manager Mike Mayock have the Raiders headed in the right direction; BET OVER 7.5 wins (-115).

Want action on NFL futures betting? Sign up and place your legal sports wagers online at BetMGM. For more sports betting tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark on Twitter, and follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook. Please gamble responsibly.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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