New England Patriots betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New England Patriots (3-11) and the Buffalo Bills (11-3) meet Sunday in a Week 16 game at Highmark Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Patriots vs. Bills odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Patriots suffered a 30-17 loss at the Arizona Cardinals Dec. 15, failing to cover as 6-point underdogs while the Over (46) cashed. New England is 1-3 against the spread (ATS) in the past 4 games, while the Over has cashed in each outing. New England has allowed 25 or more points in each game.

The Bills outlasted the Detroit Lions 48-42 as a 2.5-point underdog in a marquee battle at Ford Field Sunday in Week 15 as the Over (55.5) cashed. Buffalo has won 6 of the past 7 games, while going 4-1 ATS in the past 5 and 7-2 across the previous 9 outings.

The Over is on a 5-0-1 run for the Bills, while going 7-1-1 in the past 9 outings. Buffalo is averaging 45.0 points per game (PPG) in the past 2 games, while allowing 43.0 PPG in the span. The Bills have 30+ points in 8 consecutive games, tying an NFL record.

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Patriots at Bills odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 11 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | Bills -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100)
Against the spread: Patriots +14 (-110) | Bills -14 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Patriots at Bills key injuries

Patriots

S Kyle Dugger (ankle, illness) questionable
RB JaMycal Hasty (ankle) out
CB Marcus Jones (hip) out
FS Jabrill Peppers (hamstring) questionable
OG Cole Strange (knee) questionable
OT Caedan Wallace (ankle) out
DE Keion White (groin) questionable

Bills

CB Rasul Douglas (knee) questionable
S Damar Hamlin (rib) questionable
LB Matt Milano (biceps, groin) questionable
S Taylor Rapp (neck) questionable
WR Curtis Samuel (rib) questionable
LB Baylon Spector (calf) questionable
LB Dorian Williams (elbow) questionable

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Patriots at Bills picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 36, Patriots 16

Moneyline

The Bills (-1000) will cost you 10 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. If you want to risk $100 for every $10 in profit, that’s your prerogative, but it’s not a recommended betting strategy over the long term.

PASS.

Against the spread

The BILLS -14 (-110) have wrapped up the AFC East title, but they’re still technically in the mix for the No. 1 overall seed for the playoffs. And, Buffalo is aiming for NFL history with a ninth consecutive game with 30 or more points. It should be able to win in Week 16 to stay in the mix for the top seed depending upon what the Kansas City Chiefs do.

The Patriots +14 (-110) have been pesky, playing 4 one-score games in the past 7 outings. However, New England is just 1-3 ATS in the past 4 outings, and it is 0-2 ATS in the past 2 tries as an underdog of 7.5 or higher.

Over/Under

OVER 46.5 (-110) is worth a look in this AFC East battle.

The Over has connected in 4 in a row for the Patriots, with New England allowing 25 or more points in each outing. And, as mentioned, the Bills have scored 30+ in each of the past 8 outings. The Bills could do most of the heavy lifting to get this one across the line.

And, if you were concerned about weather, there won’t be any precipitation in the forecast, although temperatures will be frigid and in the teens. That shouldn’t slow down 2 northern teams, however.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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New England Patriots at Arizona Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at Arizona Cardinals odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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Two teams mired in 3-game losing streaks face off in Week 15 as the New England Patriots (3-10) visit the Arizona Cardinals (6-7). Kickoff from State Farm Stadium is at 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Patriots vs. Cardinals odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Pats are coming off their bye week after losing 3 straight games, the last 25-24 to the Indianapolis Colts at home in Week 13, covering the 2.5-point spread as underdogs. New England lost when Colts QB Anthony Richardson threw a 3-yard TD pass with 12 seconds left and ran a successful 2-point conversion for the win.

The Cardinals have lost 3 straight games since their bye in Week 11 and a 4-game winning streak. QB Kyler Murray was picked off twice last week in a 30-18 home loss to the Seattle Seahawks when they were 3-point favorites.

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Patriots at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:58 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Cardinals -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +6 (-110) | Cardinals -6 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 46 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Patriots at Cardinals key injuries

Patriots

WR Javon Baker (concussion) out
DT Christian Barmore (not injury related-other) questionable
S Kyle Dugger (ankle) questionable
CB Christian Gonzalez (shoulder) questionable
T Vederian Lowe (shoulder) questionable
DT Jaquelin Roy (foot) injured reserve
G Cole Strange (knee) questionable
T Caedan Wallace (ankle) out

Cardinals

P Blake Gillikin (foot) out
RB Emari Demercado (back) out
CB Elijah Jones (ankle) out
DL Naquan Jones (shoulder) questionable
DL Roy Lopez (ankle) questionable

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Patriots at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 27, Patriots 16

Moneyline

The Cardinals have faced 3 straight quality opponents in losses, teams playing great defense. The Patriots do not have a great defense. They are 21st in points allowed at 23.2 per game. They have an even worse offense, 31st in points (17 PPG) and yards. They have allowed 43 sacks and turned the ball over 9 times in their last 5 games.

Arizona’s red-zone struggles, 3-for-13 in their last 3 games, should go away and they should get the run game going, as the Pats have allowed over 100 rushing yards to an opponent in 9 of their last 11 games.

But don’t bet the Cardinals at -250 as it isn’t worth the action.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Cardinals have lost the last 2 games in which they were favored, but they have covered the spread in all 6 of their wins this season.

The Pats have lost 6 times by at least 6 points.

BET CARDINALS -6 (-110).

Over/Under

Before giving up 30 points to the Seahawks last week, the Cardinals went 3 consecutive home games without allowing a touchdown. Two of those games were against the Jets and Bears, two teams struggling like the Patriots.

BET UNDER 46 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Indianapolis Colts (5-7) will take on the New England Patriots (3-9) on the road in Week 13. Kickoff is Sunday at 1 p.m. from Gillette Stadium (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Colts vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Colts have lost 4 of their last 5 games overall and are coming off a 24-6 home loss to the Detroit Lions last week, failing to cover the 7-point spread as underdogs. The Under (50.5) cashed in.

The Patriots have lost 2 straight and 3 of their last 4 games overall. Last week, they fell 34-15 on the road to the Miami Dolphins as 7.5-point underdogs. The Over (45.5) cashed in.

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Colts at Patriots odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Colts -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Patriots +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Against the spread (ATS): Colts -2.5 (-115) | Patriots +2.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Colts at Patriots key injuries

Colts

C Tanor Bortolini (concussion) out
WR Josh Downs (shoulder) out
WR Ashton Dulin (ankle) out
WR Alec Pierce (foot) questionable
T Braden Smith (personal) out

Patriots

OL Cole Strange (knee) out
WR Demario Douglas (ankle) questionable
S Kyle Dugger (ankle) questionable
LB Christian Elliss (knee) questionable
LB Anfernee Jennings (knee) questionable
T Vederian Lowe (shoulder) questionable
S Jabrill Peppers (knee) questionable
DT Jaquelin Roy (neck) questionable
LB Sione Takitaki (knee) questionable
DE Deatrich Wise Jr. (foot) questionable

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Colts at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Patriots 24, Colts 20

Moneyline

The Colts have allowed 21 or more points in 6 straight games. They have only scored more than 20 once in that stretch.

The Pats have allowed 28 and 34 the last 2 weeks but did not allow more than 22 in their previous 3 games.

Neither team has been reliable this season. The Pats are 1-4 at home while the Colts are 2-4 on the road, but it feels like the Pats are beginning to ascend, the result of last week’s game aside.

The Colts have been very uneven offensively and that will continue.

BET PATRIOTS (+120).

Against the spread

The Colts have been a good bet to cover the spread as they are 8-4 ATS overall this season. However, they are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games.

The Pats did not cover the spread in their last 2 games but did so in the previous 3. Of the 4 games this season in which they covered the spread, 3 were outright wins.

So if you like the Pats to cover, there is a good bet they will win and you get plus-odds with the moneyline.

PASS.

Over/Under

Five of the last 7 games for the Pats have finished with more than 42 total points.

Three of the last 5 for the Colts have as well.

BET OVER 42.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Alex’s best bet: New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins prediction

SportsbookWire.com’s Alex White likes a total in the New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins Week 12 NFL matchup.

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SportsbookWire.com’s Alex White already cashed her best college football bet for Saturday with Boston College (+2.5) winning outright 41-21 at home against North Carolina.

She’s looking to make it a 2-0 weekend with her best bet for NFL Week 12, which involves the total when the New England Patriots (3-8) visit the Miami Dolphins (4-6) Sunday in an AFC East matchup. Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET and will be televised on CBS.

The Patriots have alternated wins and losses over their last 4 games, recently falling at home to the LA Rams in Week 11.

The Dolphins enter on a 2-game win streak, beating the Las Vegas Raiders 34-19 last Sunday and winning at the Rams 23-15 in Week 10.

The division foes met in Week 5 at New England with Miami winning 15-10. The Dolphins covered as 1-point road favorites and the Under (37) cashed.

For Sunday’s matchup in South Florida, BetMGM Sportsbook has the O/U line at 46.5 (Over: -110 | Under: -110), up from 46, which it was Friday — last updated Saturday at 5:51 p.m. ET.

Listen below to why Alex likes this total as her best NFL bet for Sunday.

🏈Sunday’s best NFL bet 🏈

Our @alexwhitee likes a 💰TOTAL💰as her @NFL top play for Week 12. It involves the New England @Patriots and @MiamiDolphins. What do you think? What is your 💸best bet 💸Sunday? pic.twitter.com/wqcFPrcWE9

— SportsBookWire (@SportsBookWire) November 23, 2024

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Make sure to catch Alex on Sports By the Book Saturday 11 a.m.-noon ET, and Sunday through Wednesday noon-1 p.m. ET, and on Punch Lines every Monday and Wednesday 3 p.m.-4 p.m. ET — live from the South Point Sportsbook in Las Vegas. Follow @alexwhitee on Twitter/X.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

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New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New England Patriots (3-8) face the Miami Dolphins (4-6) for the second time this season Sunday, this time on the road. Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium is at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Patriots vs. Dolphins odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

After 6 straight losses, the Patriots are 2-2 in their last 4 games. They are coming off a 28-22 home loss to the L.A. Rams, failing to cover the 4-point spread as underdogs.

The Dolphins have won 2 straight games and are 2-2 since QB Tua Tagovailoa returned from injured reserve. Last week, they beat the Las Vegas Raiders 34-19 at home, covering the 8-point spread.

The Dolphins beat the Pats 15-10 in New England in Week 5 as 1-point favorites.

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Patriots at Dolphins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:45 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Dolphins -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +7.5 (-115) | Dolphins -7.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Patriots at Dolphins key injuries

Patriots

DT Christian Barmore (illness) questionable
S Kyle Dugger (ankle) questionable
CB Christian Gonzalez (hip) questionable
LB Anfernee Jennings (knee) questionable
T Vederian Lowe (shoulder) questionable
S Marte Mapu (neck) questionable
OL Cole Strange (knee) questionable
LB Sioni Takitaki (knee) questionable
LB Keion White (knee) questionable
DE Deatrich Wise Jr. (foot) questionable

Dolphins

OT Terron Armstead (knee) questionable
CB Kendall Fuller (concussion) out
FB Alec Ingold (calf) questionable
S Patrick McMorris (calf) questionable
OL Isaiah Wynn (quad, knee) questionable

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Patriots at Dolphins picks and predictions

Prediction

Dolphins 27, Patriots 21

Moneyline

The Dolphins have averaged 27.8 points per game since Tua’s return and are 2-2.

When Patriots rookie QB Drake Maye plays a full game, they average 19 a game, and they have increased their points scored in each of their last 3 games. They have, though, allowed 20 or more points in 5 of their last 6.

The Dolphins should get their third consecutive win, but -400 odds are not worth the action.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Pats are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games and lost by only 6 last week.

The Dolphins are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games and 3-1 ATS since Tua’s return to the lineup.

The Dolphins won by 5 in their first meeting but that was without Tagovailoa and the Pats were starting QB Jacoby Brissett. With better offensive performances by both teams with their currents starters, this should be a one-score game.

BET PATRIOTS +7.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Pats’ last game had a total of 50 points. Three of the Dolphins’ last 4 games have surpassed 50 points.

Three of the Patriots’ last 5 games have surpassed 46 total points.

BET OVER 46.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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First look: New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins odds and lines

Looking at Sunday’s New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins Week 12 NFL odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

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The New England Patriots (3-8) visit the Miami Dolphins (4-6) Sunday. Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we look at Patriots vs. Dolphins odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds before making our expert NFL picks and predictions later in the week.

New England fell 28-22 as a 4-point home underdog against the LA Rams Sunday. QB Drake Maye was 30-of-40 passing for 282 yards with 2 TDs and an INT.

Miami has won back-to-back games after taking down the Las Vegas Raiders 34-19 Sunday as an 8-point home favorite. QB Tua Tagovailoa completed 28 of 36 passes for 288 yards with 3 TDs.

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Patriots at Dolphins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Monday at 9:22 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Dolphins -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +7.5 (-110) | Dolphins -7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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2024 betting stats

ML: Patriots 3-8 | Dolphins 4-6
ATS: Patriots 4-6-1 | Dolphins 4-6
O/U: Patriots 6-5 | Dolphins 4-6

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Patriots vs. Dolphins head-to-head

The Patriots and Dolphins have faced off 108 times, with Miami leading the all-time series 63-55. The Dolphins are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings, going 9-1 ATS.

In an Oct. 6 meeting, Miami won 15-10 as a 1-point road favorite while the Under (37) hit with ease.

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LA Rams at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s LA Rams at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New England Patriots (3-7) will host the Los Angeles Rams (4-5) Sunday afternoon at Gillette Stadium, a Week 11 matchup between 2 teams that have met in the Super Bowl twice before. Kickoff will be at 1 p.m. ET (FOX) from Foxborough, Mass. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Rams vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Rams had won 3 games in a row before losing to the Miami Dolphins Monday night, a 23-15 defeat in which they scored zero touchdowns. It was the 1st time all season that the Rams didn’t find the end zone, and they lost despite outgaining the Dolphins, 327-238. The Rams now sit in last place in the NFC West, a game-and-a-half behind the division-leading Arizona Cardinals.

The Patriots are building some momentum after winning 2 of their last 3 games, including a 19-3 victory on the road against the Chicago Bears last week. Rookie QB Drake Maye is getting comfortable under center for New England and his mobility has helped keep the chains moving (38.8 rushing yards per game).

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Rams at Patriots odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:55 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rams -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Patriots +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
Against the spread (ATS): Rams -4.5 (-110) | Patriots +4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rams at Patriots key injuries

Rams

DT Neville Gallimore (neck) out
RT Rob Havenstein (ankle) out
OL Joe Noteboom (ankle) doubtful

Patriots

S Kyle Dugger (ankle) probable
TE Hunter Henry (foot) probable
DE Deatrich Wise Jr. (foot) questionable

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Rams at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Rams 24, Patriots 17

Moneyline

The Rams aren’t a trustworthy enough team to take on the money line, especially at a number like -225 on the road. PASS.

Against the spread

In Sean McVay’s career since 2017, the Rams are 10-3 in games in the Eastern time zone that kick off at 1 p.m. The Rams have won 4 of those games by at least 20 points and 2 others by at least 8 points.

They excel in these cross-country games, and even though they’re on slightly less rest than the Patriots, they’re going to get the job done and beat the Patriots by 5-plus points. BET RAMS -4.5 (-110).

Over/Under

With how inconsistent the Rams’ offense has been and the Patriots’ sheer inability to score points in bunches, this should be a lower-scoring game. The Rams can be susceptible to big plays in the passing game, particularly in the first quarter when they’re settling in, but if they can eliminate those lapses in coverage, they’ll keep the Patriots offense in check.

BET UNDER 43.5 (-110).

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New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New England Patriots (2-6) visit the Tennessee Titans (1-6) Sunday. Kickoff from Nissan Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Patriots vs. Titans odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

New England escaped with a 25-22 win over the New York Jets Oct. 27 while covering as a 7-point underdog. The Week 8 contest was tightly contested, but a missed FG and missed extra point by the Jets proved to be critical for New England’s win. The Patriots ended a 6-game losing streak with the victory.

Tennessee was embarrassed 52-14 by the Detroit Lions Oct. 27, failing to cover as a 13-point underdog. The Titans turned the ball over 4 times and allowed 38 unanswered points after tying the game at 14 early in the second quarter. Tennessee has lost 3 straight.

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Patriots at Titans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:40 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Titans -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +3.5 (-115) | Titans -3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 38 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Patriots at Titans key injuries

Patriots

S Kyle Dugger (ankle) questionable
QB Drake Maye (concussion) questionable

Titans

WR Tyler Boyd (shoulder) questionable
S Amani Hooker (groin) questionable
QB Will Levis (shoulder) questionable
RB Tony Pollard (foot) questionable
CB L’Jarius Sneed (quad) out
RB Tyjae Spears (hamstring) out

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Patriots at Titans picks and predictions

Prediction

Patriots 21, Titans 18

Moneyline

LEAN PATRIOTS (+150).

New England is the slightly better team, and if Maye is able to play, it will look much better on offense than Tennessee. I also have more faith in this New England team as a whole than I do in Tennessee, so lean towards the better offense and QB in this tightly contested matchup.

This is a lean because I am not a fan of betting on both a team’s ML and spread, so it is safer to bet on just the spread and avoid the ML here, but the moneyline is worth playing.

Against the spread

BET PATRIOTS +3.5 (-115).

New England is the better team, especially if Maye can go, and with the Patriots riding hot after beating New York, they have the momentum in this matchup. Look for the Patriots to make this a close game, whether they win or lose.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 38 (-110).

Tennessee allows 28 opponent points per game, a number that is slightly inflated after being blown out by Detroit, but is still significant. I expect New England, if Maye is able to go, to find success against this Tennessee defense. New England’s defense also allows 24.6 points per game, so the Over is a pretty safe bet here.

This is a lean because these teams have some of the worst offenses in the league despite being solid defensively.

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New York Jets at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Jets at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New York Jets (2-5) visit the New England Patriots (1-6) on Sunday afternoon. Kickoff from Gillette Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Jets vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Jets have lost 4 games in a row after falling 37-15 against the Pittsburgh Steelers last Sunday and failing to cover as 2.5-point road favorites. QB Aaron Rodgers went 24-of-39 for 276 yards with a TD and 2 INTs. RB Breece Hall carried the ball 12 times for 38 yards and a TD, but led the team in receiving with 6 receptions for 103 yards.

The Patriots have dropped 6 games in a row after losing 32-16 to the Jacksonville Jaguars and failing to cover as 6.5-point road underdogs. QB Drake Maye went 26-of-37 for 276 yards with 2 TDs while TE Hunter Henry led the team in receiving (8 receptions, 92 yards).

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Jets at Patriots odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:06 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Jets -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Patriots +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
Against the spread (ATS): Jets -7 (-105) | Patriots +7 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 41 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Jets at Patriots key injuries

Jets

S Tony Adams (hamstring) doubtful
S Ashtyn Davis (concussion) out
DT Leki Fotu (knee) out
WR Allen Lazard (chest) doubtful
T Morgan Moses (knee) questionable
G Alijah Vera-Tucker (ankle) out
TE Kenny Yeboah (abdomen) questionable

Patriots

CB Jonathan Jones (shoulder) questionable
G Mike Jordan (ankle) questionable
T Vederian Lowe (ankle) questionable
WR Ja’Lynn Polk (concussion) out
G Layden Robinson (ankle) out
G Sidy Sow (illness) questionable
LB Sione Takitaki (knee) questionable
DE Keion White (knee) questionable

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Jets at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Jets 27, Patriots 10

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on the Jets (-350) to win on Sunday.

Against the spread

BET JETS -7 (-105).

New York has struggled in its last 4 games, but it has a great opportunity to get back on track against New England. The Patriots have not won since their first game and have failed to cover in 5 straight weeks. They have allowed 32 or more points in back-to-back weeks and have not scored more than 21 points in any game this season.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 41 (-110).

The Jets have failed to hit the Over in 4 of their last 6 games while scoring 20 or fewer points in each of their last 4 games. The Patriots have not scored more than 21 points in any game and have scored less than 16 points in 4 of their last 5 games. The teams met in Week 3 and the Jets held the Patriots to just 3 points while scoring 24.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Houston Texans at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Texans at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New England Patriots (1-4) welcome the Houston Texans (4-1) to Gillette Stadium Sunday for NFL Week 6 action. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Texans vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Texans have been on a roll, beating the Jaguars and Bills in back-to-back weeks. Houston beat the Jags by 4 and the Bills by 3, closing as a 5.5-point favorite and 1-point favorite. It is 1-3-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. The Texans have been a favorite in every game this season as well. This will be their first week without star WR Nico Collins, who is now on the injured reserve.

The Patriots, who are set to start the No. 3 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft QB Drake Maye, are coming off their 4th straight loss. They did impressively beat the Bengals in their first game of the season but have lost by 3, 21, 17 and 5 since. New England has been an underdog in every game this season and is 0-1-1 ATS at home. It lost 15-10 to the Miami Dolphins at home in Week 5, closing as a 1-point underdog.

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Texans at Patriots odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Texans -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Patriots +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
Against the spread (ATS): Texans -6.5 (-115) | Patriots +6.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 37.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Texans at Patriots key injuries

Texans

RB Joe Mixon (ankle) questionable
S Jimmie Ward (groin) out
WR Robert Woods (foot) out

Patriots

WR Kendrick Bourne (knee) questionable
S Kyle Dugger (ankle) questionable
LB Anferne Jennings (shoulder) questionable
CB Marcus Jones (groin) questionable
WR K.J. Osborn (shoulder) questionable
RB Rhamondre Stevenson (foot) out
CB Marco Wilson (groin) questionable

FOOTBALL NEVER STOPS
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Texans at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Texans 20, Patriots 14

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no great value here. The Patriots shouldn’t win this game outright, although there’s a chance they do cover. Similarly, the Texans are far too expensive to play on the moneyline.

Against the spread

BET PATRIOTS +6.5 (-105).

Houston has consistently won this season, but it hasn’t consistently covered. The Texans are 1-3-1 ATS and 0-1-1 ATS as a favorite of 5 or more. Houston is 0-2 ATS on the road as well. It could also be tough to plan for Maye without any real NFL tape on him.

The Patriots defense has held opponents to 24 or fewer in 4 of 5 games this season, and they are are coming off a game which they allowed just 15 to the Dolphins. New England has allowed just 19 points per game at home. Its defense is good enough to keep things close, especially with Collins’ injury.

Back PATRIOTS +6.5 (-105).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 37.5 (-110).

The Patriots are 2-3 O/U this season while the Texans are 1-4 O/U. Houston has gone Under in 4 straight games. It has allowed 20 or fewer in 3 of its last 4 games. The Texans have scored 19 or fewer in 2 of their last 4 games.

As for New England, it has scored 13 or fewer in 3 straight games and is 1-2 O/U in its last 3. The Patriots’ offense may struggle under Maye. With Houston being so banged up, its offense may be more inconsistent than normal.

Take UNDER 37.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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