College Football Betting Guide: 5 Best Big Game Bets – Week 12

Breaking down the five best big college football games for Week 12; including college football picks, betting odds and more

What’s going to happen in the five biggest games in Week 12 of the college football season?

Contact/Follow @PeteFiutak

There’s no LSU vs. Alabama on the slate, but there is a whole slew of massive games that will shape the final few weeks of the season and, potentially, the College Football Playoff.

If you’re looking to get in on the sports betting action this weekend, be sure to sign up with BetMGM to take part in any of these games or other action on the schedule.

5. Michigan State at Michigan

Michigan quarterback Shea Patterson leads the Wolverines against Michigan State. Tommy Gilligan – USA TODAY Sports

BetMGM LineMichigan -13.5, o/u: 44.5

Why You Should Bet On Michigan State: The Spartans are way, way, way overdue for something positive. They’ve had a rough run, they collapsed against Illinois, and they’re far better than they’ve been playing. The offensive line is good enough to handle the tough Michigan defensive front, and the run defense has been nasty against everyone but Ohio State and Wisconsin. But …

Why You Should Bet On Michigan: The Michigan State passing game has gone bye-bye. Brian Lewerke is struggling, he’s not accurate, and the offense is way too inconsistent. Ever since halftime of the Penn State game, Michigan has been fantastic defensively, going on a great 10-quarter run to get back into the hunt for a New Year’s Six game. Shea Patterson has settled down behind center, the running game is OK, and overall, Michigan is playing well. Michigan State isn’t.

Prediction: The rested Wolverine team will be a little bit sluggish out of gate, but the defense will take over as the game goes on. The Spartan O will stall, the Wolverine attack will go on a few late first half scoring drives, and Michigan will win by more than two touchdowns.
CFN Full Michigan State at Michigan Game Preview & Prediction

 

4. Navy at Notre Dame

Navy quarterback Malcolm Perry will try to give Notre Dame fits this weekend. David Butler II – USA TODAY Sports

BetMGM LineNotre Dame -8.5, o/u: 53.5

Why You Should Bet On Navy: The Navy ground game is working at a whole other level. It’s leading the nation averaging 358 yards per game — a whopping 34 yards more than No. 2 Air Force — and everything else flows from there. QB Malcolm Perry (who’s really a running back behind center) has been brilliant, the offense is getting better and better as the year has gone on. The team should be able to control the tempo and the clock for at least 35 minutes. However …

Why You Should Bet On Notre Dame: Navy played one team that can throw the ball reasonably well, and lost. Memphis was able to pull off the 35-23 win with Brady White hitting 78% of his passes with three scores as the Tiger offense took control of the game. That’s what the Irish have to do. Ian Book might not be all that accurate lately, but he connected on 82% of his throws in last year’s win over the Midshipmen. He doesn’t have to throw for 330 yards again, but he has to be sharp.

Prediction: Somehow, it’ll be a sellout at the last possible moment to keep the 273-game streak going. The Irish have improved their rushing defense in recent weeks. They’ll have problems with the Navy offense, but they’ll be balanced enough to survive and cover on a late score.
CFN Full Navy vs. Notre Dame Game Preview & Prediction

 


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3. Minnesota at Iowa

Tanner Morgan will try to keep Minnesota unbeaten this weekend against Iowa. Jesse Johnson – USA TODAY Sports

BetMGM LineIowa -2.5, o/u: 44.5

Why You Should Bet On Minnesota: It’s time to start giving the Minnesota offense — especially the passing game — a whole lot more credit. Tanner Morgan is fourth in the nation in passing efficiency (behind the one-name stars Jalen, Tua and Joe) with a loaded receiving corps to work with. Iowa doesn’t have a big-time offense, but Minnesota does, with receivers Rashod Bateman and Tyler Johnson talents who’ll soon be off to the NFL.

Why You Should Bet On Iowa: This is a steady Iowa team with the defense that’s been a brick wall against the run all year against everyone but Wisconsin’s Jonathan Taylor. The offense has the veteran quarterback in Nate Stanley who should be able to hit a few big plays against a good — not amazing — Gopher secondary that gave up 340 yards to Penn State. Just don’t expect Stanley to throw the picks that Nittany Lions QB Sean Clifford did.

Prediction: It’s time to start giving Minnesota credit for winning close games. As the underdog on the road, the Gophers will pull out a thrilling, tight win with a big late stop.
CFN Full Minnesota vs. Iowa Game Preview & Prediction

 

2. Oklahoma at Baylor

Charlie Brewer and his Baylor Bears have a tall task ahead of them in the Oklahoma Sooners. Jerome Miron – USA TODAY Sports

BetMGM LineOklahoma -10.5, o/u: 67.5

Why You Should Bet On Oklahoma: The offense has the ability to blow the doors off the Bears. There might be several issues, but Oklahoma continues to roll behind a brilliant year from Jalen Hurts — he’s playing better than Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray did, and with few mistakes. Baylor needs to win on turnover margin, and the Sooners don’t give the ball away with just 10 turnovers so far.

Why You Should Bet On Baylor: The pass rush is strong enough to keep Hurts from being comfortable. This is the best defense overall that OU has dealt with, with the disruptive ability to jump all over the backfield like nothing else the high-powered attack has dealt with. On the other side, the Sooner defense is starting to buckle again. It couldn’t handle Kansas State quarterback Skylar Thompson and the running game, it couldn’t handle Brock Purdy and the Iowa State passing attack, and now it’s going to try to keep Baylor’s Charlie Brewer from continuing to be his steady, cool self.

Prediction: It this a repeat of Minnesota-Penn State when the unbeaten team rises up at home when it get its shot? Not quite. Oklahoma will win, but Baylor will be just good enough to keep this closer than double digits.
CFN Full OU vs. Baylor Game Preview & Prediction

 

1. Georgia at Auburn

Georgia head coach Kirby Smart (left) and quarterback Jake Fromm are facing yet another big game in the SEC. Matt Stamey – USA TODAY Sports

BetMGM LineGeorgia -2.5, o/u: 40.5

Why You Should Bet On Georgia: Georgia does what Auburn likes to do, only better. The Auburn lines are great, but Georgia’s are better. Auburn has a fantastic defense, but Georgia’s is better. It’s Jake Fromm vs. Bo Nix, and it’s the Bulldog run defense that’s not giving up a thing. Nix is going to have to rock to pull this off, and he didn’t hit 42% of his throws in his three big games against Oregon, Florida and LSU.

Why You Should Bet On Auburn: There’s not enough of a Georgia downfield passing game for Auburn to worry about. This isn’t a Bulldog team that — as good as it is — is going to crank up 50 points and put the game away. This is going to be a low-scoring, tough battle, and this could be the Oregon game all over again — stays close, stays close, stays close, and then Auburn rises up when it has to.

Prediction: Go with the under as both defenses take over, but Georgia will be a wee bit better. The Bulldogs -2.5 is right at where the line should be, but go with a focused and more talented Georgia team.
CFN Full Georgia at Auburn Game Preview & Prediction

 

Now that you know what you need to know, head over to BetMGM and get some action in any — or all — of these games for Week 12 college football.

For more coverage on Week 12’s College Football slate of sports betting action, be sure to check out CollegeFootballNews.com. And for more sports betting tips and picks, be sure to access SportsbookWire.com.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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American Athletic Conference Predictions, Game Previews, Lines, TV: Week 12

Check out all the fearless predictions, game previews, lines and TV listings for Week 12 of the American Athletic Conference season.

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Check out all the fearless predictions, game previews, lines and TV listings for Week 12 of the American Athletic Conference season.


How are the AAC predictions so far?
Straight Up: 60-14, ATS 31-32-1, o/u: 36-27-1


Click on each game for game preview & prediction 

Tulane at Temple

12:00 ESPNU | Get Tickets
BetMGM Line: Tulane -5.5, o/u: 54.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)

Navy at Notre Dame

2:30 NBC | Get Tickets
BetMGM Line: Notre Dame -8.5, o/u: 53.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)

Memphis at Houston

3:30 ESPN2 | Get Tickets
BetMGM Line: Memphis -10.5, o/u: 42.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)

Cincinnati at USF

7:00 CBS Sports Network | Get Tickets
BetMGM Line: Cincinnati -13.5, o/u: 46.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)

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Cincinnati at USF Fearless Prediction, Game Preview

Cincinnati at USF fearless prediction and game preview.

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Cincinnati at USF fearless prediction and game preview.


Cincinnati at USF Broadcast

Date: Saturday, November 16
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Network: CBS Sports Network

All of the CFN Fearless Predictions

Cincinnati (8-1) vs. USF (4-5) Game Preview

If want in on this week’s games, sign up with BetMGM


What’s Going To Happen

Cincinnati can win the East with a victory over USF and a Temple loss to Tulane, but the No. 17 team has a loftier goal of getting the Group of Five’s New Year’s Six bowl bid.

To take that next step, the Bearcats have to clamp down on a USF team that’s missing consistent offensive pop, but hasn’t been bad defensively.

The Bulls are still trying to get bowl eligible, but they need to win two of their last three games against UC, Memphis, and UCF.

That’s a problem.

The D is fantastic at taking the ball away, and it’s great at not breaking after bending, but it’s not getting any support from an offense that’s having a rough year on the line. The running game is just okay, but overall the O has to find a way at home to control the clock, or Cincinnati will dominate the tempo and pace.

Cincinnati will run for 250 yards, come up with five sacks, and get past a tight first quarter to pull away in an emphatic road win before moving up a bit in next week’s CFP rankings.

It’ll be the Bearcats’ Cotton Bowl to lose.

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Cincinnati at USF Prediction, Line

Cincinnati 30, UCF 13
Bet on UC vs. USF with BetMGM, or for latest line 
Cincinnati -13.5, o/u: 46.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS Confidence out of 5: 4
Get Tickets For This Game

Must See Rating: 3

5: The Mandalorian (if it came out in 1984)
1: High School Musical: The Musical: The Series

Bowl Projections | CFN Rankings
Predicting The Rest of the Season
Week 12 Expert Picks

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Memphis vs. Houston Fearless Prediction, Game Preview

Memphis vs. Houston fearless prediction and game preview.

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Memphis vs. Houston fearless prediction and game preview.


Memphis vs. Houston Broadcast

Date: Saturday, November 16
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
Venue: TDECU Stadium, Houston, TX
Network: ESPN2

All of the CFN Fearless Predictions

Memphis (8-1) vs. Houston (3-6) Game Preview

If want in on this week’s games, sign up with BetMGM


What’s Going To Happen

Houston has to win its final three games just to become bowl eligible, with at Tulsa and Navy to close. On a run of three losses in its last four games, it’s had problem, but it’s been feisty.

Now it has to deal with the firepower of a Memphis team looking to take a giant step forward to winning the West.

The Tigers have won three straight since losing to Temple, getting the key win over SMU two weeks ago and beating Navy in late September. It controls its own destiny in the race, but it still has to go to USF and host Cincinnati.

The Tiger passing game has been unstoppable at times, it’s among the nation’s most efficient attacks, and the ground game is balancing things out from time to time, too. Houston has been getting roasted through the air, allowing two touchdown passes or more in every game and over 200 yards against everyone but Tulane.

Clayton Tune and the Cougar passing attack will get its licks in. Memphis has a better defense than it’s being given credit for, but it’ll allow more than 300 yards as Houston comes up with a strong performance at home. However, the lack of a pass rush and inability to generate enough key stops will let Memphis to keep on firing.

It’ll be a battle for about 40 minutes, and then the Tigers will hit two home runs to pull away.

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Memphis vs. Houston Prediction, Line

Memphis 41, Houston 30
Bet on MU vs. UH with BetMGM, or for latest line 
Memphis -10.5, o/u: 42.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Get Tickets For This Game

Must See Rating: 3

5: The Mandalorian (if it came out in 1984)
1: High School Musical: The Musical: The Series

Bowl Projections | CFN Rankings
Predicting The Rest of the Season
Week 12 Expert Picks

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Navy vs. Notre Dame Fearless Prediction, Game Preview

Navy vs. Notre Dame fearless prediction and game preview.

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Navy vs. Notre Dame fearless prediction and game preview.


Navy vs. Notre Dame Broadcast

Date: Saturday, November 16
Game Time: 2:30 ET
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
Venue: Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, IN
Network: NBC

All of the CFN Fearless Predictions

Navy (7-1) vs. Notre Dame (7-2) Game Preview

If want in on this week’s games, sign up with BetMGM


What’s Going To Happen

Will Notre Dame be able to sell-out at the last moment to keep the 273-game streak that goes back to 1973 alive?

It needs to, considering these are two top 23 teams according to the College Football Playoff committee.

Start with this – can Notre Dame slow down the run?

It got hammered on by Michigan for over 300 rushing yards, but that was more about a power game in bad weather. Navy isn’t going to blast away. Other than that, the Irish run defense has been a rock after tightening up over the first few weeks. The line is doing a better job at getting into the backfield, and the linebacking corps is in place to clamp down on the outside when Malcolm Perry gets going.

The running back-who-plays-quarterback is past the 1,000-yard mark with five straight 100-yard games. He’s also hitting the deep ball, averaging close to 24 yards per completion when he’s able to catch defenses cheating up.

The Navy running game is working at the highest level, but the Irish aren’t going to get popped in the interior, and expect several plays behind the line to force enough long third down plays to be a problem.

Ian Book and the Notre Dame offense will be more methodical than spectacular, but he’ll be just sharp enough and accurate enough to keep the Perry and company on the sidelines a bit. Navy will still dominate the time of possession battle, and it’ll push the Irish hard, but Book and the O will take over the fourth quarter with a few late scores to pull away and survive.

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Navy vs. Notre Dame Prediction, Line

Notre Dame 37, Navy 27
Bet on Navy vs. ND with BetMGM, or for latest line 
Notre Dame -8.5, o/u: 53.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)

Want a 2nd opinion on who to bet in the Navy vs Notre Dame game? Click here to get WinnersAndWhiners.com’s predictions on the side, total, first half, and exotic bets! All Free!

ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Get Tickets For This Game

Must See Rating: 4

5: The Mandalorian (if it came out in 1984)
1: High School Musical: The Musical: The Series

Bowl Projections | CFN Rankings
Predicting The Rest of the Season
Week 12 Expert Picks

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2019 Michigan Football Week 12 Rooting Guide

Michigan Football takes on Michigan State on Saturday in their annual rivalry game. What other games should you focus on this week?

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With a week off, Michigan football is back this week. While they have a huge game against Michigan State, there are other big games happening around the country. Michigan fell a spot in the latest College Football Playoff rankings to 15 and they will need some help to get moving back up on the rankings.

There are four games this week that Michigan fans should pay attention too as they could help Michigan in the long run. Check out which four below.

Game 1: Indiana vs. No. 9 Penn State

This is for the Big Ten Championship hopes here. Penn State suffered their first loss last week to Minnesota, and the Wolverines need them to lose two more times this season. Indiana is up next for Penn State and they won’t be an easy win.

Indiana is ranked inside the AP polls and while they don’t matter anymore, a win over Penn State could put them into the CFP Top 25, and that means if Michigan wins over Michigan State this week, it will be an even bigger and tougher game next week against Indiana. Indiana looking tough means if Michigan beats them they look good too.

Root for: Indiana

Game 2: No. 4 Georiga vs. No. 12 Auburn

Another week where Auburn is featured on this list. Georgia is on pace to make the SEC title game, and a win over Auburn could push them over Clemson at the number three spot. Auburn is high for two losses, and a third should knock them out of the top 15.

Auburn getting out of Michigan’s way would be nice and they could even see a fourth loss to Alabama to close the season out. This week though, Georgia is the team you need to root for here.

Root for: No. 4 Georgia

Game 3: No. 8 Minnesota vs. No. 20 Iowa

Minnesota jumped Michigan after beating Penn State last week. Would Iowa defeating Minnesota do the same thing? No. Iowa has three losses and lost to Michigan earlier this season. Michigan looks stronger if Iowa wins so that only helps Michigan’s case for a solid bowl game later in the season.

Root for: No. 20 Iowa

Game 4: No. 10 Oklahoma vs. No. 13 Baylor

An undefeated team ahead of Michigan that has a chance of losing this week is Baylor. The two teams here most likely will play for the conference championship in a few weeks, but this game means more now as it has playoff implications with it. Baylor needs this win to show they are a threat, while Oklahoma needs this win to show that one loss doesn’t mean they are out of it.

Michigan would love it if both could lose, but the stronger team in its path is Baylor. Baylor losing will knock them down a few spots, and enough to fall below Michigan and out of their way. Michigan could move up big this week, and a loss to Baylor helps that even more.

Root for: No. 10 Oklahoma
Contact/Follow @WolverinesWire@BKnappBlogs

Georgia-Auburn odds: Bulldogs road favorites vs. Tigers

Previewing Saturday’s Georgia at Auburn college football matchup, with NCAA football betting odds, picks and best bets

The Auburn Tigers (7-2, 4-2 SEC) will try to play spoiler at home on Saturday afternoon against the Georgia Bulldogs (8-1, 5-1), who are trying to secure a spot in the College Football Playoff. Kickoff from Jordan-Hare Stadium is set for 3:30 p.m. ET.

We analyze the Georgia-Auburn odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Georgia at Auburn: Three things you need to know

1. Auburn has a better record against the spread than does Georgia this season despite being one game back in the standings. The Tigers are 7-2 ATS, while Georgia is just 5-4 in its nine games.

2. Georgia is 5-1 ATS in its last six games against Auburn, winning five games outright. Auburn’s win came in 2017 as 2.5-point underdogs, beating the Bulldogs 40-17.

3. Georgia ranks fourth in the nation in run defense, allowing just 74.6 yards per game on the ground. Auburn is 19th in rushing offense, averaging 219.3 yards per game.


Get some action on this game or others by placing a bet at BetMGM!


Georgia at Auburn: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1:20 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Auburn 24, Georgia 21

Moneyline (ML)

Auburn has been great at home, going 3-0 this season. The Tigers may be underdogs, but I think they win this game outright. They’ve been great late in the season in recent years, going 7-1 in their last eight Week 12 games.

Bet AUBURN (+125) to pull off the upset in a close one at home against one of its SEC rivals. If not for a three-point loss to LSU, Auburn could be right in the thick of the playoff hunt.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Auburn to win returns a profit of $12.50.

Against the Spread (ATS)

The Tigers enter as 2.5-point home underdogs to Georgia, which means the oddsmakers view these teams as almost even on a neutral field. Auburn is a quality opponent for the Bulldogs, with their only two losses coming to Florida and LSU.

Auburn is 7-2 ATS this season and should be able to cover this margin, if not win straight-up. Take AUBURN (100) and the points.

Over/Under (O/U)

These two teams have solid defenses and offenses that are built on running the ball, which is why the over/under is just 40.5 points. But they’ll find enough offense to go over that total.

Even though the total has gone under in five of the last six games between these teams, take the OVER (-110) on Saturday.

Get some action on this game or others, place a bet with BetMGM today. And for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @camdasilva and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Navy-Notre Dame odds: Fighting Irish favored in South Bend

Previewing Saturday’s Navy Midshipmen at Notre Dame Fighting Irish college football matchup, with NCAA football betting odds, picks and best bets

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-2) and Navy Midshipmen (7-1) play Saturday at Notre Dame Stadium in South Bend, Ind., at 2:30 p.m. ET.

We analyze the Navy-Notre Dame odds and betting lines while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Navy at Notre Dame: Three things you need to know

1. Notre Dame looked much better against Duke as the offense and defense finally gelled and played a solid game. The result was a 38-7 road rout that few honestly expected given how poorly the Irish looked against Virginia Tech the week before.

2. Navy, number one in the nation in rushing, comes in riding a five-game winning streak, which includes last week’s 56-10 romp over Connecticut.

3. Controlling the lines. This one can be staple gunned on here because of consistency issues with Notre Dame. That has and will be its one constant going forward. If Notre Dame can slow down the Navy’s rushing attack even a little, the Irish can easily win this game. If not, they are in trouble.


Get some action on this game or others by placing a bet at BetMGM.


Navy at Notre Dame: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:20 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Notre Dame 34, Navy 24

Moneyline (ML)

NOTRE DAME carries a -304 moneyline. The Fighting Irish are averaging only 177 yards per game on the ground, which is an unusually low total for them.

Navy (+240) must run and run often to keep Notre Dame off the field. Navy is tops in the nation averaging 348.3 yards per game. That will be vital if it expects to keep this one close. If Notre Dame can keep the Navy defense on the field, this figures to be an easier victory. Taking the moneyline is our pick but it is not that profitable.

Against the Spread (ATS)

Notre Dame is just 5-4 ATS and 3-2 ATS at home this year coming in just under a point above the cover projections. Navy is 2-1 ATS on the road and exceeds the cover by a whopping 15.7 points per contest.

The 8.5-point spread seems in line with what most are predicting. Irish QB Ian Book looked a little more composed against Duke than he had in the last several weeks. Notre Dame should be able to run better and get passes downfield against the Navy defense. Our pick is for NOTRE DAME to cover with the +105 number.

Over/Under (O/U)

The projected total is 53.5. This will be close but it is hard to trust Notre Dame’s defense in this tilt. Taking a small wager with the OVER (-110) is our pick.

Get some action on this game or others, place a bet with BetMGM today. And for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @ChrisWasselDFS and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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10 Best Predictions Against The Spread: Week 12. Reckless And Irresponsible Week

What ten college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 12? Here you go. Enjoy.

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What ten college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 12? Here you go. Enjoy.


Week 12 Fearless Predictions, Game Previews 
ACC | Big Ten | Big 12 | Pac-12 | SEC
AAC | C-USA | Ind | MAC | MW | Sun Belt
CFN Fearless Predictions & Game Previews
Week 12 Expert Picks & Predictions
Week 12 Final Thoughts, Betting Advice
10 Best Point Total Predictions


Contact @PeteFiutak

10 Best ATS Picks So Far: 58-55


Click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.

Enough safe and sane. It’s time to go against conventional wisdom, blow past everything we know to be dear and true, and make picks based on hardened theories that have worked well before and will now be applied in real time.

What does that all mean?

Welcome to Reckless and Irresponsible Week. They’re the picks you probably shouldn’t make, and in your heart of hearts, can’t make. But at the end of the day, these are will likely be the right ways to go. You’ll see in a moment.

And the ten games that appear to be a wee bit favorable are …

10. Ohio State at Rutgers

LINE: Ohio State -53
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS PICK: Rutgers
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

We’re going to kick this whole thing off with two hopelessly irresponsible picks – because conflicting predictions and conclusions are exactly what you’re looking for in a Ten Best Picks Against the Spread piece.

The official, more mature prediction in the Ohio State vs. Rutgers Game Preview is different. Of course Ohio State could win this by 54, or 84, or 104 if it wants to. But for anyone familiar with the tried-and-true method with the predictions over the years in this piece – and it worked when New Mexico State visited Alabama, and when UConn went to UCF, among other games – if someone wants to give 50 points or more, you take them, and you don’t ask questions.

Rutgers is going to get up on Saturday morning up 53-0 against Ohio State.

Too many things can go wrong for the Buckeyes not to get there. They have bigger fish to fry, so they might get up 48-0 at halftime, sit everyone, and stall the rest of the game. Rutgers could get a fluky touchdown. Ohio State could be unfocused for a quarter. There could be a lightning strike, a plague of locusts … it’s HARD to win a game by more than 53 points.

Ohio State could totally and completely wipe out the Scarlet Knights and win 55-3.

With all of that in mind, Irresponsible Pick No. 2 …

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9. UMass at Northwestern

LINE: Northwestern -41.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS PICK: UMass
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

There’s one massive difference between this game and the Ohio State-Rutgers game. Northwestern might not be nice, because this is the only time all year the O is going have a little fun.

Northwestern has scored a grand total of 63 points since hanging 30 on UNLV in mid-September, and now you’re asking it to win a game by 42?

UMass has allowed 56 points or more over the last four games to teams like Liberty and UConn, and lost to FIU 44-0. Again, take this with a HUGE grain of salt, because this is more about the Minutemen getting off the bus up 41-0 than what the real pick and prediction is for this week,

If this helps, UMass started out the season losing to Rutgers 48-21.

Part Three of this theme, but not quite as much …

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8. Wake Forest at Clemson

LINE: Clemson -34.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS PICK: Wake Forest
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Pick against Clemson right now at your own peril, and Wake Forest is coming off a 36-17 loss to Virginia Tech, but there’s just enough offense on the field to at least make this a wee bit closer than the big number.

It’s hardly a plus that top Demon Deacon WR Sage Surratt is done for the year, and Clemson is hanging up 55 on the board without breaking a sweat, but it can win this in a total wipeout and not get to the 35.

The Tigers might have won each of their last four games by well over 35 points each, but the Demon Deacons are just good enough to score a few late points. Clemson will win in an ugly blowout on Senior Day, but in the final Irresponsible Pick of the Week, the team with the nation’s 13th-best offense is already up 34.5-0.

Oh what the heck, let’s just stay Irresponsible and keep the theme going …

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7. Central Michigan at Ball State

LINE: Ball State -2
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS PICK: Ball State
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

What’s the most reckless way to make a pick? Spite.

Never, ever, ever, ever, chase, and that’s sort of what this pick is.

Who else had Buffalo -5.5 against Kent State?

It took an all-timer of a collapse – Kent State was 0-for-its-last-60 when down 21 points or more – in the fourth quarter to ruin that.

Throw in Toledo’s inexplicable home clunker to Northern Illinois, and Western Michigan coming through on the road in overtime against Ohio, and MACtion owes us.

So the final MAC game of the week is on here, only because we’re due for some puck luck.

Ball State has lost two straight, but Central Michigan isn’t strong on the road – 1-4 with the lone win coming against a bad Bowling Green team. The Chippewas are great overall against the run, but they’re 0-3 when allowing more than 125 rushing yards. NC State and Indiana are the only two teams to hold the Cardinals to under 150.

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6. Florida at Missouri

LINE: Florida -6.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS PICK: Florida
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

It worked just fine putting Florida here last week against Vanderbilt – covering the 26.5 with ease in a 56-0 rout – so let’s not mess with it.

Kelly Bryant is back at quarterback for Mizzou, but he’s less than 100%. There’s some fear that the cold of Columbia could be an issue for the Gainesville guys, but the defense should be just fine against a Tiger O that’s having massive problems scoring. It put up 21 points over the last three games against Vanderbilt, Kentucky and Georgia.

This feels a bit like a trap, but Mizzou has yet to beat at team this year that will go bowling, and the one good team it played – Georgia – just pitched a shutout. If Florida really is the No. 11 team in college football, it wins this in a walk.

NEXT: The Top Five Picks of the Week Against the Spread

Air Force vs Colorado State: Three Keys to a Rams Win

CSU has chance to gain bowl eligibility by winning two out of their last three games. Can the Rams beat the Falcons to move a step closer?

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Air Force vs Colorado State: Three Keys to a Rams Win


The Rams have a chance to move closer to bowl eligibility


Contact/Follow @J0shFr3d & @MWCwire

Can the Rams beat a rival?

WEEK 12: Air Force Falcons (7-2, 4-1 Mountain West) vs Colorado State Rams (4-5, 3-2 Mountain West)

WHEN: Saturday, November 16th — 5:00 PM MT/4:00 PM PT

WHERE: Canvas Stadium; Fort Collins, Colorado (41,000)

TV: ESPN2

RADIO: Air Force | Colorado State

SERIES RECORD: This will be the 58th matchup between the two teams. Air Force currently leads the series 35-21-1

WEBSITES: GoAirForceFalcons.com, the official Air Force athletics website | CSURams.com, the official Colorado State athletics website

ODDS (via OddsShark): Air Force -10

SP+ PROJECTION: Air Force by 14.1 (79% win probability)

FEI PROJECTION: Air Force by 20.2

The Colorado State Rams have a chance to gain bowl eligibility by winning two out of their last three games. This week, the Air Force Falcons and their option offense are standing in their way.

After games where the Rams let the Falcons score 40+ points, last season CSU kept the game close, losing 27-19. This season the Rams are riding high on a resurgent defense in conference play. Here’s how CSU can beat the Falcons.

Three Keys to a Colorado State Victory

1. Contain the fullback dive.

The Rams have had the fullback dive drilled into their heads over the past two weeks. “Every day. Every time I walk in the building,” defensive tackle Ellison Hubbard told CSURams.com. “We’re going to hear fullback dive, dive, just dive, dive, dive. We’re going to hear it.”

CSU gave up 260 yards and a touchdown to Cole Fagan last year. Fagan is no longer with the team, but the fullback still plays a big role in the offense with two of the Falcons top three rushers being fullbacks. The Rams need to limit the damage down from the Falcons fullback if they want to win.

2. The defense needs to stay with their assignments.

The Air Force Falcons are an extremely disciplined football team; which comes as a result of their daily military training. They know their assignments and they know how to execute to make a team pay for their mistakes.

If the Rams are to walk away with a victory, they cannot freelance anything. If the CSU defense tries to get cute, the Falcons will break open a big, chunk yards play. The Rams will need to play smash mouth, keep on assignment football to beat the Falcons.

3. Get the running game going.

The Air Force Falcons defense against the run ranks ninth in the country, allowing only 96.8 yards per game. The Rams rushing attack is currently averaging 156.6 yards per game. Something has to give on Saturday and the Rams are hoping it everything falls their way.

Colorado State’s leading rusher, Marvin Kinsey, was suspended and eventually let go from the team. However, the Rams rushing attacked hasn’t faltered at all with Marcus McElroy being the one to step up and take on the roll of a bell cow. McElroy will need to play a big role if the Rams are to win.

Prediction

This game is always a toss-up as to who wins. Yes, Air Force has won more often than not. But the results have varied widely from blowouts by both sides to three-point victories by both sides. The Rams have the ability and talent to match up well against Air Force, it’s just a matter of execution. Expect the Rams to be on after the bye week and win a close game.

CSU 38, Air Force 35

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