2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

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The NASCAR season wraps up at Phoenix Raceway Sunday with the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET (NBC) for the final start of the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NASCAR odds around the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race: What you need to know

  • After 9 playoff races, including 3 elimination races, Ryan Blaney, Joey Logano, Tyler Reddick and William Byron make up the final 4 as they’ll compete to win the Cup title Sunday.
  • Team Penske driver Ryan Blaney aims for a 2nd consecutive NASCAR Cup Series championship. He had the best practice time with a 132.480 mph top speed heading into Sunday’s race, in which he’ll start 17th.
  • Hendrick Motorsports’ William Byron was also sharp in practice, posting a best speed of 132.004 mph, as he vies for his 1st Cup title. He’ll start 8th.
  • Penske’s Joey Logano qualified 2nd with a time of 134.69 mph. He’s aiming for his 3rd NASCAR Cup Series championship, all since 2018.
  • 23XI Racing driver Tyler Reddick qualified 10th as he looks for his 1st series title. He was just 21st in practice with a best speed of 130.795 mph.
  • Joe Gibbs Racing driver Martin Truex Jr., who is retiring from full-time NASCAR competition after this race, won the pole with a speed of 134.741 mph. He has 1 win in 37 career starts in Phoenix with 6 top-5’s out of his 16 top-10’s.
  • Blaney has never won at Phoenix, but he leads all Championship 4 drivers with a 10.9 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 17 career Cup starts at the flat track. He has finished inside the top 5 on 8 occasions, leading 431 laps with 2 DNFs.
  • Byron has a checkered flag in his 13 Cup races at Phoenix, while posting 7 top-10 finishes and 186 laps led with 0 DNFs and a 93.6 Average Driver Rating.
  • Logano leads all Championship 4 drivers with 3 checkered flags in Avondale, while posting 8 top-5 runs and 16 top-10 finishes with 908 laps led and 3 DNFs with a 13.5 AFP in 31 career Cup starts.
  • Reddick has just 9 Cup starts in his career at the Arizona flat track, going for only 2 top-5 finishes and 3 top-10 runs with 1 DNF and a dismal 82.6 Average Driver Rating.
  • JGR driver Denny Hamlin has a 10.8 AFP in 38 career Cup starts with 16 top-5 finishes and 936 laps led at Phoenix. He’ll start 14th.
  • Hendrick’s Kyle Larson has a win and 8 top-5 finishes in 20 career Cup starts with 382 laps led and a 97.2 Average Driver Rating. He’ll start 4th.

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NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NASCAR odds. Lines last updated at 3:11 a.m. ET.

RYAN BLANEY (+250) is the safe play. He won the championship last season, finishing as the runner-up in the season finale to Trackhouse Racing’s Ross Chastain, who wasn’t in the final 4 picture. In fact, Blaney and Chastain made contact after a late-race restart last season.

There is safety in numbers here, too. Team Penske has won the past 2 championships. Blaney has his teammate Logano to work with. Now, if it comes down to those 2 in the final lap, obviously all bets are off. But they can each help each other get into a better and safe position during the early to middle laps.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race – Contender

TYLER REDDICK (+1300) didn’t get into the Championship 4 by accident. He is a good driver, even though his results at Phoenix Raceway over his career haven’t been great. In practice, Reddick was just 21st with a 130.795 mph, so he has work to do.

In 9 career Cup starts at the flat track in Phoenix, Reddick has managed just 2 top-5 finishes, 3 top-10 runs and only 5 placements inside the top 20, posting 72 laps led, 1 DNF and a mediocre 82.6 Average Driver Rating.

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2024 Xfinity 500 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2024 Xfinity 500 at Martinsville Speedway, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

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The NASCAR Cup Series is at Martinsville Speedway Sunday for the 2024 Xfinity 500. The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET (NBC) for the final start of 3  Round of 8 races in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NASCAR odds around the 2024 Xfinity 500 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

Xfinity 500: What you need to know

  • Joe Gibbs Racing driver Martin Truex Jr. is on the pole for Sunday’s race after posting a best speed of 96.190 mph in qualifying
  • Truex, no longer alive in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs, has 3 career wins at Martinsville with 10 top-15 finishes and 1,063 laps led in 37 career starts with a 15.9 Average-Finish Position (AFP)
  • Team Penske driver Ryan Blaney leads all active drivers with an 8.8 AFP in 17 career Cup starts with a win and 9 top-5 finishes. He enters sixth in the playoff standings, still alive for a Championship 4 spot
  • JGR’s Denny Hamlin has 5 career Cup victories at Martinsville while posting 19 top-5 finishes and 2,448 laps led with a 10.2 AFP in 37 career Cup starts
  • Hamlin will start from the back of the field in 37th, as he smacked the wall on Turn 3 in practice Saturday, heavily damaging his car due to an apparent hung throttle
  • JGR’s Christopher Bell sits atop the playoff standings. In 9 career Cup starts he has a win, 159 laps led and a 16.2 AFP at Martinsville. Bell is set to go off 16th Sunday
  • Hendrick Motorsports driver William Byron has 2 career Cup wins at the Virginia short track, while posting a 13.8 AFP in 13 career starts. He’ll go off third on Sunday
  • Hendrick’s Chase Elliott is still alive in eighth place in the playoff standings. He has a win, 6 top-5 finishes and 1,104 laps led with a 12.7 AFP in 18 career Cup starts at Martinsville. He goes off second Sunday

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Xfinity 500 – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NASCAR odds. Lines last updated at 12:51 a.m. ET.

KYLE LARSON (+600) is a good value for the chance to multiply up by 6 times with a victory.

He currently sits in third place in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs standings, as he vies for a spot in the Championship 4.

Larson has 19 career Cup starts at the “Paper Clip”, going for a win, 5 top-5 finishes and just 7 top-19 runs, so this hasn’t been his best track. He has a 16.7 AFP, too, which is middle of the road, while posting 4 DNFs. However, he needs a strong finish to head to Phoenix for a shot at a championship, and he is a good bet to do just that.

Xfinity 500 – Contender

JOEY LOGANO (+2000) is still alive in the playoff standings, but he’ll need a lot of help. He checks in seventh, 28 points back of Tyler Reddick below the cut line. He’ll likely be going all out, as it’s now or never.

Logano is 4th among active drivers with a 10.8 AFP in 31 career Cup starts at Martinsville. While he has just a one grandfather clock to his name, the prize awarded for winning at the Virginia short track, he does have 11 top-5 finishes and 19 top-10 runs with 1,208 laps led and 0 DNFs.

For the chance to multiply up by 20 times, Logano is a strong value. He goes off from the 12th spot in the starting grid.

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2024 Straight Talk Wireless 400 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2024 Straight Talk Wireless 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

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The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Homestead-Miami Speedway Sunday for the 2024 Straight Talk Wireless 400. The green flag drops at 2:30 p.m. ET (NBC) for the second race of three Round of 8 races in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NASCAR odds around the 2024 Straight Talk Wireless 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

Straight Talk Wireless 400: What you need to know

  • 23XI Racing driver Tyler Reddick captured the pole for Sunday’s race with a best speed of 167.452 mph in qualifying. He is sixth in the NASCAR Cup Series playoff standings
  • Reddick has 4 career Cup starts at HMS, posting 3 top-5 finishes and 1 DNF with an 11.0 Average-Finish Position (AFP) and 4 laps led
  • Joe Gibbs Racing driver Christopher Bell leads all drivers with a 10.0 AFP in 4 Cup starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway, with 1 win, 2 top-10 finishes and 30 laps led
  • JGR’s Denny Hamlin has picked up 3 checkered flags at HMS to lead all active drivers, while finishing inside the top 10 in 12 of his 19 Cup starts (63.2%) at the South Florida track. Hamlin will start 4th Sunday
  • Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson qualified second for Sunday’s race with a speed of 167.053 mph. He is also second in the playoff standings
  • JGR’s Martin Truex Jr. makes his final Homestead-Miami Cup start. He has a win among his 7 top-5 finishes and 12 top-10 runs in 19 career starts with a 10.9 AFP and 387 laps led
  • Hendrick’s Chase Elliott, eighth in the playoff standings, is second among all drivers with a 10.4 AFP in 8 career Cup starts at the South Florida track. He will start in the lucky seventh spot Sunday
  • Florida native Ross Chastain has had a tough time at Homestead in his career, posting a 23.6 AFP in 5 career Cup starts with 1 DNF
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr., who qualified fifth for Sunday’s start, has a 21.7 AFP in 12 career Cup starts with 2 DNFs

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Straight Talk Wireless 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NASCAR odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:35 p.m. ET.

DENNY HAMLIN (+800) is always a threat to take checkers at Homestead-Miami Speedway. The JGR program in general has had tremendous success at the track, winning 3 of the past 5 races.

The driver of the No. 11 machine has posted 3 career wins among his 5 top-5 finishes and 12 top-10 showings with 428 laps led in 19 career Cup starts. He has an impressive 10.9 AFP with an Average Driver Rating of 98.1.

If you’re conservative, playing HAMLIN TOP-5 FINISH (+110) still has value as a plus-money wager.

Straight Talk Wireless 400 – Contender

CHASE ELLIOTT (+1600) is worth a look as he figures to drive with some urgency. He is eighth in the playoff standings heading into this second race of the Round of 8.

Elliott has had tremendous success in his career at Homestead-Miami Speedway. While he has never won, he has been a runner-up before, while finishing inside the top 5 in 2 of his 8 career starts at the track.

If you’re not feeling an outright-winner wager, betting ELLIOTT TOP-5 FINISH (+210) is a solid play for the opportunity to potentially more than double up.

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2024 South Point 400 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2024 South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

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The NASCAR Cup Series moves to the Las Vegas Motor Speedway Sunday for the 2024 South Point 400. The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET (NBC) for the 1st race of 3 Round of 8 races in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NASCAR odds around the 2024 South Point 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 South Point 400: What you need to know

  • Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson leads all active drivers with a 9.3 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 16 career Cup starts LVMS while posting 3 checkered flags and 8 top-5 finishes. Larson goes off 5th on Sunday
  • Larson tops the playoff standings, 20 points clear of Christopher Bell heading into the Round of 8 races
  • Bell snagged the pole with a best speed of 185.344 mph in qualifying, and he is 1 of 4 Toyotas starting in the 1st 2 rows. Bell has a so-so 19.1 AFP with just 2 top-5 finishes in 9 career Cup starts at LVMS
  • Hendrick’s Alex Bowman, eliminated from the playoffs, is the top Chevy in the starting grid, going off 3rd
  • Team Penske’s Joey Logano is 8th in the playoff standings. He is the top Ford in the starting grid, going off 10th
  • Logano has 3 career wins at Las Vegas, posting 7 top-5 finishes and 13 top-10 runs with 538 laps led in 22 career Cup starts. He has a 9.9 AFP
  • Joe Gibbs Racing driver Martin Truex Jr. has 2 career wins at LVMS, 7 top-5 finishes and 16 top-10 runs in 25 career Cup starts, and he is 2nd among active drivers with a 9.8 AFP
  • Hendrick’s Chase Elliott has never won in Vegas, while posting just 3 top-5 finishes and 178 laps led with 3 DNFs in 14 career Cup starts while posting a mediocre 18.6 AFP
  • JGR’s Denny Hamlin has a win, 6 top-5 finishes and 13 top-10 runs with 408 laps led in 25 career Cup starts in Vegas with a 12.5 AFP
  • Hendrick’s William Byron has a win at LVMS in 13 career Cup starts, with a 15.1 AFP and 271 laps led

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2024 South Point 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NASCAR odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:38 p.m. ET.

KYLE LARSON (+360) is the chalk, but he is a strong play at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.

While Toyotas dominated in qualifying, Larson is lurking in the weeds at 5th in the starting grid. Don’t be surprised to see the No. 5 machine slide to the top of the line early in Sunday’s race, and lead a significant amount of laps.

He leads all active drivers with the 9.3 AFP, while 50.0% of his starts in Las Vegas have resulted in a finish of 5th or better. He also has an Average Driver Rating of 105.4, leading all active drivers.

2024 South Point 400 – Contender

CHASE ELLIOTT (+1300) isn’t a bad play at this price point.

While Elliott has never won at LVMS, he is 7th in the NASCAR standings heading into the Round of 8 races. Elliott has posting 5 finishes inside the Top 10, but he has 3 DNFs. There is plenty of risk, but Elliott needs a strong finish, and Chevrolet has won 3 straight races at the track, while posting checkered flags in 6 of the past 8 starts since Sept. 27, 2020.

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2024 Bank of America ROVAL 400 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2024 Bank of America ROVAL 400 at Charlotte Motor Speedway Road Course, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

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The NASCAR Cup Series moves to the Charlotte Motor Speedway Road Course Sunday for the 2024 Bank of America ROVAL 400. The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET (NBC) for the final race of 3 Round of 12 races in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NASCAR odds around the 2024 Bank of America ROVAL 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 Bank of America ROVAL 400: What you need to know

  • AJ Allmendinger took checkers last season in the ROVAL race, giving Chevrolet its 4th win in the past 5 starts at the track
  • Joe Gibbs Racing driver Christopher Bell, currently 2nd in the playoff standings, won on the ROVAL in 2022, the only time a Toyota has been to Victory Lane in the 6 ROVAL 400 races
  • Team Penske’s Ryan Blaney, 6th in the playoff standings, won the initial ROVAL race back on Sept. 30, 2018. That’s the only time Ford has won on the ROVAL
  • In 6 Sprint Cup races on the ROVAL, the winner has come from a starting spot of 10th or higher on 5 occasions. The pole-sitter has never taken checkers, however
  • Kaulig Racing driver Shane Van Gisbergen is on the pole for Sunday’s Cup Series race. He was also on the pole for Saturday’s Xfinity Series race
  • 23XI Racing’s Tyler Reddick, 7th in the playoff standings, will go off from the 2nd spot next to the pole-sitter Van Gisbergen. In 4 ROVAL Cup Series starts, he has a 7.0 Average-Finish Position (AFP)
  • Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott is the only 2-time winner on the ROVAL, posting an 8.2 AFP with a circuit-best 109 laps led. He goes off from the lucky 7th spot on Sunday
  • Standings leader William Byron starts from the 10th position. He has started all 6 ROVAL Cup races, posting a 12.5 AFP with 80 laps led and 1 DNF

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Bank of America ROVAL 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NASCAR odds. Lines last updated at 2:18 a.m. ET.

CHASE ELLIOTT (+1200) is a value play at this price as you’ll multiply your wager by 12. That’s a great return on a guy who has won one-third of the 6 NASCAR Cup Series races on the ROVAL.

Elliott flamed out at Talladega last week, finishing 29th, dropping him to 8th in the playoff standings. He is just 13 points above the cut line, ahead of Team Penske’s Joey Logano.

Elliott needs a strong run on the ROVAL, and he should get it to not only stay in the playoffs, but perhaps grab checkers for a record 3rd time at the Charlotte Motor Speedway Road Course.

Bank of America ROVAL 400 – Contender

CHRISTOPHER BELL (+1400) is a solid value at this price point. He won the 2022 installment, and in 4 career Cup Series ROVAL starts, he has 2 top-10 finishes, a 12.0 AFP, 17 laps led and a 90.5 Average Driver Rating.

Bell goes off from the 12th starting position Sunday, so that’s a bit of a drawback. We’ve only had 1 driver, Elliott on Sept. 29, 2019, start from 11th or higher while picking up checkers.

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2024 Yellawood 500 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2024 Yellawood 500 at Talladega Superspeedway, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

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The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Talladega Superspeedway Sunday for the 2024 Yellawood 500. The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET (NBC) for the 2nd contest of 3 Round of 12 races in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NASCAR odds around the 2024 Yellawood 500 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 Yellawood 500: What you need to know

  • Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott leads all active drivers at Talladega (min. 6 starts) with a 13.7 Average-Finish Position (AFP) with 2 wins, 5 top-5 finishes and 214 laps led in 17 career Cup starts
  • Stewart-Haas Racing’s Chase Briscoe, currently 25 points below the cut line for the Round of 8, has a very good 14.4 AFP in 7 career Cup starts at ‘Dega, with a best finish of 4th in the 2023 spring race. He has been 13th or better in each of his past 4 starts at the Alabama superspeedway
  • 23XI Racing’s Tyler Reddick won the GEICO 500 at the Talladega spring race on April 21, just edging out RFK Racing’s Brad Keselowski. Despite that finish, Reddick has a 19.2 AFP in 9 career Cup starts with 2 DNFs
  • Trackhouse Racing’s Ross Chastain, who won last week at Kansas, has a Cup win at Talladega, but he also has just 2 top-10 finishes and a poor 19.5 AFP in 9 11 career Cup starts
  • Joe Gibbs Racing driver Martin Truex Jr. has struggled in his career at Talladega, with no wins and just 3 top-5 finishes in 39 Cup starts with 13 DNFs and a dismal 21.0 AFP
  • SHR’s Noah Gragson finished 3rd in the GEICO 500 in April, his best Cup finish at the superspeedway in 4 tries
  • Mississippi native Ricky Stenhouse Jr. has a win at Talladega in 22 career Cup stats, with 7 top-5 finishes and 118 laps led with a 15.1 AFP
  • Hendrick’s Kyle Larson has had a tough time at Talladega over the years, posting just a single top-5 finish, 3 top-10 runs and 6 DNFs in 19 career Cup starts at the superspeedway

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2024 Yellawood 500 – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NASCAR odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:12 p.m. ET.

CHASE ELLIOTT (+1600) is a tremendous value at this price. He has managed to stay pretty clean at Talladega in his career, managing just 3 DNFs in 17 career Cup starts with 2 wins, 5 top-5 finishes and 214 laps led with a 13.7 AFP.

Elliott finished 15th in the spring race at Talladega, so look for improvement on Sunday, especially as he checks in 7th in the playoff standings, and he needs a good finish to keep his Championship 4 hopes alive and well.

ELLIOTT TOP-10 FINISH (-130) isn’t priced out of line if you’re a little more conservative and you’d like to go that route, too.

2024 Yellawood 500 – Contender

CHASE BRISCOE (+3000) is driving a throwback paint scheme car to honor former NASCAR driver and current SHR team owner Tony Stewart at Talladega. Briscoe’s playoff hopes are on life support, too, as he sits 11th in the standings with just 2 races until the Round of 8. He needs a strong finish, and he could get one at the superspeedway.

Briscoe has been 13th or better in each of his past 4 starts at the track, including a run of 4th in the spring race in 2023. He is fighting to keep his title hopes alive, hoping to get to at least the Round of 8 for the 2nd time in his career. And, he has the hopes of SHR on his shoulders, too, as that team looks to finish strong before closing up shop at the end of the current season.

BRISCOE TOP-10 FINISH (+160) is still an extremely strong value if you don’t want to roll the dice on an outright victory.

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2024 Hollywood Casino 400 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2024 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

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The NASCAR Cup Series is at Kansas Speedway Sunday for the 2024 Hollywood Casino 400. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET (USA Network) for the 1st race of the Round of 12 in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NASCAR odds around the 2024 Hollywood Casino 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 Hollywood Casino 400: What you need to know

  • Joe Gibbs Racing driver Christopher Bell is on the pole for Sunday’s race. Bell, currently 2nd in the playoff standings, has never won at Kansas in 9 Cup starts, but he has 6 top-10 finishes and a 14.1 Average-Finish Position (AFP)
  • JGR’s Denny Hamlin, who made the Round of 12 with a strong finish in the Bristol Night Race last weekend, has 4 career wins at Kansas to lead all active drivers. He enters with a 12.3 AFP, and he’ll go off 8th in Sunday’s grid
  • Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson, who tops the standings, has 2 career wins at Kansas in 19 Cup starts with a 12.3 AFP, 702 laps led and a 104.3 Average Rating
  • JGR’s Martin Truex Jr., who was eliminated from the playoffs last week, has 2 career wins with 11 top-5 finishes, 19 top-10 runs and 906 laps led in 32 career Cup starts at Kansas
  • Team Penske’s Joey Logano has 3 career wins at Kansas in 30 Cup starts, but he also has 4 DNFs and a dismal 16.9 AFP
  • Stewart-Haas Racing’s Chase Briscoe sits 12th in the playoff standings, and he’ll go off 9th Sunday. He has never finished better than 13th in 7 Cup starts at Kansas while posting a 21.1 AFP
  • Hendrick’s Chase Elliott leads all active drivers at Kansas with a 10.2 AFP in 17 career Cup starts. However, he goes off from the back of the field due to engine trouble in Saturday’s practice session

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2024 Hollywood Casino 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NASCAR odds. Lines last updated at 12:09 a.m. ET.

CHRISTOPHER BELL (+700) is a much better value than playing Kyle Larson (+325), who is listed as the chalk. Backing the polesitter gives you a chance to multiply your initial wager by 7 times if he is able to steer his ride to checkers.

While Bell has never won a Cup race at Kansas, he did win once in the Xfinity Series at this track, and he has finished in the top 10 in 6 of his 9 career Cup starts so far, with just one DNF, and he has been as high as 3rd.

2024 Hollywood Casino 400 – Contender(s)

BRAD KESELOWSKI (+2200) is worth a roll of the dice. He is no longer in the playoffs after getting bumped out at Bristol last week, but he has a chance to make some noise on Sunday.

The RFK Racing driver has 2 wins with 7 top-5 finishes and 14 top-10 runs in 29 career Cup starts at Kansas Speedway, and he has led the pack for 351 laps. He is 2nd among all active drivers with an impressive 12.2 AFP, too.

If that’s a little too risky for you, ALEX BOWMAN (+1300) is a driver not a lot of people are talking about. He is 11th in the playoff standings, and he has been solid, yet unspectacular at Kansas in his career.

Bowman has a 15.2 AFP in his Cup career at Kansas, good for 8th among active full-time drivers. He has 9 top-10 finishes in his 17 Cup starts, with 183 laps led.

BOWMAN AND/OR KESELOWSKI TOP-10 FINISH isn’t a bad prop bet, either, when those become available.

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2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Saturday’s 2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

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The NASCAR Cup Series returns to Bristol Motor Speedway Saturday for the 2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race. The green flag drops at 7 p.m. ET (USA Network) for the 3rd race of the 2024 Cup Series Playoffs. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NASCAR odds around the 2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race: What you need to know

  • This is the final race of the Round of 16 in the 2024 Cup Series Playoffs. Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin (-6), RFK Racing’s Brad Keselowski (-12), JGR’s Martin Truex Jr. (-14) and Wood Brothers Racing’s Harrison Burton (-20) are outside the top-12 cut line.
  • Non-playoff driver Chris Buescher earned the win at Watkins Glen International last week in the 2nd playoff race, while Joey Logano advanced to the Round of 12 with his win 2 weeks ago in Atlanta
  • Hamlin is 2nd among active drivers with 4 career Cup wins at Bristol, behind Richard Childress Racing driver Kyle Busch (8)
  • Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott leads all active drivers with an 11.6 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 14 career races, while posting 4 top-5 finishes, 8 top-10 runs and 444 laps led
  • Keselowski has 3 career Cup wins at Bristol, while turning in a 15.8 AFP, 7 top-5 finishes and 1,014 laps led in 26 career Cup starts
  • Logano has 2 all-time Cup wins in Thunder Valley, while posting 10 top-10 finishes in 28 starts with a 16.3 AFP and 3 DNFs
  • Burton, who is well below the cut line to advance to the Round of 12, has a dismal 25.3 AFP in 3 career Cup start at BMS, posting finishes of 16th, 28th and 32nd
  • Truex has never won at Bristol in 34 career starts, posting a subpar 20.2 AFP with just 3 top-5 runs, 5 top-10 finishes and 5 DNFs in 34 career Cup races at the track

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2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NASCAR odds. Lines last updated at 5:46 a.m. ET.

BRAD KESELOWSKI (+1300) is the best bet to win Saturday’s night race.

Keselowski has not had great success in the 1st 2 races of the Cup Series playoffs, obviously, finishing 19th in Atlanta, and 26th at Watkins Glen. However, he is always a threat at Bristol, and he finished 3rd in the spring race at Thunder Valley after going off from the 17th position.

Keselowski has 3 Cup wins, 10 top-10 finishes and 1,014 laps led in 26 career starts at the track, and he has never had a DNF at Bristol, which is rather miraculous. KESELOWSKI TOP-5 FINISH (+190) — from FanDuel Sportsbook — is still a good value, too, as he’ll likely do everything in his power to move up the leaderboard and advance at a track he has always been very good.

2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race – Contender

JOEY LOGANO (+2200) doesn’t need the win, as he has already punched his ticket to the next round of the playoffs. However, it would be so Logano to win again at Bristol, dashing the dreams of others who need the victory.

He has managed 2 career checkered flags in the Cup Series at Bristol, while finishing 10th or higher on 10 occasions, with a 16.3 AFP in his 28 career starts.

LOGANO TOP-10 FINISH (-115) — from FanDuel Sportsbook — is also not priced out of line, if you want to play it a lot more on the safe side.

Check out Motorsports Wire: For the auto racing fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website covers NASCAR, F1, IndyCar and more.

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2024 Go Bowling At The Glen odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2024 Go Bowling At The Glen at Watkins Glen International, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

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The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Watkins Glen International Sunday for the Go Bowling At The Glen. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET (USA Network) for the 2nd race of the 2024 Cup Series Playoffs. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the 2024 Go Bowling At The Glen odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 Go Bowling At The Glen: What you need to know

  • Team Penske driver Joey Logano won at Atlanta in overtime in the 1st playoff race to officially advance to the 2nd round. He has 2 wins, 4 top-5 finishes and 394 laps led in 22 career Cup starts at The Glen. He’ll go off 7th on Sunday
  • RFK Racing driver Brad Keselowski has 2 wins, 5 top-5 finishes and 203 laps led in 20 career Cup starts at Watkins Glen with a 15.2 Average-Finish Position (AFP). He starts just 28th after a best speed of 120.711 mph in qualifying
  • TrackHouse Racing’s Ross Chastain is on the poll after turning in a best speed of 122.279 mph in qualifying, just ahead of Joe Gibbs Racing’s Martin Truex Jr. at 122.052 mph
  • MTJ has a solid 16.1 AFP in 30 career Cup starts at Watkins Glen, but he has never won and he has 5 DNFs
  • Team Penske’s Ryan Blaney leads all drivers with a 10.0 AFP in 13 career Cup starts at Watkins Glen, posting a win, 6 top-5 finishes and 174 laps led. He starts from the 30th position Sunday
  • Hendrick Motorsports driver William Byron is the defending Cup champ at The Glen, and Hendrick has won 5 straight starts at the track. He has 2 wins, 4 top-10 finishes and a 16.9 AFP in 11 career Cup starts at the New York road course
  • JGR’s Denny Hamlin has a win in 29 career Cup starts, but he has a 17.3 AFP with just 6 top-5 finishes and 4 DNFs with a Driver Rating of 92.8. Hamlin goes off 22nd on Sunday
  • Ford hasn’t won at Watkins Glen since Logano took checkers Aug. 9, 2015
  • The winner of the Cup race at Watkins Glen has come from the 6th starting spot or higher in each of the past 7 races, and 12 of the previous 13 starts. The exception for Logano, starting 16th in 2015
  • Shane Van Gisbergen (+400), listed as the chalk, was 32nd in his only previous Watkins Glen Cup start, and he has finished 26th or worse in each of his past 6 starts since finishing 20th at COTA in his Cup season debut race

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2024 Go Bowling At The Glen – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:24 a.m. ET.

A.J. ALLMENDINGER (+1100) looks to be a party crasher in Sunday’s race at The Glen. He goes off from the 6th starting spot, which fits the requirements we’re looking for. As mentioned above, the eventual Cup Series winner in 12 of the past 13 races has started 6th or better.

Allmendinger has always been a tremendous road course racer, and generally, that’s the only time to pay him any mind on the Cup Series circuit. He has 15 career Cup starts at Watkins Glen under his belt, posting 4 top-10 finishes and just 1 DNF.

2024 Go Bowling At The Glen – Contender

JOEY LOGANO (+1600) starts just outside of the Top 6, going off 7th in Sunday’s starting grid.

The driver of the No. 22 machine comes in with a head of steam after winning the opening race of the playoffs in Atlanta. Be careful, though, as Ford hasn’t been to Victory Lane since 2015, when he won at The Glen.

Logano has managed 2 victories, 4 top-5 finishes, 8 top-10 runs and 0 DNFs in his 22 career Cup starts with a 15.9 AFP, so he is always a danger to take checkers in western New York.

Check out Motorsports Wire: For the auto racing fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website covers NASCAR, F1, IndyCar and more.

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2024 Quaker State 400 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2024 Quaker State 400 at Atlanta, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

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The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Atlanta Motor Speedway Sunday for the  Quaker State 400 Available at Walmart. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET (USA Network) for the 1st race of the 2024 Cup Series Playoffs. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the 2024 Quaker State 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 Quaker State 400: What you need to know

  • Front Row Motorsports driver Michael McDowell, not among the 16 playoff drivers, is on the pole for Sunday’s race after a best speed of 179.267 mph in qualifying
  • Team Penske driver Ryan Blaney, who collected 193 stage points, 3rd-best in the Cup Series, was 5th in the standings through 36 races. He will go off 2nd on the outside of Row 1. Blaney’s odds to win his 2nd straight series championship are +800
  • Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson is the favorite to win the Cup Series at +350. He qualified 6th with a best speed of 178.367 mph, the 2nd-highest staring position of any playoff driver
  • Team Penske’s Joey Logano starts 7th on Sunday. He has a win, 3 top-5 finishes and 7 top-10 runs in 21 career Cup starts at Atlanta, with an Average-Finish Position (AFP) of 16.6. He has odds of +1600 to win the championship
  • Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin starts last in the playoff opener after what was believed to be a powertrain issue in qualifying. He has the 2nd-shortest odds to win a championship at +450
  • Georgia native Chase Elliott has the 2nd-best AFP of any active driver at Atlanta, his home track, posting an 11.8 AFP in 11 Cup starts with 1 win, 8 top-10 finishes and 164 laps led. His odds to win the Cup Series title stand at +1200
  • JGR’s Christopher Bell had a tough time in qualifying, posting a best speed of just 176.336 mph. He’ll go off 26th on Sunday. He has the 3rd-best odds to win a championship at +450
  • Hendrick’s William Byron goes off from the 9th spot Sunday. He has 2 career wins in Atlanta in 10 Cup starts, posting a 17.7 AFP. Byron has the 5th-shortest odds at +700 to secure a championship

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2024 Quaker State 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:55 a.m. ET.

RYAN BLANEY (+1000) is a strong pick in the playoff opener, especially at a return of 10 times your initial wager.

The defending Cup Series champion leads all active drivers at Atlanta with a 10.6 AFP in 12 career starts with 1 win, 5 top-5 finishes and 7 top-10 runs while leading 141 laps.

If you’re a little more on the conservative side, playing RYAN BLANEY TOP-5 FINISH (+125) still pays plus-money, and isn’t a bad bet if you like to bet a series of props. He has finished 5th or better in 41.7% (5-of-12) of his Cup Series starts in Atlanta.

2024 Quaker State 400 – Contender

AUSTIN CINDRIC (+1800) is a good pick to crash the party in Atlanta as a non-playoff race winner. The Team Penske driver has been strong over the years at the track, posting a 2 top-5 finishes and 4 top-20 finishes with 54 laps led and a 14.0 AFP, 5th-best among active drivers, in 6 career Cup Series starts.

If you don’t like him to win, CINDRIC TOP-10 FINISH (-160) isn’t priced out of line.

Check out Motorsports Wire: For the auto racing fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website covers NASCAR, F1, IndyCar and more.

2024 Quaker State 400 prop pick

WILLIAM BYRON – GROUP 2 WINNER (+410)

Take a look to Hendrick’s Byron for the chance to quadruple up in group betting. He must finish higher than 4 others drivers — Elliott, Logano, RFK Racing’s Brad Keselowski and JGR’s Martin Truex Jr. It won’t be easy, but for a chance to multiply up by more than 4 times, this is a strong wager. Byron and Keselowski each have 2 career Cup wins in Atlanta, and Kes might be his biggest challenger.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1950]