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The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Kansas Speedway Sunday for the 2024 AdventHealth 400. The green flag is scheduled to drop approximately at 3 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the 2024 AdventHealth 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 AdventHealth 400: What you need to know

Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott leads all active drivers with a 10.6 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 16 career Cup starts in Kansas. He has a win, 6 top-5 finishes and 10 top-10 runs with 249 laps led
Legacy Motor Club driver Jimmie Johnson, who is ironically sponsored by AdventHealth for this race, has an 11.8 AFP in 29 career Cup starts at Kansas, with 3 wins, 9 top-5 finishes and 19 top-10 runs
RFK Racing’s Brad Keselowski has managed 2 Cup wins at Kansas, while posting 7 top-5 finishes and 14 top-10 showings in 28 starts at Kansas
Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin has managed 4 career wins, 13 top-5 finishes and 14 top-10 runs with 446 laps led in 31 Cup starts with a 12.5 AFP
Penske Racing’s Joey Logano is tied for 2nd with Johnson among active drivers with 3 Cup wins at Kansas, posting a 16.2 AFP with 9 top-5 finishes and 510 laps led. He does have 4 DNFs, however
Hendrick’s William Byron has never won at Kansas despite a 14.1 AFP in 12 Cup starts, highest among all active drivers without a checkered flag at the track
JGR’s Ty Gibbs has been erratic in 3 previous Cup starts at Kansas, posting an AFP of 27.3, finishing 14th, 34th and 34th with 2 DNFs
Front Row Motorsports driver Michael McDowell has a dismal 27.5 AFP in 25 career Cup starts at Kansas, and he leads all active drivers with 7 DNFs at the track

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2024 AdventHealth 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:09 a.m. ET.

MARTIN TRUEX JR. (+900) is a strong value at Kansas for the chance to multiply your initial wager by 9 times.

MTJ has strong numbers in his career at Kansas Speedway, posting 2 wins, 10 top-5 finishes and 17 top-10 runs in his 31 Cup starts, while leading the pack for 906 laps. The last figure is actually the best among all active drivers, and it isn’t even close. Hendrick’s Kyle Larson is 2nd with 639 laps led, following by Legacy Motor Club’s Johnson (601) and Penske’s Logano (510).

2024 AdventHealth 400 – Contender

ALEX BOWMAN (+2800) comes with some rather long odds, but he has fared well in his Cup career at Kansas Speedway. In 16 career starts, he has never picked up a victory, but he has 3 top-5 finishes, and 8 of his starts, or half, have resulted in a finish of 10th or better with 183 laps led.

Bowman started the season with a runner-up finish in the Daytona 500 before falling on hard times with 3 straight finishes of 18th or lower. However, he has been 8th or better in 3 of his past 4 starts, and 5 of his past 7 races, so he is definitely lurking in the weeds and worth a roll of the dice.

2024 Wurth 400 – Props and matchbets

CHASE ELLIOTT (-115) over Bubba Wallace (-128) in a matchbet is a highly recommended play.

While Wallace has a win at Kansas in 12 career starts, he also has 2 DNFs, just 72 laps led and only 3 top-10 showings, while posting a dismal 21.3 AFP. Elliott also has a win, and he has the best AFP among all active drivers at Kansas (10.6), while recording 249 laps led, 6 top-5 runs and 0 DNFs

If you don’t want to roll the dice on Hendrick’s Bowman to win as a long-shot bet, consider BOWMAN TOP-10 FINISH (-120), which is not priced out of line.

Check out Motorsports Wire: For the auto racing fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website covers NASCAR, F1, IndyCar and more.

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2023 Hollywood Casino 400: What you need to know

Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin won the AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway back on May 7, holding off Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson for the checkers with a late bump

Hamlin also leads all active drivers with 4 career wins at Kansas, while posting a 12.9 Average-Finish Position (AFP) with 12 top-5 runs in 30 career Cup starts. He’ll go off 14th on Sunday

Stewart-Haas Racing driver Kevin Harvick leads all active drivers with a 9.9 AFP, winning 3 times with 12 top-5 runs in 35 career Cup starts. Harvick fires off from the 20th position

JGR’s Martin Truex Jr. has registered 2 wins with 10 top-5 finishes and 906 laps led in his 30 career Cup starts. MTJ starts 3rd on Sunday

JGR’s Christopher Bell posted a best speed of 180.276 mph in qualifying, the only driver to broach the 180 mph mark. He is on the pole after his best time of 29.954 seconds

Richard Childress Racing driver Kyle Busch crashed in practice, and he’ll start from the 35th position in the back of the pack on Sunday in a backup car

Michael McDowell has made 24 career Cup starts in Kansas, and he has a dismal 27.5 AFP with a best finish of just 13th. He also has registered 7 DNFs

23XI Racing’s Bubba Wallace had his car chief ejected for the remainder of the weekend after the No. 23 Toyota failed pre-race inspection twice on Friday. The team also forfeited its pit-stall selection

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2023 Hollywood Casino 400 – Expert pick(s)

DENNY HAMLIN (+650) is a good bet to sweep the season series at Kansas Speedway, and he has the 4th-longest odds to do so, making him a tremendous bargain.

No driver in the starting grid has won more Cup races at Kansas than the driver of the No. 11 machine. His starting position isn’t great at 14th, but it isn’t bad, either.

Hamlin went off 8th in the May race at Kansas, scooting up to 1st, so there isn’t much more difference. He started 25th last September in Kansas, and ended as the runner-up, while he started 18th last May, and ended up 4th. He knows how to pass and matriculate up through the field to position himself well in the end.

2023 Hollywood Casino 400 – Long shot(s)

AUSTIN DILLON (+10000) is a tremendous value at this price point. He starts 8th on Sunday. While he has never won a Cup race at Kansas, he has finished inside the top 10 on 6 of his 20 starts, or 30% of his runs at the track. He posted a best speed of 178.200 mph in qualifying, improving from his practice times Friday which were a bit uneven.