Las Vegas Motor Speedway odds Las Vegas Motor Speedway predictions Las Vegas Motor Speedway betting

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Las Vegas Motor Speedway Sunday for the 2024 Pennzoil 400. The green flag is scheduled to drop approximately at 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the 2024 Pennzoil 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 Pennzoil 400: What you need to know

Penske Racing’s Joey Logano earned the pole position for Sunday’s race with a best speed of 184.357 mph in qualifying
Logano has won at LVMS 3 times in 21 career Cup starts, posting 7 top-5 runs and 12 top-10s with 536 laps led and 0 DNFs, good for a 10.0 Average-Finish Position (AFP)
Logano teammate Austin Cindric posted a best speed of 184.093 mph to qualify for the 3rd spot in the starting grid. He has a 6th-place finish as his best run in 4 Cup starts, posting a 19.3 AFP
Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson starts on the outside of Row 1. He leads all active drivers with a 9.9 AFP in 15 Cup starts in Vegas, winning twice with 7 top-5 finishes and 447 laps led
RFK Racing’s Brad Keselowski, formerly of Penske, has 3 career wins at the track, while posting 9 top-5 finishes and 359 laps led in 21 Cup starts with 0 DNFs
Las Vegas native Kyle Busch of Richard Childress Racing has managed a win and 12 top-5 finishes with 15 top-10 runs and 311 laps led in 25 career Cup starts with a 10.6 AFP
Front Row Motorsports driver Michael McDowell has never finished higher than 17th at LVMS in 20 career Cup starts, posting a dismal 29.4 AFP
23XI Racing’s Bubba Wallace has struggled in his Cup career at the track, posting a 22.0 AFP in 12 Cup starts with 2 DNFs
Last week’s winner in Atlanta, Daniel Suarez of Stewart-Haas Racing, has managed just 2 top-10 finishes with a poor 20.7 AFP in 13 Cup starts at LVMS

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

2024 Pennzoil 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:53 p.m. ET.

JOEY LOGANO (+800) starts on the pole, and Las Vegas is one of the tracks where qualifying really matters. In 7 of the previous 8 races, the winner at Las Vegas has started 9th or higher.

Logano won the fall race in October 2022 with a 130.480 mph average speed, going off from the 5th position. In his 3 starts, he has started 10th or better. He is a much better value than playing Kyle Larson (+350), who is the chalk.

2024 Pennzoil 400 – Contender

RCR’s KYLE BUSCH (+1800) struggled by his standards early in his career at Las Vegas, his home track. He has started to piece things together lately, but he hasn’t had a win at the track in a Cup car since March 2009. At this price, and with his Average-Finish Position, he is a strong play. Also, make sure to play his top-10 prop, which is still a value.

Check out Motorsports Wire: For the auto racing fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website covers NASCAR, F1, IndyCar and more.

2024 Pennzoil 400 prop picks

KYLE BUSCH TOP-10 FINISH (-120)

For bettors not interested in playing Busch for the outright win, he is a solid value for a top-10 run.

In 25 career Cup starts, he has finished inside the top 10 on 15 different occasions, which is a 60.0% conversion rate. That’s a pretty strong success rate for this price.

AUSTIN CINDRIC TOP-10 FINISH (+240)

We took Cindric last week for a top-10 finish in Atlanta, and he more than came through, ending up 4th when the dust clear, right behind the triumvirate of Suarez, teammate Ryan Blaney and Busch, who were 1-2-3 in a photo finish for the checkered flag. For the chance to more than double up, Cindric is a steal.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X, Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook..

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1950]

2023 South Point 400: What you need to know

Joe Gibbs Racing driver Christopher Bell claimed the Busch Light Pole for Sunday’s race with a best speed of 186.335 mph, edging out Hendrick Motorsports’ Kyle Larson (186.271 mph)

Hendrick Motorsports driver William Byron won the 1st Cup Series race at Las Vegas in March, and he has managed a 16.3 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 11 career Cup starts at LVMS. Byron starts 3rd Sunday

JGR’s Martin Truex Jr. has a pair of Cup checkered flags at Las Vegas under his belt in 23 career starts, while posting a 10.0 AFP. He’ll go off 4th on Sunday

Team Penske’s Joey Logano has 3 wins at Las Vegas, while posting 7 top-5 runs and 12 top-10 finishes in his 20 Cup starts, while leading 536 laps and no DNFs. He starts in the 9th spot

Logano’s teammate, Ryan Blaney, is the best driver in the field without a Cup win at LVMS. He has a solid 12.4 AFP in 14 career Cup starts, while finishing inside the Top 10 on 8 occasions

Toyota’s last win at Vegas came on Sept. 26, 2021, when JGR’s Denny Hamlin raced to victory. It was his only win in 23 career Cup starts at the track, although he has a solid 12.8 AFP

23XI Racing’s Bubba Wallace has 11 career starts at Las Vegas, posting a dismal 22.8 AFP with 2 DNFs

Stewart-Haas Racing’s Daniel Suarez has registered a poor 21.2 AFP in 12 career Cup starts at LVMS with 1 DNF

Last week’s winner on the ROVAL, Kaulig Racing’s A.J. Allmendinger, has a 20.6 AFP in 12 Cup tries at Vegas

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

2023 South Point 400 – Expert pick

DENNY HAMLIN (+800) is a nice value, as he looks to punch his ticket to the NASCAR Cup playoffs Final 4 drivers. He is the last driver of a Toyota to bring home checkers, and he has a tremendous 12.8 AFP in 23 career Cup starts with 6 top-5 runs and 11 top-10 finishes.

Hamlin always seems to bring his best effort in the playoffs, positioning himself for a chance in the championship race in the end. This is his golden opportunity to secure his spot, as he has fared well over the years at LVMS.

2023 South Point 400 – Long shot

RYAN BLANEY (+2000) isn’t your typical long, long shot, but these odds are substantially higher than the other contenders.

While the Team Penske driver has never won at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, there is no better time than right now. He is 8th in the playoff standings, and in need of making a move to keep his championship hopes alive. He has managed 5 top-5 runs and 8 top-10 finishes in his 14 career Cup starts at the track, turning in a 12.4 AFP, which is 6th-best among active drivers in the field.