Tag: MLB moneyline against the spread ATS Over Under OU total run line

San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (90-66) and LA Dodgers (93-63) meet Tuesday as they open up a 3-game NL West series. Start time in the Tuesday opener is slated for 10:10 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 7-3

San Diego is on the road after a 5-1 homestand. The Padres are 8-1 since Sept. 13. Since Sept. 1, they have gained a couple games on Los Angeles in the NL West standings.

The Dodgers, who lead the NL West by 3 games — over the Padres with 6 games to go — are 6-2 with a plus-34 run differential over their last 8 games.

The Southern California foes have played just 2 games since mid-May, and the Friars have won 5 of the last 6 meetings.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Michael King vs. RHP Landon Knack

King (12-9, 3.04 ERA) is making his 30th start and 31st appearance. He owns a 1.20 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 168 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 4-3 home loss in 10 innings vs. Houston Astros Sept. 17
  • Road splits: 8-4, 2.80 ERA (90 IP, 28 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 15 starts and 1 relief outing
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-0, 3.63 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 13 H, 8 BB, 23 K in 2 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • 2024 vs. Dodgers: 1-0, 4.11 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 12 H, 8 BB, 20 K in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Owns a 2.06 ERA (31 1/3 IP, 9 ER) over his last 7 starts

Knack (3-4, 3.39 ERA) is making his 12th start and 14th appearance. The rookie has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 61 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 8-4 win at Miami Marlins Wednesday
  • Home splits: 1-3, 3.00 ERA (30 IP, 10 ER), 0.87 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 6 starts
  • Has never faced the Padres

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Padres at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 3 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Padres +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Dodgers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+165) | Dodgers +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Dodgers 5

Moneyline

San Diego has won 8 straight series openers. The Padres rank 5th and 6th, respectively in road scoring (5.11 runs per game) and run prevention (3.88).

King has made 10 starts in the 2nd half; he’s allowed more-than-2 earned runs just once. Since 2022, the righty owns a 2.45 ERA, 1.08 WHIP in road starts.

For Knack, strikeout totals (17 in 13 IP) have not been supported by peripherals, and too many baseballs have been barreled up over recent starts. A wind-blowing-out contest in Chavez Ravine has plenty of risk against a Friars club hitting the way it is. San Diego owns a .789 OPS over its last 16 games.

BACK PADRES (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

This play brings more juice and a higher profit hurdle into the equation. AVOID.

Over/Under

The Over is 5-2 across the last 7 series meetings at Dodger Stadium.

Both starting pitchers are solid but overrated by their surface stats. The Padres bullpen fits into the same category when looking at its September numbers, and the LA bullpen has been off its collective game for more than a few weeks.

With an outward breeze in the forecast and 2 good hitting clubs in the batter’s box, BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

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San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The San Francisco Giants (78-79) take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (87-70) Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Chase Field at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Giants vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: D-backs lead 6-5

The Giants have been eliminated from postseason contention, but they must have missed the memo. They’ve won 4 in a row, sweeping a 3-game series at the Kansas City Royals and taking Tuesday’s opener from the Diamondbacks 6-3. 3B Matt Chapman went 2-for-4 with a triple, his 27th homer and 3 RBIs, while LF Michael Conforto finished 2-for-5 with a double, his 19th HR and 1 RBI.

The D-backs are 1½ games up on the Atlanta Braves for the final Wild Card spot. They have dropped 2 in a row after winning 4 straight. Over his last 27 games, OF Corbin Carroll is hitting .262 with 7 homers and 20 RBIs while stealing 11 bags.

Giants at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Logan Webb vs. RHP Brandon Pfaadt

Webb (12-10, 3.58 ERA) makes his 33rd start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through an NL-best 198 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 5-3 loss at Baltimore Orioles Thursday
  • Career vs. D-backs: 6-3, 2.51 ERA (68 IP, 19 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 11 starts
  • 2024 vs. D-backs: 1 home start, win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 5-0 shutout April 18
  • Last 5 starts vs. D-Backs: 3-1, 2.38 ERA (34 IP, 9 ER), 0.94 WHIP

Pfaadt (10-9, 4.66 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 173 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 12 K in 5-1 victory at Milwaukee Brewers Thursday
  • Career Giants: 0-1, 1.50 ERA (12 IP, 2 ER), 0.58 WHIP, 12 K in 2 starts — both last season

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Giants at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 4:08 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Giants +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Diamondbacks -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-175) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Giants at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Giants 4

Moneyline

Wait, did you see that last start line from Pfaadt? Outside of having the most fun last name in baseball, that was quite impressive: 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB and 12 K against the NL Central-champion Brewers. Before that, however, he gave up 29 earned runs in 29 innings across his last 6 starts.

While I like the D-backs here, I don’t trust them enough to risk -150 on them.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Of the D-backs’ 6 wins against the Giants this season, 5 were by multiple runs. Webb has had some issues on the bump lately as well, allowing 3+ ER in 5 straight starts.

TAKE DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+145).

Over/Under

It’s slated to be 101 degrees at first pitch with a light, 2-mph breeze coming in from left-center. The Over is 6-2-2 in the last 10 meetings. Each team is 5-4-1 O/U in their last 10.

I like OVER 8 (-115).

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Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Seattle Mariners (81-76) take on the Houston Astros (85-72) Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mariners vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 7-4

The Mariners are playing with desperation, as they’re 4 games out in the AL West and 1½ games out of a Wild Card spot. They’ve won 4 of 5 after a 6-1 victory against the ‘Stros Monday. RHP Bryce Miller allowed 2 hits and struck out 5 over 7 shutout frames. OF Julio Rodriguez had 3 hits and 2 RBIs. J-Rod is 12-for-21 (.571) with 3 homers and 11 RBIs over his last 5 games.

The Astros’ magic number is 2. That means if they win Tuesday or Wednesday, they clinch the AL West. They’ve dropped 2 straight now, and they’ve given up 15 runs in the process. They’ve allowed 4+ runs in 4 straight games. That’s just something to keep an eye on down the stretch. OF Kyle Tucker is hitting .356 with 3 homers and 6 RBIs over the last 15 days.

Mariners at Astros projected starters

RHP Logan Gilbert vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Gilbert (8-11, 3.24 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has an MLB-leading 0.90 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 197 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 3-2 home victory Thursday against New York Yankees
  • Last 5 starts vs. Astros: 3-1, 2.45 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 26 K in 33 IP

Valdez (14-7, 2.85 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 170 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 4-0 defeat Wednesday at San Diego Padres
  • Last 5 starts vs. Mariners: 0-3, 6.58 ERA, 1.85 WHIP, 25 K in 26 IP

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mariners at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Astros -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-200) | Astros -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mariners at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Astros 3

Moneyline

Valdez’s numbers against Seattle are glaring. The Mariners have had trouble scoring runs for a couple of seasons now, and Valdez has a 6.58 ERA against them over 26 IP.

The MARINERS +120 keep Houston’s champagne on ice one more day.

Run line/Against the spread

Gilbert has been striking out everyone and their mother of late. His last 7 GS K numbers: 9, 7, 10, 9, 10, 7, 6. Take LOGAN GILBERT OVER 5.5 K’S (-125).

Or if you wanna get wicked with it, SGP LOGAN GILBERT OVER 5.5 K’S + OVER 5.5 TOTAL RUNS (+150) and slap that Any Sport No Sweat Token sitting in most BetMGM accounts on it.

Over/Under

The wind is blowing out at 7 mph on an 85-degree evening. Add that with the Astros’ recent problems allowing runs and Valdez’s rough past against Seattle.

I’m taking the OVER 7 (-115).

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Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (79-78) and Toronto Blue Jays (73-84) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Tuesday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is set for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Boston leads 7-4

The Red Sox won 4-1 as +105 underdogs in the Monday opener as the Under (8) hit. SP Tanner Houck (5 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 0 K) recorded his 1st win in 11 starts since the All-Star break. Boston is 3½ games out of the final AL Wild Card spot and has a 0.5% chance to make the playoffs, according to FanGraphs.com.

Blue Jays 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 0-for-4 Monday as his average dropped to .324. Toronto has lost 4 straight games and has already been eliminated from playoff contention.

Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP Bowden Francis

Bello (14-8, 4.49 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 158 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 2-0 setback at Tampa Bay Rays Thursday
  • 2024 road stats: 8-4, 4.19 ERA (81 2/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 15 starts
  • 2024 vs. Toronto: 2-1, 4.96 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 3 starts
  • Career vs. Toronto: 3-4, 5.58 ERA (40 1/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.54 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 8 starts

Francis (8-5, 3.47 ERA) makes his 13th start and 27th appearance. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 98 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 2-0 setback at Texas Rangers Wednesday
  • 2024 home stats: 3-1, 3.80 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 12 appearances (4 starts)
  • 2024 vs. Boston: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (8 IP), 1 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 2 appearances (1 start)
  • Career vs. Boston: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (9 2/3 IP), 0.31 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 4 appearances (1 start)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:14 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Blue Jays -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-200) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

The BLUE JAYS (-125) have not lost 5 straight games since a 7-game skid June 17-24. Toronto is a respectable 30-20 on the season as a home favorite, and Bello’s career 5.58 ERA against it bodes well for a Toronto bounceback game.

While Boston is playing to keep its postseason hopes alive, this is still a divisional rivalry and Toronto would love to eliminate the Red Sox.

BET BLUE JAYS (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

Boston +1.5 (-200) will likely hit, but it’s hard to win long term in MLB betting into lines with this much vig.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Over has gone 29-21 (58%) in divisional games for the Blue Jays this season. Bello has struggled against Toronto in his career, and Guerrero will likely have a big game after going hitless Monday. In his last outing after a no-hit performance, Guerrero went 3-for-4 with 2 HRs (Sept. 19 at Texas).

BET OVER 8 (+100). I’m also not against playing VLADIMIR GUERRERO JR. OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES (+120) as a derivative.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (78-78) and Detroit Tigers (82-74) open a 3-game set at Comerica Park Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rays vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 2-1

The Rays are coming off a 3-game sweep of the visiting Toronto Blue Jays. They wrapped up the series with a 4-3 win as -125 favorites Sunday with the Under (7.5) hitting. Tampa Bay is 4 games out of the final AL Wild Card spot and has a 0.3% chance to make the playoffs, according to FanGraphs.com.

The Tigers are coming off a 2-1 series win at the Baltimore Orioles. They won 4-3 as +112 underdogs in the Sunday finale as the Under (8) cashed. Detroit is tied for the 2nd AL Wild Card with the Kansas City Royals, who own the tiebreaker over the Tigers.

Rays at Tigers projected starters

RHP Ryan Pepiot vs. LHP Tarik Skubal

Pepiot (8-6, 3.64 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 121 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 12 K in 2-1 home setback vs. Boston Red Sox Wednesday
  • 2024 road stats: 5-3, 3.47 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 10 starts
  • 2024 vs. Tigers: 0-0, 1 home start (April 23), 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 4-2 defeat
  • Career vs. Tigers: 0-0, 1.50 ERA (12 IP, 2 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 6.0 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start)

Skubal (17-4, 2.48 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 185 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 4-2 victory at Royals Wednesday
  • 2024 home stats: 9-1, 2.13 ERA (97 IP, 23 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 15 starts
  • 2024 vs. Rays: 1-0, 1 road start (April 22), 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 7-1 victory
  • Career vs. Rays: 2-0, 1.04 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 0.87 WHIP, 11.9 K/9 in 4 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rays at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Tigers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-150) | Tigers -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -125 | U: +105)

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Rays at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Tigers 3

Moneyline

The RAYS (+150) have won 4 straight games and are being undervalued in this spot. While Skubal is the favorite to win the AL Cy Young (-5000 at BetMGM Sportsbook), he shouldn’t be laying -185 vs. Pepiot and the Rays. Pepiot has allowed 2 ER or fewer in 11 of his last 12 starts, and the Rays have gone 7-5 over those outings.

BET RAYS (+150).

Run line/Against the spread

Tampa Bay +1.5 (-150) will likely hit, but getting plus money for the Rays to win straight up is more attractive than laying $150 to win $100.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

It’s tough to play an Over with 2 starting pitchers who have been so consistent lately, but this number is just a bit too low. Seven is a key number in MLB totals, and I can’t bring myself to play Under 6.5 in this spot. This game landing on 7 is the most likely outcome.

LEAN OVER 6.5 (-125).

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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (86-70) and New York Yankees (92-64) meet Tuesday as they swing into a 3-game series in the Bronx. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Baltimore leads 6-4

The Orioles head up to the Bronx off a 2-4 homestand. Baltimore has tussled with New York atop the AL East standings for much of the season, but the Orioles have ceded ground of late. They are just 4-10 over their last 14 games.

The Yankees are back at home after a 5-1 road trip. New York pitching has led the way of late; since Sept. 11, the Yanks are 9-2 with a 2.18 ERA.

Orioles at Yankees projected starters

RHP Dean Kremer vs. RHP Clarke Schmidt

Kremer (7-10, 4.19 ERA) is making his 24th start. He owns a 1.25 WHIP, with a 3.5 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 124 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 5-3 home defeat vs. San Francisco Giants Wednesday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 3-3, 4.63 ERA (56 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 11 starts

Schmidt (5-4, 2.37 ERA) is tabbed for his 15th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 76 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 3-2 setback at Seattle Mariners Thursday
  • Career vs. Orioles: 3-3, 3.86 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 10 appearances (5 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Orioles +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-155) | Yankees -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

Baltimore is 4-1 over its last 5 games at Yankee Stadium.

Recent Oriole run production has been over-colored by poor clutch-hitting numbers. Schmidt returned from the 60-day IL (strained right lat) Sept. 7. He isn’t too stretched out and is coming off 99 pitches in his last start. There is enough risk of a 5-inning start for him that overexposes a weak New York bullpen. And the Yankee right-hander is making this start on 4 days of rest; that has not been a great interval for him in his career.

Kremer has had his issues, but he figures to give Baltimore more length. And he has been solid in 2 of his last 3 starts. The Baltimore bullpen has faltered of late (4.85 ERA in September) but with some sidecar analytics that don’t support the slump.

The value in this one is on the ORIOLES (+135).

Run line/Against the spread

Better leverage can be found on the ML: PASS.

Over/Under

The Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 series meetings at Yankee Stadium.

Expected-ERA figures reveal that Schmidt’s ERA since his return is likely artificially tamped down. The Orioles are the likable side of this game — at least with the decent underdog pricing — but Kremer has scuffled against the Yankees in the past. New York batters own an aggregate .846 OPS against him, per ESPN, and he owns a lackluster 5.23 ERA across his last 31 road innings.

FanDuel Sportsbook has a budget line here: TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-102).

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Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (82-74) and the Washington Nationals (69-87) open a 3-game interleague series Tuesday. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 6:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Royals vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Nationals won 2 of 3 in 2023

The Royals are still battling for a AL playoff spot with 6 games remaining, but Kansas City has dropped 7 in a row. The Royals have scored 2 or fewer runs in 5 consecutive games and have been shut out in each of the past 2 games.

The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 games for Kansas City, while going 15-5-1 in the past 21 outings dating back to Aug. 30. The total has gone low at a 9-2-1 clip in the past 12 games at home.

The Nationals dropped 3 out of 4 games against the Chicago Cubs over the weekend, and the Under has cashed in each of the past 3 games.

Washington is 5-3 in the past 8 interleague games, while the Under has cashed in 4 straight games against the AL. Kansas City has lost 4 straight interleague contests, and the Under is 3-1 in that span.

Royals at Nationals projected starters

LHP Cole Ragans vs. LHP Mitchell Parker

Ragans (11-9, 3.24 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 180 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 3-1 home loss in 10 innings vs. Detroit Tigers last Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 4-4, 3.07 ERA, 85 IP, 29 ER, 7 HR, 1.08 WHIP, .201 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 30 BB, 95 K in 14 starts
  • Last 7 games: 2-2, 3.15 ERA, 40 IP, 14 ER, 17 BB, 51 K, 1.08 WHIP
  • Has never faced Nationals

Parker (7-10, 4.44 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 146 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 1 K in 10-1 road setback vs. New York Mets Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits: 5-4, 2.81 ERA, 83 1/3 IP, 26 ER, 11 HR, 1.03 WHIP, .229 OBA, 13 BB, 72 K in 14 starts
  • Last 7 games: 1-4, 6.48 ERA, 33 1/3 IP, 24 ER, 12 BB, 36 K, 1.65 WHIP
  • Has never faced Royals

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:14 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Royals -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Nationals +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals -1.5 (+100) | Nationals +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Royals at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 3, Nationals 2

Moneyline

The ROYALS (-165) are an extremely risky play given the fact they’re on a 7-game losing skid. But Kansas City is still very much alive for a postseason spot, and it’s all there for them heading into the final week.

The Nationals (+135) turn to the southpaw Parker, but he has been extremely erratic lately. Look for the Kansas City offense to get the job done after a tough week.

Run line/Against the spread

The NATIONALS +1.5 (-120) aren’t a bad play if you are a little more conservative, and you’d like some insurance.

Washington is a respectable 12-11 in the past 23 games as an underdog on the run line since Aug. 23, winning 8 of those games outright.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-115) is a strong play based on recent trends.

The Under has cashed in 3 in a row for the Nats, while going 8-3-1 across the past 12 games. The Under is 4-0-1 in the past 5 games at home, too.

For the Royals, the Under is 4-1 in the past 5 outings, totaling just 4 runs of offense. The total has gone low at a 15-5-1 clip in the previous 21 games, too.

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Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (57-99) and Minnesota Twins (81-75) open a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Target Field is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Marlins vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Miami won 2-1 last season

Miami lost 5-4 to the Atlanta Braves Sunday as a +169 home underdog. The Marlins scored 2 runs in the 6th to tie the game at 4 before allowing the eventual game-winning run in the 7th. Miami has lost back-to-back games.

Minnesota dropped a doubleheader Sunday to the Boston Red Sox, losing the 2nd game 9-3 as a -117 road favorite, after dropping the opener 8-1. The Twins have allowed at least 8 runs in 4 of their last 7 losses. Minnesota is 1 game out of a Wild Card spot, trailing the Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers who are tied for the 2nd/3rd spots.

Marlins at Twins projected starters

LHP Ryan Weathers vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Weathers (3-6, 3.94 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 75 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K in an 8-4 outing vs. the LA Dodgers Wednesday
  • First career start vs. Minnesota

Ober (12-7, 3.84 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 168 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 12 K in a 5-4 loss at Cleveland Guardians Wednesday
  • First career start vs. Miami

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Marlins at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Twins -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-110) | Twins -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Marlins at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Marlins 4

Moneyline

PASS.

Minnesota is the much better team and is fighting for a playoff berth, so the Twins will pick up the win and cover here as -250 favorites. However, this line is set far too heavily to risk betting on, so bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET MARLINS +1.5 (-110).

Miami has played Minnesota very well the past few seasons, being 5-5 in the last 10 matchups. They won last year’s games 5-2 and 1-0, but their loss was by 11-1.

The Twins are also a very bad 71-85 ATS this season. But be aware that betting on a lesser team to cover ATS always comes with a risk.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-115).

The Over has hit in back-to-back games for Minnesota and is 5-0 in its last 5 home games. For the Marlins, the Over is also 6-3-1 in their last 10 overall. The Over has also hit in each of the last 3 meetings between these teams in Minnesota and is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings overall.

Be aware that the Under is 5-3-2 in Miami’s last 10 games.

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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (87-69) and Atlanta Braves (85-71) open a critical 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 5-5

New York came away with a 2-1 win over Philadelphia Sunday while covering as a +122 home underdog. New York has won back-to-back games and went 6-1 in its just-concluded 7-game homestand. The Mets hold the 2nd Wild Card spot and are 2 games ahead of the Braves.

Atlanta escaped with a 5-4 win over the Miami Marlins Sunday while covering as a -185 road favorite. RF Jorge Soler hit the tie-breaking RBI single in the 7th won it. The Braves have 2 straight games and return home for the final 6 games of the season. Atlanta is 1 1/2 games behind Arizona for the 3rd and final Wild card spot.

Mets at Braves projected starters

RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Spencer Schwellenbach

Severino (11-6, 3.79 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 178 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 10-6 outing vs. Philadelphia Phillies Thursday
  • Career vs. Atlanta: 1-1, 3.15 ERA (20 IP, 7 ER), 20 H, 10 BB, 20 K in 4 starts

Schwellenbach (7-7, 3.61 ERA) makes his 20th career start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 109 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 7-1 outing at Cincinnati Reds Wednesday
  • Career vs. Mets: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (7 IP, 0 ER), 2 H, 0 BB, 11 K in 1 start

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Braves -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-190) | Braves -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 7, Braves 4

Moneyline

BET METS (+115).

New York has won 6 of its last 7 games and is 7-3 in its last 10 while the Braves have lost their last 2 games at home and are 6-4 in their last 10.

The Mets have also played Atlanta very well as of late, being 3-2 in the last 5 overall matchups and 2-1 in the last 3 meetings in Atlanta.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Mets to cover here as +1.5 (-190) underdogs, but as currently set, the risk of betting on this line is not worth the reward. I recommend betting on the moneyline and/or total instead, but if you’re okay with the risk, you can divvy up units between the spread and ML plays.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-115).

The Over has hit in 2 of New York’s last 3 road games and is 5-1 in its last 6 overall. For Atlanta, the Over is 3-0 in its last 3 at home. The Over has also hit in 2 of the last 3 meeting between these squads and is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings in Atlanta.

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Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago Cubs (80-76) face the Philadelphia Phillies (92-64) in the Cubs’ final road series and the Phillies’ last homestand. First pitch Monday from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Cubs vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 2-1

The Cubs won 3 of 4 from the Washington Nationals. On Sunday Cubs LHP Shota Imanaga threw 7 innings (0 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K) and the bullpen completed the 5-0 shutout. Chicago hit 3 HRs in the win.

The Phillies are playoff bound, but they lost 3 of their last 4 games to the New York Mets,including 2-1 on Sunday. RHP Zack Wheeler lowered his ERA to 2.56 (7 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 8 k), but the offense left 8 men on base and couldn’t score after a 1st inning RBI single by 3B Alec Bohm.

Cubs at Phillies projected starters

RHP Nate Pearson vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Pearson (2-2, 4.71 ERA) makes his 1st start after 57 relief appearances. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 63 IP.

  • 2024 road stats: 0-0, 5.20 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 in 26 appearances
  • Six of the 12 HRs he’s allowed have come on the 1st pitch
  • In his first 25 pitches he allows .838 OPS, then it drops to a .173 OPS later in the game.

Nola (12-8, 3.54 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 188 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 2-1 road loss to Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday.
  • 2024 home stats: 6-4, 3.31 ERA (98 IP, 36 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 16 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cubs at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Monday at 3:58 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-125) | Phillies -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cubs at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Cubs 1

Moneyline

After a loss, Philadelphia posts the highest win rate, tied with the Dodgers, at 61.9%. Also against the NL, the Phillies are a respectable 66-44 (60%). But at the current odds its best to PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Cubs have been good on the road against the spread. However, coming off a win they have the worst record in baseball at 32-47 (40.5%). Given the fact their season is over and they are starting a reliever, I don’t have much confidence in Chicago.

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+105).

Over/Under

The Cubs have a strong Under record at 42-34-2 (55.3%). And the Phillies lean Under as a home favorite going 39-29-3 (57.4%).

The Cubs pitchers may not help keep the score down, but Philadelphia’s pitching should do the trick. In their last homestand they kept their opponent’s offense below 3 runs in 3 of those 6 games.

LEAN UNDER 8 (-105).

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