Tag: MLB moneyline against the spread ATS Over Under OU total run line

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves, ppd.

Wednesday’s and Thursday’s Mets at Braves games were postponed due to Hurricane Helene and will be made up as a doubleheader Monday.

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Update 6:13 p.m. ET: Wednesday game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves was postponed due to heavy rains ahead of Hurricane Helene. Thursday’s game was also postponed. While the regular season was scheduled to end Sunday, the Mets and Braves will make up the 2 games with a traditional doubleheader in Atlanta Monday, starting at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Original column below (published Sept. 25, 1:39 a.m. ET)

The New York Mets (87-70) and Atlanta Braves (86-71) play the middle game of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Truist Park is slated for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 6-5

The Mets could not get the bats going in a 5-1 loss against the Braves on Tuesday night. 3B Mark Vientos‘ solo HR was the only offense New York could muster. They are currently 2nd in the NL Wild Card race, a half-game up on the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Atlanta’s much-needed win moved them 1 game behind the Mets and a half-game behind Arizona for the 3rd Wild Card spot. Starter Spencer Schwellenbach allowed 1 ER in 7 IP and CF Michael Harris II went 3-for-4 with a HR, a double and 2 RBI. DH Marcell Ozuna also parked his 39th homer of the season.

Mets at Braves projected starters

LHP David Peterson vs. LHP Chris Sale

Peterson (9-3, 3.08 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 114 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 8 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 12-2 home victory against Philadelphia Phillies Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 5-1, 2.88 ERA (65 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 5.8 K/9 in 11 starts
  • Last start vs. Braves: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 9-2 road loss July 28
  • Career vs. Braves: 3-5, 5.33 ERA (50 2/3 IP, 30 ER) 47 H, 22 BB, 64 K) in 11 appearance (10 starts)

Sale (18-3, 2.38 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 177 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 15-3 win at Cincinnati Reds Thursday
  • 2024 home splits: 10-0, 2.28 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 23 R (22 ER), 0.99 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Last start vs. Mets: No-decision, 7 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 3-2 road loss July 25
  • Career vs. Mets: 1-0, 2.70 ERA (23 IP, 7 ER) 13 H, 5 BB, 31 K) in 4 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Braves -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-145) | Braves -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Mets 2

Moneyline

PASS.

It’s really hard to bet against the Braves (-190) when Sale is on the mound, so I won’t do it. I’ll look to the run line to put a wager down on this game.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BRAVES -1.5 (+120).

Atlanta is in a tight race for the postseason, and playing at home, where the Braves are 43-33, gives them a key advantage. With the likely NL Cy Young winner starting, Sale brings a perfect record at Truist Park (10-0) and has surrendered just 3 ER over his last 4 home outings (26 IP).

On the other side, Peterson has had a rough time against Atlanta, holding a 1-3 record and a 5.02 ERA in his last 5 starts against them. With everything on the line, the Braves are set to secure a critical win.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

The Under has hit in 6 of their last 8 meetings, highlighting a pattern of low-scoring contests. The Mets have gone Under in their last 2 games, while the Braves have seen the same in 4 of their last 6 games. Sale has been outstanding, not allowing more than 2 ER in a game since June 1, and the Under has cashed in 4 of his last 6 starts.

Meanwhile, Peterson has kept his runs allowed low, giving up more than 2 ER in a game just twice in his last 10 outings. With both pitchers in great form, a pitching duel seems likely, making the Under a solid bet.

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San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (91-66) and LA Dodgers (93-64) meet Wednesday as they continue a 3-game NL West series. The start time at Dodger Stadium is slated for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 8-3

San Diego won Tuesday 4-2 as a +107 underdog. The Padres, 9-1 in the last 10 games, closed out the series-opening win in dramatic fashion, turning a 5-4-3 triple-play to retire LA in the home half of the 9th with DH Shohei Ohtani on deck. The win clinched a postseason berth for the Friars, who are now just 2 games behind the NL West-leading Dodgers.

Los Angeles had been 6-2 with a plus-34 run differential over its last 8 games before Tuesday. The Dodgers have lost 2 in a row at home just twice in the 2nd half.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Dylan Cease vs. RHP Jack Flaherty

Cease (14-11, 3.42 ERA) is making his 33rd start. He owns a 1.05 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 184 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 8 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-0 home shutout vs. Houston Astros Sept. 18
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-1, 1.72 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 24 K in 3 starts

Flaherty (13-7, 3.10 ERA) is tabbed for his 28th start combined between the Detroit Tigers and Dodgers. He has authored a 1.06 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 157 innings between the 2 clubs.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 20-4 rout at Miami Marlins Thursday
  • Career vs. Padres (regular season): 2-1, 4.26 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 28 K in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Padres at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 4:11 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Padres +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-190) | Dodgers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Dodgers 4

Moneyline

San Diego is 8-2 over its last 10 games against LA.

The Friars are an excellent road club (45-30) and are 6-1 across their last 7 away games. Heading into this series, the Padres ranked 5th and 6th, respectively, in road scoring (5.11 runs per game) and run prevention (3.88).

Wednesday’s pitching matchup is near-level. Looking at recent starts, Cease — who has not allowed a run in his last 2 starts and his last 16 2/3 innings — is a bit more of a green check mark in the mound category.

BACK PADRES (+120).

Run line/Against the spread

No interest. PASS.

Over/Under

Look for both offenses to have just a sliver of an edge in where this one fits compared to expectations. Consider a partial-unit play on OVER 7.5 (-120).

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Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (81-76) welcome the Miami Marlins (58-99) to Target Field Wednesday for the 2nd of the 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Marlins vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Marlins lead 1-0

The Marlins beat the Twins to open the series 4-1 Tuesday, closing as +224 moneyline underdogs.

Miami has lost 2 of its last 3 and 4 of its last 6, spending its last 2 series at home and dropping 2 of 3 to both the Atlanta Braves and LA Dodgers. The Marlins are 4-10 over its last 14 games. The Marlins are 28-48 on the road this season and 74-83 against the spread (ATS).

The Twins have lost 3 in a row, getting outscored 21-5 in those games. They are 2 games out of the final AL Wild Card spot and sit 4th in the AL Central despite its plus-.500 record. It has been an unfortunate showing in the homestretch as they are 3-8 over their last 11games. Minnesota is 42-34 at home, though, but it is an ugly 71-86 ATS — 4th worst in the majors — on the season.

Marlins at Twins projected starters

RHP Edward Cabrera vs. RHP Simeon Woods Richardson

Cabrera (4-8, 5.12 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 91 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 2 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 4 H, 5 BB, 3 K in 20-4 home loss to LA Dodgers Thursday
  • 2024 away stats: 3-5, 5.71 ERA (41 IP, 26 ER), 1.44 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 in 9 starts
  • First time facing Twins in his career

Woods Richardson (5-5, 4.00 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 132 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 3-2 loss in 10 innings at Cleveland Guardians Thursday
  • 2024 home stats: 1-2, 3.90 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 27 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 12 starts
  • First time facing Marlins in his career

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Marlins at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 2:21 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Twins -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Marlins +1.5 (-140) | Twins -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Marlins at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Marlins 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no reason to play the moneyline here.

Minnesota (-190) is far too great of a favorite to consider at almost twice your money for a unit of return. Similarly, the Miami (+155) has struggled on the road this season and isn’t worth the risk.

Run line/Against the spread

BET MARLINS +1.5 (-140).

The Twins have had 3 of their last 8 games end within 1 run, so they’ve played close games as of late. Minnesota is just 2-6 in those games with its wins coming by just 2 and 3 runs — and the 2-run victory was in 10 innings.

Despite the 20-4 rout by the Dodgers Thursday, the Marlins have actually played well over the last week. They are 3-4 straight up and have had 2 of their last 5 losses by 1 run.

With that in mind, TAKE MARLINS +1.5 (-140).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

The Marlins have gone Under in 3 of their last 4 games with an 0-3-1 O/U mark. They have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and have allowed a total of 15 runs in their last 4.

Similarly, the Twins have gone Under in 3 of their last 5. Minnesota has struggled offensively, scoring just 5 runs in its last 3 games. It hasn’t scored more than 4 runs since 9 games ago.

TAKE UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (83-74) welcome the Tampa Bay Rays (78-79) to Comerica Park Wednesday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rays vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 3-1

The Rays lost 2-1 to the Tigers in the Tuesday opener.

They entered the series coming off a 3-game sweep of the visiting Toronto Blue Jays Friday through Sunday. Tampa Bay has won 4 of its last 5 games yet is just 5-4 over its last 9. The Rays are 36-40 on the road this season and 80-77 against the spread (ATS) overall.

The Tigers have won 3 straight games, including a 2-1 series win at the Baltimore Orioles over the weekend. Detroit has won 7 of its last 8 games yet still sits in 3rd in the AL Central. It is 40-36 at home and 86-71 ATS overall.

Rays at Tigers projected starters

RHP Zack Littell vs. RHP Keider Montero

Littell (8-9, 3.56 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 151 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 2-0 home victory over Boston Red Sox Thursday
  • 2024 away stats: 4-4, 4.45 ERA (64 2/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Tigers: 2-1, 2.81 ERA (16 IP, 5 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 in 6 appearances (2 starts)

Montero (6-6, 4.86 ERA) makes his 16th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 92 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 4-2 home victory over Orioles Sept. 15
  • 2024 home stats: 3-5, 4.18 ERA (56 IP, 26 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 in 10 appearances (9 starts)
  • Has never faced Rays

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rays at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Tigers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Rays +1.5 (-200) | Tigers -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rays at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 3, Rays 2

Moneyline

BET TIGERS (-125).

The Tigers offense has been more consistent as of late, and with both teams having a solid starting option on the mound, that could be the difference. Detroit has won 7 of its last 8 games, scoring at least 4 runs in 5 of the 8.

Tampa Bay has scored 2 or fewer runs in 4 of its last 6 games; it hasn’t been able to produce offensively. With that in mind, expect Detroit to come out on top, especially with it right on the brink of a Wild Card spot.

Back TIGERS (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no great option here. The Rays have had 3 of their last 4 games end within 1 run and are far too expensive to play on the run line. Similarly, the Tigers are too risky to take as run-line favorites.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

The Rays have gone Under in 6 straight games and in 11 of their last 12. They just haven’t consistently produced offensively and have scored 2 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 12 games.

The Tigers have gone Under in 2 straight games and in 4 of their last 6. They have scored a total of just 20 runs over their last 6 games. Considering those trends for both and the capable pitching on the mound, back UNDER 8 (-115).

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Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (93-65) welcome the Chicago Cubs (81-77) to Citizens Bank Park Wednesday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 6:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Cubs vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 3-2

The Phillies, who have clinched the NL East, lost to the Cubs 10-4 Tuesday yet beat them to open the series 6-2 Monday.

Philadelphia has been a dynamic 53-27 at home this season. It is just 2-5 over its last 7, dropping 3 of 4 to the New York Mets in the series prior. The Phillies are 78-80 against the spread (ATS) this season and still battling the LA Dodgers for the best record in the NL.

The Cubs have won 4 of their last 6 games, beating the Washington Nationals in 3 of 4 prior to visiting the City of Brotherly Love. Chicago is 39-41 on the road this season and 75-83 ATS overall. It has been eliminated from the playoffs.

Cubs at Phillies projected starters

RHP Javier Assad vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez

Assad (7-5, 3.34 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 142 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 7-6 home win over Nationals Thursday
  • 2024 away stats: 4-3, 4.17 ERA (73 1/3 IP, 34 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (8 IP), 1.38 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start)

Sanchez (11-9, 3.25 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 177 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 7 K in 12-2 road victory over Mets Friday
  • 2024 home stats: 7-3, 2.05 ERA (105 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 16 starts
  • Career vs. Cubs: 0-1, 1 road start (July 4), 4 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 10-2 defeat

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cubs at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-135) | Phillies -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cubs at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Cubs 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no great value on the moneyline. The Phillies (-190) have something to play for and should come out on top. However, they aren’t worth taking at these odds. Avoid a moneyline play.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+110).

The Phillies have been the best team in MLB at home and also after a loss, both of which ring true in this game. They have won Sanchez’s last 5 starts and beat the Mets 12-2 in his last outing Sept. 20.

Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS in its last 7 home games. The Cubs are 4-3 in their last 7, but all 3 losses were by multiple runs. Chicago is just 2-4 ATS in its last 6 road games. At these odds and given the potential lack of motivation for the road side, back PHILLIES -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-110).

The Cubs put up 10 runs on the Phillies Tuesday and have scored at least 5 in 2 of their last 3 games. They are 3-3-1 O/U in their last 7 games.

The Phillies are 4-1-1 O/U in their last 6 games and have scored at least 6 runs in 3 of the 6. Considering the recent trends, take OVER 8 (-110).

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San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Francisco Giants (79-79) and Arizona Diamondbacks (87-71) close out their 3-game series and their season series Wednesday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Giants vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 6-6

The Giants have won the 1st 2 games of the series (6-3 and 11-0) and have a 5-game winning streak. They shut out Arizona on Tuesday night behind starter Logan Webb. (6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K).

The Diamondbacks have lost 3 in a row and hold a half-game lead over the Atlanta Braves for the final NL Wild Card berth. They are tied in the loss column with them. They are a half-game behind the New York Mets for the 2nd Wild Card spot.

Giants at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Mason Black vs. RHP Zac Gallen

Black (1-4, 5.88 ERA) makes his 8th start and 9th career appearance. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 33 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 2-1 road win over Kansas City Royals Friday
  • Facing Arizona for 1st time

Gallen (13-6, 3.74 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 142 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 7-4 road win over Milwaukee Brewers Friday
  • Is 3-0 with 3.00 ERA in 4 September starts
  • Vs. the Giants: Is 1-1 with 4.09 ERA in 2 starts in 2024 and 5-5 with 4.15 ERA in 15 career starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Giants at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 9:21 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Giants +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Diamondbacks -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-110) |Diamondbacks -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Giants at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 7, Giants 3

Moneyline

The Diamondbacks have not been swept in a series at home yet this season. And while the Giants are 7-1 on their current road trip, Black has allowed 4 or more runs in 4 of his 8 appearances this season.

Arizona has won Gallen’s last 4 starts and should win, but don’t bet the moneyline at -225

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Sixteen of the Diamondbacks’ last 18 wins have been by 2 or more runs. Five of the last 6 wins by Arizona when Gallen pitches have been by 2 or more runs. Five of their 6 wins over the Giants this season have been by 2 or more runs.

BET DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Eight of their 12 meetings this season have had totals of more than 8 runs and 6 of the Diamondbacks’ last 8 games have had 9 or more total runs.

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).

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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (87-70) and New York Yankees (92-65) meet Wednesday as they continue a 3-game series in the Bronx. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Baltimore leads 7-4

The Orioles bashed a trio of home runs in taking Tuesday’s series lid-lifter 5-3. The victory marked Baltimore’s 5th win in its last 6 games at Yankee Stadium.

Tuesday’s loss marked just the Yankees’ 3rd since Sept. 11. On Wednesday night, New York will look to avoid a 2nd straight loss, something it has not encountered since Sept. 3-4.

Orioles at Yankees projected starters

RHP Zach Eflin vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

Eflin (10-9, 3.53 ERA) is making his 28th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 160 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 5-3 win vs. San Francisco Giants Thursday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 3-3, 2.11 ERA (47 IP, 11 ER), 39 H, 10 BB, 53 K in 8 starts

Cortes (9-10, 3.77 ERA) is making his 31st start and 32nd appearance. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 174 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 2-1 win at Seattle Mariners last Tuesday
  • Career vs. Orioles: 5-1, 2.20 ERA (57 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 43 H, 14 BB, 72 K in 11 appearances (9 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Orioles +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Yankees -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-175) | Yankees -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 4, Yankees 3

Moneyline

Cortes has a 1.58 ERA since Aug. 13 that does not hold up to support-stats scrutiny. The Yankee southpaw is making this start on 6 days’ rest, and that interval has been problematic for him in the past. In 2024, Cortes has allowed an .873 OPS pitching on 6-plus days’ rest. Over his career, he’s held opposing bats to a .700 OPS but a .734 mark on 6 days’ rest.

Eflin has been a fine finisher over his career (.690 OPS allowed in September-October regular-season action). Look for the solid righty to give the Orioles enough of a win probability that value is created with the underdog return.

BET THE ORIOLES (+130).

Run line/Against the spread

No interest here: PASS.

Over/Under

The Under has cashed in 11 of New York’s last 16 games. The Under is 5-0 in Baltimore’s last 5 road tilts.

Both starters have good numbers against the bats they’ll see. Both sides will be in a mode to grind through the best arms in their bullpens.

With an inward breeze in the weather forecast, BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (+100).

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Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (86-72) welcome the Seattle Mariners (81-77) to Minute Maid Park Wednesday for the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 2:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mariners vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 7-5

The Astros beat the Mariners 4-3 in the 2nd game of the series Tuesday after losing 6-1 to open it Monday.

Houston has lost 2 of its last 3 yet is 4-2 over its last 6. The Astros have found a rhythm offensively, scoring 8 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 games. They are 46-34 at home and 81-77 against the spread (ATS).

The Mariners beat the Texas Rangers in 2 of 3 prior to facing Houston after losing 2 of 3 to the New York Yankees before that. They are 35-45 on the road and 68-90 ATS.

Mariners at Astros projected starters

RHP George Kirby vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Kirby (13-11, 3.60 ERA) makes his 33rd start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 185 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 8-2 road win over the Texas Rangers Friday
  • 2024 away stats: 7-6, 4.03 ERA (102 2/3 IP, 46 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 18 starts
  • Career vs. Astros: 2-0, 1.56 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 6 starts

Kikuchi (9-9, 4.19 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 169 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 3-1 home win over the Los Angeles Angels Thursday
  • 2024 home stats: 4-7, 4.13 ERA (98 IP, 45 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 17 starts
  • Career vs. Mariners: 1-0, 0.52 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 1 ER), 0.87 WHIP, 11.9 K/9 in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mariners at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Astros +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+140) | Astros +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mariners at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Astros 3

Moneyline

BET MARINERS (-135).

The Mariners have 2 things: The better starting pitching and the motivation to play their best. Houston has clinched the AL West and a playoff spot, and the Mariners are still on the outside looking in, starting the day 2 1/2 games out of the final Wild Card spot.

Seattle has won 4 of Kirby’s last 5 starts as well and has won 4 of its last 6 games. It has scored at least 5 runs in 4 of its last 5 games, so as long as Kirby can keep Houston’s offense as bay, Seattle should be able to come out on top. Back MARINERS (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no great value here.

The Mariners are too risky as a run-line favorite and aren’t worth a play while the Astros are too expensive as a run-line underdog considering they’ve already clinched a playoff spot.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7 (-105).

Both offenses have been hot over the last week. The Mariners are 3-1-1 O/U in their last 5 games, scoring at least 6 runs in 3 of those games. They have allowed at least 4 runs in 3 of their last 4 games as well.

The Astros are also 3-1-1 O/U in their last 5 and have given up at least 6 runs in 2 of their last 3 games. Considering those trends, back OVER 7 (-105).

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Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (80-78) and Toronto Blue Jays (73-85) conclude a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is slated for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 8-4

SS Trevor Story’s 3-run double in the 10th inning led the Blue Jays to a 6-5 win Tuesday. Boston’s 4th straight victory keeps their flickering Wild Card hopes alive. A win on Wednesday would be the Red Sox’s 1st sweep since a July 2-4 takedown of the Miami Marlins

The Blue Jays got out to an early lead behind a 2-run double from DH Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is 2nd in the AL with a .324 batting average. Toronto has lost 5 straight games and 7 of their last 8 and  long been  eliminated from playoff contention.

Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Richard Fitts vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

Fitts (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 4th career start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 4.0 K/9 in 15 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 4-2 home loss against Minnesota Twins Friday
  • Made MLB debut against the Chicago White Sox on Sept. 8
  • First time facing Blue Jays

Gausman (13-11, 3.91 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 175 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-0 win at Texas Rangers Thursday
  • 2024 home splits: 5-6, 5.26 ERA (89 IP, 55 R (52 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 15 starts
  • 2024 vs. Red Sox: 1-1, 5.40 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 9 R (7 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Blue Jays -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-185) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (+120).

The Red Sox are on a 4-game winning streak and still have a slim chance at the final AL Wild Card spot. Rookie Fitts has been stellar, throwing 15 2/3 innings without allowing an ER, and the Blue Jays will be seeing him for the 1st time, which often benefits the pitcher. Gausman has also struggled against Boston this season, giving up at least 3 ER in both of his previous starts against them. All these factors make a Red Sox moneyline bet a solid choice.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’ll keep my bet to the moneyline with those plus odds.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

The Under has hit in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams, indicating a trend that favors low-scoring affairs. Additionally, the Blue Jays have seen the Under cash in 6 of their last 7 games, suggesting their offense has been struggling. With Fitts on the mound for Boston, the Under is 2-0-1 in his first 3 career starts, showcasing his ability to limit scoring opportunities. All signs point to a low-scoring game, making the Under a smart bet.

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Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (83-74) and Washington Nationals (69-88) meet in the middle game of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 6:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Royals vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Kansas City leads 1-0

Kansas City snapped a 7-game losing streak in winning 1-0 in 10 innings Tuesday while covering as a -196 road favorite. CF Kyle Isbel broke the Royals’ streak of 27 straight scoreless innings by scoring on an error. The Royals are tied with the Detroit Tigers for 2nd AL Wild Card spot.

Washington has lost back-to-back games and has gone scoreless in both losses. The Nationals have lost 7 of their last 8 games scoring 14 total runs in that span.

Royals at Nationals projected starters

RHP Michael Lorenzen vs. LHP DJ Herz

Lorenzen (7-6, 3.43 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 126 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 1 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 1 K in a 6-1 win over Cleveland Guardians on Aug. 27
  • Has been out with a hamstring injury since his last start
  • Career vs. Washington: 1-2, 5.35 ERA (35 1/3 IP, 21 ER), 25 H, 17 BB, 24 K in 15 appearances (4 starts)

Herz (4-8, 4.30 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 83 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 10-0 embarrassment vs. the New York Mets Wednesday
  • First career start vs. Kansas City

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Nationals -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals -1.5 (+150) | Nationals +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Royals at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 3, Nationals 2

Moneyline

LEAN ROYALS (-115).

Kansas City is fighting for a playoff spot, so the extra motivation should give the Royals an extra boost and I expect them to get back to their winning ways. But be aware Kansas City is only 3-7 in its last 10 overall and 4-6 in its last 10 games vs. Washington.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I expect the Nationals to cover here as +1.5 (-185) underdogs considering how well they have played KC lately. However, this line is set far too heavily to risk betting on, so bet on the moneymen and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (+100).

The Under has hit in each of Washington’s last 4 games and in each of its last 4 games at home while also going 7-3 in its last 10 overall. For Kansas City, the Under is 3-1 in its last 4 on the road and 7-3 in its last 10 overall.

The Under has also hit in each of the last 3 KC-Washington meetings, also hitting in each of the last 3 in the Nation’s Capital.

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