Tag: MLB moneyline against the spread ATS Over Under OU total run line

Kansas City Royals at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Kansas City Royals at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (85-75) and Atlanta Braves (87-71) play the middle contest of a 3-game interleague series Saturday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Royals vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0; Atlanta won 3-0 in 2023

The Braves miraculously played Friday night despite severe flooding in the Greater Atlanta area due to the recent passing for Hurricane Helene. Atlanta picked up a 3-0 win as a heavy favorite (-178) as the Under (7.5) came through.

With the 8-4 loss by the New York Mets in Milwaukee, the Braves pulled into a tie with the Mets at 87-71 with 4 games remaining for each team, including a makeup doubleheader Monday.

RHP Reynaldo Lopez (shoulder) returns from injury to start. He was limited to just 25 pitches in his last start in Washington Sept. 10.

With Minnesota’s loss Friday, the Royals clinched a postseason spot. While Kansas City is just 3-8 in the past 11 games since Sept. 15, it has allowed just 9 runs in the past 5 outings, or 1.8 runs per game (RPG), as the pitching staff has gotten untracked. The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 games for the Royals, while going 18-6-1 in the past 25 outings.

Royals at Braves projected starters

RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Reynaldo Lopez

Lugo (16-9, 3.03 ERA) makes his 33rd start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 204 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 2-0 home setback vs. San Francisco Giants Sunday
  • 2024 road splits: 9-3, 2.67 ERA, 97 2/3 IP, 29 ER, 79 H, 8 HR, 2 BB, 95 K, .218 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.03 WHIP in 15 starts
  • Last 7 games: 3-2, 3.00 ERA (45 IP, 15 ER), 41 H, 8 BB, 43 K, 1.09 WHIP
  • Career vs. Braves: 5-5, 3.79 ERA (57 IP, 24 ER), 54 H, 7 HR, 19 BB, 54 K, 1.28 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 28 appearances (4 starts)

Lopez (8-5, 2.03 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 128 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 1 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 12-0 road victory vs. Washington Nationals Sept. 10 (25 pitches)
  • 2024 home splits: 4-2, 1.82 ERA, 74 IP, 15 ER, 6 HR, 28 BB, 84 K, .211 OBA, 1.14 WHIP in 13 starts
  • Last 7 games: 1-2, 2.45 ERA (33 IP, 9 ER), 28 H, 8 BB, 42 K, 1.09 WHIP
  • Career vs. Royals: 5-5, 5.24 ERA (87 2/3 IP, 51 ER), 106 H, 20 HR, 24 BB, 65 K, 1.48 WHIP, 6.7 K/9 in 26 appearances (14 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Braves -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-130) | Braves -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Royals at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Royals 3

Moneyline

The BRAVES (-210) are worth a look as favorites in the 2nd game of this crucial series. Atlanta needs to keep pace with New York as the 2 NL East rivals jockey for a playoff spot.

The Royals (+170) haven’t been playing very good baseball lately anyway, but now that they’ve clinched a playoff spot, they won’t be playing with the same kind of urgency as the home side.

Run line/Against the spread

Kansas City +1.5 (-130) will probably hit, but laying $1.30 on the Royals isn’t recommended when they just clinched a playoff spot.

PASS, and if you like K.C., just play it straight up at plus money.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-115) is worth a look in a game which should have a playoff feel.

Besides, it’s been all about the Under for Kansas City lately, going 4-1 in the past 5 games and 18-6-1 across the past 25 outings. The Under is 4-1 in Lugo’s previous 5 starts, too.

For the Braves, the Under is on a 4-0-1 run across the past 5 games.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (87-71) and the Milwaukee Brewers (92-68) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Saturday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 4-0, including a sweep of the season-opening series March 29-31

The Brewers doubled up the Mets 8-4 in Friday’s series opener to easily cash the Over (7.5). Milwaukee, the National League Central Division champ, is locked into the No. 3 seed in the postseason.

Milwaukee is 4-1 across the past 5 games, including victories in the past 2 home contests, while the Over holds a slight 3-2 edge in the 5-game span.

The Mets have dropped 2 in a row, including a key 5-1 loss in Atlanta  Tuesday, and it has an identical 87-71 like the Braves with 4 games to go, and a makeup doubleheader looming in Atlanta Monday.

New York has cashed the Over at a 6-2 pace in the past 8 games, while the Mets have seen the total go high at a 9-4-1 clip in the previous 14 contests.

Mets at Brewers projected starters

LHP Jose Quintana vs. LHP Jared Koenig

Quintana (10-9, 3.74 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 166 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 10-0 home victory vs. Washington Nationals Sept. 18
  • 2024 road splits: 5-4, 3.84 ERA, 82 IP, 35 ER, 72 H, 5 HR, 32 BB, 60 K, .238 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.27 WHIP in 15 starts
  • Last 7 games: 4-1, 2.63 ERA, 41 IP, 12 ER, 35 H, 15 BB, 24 K, 1.22 WHIP
  • Career vs. Brewers: 9-6, 2.94 ERA, 125 2/3 IP, 41 ER, 99 H, 14 HR, 34 BB, 122 K, 1.06 WHIP, 8.7 K/9

Koenig (9-4, 2.51 ERA) makes his 6th start and 55th appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 61 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 0 K in 3-1 home win vs. Cincinnati Reds June 15 (9 pitches)
  • 2024 home splits: 5-2, 3.00 ERA, 33 IP, 11 ER, 3 HR, 12 BB, 40 K, .219 OBA, 1.21 WHIP in 1 start (28 appearances)
  • Last 7 games: 1-1, 4.50 ERA, 8 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 5 BB, 6 K, 1.50 WHIP in 7 relief appearances
  • Career vs. Mets: No-decision, 3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 2 K (56 pitches) in home relief appearance Sept. 25, 2022

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Brewers -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+155) | Brewers +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Mets at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Brewers 3

Moneyline

The METS (-105) were unable to get the job done Friday, and they slipped into a tie with the Braves for the final postseason spot. New York needs to show a little more urgency after getting doubled up in the series opener.

The Brewers (-115) use the opener Koenig, and then they’ll turn it over to the bullpen. With the No. 3 seed locked in, Milwaukee won’t be grinding nearly as hard to get it done as New York will be.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The run line has swapped sides Saturday morning, and I’m not confident in a multi-run finish.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (+100) is the lean, but go very, very lightly.

The Over is on a 6-2 run for the Mets, but the Under is 2-1 in the previous 3 outings. For the Brewers, the Under has a slight 6-4 edge in the past 10 contests. The Under is 16-13-1 in Quintana’s 30 previous starts in 2024, too.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Houston Astros at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Houston Astros at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (87-73) and Cleveland Guardians (92-68) continue their 3-game, season-ending set with a Saturday evening game on the North Coast. First pitch from Progressive Field is slated for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Astros vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 3-1

The Astros have gone 13-11 this month, struggling offensively on the road (.663 OPS) while posting excellent numbers at home (.824 OPS).

Cleveland has been finishing strong after a sloppy start to the 2nd half. The Guardians went 17-21 July 19-Aug. 27. Even after Friday’s setback, the AL Central champs and potential No. 1 seed in the AL playoffs are 17-10 since.

Houston clinched its division Tuesday and is locked into the No. 3 seed in the American League. Cleveland is 1 game behind the New York Yankees for the No. 1 seed in the AL, but the Yankees have the tiebreaker over the Guardians.

Astros at Guardians projected starters

RHP Justin Verlander vs. RHP Ben Lively

Verlander (4-6, 5.55 ERA) is making his 17th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 84 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 9-7 home win vs. Los Angeles Angels Sept. 20
  • Career vs. Cleveland (regular season): 23-24, 4.41 ERA (352 2/3 IP, 173 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 56 starts

Lively (13-9, 3.80 ERA) is tabbed for his 29th start. He’s authored a 1.22 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 147 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 5-1 victory at St. Louis Cardinals Sept. 20
  • Has never faced Astros

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Astros at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Astros +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Guardians -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+165) | Guardians +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Astros at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 6, Guardians 4

Moneyline

Houston (+100) is being undervalued to win straight up, but its run line offers a more profitable opportunity.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

The last 7 series meetings have seen the Astros go 6-1, and 4 of Houston’s wins have been by multi-run margins.

Verlander is a question mark to be sure, but Lively figures to be overrated at least. He has benefited from a .222 batting average on balls in play with runners in scoring position, and his season ERA is tamped down by such luck.

This one gets interesting if the Yankees defeat the Pittsburgh Pirates in an earlier game. New York’s magic number for clinching the top spot in the AL is 1. A Yankee win could put the Guardians in middle relief-and-rest mode.

Houston’s bullpen has been sharp over the last couple months.

The return here (price listed on FanDuel Sportsbook) makes Houston worth the risk. BACK THE ASTROS -1.5 (+172).

Over/Under

The Under 8 was the play Friday and cashed with a 5-2 Houston triumph. The pitching changes the equation here, though.

CONSIDER A PARTIAL-UNIT PLAY ON THE OVER 8 (-105).

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Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (86-74) welcome the Chicago White Sox (39-121) to Comerica Park Saturday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the White Sox vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 10-1

The White Sox lost 4-1 Friday to open up their 3-game series with the Tigers.

Chicago snapped a 3-game losing streak with the loss. It beat the Los Angeles Angels in all 3 games prior to this series. The White Sox are just 3-6 over their last 9 games, though. They are 16-63 on the road and 66-94 against the spread (ATS) overall.

The Tigers have been among the hottest teams in baseball over the last few months. They have rallied off 6 straight wins and clinched a playoff spot for the first time in 10 years. Detroit is in the 2nd AL Wild Card spot, 1 game ahead of the Kansas City Royals. It is 43-36 at home on the season and 88-72 ATS overall.

White Sox at Tigers projected starters

RHP Sean Burke vs. TBD

Burke (1-0, 1.93 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 4th appearance. The rookie has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 through 14 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 4-2 road loss to San Diego Padres Sunday (only career away appearance)
  • Has never faced Tigers

The Tigers had not yet announced a starter, but RHP Beau Brieske (4-4, 3.56 ERA) is expected to serve as the opener. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 65 2/3 innings in 45 appearances (11 starts).

  • Last outing: Win, 2 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB, 0 K in 4-3 home victory vs. Tampa Bay Rays Thursday
  • Last start: No-decision, 1 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 4-2 home loss vs. Baltimore Orioles Sept. 14
  • Tigers bullpen 2024 stats: 46-36, 3.53 ERA (682 2/3 IP, 268 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 8.13 K/9
  • Tigers bullpen has 4th-lowest ERA in MLB

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

White Sox at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): White Sox +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Tigers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: White Sox +1.5 (-110) | Tigers -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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White Sox at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 4, White Sox 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Tigers (-250) have clinched the playoffs and should be riding high. However, playing them at this size of a favorite isn’t advised. Avoid a moneyline play.

Run line/Against the spread

BET WHITE SOX +1.5 (-110).

Detroit doesn’t need this game, and while it should still want to win for playoff seeding, it had a party Friday night. It has won 6 in a row, but it has only covered this size of a spread in 3 of the games. The Tigers have had 5 of their last 9 wins come by just 1 run.

Similarly, Chicago has a solid pitcher taking the mound who still has something to prove having just begun his career. Four of Chicago’s last 8 games have been within 1 run.

Expect a close battle, and take WHITE SOX +1.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-105).

The White Sox have gone Under in 5 straight games and are 0-8-1 O/U in their last 9. They are 66-85-9 O/U on the season. Chicago has scored 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 9 games as well.

The Tigers are a similar story. They have gone Under in 2 straight games and are 0-4-1 O/U in their last 5. Detroit has allowed just 1 run in 3 of its last 4 games. Couple all that together, and back UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (70-90) welcome the Philadelphia Phillies (94-66) to Nationals Park Saturday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 8-3

The Phillies are 2 games behind the LA Dodgers for the top spot in the National League — Philadelphia has the breaker. The Phillies lost to the Nationals 9-1 to open the series Friday. They have lost 4 of their last 6 games. They are just 40-39 on the road this season and 79-81 against the spread (ATS) overall. Philadelphia beat the Chicago Cubs in 2 of 3 games prior to this series.

The Nationals snapped their 4-game losing streak with the win Friday. They were swept in a 3-game home series by the Kansas City Royals and dropped 3 of 4 games to the Cubs prior to that. Washington is 37-42 at home this season and 87-73 ATS overall.

Phillies at Nationals projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. LHP MacKenzie Gore

Wheeler (16-7, 2.56 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 193 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 2-1 road loss to New York Mets Sunday
  • 2024 away stats: 6-4, 2.83 ERA (92 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 0.99 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 15 starts
  • Career vs. Nationals: 14-15, 4.50 ERA (202 IP, 101 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 34 starts

Gore (10-12, 4.04 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 160 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 5-1 road win over Cubs Sept. 21
  • 2024 home stats: 7-6, 3.99 ERA (88 IP, 39 ER), 1.63 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 in 18 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-4, 5.72 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.53 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 8 appearances (7 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Nationals +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Phillies -1.5 (-115) | Nationals +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Phillies at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Nationals 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no value here. Wheeler is an ace, and the Phillies (-200) should come out on top. They are unplayable at these odds, though.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-115).

The Phillies have dominated with Wheeler on the mound this season. They have won and covered in 3 of his last 5 starts, having outscored opponents 28-7. Philadelphia has a much steadier offense as well, having scored 4 or more runs in 3 of its last 4 games.

The Nationals have been held scoreless in 3 of their last 5 games and lost 6 of their last 10 by multiple runs. With those trends in mind, back PHILLIES -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-110).

The Nationals have gone Over in 2 straight games and 5 of their last 10. They have scored 13 runs over their last 2 games, so there has been some life in their offense.

Similarly, the Phillies are 6-1-1 O/U in their last 8 games. They have scored at least 6 runs in 4 of their last 8 as well. Take OVER 7.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (93-67) welcome the Pittsburgh Pirates (75-85) to Yankee Stadium Saturday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Pirates vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 1-0

The Yankees lost to the Pirates 4-2 Friday to commence the final series for both teams.

New York dropped 2 of 3 games to the Baltimore Orioles in the series prior. It is 7-4 over its last 11 games. The Yankees are 43-36 at home this season and 83-77 against the spread (ATS) overall. New York is 1 game ahead of the Cleveland Guardians for the top seed in the American League.

The Pirates have traded off winning and losing over their last 6 games. They dropped 2 of 3 games to both the Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds in their last 2 series. Pittsburgh is 36-43 on the road and 83-77 ATS overall.

Pirates at Yankees projected starters

RHP Paul Skenes vs. RHP Luis Gil

Skenes (11-3, 1.99 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 131 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 2-0 road victory over Reds Sunday
  • 2024 away stats: 5-2, 1.37 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 0.83 WHIP, 12.7 K/9 in 10 starts
  • Has never faced Yankees

Gil (15-6, 3.27 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 146 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 7-4 road victory over Oakland A’s Sunday
  • 2024 home stats: 6-3, 3.09 ERA (70 IP, 24 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Has never faced Pirates

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Pirates +1.5 (-200) | Yankees -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Pirates at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 3, Yankees 2

Moneyline

BET PIRATES (+115).

The Pirates are 14-8 this season with Skenes on the mound and are an impressive 7-3 when he pitches on the road. Considering all 27 innings, they have allowed a total of 4 runs in his last 3 starts. He has been even more impressive on the road.

New York has struggled as of late, dropping 3 of its last 4 games. It has allowed 19 runs in its last 4 games. The Yankees are just 2-4 over their last 6 at home. Expect those defensive struggles to continue, and back PIRATES (+115).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no good value here. The Pirates aren’t worth a play as run-line underdogs and are far too expensive. Similarly, the Yankees may struggle to separate themselves with Skenes on the mound for Pittsburgh.

Avoid this play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-120).

The Pirates have gone Under in 3 straight games and in 5 of their last 6. They have also gone Under in Skenes’ last 4 starts and tallied just 13 runs over their last 6 games. Their offense has struggled, and they have their ace on the mound.

The Yankees are 5-6-1 O/U in their last 12 and have a solid option to start the game as well. Considering the pitchers and the recent trends, take UNDER 7.5 (-120).

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LA Dodgers at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s LA Dodgers at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The LA Dodgers (94-64) and Colorado Rockies (61-98) begins a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Coors Field is slated for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 8-3

The Dodgers score 5 runs in the 7th inning to win 7-2 and clinch their 11th NL West title in the last 12 years. C Will Smith broke a 2-2 tie with a 2-run blast, followed by a 2-run single from RF Mookie Betts. LA holds a slim 1-game lead on the Philadelphia Phillies for the No. 1 overall seed in the National League playoffs.

Colorado snapped a 3-game skid Thursday with a 10-8 victory over the St. Louis Cardinals. Five Rockies had 2+ hits and the team recorded a total of 5 doubles. The lone home run came on a 3-run blast from veteran DH Charlie Blackmon. Colorado has long been eliminated from the playoff race.

Dodgers at Rockies projected starters

TBD vs. RHP Cal Quantrill

LA had not yet announced a starter, but RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto (6-2, 2.96 ERA) is projected to make his 18th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 85 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 6-5 home win against Rockies Sunday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-1, 1.86 ERA (38 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Rockies: 1-0, 5.00 ERA (9 IP, 5 ER), 1.78 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 in 2 starts

Quantrill (8-10, 4.72 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 145 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 6-3 win at Dodgers Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 4-4, 4.37 ERA (70 IP, 34 ER), 1.56 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 in 13 starts
  • 2024 vs. Dodgers: 0-2, 6.43 ERA (14 IP, 10 ER), 2.21 WHIP, 5.8 K/9 in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Dodgers at Rockies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:26 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Rockies +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-130) | Rockies +1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 11.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Dodgers at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 8, Rockies 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Dodgers (-190) are trying to lock down the top seed in the playoffs. They will win this game against the far inferior Rockies.

Run line/Against the spread

BET DODGERS -1.5 (-130).

The Dodgers are battling it out with the Phillies for that top seed in the playoffs, and with just a 1-game lead, every win counts. They want to lock up home-field advantage, and the Rockies aren’t exactly standing in their way.

LA has dominated the Rockies this season, and Quantrill has struggled big time against it. He’s 0-2 with a 6.43 ERA in his 3 starts against the Dodgers. With Colorado having nothing left to play for, this feels like an easy spot for the Dodgers to cover.

Over/Under

PASS.

It’s probably best to steer clear of betting the total. Sure, 11.5 runs at Coors Field makes sense given the altitude, but that’s still a pretty high number. The Under has actually cashed 5 times in the last 10 meetings, so it’s not a guaranteed slugfest.

The Dodgers should have no problem scoring off Quantrill, but I’m not too confident the Rockies will contribute enough to hit that total. I’d play it safe and stick with the run line instead of taking a chance on the Over/Under.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (91-68) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (88-71) begin a 3-game series Friday at Chase Field in Phoenix. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 5-5

The Padres lost the final 2 games in a 3-game set against the Dodgers in Los Angeles after winning the series opener Tuesday 4-2. San Diego lost 7-2 on Thursday as a slight underdog (-106) as the Over (8.5) cashed. That halted a 8-0-1 run to the Under dating back to Sept. 15.

The Diamondbacks stopped a 3-game losing streak with an 8-2 victory against the San Francisco Giants on Wednesday as a heavy favorite (-256) while the Over (9) cashed. The total is on a 3-0-1 run for the D-backs.

These teams haven’t met since July 5-7 in San Diego, when Arizona took 2 of 3 games at Petco Park. The Over cashed in all 3 meetings in that series, with the Snakes averaging 8.0 runs per game (RPG), and the Padres averaging 5.3 RPG.

The last time these teams met in Phoenix was back on May 3-5, with the Padres winning 2 of 3 games. The Over cashed in 2 of those 3 outings, too. The Over is on a 6-0 run, while hitting in 8 of the past 9, in this series.

Padres at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. RHP Merrill Kelly

Darvish (6-3, 3.18 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 76 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H (2 solo HR), 0 BB, 9 K in 4-2 home victory vs. Chicago White Sox Sunday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-0, 2.05 ERA, 22 IP, 5 ER, 16 H, 3 HR, 4 BB, 21 K, .203 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 0.91 WHIP in 4 starts
  • Last 7 games: 3-2, 4.04 ERA, 35 2/3 IP, 16 ER, 34 H, 7 BB, 37 K, 1.15 WHIP
  • Career vs. Diamondbacks: 8-4, 3.55 ERA, 101 1/3 IP, 40 ER, 85 H, 15 HR, 35 BB, 131 K, 1.18 WHIP, 11.6 K/9 in 18 starts

Kelly (5-0, 3.71 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 68 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 5-0 road victory vs. Milwaukee Brewers last Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-0, 3.55 ERA, 33 IP, 13 ER, 7 HR, 8 BB, 23 K, .228 OBA, 1.09 WHIP in 6 starts
  • Last 7 games: 2-0, 4.70 ERA, 38 1/3 IP, 20 ER, 10 BB, 32 K, 1.28 WHIP
  • Career vs. Padres: 9-3, 3.05 ERA, 82 2/3 IP, 28 ER, 11 HR, 31 BB, 78 K, 1.19 WHIP in 15 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Padres at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:56 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Diamondbacks -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-200) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Padres at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

The PADRES (+105) are a solid road ‘dog behind the veteran Darvish, as they look to snap a 2-game losing streak and build a little momentum heading into the postseason.

The Diamondbacks (-125) aren’t as good of a play because of Kelly. While he is unbeaten this season in 5 decisions, he was lifted from his most recent start due to cramping. It’s uncertain how long he’ll be able to go, and how effective he’ll be.

Run line/Against the spread

The Padres +1.5 (-200) are a little too pricey for a standalone wager, if you’re like a little bit of insurance. However, as part of a multi-leg parlay, throwing them in isn’t the end of the world.

The Padres have won Darvish’s past 4 starts since he returned from injury, so they’re a much better play straight up.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 9 (-115) is a solid play in a game which should have a playoff feel. The Padres are already into the postseason field, and the Diamondbacks are a good bet to snap up one of the other Wild Card spots.

While the Under has cashed in 6 straight meetings, these teams haven’t faced each other since early July, so that can be discarded. What’s more important is that the Under is 8-1-1 in the past 10 games for the Padres.

And, while the Diamondbacks have cashed high at a 3-0-1 clip in the past 4 games, the Under is 3-1 in Kelly’s past 4 starts.

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New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (87-70) and the Milwaukee Brewers (91-68) begin a 3-game series Friday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 3-0, sweeping season-opening series March 29-31

The Mets will be glad to be indoors after managing to play just 1 of 3 games in soggy Atlanta against the Braves, as tropical moisture inundated Georgia with the approach of Hurricane Helene. In the game the Mets did play, they lost 5-1 to the Braves on Tuesday as the Under (7.5) cashed.

Despite that loss Tuesday, the Mets are 6-2 in the past 8 games, while the Under has cashed in the past 2 outings. New York has dropped 3 in a row on the road.

The Brewers are locked in as the NL Central champions, and they cannot get to the top seed of the playoffs, with the LA Dodgers having 95 wins with 3 to play. Mathematically, the Brewers could catch the Philadelphia Phillies for the No. 2 seed, but the latter is 3 games clear of Milwaukee with 3 to play.

Mets at Brewers projected starters

LHP Sean Manaea vs. RHP Frankie Montas

Manaea (12-5, 3.29 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 178 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 3 ER, 3 H (2 HR), 0 BB, 6 K in 6-3 home victory vs. Philadelphia Phillies last Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 6-2, 2.77 ERA, 84 1/3 IP, 26 ER, 61 H, 6 HR, 35 BB, 79 K, .200 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.14 WHIP in 15 starts
  • Last 7 games: 3-0, 2.81 ERA, 48 IP, 15 ER, 22 H, 9 BB, 54 K, 0.65 WHIP
  • Career vs. Brewers: 1-1, 4.19 ERA, 19 1/3 IP, 9 ER, 17 H, 2 HR, 6 BB, 23 K, 1.19 WHIP, 10.7 K/9

Montas (7-11, 4.85 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 146 2/3 IP with Reds and Brewers.

  • Last start: No-decision, 2 2/3 IP, 8 R (7 ER), 6 H (3 HR), 2 BB, 4 K in 10-9 home win vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: 1-7, 4.97 ERA, 63 1/3 IP, 35 ER, 10 HR, 22 BB, 66 K, .264 OBA, 1.39 WHIP in 13 starts
  • Last 7 games: 2-3, 4.81 ERA, 39 1/3 IP, 21 ER, 29 H, 15 BB, 46 K, 1.12 WHIP
  • Career vs. Mets: 0-0, 5.40 ERA, 6 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 2 BB, 8 K, 1.35 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:36 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Brewers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+145) | Brewers +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mets at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Brewers 3

Moneyline

The METS (-120) are a strong play behind the southpaw Manaea, as they fight and claw for a postseason berth.

The Brewers (+100) are already in the clubhouse with a division title, so it remains to be seen how hungry they’ll be, with the No. 3 seed in the NL all but likely to be theirs.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more adventurous, playing METS -1.5 (+145) is worth a roll of the dice, as Montas has been very shaky at home in both of his stops this season. The Brewers +1.5 (-175) would be too costly, and not a high quality play, behind the erratic right-hander in this series opener.

Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

While Manaea has been pitching well, posting a solid 2.81 ERA across his past 7 starts, Montas has a dismal 4.81 ERA across the same span, while turning in an ugly 4.97 ERA at home this season with Cincinnati and Milwaukee.

The Over is 8-4 in the past 12 games for the Mets, too. Go high, but be careful, as the Under is 6-3 across the past 9 for the Brew Crew.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (74-85) and the New York Yankees (93-66) begin a 3-game interleague series Friday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Pirates vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Yankees won 2-1 in 2023

The Pirates dropped 2 of 3 games against the Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday through Thursday, and Pittsburgh has dropped 4 consecutive series, going 4-9 in the past 13 games since sweeping a 3-game set with the Miami Marlins Sept. 9-11.

The Under has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games for the Bucs, while going 9-3 in the previous 12 outings. In interleague play, Pittsburgh has seen the Under go 7-2 in the past 9 tries.

For the Yankees, they’ve clinched the AL East Division title and enter the weekend just 1 game ahead of the Cleveland Guardians for the top seed in the AL playoffs.

New York won 10-1 on Thursday to clinch the AL East, and it is 10-4 since Sept. 11. The Over is 4-0-1 in the past 5 outings. Against the NL, the Yankees are just 3-5 in the past 8 outings, while the Over has cashed in the past 5 interleague games at home.

Pirates at Yankees projected starters

RHP Jared Jones vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Jones (6-8, 4.14 ERA) makes his 22nd career start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 117 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 ER, 6 H (2 HR), 3 BB, 5 K in 7-1 road setback vs. Cincinnati Reds last Saturday
  • Career/2024 road splits: 2-5, 5.96 ERA, 48 1/3 IP, 32 ER, 46 H, 10 HR, 13 BB, 52 K, .250 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.22 WHIP in 9 starts
  • Last 7 games: 2-2, 4.93 ERA, 38 1/3 IP, 21 ER, 34 H, 15 BB, 40 K, 1.28 WHIP
  • Has never faced Yankees

Rodon (16-9, 3.98 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 169 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 10-0 road victory vs. Oakland Athletics last Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 9-2, 3.09 ERA, 75 2/3 IP, 26 ER, 13 HR, 23 BB, 86 K, .202 OBA, 1.06 WHIP in 13 starts
  • Last 7 games: 3-2, 3.29 ERA, 38 1/3 IP, 14 ER, 10 BB, 47 K, 1.20 WHIP
  • Career vs. Pirates: 3-2, 3.99 ERA, 29 1/3 IP, 13 ER, 3 HR, 4 BB, 33 K, 1.09 WHIP in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:17 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Yankees -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-130) | Yankees -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pirates at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Pirates 3

Moneyline

The Yankees (-185) are just a little too expensive for a standalone bet, costing you nearly 2 times your potential return. However, as part of a multi-leg parlay, it’s perfectly fine to toss the Bronx Bombers in.

For a singular bet, PASS, and look to the run line instead.

Run line/Against the spread

Back the YANKEES -1.5 (+110) at plus-money laying the run and a half.

While the Pirates +1.5 (-130) are a respectable 23-23 against left-handed starting pitchers, it’s Jones who cannot be trusted. He has been phenomenal in his 1st season in the majors at home, but on the road he has been a disaster. He has a 2-5 record with a 5.96 ERA, and the Bronx Bombers are likely to send him off into the offseason with another L.

Over/Under

OVER 8 (-115) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play.

The Yankees have cashed high on the total at a 4-0-1 clip in the past 5 games, while going Over at a 12-4 rate in the past 16 interleague contest at The Stadium.

For the Bucs, the Over has hit in just 1 of the past 5 outings. The total has gone high in 4 of the past 5 road starts for Jones, however.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
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