Tag: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks odds predictions pick betting line spread

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (62-60) and San Diego Padres (58-64) meet Friday to continue a 4-game NL West series. First pitch at Petco Park is slated for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 5-5

Arizona won Thursday’s lid-lifter 3-1. Since dropping 9 straight games from Aug. 1-11, the Diamondbacks have rallied to win 5 of their last 6.

The Padres logged just 3 hits in Thursday’s loss. They have averaged just 3.56 runs per game over their last 9 (.638 OPS) despite twice scoring 10 runs in a game over this stretch.

Diamondbacks at Padres projected starters

RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. RHP Seth Lugo

Pfaadt (0-6, 6.91 ERA) is tabbed for his 12th career start. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 54 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 9 H, 3 R, 2 BB, 8 K in 5-4 loss at San Diego Sunday, his first against the Padres
  • 2023 road stats: 0-2, 5-48 ERA in 23 IP across 4 starts
  • Rookie truggled early; owns a 4.34 ERA over his last 5 starts

Lugo (4-6, 4.16 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 97 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 4 K in 5-4 home win vs. Arizona Sunday
  • 2023 home stats: 2-4, 5.40 ERA in 40 IP across 8 starts
  • Career starts vs. Arizona: 0-2, 5.06 ERA in 16 IP (2018-23)

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Diamondbacks at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:38 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Padres -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-140) | Padres -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Diamondbacks at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

Even with Thursday’s triumph, the Diamondbacks are just 10-19 over their last 29 games against San Diego.

The Padres are undervalued as far as talent-to-record is concerned. But as a betting proposition, they offer no value here. San Diego is a lean against the same pitcher they saw last week (and got to for 9 hits), but we should want a price of -165 or better.

The juice is drowning out value on this play: PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Same problem as above: San Diego is a lean, the Friars -1.5 does not bring enough return until we get to the +120 level. PASS or perhaps keep an eye on this tag throughout the day.

Over/Under

Both starters have been undone by batting averages on balls in play over well .300. There is a little bit of bad luck in their surface lines

Both sides have season O/U results shading toward the Under. The Padres have been part of an Under in 64 of their last 112 games (+11.20 Units, 9% ROI).

The back ends of both bullpens got some rest last night and should be fully available Friday.

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (61-60) and San Diego Padres (58-63) meet Thursday to open a 4-game NL West series. First pitch at Petco Park is slated for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: San Diego leads 5-4.

Arizona is continuing a trip that opened with a pair of wins in 3 games at the Colorado Rockies. After dropping 9 straight games from Aug. 1-11, the Diamondbacks have rallied to win 4 of their last 5. They are 1 1/2 games out of the final Wild Card spot.

The Padres have also had recent struggles. They went 1-7 from Aug. 6-14. But they enter this series on a 2-game winning streak. They are 4 1/2 games from the final Wild Card spot and 3 games behind Arizona in pursuit of it.

Diamondbacks at Padres projected starters

RHP Zac Gallen vs. LHP Rich Hill

Gallen (12-5, 3.24 ERA) is tabbed for his 26th start of the season. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 155 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 8 K in 3-0 home win vs. San Diego Padres Saturday
  • 2023 road stats: 2-4, 4.72 ERA in 76 1/3 IP across 13 starts (owns a 1.82 ERA across 12 starts at home)
  • Last 5 starts vs. Padres: 2-1, 3.68 ERA in 29 1/3 IP
  • Coughed up 4 ER in 6 IP at San Diego April 4; has shut out the Padres across 13 IP at home since

Hill (7-12, 5.17 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 125 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-0 home loss vs. Arizona Saturday
  • 2023 home stats: 4-6, 5.33 ERA in 79 1/3 IP across 15 starts
  • Last 5 starts vs. Arizona: 0-4, 9.70 ERA in 21 1/3 IP (2018-23); in 2023, has allowed 8 R in 7 1/3 IP

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Diamondbacks at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Padres -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+155) | Padres +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Diamondbacks at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Diamondbacks 4

Moneyline

The Snakes are 1-7 across their last 8 series openers. They are just 9-19 over their last 28 games against San Diego.

Gallen is facing the Friars for a 2nd straight start. Since 2021, he has faced a club twice in a row 6 times. The front halves of those doubles made for an aggregate 2.43 ERA; the back halves produced a lofty 7.20 ERA.

The Arizona offense is swung around to the lesser side of its platoon splits against lefties (.721 OPS).

Look for the bullpens to be key in this one and maybe not the back ends as much (both are under fatigue-caution yellow flags): advantage Padres.

BACK THE PADRES (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

No reason to wade through all the juice here. PASS.

Over/Under

Both starters are fly-ball hurlers. An outward breeze is expected on a humid evening in San Diego.

The road version of Gallen, and the back-to-back-against-the-same-team Gallen, mixes with Hill and 2 tired bullpens. A double-digit game would not be a surprise.

Consider a partial-unit play on the OVER 8.5 (-105).

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (56-60) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (57-59) meet for game 2 of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 5-2 after a 10-5 series-opening victory Friday

The Padres climbed to within a game of .500 with a recent hot streak but had dropped 5 of 6 games prior to Friday’s win. San Diego is 13 1/2 games back in the NL West but only 4 games out of an NL Wild Card spot.

Arizona has been ice-cold. The Diamondbacks have lost 9 straight games and are 7-25 over their last 32 games, slipping from the lead in the NL West to 3 games back of the final NL Wild Card spot.

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Padres at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Rich Hill vs. RHP Zac Gallen

Hill (7-11, 5.09 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 122 IP for the Padres and Pittsburgh Pirates.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 6 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 8-2 home loss vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday in Padres debut
  • 2023 road stats: 3-5, 4.64 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 22 ER) and 8.4 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1-8, 6.18 ERA (67 IP, 46 ER) in 13 starts
  • 2023 vs. Diamondbacks: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 7-3 road loss with Pirates on July 7

Gallen (11-5, 3.37 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 149 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 5-3 road loss vs. Minnesota Twins Sunday
  • 2023 home stats: 9-1, 1.96 ERA (73 1/3 IP, 16 ER) with 10.3 K/9 in 11 starts
  • Career vs. Padres: 2-3, 3.70 ERA (56 IP, 23 ER) with 9.2 K/9 in 10 starts; has faced them twice this season, allowing 4 ER in 13 IP with a 14/1 K/BB.

Padres at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Diamondbacks -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-160) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Padres at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Padres 4

Moneyline

Arizona has been reeling and they have even lost the last 5 games in which their ace Gallen has started. He hasn’t been quite as dominant lately, with a 4.38 ERA across his last 8 starts.

Hill has had a rough season and has been especially bad lately, with a 7.07 ERA and 20/13 K/BB in 28 IP over his last 6 starts. Look for the DIAMONDBACKS (-150) to get back into the win column.

Run line/Against the spread

Arizona hasn’t won by multiple runs in their last 14 games, and they haven’t won by more than 2 runs in their last 21 contests. They have the clear pitching edge and should come out on top in this one, but PASS on the run line.

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Over/Under

The Under has hit in 11 of the Diamondbacks’ last 13 games and they have scored just 30 runs in their last 13 games. However, they put up a 5-spot Friday and the bats should wake up against Hill, who hasn’t been able to shut anybody down lately.

The total has gone over in 7 of the last 9 for the Padres and Gallen has taken a step back lately, allowing 3 ER or more in 6 of his last 8 starts. The total should check in right around this number, but given the way Hill has pitched recently, a small play on OVER 9 (-105) looks like the way to go.

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (55-60) and Arizona Diamondbacks (57-58) open up a 3-game set at Chase Field Friday. First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 4-2

The Friars limp into this one losers of 4 in a row and 5 of 6. They sit 13 1/2 out in the NL West but just 4 1/2 out of an NL Wild Card spot. Close games have been San Diego’s kryptonite, going 0-10 in extra innings and 6-18 in 1-run games. The Padres are just 15-17 within the division.

The D-Backs are having an even bigger meltdown than the Padres with 8 straight losses and defeats in 9 of 10. Arizona is a whopping 7-23 over the last 30 games. This is a team that was atop the NL West for a big portion of the season but now sits 13 1/2 out in the division and 2 1/2 out of a Wild Card spot. The Diamondbacks are 16-17 against left-handed pitchers.

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Padres at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Ryne Nelson

Snell (8-8, 2.61 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 in 124 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 8 K Saturday against the Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks: 3-1, 1.13 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, 46 K in 32 IP

Nelson (6-6, 5.16 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 122 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K Saturday against the Minnesota Twins
  • 4 career starts vs. Padres: 1-1, 4.43 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 17 K in 22 1/3 IP

Padres at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (-105) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Padres at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

Snell is a magician. He has 30 walks in 37 innings over his last 7 starts, but he’s 4-1 with a 1.22 ERA. He has at least 3 walks in each of those starts, but he has the stuff to put hitters away to come away unscathed. With that much traffic, there’s no way I’m taking the Padres (-165).

Head to the Win/Total section and take the PADRES AND OVER 5.5 (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

Snell’s last 3 starts have ended in multi-run wins. Nine of the last 10 games between these teams have been decided by more than a run. The same can be said for San Diego’s last 10 overall.

Go easy, but I’ll take PADRES -1.5 (-105).

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Over/Under

The D-Backs are just 1-9 O/U over the last 10, and the Padres are 5-5. Snell has only had 1 Over cash in his last 4 starts, and the Over is 1-2 in his last 3 against Arizona. Nelson has allowed 13 ER in his last 3 starts, but I don’t think it’s enough to cash an Over.

PASS.

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (10-11) visit the Arizona Diamondbacks (11-9) for the 2nd of a 4-game series Friday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 2-1

The Padres won their 2nd straight game Thursday, picking up a 7-5 victory in the series opener. OF Trent Grisham broke a 5-5 tie in the top of the 6th with a 2-run double to give the Padres the lead, and the bullpen threw 3 scoreless frames to finish the game.

The Diamondbacks lost for the 2nd straight game as RHP Ryne Nelson allowed 5 runs on 3 hits and 3 walks in 5 innings. LHP Kyle Nelson gave up the 2-run double in the 6th to take the loss.

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Padres at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Zac Gallen

Lugo (2-0, 2.70 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 5 BB and 17 K through 16 2/3 IP.

  • Lasted only 3 1/3 IP in the last start, allowing 3 ER on 8 H and 1 BB with 5 K vs. the Milwaukee Brewers Saturday
  • 0-1 with 4.34 ERA in 10 career appearances (1 start) vs. Arizona

Gallen (2-1, 3.33 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 24 1/3 IP.

  • Has not allowed a run across 13 2/3 IP in his last 2 starts
  • No-decision vs. Padres on April 4 in an 8-6 win, allowing 5 R (4 ER), 7 H and 1 BB with 3 K over 6 IP

Padres at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:27 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+140) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Padres at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Padres 3

Moneyline

The Padres plated 7 runs Thursday but had only scored 2 total runs in their previous 4 games.

Gallen has found his groove early on and has tossed 13 2/3 scoreless innings in his last 2 starts. Expect that to continue.

Arizona has scored 5 runs or more in 5 straight games and that will be enough for Gallen if it continues.

BET DIAMONDBACKS (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

The run line is only worth a bet if you think the Padres can win and cover the spread. The line for the Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165) is too pricey when you can get better odds on either team on the moneyline.

PASS.

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Over/Under

All 3 meetings between these teams have had at least 9 total runs.

The Diamondbacks have had 4 straight games with totals of 9 or more.

However,  Gallen’s last 2 starts had totals of 3 and 5 runs and the Padres have scored 2 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. Hitting the Over will be tough.

BET UNDER 9 (-110).

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (9-11) open a 7-game road trip with the 1st of 4 games against the Arizona Diamondbacks (11-8) on Thursday. First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Padres ended a 3-game losing streak Wednesday and avoided getting swept at home by the Atlanta Braves with a 1-0 win. Starter Nick Martinez pitched 7 scoreless innings and OF Juan Soto homered for the only run of the game.

The Diamondbacks finished their road trip 3-3. They won their 3-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals, but dropped the finale on Wednesday 14-5 as starter Madison Bumgarner allowed 7 runs on 7 hits in only 3 innings.

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Padres at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP  Michale Wacha vs. RHP Ryne Nelson

Wacha (2-1, 6.06 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 5 BB and 15 K in 16 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 7 ER on 11 H in 4 1/3 IP in an 11-2 loss to the Brewers in his last outing
  • Is 2-1 with 3.82 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 7 career starts vs. Arizona

Nelson (1-0, 3.71 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 5 BB and 10 K in 17 IP.

  • Had no-decision in 3-2 loss vs. Miami Marlins in last start, allowing 1 R on 5 H in 6 IP
  • Making 7th career start, 4th against Padres

Padres at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+110) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Padres at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Padres 3

Moneyline

The Padres get SS Fernando Tatis Jr. back on Thursday from his 50-game PED suspension, which should be a boost to the lineup. The Padres have scored only 2 runs in their last 4 games. They are 2-8 in their last 10 games.

The Diamondbacks are 5-2 at Chase Field this season. And so far this season, the D-backs have lost consecutive games only once.

BET DIAMONDBACKS (+115).

Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks have been the ATS underdog in 16 of their first 18 games this season and are 11-5 ATS in those games.

The Padres are 4-7 ATS when favored on the run line.

The Diamondbacks are the better bet here, but because of the positive odds on the moneyline, that is the best bet to make here.

PASS.

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Over/Under

Of the 2 teams’ previous meetings, 1 game had 9 total runs and the other had 14.

The Padres have scored 2 total runs in their last 4 games and have been held to 2 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10 games. Only 2 of their last 10 games have had totals of 10 or more runs.

Six of the Diamondbacks’ last 9 games have had 9 or fewer runs.

BET UNDER 9.5 (+100).

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (45-30) open a 2-game set on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks (33-41) Tuesday. First pitch is 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks with MLB picks and predictions.

San Diego leads the season series against Arizona 6-1.

The Padres swept the Diamondbacks in a 3-game series at home two weekends ago, but since then have lost 3 of 4 games to the Philadelphia Phillies. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games after winning 11 of 14.

The Diamondbacks snapped a 5-game losing streak with Sunday’s 11-7 win over the Detroit Tigers. They are 5-10 in their last 15 games.

Padres at Diamonbacks projected starters

LHP Sean Manaea vs. RHP Zac Gallen

Manaea (3-3, 3.87 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 79 IP.

  • He is 1-0 against the Diamondbacks in 2 starts with a 1.38 ERA over 13 innings against them.
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 3 of his last 4 starts.

Gallen (4-5, 2.79 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 71 IP.

  • Had a no-decision in June 21 start vs. the Padres with 6 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 4 H, 3 BB and 11 K.
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 11 of 13 starts this season.

Padres at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:07 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Padres -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+140) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Padres at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Padres 4

Money line

The Diamondbacks will pretty much always win 1 game of a series. The only team to sweep them in Phoenix has been the Dodgers.

The Padres are great on the road at 24-14, but they are facing Arizona’s ace in Gallen, although the D-backs have lost 3 of his last 4 outings.

Gallen puts them in the best position to win of their starters most consistently.

The key is whether the Diamondbacks can get 5 runs. They have had 5 or more runs in their last 13 wins and have failed to score 5 runs in their last 9 losses and in 20 of their last 22 losses. Of their 41 losses, they had 5 runs or more in only 6 of them.

Manaea has allowed 3 or more runs in 7 of his 13 starts.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS (-105).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks are 41-33 ATS on the season, while the Padres are 40-35 ATS.

The Padres do top the majors with a 27-14 ATS record on the road.

Six of the Diamondbacks’ last 7 losses have been by 2 runs or more, so if you like the Padres to win the game outright, taking them on the run line is the better bet.

However, as I expect an Arizona upset win, the better value is the money line. PASS on the run line.

Over/Under

As previously mentioned, the 5-run mark is key for an Arizona win. Twelve of their last 14 wins have had 8 or more total runs.

Only 2 of the 7 games between the 2 teams have had 8 or more runs, but if Arizona is to win, this is the best bet.

Take OVER 7.5 (-115).

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (70-62) and Arizona Diamondbacks (44-89) play the second game of a three-game set Tuesday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Padres LHP Blake Snell (6-5, 4.58 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 11.8 K/9 and 5.1 BB/9 through 114 IP.

  • Allowed 1 run on 3 hits and 0 walks with 10 strikeouts across a season-high 7 2/3 IP in a no-decision against the Los Angeles Dodgers Wednesday.
  • Is 1-0 with a 1.08 ERA and .194 opponent batting average across 16 2/3 IP over three starts vs. Arizona this season.

Diamondbacks RHP Zac Gallen (2-7, 4.32 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 through 85 1/3 IP.

  • Yielded just 2 unearned runs on 3 hits and 2 walks with 6 strikeouts across 5 IP in a win at the Philadelphia Phillies Thursday.
  • Is 0-1 with a 5.59 ERA with a .341 opponent batting average and 4 homers allowed in just 9 2/3 IP over two starts vs. the Padres this season.

Padres at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:16 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+100) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Padres 6, Diamondbacks 2

Money line (ML)

The PADRES (-170) are a little on the expensive side, but they’re a great play behind Snell. He hasn’t allowed much against the Diamondbacks this season, and that’s not going to change in this one, either.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The PADRES -1.5 (+100) are an even better play at even money. They cashed against the Diamondbacks in Monday’s series-opening 7-5 win, pushing an insurance run across in the top of the ninth. It should be a little more comfortable of a winning margin in the middle game.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 8.5 (-122) failed to cash in the series opener, but is still 5-1-1 in the previous seven for San Diego inside the division. Plus, the Under has hit in each of Snell’s past three showings.

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (69-62) and Arizona Diamondbacks (44-88) play the opener of a three-game set Monday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Padres RHP Chris Paddack (7-6, 5.13 ERA) makes his 20th start and 21st appearance. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 through 93 IP.

  • Enters on a three-game win streak, allowing seven runs, 17 hits and two walks with nine strikeouts across the past 16 IP.
  • Is 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA and .340 opponent batting average with 10 runs and 18 hits allowed across 11 2/3 IP in two starts vs. ARI this season.

Diamondbacks LHP Tyler Gilbert (1-1, 2.38 ERA) makes his 4th start and 7th appearance. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 through 22 2/3 IP.

  • Debuted for the Diamondbacks Aug. 3, working in relief three times before making his first start Aug. 14 vs. SD.
  • His first major league start against the Padres Aug. 14 was a no-hitter. He was the third pitcher since 1892 to toss a no-no in his first-ever start.

Padres at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (-112) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Prediction

Diamondbacks 4, Padres 3

Money line (ML)

The DIAMONDBACKS (+145) are worth a roll of the dice with Gilbert on the bump. He had a stunning and historic no-hitter against the Padres (-180) last time he faced them, and he hasn’t allowed a run in 11 IP in two appearances vs. SD this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-108) aren’t terribly expensive if you’re not quite feeling them straight up but want a little insurance on the home side. Gilbert has been outstanding against the Padres, so take a chance on him to keep up the good work.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 9.5 (-120) is the way to go. The Under is 5-0-1 across the past six for San Diego vs. NL West foes, while going 4-0 in the past four series openers, too. The Under is also 4-1 in their past five against a left-handed starting pitcher.

The Under is 4-1-1 in the past six for the Diamondbacks at home, while going 4-1-1 in the past six against teams with a winning overall record.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (66-53) play the finale of a four-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (38-80) Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Diamondbacks won the first three games of the series, including a 7-0 no-hitter Saturday by Tyler Gilbert in his first major-league start. Arizona is seeking their second series sweep at home of the season.

Padres RHP Craig Stammen (5-3, 3.31 ERA) makes his third start of the season and his 52nd appearance. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 65 1/3 IP.

  • This will be his third time serving as an “opener” for the Padres. He hasn’t pitched more than 2 innings in any appearance.
  • Allowed the game-winning home run to Daulton Varsho in the ninth inning Friday.

Diamondbacks RHP Zac Gallen (1-6, 4.87 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 68 1/3 IP.

  • He has lost his last six decisions and the Diamondbacks have dropped 10 of his last 11 starts.
  • He has an ERA of 7.06 in his last four outings.

Padres at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:02 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+100) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Padres 6, Diamondbacks 3

Money line (ML)

The Padres have lost four games in a row and their last four on the road. They have been swept only twice all season with one sweep coming on the road. San Diego won both games Stammen has opened previously.

The Diamondbacks have just two series sweeps on the year and have only won four games in a row twice. Gallen has struggled and the Diamondbacks have lost 10 of his last 11 starts.

Take the PADRES (-160).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Padres are 59-60 ATS overall and 28-27 ATS on the road. They have failed to cover the spread in their last five games and are 6-9 ATS against the Diamondbacks this season.

Arizona is 58-60 ATS overall but has the fourth-highest home cover percentage in the league at 55.9%. The D-Backs have covered the spread in four of their last five games and all three games of this series. They have only had two ATS win streaks of more than three games on the year: when they covered four straight games July 18-21 and eight straight April 18-27.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (+100).

Over/Under (O/U)

Nearly 60% of the games at Chase Field have gone Over the projected total this season.

Three of the last four Gallen starts have had at least 10 total runs.  However, only three of the Diamondbacks’ last 11 games have had totals of 10 or more.

Only four of the last 13 for the Padres have totals of 10 or more.

Take UNDER 9.5 (-122).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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