Texas Rangers at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Texas Rangers at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Texas Rangers (8-6) and Houston Astros (7-8) finish a 3-game set at Minute Maid Park Sunday. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Rangers were pummeled 8-2 Saturday as +163 road underdogs. They’ve lost 2 of 3 with they both by at least 6 runs. Texas is 7th in scoring at 5.44 runs per 9 innings, but the pitching has improved with the addition of SP Jacob deGrom. The Rangers staff is 5th in least home runs allowed (12) and 10th in strikeouts (136). They are without SS Corey Seager (hamstring) until mid-May.

Houston has yet to hit its stride offensively without 2B Jose Altuve (thumb), but defensively, it is 5th in ERA (3.65). The Astros are 5-5 over the last 10 and 4-5 at home overall. 2B Mauricio Dubon has played admirably in Altuve’s absence, leading the team with a .356 batting average.

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Rangers at Astros projected starters

LHP Andrew Heaney vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Heaney (1-1, 8.22 ERA) makes his 3rd start this season. He has a 1.70 WHIP, 14.1 K/9 and 4.7 BB/9 in 7 2/3 innings.

  • After rough 1st start (7 ER in 2 2/3 IP), allowed just 1 unearned run in 5 IP with 10 K of 11-2 home win vs. Royals Monday
  • Career vs. Astros: 3-4, 3.54 ERA (61 IP, 24 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 11 starts, last facing Houston in 2021

Valdez (1-1, 1.89 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 in 19 innings.

  • Has gone 7 IP with 2 ER in each of his last 2 starts with 14 K total
  • Career vs. Rangers: 6-3, 2.55 ERA (67 IP, 19 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 in 10 starts and 3 relief appearances
  • Last season vs. Rangers: 3-1, 1.56 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 5 starts

Rangers at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:57 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rangers +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Astros -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-120) | Astros -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rangers at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 3, Rangers 2

Moneyline

With the way Astros have played, there’s no way I’m taking a -200 ML on them against anyone. They’re facing a strikeout pitcher that could beat them Sunday as well.

I just don’t have enough confidence in the Rangers (+165) to take them outright. The Astros are also 10-1 in Valdez’s last 11 starts against teams with a winning record.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

BACK TEXAS +1.5 (-120).

I think the Rangers could win this one. Before this weekend, the last 3 games between the clubs were decided by 1 run. This is a budding rivalry that should heat up as the season goes on.

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Over/Under

The forecast calls for the wind to be blowing in at 10.3 mph. The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston. The Under has hit in 4 of the last 5 between the teams overall. Take that information and add in the talented starters going, and it’s enough for me to go UNDER 8 (-115).

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Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (10-5) close out their 4-game road series against the San Diego Padres (8-8) Sunday. First pitch from Petco Park is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 2-1

The Brewers dropped Saturday’s game 10-3 after winning the first 2 games of the series. Padres IF Jake Cronenworth homered twice, including a 2-run shot in the 5th inning to break a 3-3 tie. The Brewers are 3-3 part way through a 10-game road trip.

The Padres snapped a 3-game skid with the win. They are 2-4 in the last 6 games.

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Brewers at Padres projected starters

LHP Wade Miley vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Miley (1-1, 2.45 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3 BB and 6 K through 11 IP.

  • Picked up his 100th career win in his 1st start of the year
  • Career vs. San Diego: 1-6 with 5.28 ERA across 15 starts

Darvish (0-1, 4.76 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 5 BB and 8 K through 11 1/3 IP.

  • The Padres has lost both of his starts this season
  • Allowed 5 ER on 6 H and 1 BB with 5 K over 6 1/3 IP in last start at the New York Mets Monday

Brewers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Padres -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-145) | Padres -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Brewers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Brewers 2

Moneyline

The Padres have not yet lost a series at home and the Brewers have not yet won a series on the road.

After a rough outing in his last start, expect Darvish to see results closer to his first outing.

But at -175, it is a little rich to bet the Padres.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Six of the Padres’ 8 wins have been by more than 1 run.

All of the Brewers’ losses have been by more than 1 run.

BET PADRES -1.5 (+120).

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Over/Under

The Under is 4-0 in Padres’ last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Only 3 of the Brewers’ last 9 games have had 9 or more total runs.

BET UNDER 8 (-110).

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Colorado Rockies at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Colorado Rockies at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Rockies (5-10) and Seattle Mariners (7-8) finish a 3-game set at T-Mobile Park Sunday. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-0

The Rockies have dropped 4 in a row after a 9-2 defeat in Seattle Saturday night. The Rockies are now 2-6 away from Coors Field. The bats are the problem as they’re hitting .230 with a .292 OBP on the road vs. .298 and .342 OBP at home.

Seattle has won 3 in a row after a 3-game losing skid. OF Jarred Kelenic has a 9-game hitting streak and is hitting .356 with 4 homers and 7 RBIs on the year. Superstar OF Julio Rodriguez really hasn’t done much yet with a .254 BA and 2 homers, but he drove in 4 runs Saturday.

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Rockies at Mariners projected starters

RHP Noah Davis vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Davis (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 1st career start.

  • Allowed 2 ER on 3 H and 1 BB with 2 K at the Los Angeles Dodgers in an inning of relief last season (Oct. 5)
  • In 3 starts at Triple-A Albuquerque this season: 0-0, 4.26 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, 7 BB, 6 K in 12 2/3 IP

Castillo (1-0, 1.02 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.74 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 17 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed his first 2 ER of the season over 6 IP with 5 K’s against the Chicago Cubs last time out on Tuesday
  • Has rough numbers in 3 career starts vs. Colorado (2 at Coors Field): 0-3, 11.30 ERA, 27 H in 14 1/3 IP

Rockies at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rockies +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Mariners -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +2.5 (-130) | Mariners -2.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rockies at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Rockies 3

Moneyline

I take Castillo’s poor numbers against Colorado with a grain of salt. He’s a better pitcher in a much-better ballpark. He has allowed just 3 H and 2 BB while fanning 12 in 11 2/3 scoreless innings at home this year. The -300 is priced correctly, but you can’t risk 3 times your return.

Head to the Win/Total section and take MARINERS AND OVER 5.5 (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

Barely getting plus-money on a game you must win by 3 or more isn’t a good bet to make, though it should happen.

PASS.

With Kelenic on a 9-game hitting streak and a pitcher making his 1st start, he’s a bargain to get a hit Sunday. Take JARRED KELENIC OVER 0.5 HITS (-150).

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Over/Under

The wind is blowing out to left-center field at 15 mph. There is also a 97% chance of rain, which could put this game into jeopardy. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings and 4-1 in the last 5 in Seattle. However, the wind, Colorado starting a rookie pitcher and 3 of Seattle’s last 4 games with 8 or more runs will make me LEAN OVER 8 (-110).

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Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles (8-7) and Chicago White Sox (6-9) finish a 3-game set at Guaranteed Rate Field Sunday. First pitch is at 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The teams split the first 2 games of the series with Baltimore winning 6-3 Friday and Chicago sneaking out a 7-6 win in 10-innings Saturday. The Orioles scored a run in the top of the 10th to take the lead, but the White Sox plated 2 in the bottom half to steal it.

Baltimore is 5-5 over the last 10 games and is 4-4 on the road this season. C Adley Rutschman continues his ascent to superstar status, hitting .351 with 4 homers and 13 RBIs.

The White Sox snapped a 3-game losing skid Saturday. They’ve dropped 4 of their last 6 contest and are 2-3 at home. They receive a jolt with their ace on the mound Sunday. RHP Dylan Cease has struck out 24 batters in 16 1/3 innings to open his Cy Young Award campaign.

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Orioles at White Sox projected starters

RHP Grayson Rodriguez vs. RHP Dylan Cease

Rodriguez (0-0, 6.75 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 9 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 5 ER on 6 H and 4 BB while fanning 6 over 4 1/3 against the Oakland Athletics in his last start on Tuesday
  • Possesses a 97-mph fastball opposing hitters have a .250 BA against as well as a slider, changeup, curveball and cutter

Cease (2-0, 1.65 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.80 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 13.2 K/9 in 16 1/3 IP.

  • In 4 career starts vs. Baltimore: 2-1, 3.09 ERA, 33 K’s in 23 1/3 IP
  • Has held current Orioles to a .200 OBA with a .281 wOBA in 75 plate appearances

Orioles at White Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:18 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | White Sox -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-175) | White Sox -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Orioles at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 5, Orioles 4

Moneyline

With the Orioles having a player making his 3rd-career start, I’m going to side with the White Sox and Cease. It’s not a strong feeling, but the momentum Chicago harnessed in extra innings should carry over Sunday. Only try to win a HALF-UNIT with WHITE SOX (-145).

Run line/Against the spread

The White Sox have the worst bullpen ERA in baseball at 7.32. That’s what makes this game so dicey even with Cease on the bump.

PASS on the spread.

OF Cedric Mullins is 4-for-10 (.400) lifetime against Cease. He’s also on a 4-game hitting streak. I’ll try to win a HALF-UNIT on CEDRIC MULLINS OVER 0.5 HITS (-165).

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Over/Under

The wind is fiercely blowing out toward the left-field foul pole at 24 mph. There’s a 58% chance of rain, too. The Over is 7-0 in Cease’s last 7 home starts against teams with a winning record. The Over is 6-0-1 in Chicago’s last 7 home games as well.

Take the OVER 7.5 (-110).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Rays (13-2) and Toronto Blue Jays (10-5) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 2-0

The Blue Jays won 5-2 as -120 home favorites vs. the Rays Saturday. Toronto has beaten the Rays by multiple runs in back-to-back games.

The Rays closed as +111 underdogs Saturday. 2B Taylor Walls homered in the top of the 4th inning for the Rays, who have lost back-to-back games after starting the season 13-0.

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Rays at Blue Jays projected starters

LHP Shane McClanahan vs. RHP Alek Manoah

McClanahan (3-0, 1.59 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 through 17 IP.

  • Won Tuesday vs. the Boston Red Sox: 1 ER on 2 H and 4 BB with 9 K in 5 IP
  • 6 career starts vs. Toronto: 2-2 with a 2.87 ERA (31 1/3 IP, 10 ER)

Manoah (1-0, 4.91 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.71 WHIP, 6.8 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 14 2/3 IP.

  • No-decision Tuesday vs. the Detroit Tigers: 3 ER on 4 H and 5 BB with 3 K in 4 1/3 IP
  • 7 career starts vs. the Rays: 4-2 with a 1.42 ERA (44 1/3, 7 ER)

Rays at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Blue Jays +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+135) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rays at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

BET TAMPA BAY (-125).

It is unlikely that the Rays would get swept in a 3-game series immediately after a historic 13-game win streak to start the season. McClanahan has been dominant this year and the Blue Jays are just 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. left-handed starters. Look for Toronto’s offense to regress toward the mean Sunday and for Tampa Bay to avoid the sweep.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Blue Jays have won 5 of their last 6 games and should be able to keep this one close. Toronto +1.5 (-160) should hit, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Tampa Bay moneyline is the better play. Bet Rays moneyline and/or the total instead.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

The Under is 4-0 in Tampa Bay’s last 4 games after a loss and 6-0-1 in its last 7 vs. teams with a winning record.

The Under has gone 3-0-1 in Toronto’s last 4 games and should cash again Sunday with McClanahan and Manoah on the mound.

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Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (6-5) and Los Angeles Dodgers (7-6) meet Sunday to cap off a 3-game set in Chavez Ravine. First pitch at Dodger Stadium is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

Chicago won Friday’s series opener 8-2 and lost Saturday’s game 2-1. The feast-or-famine Cubs have scored 8 or more runs, or 3 or fewer runs, in each of their last 9 games.

A year ago, Los Angeles outscored Chicago 44-20. But with this series included, 5 of the last 6 Cubs-Dodgers games in L.A. have been decided by 2 runs or less.

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Cubs at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Drew Smyly vs. LHP Julio Urias

Smyly (0-1, 6.52 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 9 2/3 IP.

  • Has been undone by a .357 batting average on balls in play
  • Opposing bats are making zone contact on just 81.4% of his strikes

Urias (3-0, 1.50 ERA) is tabbed for his 4th start. He has a 0.83 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 18 IP.

  • Has gone 6 innings in each of his 3 starts
  • Has issued just 2 BB against 20 K’s
  • Has held current Cubs batters to a .586 OPS

Cubs at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:48 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Cubs +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (+105) | Dodgers -1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Cubs at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Cubs 3

Moneyline

Los Angeles is 11-2 in the last 13 series meetings, but a better-than-his-numbers Smyly gives Chicago a fair shot here. PASS on the ML action, and look to gain better leverage on the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers sport the better starter here, but not by a ratio befitting these prices. Figure on the Under being a strong play and on a decent enough chance of this contest being close.

BACK THE CUBS +1.5 (+105).

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Over/Under

Both offenses have analytic support numbers that say their scoring has thus far been inflated. For instance, the Cubs’ 5.38 runs per game has been buoyed by a .340 BABIP in high-leverage situations and a .393 BABIP with runners are in scoring position. L.A.’s 5.53 RPG number is partly held aloft by a .324 BABIP when leading off an inning.

Add in the fact that both clubs are swung around to their lesser splits against lefties, and there is reason to tamp down run-scoring expectations.

Both bullpens figure as better than their 17-day surface ERA’s would indicate. And overall, both are in decent shape rest-wise.

Urias is an elite starter. Smyly is worth more credit than he is likely being given here.

TAKE THE UNDER 8 (+100).

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Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Twins (10-5) and New York Yankees (9-6) close out their 4-game series Sunday. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 2-1.

After Minnesota drubbed the Yanks 11-2 in Thursday’s series opener and scored a 4-3 come-from-behind win Friday, the Yankees fought back and  shut down the Twins’ offense in a 6-1 victory on Saturday.

The Yankees went 5-2 against the Twins last season and 6-1 against them in 2021. Despite allowing 11 earned runs in Thursday’s game, New York pitching has logged a 3.42 ERA over its last 8 games.

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Twins at Yankees projected starters

RHP Pablo Lopez vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Lopez (1-0, 1.35 ERA) is making his 4th start of the season. He has a 0.65 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 20 IP.

  • Has gone at least 7 innings in his last 2 starts; threw 98 pitches Tuesday vs. the Chicago White Sox
  • Has benefited from a .184 batting average on balls in play

Cole (3-0, 1.40 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 19 1/3 IP.

  • Current Minnesota batters have banged out an aggregate .827 OPS against him
  • Has a 3.01 ERA, 1.00 WHIP in his last 194 2/3 IP at Yankee Stadium

Twins at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:48 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Twins +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Twins at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

New York has had Minnesota’s number in past years, but there is some gray area in Sunday’s pitching matchup. No interest in the sides on this game, just the Over. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID.

Respecting these tags. On a Twins get-away day heading into an off day Monday and with an Over lean, the Yankees getting +145 for a multi-run lead would be enticing. But don’t expect that kind of sway in the numbers before 1st pitch.

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Over/Under

Both starting pitchers tote favorable BABIPs into this game. Cole only got 6 swinging strikes in his last start, and although he’s a workhorse could succumb to the effects of 95-plus pitches in each start so far. He also has struggled against current Twins bats.

Lopez makes this start on 4 days’ rest. Over his career that has not been anywhere near his best interval. The hurler who has yielded a mere 3.84 ERA on a .696 OPS in his career, has on 4-day rest coughed up a 4.59 ERA on a .744 OPS.

Fading the pitching and respecting the Yankee offense especially, BACK THE OVER 7 (-120).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (5-10) battle the Cincinnati Reds (6-8) Sunday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3

The Reds have traded off winning and losing over their last 4 games. They throttled the Phillies on Saturday 13-0, but have allowed 4.4 runs per game over their last 5. Cincinnati is a strong 5-3 at home, the 2nd-best home record in the NL Central.

The Phillies, who had high expectations coming into the season, have lost 4 of their last 5 and have been outscored by 17 over that stretch of games. Philadelphia is just 2-7 on the road this season.

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Phillies at Reds projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Luis Cessa

Nola (0-2, 7.04 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.5 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 15 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed  20 hits and 12 ER through 3 starts after finishing 4th in NL CY Young voting last season
  • Was 6-4 at home last season, but just 5-9 on the road with a 3.00 ERA away from Citizens Bank Park

Cessa (0-1, 7.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.8 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 3.0 K/9 through 9 IP.

  • Hasn’t performed well early on, allowing 7 ER in just 9 IP
  • The 30-year-old was 1-2 at home last season in 4 starts with a 6.08 ERA and just 28 Ks in 37 IP

Phillies at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Reds +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-115) | Reds +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Phillies at Reds nickname picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 7, Reds 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Reds have been as streaky as it comes overlthe past few games, and with the difference in quality of pitchers, they aren’t worth a look at +155. Similarly, the Phillies are too expensive at -190, especially given their poor road record.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-115).

In their 6 meetings this season, the Phillies and Reds have only played one 1-run game. The 29-year-old Nola has had under a 3.50 ERA in 2 of his last 3 seasons and should bounce back here. Nola pitched a 9-inning shutout in his lone battle against Cincinnati last year.

The Reds’ bats should also expect to cool off. Considering the strength of Nola and the lacking play of Cessa, take the PHILLIES -1.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9 (-115).

The Reds have gone Over in 6 of their last 7 games. Both pitchers have struggled this season which could continue in this battle. The Phillies have gone Over in 2 straight and in 5 of their last 7 as well.

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Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (7-7) play the 3rd game in a 4-game series with the Boston Red Sox (7-8) Sunday. First pitch from Fenway Park is at 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

In both games this series the Angels jumped ahead in the 1st inning, but failed to come up with a win. These teams are straddling the .500 line unsure how their season will fare.

In their 9-7 win on Saturday, the Red Sox took the lead in the 8th inning on a bases loaded single by 2B Yu Chang and a bases loaded walk by RF Rob Refsnyder.

The Red Sox won the 2022 series against the Angels 4-3.

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Angels at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Reid Detmers vs. RHP Garrett Whitlock

Detmers (0-0, 5.59 ERA) makes his 3rd start of the season. He started 25 games last year posting a 7-6 record and a 3.77 ERA.

  • Last start: ND, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 12-11 home victory over Toronto on Sunday
  • Allowed a .274 BA in road starts vs. .193 at home in 2022

Whitlock (0-1, 9.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. The 10-year veteran was 7-8 with a 3.47 ERA in 22 starts last season with the Chicago Cubs.

  • Last start: 5 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 7-2 loss at Tampa Bay  Rays on Tuesday
  • In April/March last year he posted a .150 BA.

Angels at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Red Sox -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels -1.5 (+140) | Red Sox +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Angels at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 7, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

The Angels have shown plate discipline this season. They rank 4th in walks per game and have 20 hits so far in this series. They would have won the 1st game if not for their errors, and Saturday’s game was in their grasp until blowing the lead in the 8th inning.

They have outplayed the Red Sox this series and should finally get a win this time.

BET ANGELS (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

Five of the Angels’ 14 games have been 1-run games. Even though I like Los Angeles here I will PASS.

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Over/Under

One glaring statline is how poor Boston’s pitching has been this season. Hits, home runs, WHIP, all rank in the bottom 5. Only their strikeouts per game is above average. Boston has gone Over in 10 of their 15 games and I expect that to continue. LEAN OVER 9.5 (-115).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Colorado Rockies at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Colorado Rockies at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Rockies (5-9) are on the for the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners (6-8) Saturday night. First pitch is 9:40 p.m. at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 1-0

The Mariners took the opener 5-3 Friday as OF Jarred Kelenic homered for the 4th straight game. Seattle built a 5-0 lead in the first 4 innings and held on. They have won 2 straight after a 3-game losing streak.

The Rockies have lost 3 games in a row and are 3-9 since starting the year 2-0. They are 2-5 away from Coors Field.

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Rockies at Mariners projected starters

RHP Ryan Feltner vs. RHP George Kirby

Feltner (0-1, 7.45 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.86 WHIP, 8 BB and 10 K through 9 2/3 IP.

  • First career appearance vs. Mariners
  • 2-5 with 5.73 ERA and 1.44 WHIP on the road in 2022

Kirby (0-1, 4.35 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 1 BB and 9 K through 10 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed only 1 run on 5 hits in 6 innings in last start (no-decision)
  • Making 1st career appearance vs. Rockies

Rockies at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rockies +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Mariners -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (+100) | Mariners -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rockies at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Rockies 2

Moneyline

The Rockies have lost 5 straight on the road.

The Mariners have lost 5 of their last 7 home games. They have not won more than 2 consecutive games so far this season.

The Rockies’ history of playing poorly on the road makes it more likely the Mariners win, but there is no need to have to wager 2.5 times what you can win on this bet.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Eight of the Rockies’ 9 losses this season have been by 2 or more runs.

Five of the Mariners’ 6 wins have been by multiple runs.

BET MARINERS -1.5 (-120).

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Over/Under

The total has not gone above 8 in 5 pf Seattle’s 6 wins.

Four of the Rockies’ 7 road games have not surpassed 8 total runs.

BET UNDER 8 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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