Houston Texans betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets – Page 4

Houston Texans at San Francisco 49ers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Texans at San Francisco 49ers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Texans (4-11) start the new year on the road against the San Francisco 49ers (8-7). Kickoff is Sunday afternoon at 4:05 p.m. at Levi’s Stadium. Below, we look at the Texans at 49ers odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Texans have found something good late in the season. Averaging only 16.5 points per game all year, they have won two games in a row, scoring 71 points in those contests. QB Davis Mills has four touchdown passes and only one interception in the two wins.

The 49ers are battling to clinch a playoff berth but will likely be without QB Jimmy Garoppolo, who injured his thumb in the 49ers’ 20-17 loss to the Tennessee Titans last week. They have won five of their last seven games, averaging 27.4 points per game in that stretch.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NFL Week 17 picks and predictions

Texans at 49ers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 4:37 p.m. ET.

Money line: Texans +520 (bet $100 to win $520) | 49ers -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Texans +11.5 (-110) | 49ers -11.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Texans at 49ers key injuries

Texans

QB Deshaun Watson (not with team) out
WR Chris Conley (knee) questionable
CB Jimmy Moreland (illness) questionable
S A.J. Moore Jr. (illness) questionable

49ers

LB Dre Greenlaw (groin) out
LB Azeez Al-Shaair (knee) out
QB Jimmy Garoppolo (thumb) doubtful
RB Elijah Mitchell (knee) questionable

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Texans at 49ers odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Texans 24, 49ers 16

Money line

If there is an underdog money line play to make this week, this is the game. The 49ers will have rookie QB Trey Lance under center and, in his one start this season, the 49ers mustered only 10 points. With Mitchell hurt, they won’t have quite the running attack they want.

Mills is playing very well right now. The 49ers are only 18th in the league in points allowed and the Texans are rolling offensively.

A hot team going against one that will likely be without Garoppolo. If Lance is starting, as he is expected to, take the TEXANS (+520),

Against the spread

The Texans are 7-8 ATS this season and have covered the spread in their last two, as they picked up outright underdog wins. They are 4-4 ATS as underdogs of 10 or more points.

The 49ers are 7-8 ATS this season and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games. But they are 0-1 ATS with Lance starting. They will not be able to produce the offense necessary to cover this week.

Take the TEXANS +11.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The last three games for the 49ers and five of the last seven games have gone Under the projected total. They could only score 10 points in Lance’s other start this season.

The Texans’ last three have hit the Over. Houston can hit the 20-point mark, but the Niners will struggle again.

Take UNDER 43.5 (-110).

Also see: All Week 17 odds and lines

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Underdog corner: 3 best NFL picks and predictions of Week 17

Assessing the NFL betting odds and lines for Week 17, with three predictions and picks for the best underdog bets to make.

NFL point-spread favorites continued their late-season surge last week, but we hit on two of our three selections here in “Underdog Corner,” cashing with outright wins by the Tennessee Titans and Buffalo Bills.

That upped our season record to a nice-and-profitable 31-17 (.646) with 26 outright winners.

Also see: All Week 17 odds and lines

NFL underdog predictions: Week 17

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:40 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 (-112) vs. Kansas City Chiefs

This is a crucial contest for both of these AFC contenders with the conference’s No. 1 seed and a division title among the items on the line.

QB Patrick Mahomes and the 11-4 Chiefs have won eight straight (with six straight covers) to put the wraps on another AFC West crown and surge into pole position in the AFC.

QB Joe Burrow and the Bengals, meanwhile, have won four of their last six and need another victory to clinch their first AFC North crown since 2015.

The Chiefs are the better team with more big-game experience, but Burrow and Co. have more than enough firepower to keep this one close at home. Take the BENGALS (+5.5) and the points.

Houston Texans +12.5 (-112) at San Francisco 49ers

San Francisco has won five of its last seven to move into the thick of the NFC playoff chase but lost last Thursday night against the Titans and now may be without starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo due to a thumb injury.

The Texans, meanwhile, have no such postseason aspirations at 4-11 but continue to play hard behind better-than-you-think rookie QB Davis Mills and have won two straight by double digits, including last Sunday’s 41-29 upset of the 13.5-point favorite Chargers.

Given the Niners’ QB uncertainty and their 5-8 against-the-spread (ATS) record at home since the start of last season, we’re taking the TEXANS (+12.5).

Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 (-120) vs. Cleveland Browns

The 7-7-1 Steelers and 7-8 Browns still have slim AFC chances so this is basically a de facto elimination game in the regular-season Monday Night Football finale.

Pittsburgh has had the upper hand in this series of late, going 10-3-1 straight up (SU) and 8-5-1 ATS since 2015, including a 15-10 road win in Cleveland as a 5.5-point underdog on Halloween.

But the main reason we like Pittsburgh here is that this likely will be the final home game of QB Ben Roethlisberger’s storied career, and it’s hard to imagine the STEELERS (+3.5) coming up short.

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Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Texans (2-11) travel to face the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-11) in a Week 15 matchup Sunday at TIAA Bank Field. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Texans vs. Jaguars odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Texans enter play in Week 15 with three consecutive losses and non-covers after a surprising 22-13 win at Tennessee in Week 11. Houston has scored a total of just 27 points in the three-game losing streak.

The Jaguars made headlines by dismissing head coach Urban Meyer this week after a disastrous 2-11 start, and some off-field incidents. Jacksonville seeks revenge after losing 37-21 at Houston in Week 1.

Texans at Jaguars odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:10 p.m. ET.

Money line: Texans +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Jaguars -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Texans +4.5 (-110) | Jaguars -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Texans at Jaguars key injuries

Texans

RB Rex Burkhead (hip, quadriceps) questionable
LB Kevin Pierre-Louis (hamstring, wrist) questionable

Jaguars

RB Carlos Hyde (concussion) out

Texans at Jaguars odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Texans 22, Jaguars 16

Money line

The TEXANS (+180) are the value play in this road game. Houston has looked more like a functional NFL team at times this season, and it has two wins inside the division, including Week 1 against Jacksonville.

The Jaguars (-230) are adjusting to a new head coach and the distraction of the Urban Meyer aftermath. Houston is the better play.

Against the spread

The TEXANS +4.5 (-110) is a good play if you just don’t trust them straight up. The ATS trends for both teams are ice cold.

But, the Texans are 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings in Jacksonville, and the previous seven meetings overall in this series. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the past four in this series, too.

Over/Under

The UNDER 39.5 (-108) are worth playing, even though a total in the 30’s is rather low for this era of NFL football.

However, we’ve seen the Under cash in eight straight for the Jaguars, while hitting in 11 of the last 12 games overall. The Under is also 16-5 in the past 21 games for Jacksonville and 4-0 in the past four at home.

The Under is 5-0 in the past five on the road for Houston, while going 5-2 in the past seven inside the division.

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Seattle Seahawks at Houston Texans odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Seattle Seahawks at Houston Texans Week 14 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Seattle Seahawks (4-8) are on the road in Week 14 to face the Houston Texans (2-10). The kickoff is 1 p.m. ET at NRG Stadium. Below, we look at the Seahawks vs. Texans odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Seahawks snapped a three-game losing streak last week by beating the San Francisco 49ers 30-23 at home. They entered the game losing six of their previous seven.

Seattle turned the ball over three times but had three takeaways on defense. QB Russell Wilson threw two touchdown passes in the win.

The Texans have lost two in a row since picking up just their second win of the season. They average a league-low 13.7 points per game and have been held to 10 or fewer points six times this season.

Houston has made the decision to go with rookie QB Davis Mills as their starter for the rest of the season.

Seahawks at Texans odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:01 p.m. ET.

Money line: Seahawks -420 (bet $420 to win $100) | Texans +320 (bet $100 to win $320)
Against the spread (ATS): Seahawks -7.5 (-112) | Texans +7.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Seahawks at Texans key injuries

Seahawks

S Jamal Adams (shoulder) out
OL Brandon Shell (shoulder) out
OL Kyle Fuller (calf) out
RB Travis Homer (leg) out
S Quandre Diggs (calf) questionable

Texans

QB Deshaun Watson (personal) out
WR Brandin Cooks (not injury related) questionable
DL Jonathan Greenard (foot) questionable

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Seahawks at Texans odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Seahawks 28, Texans 10

Money line

PASS on the money line. You don’t want to have to bet four times what you can win. The Texans are a hot mess and the Seahawks appear to be rounding into form albeit probably too late to make a real playoff push.

Wilson looks to have fully recovered from the finger injury that caused him to miss three games.

The Texans are 0-2 vs. the NFC West this season.

Against the spread

Both teams have performed better against the spread than their straight-up records. The Seahawks are 6-6 ATS this season and the Texans are 5-7 ATS.

The Texans are 4-5 ATS when underdogs by at least a touchdown. But I don’t see any way for the Texans to be able to stop the Seahawks now that they appear to have their offense back on track.

Take the SEAHAWKS -7.5 (-112).

Over/Under

This week’s projected total is low but the Seahawks are 2-10 O/U this season. The Texans’ last four games and six of the last seven have stayed Under the projected total. Houston struggles to score points. Seattle will roll but won’t hit 30 points, while the Texans will struggle to just get to double digits.

Take UNDER 40.5 (-112).

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Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Indianapolis Colts (6-6) will take on the Houston Texans (2-9) at NRG Stadium Sunday in Week 13. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Colts vs. Texans odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Colts absolutely destroyed the QB Davis Mills-led Texans earlier in the season. RB Jonathan Taylor went for 145 yards on 14 carries while Davis Mills threw 2 interceptions.

The Texans should begin to look like a more competent side now with QB Tyrod Taylor healthy, although they did lose to the New York Jets in Week 12.

The Texans come into this game 5-6 against the spread (ATS) while the Colts are 7-5 ATS. Indianapolis is 3-2 straight up on the road while Houston is just 1-4 at home.

Colts at Texans odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10 p.m. ET.

Money line: Colts -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Texans +360 (bet $100 to win $360)
Against the spread (ATS): Colts -9.5 (-115) | Texans +9.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Colts at Texans key injuries

Colts

DT DeForest Buckner (knee) questionable
TE Jack Doyle (knee) questionable
S Andrew Sendejo (calf) questionable

Texans

WR Brandin Cooks (illness) questionable
DB Terrence Brooks (hamstring) out
RB David Johnson (illness, thigh) questionable
OL Justin McCray (concussion) out
DL DeMarcus Walker (hamstring) out
DL Jonathan Greenard (foot) questionable
DL Roy Lopez (illness) questionable

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Colts at Texans odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Colts 31, Texans 14

Money line

PASS on the money line.

This is a do-or-die scenario for the Colts — they must get the win, and I expect them to play like it. However, -500 odds still aren’t worth any wager, and neither is really the +360 on the Texans.

Against the spread

BET on the COLTS -9.5 (-115) despite the high spread. The Texans are coming off a 7-point loss to the Jets. This could be a good buy-low spot for them, but I wouldn’t trust Houston.

They rank 31st in opponents rushing yards per game which plays into a strength of the Colts. Taylor is leading the league in rushing yards and destroyed a weak Texans defensive line in their first meeting. He should continue that dominance.

The Colts have hit 31 points in four of their last five games. Their offense has been dynamic and I think it’ll once again prove far too much for Houston to handle.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 44.5 (-105) as the Colts have an offense that’s been on fire as of late and it’s facing one of the league’s worst defenses.

On the flip side, there should be hope that Taylor, with another week under his belt, can produce offensively. Taylor should have the weapons to march down the field provided Cooks is able to suit up.

The Texans average 14.9 points per game, so with their inept defense, all they need to do is hit that amount.

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New York Jets at Houston Texans odds, picks and predictions: Player prop bets

Analyzing the New York Jets at Houston Texans Week 12 matchup and offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player prop bets.

The New York Jets (2-8) will take on the Houston Texans (2-8) Sunday in Week 12. Kickoff from NRG Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Jets vs. Texans prop bet odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Jets plan to return to starting No. 2 overall pick QB Zach Wilson, who hopefully learned something during his time on the sideline. QB Mike White did a competent job, beating the Cincinnati Bengals a few weeks ago.

Just 2-8, New York’s season hasn’t gone as planned, but it will continue to ride Wilson. Its run game has been nonexistent for much of the season. It will be an underdog Sunday as it faces Houston on the road.

The Texans are led by QB Tyrod Taylor, a veteran who has been sidelined for most of the season. Taylor and WR Brandin Cooks led the Texans to an unthinkable victory over the surging Tennessee Titans last week.

This may be the last game on their schedule in which they’ll enter as favorites.

Let’s dive into some of the best player props for this game.

Jets at Texans prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:04 a.m. ET.

Texans QB Tyrod Taylor OVER 226.5 passing yards (-114)

Taylor was almost invisible last week, finishing with 107 passing yards and no touchdowns.

However, he’s hit prop mark in two of his four games this season, and he’ll be going against a weak Jets defense. The Jets passing defense ranks dead last in opponents’ passing yards per game, allowing 282.2.

More importantly, the Jets rank fourth-to-last in opponents’ completion percentage at just over 70%. With Taylor easing his way back to his old form, he should be expected to have a good outing against a poor defense.

This is a good buy-low spot as Taylor struggled against a formidable Titans defense last week.

Jets RB Tevin Coleman UNDER 37.5 rushing yards (-114)

RB Michel Carter landed on the IR, which is expected to open up more snaps for veteran RB Tevin Coleman.

However, the Jets have the fourth-worst rushing yards per game and sixth-worst yards per rushing attempt. With Wilson back and New York potentially playing from behind, Coleman may struggle to get involved in the running game.

Plus, Coleman won’t be the sole leader for this rush attack. RB Ty Johnson and RB La’Mical Perine may have a say in the snap count as well.

If either of them gets hot, who knows if Coleman sees the field much. He has been injured for most of the season but hasn’t topped this number in any of his six appearances.

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Texans WR Brandin Cooks OVER 5.5 receptions (+124)

If Taylor is going to find his rhythm, it’s going to be because veteran WR Cooks helps him out quite a bit.

Cooks has been the Texans’ most reliable receiving weapon this season. The main receiver for the Jets’ last two opponents – the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins – walked away with 8 receptions in each contest.

Cooks has topped 5 receptions five times this season and has done it twice in the last three weeks. He should be heavily targeted by Taylor as the Texans offense roles over New York.

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New York Jets at Houston Texans odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Jets vs. Houston Texans odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

Week 12 brings us a battle between two struggling teams. The New York Jets (2-8) are on the road to face the Houston Texans (2-8). Kickoff is at 1 p.m. ET at NRG Stadium. Below, we look at the Jets vs. Texans odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Jets have lost their last three games. Their most recent loss was 24-17 to the Miami Dolphins in Week 11. QB Joe Flacco had two touchdown passes and WR Elijah Moore had a great game catching eight passes for 141 yards and a score.

The Texans snapped an eight-game losing streak with a 22-13 victory in Week 11 over the Tennessee Titans. They only had 190 yards of offense but forced five Tennessee turnovers. QB Tyrod Taylor rushed for two touchdowns in the win.

Also see: All Week 12 odds and lines

Jets at Texans odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:02 p.m. ET.

Money line: Jets +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Texans -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Jets +2.5 (-103) | Titans -2.5 (-117)
Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Jets at Texans key injuries

Jets

RB Michael Carter (ankle) out
WR Corey Davis (groin) questionable
DE John Franklin-Meyers (hip) questionable
DE Shaq Lawson (wrist) questionable
LB C.J. Mosley (shoulder) questionable
QB Joe Flacco (COVID list) out
QB Mike White (COVID list) out

Texans

QB Deshaun Watson (personal) out
DE Jordan Jenkins (knee) out
WR Nico Collins (hip) questionable
DE Jonathan Greenard (foot) questionable
CB Lonnie Johnson (illness) questionable

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Jets at Texans odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Jets 27, Texans 25

Money line

This game is tough to predict. QB Zach Wilson returns to the lineup for the Jets. But that won’t matter if the defense continues to allow an average of 39.8 points per game as they have since their bye week.

The Texans, though, are only averaging 15.0 points per game as a team, which is dead last in the league. That said, I just don’t think we can count on the Texans winning two games in a row.

Take the JETS (+115).

Against the spread

The Jets are a league-worst 2-8 ATS this season, while the Texans are a respectable 5-5 ATS. The Texans have not covered the spread in consecutive games since the first two weeks of the season. New York’s only two games it covered the spread were its two victories.

Take the JETS +2.5 (-103).

Over/Under

The Jets had a run of six straight games hitting the Over that was snapped last week. The Texans are 4-6 O/U this season and only one of their last five has gone Over the projected total. With a couple of bad defenses going at it, it should mean points.

Take OVER 45.5 (-108).

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NFL Week 12 picks and predictions

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Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Texans (1-8) meet the AFC South rival Tennessee Titans (8-2) Sunday in Week 11 at Nissan Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Texans vs. Titans odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Houston lost eight consecutive games entering its Week 10 bye with the latest being a 17-9 stinker at the Miami Dolphins.

The Texans aren’t good on either side of the ball: Houston ranks 29th in points allowed per game (28.7) and dead-last in points scored per game (14.2). Houston is 4-5 ATS and 4-5 O/U.

Tennessee has won eight of its last nine games including six straight. The Titans picked up a 23-21 victory over the New Orleans Saints in Week 10 but failed to cover as 3-point home favorites. The Titans are 7-3 ATS and 6-4 O/U.

Tennessee has beaten Houston in three straight meetings. Injured Titans RB Derrick Henry ran for more than 200 yards as Tennessee scored at least 35 points in each game.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NFL Week 11 picks and predictions

Texans at Titans odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:10 a.m. ET.

Money line: Texans +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | Titans -475 (bet $475 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Texans +9.5 (-103) | Titans -9.5 (-117)
Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Texans at Titans key injuries

Texans

DE Jonathan Greenard (foot) questionable

Titans

CB Janoris Jenkins (chest) questionable
RB Jeremy McNichols (concussion) out
WR Julio Jones (hamstring) IR-out
TE Geoff Swaim (concussion) out
RG Nate Davis (concussion) out
LB David Long (hamstring) out
LB Rashaan Evans (ankle) out
LB Bud Dupree (abdomen) out

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Texans at Titans odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Texans 24, Titans 19

Money line

Slight “LEAN” to the TEXANS (+340) for a tiny wager because I “like” Houston to cover the spread and think it can steal this game outright. For the record, Texans +9.5 (-103) is my preferred play so if it’s “either/or” then take Houston plus the points.

There’s value in fading Tennessee in this spot because of the compounding effect of the high-profile game the Titans have played in recently. This idea is validated slightly by Tennessee’s long injury report.

The Titans have beaten five straight playoff teams from last season and three of those games were decided by a field goal or less. I have a hunch the Texans will eliminate a lot of survivor pool entries throughout the football betting world.

Against the spread

BET the TEXANS +9.5 (-103) for 1.25 units. Again, do not bet Houston’s money line instead of the spread. Either bet more on the TEXANS +9.5 (-103) or pass on the money line.

Houston got a little healthier over its bye week and Tennessee’s front seven is ravaged by injuries. QB Tyrod Taylor was able to rest up the hamstring that kept him out of six straight games.

Taylor was atop the NFL in QBR and expected points added per play for quarterbacks through the first six quarters of the season before sustaining his hamstring injury in Week 2.

This is your quintessential fade the market spot. More than 80% of the action is on the Titans according to pregame.com, primarily due to recent success against the cream of the crop.

Sure, on paper, and in reality, Tennessee is a far superior team. However, eight out of 10 sports bettors don’t beat the House. This is the spot where the oddsmakers cash in on the market’s overreactions.

Also see: All Week 11 odds and lines

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 44.5 (-112) because of Tennessee’s injuries on offense such as Henry, McNichols and Jones. Also, the weather forecast is predicting rain with winds over 10 mph.

We are seeing some “reverse line movement” in the betting market. Pregame.com says a slight majority of the market is betting the Over but the Texans-Titans total has ticked down from the 45.5-point opener.

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Underdog corner: 3 best NFL picks and predictions for Week 11

Assessing the NFL betting odds and lines for Week 11, with three predictions and picks for the best underdog bets to make.

The Minnesota Vikings and New Orleans Saints came through for us and covered as underdogs in Week 10, while the Las Vegas Raiders fell far short.

That makes it eight winning weeks out of 10 here this season for an overall against-the-spread (ATS) record of 22-8 with 18 outright winners.

Here are our NFL underdog ATS picks and predictions of Week 11.

NFL underdog predictions: Week 11

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 5:06 p.m. ET.

Houston Texans +9.5 (+100) at Tennessee Titans

The AFC-leading Titans (8-2 straight up, 7-3 ATS) have won six in a row and covered in five of their last six with the last five coming against 2020 playoff teams.

But with a road game at the suddenly surging New England Patriots looming in Week 12, this is prime letdown spot for Tennessee.

Take the TEXANS +9.5 (+100) and QB Tyrod Taylor and to keep things close in a division game coming off a bye.

New Orleans Saints +2.5 (-105) at Philadelphia Eagles

Is the wrong team favored here? Here’s the case:

The Saints are a league-best 11-3 SU and 12-2 ATS as an underdog since 2018, including 3-1 and 4-0, respectively, this season.

The Eagles are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS at home this season.

We’ll bank on the league’s best run defense negating the league’s third-best rushing attack and go with the SAINTS +2.5 (-105), hitting the +110 money line as well.

Also see: All Week 11 odds and lines

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Indianapolis Colts +7.5 (-117) at Buffalo Bills

This is a rematch of last January’s AFC Wild Card Game won 27-24 by the host Bills.

Buffalo didn’t cover as a touchdown favorite that day and has failed to cover in three of its previous four games this season heading into Sunday’s meeting.

Indy has won four of its last five – losing only to the Titans 34-31 in overtime in Week 8 – and figures to keep things tight in Orchard Park. Take the COLTS +7.5 (-117) catching more than a TD.

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Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins Week 9 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Texans (1-7) travel to meet the Miami Dolphins (1-7) Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET and will be televised on FOX. Below, we look at the Texans vs. Dolphins odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Texans won 37-21 in Week 1 against the Jacksonville Jaguars but they haven’t been victorious since. Houston has covered just two of its past six games since opening the season 2-0 ATS, while cashing the Under in four of its last six.

The Dolphins also won their only game of the season back in Week 1, edging the New England Patriots 17-16 in Foxboro. Miami has lost seven straight, going 1-5-1 ATS during the span. The Dolphins are 0-3 SU/ATS at home, allowing 30.7 PPG in those outings.

Texans at Dolphins odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:17 p.m. ET.

Money line: Texans +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Dolphins -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Texans +5.5 (-108) | Dolphins -5.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Texans at Dolphins key injuries

Texans

LB Christian Kirksey (thumb) out
QB Deshaun Watson (not injury related) out
TE Pharaoh Brown (thigh) out

Dolphins

QB Tua Tagovailoa (ribs, finger) questionable
LB Jerome Baker (knee) questionable

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Texans at Dolphins odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Dolphins 24, Texans 19

Money line

The Dolphins (-250) will cost you two and a half times your potential return to bet straight up. Can you really risk that much on a team that is winless at home, and which enters on a seven-game losing streak?

AVOID.

Against the spread

The TEXANS +5.5 (-108) are the lean here in this “Toilet Bowl” game between the two worst teams in the AFC. Houston is the more attractive play because Miami has lost all of its games at home while failing to cover each, and Tua is nicked up and a question mark, which might mean QB Jacoby Brissett makes an appearance.

Over/Under

The UNDER 46.5 (-110) is the lean here. We have two really bad offenses taking the field in South Florida. Houston ranks 31st in total yards (281.1), 30th in passing yards (205.0) and 32nd in rushing yards (76.1) per game, while also ranking last with 14.9 PPG.

Miami is 25th in passing yards (223.3), so it can be somewhat functional at times, but it ranks 30th in total yards (301.9) and rushing yards (78.6) per game, which posting just 17.3 PPG (29th).

Points will be at a premium, although both defenses aren’t very good, either.

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