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The No. 5 LSU Tigers (0-0) and No. 8 Florida State Seminoles (0-0) meet in Sunday night’s Camping World Kickoff in Orlando. Kickoff at Camping World Stadium is slated for 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the LSU vs. Florida State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Louisiana State went 10-4 a year ago, averaging 34.5 points per game and yielding 22.5. The Tigers lost to these Seminoles 24-23 in a season-opening game that included a blocked extra point with no time remaining. Then LSU went on to win 9 of its next 10 games and eventually represent the SEC West in that league’s title game.
The No. 8 Seminoles went 10-3 in 2022; they averaged 36.1 PPG while allowing 20.6 PPG. All 3 of Florida State’s losses came in a 3-week stretch from Oct. 1-15 and came against ranked foes; the last 2 were in games decided by 1 score.
FSU is 8-2 across 10 all-time meetings against LSU. The ‘Noles and Tigers first met in 1968.
LSU is No. 5, and FSU is No. 8 in the USA TODAY Sports AFCA Coaches Poll
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LSU vs. Florida State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:50 a.m. ET,
- Moneyline: LSU -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Florida State +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Against the spread (ATS): LSU -2.5 (-105) | Florida State +2.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 56.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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LSU vs. Florida State picks and predictions
Prediction
LSU 27, Florida State 24
Moneyline
FSU was in control of last year’s game 24-10 at the 5-minute mark. The Tigers got back in the game late after struggling to move the ball early. LSU’s 3 touchdown drives were of 82, 75 and 99 yards; all came in the final 16 minutes.
The Tigers are the lean in a revenge game, even one played in the state of Florida. An LSU -120 play would have enough leverage. But PASS on the current tag.
Against the spread
The 247 Talent Composite gives LSU a significant edge in a roster comparison with the Seminoles. Look for the Tigers to be able to run the ball and be adequate in slowing the FSU ground game.
The 2022 ‘Noles would sometimes be too dependent on 3rd-down success; that could well bite them in this battle.
Peg the Bayou Bengals as being the more battle-tested in this matchup.
BACK LSU -2.5 (-105).
Over/Under
Figure this contest leaning toward some run-game clock compression. But the total has dropped a couple points during the week; it hopped under a couple mid-level key numbers (58, 57) in the process.
STEER CLEAR.
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