Tag: Cincinnati Reds betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (33-31) and Milwaukee Brewers (38-28) play the second of a three-game set Tuesday at 8:10 p.m. ET at American Family Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Luis Castillo is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He is 2-9 with a 6.47 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 in 64 IP over 13 starts.

Castillo has really struggled this season. He lost last time out against the Brewers Thursday when he allowed three runs, one hit and three walks over 5 2/3 innings in a loss. He is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in two starts against Milwaukee this season.

LHP Brett Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 2-4 with a 4.99 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 4.8 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 39 2/3 IP over 10 starts.

Anderson was knocked around by the Reds in Cincinnati Wednesday in his most recent start, yielding five runs (four earned) and five hits with two walks and no strikeouts across just three innings in a loss. He is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in two starts against Cincinnati this season.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Reds at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Brewers -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Reds -1.5 (+145) | Brewers +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Brewers 6, Reds 4

Money line (ML)

BREWERS (-110) is the lean here as they look to rebound after a 10-2 setback in the series opener Monday. They’re a great play against Castillo, who is in the midst of his worst season as a pro.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The BREWERS +1.5 (-175) aren’t terribly expensive if you would like a little insurance, but I’d still rather just play Milwaukee straight up. Castillo has been horrific, and Anderson is at least semi-respectable at home posting a 4.20 ERA across his three starts in Cream City.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 8.5 (-120) is the lean here as both Castillo and Anderson have been very giving. Castillo has been knocked around in his two starts against the Brewers, too, while Anderson has also struggled against the Reds. The Over hit in the series opener, too.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (32-31) and Milwaukee Brewers (38-27) play the first of a three-game set at American Family Field Monday with an 8:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Vladimir Gutierrez is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He is 2-1 with a 2.65 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 4.2 BB/9 over 17 IP through 3 starts.

Gutierrez will face the Brewers for the second consecutive start. He allowed just two runs and six hits with three walks and seven strikeouts across seven innings in a victory Wednesday at Great American Ball Park for his second consecutive win.

LHP Eric Lauer is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 1-2 with a 4.82 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 over 28 IP through 4 starts and 3 relief appearances.

Lauer made a relief appearance Wednesday at GBAP, opposite Gutierrez and the Reds last time out, allowing two runs, two hits and four walks in a wild 80-pitch relief appearance across four innings. He hasn’t won since his first outing April 29 against the Dodgers.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Reds at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Brewers -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Reds +1.5 (-155) | Brewers -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 9 (Over -105 | Under -115)

Prediction

Reds 6, Brewers 4

Money line (ML)

The REDS (+125) are a value play behind Gutierrez, who was impressive in his most-recent win over the Brewers (-155). I just don’t trust the southpaw Lauer, either, as he hasn’t won since late April. Until he starts going longer into games and ticking off quality starts, pick against him when he is on the bump.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

If you’re not feeling the REDS +1.5 (-155) straight up, they’re a decent value on the run line as they’re not obscenely overpriced catching a run-and-a-half.

The Reds have covered the run line in each of Gutierrez’s past two starts including as underdogs June 3 in St. Louis.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9 (-105) is the lean here, although only as a small-unit wager. The Over has cashed in two of Lauer’s past three starts, and the Over is 4-0 in Cincinnati’s past four road outings against a left-handed starting pitcher. The Over is also 3-0-1 in Milwaukee’s past four tries vs. RHP.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (25-40) meet the Cincinnati Reds (31-31) Sunday to wrap up a three-game series with a 1:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Antonio Senzatela is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 2-6 with a 4.62 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 64 1/3 IP over 12 starts.

During his one start against the Reds this season, Senzatela dealt, allowing 1 ER in 7 IP. In his last start Tuesday at Miami he allowed 4 ER on 9 H and 1 BB with 8 K in 6 IP. The 26-year-old has struggled away from home in his four road starts.

RHP Tony Santillan is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He is set to make his big-league debut after posting a 2.51 ERA through 6 starts while with Triple-A Louisville.

Santillan was the team’s second-round pick in 2015, and is stepping into the rotation as RHP Sonny Gray is nursing a groin injury.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Rockies at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:49 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Reds -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-145) | Reds -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Reds 8, Rockies 4

Money line (ML)

PASS on the money line despite the Reds hitting their stride.

After five different batters hit a home run in each of the first five innings Friday, something that had not been done in the organization’s lengthy history, Cincinnati followed up with another double-digit run performance against a better pitcher Saturday.

With Senzatela taking the mound, it could get ugly again as the Rockies are now 5-26 on the road, a record too grave to overlook.

At the same time, the obvious is that the Reds have a new pitcher on the mound. At (-155), it’s not worth betting that he’ll have an outstanding first outing.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” the Reds -1.5 (+120) as they’ve blown out the Rockies in each of the first two games and don’t look to be slowing down.

Joey Votto has 3 H in 8 AB in the series and has accumulated 6 RBIs. The former NL MVP is making good contact since his return from the Injured List.

With Votto and Nick Castellanos already batting extremely well against the Rockies, there’s no reason to think this won’t be a sweep. The first two games have been separated by at least five runs each, and this one could easily follow that pattern.

Nonetheless, with a money-back value, the Reds spread is the way to go instead of the money line. However, there may be a better play considering the debuting pitcher.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the OVER 10 (-110) because the Rockies just cannot contain Cincinnati. The Reds have beaten the Rockies in two straight games by a combined score of 21-8, and without Colorado’s ace on the mound, there’s no reason to think they can keep them down today.

Along those lines, the Rockies have scored 4 runs per game in the series on their own. The over should hit in this one if the series continues as it has the first couple of games.

Also, as noted, Tony Santillan is making his big-league debut which could result in a big scoreline for Colorado. Then again, he was pitching well at Triple-A Louisville, so he may also impress at the highest level.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (25-39) and Cincinnati Reds (30-31) match up Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET in Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP German Marquez is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 4-5 with a 3.91 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, and 9.5 K/9 in 71 1/3 IP over 13 starts.

Marquez has pitched very well lately, totaling just three earned runs in his last 26 IP. With a combined 27 strikeouts over that period, he’ll look to continue his hot streak.

LHP Wade Miley is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He is 5-4 with a 2.96 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 7.9 K/9 in 54 2/3 IP over 10 starts. Having thrown a no-hitter this season, Miley had made his presence felt.

While he’s given up just two earned runs in his last 15 2/3 innings, the game prior to that streak he had eight earned runs against Colorado. He’s hoping for better luck in Round 2.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Rockies at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Reds -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-165) | Reds -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Rockies 5, Reds 4

Money line (ML)

BET to the Rockies (+115).

The Rockies scored 5 runs in the opening game of the series and got an awful performance from starting pitcher Kyle Freeland. With Marquez on the mound, they should be able to tame the Reds.

If that’s the case, they could easily sneak away with the win. The Reds are 4-7 after winning the first game in the series.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the Rockies +1.5 (-165) even though they started to make contact at the plate in Game 1 of the series after five scoreless innings.

Colorado also didn’t hit well against one of the worst bullpens in the MLB. Miley takes the mound for Cincinnati, and the Rockies have the league’s fifth-best OPS against left-handed pitching.

Combine all that, and the faith should be in Colorado to pull off the upset. While it could be close, the pick for the Rockies straight up is a better value than the run line.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS on the total as it climbed from their series’ opener after the two teams combined for 16 runs.

Both teams hit well in Game 1 of the series. While the Rockies did lose by six, they put up five runs of their own.

After wearing down Reds starter Tyler Mahle, Colorado was able to put up a four-run inning. Cincinnati was hitting historically well. I don’t expect that to continue.

The last two times the Reds put up five or more runs, they had three or fewer in the next game of the series. If that trend continues, expect the Under to hit, but I don’t find the value in betting this one either way.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Nathan Beighle on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (25-38) and Cincinnati Reds (29-31) match up Friday in the first game of a three-game set at Great American Ball Park. First pitch will be at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Kyle Freeland is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA, 2.08 WHIP, 5.5 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 across 13 IP over 3 starts. Freeland kicked off his season May 25.

He has just 3 starts and gave up 5 earned runs last time out. Two of those three appearances came against teams at the top of their respective division.

RHP Tyler Mahle is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He is 5-2 with a 3.32 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 62 1/3 IP over 12 starts.

Mahle’s 5 wins are tied for the most on the team this season. Since pitching two innings in a game in which the San Francisco Giants put up 19 runs on the Reds, Mahle has been phenomenal with just 2 earned runs allowed over 17 1/3 innings.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Rockies at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Reds -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-110) | Reds -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Reds 7, Rockies 3

Money line (ML)

PASS on the money line because it’s a bit too favorable for Cincinnati. The Rockies are by far the worst road team in MLB at 5-24.

2B Ryan McMahon has been the Rockies’ best hitter this season, but he’s been cold lately. McMahon hasn’t his a home run in 13 games and has just four hits in his last seven games.

As for the Reds’ bats, Cincinnati has the second-fewest at-bats against left-handed pitchers is 25th with a .667 team OPS in the split. It could spell trouble for the Reds, but playing for a fourth straight day at home while Colorado was in Miami last night could help their cause.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET REDS -1.5 (-110) because the pitching difference is too great to overlook.

Mahle has been on fire while Freeland is coming off a difficult outing. Combine that with the Rockies’ horrible road record, and the Reds should be able to take care of business.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9 (-120) because both teams have allowed monster performances this season. Coming off allowing 11 runs to the Marlins Thursday, the Rockies remain on the road, and it could continue to be ugly.

The Reds have given up 10-plus runs multiple times this season as well. While Mahle has been great, he has given up 5 earned runs twice in his last seven starts. Another performance like that and the Over is hitting easily.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Nathan Beighle on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (34-27) and the Cincinnati Reds (29-30) match up Thursday to end their three-game series. First pitch is slated for 12:35 p.m ET at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Freddy Peralta is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 6-1 with a 2.25 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, and 12.9 K/9 in 64 IP over 11 starts and one bullpen appearance.

Peralta has been on fire lately, giving up just two earned runs in his last two performances, both of which he threw for at least seven innings. However, he did give up two earned runs in 4 2/3 IP in his last outing against the Reds.

RHP Luis Castillo is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He is 2-8 with a 6.63 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, and 8.2 K/9 in 58 1/3 IP over 12 starts.

One good thing to note about Castillo is that he could be gaining confidence, pitching six innings against the Cardinals and giving up just one earned run. However, he’s given up at least three earned runs in three of his last five starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Brewers at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Reds +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (+125) | Reds +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Brewers 6, Reds 4

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” Brewers (-125) because the difference in starting pitching could be a game-changer. It’s not the best value, but it’s the better play.

Take it with a grain of salt, but the Reds are by far the worst team on Thursdays. They’re 2-4 with over a 9.00 ERA. Their pitchers are already looking forward to the weekend.

Now, let’s dive into a few real numbers. Coming off a win, the Reds are tossing a pitcher with over a 6.00 ERA through 12 starts to the mound. That’s never good news for the home side.

The Reds ate up LHP Brett Anderson, forcing him to exit with four earned runs. I wouldn’t expect the same success against Peralta who has given up four earned runs in just one start this season.

The Brewers relievers gave up two earned runs in five innings yesterday and were perfect in the first game of the series.

For that reason, I’m leaning towards the Brewers.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“BET” Brewers -1.5 (+125) because both games have been heavily dictated by the winning team, and the betting value is there. The pitching difference is what really makes the difference.

I’m expecting C Tyler Stephenson not to have his best game of the season as he did against the Brewers in the second game, the Brewers behind Peralta should be able to take care of business.

At this price, taking the NL Central’s leader that’s above .500 on the road at this value is an easy one.

Over/Under (O/U)

“PASS” on the Over/Under at 8.5 because both teams have been too streaky in the series.

The Over missed in the first game and nulled in the second game. It’s slated at eight, and I wouldn’t bet either way on this one.

The Reds do give up more than five earned runs in day games while the Brewers also aren’t great during the daytime either.

Not to harp on it again, but Peralta has been solid all season long while Castillo hasn’t been. With the over having yet to hit and the under not looking great either given the pitchers taking the mound, this is a pass.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Nathan Beighle on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (20-25) visit the nation’s capital Tuesday to start a three-game set with the Washington Nationals (20-23) at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cincinnati, which is 3-8 in its last 11 games, lost back-to-back games to the Milwaukee Brewers to drop its previous series 2-1 after being swept in a four-game series by the San Francisco Giants.

Washington swept the Baltimore Orioles in a three-game series this past weekend and has won seven of the past 11 games.

Season series: 0-0.

RHP Tyler Mahle is on the hill for the Reds. Mahle is 2-2 with a 4.20 ERA (45 IP, 21 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 across nine starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 19-4, in 2 IP with 7 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 2 K vs. the Giants Thursday.
  • Career vs. the Nationals: 1-1 with a 12.15 ERA (6 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 2.10 WHIP and 12.2 K/9 over two starts.
    • Vs. Nationals on the current roster: 61 at-bats with a .295/.413/.525 slash line, 15/11 K/BB, 4 HR and 14 RBIs.

RHP Max Scherzer is the projected starter for the Nationals. Scherzer is 4-2 with a 2.24 ERA (56 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 0.85 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 across nine starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 4-3, in 5 IP with 2 ER, 5 H, 4 BB and 8 K Wednesday at the Chicago Cubs.
  • Career vs. the Reds: 5-1 with a 2.01 ERA (44 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 0.90 WHIP and 13.7 K/9 over seven starts.
    • Vs. Reds on the current roster: 101 at-bats with a .158/.234/.287 slash line, 45/9 K/BB, 3 HR and 9 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Reds at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:39 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Nationals -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Reds +1.5 (-145) | Nationals -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Nationals 8, Reds 1

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Nationals (-175) since I’d entertain throwing Washington’s money line into a parlay with another similarly priced favorite for a plus-money payout.

However, outright I’m going to stay away because of how inconsistent Washington’s lineup has been thus far and 2021 baseball being a three-outcome sport (walk, strikeout or home run).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET the NATIONALS -1.5 (+120) for 1 unit because of their overwhelming starting pitching edge and their lineup should be able to add to any lead against Cincinnati’s weak bullpen.

Scherzer’s basic pitching numbers against this Cincinnati lineup are awesome and his advanced pitching numbers are even more impressive.

Statcast tracked 45 plate appearances by Reds on the current roster vs. Scherzer and he has an absurd 51.1% strikeout rate with a 1.58 FIP and .223 wOBA.

Mahle’s advanced pitching numbers vs. this Washington roster is even more worrisome than his basic stats.

Mahle has a 6.68 FIP with a .385 wOBA and just a 20.8% strikeout rate against the Nationals (72 plate appearances).

Furthermore, Cincinnati relievers are 23rd in both WAR and SIERA, 22nd in home runs allowed per nine innings and 28th in xFIP.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a “lean” to the Under 7.5 (-105) despite what my predicted score is because Scherzer is on the mound and Washington has the highest Under percentage. However, Cincinnati has the highest Over percentage.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (22-23) and Cincinnati Reds (20-24) close out a three-game NL Central series Sunday at 1:10 p.m. ET at Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Freddy Peralta is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 4-1 with a 2.40 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 13.8 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 in 45 IP over 8 starts.

Peralta is thus far enjoying the finest season of his career. He is managing hard contact at a much-improved clip (26% hard contact in 2021). He has pitched 13 shutout frames over his last two starts.

RHP Luis Castillo is the projected starter for the Reds. He is 1-6 with a 7.44 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 42 1/3 IP over 9 starts.

Castillo has scuffled through the first month-and-a-half of the season. The veteran righty isn’t missing as many bats as he has in the past, but he has held hard contact in check. He has mostly been undone by rates around the margins (.391 batting average on balls in play, 54.3% of runners left on base, 18.9% rate of fly balls as home runs). Castillo owns a 3.36 career ERA in his home ballpark, and he’s facing a Milwaukee nine that struggles against right-handers.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Brewers at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Reds +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (+135) |  Reds +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Reds 5, Brewers 4

Money line (ML)

Cincinnati batters own an .833 OPS against Peralta, and there is enough play in the Castillo side and the Reds’ advantage in home/road and left/right splits to make for value on a REDS +105 play.

Cincinnati’s .830 home OPS ranks second in the league; only four teams have a better OPS against right-handed starters than the Reds’ .769 figure.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run line. The game has enough lean on the Over to make a loftier score uninviting on the Reds RL play. Take the better value on the ML.

Over/Under (O/U)

Two weekend-spent bullpens and a warmed-up, breeze-out-to-center Great American Ballpark make for a lean on the OVER 8 (-115).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (21-22) roll into Great American Ball Park Thursday for the first of a three-game set with the Cincinnati Reds (19-23) at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Milwaukee lost both games of its interleague series at the Kansas City Royals and five of the past six games. The Brewers have lost three straight series.

Cincinnati got waxed Wednesday by the San Francisco Giants 19-4 and was swept in the four-game series. The Reds are just 3-7 in their past 10 games.

RHP Adrian Houser is on the hill for the Brewers. Houser is 3-4 with a 3.63 ERA (39 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 over eight starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6-3, in 3 IP with 2 ER, 2 H, 5 BB and 3 K last Friday vs. the Atlanta Braves.
  • Career vs. the Reds: 0-2 with a 5.64 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.34 WHIP and 7.3 K/9 across four starts and three relief appearances.
    • Vs. Reds on the current roster: 67 at-bats with a .343/.362/.701 slash line, 14/2 K/BB, 7 HR and 12 RBIs.

RHP Jeff Hoffman is the projected starter for the Reds. Hoffman is 2-3 with a 4.67 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 across eight starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 4 IP with 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 5 K in Cincinnati’s 6-5 win at the Colorado Rockies Sunday.
  • Career vs. the Brewers: 0-0 with a 2.70 ERA (10 IP, 3 ER), 0.90 WHIP and 9.9 K/9 over two starts.
    • Vs. Brewers on the current roster: 13 at-bats with a .308/.357/.385 slash line, 4/1 K/BB, 0 HR and 1 RBI.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Brewers at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Reds +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (+135) | Reds +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Reds 7, Brewers 5

Money line (ML)

BET the REDS (+100) FIRST 5 INNINGS for 1 unit because Cincinnati rakes Houser, and its bullpen is one of the worst in the league. So I don’t trust them to lockdown any game.

Both starters grade poorly in several advanced pitching metrics but Cincinnati’s lineup has drilled righties and has success vs. Houser.

For instance, hitters on Cincinnati’s roster have an absurd .432 wOBA, 8.52 FIP and .523 expected slugging percentage on 53 plate appearances vs. Houser.

Also, the Reds are sixth in wRC+, second in wOBA, third in OPS and 10th in hard-hit rate against right-handed pitching whereas Milwaukee has the second-lowest wRC+, wOBA and OPS.

However, since Cincinnati’s bullpen is in the bottom-third of the Majors in xFIP, SIERA and K-BB% I’m going to STICK WITH REDS (+100) FIRST 5 INNINGS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because of the aforementioned concerns with Cincinnati’s bullpen, and I’m generally going to stay away from run lines for teams with poor bullpens.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9 (-110) for a half unit because both starters are in the 38th percentile or lower in hard-hit rate, exit velocity and expected wOBA.

Furthermore, Cincinnati’s bullpen troubles are carrying over from last year, but Milwaukee’s bullpen has regressed to somewhat of a weakness. The Brewers relievers are below average in xFIP, SIERA and hard-hit rate.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (24-16) and Cincinnati Reds (19-19) begin a four-game series Monday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Giants lead 2-1

Sunday: The Giants won at the Pittsburgh Pirates 4-1 to snap a two-game slide and split a four-game series. The Reds also split a four-game series on the road after rallying for a 7-6 victory at the Colorado Rockies.

RHP Logan Webb is projected to start for the Giants. He is 2-3 with a 4.74 ERA (38 IP, 20 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance this season.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, career-high 10 K in 4-2 home victory vs. Texas Rangers Tuesday
  • Career vs. Reds: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (1 IP, 0 ER), 0 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 1 relief appearance this season

RHP Sonny Gray is the Reds’ projected starter. The nine-year veteran is 0-2 with a 3.55 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 12.8 K/9 and 4.3 BB/9 in 5 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 5 K at Pittsburgh Pirates Wednesday – Reds won 5-1
  • Career vs. Giants: 2-0, 3.00 ERA (18 IP, 6 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 3 starts

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:03 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Reds -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-175) | Reds -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Giants 8, Reds 6

Money line (ML)

There’s great value in SAN FRANCISCO (+115). The Giants don’t have the best record in the National League because they’re mediocre.

As for the Reds, they’re pitching has been awful (see stats in O/U section below), and their offense continues to hit 3B Eugenio Suarez in the heart of the order with his .153 batting average.

Cincy was actually lucky to win at Colorado Sunday, scoring the tying run on a passed ball and the winning run on a wild pitch – both in the top of the ninth inning.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. San Francisco is the majors’ second-best team ATS, but at -175, the Giants’ +1.5 is not worth the risk … especially since we’re already invested with them on the money line.

ATS records: Giants 25-15 | Reds 14-24

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 8 (-105) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Reds have the best Over record in the majors.

It helps that their pitching staff totes a 4.83 ERA to rank 27th out of the 30 MLB teams, while the bullpen ranks 26th with a 5.02 ERA.

O/U records: Giants 19-20-1 | Reds 25-11-2

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JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 39-44-2 10-15-1 -10.395
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 142-129-3 59-56-1 +3.155
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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