Tag: Reds Brewers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (56-46) and the Cincinnati Reds (56-47) conclude a 3-game series at American Family Field on Wednesday. First pitch is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 9-3.

The Reds beat the Brewers 4-3 Tuesday after losing the opener of the series  3-2 Monday, covering both games. Cincinnati is 28-21 on the road this season and is 6-4 over its last 10 games.

The Brewers are a 1/2 game ahead of the Reds in the NL Central. Milwaukee, 6-4 over its last 10, is 28-24 at home. Five of the last 6 games between these teams have been decided by 1 run. Milwaukee is 21-10 in division games.

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Reds at Brewers projected starters

RHP Ben Lively vs. RHP Freddy Peralta

Lively (4-5, 3.88 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 60 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 3 R (3 ER), 4 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 9-6 home win versus the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday
  • 2023 road stats: 2-3, 3.81 ERA (26 IP, 11 ER) in 4 starts
  • Career vs. Brewers: 0-2, 3.78 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 7 ER) in 3 starts

Peralta (6-8, 4.72 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 103 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 R (6 ER), 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 6-4 home loss versus the Atlanta Braves on Friday
  • 2023 home stats: 4-4, 4.47 ERA (58 1/3 IP, 29 ER) in 11 starts
  • Career vs. Brewers: 5-2, 3.13 ERA (72 IP, 25 ER) in 12 starts

Reds at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:38 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Brewers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-165) | Brewers -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Reds at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

LEAN REDS (+120).

Cincinnati has been one of the streakiest teams in the MLB and is 35-20 straight up following a win. It is also 22-19 straight up as a road underdog which is the 7th-highest road underdog win rate in the league.

The Brewers have not been great this season with Peralta on the mound, just 9-10. He has allowed at least 3 ER in 4 of his last 5 games, and with runs at a premium in this series, that could be problematic.

For a small unit, take REDS (+120).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Reds +1.5 (-165) is a safe play given how close this series has been, but  I wouldn’t suggest laying the juice here. Similarly, the Brewers have been able to consistently beat the Reds, but they haven’t done it by a wide margin, making -1.5 (+140) also a tough sell.

Cincinnati is 30-11 on the run line as a road underdog. Regardless, it is too expensive to play here.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-120).

Peralta has consistently allowed runs, and both teams showed some life in the final innings of Tuesday’s game, scoring 5 combined runs in the 9th.

The Reds are also 34-21 O/U following a win, the best Over percentage in the MLB. The Reds have scored 5 or more runs in 3 of their last 6 games. Having scored just 6 total runs in the last 2 games, expect a bounceback from Cincinnati.

Leaning more toward the Under consistently this season, Milwaukee is 24-24-1 O/U as a favorite. Back OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (56-45) welcome the Cincinnati Reds (55-47) to American Family Field Tuesday. First pitch in the middle game of the 3-game series is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 9-2

The Brewers opened the series with a 3-2 win Monday, using RF Christian Yelich‘s walk-off hit in the bottom of the 9th to seal the deal. They are now 28-23 at home this season and 7-3 over their last 10 games.

Milwaukee has a 1 1/2-game advantage over the Reds in the NL Central. Cincinnati is just 5-5 over its last 10 games and 27-21 on the road this season. Its 5-game win streak was snapped with that opening loss.

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Reds at Brewers projected starters

LHP Andrew Abbott vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Abbott (5-2, 2.10 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 55 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 8 IP, 0 R (0 ER), 1 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 5-1 home win versus the Giants on Thursday
  • 2023 road stats: 3-1, 2.86 ERA (22 IP, 7 ER) in 4 starts
  • Career vs. Brewers: 1-2, 4.41 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 8 ER) in 3 starts

Burnes (9-5, 3.49 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 121 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 8 IP, 0 R (0 ER), 2 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 4-0 win at the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday
  • 2023 home stats: 4-2, 4.13 ERA (52 1/3 IP, 24 ER) in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Reds: 4-1, 2.52 ERA (60 2/3 IP, 17 ER) in 7 starts, including a win on July 14 (6 scoreless IP)

Reds at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Brewers -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-160) | Brewers -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Reds at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Reds 2

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (-155).

Burnes has been electric as of late for Milwaukee. The former Cy Young winner hasn’t allowed a run in his last 14 IP and has 23 K’s in that span. The Brewers have won 5 straight games with him on the mound, and Burnes has beaten the Reds 3 times in the last 2 months as well.

The Reds’ offense has struggled immensely lately, scoring more than 4 in just 3 of its last 6 games. Its lone score Monday was a 2-run HR by rookie SS Elly De La Cruz.

The Brewers have dominated the Reds, and that should continue Tuesday. Despite the juice, take BREWERS (-155).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There isn’t much value here. The Brewers have beaten the Reds in 5 straight games, but they have won 4 of those by a just 1 run, giving the -1.5 (+135) subpar value.

Despite Abbott’s success on the mound this season, the Reds +1.5 (-160) is too pricey to take here too. Ultimately play the Brewers to win outright for the best team-specific wager.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

In the 3 games Burnes has pitched against Cincinnati, the Reds have scored 7 total runs. He has pitched 6 innings in each and allowed just 5 ER. The Brewers have gone Under in Burnes last 2 starts and have gone Under 10 of their last 11 games.

The Reds have gone Under in 4 of their last 6 games and in 10 of their last 12. Cincinnati is also just 20-26 O/U following a loss this season. Given the strong starting pitchers and recent trends, back UNDER 8 (-115).

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Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (55-44) welcome the Cincinnati Reds (55-46) to American Family Field for a 3-game series starting Monday. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 8-2

The Brewers have dominated the Reds this season and are 7-3 in their last 10 games. They are 1/2 game ahead of Cincinnati in the NL Central and are 27-23 at home. Milwaukee is coming off a 4-2 loss to the Atlanta Braves on Sunday, losing 2 of 3 in the series.

After losing 5 in a row, which included their 3-game series at home against Milwaukee, the Reds have won their last 5 games, sweeping the Arizona  Diamondbacks at home. Cincinnati is 27-20 on the road, the best winning percentage away from home in the division.

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Reds at Brewers projected starters

RHP Graham Ashcraft vs. RHP Colin Rea

Ashcraft (5-7, 5.77 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 92 2/3 innings.

  • Allowed 2 ER against the San Francisco Giants on July 19, his 4th straight start with 2 or fewer ER
  • In 7 road start he’s 2-1 with a 4.42 ERA

Rea (5-4, 4.64 ERA) makes his 17th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 85 1/3 innings.

  • Gave up 5 ER to the Reds on July 8th in an 8-5 loss for Milwaukee, his only time allowing more than 4 ER this season
  • Brewers are 10-7 when he has pitched

Reds at Brewers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 10:25 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +104 (bet $100 to win $104) | Brewers -122 (bet $122 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-184) | Brewers -1.5 (+152)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Reds at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 4, Brewers 3

Moneyline

TAKE REDS (+104).

The Reds are on fire as of late and have performed well this season on the road. Ashcraft is starting to heat up as well. After allowing 6-plus ER in 5 of his first 14 starts, he has allowed just 5 ER in his last 24 2/3 innings.

Cincinnati has been one of the streakiest teams in the MLB and the Reds are 35-19 following a win (2nd-best win rate following a win), which it is in this situation. Rea has allowed 4 or more ER in 3 of his last 6 starts. Ashcraft is performing better, and the Reds have been hot over the last week.

Take REDS (+104).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Simply put, there isn’t any value here. The Brewers have struggled as of late and 4 of their 8 wins against the Reds this season have come by just 1 run, having covered a -1.5 spread in 4 of 10 games. Milwaukee is 1-2 on the run line at home against Cincinnati this season.

There is some value in the Brewers -1.5 (+152) given the season-long trends, but I’d take Cincinnati on the moneyline over that. The Reds at +1.5 (-184) are too pricey to play on the run line either.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-102).

The Reds pitching is what has them winning. They have gone Under in 4 of their last 5 games and in 9 of their last 11. Cincinnati has scored 5 or fewer runs in 8 of its last 11 as well.

The Brewers have gone Under in 2 straight games and in 9 of their last 10, scoring 4 or fewer in all 10. The last 4 games between these 2 teams have gone Under the projected total with 3 of the last 4 not even topping 3 runs.

Take UNDER 9 (-102).

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Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Reds (49-40) square off with the Milwaukee Brewers (48-41) Saturday for the 2nd game of a 3-game set. First pitch from American Family Field is at 4:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 4-1

The Reds have been one of the hottest teams in the league over the past month but they lost the series opener 7-3 on Friday. Cincinnati recently reeled off 12 wins in a row and even with Friday’s loss is 20-5 in its last 25 contests.

The Brewers have also been playing well lately, as they have won 9 of their last 13 games. While Milwaukee has lost its lead in the NL Central to Cincinnati, Friday’s win puts it just a game behind the Reds.

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Reds at Brewers projected starters

RHP Luke Weaver vs. RHP Colin Rea

Weaver (2-2, 6.72 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.59 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 69 2/3 IP.

  • The Reds have won Weaver’s last 7 turns despite him posting an 8.24 ERA while allowing batters a .961 OPS during that span
  • Has recorded just 11 K with 10 BB over 22 1/3 IP across his last 5 outings
  • 2023 road splits: 1-2, 5.80 ERA, 1.69 WHIP and 6.7 K/9 through 40 1/3 IP across 8 starts

Rea (5-4, 4.40 ERA) makes his 15th start and 16th appearance. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 75 2/3 IP.

  • 2023 home splits: 2-2, 4.75 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 1.8 HR/9 and 8.3 K/9 across 36 IP over 7 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Doesn’t get a ton of whiffs in general and has tallied just 8 K in 18 1/3 IP over his last 3 starts
  • At Reds on June 3: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 10-8 Brewer’s victory

Reds at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Brewers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-175) | Brewers -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Reds at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Reds 5

Moneyline

Milwaukee’s bats have heated up lately, as they have averaged 6.8 runs per game over their last 8 contests. They are certainly in a good spot against Weaver, who has struggled all season. Back the BREWERS (-130) to pick up a win and move back into a tie for the NL Central lead.

Run line/Against the spread

The Reds have lost by more than 1 run just 3 times in their last 25 games. The Brewers have the pitching edge and home-field advantage, but the Reds should keep this game close. Neither side of this wager looks like a good value so PASS.

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Over/Under

The Over has chased in 10 of the last 14 games for Cincinnati, as well as in 6 of the last 7 for Milwaukee. With two mediocre pitchers taking the mound against two hot offenses, we should see enough runs from both sides to push this total OVER 9.5 (-115).

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Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Reds (49-39) and Milwaukee Brewers (47-41) open an important 3-game set Friday at American Family Field. First pitch is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 3-1

The upstart Reds are 8-2 over their last 10 games and 16-4 over their last 20. They’ve taken a 2-game lead over the Brew Crew in the NL Central. Cincinnati is coming off a 4-game sweep of the Washington Nationals and looks to win this series to buffer its lead before the All-Star break.

The Brewers are coming alive after a slow start. They’re 6-4 and 13-7 over the last 10 and 20 games, respectively, and are 15-8 within the division. Milwaukee has struggled against lefties, though, which it’ll face Friday. The Brew Crew are just 12-16 against left-handed starters.

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Reds at Brewers projected starters

LHP Andrew Abbott vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Abbott (4-0, 1.21 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 37 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 12 K Sunday against the San Diego Padres
  • 1 career start vs. Brewers: 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 4 BB, 6 K June 5

Burnes (6-5, 4.00 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 101 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 7 K Saturday against Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Last 5 starts vs. Reds: 2-0, 2.76 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 41 K in 32 2/3 IP

Reds at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:26 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Brewers -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+165) | Brewers +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Reds at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 4, Brewers 3

Moneyline

The Brewers have won 8 of the last 10 matchups against the Reds, but times are changing — especially on the mound — for the Reds. Abbott has entered the Rookie of the Year discussion with a great first 2 months and has struck out 30 batters over his last 3 starts. The Reds have no fear on the road at 26-18, and I look for them to limit the Brewers enough to take this one.

Roll with the REDS (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

The Reds are favored on the RL, and Milwaukee is priced out of range to take.

It’s a little risky, but the Brewers strike out the 4th-most frequently in baseball at 9.36 per game. Abbott has fanned at least 8 in 3 straight starts. Put a small bet on ANDREW ABBOTT OVER 7.5 K’S (+115).

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Over/Under

The Reds are 6-4 O/U over the last 10, and Milwaukee is 6-3-1. The Under has cashed 7 of the last 10 times they have faced one another. However, there has only been 1 total this low.

It could go either way, and I’m more comfortable paying the juice at a higher number. Take the ALTERNATE TOTAL UNDER 8.5 (-140).

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Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (56-81) take on the Milwaukee Brewers (74-66) Sunday in the finale of a 3-game set at American Family Field. First pitch is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Brewers lead 9-5

The Reds flamed out Saturday as they were only able to muster up 1 hit in a 5-1 loss to the Brewers. The L snapped their 3-game win streak, but they’ve still won 6 of their last 10 games overall and 3 of their last 4 against Milwaukee. They’re going to have a much tougher task Sunday going up against Milwaukee’s ace.

The Brew Crew are now 5-5 over the last 10 games but still trail the St. Louis Cardinals by 8 games in the division. SS Willy Adames hit his career-high 27th homer Saturday in the victory. They’ll be tall favorites with RHP Brandon Woodruff on the hill Sunday.

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Reds at Brewers projected starters

RHP Justin Dunn vs. RHP Brandon Woodruff

Dunn (1-2, 4.82 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 28 IP.

  • Last start against Chicago Cubs Tuesday: 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB and 1 K
  • Much better on the road with a 3.98 ERA and 1.38 WHIP vs. 7.04 ERA and 1.57 WHIP at home

Woodruff (9-4, 3.41 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 121 1/3 IP.

  • 2 starts vs. Cincinnati this year: 1-1, 7.20 ERA, 10 IP, 12 H, 8 ER, 2 BB and 18 K
  • Was stellar in his last start at the Colorado Rockies Tuesday: 7 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 2 BB and 5 K

Reds at Brewers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:32 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Reds +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Brewers -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (+105) | Brewers -1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Reds at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Reds 2

Money line

The Brewers get it done Sunday and take the series. However, we’re not taking the -300 ML. Instead, put a HALF-UNIT on BREWERS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-170) at a much more reasonable price.

Run line/Against the spread

With the Reds only able to get 1 hit against a pitcher with an ERA over 4 Saturday, Woodruff should keep things quiet. Milwaukee’s bullpen is in good shape with closer RHP Devin Williams only throwing 12 pitches since Monday. Woodruff goes 7, and Williams should have 2 innings in him to close the door.

Take the BREWERS -1.5 (-130).

Over/Under

The Brewers have scored 13 runs in the last 4 games and are nothing to write home about offensively. Woodruff should keep the Reds from scoring more than 2. Milwaukee is just 3-6-1 O/U over the last 10. There is a 100% chance of rain, which means the roof will likely be closed.

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (+100).

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Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (56-80) take on the Milwaukee Brewers (73-66) Saturday in the second game of a 3-game set at American Family Field. First pitch is set for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Brewers lead 8-5

The Reds opened this series with a bang, disposing of The Brew Crew 8-2 Friday night. LHP Nick Lodolo went 8 strong IP with 11 K’s, and the Reds offense slugged 3 homers. Cincinnati is 6-4 over its last 10 games and is a respectable 10-10 over the last 20.

The Brewers feel like they’re on the part of the Cha-Cha song that asks: “How low can ya go?” They now trail the St. Louis Cardinals by 8 games in the NL Central and don’t look to have much of a counter punch. Milwaukee is 16-22 since July 31, and this collapse is sure to shake some things up in the offseason.

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Reds at Brewers projected starters

RHP Chase Anderson vs. RHP Adrian Houser

Anderson (0-2, 12.60 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 4th appearance. He has 5 IP, 5 H, 7 ER, 6 BB and 6 K.

  • Tossed 2 2/3 hitless IP with 4 BB and 4 K Sunday against the Colorado Rockies in his last start
  • Threw 56 pitches last time and could stretch out to 65 or more over 4 IP

Houser (5-9, 4.83 ERA) makes his 18th start and 19th appearance. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 85 2/3 IP.

  • Made 3 starts against Reds this year: 2-1, 6.00 ERA, 15 IP, 9 BB, 14 K
  • Hasn’t thrown more than 81 pitches in 2 starts since returning from the IL Aug. 24

Reds at Brewers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:53 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Reds +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Brewers -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-110)| Brewers -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Reds at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 7, Brewers 5

Money line

The Brewers are -240 favorites at home, and honestly, I wouldn’t pay -140 on them right now. Neither starter figures to be in the game in the 6th inning, and I trust Cincinnati’s offense more.

The only ace Milwaukee has in the hole is stud reliever RHP Devin Williams has only thrown 12 pitches since Monday and could be deployed for 2 innings if they get a lead.

I’ll take my chances with REDS (+190).

Run line/Against the spread

The Reds are 35-33 on the RL on the road, which is really good for a team 24 games below .500. I’m willing to throw a HALF-UNIT at REDS +1.5 (-110) in case the ML doesn’t cash.

Over/Under

So neither starter has been very good, and they don’t figure to go very deep into the game. We had 10 runs Friday, and I think we’ll reach that threshold again Saturday — we’ll have to if the Reds hope to prevail.

The Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these teams in Milwaukee. Take the OVER 8.5 (-125).

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Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (43-63) and Milwaukee Brewers (58-49) cap off a 3-game set at American Family Field with Sunday’s 1st pitch is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Brewers lead 8-3

The Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 games and a respectable 9-6 since the All-Star break. Cincinnati pitching has been much improved with the Reds owning a 3.32 ERA in those last 15 games.

Milwaukee lost Saturday’s game, but is 6-2 in its last 8 games at home. The Brewers have logged an .878 OPS over that stretch.

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Reds at Brewers projected starters

RHP Graham Ashcraft vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Ashcraft (5-2, 4.12 ERA) is tabbed for his 14th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 74 1/3 IP.

  • Coming off 8 1/3 innings of 1-run ball (unearned) at the Miami Marlins Tuesday. Owns a 3.52 ERA in his last 5 starts
  • Rocked by the Brewers on June 18 allowing 6R, 8 H and 2 BB in 5 IP

Burnes (8-5, 2.49 ERA) owns a 0.95 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 130 IP across 21 starts.

  • Has a 4.96 ERA in his last 3 starts
  • Has a 1.96 ERA, 0.96 WHIP in his last 4 home starts

Reds at Brewers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:53 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Brewers -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (+100) | Brewers -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Reds at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Reds 3

Money line

PASS on current prices. The Reds are a lean in principle, but only a partial-unit play at +230 or better.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Ashcraft-ripped-by-Milwaukee-last-time-out angle makes for plenty of risk here. But there is enough general Brewers-tipped-too-far-one-way sentiment crashing against Reds-tipped-too-far-the-other-way to make for some interest here.

BACK THE REDS +1.5 (+100).

Over/Under

Both bullpens and offenses make for an institutional lean toward scoring being lower than predicted. But value dries up a 7.5-run total here at about -115.

STEER CLEAR.

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Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (42-63) and Milwaukee Brewers (58-48) meet Saturday for the 2nd game of a 3-game set at American Family Field. First pitch is set for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Brewers lead 8-2

The Reds went 4-1 — yielding just 9 total runs — over their 5 games prior to this series. Cincinnati coughed up 5 runs in Friday’s opener.

The Brewers — now winners of 4 straight over the Reds — had lost 4 consecutive games heading into this series. Milwaukee is 6-1 with an .876 OPS over 7 home games in the second half.

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Reds at Brewers projected starters

LHP Nick Lodolo vs. LHP Aaron Ashby

Lodolo (3-3, 4.23 ERA) is lined up for his 9th start. He has clocked a 1.57 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 12.7 K/9 through 38 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed just 1 ER on 9 hits with 16 K through 12 IP across 2 starts since the All-Star break.
  • Facing a Milwaukee offense that has Jekyll & Hyde splits. The Brewers own a .767 OPS against righties (4th MLB), but they’ve registered a mere .663 OPS against southpaws (25th).

Ashby (2-9, 4.13 ERA) has appeared in 20 games (14 as a starter) and has thrown 80 2/3 innings. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9.

  • Allowed 5 R (all unearned) on 5 H and 3 BB with 6 K in 4 2/3 IP in his last start Sunday at the Boston Red Sox.
  • Has logged a 2.84 ERA and 0.99 WHIP across 25 1/3 IP at home.

Reds at Brewers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Brewers -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-140) | Brewers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Reds at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Reds 3

Money line

PASS on current prices. The Reds are a lean in principle but only a partial-unit play at +155 or better.

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Run line/Against the spread

With a strong low-scoring lean for the game and liking Cincinnati for its solid 8-6 mark in the second half, there is LEVERAGE IN THE REDS +1.5 (-140).

Over/Under

Both bullpens and offenses line up with expected numbers that come in on the Under side of what performances have been in box scores.

Both starters have been hurt by unkind rates around the margins (Lodolo, for instance, has pitched through a .406 batting average on balls in play). And Milwaukee’s offense against left-handers goes down more than a couple of notches.

BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (-108).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (42-62) and Milwaukee Brewers (57-48) meet Friday at 8:10 p.m. ET to open a 3-game set at American Family Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Brewers lead 7-2

The Reds, who had an off day Thursday, are 4-1 in their last 5 games. They’ve yielded just 16 total runs over that span.

The Brewers are back home after a 2-4 road trip. Milwaukee has lost its last 4 games. Brewers pitching was touched up for a 4.59 ERA, 1.62 WHIP over those 4 contests.

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Reds at Brewers projected starters

RHP Robert Dugger vs. LHP Eric Lauer

Dugger (0-0, 4.50) has made 3 relief appearances this season. In 12 IP, he owns a 1.50 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 12.8 K/9.

  • Returns from Triple-A Louisville for his first MLB start of the year and the 13th of his career
  • Has logged a 4.70 ERA in 53 2/3 IP in the minors. Has gone 5 innings or more in 4 of his last 7 turns at Triple-A

Lauer (7-3, 3.75 ERA) is tabbed for his 20th start of the season. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 105 2/3 IP.

  • Has posted a 2.85 ERA, 1.10 WHIP at home
  • Scuffled in a June 17 start vs. the Reds (6 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 1BB, 5 K) and owns a 5.92 ERA in his last 5 starts against Cincinnati

Reds at Brewers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:36 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Brewers -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-105) | Brewers -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Reds at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Reds 3

Money line

The line has moved perhaps too much toward Milwaukee since it opened. But the juice has expanded also. Cincinnati +200 is worth some action, but PASS on current prices.

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Run line/Against the spread

With a slight Under lean and liking Cincinnati for its solid 8-5 mark in the 2nd half, there is LEVERAGE IN THIS REDS +1.5 (-105) PLAY.

Over/Under

Both bullpens and offenses line up with expected numbers that come in on the Under side of what performances have been in box scores.

Look for the prices to tilt toward a more evenly priced 8.5 throughout the day. BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (+105).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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