Tag: Brewers Reds odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The Milwaukee Brewers (8-3) and Cincinnati Reds (6-6) wrap up a 4-game series at Great American Ball Park Thursday. First pitch is set for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 2-1

After a rain delay for about an hour and a half, the Brewers came out hot and won 7-2 Thursday. They have won 2 straight and scored at least 8 runs in all 3 games against Cincinnati. Milwaukee is 5-1 straight up on the road and 7-4 against the spread (ATS) on the season. It has won 3 of its last 4.

The Reds kicked the series off with a thrilling 10-8 win Monday but have struggled to limit Milwaukee since. They have lost 3 of their last 4 and 4 of their last 6. Cincinnati is 5-7 ATS on the season. The Reds are 4-5 straight up at home.

Brewers at Reds projected starters

RHP Freddy Peralta vs. RHP Nick Martinez

Peralta (1-0, 3.09 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.60 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 11 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 6-5 home win vs. Seattle Mariners Friday
  • 2023 road splits: 5-6, 4.34 ERA (76 2/3 IP, 37 ER), 72 H, 29 BB, 83 K in 14 starts

Martinez (0-0, 7.20 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 10 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 9-6 home win vs. New York Mets Saturday
  • 2023 home splits: 3-1, 2.60 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 53 H, 19 BB, 41 K in 4 starts and 29 relief appearances with San Diego Padres

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Brewers at Reds odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Reds +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+126) | Reds +1.5 (-152)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Brewers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Reds 3

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (-126).

Milwaukee has historically been a tough team for Cincinnati, winning 10 of 13 games last season against a solid Reds roster. The Brewers have continued to dominate, scoring at least 7 runs in all 3 games. They have scored at least 6 in 5 of their last 6.

Milwaukee is 2-0 in games which Peralta has started as well. After winning 4 of their 1st 6, the Reds have lost 4 of their last 6 and have allowed at least 5 runs in both games that Martinez has started. Cincinnati is struggling, while Milwaukee is surging.

Back BREWERS (-126).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The spread for the red-hot Brewers does have some value, but at these odds, the moneyline is the better the play.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-122).

Both teams have hit the Over consistently this season. The Reds are 9-3 O/U and have gone Over in 4 of their last 5 games, scoring at least 5 runs in 3 of those and allowing at least 6 in 4.

The Brewers have gone Over in 4 straight and in 6 of their last 7, allowing at least 5 in 4 of their last 6. The Reds are 2-0 O/U in games Martinez has started, while the Brewers are 1-1 in games Peralta has started.

Considering those trends, back OVER 8.5 (-122).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The Milwaukee Brewers (7-3) and Cincinnati Reds (6-5) meet for game 3 of a 4-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Milwaukee picked up a 9-5 win Tuesday as a +118 road underdog to even the series. RHP Joe Ross was credited with the win, allowing 2 earned runs on 5 hits and a walk, while striking out 7 in 6 1/3 innings. LF Christian Yelich (2-for-4) and CF Black Perkins (3-for-5, 2 runs) knocked in 3 runs apiece, while RF Sal Frelick went 3-for-4 with 2 runs and an RBI.

The Brewers led 9-1 after 6½ innings before the Reds plated 2 in the 7th and 2 in the 8th to cut the defice to 9-5. But Milwaukee’s lead proved to be too much for the Reds to overcome late in the ball game.

Brewers at Reds projected starters

LHP Wade Miley vs. RHP Hunter Greene

This will be Miley’s 1st start of the season. The former Red went 9-4 with a 3.14 ERA in 23 starts for the Brewers in 2023. He had a 1.14 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 across 120 1/3 IP.

  • 2023 road splits: 4-2, 2.65 ERA (54 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 40 H, 18 BB, 37 K in 11 starts
  • Career vs. Reds: 7-3, 2.86 ERA (78 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 67 H, 24 BB, 75 K across 13 starts and 1 relief appearance

Greene (0-0, 2.53 ERA) makes his 3rd start this season. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 10 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 3-2 Reds loss vs. the New York Mets Friday
  • Career vs. Brewers: 0-3, 8.00 ERA (18 IP, 16 ER), 19 H, 10 BB, 27 K in 4 starts

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Brewers at Reds odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:54 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +116 (bet $100 to win $116) | Reds -136 (bet $136 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-182) | Reds -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -108 | U: -112)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Brewers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Reds 4

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (+116).

Milwaukee has won 2 of its last 3 games vs. Cincinnati dating back to last season and is 6-3 in the last 9 vs. the Reds. They are also 7-2 in their last 9 visits to Cincinnati. Plus, they are 2-1 in its last 3 games overall and 4-1 on the road so far this season.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I expect the Brewers +1.5 (-182) to cover here, but they are not worth the risk of betting on with the line being this heavy. Bet on the moneyline and/or the Over/Under.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9 (-108).

The Over has hit in 3 consecutive games for the Brewers and is 5-1 in their last 6 overall. For the Reds, the Over has hit in back-to-back games and is 3-1 in their last 4.

This is only a lean because the Under is 7-3 in the last 10 Milwaukee-Cincinnati matchups.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @payton_shanks on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The Cincinnati Reds (5-4) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (6-2) to Great American Ball Park Monday. First pitch to kick off the 4-game series is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Brewers won 10-3 last season

The Reds lost to the New York Mets 3-1 at home Sunday, marking their 1st series loss this season. They lost 2 of 3 outright against the Mets and are 3-3 straight up at home. Cincinnati is 4-5 against the spread (ATS) this season.

The Brewers beat the Seattle Mariners 12-4 to close their home series Sunday, winning 2 of 3. Milwaukee is 3-0 straight up and ATS on the road, having swept the Mets in 3 straight to start the season.

Brewers at Reds projected starters

LHP Aaron Ashby vs. RHP Graham Ashcraft

Ashby (2-10, 4.44 ERA) made 27 starts in 2022, not taking the mound in 2023. He had a 1.42 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 107 1/3 innings.

  • 2022 road splits: 1-7, 5.03 ERA (68 IP, 38 ER), 76 H, 33 BB, 82 K in 12 starts and 5 relief appearances
  • Career vs. Cincinnati: 0-1, 5.19 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 7 H, 7 BB, 8 K in 1 start and 2 relief appearances

Ashcraft (0-1, 3.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 3 R (2 ER) on 4 H and 1 BB with 5 K in 6 IP in his debut at the Philadephia Phillies Tuesday.

  • 2023 home splits: 3-8, 5.60 ERA (82 IP, 51 ER), 83 H, 29 BB, 58 K in 15 starts

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Brewers at Reds odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Reds -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+150) | Reds +1.5 (-182)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -114 | U: -106)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Brewers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Brewers 4

Moneyline

BET REDS (-108).

Given Ashby hasn’t pitched in over a year, it is difficult to trust him on the road against a Reds offense that has scored at least 6 runs in 4 of 9 games this season, with 3 of those 4 times coming at Great American.

While Ashcraft wasn’t stellar in his lone start, the bullpen is what let Cincinnati down. The Reds have been better also of late, allowing 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4 games.

The Reds should have the pitching advantage, and that will matter, as both offenses have been strong to start the season. Take REDS (-108).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There isn’t any value on the spread. The Reds are too expensive as run-line underdogs, while the Brewers don’t have much value as plus-money run-line favorites.

Regardless of who one likes, play the moneyline here.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9 (-114).

Both teams have dynamic offenses and don’t have their aces on the mound. The Brewers have scored at least 6 in 2 of their last 3 and have gone Over in 3 of their last 4. Milwaukee is 4-4 O/U on the season.

The Reds are 6-3 O/U and are 4-2 O/U at home. They have scored at least 6 runs in 4 of 6 home games while allowing at least 5 in 3 of those 6. Expect a high-scoring game, and take OVER 9 (-114).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (51-42) and Cincinnati Reds (50-43) meet Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 12:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 7-2

Milwaukee won 3-0 as +111 road underdogs on Saturday with all 3 of the Brewers’ runs on solo home runs from DH Christian Yelich, C William Contreras, and 1B Owen Miller. SP Freddy Peralta pitched 6 scoreless innings with 6 K’s.

The Brewers have now won 3-straight and are 8-3 in their last 11 game to take a 1-game lead on the Reds in th NL Central. Cincinnati has lost 3 straight, but still is 6-4 in their last 10 games. Milwaukee is 25-21 on the road while the Reds are 23-23 at home.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Brewers at Reds projected starters

RHP Adrian Houser vs. RHP Ben Lively

Houser (3-2, 3.68 ERA) makes his 10th start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 54 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 4-3 home loss July 5 vs. the Chicago Cubs
  • Career vs. Cincinnati: 5-4, 4.90 ERA (68 IP, 37 ER), 69 H, 49 K, 1.44 WHIP in 16 appearances (13 starts)

Lively (4-5, 3.83 ERA) makes his 9th start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 51 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 1-0 road loss Sunday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
  • Career vs. Milwaukee: 0-2, 4.26 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 10 H, 5 BB, 10 K in 2 starts

Brewers at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Reds -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-165) | Reds -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Brewers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 7, Reds 2

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (+110).

The Brewers are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings overall and 4-1 in the last 5 game againstbthe Reds. They are also the hotter team winning 5 of their last 6  while the Reds have lost4 of the last 5. Milwaukee is also 3-0 in Houser’s last 3 starts vs. Cincinnati while Lively has yet to beat Milwaukee in his career.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Brewers should cover here at +1.5 (-165) as I expect them to come away with the win, but the line is simply not worth the juice especially when each of the other 2 plays are safer. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

BET UNDER 10.5 (-105).

The Under is 3-0 in the last 3 matchups and 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. The Under is also 4-0-1 in Houser’s last 5 starts overall and 3-0 in his last 3 starts vs. Cincinnati. The Under is 2-0 in each of Lively’s 2 career starts vs. Milwaukee as well.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @payton_shanks on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (32-27) seek to complete a 4-game sweep of the Cincinnati Reds (26-33) in the final game of their 7-game road trip on Monday. First pitch at Great American Ballpark is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 3-0

The Brewers are 4-2 through 6 games of the road trip. RHP Adrian Houser pitched 6 innings of 1-run ball Sunday and the offense scored 3 runs in the top of the 1st, leading to a 5-1 win.

The Reds have now lost 4 games in a row after having a 5-game winning streak. They have dropped 4 straight home games and 8 of their last 10 at home.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Brewers at Reds projected starters

RHP Julio Teheran vs. LHP Andrew Abbott

Teheran (1-1, 0.82 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.82 WHIP, 1 BB and 5 K in 11 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 R  (0 ER), 4 H, 0 BB, 0 K in 4-2 victory Wednesday over the Toronto Blue Jays
  • Is 3-4 with 4.14 ERA in 9 career starts vs. Reds

Abbott (4-0, 2.50 ERA in the minors in 2023) makes his MLB debut. He had a 0.93 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 15.0 K/9 through 54 IP combined between AA Chattanooga and AAA Louisville.

  • Drafted in the 2nd round by the Reds in 2018
  • The 24-year-old was the No. 10 prospect in Cincinnati’s farm system

Brewers at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Reds -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-185) | Reds -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Braves at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, Reds 3

Moneyline

The Brewers have won 5 of their last 7 games and have now gotten their road record over .500 (16-15) with their 3 wins over the Reds in this series.

Teheran has been fantastic so far in 2 starts since signing while Abbott is an unknown, making his MLB debut.

Cincinnati has lost 8 of their last 10 games at home and has lost 8 of their last 10 games against the Brewers.

BET BREWERS (+105).

Run line/Against the spread

The Reds are 34-25 ATS overall this season, but only 6-7 ATS when favored. They have lost the last 4 games outright in which they were favored on the run line.

The Brewers are 28-31 ATS overall and 16-13 ATS as the underdog. They have won 6 of their last 10 games outright in which they were the underdog on the run line.

But the moneyline is a better bet than the Brewers on the run line.

PASS.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

Both of Teheran’s starts this season have had totals of 5 and 6 runs while only 2 of the Brewers’ last 10 games have had totals of 10 or more runs. Also, the Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between the 2 teams in Cincinnati.

BET UNDER 9.5 (-115).

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Reds (26-31) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (30-27) to Great American Ball Park Saturday. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 1-0.

The Reds have now lost 2 straight games after snapping their 5-game winning streak. Cincinnati is 14-15 at home this season.

Milwaukee, which leads the NL Central, is 14-15 on the road and 5-5 over its last 10 games. The Brewers have traded off winning and losing over their last 6 games, beating the Reds 5-4 in 11 innings Friday.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Brewers at Reds projected starters

RHP Colin Rea vs. RHP Graham Ashcraft

Rea (2-3, 4.89 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.43 K/9 through 42 1/3 IP.

  • The Brewers won 7-5 in Rea’s last start Sunday. He went 6 innings and gave up 4 earned runs, striking out 6.
  • The 32-year-old has won his last 2 games but has allowed at least 4 earned runs in his 9 appearances. Milwaukee is 5-4 in his 9 appearances.

Ashcraft (3-3, 5.55 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 58 1/3 IP.

  • Ashcraft had 6 strikeouts in an 8-5 win over the Cubs his last time on the mound Sunday. He allowed 3 earned runs in 5 innings.
  • The Reds are 6-5 in Ashcraft’s 11 starts. He has pitched at least 5 innings in 4 straight starts.

Brewers at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Reds -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+135) | Reds +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Brewers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Brewers 5

Moneyline

BET REDS (-105).

The Brewers have had a consistency problem this season. They have traded off winning and losing over their last 6 games, suggesting they’re primed to come up short. Milwaukee is just 14-15 on the road and just 4-6 as a road favorite.

The Reds have cooled down over their last 2, but they are 7-4 over their last 11 games. They have played far better over the last few weeks, and at home following an extra-innings loss, Cincinnati is a good play here.

Take REDS (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Trends point to the Reds being the better play here, but I would ultimately pass as +1.5 (-165) is too expensive. The Brewers don’t pose enough value given how they have played on the road this season as well.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 10 (-120).

Neither team has an ace on the mound here. The Reds have gone Over in 5 of their last 7 games and are 16-13 O/U at home this season.

The Brewers have been better on the Under this season, but Rea has struggled in several of his starts. He has given up at least 4 earned runs in 2 of his last 3 starts.

Back the OVER 10 (-120) for a small unit.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Reds (26-30) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (29-27) to Great American Ball Park Friday. First pitch is set for 5:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Milwaukee took 13 of 19 meetings in 2022

The Brewers lost 3-1 Thursday at the Toronto Blue Jays and have dropped 5 of their last 7 games. Milwaukee is just 13-15 on the road this season and has lost 6 of its last 10 games but is still 1st in the NL Central, 1/2 game ahead of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Reds had a 5-game win streak snapped in an 8-2 loss at the Boston Red Sox Thursday. Cincinnati is 7-3 over its last 10 games and is 14-14 at home, trailing Milwaukee by just 3 games in the NL Central.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Brewers at Reds projected starters

RHP Corbin Burnes vs. LHP Brandon Williamson

Burnes (4-4, 3.68 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 63 2/3 IP.

  • One of his best starts of the season last time out: 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 8 K vs. San Francisco Giants Saturday
  • Has been an All-Star the last 2 seasons but Milwaukee is just 5-6 this season in his starts

Williamson (0-0, 5.02 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 14 1/3 IP.

  • Made his major league debut on May 16 and has allowed just 12 hits through the 14 1/3 innings over his first 3 starts
  • Cincinnati is 3-0 when he takes the bump

Brewers at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Reds +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (-110) | Reds +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Brewers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, Reds 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Brewers (-175) have a strong starting pitcher in Burnes, but they have struggled as of late.

Milwaukee is too expensive to play outright, but Cincinnati’s run line with insurance is priced appropriately and is the safer play Friday.

Run line/Against the spread

BET REDS +1.5 (-110).

The Reds have been a strong play on the run line this season. Cincinnati is 5th in baseball at 33-23 ATS, is 21-17 ATS as an underdog and is 11-9 ATS as a home underdog.

Milwaukee is just 11-17 on the run line as a favorite. The signs point to Cincinnati being the better side here.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 10 (-115).

The Reds have been a good Over play this season, but Burnes will pose quite the challenge. The Brewers are just 24-30-2 O/U this season. They have gone Under in 6 of their last 9 contests and pushed the total in one of the 3 that didn’t go Under.

The Brewers only scored 7 in their 3-game series against the Blue Jays to start the week, so their bats aren’t hot right now. Couple Burnes and a weak Milwaukee attack, and take the UNDER 10 (-115).

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (35-30) and Cincinnati Reds (23-40) meet Friday at 6:40 p.m. ET to open a 3-game series at Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Milwaukee leads 4-2.

The Brewers dropped 2 of 3 to the Mets in a midweek series in New York. They are just 3-11 across their last 14 games.

The Reds are returning home after a 3-3 road trip that included stops in St. Louis and Arizona. The Cincinnati offense stumbled in a couple of those road games but has otherwise had a good month: the Reds own a robust .770 OPS in June.

Brewers at Reds projected starters

LHP Eric Lauer vs. RHP Hunter Greene

Lauer (5-2, 3.36 ERA) is tabbed for his 12th start of the season. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 61 2/3 IP.

  • Coughed up 3 home runs and 8 runs in his last start (5 IP at Washington Saturday).
  • Has struggled against Cincinnati the last three years (5.48 ERA since 2019).

Greene (3-7, 5.10 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 through 60 IP.

  • Has allowed just 1R on 3 hits over his last 2 games (12 IP).
  • Has been tough on lefty bats (.610 OPS allowed), which is a key against a left-leaning Milwaukee order.

Brewers at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 7:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Reds -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Brewers -1.5 (+140) | Reds +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Brewers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Brewers 4

Money line

Greene yields a lot of fly-ball and barreled-up contact, and he has paid for it with an ERA over 5. But perhaps the price has been too steep alongside the rest of his electric skill set.

With a rested bullpen, BACK THE REDS (-110).

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 6/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!

Run line/Against the spread

Milwaukee does play a lot of 1-run games. Again, the Reds and the runs are a lean here, but PASS on any price north of -165.

Over/Under

In the Reds’ last 6 series openers, the Under has gone 5-0-1. And that would be the play here save for a warmed up, wind-out Great American Ball Park as a venue.

On the 9.5 total, strike if the price is right, say -105 or better. We’re going to LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-107) because Greene has been really good, and neither offense has been great.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Milwaukee Brewers at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (87-55) continue their three-game series with the Cleveland Indians (69-70) at Progressive Field with the first pitch scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Brewers vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Milwaukee hammered Cleveland 10-3 in the series opener as Brewers trade deadline acquisition IF Eduardo Escobar went yard twice starting RHP Adrian Houser had 6 IP, 0 ER (2 runs scored), 1 H, 5 BB and 5 K.

Season series: Brewers lead 1-0.

RHP Corbin Burnes (9-4, 2.38 ERA) is Milwaukee’s projected starter. Burnes has a 0.96 WHIP, 12.3 K/9 and 1.8 BB/9 through 144 IP across 24 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision in Milwaukee’s 6-5 home win vs. the St. Louis Cardinals Sunday with a stat line of 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 7 K.
  • Burnes is 5-1 all-time in interleague games with a 1.42 ERA (56 IP, 9 ER), 0.71 WHIP and 5.7 K/BB through eight starts and four bullpen outings.

RHP Zach Plesac (10-4, 4.53 ERA) takes the hill for the Indians. Plesac has a 1.17 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 over 119 1/3 IP across 21 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 11-5, with 5 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 3 BB and 5 K Sunday at the Boston Red Sox.
  • Home splits: 3-1 with a 4.29 ERA (56 2/3 IP, 27 ER), 1.13 WHIP and 3.9 K/BB in 10 starts.

Brewers at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:24 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Indians +160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (-112) | Indians +1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Prediction

Brewers 5, Indians 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the BREWERS (-200) only because I’d rather include them in a parlay with another favorite for an even- or plus-money payout than bet Milwaukee outright. Also, the Brew Crew on the run line offers better value.

However, Burnes has the third-best odds on Tipico Sportsbook to win the NL Cy Young and has been lights out on the road. He leads the majors in FIP (1.58), K/BB (7.0) and home run per nine-inning rate (0.3), and is 6-0 with a 1.83 ERA (68 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 0.85 WHIP and 10.2 K/BB across 11 road starts.

Furthermore, the Indians have the second-worst winning percentage as home underdogs at 8-21 overall, which is a pretty big sample size. I’d RISK only 1 unit on Milwaukee’s money line rather than bet 1 unit. What I mean by that is if your standard bet is $100 then put that on BREWERS (-200) to hopefully earn a $50 profit.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET BREWERS -1.5 (-112) for 1 unit since they have an edge in the three most important phases of the game (starting pitching, relief pitching and hitting).

Cleveland is 14-15 ATS as a home underdog and Milwaukee is 26-19 ATS as a road favorite, which is the second-best cover rate in that spot across the league.

There’s been a “sharp line move” towards Milwaukee with more than 95% of the cash wagered in the ATS market being on the Brewers according to Pregame.com. Sportsbooks have responded by increasing Milwaukee’s run line price from a -103 consensus to the current number.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Under 8.5 (+105) because Plesac has pitched well in his last two outings and Burnes can shut down this below-average Cleveland lineup.

That said, this is a “pros vs. joes” game with the presumed sharp money favoring the Over. No way I’d bet the Over in this spot but I also don’t want to fade the sharp side of the market.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (55-39) finish their three-game series at the Cincinnati Reds (48-44) Sunday in Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Milwaukee won the first two games of the series by a combined score of 18-10 with Brewers SS Willy Adames hitting a combined 6-for-11 with a double, one home run and five RBIs in both games.

Season series: Reds lead 8-7.

RHP Corbin Burnes is Milwaukee’s projected starter. Burnes is 4-4 with a 2.36 ERA (87 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 0.91 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 13.1 K/9 over 15 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB and 8 K in Milwaukee’s 4-3 loss at the New York Mets July 7.
  • 2021 road splits: 2-0 with a 1.98 ERA (36 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.80 WHIP and 11.8 K/BB rate in six starts.

RHP Sonny Gray is on the rubber for the Reds. Gray is 2-4 with a 3.19 ERA (62 IP, 22 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 11.6 K/8 over 12 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-2, with 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 7 K at the Kansas City Royals July 7.
  • Gray is 0-0 against Milwaukee this season with a 3.00 ERA (9 IP, 3 ER), 7 H, 4 BB and 13 K in two starts.
    • vs. Brewers on the current roster: 159 at-bats with a .245/.333/.711 slash line, 53/20 K/BB, 4 HR and 20 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Brewers at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:52 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Reds +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (+120) | Reds +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Brewers 6, Reds 3

Money line (ML)

The play is to BET 1 unit on the BREWERS (-140) since they have an overwhelming edge in pitching and the Brew Crew are 6-2 vs. the Reds this season in Cincy.

Gray has pitched well for the Reds this season, but Burnes has Cy Young-caliber stuff and could be flying slightly under the radar since he’s just 4-4 on the season.

Burnes grades in the 95th percentile or better in hard-hit rate, exit velocity, expected wOBA, expected slugging percentage, K%, BB%, barrel rate and chase rate.

Also, there’s an ocean-sized gulf between these two bullpens. Milwaukee’s relievers rank in the top 10 of K-BB%, xFIP and ERA while Cincy’s bullpen is in the bottom 10 in each of those categories and has the second-highest home run per nine-inning rate.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the BREWERS -1.5 (+120) for a one-third unit if at all because I much prefer Milwaukee’s money line.

However, the Brewers have the second-highest cover rate on the road this season (29-17 ATS), the Reds are 3-7 ATS as home underdogs and five of Milwaukee’s six wins in Cincy this season have been by at least three runs.

My hesitancy on betting Milwaukee’s run line in this spot is Gray is having a solid season and his pitching peripherals vs. this Brewers lineup look pretty good, so we might need the Brewers to cover the spread in the late innings against Cincy’s horrible bullpen.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Over 8 (-105) because despite how dominant Burnes has looked at times this season, Milwaukee is still 7-6 O/U in games he starts and the Under is 3-0-1 in the past four Brewers-Reds meetings in Cincy.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]