LOOK: Bills fans welcome team home at airport post-Cowboys

After the Bills topped the Cowboys in front of the nation, some fans went the extra mile to show how thankful they were feeling on Thanksgiving.

After the Bills topped the Cowboys in front of the nation, some fans went the extra mile to show how thankful they were feeling on Thanksgiving.

Some reports say nearly 200 fans were at Buffalo-Niagara International Airport when the team exited their plane around 1 a.m. to welcome the players home last night.

Check out the scenes:

[lawrence-related id=49971,49917,49884,49899]

Post-Cowboys win, Bills playoff chances near 100 percent

Buffalo Bills playoff odds following win over Cowboys.

The Bills’ win over the Dallas Cowboys on Thanksgiving was a big win.

Of course, it was on the national stage. That’s big.

But in regard to the team’s playoff chances, it was massive as well.

According to the folks at FiveThirtyEight, the Bills have a 94 percent chance of making the playoffs now that the team has a 9-3 record. The analytics outlet gives only the Chiefs, Patriots and Chiefs better odds to make the playoffs in the AFC.

But FiveThirtyEight isn’t alone in their big percentages. ESPN and the New York Times playoff machine also have the Bills with an above 90 percent chance of making the playoffs. ESPN and the New York Times current give the Bills a 96 and 93 percent odds at making the postseason, respectively.

 

 

So we’re telling you, there’s very much a chance.

[lawrence-related id=49917,49884,49899,49885]

Report card: Bills top Cowboys, 26-15

The Buffalo Bills played lights out against Dallas on Thanksgiving to move to 9-3 on the season.

“Well, well, well…” is what BillsMafia is saying to the collective national media, who counted out the Buffalo Bills on their Thanksgiving clash with the Dallas Cowboys, 26-15.

On the national stage, the Bills had their pie and ate it too. The Bills played their most complete game of the season in Dallas showing off to the nation what many in Western New York already knew. The Bills are legitimate playoff contenders.

With that, here’s how the positional groups graded in the Bills’ Week 13 win on Thanksgiving:

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen. Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Quarterback: A

Josh Allen played like a true franchise quarterback on Thursday, using both his legs and arm to make plays down the field. Allen showed that he can beat a team with his arm, he can improvise in the pocket, and turn a seemingly dead play into something positive. This is something Bills fans have seen all season, but never against a quality opponent on this big of a stage.

Allen completed 79 percent of his passes on 19-for-24 passing with 231 yards, and one passing touchdown. Allen also used his legs to rush for 43 yards and the game sealing touchdown in the third quarter.

He also showed improved decision making and better ball placement and he was making it easy for his receivers to make big plays. This type of game is something the Bills franchise has been looking for since the days of Jim Kelly.

What we learned from Bills’ Turkey Day win over the Cowboys

What we learned, Buffalo Bills vs. Dallas Cowboys, NFL Week 13

The Buffalo Bills and their fans couldn’t have imagined a better Thanksgiving Day if they tried. The Bills went down to Dallas and had a Thanksgiving feast in front of the entire nation in a statement win that will have the rest of the league taking notice.

It was a Turkey Day that won’t soon be forgotten in Buffalo as the Bills grabbed the spotlight on the national stage and announced they’ve arrived with a 26-15 victory over a reeling Cowboys team. The final score actually makes this game appear a bit closer than it actually was. Between an opening Cowboys’ touchdown drive and a Dallas garbage-time touchdown, the Bills dominated this game.

Buffalo got two huge takeaways from its defense in the first half to help stem the tide after a slow start. Josh Allen enjoyed his most efficient passing day of the season (19-for-24 passing, 231 yards) and tossed a touchdown to former Cowboy Cole Beasley. The Bills also pulled off an all-time memorable play when John Brown threw a pass off a reverse for a touchdown to Devin Singletary.

Allen scored his eighth rushing touchdown of the season in the third quarter and the Bills squeezed the life out of Dallas from there. The Bills enjoyed themselves in the Lone Star State as Allen and Tre’Davious White got to enjoy a bite of turkey leg from CBS’ Tracy Wolfson after the game and the team carried Beasley around in the locker room in celebration of his big return to AT&T Stadium.

Thursday’s game was as memorable and enjoyable a win as the Bills have had in a very long time. In the short term, the Bills improve to 9-3 and get 10 days to prepare for a huge showdown with Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens. In the big picture, the Bills are now almost certain to find themselves playing in January as they are on the cusp of their second playoff appearance in three seasons.

Here are four things we learned from a joyous, unforgettable Thanksgiving evening in Dallas:

PODCAST: Bills shine in the National Spotlight; are they prepared for Baltimore?

The Buffalo Bills won big on Thanksgiving, landing their first “statement win”, against the Dallas Cowboys with the world watching. Buffalo, for the last 20 years, has been a team that collapsed when the national spotlight was placed on them, but …

The Buffalo Bills won big on Thanksgiving, landing their first “statement win”, against the Dallas Cowboys with the world watching. Buffalo, for the last 20 years, has been a team that collapsed when the national spotlight was placed on them, but this was different.

The Bills delivered in a big way, and embarrassing the Cowboys, in their home stadium, and in a game that they have played in every year, since the 1960’s. I’ll admit, that it was strange to watch the Bills in a scenario like this, and a player in a Bills jersey eating a turkey leg to close out the game.

The offense fired on all cylinders, with Josh Allen moving the ball efficiently, by air, connecting with Cole Beasley, who was out for revenge against his former team. Devin Singletary caught a touchdown pass himself, as well as dominating on the ground. Allen looked like the franchise quarterback that Buffalo has long awaited, for the first time. It was certainly a defining game.

The Bills defense handled itself well. Giving up touchdowns to Dallas on their first and last possessions only, they did well, disrupting the number one ranked offense in the NFL. Dak Prescott, in an important contract situation this season, turned the ball over several times. He had defenders in his face all night, and even Ezekiel Elliott couldn’t get anything going.

Buffalo looked good when the lights shined bright, but what lays in front of them is another challenge, in the form of the red hot Baltimore Ravens. It’s hard to not try and enjoy this win against Dallas on a special occasion. With 10 days to prepare for the offensive onslaught that Lamar Jackson has brought against the best of the NFL, there is a lot more work that has to be done before the real celebrating can commence.

Billswire Podcast host Matt Johnson explores the win and outlook towards Baltimore in Week 13:

 

Subscribe

 

Beasley’s Revenge: Former Cowboys WR stars in biggest impact plays of Week 13

A look at the Cowboys’ 26-15 loss at home against the Bills, through the lens of EPA and Win Probability metrics from nflscrapR.

The Dallas Cowboys 26-15 loss against the Buffalo Bills was not the worst Thanksgiving defeat in NFL history. That belongs to the Detroit Lions, who lost 47-10 against the Tennessee Titans in 2008. However, the Cowboys’ loss on Thursday seems surreal for a team that seemingly has all the tools be one of the best in the league. The Bills played a sound football game but they benefited from some careless turnovers from the Cowboys. On top of that, head coach Jason Garrett’s unwavering trust in kicker Brett Maher has continued to hurt the team.

It was a stunning loss for the Cowboys. After a score on their opening drive their offense was non-existent. On defense they had no answers for the dynamic duo of quarterback Josh Allen and wide receiver Cole Beasley. When looking at the biggest plays in the game, this couldn’t be more apparent.

Here is a look using Expected Points Added (EPA) and Win Probability (WP) models from nflscrapR. EPA measure the value of a play based on down, distance to first downs and field position.

No. 1 Dak Prescott pass short right to Jason Witten for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN

EPA: 2.1                DAL WP Shift: 64% -> 71%

The game started out well for the Cowboys. On their opening possession they drove the ball downfield picking up 62 scrimmage yards and an additional 13 yards on penalties. The drive elapsed nine plays, but the team managed to pick up six first downs. The end result was a touchdown from quarterback Dak Prescott to Jason Witten on a well executed play-action pass.

[protected-iframe id=”895b4f19ecc96c16e73004f589962682-105974723-50443307″ info=”https://gamestream.sportradar.com/embed/0cd01d4c-0452-4e52-aa15-cc6f4cbdd220?auto=false” frameborder=”0″ style=”width: 700px; height: 545px” scrolling=”no”]

The score gave the Cowboys the early lead at 7-0, but it would be the last time they scored while the game remained competitive. Things only got worse from here.


No. 2 Josh Allen pass deep right to Cole Beasley for 29 yards

EPA: 4.2                DAL WP Shift: 81% -> 69%

After a successful special teams play from the Cowboys, the Bills were pinned back in their own territory with abysmal field position. They began the drive at their own 2-yard line. In spite of the circumstances, the Bills made the most of the situation. Their biggest play of the drive came on an improbable pass from Allen to Beasley.

Allen was able to generate one of the biggest plays of the game thanks to some allusive movement in the pocket to avoid DeMarcus Lawrence off the edge. He delivered an accurate pass to Beasley and the play garnered 29 yards in total.

[protected-iframe id=”148a7f2a12d1da2d27de07b7fa245968-105974723-50443307″ info=”https://gamestream.sportradar.com/embed/9252746d-dc7d-49ad-b15f-74e917edb027?auto=false” frameborder=”0″ style=”width: 700px; height: 545px” scrolling=”no”]

The Bills were ultimately forced into punting the ball on the drive, but the play was a sign of things to come.


No. 3 Allen pass short right to Beasley for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN

EPA: 2.9                DAL WP Shift: 60% -> 53%

The Bills found the end zone on their third possession. They orchestrated their biggest drive of the game, gaining 85 yards and five first downs on nine plays. The drive was capped with a 25-yard touchdown from Allen to Beasley. It was a seamless play for the Bills as Beasley found the void in the Cowboys’ soft zone defense with relative ease.

[protected-iframe id=”6882243dedc86d7df7b4a920d406d90b-105974723-50443307″ info=”https://gamestream.sportradar.com/embed/e1107f85-442b-4c9c-af95-144241f2555a?auto=false” frameborder=”0″ style=”width: 700px; height: 545px” scrolling=”no”]


No. 4 Prescott pass short left intended for Tony Pollard, INTERCEPTED

EPA: -4.9              DAL WP Shift: 55% -> 40%

Beginning their fourth drive of the game, the Cowboys’ WP odds stood at 53%. The game was tied late in the second quarter and both teams managed to avoid some costly mistakes to this point. However, it was the Cowboys that would commit the first turnover of the game. The play was a designed screen pass with Pollard being the intended target.

The pass might have reached Pollard, but Prescott was backpedaling and got hit by linebacker Matt Milano at the time of his release.  Following the interception, the Cowboys’ WP was 40%.

[protected-iframe id=”64244f5544050252e433e1ed3852d8f5-105974723-50443307″ info=”https://gamestream.sportradar.com/embed/4151a0a9-ceee-462f-9635-831d401962c2?auto=false” frameborder=”0″ style=”width: 700px; height: 545px” scrolling=”no”]


No. 5 Prescott sacked for a 9-yard loss, FUMBLE

EPA: -5.2              DAL WP Shift: 58% -> 43%

After turning the ball over the Cowboys’ defense was able to absorb the blow. They held the Bills to minus-3 yards on the ensuing drive. The Bills settled for a 50-yard field goal attempt from kicker Steven Hauschka, but it was no good.

The Cowboys could breathe easy knowing their costly turnover didn’t result in any points scored. Unfortunately, the relief was short lived. Their next drive only lasted three plays and ended with a forced fumble from rookie defensive tackle Ed Oliver.

Prescott appeared to be locked in with Michael Gallup running an in breaking route on the right, but the play was slow to develop.


No. 6 John Brown pass deep right to Devin Singletary for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN

EPA: 3.7                DAL WP Shift: 42% -> 26%

The forced turnover from Prescott was the biggest play of the game for the Bills. They were gifted with possession at the Cowboys’ 39-yard line. Later in the drive they flexed their creativity on a play that would give them a 14-7 lead. The Bills reached into their bag of tricks with a double reverse pass play with wide receiver John Brown throwing to a wide open Singletary along the sideline.

[protected-iframe id=”113c57d1fe492ffe4b8c11888380ac39-105974723-50443307″ info=”https://gamestream.sportradar.com/embed/ea2e0430-c137-4469-8df9-0d7755ff4e1b?auto=false” frameborder=”0″ style=”width: 700px; height: 545px” scrolling=”no”]

After the score, the Cowboys’ WP dropped to 26%. From this point on, the Cowboys failed to get a hold on the game. The Bills never relented their lead and despite their defense giving up a touchdown late in the game, it was never really a close contest.


[vertical-gallery id=635041][lawrence-newsletter]

Giants will play a meaningful December game thanks to Bills

The New York Giants will play a meaningful December game after all as they remain mathematically alive in the NFC East.

The New York Giants set an all-time franchise mark for futility by not winning a single game in either October or November, but that will not prevent them from playing a meaningful December game thanks to the Buffalo Bills.

By defeating the Dallas Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day, the Bills staved off the Giants’ playoff elimination for at least a few more days, allowing Big Blue to enter Sunday’s game against the Green Bay Packers knowing they are still fighting for something.

The Giants had been eliminated from wildcard contention a week ago with a loss to the Chicago Bears, but consecutive losses by the Cowboys have kept New York in the running for the NFC Least East.

Technically, the Giants could still win the NFC East at 7-9 if they were to win out, the Cowboys were to lose out and the Philadelphia Eagles defeat only Dallas down the stretch.

Any other combinations of events and the Giants will find themselves eliminated.

No one realistically expects that scenario to play out, but mathematically, it’s still entirely possible. However, any remaining hopes will likely come crumbling down on Sunday when Aaron Rodgers gets to tee off on that horrid Giants secondary.

[lawrence-related id=633772,633778,633758]

At 9-3, the Bills are ready for some respect

Following their biggest win in recent history, the Bills feel it’s time people take notice.

Entering Thursday’s Thanksgiving showdown vs. the Dallas Cowboys, the Bills were not receiving any respect.

Despite being 8-3, the Bills were 7.5-point underdogs to start the week against the 6-5 Cowboys, and the talk was mainly surrounding their weak schedule and unimpressive wins vs. bad teams.

Following their 26-15 win on the national stage, that saw the Bills improve to 9-3 for the first time since 1996, several players on the Bills felt it was time people start paying them their due.

As the clock wound down on one of the biggest wins in recent Bills history, defensive end Shaq Lawson had plenty to say on the sideline.

“Bills back. If we don’t got y’all respect now, we got this [expletive] for real,” Lawson said.

“They gonna respect Bills Mafia.”

Lawson wasn’t alone. As the team made it’s way down the tunnel towards the locker room, following the victory, passion was oozing out of the players.

“You don’t like us, but we’re winning!” Jerry Hughes shouted.

Jon Feliciano directly behind him added, “are not you entertained?!”

While being the underdog provides a certain ‘chip on your shoulder’ that drives players, at some point everyone wants acknowledgment for their hard work and success.

“The film spoke for itself today,” Bills defensive tackle Jordan Phillips told reporters. “We came out and did our thing. Showed the world what we got. Put the world on notice. We were the worst 8-3 team in the NFL, now hopefully we get a little respect. We’ll see how that goes.”

Bills safety Jordan Poyer was asked if this win can be classified as a statement win for Buffalo.

“I believe so,” Poyer said at his locker. “The world believed that we couldn’t come in here and do what we did today and you know, we showed what we could do. Everybody doubting us. Everybody, but the people in this locker room, believing that we couldn’t win… but the guys in this locker room, the coaches in this locker room, the organization, we believed that we were going to come in here and win and it showed today. ”

While many players and coaches on the Bills are often tight lipped regarding their feelings towards being disrespected by those outside the organization, Thanksgiving felt different.

Many of the players on the team shared pictures to their Instagram accounts of network analysts picking the Cowboys to win, adding fuel to the growing sense of being disrespected.

In many ways Week 13 felt personal. Perhaps it was being on national TV,  it being Thanksgiving, or just the fact that after 12 games the Bills have the third-best record in the conference and have no control over who they face on their schedule. All they can control is beating the teams they face.

Next up, the Bills get to take on the hottest team in the NFL, in the Baltimore Ravens. If they find a way to get that win, then absolutely no one will be denying the Bills the respect that they feel they deserve.

[lawrence-related id=49842,49874,49795]

Winners and Losers from Cowboys dry, gravy-less Turkey Day performance

The Dallas Cowboys had the family gathered around the table for Thanksgiving and had the audacity to trot out a bird that was simultaneously undercooked and dried out. Their normally potent offense sputtered for the second week in a row, and this …

The Dallas Cowboys had the family gathered around the table for Thanksgiving and had the audacity to trot out a bird that was simultaneously undercooked and dried out. Their normally potent offense sputtered for the second week in a row, and this time without the elements to blame. The defense gave up scoring opportunities to the Buffalo Bills on six straight drives (five cashed in with one missed field goal).

The special teams dropped the sweet potato too, leaving points on the board. In the end, Cowboys Nation had little to be thankful for as Dallas fell to the Buffalo Bills 26-15 to fall to 6-6 on the season. There were a few, not many, but a few bright spots mixed in with some head-scratching performances.

Winner – Ezekiel Elliott

Whatever that offensive offensive display was on Thursday where the team marched up and down the field only to turn the ball over, miss the field goal or lose possession on downs, it certainly wasn’t Elliott’s fault. It looked like the breakout game everyone was waiting for out of Elliott with a a 10, 20 and 30-yard gain in the first quarter.

But after having 10 carries in the first half, Elliott saw just two of them in the second and finished with just 71 yards on the ground with another 66 on six catches. 137 yards is a really good day, but it appeared Elliott could have reached 200 if the team committed to him.

Loser – Dak Prescott

Prescott had one of his worst days of the season, throwing an ill-advised screen pass that was intercepted by a lineman, having another pick canceled by a questionable defensive penalty and having multiple other passes tipped. He was also strip sacked multiple times as the clock in his head – the thing he usually has great control over – failed him. He was holding the ball entirely too long and paid for it. With Prescott struggling, it’s a major question why the play caller didn’t look to the other possible solution to get the game back on track as it was slipping away.

Loser – Whoever booked this act

What was this? One of the worst halftime performances of recent memory.

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Winner – Amari Cooper

Right on schedule, Cooper had a good day in front of the home crowd, catching 8 of 11 passes for 87 yards, though he was held out of the end zone for the third straight game. Earlier in the week Cowboys Wire studied the numbers and discovered a gamut between Cooper’s home and road performances and saw that it stretches across his entire career. If Dallas is going to pay him big money in the near future, he’ll have to continue having days like Thursday, and figure out how to convert that to when he has to get on an airplane.

Loser – Amari Cooper

Guess who has to get an x-ray on his knee Friday after going down in the second half?

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Loser – Brett Maher

Maher misssed another two field goals, dropping his rate under 68% on the season. He struggled last year, but made some awe-inspiring long kicks that kept him around. He started decent this year from short range, but the guy has never been a consistent kicker and it’s befuddling how Dallas continues to trot him out there without any competition.

Winner – Michael Bennett

Bennett finished with five tackles but didn’t get to touch the quarterback, so how is he a winner? Apparently, the player who was digging into his teammates to the point that Dallas closed the media from the locker room was Bennett, a guy who’s only been with the team for about a month now.

It’s presumptuous to say the team quit, but certainly there were a bunch of guys looking disinterested and Bennett apparently was imploring the team not to go down that road. He’s hinted that he’s considering retiring at the end of the year and one cannot be mad at him for joining a team with this much talent that looks this miserable right now.

Loser – Jerry Jones

All of this is on him.

He spoke at length with the media after the game and basically begged Jason Garrett to figure out a way so Jones doesn’t have to fire him after the season.

[vertical-gallery id=635041][lawrence-newsletter]

In front of national audience, Bills prove they’re for real

The Buffalo Bills proved their legitimacy in their Thanksgiving Day win over the Dallas Cowboys.

As fans of the Buffalo Bills moved their Thanksgiving gatherings from their kitchens to their living rooms early Thursday evening, winning football is not something that many expected to watch.

The Bills certainly had a chance to upset the favored Dallas Cowboys – they entered the game with an 8-3 record, after all – but Buffalo fans had seen this movie before. They knew the ending.

The game served as an opportunity for the Bills to show the nation their legitimacy, a chance for Josh Allen to silence his doubters and lead his so-called ‘overrated’ bunch to a victory over a respected opponent in front of a national audience.

And thus, a win seemed unlikely. For decades, ‘Buffalo Bills football’ and ‘disappointment’ have been near-synonyms. Though this year’s Buffalo team has proven that it bears little resemblance to those of years past, many expected the team to regress to its seemingly innate organizational ways, laying an egg in a matchup that could’ve shifted national perspective.

The Bills did ultimately shift national perspective in its Thanksgiving meeting with the Cowboys, but not because the team struggled against a perceived superior opponent.

They showed the world that their record is not a fluke – that they’re a well-constructed, well-coached, well-oiled machine that will give any team a run for its money regardless of the spread, analyst predictions, or other outside noise.

Buffalo dominated its Week 13 meeting with Dallas, leaving AT&T Stadium with a 26-15 win and a 9-3 record, its best since the 1996 season. Though a quick look at the stats would suggest that the Cowboys hung around until the final whistle, the flow of the game never fell in Dallas’ favor.

Though the Cowboys finished the game with more yardage than the Bills, it never felt as though the team had a chance to win after Buffalo took its lead in the second quarter.

The Bills controlled the tempo of the game with stout defensive play and long, methodical scoring drives that, more often than not, resulted in a score or poor starting field position for Dallas.

Buffalo consistently spurned the Cowboys’ offensive efforts and played well with the ball in its possession, leaving Dallas fans in Arlington stunned, agitated, and disheartened.

The game perhaps saw the Bills’ most complete performance of the season, a microcosm of what head coach Sean McDermott and general manager Brandon Beane are trying to build. Its strong play across both lines was complemented by an overall solid defense and an offense that moved the ball with a deliberateness and efficiency the unit has yet to showcase this season.

The offensive emergence stemmed from the play of quarterback Josh Allen, who took a bite out of the Cowboys’ defense like he took a bite out of a turkey leg in his post-game interview. It was the best game of the second-year passer’s career – he was quick with his decision-making, his passes were accurate, and he used his much-touted athleticism to create magic out of plays that appeared to be dead on arrival.

Allen finished the game with a career-high 79% completion percentage, passing for 231 yards and tallying two total touchdowns. In front of a national audience that has doubted him throughout much of his professional career, Allen muted his critics, showing that he’s an already capable quarterback with a ceiling that could eventually place him among the league’s elite signal-callers.

Allen played with intensity and intelligence, matching that with emotion that impressed many watching the sophomore for the first time. A second-quarter fourth-and-one scenario saw the 23-year-old drop the snap before picking the ball up and gaining the necessary yardage on his third effort.

That emotion is perhaps what makes this year’s Buffalo team different than others, what sets it apart from the team’s disappointing past. It’s clear that the Bills’ quality coaching staff has created a family-like culture, one that encourages players to leave everything on the field for their teammates each and every week.

Though Buffalo entered its Week 13 matchup with an 8-3 record, the strength of the team was rightfully questioned. The Bills had not beaten any team of any real quality and had lost the games against the three competent opponents it had played, nearly dropping games to less than stellar opposition along the way, as well.

But its 8-3 record still stood. Against Dallas, Buffalo had the opportunity to show its doubters that its winning record was not a fluke, that it could win a game it was not supposed to.

And it did just that with a commanding victory that helped make its postseason dreams a bit more of a reality.

Now at 9-3 on the season, the playoffs appear to be a realistic destination for the Bills. One win in its remaining four contests would likely secure a spot for Buffalo, and given what the team showed against Dallas, a 10-6 record now looks to be the absolute worst-case scenario.

On a day in which families gather to share what they’re thankful for. the Bills gave their passionate fan base a performance they can be proud of. It’s an unusual feeling, Buffalo, but it’s one you can relish in – this year’s Bills are for real.

[lawrence-related id=49874,49864,49795]