Tag: Boston Red Sox betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (23-24) and Boston Red Sox (29-19) will open a brief two-game series Tuesday night at Fenway Park, with the first pitch coming at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Charlie Morton is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 2-2 with a 4.60 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 45 IP over 9 starts.

In his last outing Morton pitched six innings of one-run ball against the Mets, allowing just two hits and striking out eight, but didn’t factor into the decision. He’s 0-1 in his last three starts and has a 6-1 career record against the Red Sox with an ERA of 4.01.

RHP Garrett Richards is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. He is 4-2 with a 3.72 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 and 4.1 BB/9 in 48 1/3 IP over 9 starts.

Richards has allowed two or fewer runs in four of his last five starts and is 4-0 in that stretch. He’s only made one career start against the Braves, going six innings and allowing no runs with 10 strikeouts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (+135) | Red Sox +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Braves 6, Red Sox 4

Money line (ML)

Both the Braves and Red Sox have been playing well lately, each winning four of their last five games. The Braves took three of four from the Pirates, outscoring Pittsburgh 33-3 in the final three games of the series. Their offense has been led by OF Ronald Acuna Jr., while the pitching staff more or less slowed down the Pirates and Mets.

I like the BRAVES (-115) to win this one outright on the road and extend their winning streak to four games.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Braves easily covered the spread in their last three games with three huge wins, but they’re only 18-29 against the spread this season. Boston, on the other hand, is 26-22 ATS, though only 5-5 in its last 10 games.

I wouldn’t wager much on the Braves to cover the spread, but a slight lean to ATLANTA -1.5 (+135).

Over/Under (O/U)

In the Red Sox’s last five games, the total has gone Over four times. Despite scoring just six runs in their last two games, Boston has one of the most potent lineups in baseball, as do the Braves.

With the power that both teams possess, I like the OVER 9.5 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Boston Red Sox at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Boston Red Sox at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (27-18) and the Philadelphia Phillies (22-22) meet for the first time this season Friday in the opener of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

2020 series: Tied 2-2

The Red Sox just took the final 2 games of a 3-game series at the Toronto Blue Jays in Dunedin, Fla., Thursday. They scored three ninth-inning runs, capped by DH J.D. Martinez’s 2-run, go-ahead homer for an 8-7 victory.

Philly dropped the final 2 games of 3 to the visiting Miami Marlins, managing just 3 hits in a 6-0 loss Thursday.

LHP Martin Perez is projected to start for the Red Sox Friday. The 10-year veteran is 1-2 with a 3.40 ERA (39 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 in 8 starts this season.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 9-0 home victory vs. Los Angeles Angels Saturday
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-0, 3.98 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.48 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance

RHP Aaron Nola is Philadelphia’s projected starter. The seven-year vet is 3-3 with a 3.64 ERA (54 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 and 1.5 BB/9 in 9 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 4-0 shutout by Toronto in Dunedin Saturday
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 1-0, 1.64 ERA (22 IP, 4 ER), 0.77 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 3 starts

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Red Sox at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Phillies -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox +1.5 (-150) | Phillies -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Phillies 4

Money line (ML)

BOSTON (+135) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. There’s decent value at +135 for the AL East’s first-place team, which is 5-2 in its last seven games and owns MLB’s best road record at 14-6.

Sure, Nola is good, but Perez has been holding his own lately. The Red Sox southpaw has a 1.61 ERA (22 IP 1/3, 4 ER) across his last four starts. Nola’s ERA in his last 4 outings is an unimpressive 4.76 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 12 ER), and Philly is 1-4 in its last 5 games and 4-7 in its last 11.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Back the RED SOX +1.5 (-150) to win a HALF UNIT. Boston is 14-6 ATS on the road, while Philadelphia is 10-12 ATS at home.

ATS records: Red Sox 26-19 | Phillies 21-23

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS. The lean would be to the Over 8.5 (-110), but I’m avoiding because Philly is on a 2-8 O/U run and the Under is 5-4 in Nola’s starts and 5-3 in Perez’s starts.

O/U records: Boston 21-23-1 | Phillies 22-22

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JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 48-47-2 14-17-1 -5.845
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 151-132-3 63-58-1 +7.705
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (23-15) go for a three-game sweep of the Boston Red Sox (22-16) Thursday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Athletics vs. Red Sox with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Athletics 2-0.

LHP Sean Manaea gets the start for the Athletics. Manaea is 3-1 with a 3.07 ERA (41 IP, 14 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 across 7 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 7 1/3 IP with 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and 10 K Friday vs. the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • Career vs. the Red Sox: 3-2 with a 6.84 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.41 WHIP and 7.5 K/9 in 5 starts.
    • Vs. Red Sox on the current roster: 60 at-bats with a .233/.270/.300 slash line, 14/3 K/BB, 1 HR and 6 RBIs.
    • Career at Fenway Park: 1-2 with a 13.14 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 2.43 WHIP and 6.6 K/9 over 3 starts.

RHP Garrett Richards is on the mound for the Red Sox. Richards is 2-2 with a 4.54 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 over 7 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 11-6, in 7 IP with 4 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 5 K at the Baltimore Orioles Saturday.
  • Career vs. the Athletics: 3-4 with a 4.29 ERA (79 2/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.39 WHIP and 7.6 K/9 over 14 starts and 4 relief appearances.
    • Vs. Athletics on the current roster: 139 at-bats with a .245/.289/.353 slash line, 30/7 K/BB, 3 HR and 16 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Athletics at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Red Sox -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+145) | Red Sox +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Athletics 3

Money line (ML)

BET the RED SOX (-110) for 1 unit because of Manaea’s struggles throughout his career against the Boston and the Red Sox hitters’ effectiveness against left-handed pitching.

Boston’s lineup ranks in the top 10 vs. lefties in several advanced hitting categories such as wRC+, wOBA, BB/K and OPS and the Red Sox have an 8-3 record this season when facing left-handed starters.

Furthermore, Manaea’s most used pitch in his arsenal is his sinker and a few dangerous bats in Boston’s lineup hit the sinker well.

The Red Sox’s second (CF Alex Verdugo), third (DH J.D. Martinez) and fifth (3B Rafael Devers) hitter all have a plus-run value and have a .479 or better wOBA vs. the sinker this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the RED SOX -1.5 (+170) ALTERNATE LINE for a one-fifth unit since Manaea has given up 18 earned runs in his three starts at Fenway, this Red Sox lineup hits the sinker well and Boston’s bullpen has looked good so far this season so they can be trusted to hold a lead.

The Red Sox relievers are top 10 in xFIP, SIERA, home runs per nine innings, WAR and K-BB%.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Over because I expect Boston to do damage to Manaea early, which could result in Oakland using fewer effective relievers if the game is deemed as a “lost cause.”

However, neither lineup has been consistent lately and Over bettors might need Boston to carry them to the finish line since Oakland’s lineup has scored more than four runs just once in the past seven games.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (9-22) vs. Boston Red Sox (18-13) match up Thursday at 1:10 p.m. ET at Fenway Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Spencer Turnbull is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. He is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 over 16 IP through 3 starts.

Turnbull got a late start to the season after landing on the COVID-19 list. He performed well in his first two starts, but then served up 4 earned runs in 5 innings against the New York Yankees, with just 1 strikeout and 2 swinging strikes across 94 pitches.

RHP Nathan Eovaldi is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. He is 4-2 with a 3.63 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 and 1.8 BB/9 in 34 2/3 IP over 6 starts.

Eovaldi’s success from last season has carried over, as his swinging strike rate is right in line with last year’s career-best mark. He is also limiting walks again and has yet to allow a home run.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Tigers at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Red Sox -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (-110) | Red Sox -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Tigers 2

Money line (ML)

The Tigers are just 5-13 on the road and have by far the worst run differential in the league at minus-65. Meanwhile, the Red Sox sit atop the American League East and boast the league’s 5th best run differential (plus-23).

Even so, while the Red Sox are likely to win this game, the price is too high to invest much on it. It’s probably best to PASS on the money line.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Turnbull has shown some respectable skills in the early going, but Eovaldi has been even better. The Red Sox are averaging a full two more runs per game than the Tigers (4.97 to 2.97), who rank dead last in the majors in the category.

Look for the RED SOX -1.5 (-110) to cash with a win by 2 or more runs Thursday afternoon.

Over/Under (O/U)

Eovaldi has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in four of his six starts. In this game, he gets a great matchup against a Detroit offense that has struggled to get anything going offensively.

On the other side, the Red Sox have put up more than 6 runs just once in their last 14 tries, and Turnbull should be able to avoid disaster and keep it fairly close. A small play on UNDER 8.5 (-110) looks like the way to go.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (8-22) take on the Boston Red Sox (18-12) in the middle tilt of their three-game set at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Boston jumped out to an early 7-2 lead after the second inning and held on to beat Detroit 11-7 Tuesday. All in all, it was a solid team effort for the BoSox who had 4 home runs as a team.

Season Series: Red Sox lead 1-0.

RHP Casey Mize is on the mound for the Tigers. He is 1-3 with a 5.06 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.39 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 over 5 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss in 6 IP with 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 6 K in Detroit’s 3-1 loss to the Chicago White Sox Thursday.

LHP Martín Pérez gets the start for the Red Sox. He is 0-2 with a 4.70 ERA (23 IP, 12 ER), 1.48 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 across 5 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss in 5 2/3 IP with 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 7 K in Boston’s 4-1 loss at the Texas Rangers Thursday.
  • Career vs. Tigers: 2-4 with a 6.81 ERA (37 IP, 28 ER), 1.54 WHIP and 8.3 K/9 over 7 starts and 1 relief appearance.
    • vs. Tigers on the current roster: 63 at-bats with a .333/.427/.508 slash line and 2 HR.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Tigers at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Red Sox -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (-130) | Red Sox -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Tigers 5, Red Sox 3

Money line (ML)

Detroit is impossibly bad vs. left-handed pitching this season. The Tigers are dead-last in wRC+, wOBA, OPS and home run to fly-ball rate. They are last by a wide margin in each of these categories.

In fact, Detroit almost cannot hit worse against lefties so it’s due for some progression toward the mean. Pérez being on the hill could be the perfect slump buster as this Tigers lineup has raked against Pérez when they’ve faced him.

Mize has been inconsistent so far this season but he was the No. 1 overall pick in the 2018 MLB Amateur Draft and has electric stuff.

“LEAN” to the TIGERS (+150) for a half unit only because there’s better value with Detroit’s run line.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET the TIGERS +1.5 (-130) for three-fourths of a unit for some insurance on our Detroit money line pick.

Detroit’s bullpen is awful and Boston’s is top-10 in several advanced pitching categories. I wouldn’t put it past the Tigers relievers to blow away a strong outing from Mize

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 9 (-105) for a quarter unit because of Detroit’s aforementioned troubles vs. lefties and Boston’s reliable ‘pen.

These teams also have a combined 2-7 O/U record with Wednesday’s two starters on the mound.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (16-9) begin a four-game series with the Texas Rangers (10-15) Thursday at Globe Life Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Martin Perez gets his fifth start for the Red Sox. He is 0-1 with a 5.71 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.67 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 this season. He played for the Rangers for his first seven MLB seasons.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 3 2/3 IP with 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB and 3 K in Boston’s 6-5 victory over the Seattle Mariners Friday.
  • Career vs. Rangers: 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA (11 IP, 6 ER), 1.64 WHIP and 4.1 K/9 in 2 starts.

RHP Kyle Gibson takes the mound for the Rangers Thursday. He is 2-0 with a 2.30 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 5 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 6 IP with 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 5 K in Texas’ 2-1 loss to the Chicago White Sox Saturday.
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 2-4 with a 3.63 ERA (44 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.08 WHIP and 6.6 K/9 across 7 starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Red Sox at Rangers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Rangers +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox -1.5 (+125) | Rangers +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Rangers 4, Red Sox 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the RANGERS (+105) for a half unit only because the Red Sox are 8-1 on the road this season. Texas has the better starter on the rubber and there’s some “reverse line movement”.

After getting tuned up on Opening Day, Gibson has four straight quality starts, including a win over the defending AL champion Tampa Bay Rays.

Also, nearly three-fourths of the money is on the Red Sox’s money line, according to pregame.com; however, bookmakers are making the Boston side cheaper despite the one-sided action.

It’s a red flag when the House makes the more popular side cheaper and it’s generally more profitable to “fade” rather than follow the crowd in sports betting.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Rangers +1.5 (-155) because I like this game to go Under the total since both starting pitchers are off to a solid start and I’d entertain throwing the Texas money line into a parlay with another similarly priced side.

What’s holding me back is that I’m a cheapskate and don’t want to pay the extra vig in betting against a Boston team that has the second-best run line record as a road team since the start of last season.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 9 (-115) for 1 unit since I have faith in both starters.

Perez has a better hard-hit rate and exit velocity than your average MLB starter and the Rangers struggle against left-handed pitching.

Texas has four lefty bats in its lineup and is bottom-5 as a team in wRC+, OPS and wOBA against left-handed pitching.

Also, Gibson has been lights out after his first start this season. Statcast grades Gibson in the 79th percentile of hard-hit rate, 72nd percentile in barrel% and 76th percentile of whiff%.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Boston Red Sox at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (15-9) look to sweep the host New York Mets (9-9) in a two-game series Wednesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Boston took the opener 2-1 as the two clubs met for the first time this season. RHP Garrett Richards held New York to one run over seven innings, while striking out 10, and RHP Matt Andriese and RHP Matt Barnes (5th save) pitched a clean inning apiece.

RHP Nick Pivetta will look to continue Boston’s shut-down pitching as Wednesday’s projected starter. He is 2-0 with a 3.48 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 and 6.1 BB/9 in 4 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 1 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 7-3 home loss to Seattle Mariners Thursday
  • Career vs. Mets: 3-2, 6.08 ERA (37 IP, 25 ER), 1.70 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance – all with Philadelphia Phillies

RHP Jacob deGrom is the Mets’ projected starter. The two-time Cy Young winner is 2-1 with a 0.31 ERA (29 IP, 1 ER), 0.55 WHIP, 15.5 K/9 and 0.9 BB/9 in 4 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 9 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 15 K in 6-0 home shutout of Washington Nationals Friday
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 0-1, 3.32 ERA (19 IP, 7 ER), 0.84 WHIP, 12.3 K/9 in 3 starts
  • 2020 vs. Red Sox: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H 1, BB, 4 K in 6-5 home loss

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Red Sox at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Mets -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox +1.5 (+105) | Mets -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Mets 4, Red Sox 1

Money line (ML)

PASS. While deGrom is a one of the best pitchers in all of baseball, backing the Mets’ -275 money line is not worth the risk.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

NEW YORK -1.5 (-125) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. Don’t worry that this suggestion goes against the trends. If deGrom wasn’t on the hill for the Mets, the Red Sox would be the play as they’re a perfect 8-0 ATS on the road this season.

DeGrom, who is coming of a 15-K, complete-game, 2-hit shutout of the Nationals, shouldn’t have a problem stifling Boston’s bats. Pivetta has pitched well for the BoSox, but he won’t be able to keep pace with the Mets ace.

ATS records: Red Sox 16-8 | Mets 5-13

Over/Under (O/U)

Back the UNDER 7 (-110) to WIN 30% OF 1 UNIT. The main reason is deGrom and his MLB-leading 0.31 ERA. The Under is 2-1-1 in his 4 starts, three of which finished with 7 total runs or fewer.

It also helps that the Mets have struggled at the plate lately. The Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games and 6-2-2 in their last 10.

The reluctance is because the Over has hit in all 4 of Pivetta’s starts.

O/U records: Red Sox 13-11 | Mets 6-10-2

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 30-24-1 8-6-1 +6.0925
2021 (all sports) 133-109-2 57-47-1 +19.6425
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Boston Red Sox at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (14-9) begin a two-game interleague set on the road against the New York Mets (9-8) Tuesday. The first pitch will be thrown at 7:10 p.m. ET at Citi Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Garrett Richards is set for his fifth start of the season for the BoSox. He is 0-2 with a 6.48 ERA, 1.86 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 and 7.0 BB/9.

  • Allowing a career-worst 47.4% hard-hit rate and 91.1 exit velocity.
  • Was roughed up for 4 earned runs on 4 hits and 6 walks in just 4 2/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays last time out.

Mets LHP David Peterson is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 12.2 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 through 3 starts.

  • The second-year starter is allowing more hard contact and fly balls than he did as a rookie in 2020.
  • Struck out 10 with no walks and allowed just 1 earned run on a solo homer in a win over the Philadelphia Phillies April 14 but was touched up for 6 runs (3 earned) in 3 1/3 IP last time out against the Chicago Cubs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Red Sox at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:22 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Mets -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox +1.5 (-160) | Mets -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Mets 5

Money line (ML)

The Red Sox closed as underdogs just seven times through 23 games and won six of those. They’re also a strong 38-15 in their last 53 games in a National League park.

On a game level, the Red Sox have been faring much better against LHP of late after a slow start in the split and own MLB’s sixth-best team OPS against southpaws at .795.

The Mets make hard contact on just 32.2% of balls in play against righties with a fly-ball rate of 29.9% and are ill-equipped to take advantage of Richards’ greatest weaknesses.

Bet RED SOX (+130) to pull the upset.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The RED SOX +1.5 (-160) should also be backed with the run of insurance.

Boston has the edge in the bullpen battle with a 3.29 group ERA to New York’s 4.31 reliever ERA. The Red Sox ‘pen also strands more base runners and is doing a better job of keeping the ball in the park.

Over/Under (O/U)

Bet the OVER 8.5 (-110).

Both starters have been roughed up early this season and the Red Sox offense should provide the bulk of the scoring in the splits.

I also like the 2 or more runs (+230) 1st-inning line. Richards has allowed at least 1 earned run in the first inning in three of his four starts this season and Peterson has struggled in his first pass through the opponent’s batting order over his young career.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @EstenMcLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (7-10) play the second half of a two-game set at Fenway Park against the Boston Red Sox (12-6) Wednesday. First pitch will be thrown at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Trent Thornton (0-0) gets the ball for his first start of 2021 in an expected opener role. The 27-year-old has a 2.35 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 over 7 2/3 innings spanning 5 relief appearances.

RHP Garrett Richard (0-1) owns a 6.00 ERA and 1.75 WHIP with 7.5 K/9 and 5.3 BB/9 over 12 IP and 3 starts. He has been much better with 2 ER across 10 IP over his last 2 outings after getting lit up by the Baltimore Orioles in his first start.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Blue Jays +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Red Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays +1.5 (-175) |  Red Sox -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Red Sox 4

Money line (ML)

The BLUE JAYS (+105) should be backed as short underdogs after dropping Tuesday’s contest 4-2 in Boston. All 4 Red Sox runs came in the fourth inning against ace LHP Hyun-Jin Ryu. Three were delivered on a home run by SS Xander Bogaerts.

Toronto has the best bullpen in baseball with a 2.14 ERA and Thornton has been a big part of that success. He makes his first start of 2021, but he led the Jays in both starts made and innings pitched in 2019.

Boston has the best team OPS in baseball against right-handed pitching at .842 but the Jays’ deep ‘pen held the Sox scoreless Tuesday and can match up well once Thornton comes out of the game.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run line with the greater value lying with the Blue Jays’ money line.

It’s not worth the risk of laying $175 for a $100 profit or $10 for a $5.71 profit for just one run of insurance on Toronto.

Over/Under (O/U)

Back the UNDER 10 (-115).

Tuesday’s run total came in comfortably below a projected line of 8.5 runs. While that was in the weaker side of the batting split for both teams and with No. 1 pitchers on the bump, Wednesday’s projected total is too high based on Richards’ one poor outing this season.

The Toronto offense remains shorthanded with OFs George Springer (quadriceps) and Teoscar Hernandez (COVID-19) still on the shelf. The Jays scored more than 5 runs in just two of their last 10 games.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Esten McLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (7-9) begin a two-game road set against the AL East rival Boston Red Sox (11-6) Tuesday at Fenway Park. The first pitch will be thrown at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Hyun-Jin Ryu will make his fourth start of the season for the Blue Jays. The now 34-year-old finished third in AL Cy Young voting last year and has picked up where he left off. He is 1-1 with a 1.89 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 0.9 BB/9. He has allowed 2 home runs over 19 innings.

LHP Eduardo Rodriguez is set for his third start of 2021 for the Red Sox. He is 2-0 with a 3.60 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 0.9 BB/9 after sitting out the 2020 campaign due to COVID-19. He has allowed 2 homers through 10 innings.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Blue Jays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Red Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays -1.5 (+155) |  Red Sox +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Red Sox 2

Money line (ML)

Ryu oddly didn’t face the Red Sox once in the regionally aligned 2020 campaign, his first with the Blue Jays. The lack of familiarity for the Boston bats will play to the veteran’s advantage. He enters off a win over the New York Yankees in which he struck out 7 with a single walk over 6 2/3 scoreless innings last Tuesday.

While Boston leads baseball with 96 runs scored, Toronto has the edge in the lefty-lefty battle. The teams share a .728 OPS in the split, but the Blue Jays have the better wOBA and wRC+.

Back the BLUE JAYS (-105) as slight road underdogs.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+155) are a better play to win by at least 2 runs. Not only do they have the advantage in the starting pitcher battle, but they lead baseball with a 2.24 bullpen ERA. Even with RHPs Kirby Yates, Julian Merryweather and Jordan Romano all on the injured list, Toronto still has the edge over Boston in the late innings.

Red Sox relievers are walking 4.02 batters per nine innings and have benefited from an unsustainable 3.6% home run-to-fly-ball rate.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 8 (-105) is the more appealing side of the projected total. Both teams are in the middle of the pack on offense in the lefty split.

Expect Ryu to shut down the Boston offense in his first appearance against them in a rival uniform. The Toronto offense remains shorthanded with OFs George Springer (quadriceps) and Teoscar Hernandez (COVID-19) on the injured list.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Esten McLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]