Blue Jays Red Sox odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (62-50) and Boston Red Sox (57-53) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 7-2

The Blue Jays won 5-4 as -101 underdogs in the 2nd game of the series Saturday. Toronto has won 3 of its last 4 contests and is 3rd in the AL East, 7½ games back of the division-leading Baltimore Orioles.

The Red Sox lost on a double play when C Connor Wong flew out to left-center field and C Reese McGuire was doubled up at 2nd base. Boston has lost 3 straight contests and is last in the division, 11½ games behind Baltimore.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Chris Bassitt vs. LHP Brennan Bernardino

Bassitt (10-6, 4.00 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 132 2/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 4-2 home loss vs. Orioles Monday
2023 road stats: 4-4, 5.63 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 39 ER) in 12 starts
Career vs. Red Sox: 1-0, 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 1 start, a 3-2 road win with Oakland Athletics May 11, 2021

Bernardino (1-1, 2.72 ERA) makes his 6th start and 34th appearance. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 36 1/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 1 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 2 K as opener in 4-3 loss in 11 innings at San Francisco Giants last Sunday
2023 home stats: 1-1, 2.75 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 6 ER) in 3 starts and 15 relief appearances
Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-1, 4.91 ERA (3 2/3 IP, 2 ER) in 4 relief appearances – Most recent: Loss, 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 1 K in Saturday’s loss

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:18 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-165) | Red Sox -1.5 (+140)
Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

The Red Sox should avoid the sweep Sunday after dropping 2 straight vs. the Blue Jays. Boston has won 7 of 9 meetings this season vs. Toronto and the Blue Jays have lost in back-to-back games when Bassitt is starting. Toronto is just 10-23 in divisional games this season and it’s unlikely that it will sweep Boston Sunday.

BET RED SOX (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

The Blue Jays are 17-11 on the run line as road underdogs. Toronto +1.5 (-165) should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Boston ML is the better play.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

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Over/Under

The Under has hit in 9 of Toronto’s last 10 games and is 35-21-5 when the Blue Jays are coming off a win.

The Under has also hit in 8 of Boston’s last 11 games and should cash again Sunday in this divisional matchup.

BET UNDER 10 (-105).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (60-50) and Boston Red Sox (57-51) open up a 3-game set Friday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 7-0

The Blue Jays lost 6-1 as -169 home favorites vs. the Baltimore Orioles Thursday. Toronto has lost 4 of its last 5 contests and is 3rd in the AL East, 7½ games back of the division-leading Orioles.

The Red Sox lost 6-3 as +111 underdogs at the Seattle Mariners Wednesday. Boston has also lost 4 of its last 5 contests and is 4th in the division, 9½ games behind Baltimore.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Alek Manoah vs. LHP James Paxton

Manoah (2-8, 5.87 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.79 WHIP, 6.3 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 76 2/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 6-1 home win vs. Los Angeles Angels Saturday
2023 road stats: 2-3, 3.92 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 18 ER) in 8 starts
Career vs. Red Sox: 4-1, 1.71 ERA (42 IP, 8 ER) in 7 starts
2023 vs. Red Sox: 0-1, 5 IP, 5 R (2 ER), 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 1 start, an 8-3 road loss May 3

Paxton (6-2, 3.34 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 70 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 3-2 loss at San Francisco Giants Saturday
2023 home stats: 2-0, 2.25 ERA (28 IP, 7 ER) in 5 starts
Career vs. Blue Jays: 6-3, 3.98 ERA (63 1/3 IP, 28 ER) in 11 starts
2023 vs. Blue Jays: 1-0, 7 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 5-0 road win June 30

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:08 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Red Sox -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-145) | Red Sox -1.5 (+120)
Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 7, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline

Boston (-155) should improve to 8-0 on the season vs. Toronto. However, there’s no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Red Sox should win by multiple runs.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

The Red Sox have beaten the Blue Jays by 5 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 meetings. The Blue Jays’ last 3 losses have been by multiple runs and they are a league-worst 9-22 on the run line in divisional matchups. Add a struggling Manoah to the mix and this game could get out of hand very quickly for Toronto.

BET RED SOX -1.5 (+120).

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Over/Under

The Under has hit in 7 of the Blue Jays’ last 8 games and they’re averaging just 2.67 runs over their last 3. While Manoah is having the worst season of his career, he has given up 4 or more earned runs in just 1 of his last 4 starts.

Paxton has been reliable this year, allowing 3 or fewer earned runs in 11 of 13 starts, and should help the Under hit Friday at Fenway Park.

BET UNDER 10.5 (-110).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (18-13) and Boston Red Sox (18-14) play the finale of a 4-game set at Fenway Park Thursday. First pitch is at 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 3-0

The Jays have lost 4 in a row after having their 6-game winning streak snapped. The Red Sox have beaten them 6-5, 7-6 and 8-3. Toronto was sloppy Wednesday, committing 4 errors and allowing 3 unearned runs to cross the plate. They are now 7 games back of Tampa in the division.

The Red Sox have won 5 straight and are 7-3 over the last 10. They have pulled within a half-game of Toronto for 3rd place in the NL East. C Connor Wong is hitting .588 (10-for-17) with 3 HRs, 2 doubles and 4 RBIs over the last 7 days.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Brayan Bello

Gausman (2-2, 2.33 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 12.6 K/9 in 38 2/3 IP.

Last start Saturday against Seattle Mariners: 7 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 13 K
Has at least 11 K in 3 of last 4 starts
Last 5 GS vs. Red Sox: 2-0, 3.12 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 39 K in 26 IP

Bello (0-1, 6.57 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.87 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 12 1/3 IP.

Last start Saturday against Cleveland Guardians: 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K
3 career GS vs. Toronto: 0-2, 7.62 ERA, 2.31 WHIP and 13 K in 13 IP

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:14 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Red Sox +145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (-105) | Red Sox +1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

The Blue Jays are trying to avoid a sweep and have their best pitcher on the hill. Gausman has been great against Boston, and Bello has not fared well against Toronto. So the books have stacked the deck in their favor. It’s not totally out of bounds to take a -175 ML, but I’d rather inherit some minor risk in a parlay.

Take the BLUE JAYS ML + KEVIN GAUSMAN 5 K’s (-105). Gausman has 5+ K’s in each start this year and in 4 of his last 5 against Boston.

Run line/Against the spread

You’re going to pay for either side of the RL here. The Jays are 15-16 on the RL (9-10 road), and Boston is 18-14 (10-9 home). The first 2 games of the series were 1-run games.

It’s best to stay away here. PASS.

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Over/Under

It’s a chilly 47 degrees with an 8-mph breeze coming in from left-center field. That leans to the Under, but there are considerable Over trends. The Over is 7-0 in the Red Sox’s last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Over is 4-0 in the Blue Jays’ last 4 games. The Over is 4-0 in Bello’s last 4 starts and 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between the teams in Boston. The Over is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings overall.

I’ll take the OVER 8.5 (-105).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (18-11) continue their 9-game road trip with the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox (16-14). First pitch Tuesday at Fenway Park is at 7:10 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 1-0

In the series opener Monday, OF Alex Verdugo homered in the bottom of the 9th inning to give the Red Sox a walk-off 6-5 win. It was Boston’s 3rd win in a row.

The Blue Jays lost for the 2nd straight game after winning 6 consecutive games. Toronto has gone 5-5 in its last 10 road games.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Tanner Houck

Kikuchi (4-0, 3.00 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 27 IP.

Has allowed 1 or 0 R in 4 of 5 starts this season
Has ERA of 1.02 over last 3 outings

Houck (3-1, 4.50 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 26 IP.

In 1st 4 starts, he had average of 9.75 runs of support, with at least 5 runs scored for him each game
Allowed 3 ER or more in 3 of 5 starts

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:34 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Red Sox +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+110) | Red Sox +1.5 (-135)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Red Sox 2

Moneyline

Boston has scored often in Houck’s starts. Before a 6-2 loss in his last outing, they won the previous 4 outings, averaging 9.75 runs per game. However, in 4 of Kikuchi’s starts this season, Toronto’s opponents have not scored more than 2 runs. And the Blue Jays are 5-0 in his starts.

After losing the opener, Toronto should bounce back for a W on Tuesday, but I like the odds on the run line more than the moneyline.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Twelve of the Blue Jays’ 18 wins this season have been by 2 or more runs. Four of Kikuchi’s 5 starts have been wins by at least 2 runs. Eight of the Red Sox’ 14 losses have been by 2 or more runs.

BET BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+110).

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Over/Under

Each of Boston’s last 4 losses has had 9 or fewer total runs while 4 of Kikuchi’s starts have had 8 or fewer runs. Also, the last 11 wins for Toronto have had 9 or fewer runs.

BET UNDER 9.5 (+100).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (18-10) kick off a 9-game road trip on Monday beginning with the first of 4 games against the Boston Red Sox (15-14). Monday’s first pitch is 7 p.m. ET at Fenway Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023.

The Blue Jays lost 10-8 in 10 innings to the Seattle Mariners Sunday, snapping a 6-game win streak. Toronto gave up just 5 total runs during that 6-game span.

The Red Sox took 2 of 3 games at home against the Cleveland Guardians over the weekend, closing out the series with a 7-1 win Sunday. Boston is 6-4 in its last 10 games.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Corey Kluber

Berrios (2-3, 4.71 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 28 2/3 IP.

Has allowed only 3 ER across 19 IP over his last 3 starts
1-5 with a 3.77 ERA in 10 career starts vs. Boston

Kluber (1-4, 6.75 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 24 IP.

Recorded his first victory last time out, tossing 6 innings with 1 ER on 5 H with 0 BB and 3 K at the Baltimore Orioles Tuesday
2-5 with a 5.07 ERA in 11 career starts vs. Toronto

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+105) | Red Sox +1.5 (-130)
Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Red Sox 2

Moneyline

The Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 games. Toronto has only had multi-game losing skids twice this season.

The Red Sox have allowed 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 8 games, while Toronto had only allowed 5 total runs over a 6-game span prior to Sunday’s loss.

I like Toronto for the win but you get better odds on the run line.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Twelve of the Blue Jays’ 18 wins this season have been by 2 or more runs.

Eight of the Red Sox’ 14 losses have been by 2 or more runs.

BET BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+105).

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Over/Under

The Blue Jays allowed only 5 total runs over their 6-game win streak and Berrios has allowed only 3 runs over his last 3 starts.

Kluber had his best outing in his last start but allowed 4 or more runs in 3 of his previous 4 outings.

BET UNDER 10 (-115).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (67-55) take on the Boston Red Sox (60-64) Thursday in the finale game of a 3-game set at Fenway Park. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 12-3

The Blue Jays have won 6 of the last 7, including the first 2 games of this series. They have done it with the bats, averaging 5.4 runs per game during the stretch. The Jays are 18-12 in the last 30 and sit in the 2nd wild-card playoff spot.

The Red Sox continue to slide, having lost 5 of their 6 games. They are 7 games out of a wild-card spot and have gone just 12-18 in the last 30 games. Boston has had trouble within its division at 16-34.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Gausman (9-9, 2.99 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 129 1/3 IP.

Road warrior: 1.65 ERA, 0.99 WHIP on the road vs. 4.63 ERA and 1.54 WHIP at home
2022 vs. Boston: 4 starts; 3-0, 1.38 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 12.8 K/9

Crawford (3-5, 5.14 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 68 1/3 IP.

Allowed 3 ER on 5 H and 1 BB with 4 K in 6 IP against Toronto July 23
Better at home: 4.08 ERA, 1.10 WHIP vs. 6.27 ERA and 1.55 WHIP on road

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:28 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Blue Jays -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Red Sox +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (-110) | Red Sox +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -135 | U: -110)

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Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Blue Jays 3

Money line

Part of me feels like Boston bucks trends Thursday and takes this game because they’ve dropped the first 2 at home, and they’re 3-12 against Toronto this year. At some point that has to even out, and maybe it does. However, Gausman has just been too good against them. Take the BLUE JAYS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-125).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Red Sox +1.5 (-110) is at a solid price, but the data just doesn’t support it. And RL wagers on a hunch aren’t always the best ideas. PASS.

Over/Under

The Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Boston. The Under is 4-0 in Gausman’s last 4 road starts with the total set between 7.0-8.5. The Under is 5-0 in the Blue Jays’ last 5 games with the total set between 7.0-8.5. Both teams have hit the Under in 3 of 4 games, and this feels like a tall number today. LEAN UNDER 8.5 (+110).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (50-43) and Boston Red Sox (48-45) will open the 2nd half of their seasons and continue their playoff pushes Friday. First pitch from Fenway Park in this AL East matchup is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 7-3, but the Red Sox won their most recent meeting June 30.

The Blue Jays took 3 of 4 games from the Kansas City Royals before the All-Star break and have now won 5 of their last 6 contests. They’re still 13.5 games behind the New York Yankees in the AL East and hold a 2-game lead on Boston for 3rd in the division.

The Red Sox limped into the All-Star break with back-to-back losses to the Yankees by a combined score of 27-3. They dropped 6 of their last 7 games to the Tampa Bay Rays and Yankees and have dropped lost 10 of their last 13 outings overall.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Nathan Eovaldi

Gausman (6-7, 2.87 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 94 IP.

Despite allowing more than 3 runs just once along a 7-game span the Blue Jays have lost 6 of those starts.
Gausman is 2-0 and has allowed just 1 earned run in 21 innings with 27 strikeouts in 3 starts against the Red Sox in 2022.

Eovaldi (4-2, 3.34 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 72 2/3 IP.

The Red Sox came away with a win in each of Eovaldi’s last 5 starts, so he’s been the ace of this staff.
Pitched 4 1/3 innings at the Yankees and allowing 3 earned runs in a 5-4 win in his return from the IL last Friday.

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Blue Jays -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Red Sox +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+130) | Red Sox +1.5 (-160)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Red Sox 5

Money line

The Blue Jays (-125) money line actually isn’t as juiced as I expected it to be for a team that’s beaten the Red Sox in 7 of 10 meetings this season. Gausman has owned Boston this year and boasts a strong 2.87 ERA overall.

I like the BLUE JAYS (-125) to win outright on the road.

Run line/Against the spread

You can sprinkle on the run line if you’re feeling really good about Toronto’s chances against the Red Sox. The Red Sox have been surprisingly good against the spread this year and are 50-43 RL — good for 7th-best in the league.

The Blue Jays are on the complete opposite end of the spectrum, covering the run line in just 40 of their 93 games — one of the worst ATS records in all of baseball. I would PASS on the run line.

Over/Under

The total has gone Over 50 times in the Blue Jays’ 93 games, tied for the most in baseball. There have been at least 9 runs scored in each of the last 3 meetings between these teams, and even if Toronto doesn’t get to Eovaldi early, the Red Sox’s bullpen isn’t great.

Bet the OVER 8.5 (-130).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Game 2 odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (49-47) and Boston Red Sox (62-39) come off a Tuesday rainout with a Wednesday doubleheader at Fenway Park. Game 2 is expected to begin around 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Steven Matz is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. Over 17 starts, Matz is 8-5 with a 4.34 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 across 87 IP.

Matz has run into too much contact while yielding too many fly balls of late with a 39% ground-ball rate over his last four starts. A right-leaning Boston lineup owns a 1.000 OPS against him.

RHP Tanner Houck is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. Over five games (three starts), the 25-year-old righty is 0-2 with a 2.50 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 11.5 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 through 18 IP.

Houck has worked his way around a .348 batting average on balls in play. He typically gets the Red Sox 3-5 innings in his starts (and didn’t pitch much longer in his Triple-A turns before being called up), so figure on a struggling Red Sox bullpen to be heavily involved in this contest.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Blue Jays at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:22 p.m. ET.

Money line: Blue Jays +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays +1.5 (-175) | Red Sox -1.5 (+145)
Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 3

Money line (ML)

Boston won Monday’s series opener and is 6-1 over its last seven games.

However, the BLUE JAYS (+110) are the best play in this contest. In a runs-versus-runs-allowed analysis, Toronto’s record is seven games below expectations. In a direct-opponent example of that, the Jays have outscored the Red Sox 69-61 but are just 4-8 against them.

Matz has been undone by a .321 BABIP and a high 16.0% rate of fly balls registering as home runs. Houck will expose a scuffling Boston bullpen which may not be in good shape in the second of two games on the day, even with the shortened inning commitment.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the additional juice in this prop.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both offenses look to be overcooked at their current run-per-game outputs. Both went into this week with matching .343 BABIPs in high-leverage situations, and that has served to overinflate their offensive numbers.

Mix in some lean toward Matz, a sub-70 game-time temperature, and the forecast of an inward breeze for this second 7-inning game of the day. BACK UNDER 8.5 (-110).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (39-25) host the Toronto Blue Jays (31-30) for Game 2 of their four-game series Saturday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Red Sox lead 4-2.

LHP Steven Matz makes his 13th start for the Blue Jays. Matz is 6-3 with a 4.50 ERA (64 IP, 32 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 this year.

Last outing: Loss, 6-3, in 4 1/3 IP with 4 ER, 8 H, 4 BB and 3 K Sunday vs. the Houston Astros.
Matz made a start vs. Boston May 20 and picked up a no-decision with 6 IP, 5 ER, 10 H, 2 BB and 4 K in Toronto’s 8-7 loss.
- vs. Red Sox on the current roster: 65 at-bats with a .354/.382/.569 slash line, 15/2 K/BB, 4 HR and 10 RBIs.

RHP Nick Pivetta is the projected starter for the Red Sox. Pivetta is 6-1 with a 3.78 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 27 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 across 12 starts.

Last outing: No-decision in 4 2/3 IP with 2 ER, 7 H, 3 BB and 6 K in Boston’s 5-3 victory over the Miami Marlins Monday.
Pivetta was the Red Sox’s starter in their 8-7 May 20 win, and he had 5 IP with 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 8 K, also earning a no-decision.
- vs. Blue Jays on the current roster: 35 at-bats with a .343/.439/.514 slash line, 9/6 K/BB, 0 HR and 7 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:00 a.m. ET.

Money line: Blue Jays +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Red Sox -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays +1.5 (-185) | Red Sox -1.5 (+150)
Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Blue Jays 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the RED SOX (-130) for a half-unit because Boston has a slight edge in the starting pitching matchup and hitting and a massive edge in relief pitching.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the RED SOX -1.5 (+150) for a quarter unit if at all because their last two victories over the Blue Jays have both been by only one run.

But, Boston’s bullpen is seventh in WAR, and the lineup could add some insurance runs against a Toronto ‘pen that ranks 21st in xFIP.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the UNDER 9.5 (-110) for 1 unit because the Red Sox’s hitting is mediocre vs. lefties, and both pitchers performed better against their respective opponents than their basic numbers indicate.

For instance, against Boston on May 20, Matz had his second-lowest hard-hit rate and third-lowest exit velocity of the season.

But, Matz’s .429 BAbip was the second-highest of any game this season, and typically a high BAbip indicates bad luck for a pitcher.

However, the same can be said about Pivetta in that very same game as his 1.15 FIP is much lower vs. the Blue Jays than his 7.20 ERA, which is an ERA estimator.

Furthermore, Pivetta’s .467 BAbip was outrageously high while he had a low 26.7% hard-hit rate and the lowest exit velocity of any start this season at 84.3 mph.

Also, Boston’s lineup ranks sixth in WAR overall but is below-average vs. left-handed pitching in advanced hitting categories wRC+ and wOBA with the third-lowest hard-hit rate.

Finally, the play is the UNDER 9.5 (-110) because Blue Jays-Red Sox opened with a 10-run total, but the market backing the Under has cashed oddsmakers to move the total down.

I’m OK following the market on this one because the Under is being backed despite both lineups having a ton of firepower and the starters being more mediocre than effective.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (38-25) host the rival Toronto Blue Jays (31-29) for a four-game set beginning Friday. First pitch at Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Blue Jays RHP Ross Stripling (2-3, 4.71 ERA) makes his ninth start and 10th appearance. He owns a 1.41 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 over 42 IP.

Allowing career-worst rates of hard contact and fly balls
Has shown improvement over his last 17 IP (two starts, one relief appearance) with 2 ER and 14 K while going 2-0

Red Sox RHP Garrett Richards (4-4, 3.88 ERA) makes his 13th start, which will be his most since 2018. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 over 65 innings.

1-1 in two starts against the Jays this season with a 4.76 ERA and 1.85 WHIP over 11 1/3 IP
1-3 with a 6.38 ERA and .819 opponent OPS through four starts at Fenway Park this year

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:09 p.m. ET.

Money line: Blue Jays +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Red Sox -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays +1.5 (-160) | Red Sox -1.5 (+135)
Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Blue Jays 7, Red Sox 4

Money line (ML)

The BLUE JAYS (+115) are a good underdog pick. They’ve had success getting to Richards already this season, and the veteran journeyman has struggled in his newest home park.

Toronto also ranks better than Boston in all of OPS, wOBA, wRC+, K% and BB% against right-handed pitching. Those walk and strikeout rates loom especially large in this starter matchup.

The Boston bullpen has been the better of the two relief units over the last 14 days, but it has also been worked more.

Five Red Sox relievers saw time in Thursday’s 12-8 win over the Houston Astros. The Jays used just two relievers in a 5-2 loss to the Chicago White Sox Thursday.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The BLUE JAYS -1.5 (-160) are also a nice play with the run of insurance in the event of a loss.

The Toronto bullpen has pitched to a 4.73 xFIP over the last 14 days and shouldn’t be trusted with a lead, even if Stripling is able to sustain his strong recent run.

Backing the JAYS +0.5 (-140) on the FIRST 5 INNINGS line is a less expensive play while most likely keeping the ball in the hands of the starters.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 9.5 (-115) is the best play in Blue Jays-Red Sox.

Both offenses are handling right-handed pitching well and neither starter should be expected to go too deep into Friday’s series opener.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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