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Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (45-43) welcome the Oakland Athletics (25-64) to Fenway Park Friday to open a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Athletics vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023.

The Athletics have won 2 straight series, beating the Chicago White Sox 2-1 at home last Friday-Sunday and the Detroit Tigers 2-1 on the road to start the week. Oakland is coming off a 9-0 loss at Detroit Thursday and despite being 5-5 over its last 10 games still has the worst win percentage in MLB.

The Red Sox took 2 of 3 games from the Texas Rangers to start the week, including a 10-6 victory in the finale Thursday. Boston entered that series off a 3-game sweep of the Toronto Blue Jays on the road. The Sox are 23-22 at home this season and remain 11 games back of the Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East despite having a winning record.

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Athletics at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Luis Medina vs. LHP Brennan Bernardino

Medina (2-7, 6.37 ERA) makes his 9th start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.64 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 53 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 4 or fewer earned runs in 5 straight starts, giving up 1 or 2 earned runs in 3 of those outings
  • The Athletics are just 1-7 in his starts this season

Bernardino (1-0, 2.70 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 25th appearance. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 26 2/3 IP.

  • Hasn’t pitched 2 full innings in a single game since June 3 when he tossed a season-high 36 pitches
  • Has allowed just 8 earned runs in 24 appearances this season
  • 2023 home splits: 1-0, 2.51 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 over 14 1/3 IP across 1 start and 12 relief appearances

Athletics at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Athletics +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Red Sox -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Athletics +1.5 (+105) | Red Sox -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Athletics at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Athletics 5

Moneyline

PASS.

The Athletics (+185) have been playing well as of late, as has Medina, but probably not well enough to take them to win as road underdogs at Fenway Park.

Boston (-225) is a heavy favorite but will likely have to turn to its bullpen early in this game with Bernardino serving as an opener. Red Sox relievers have the 16th-best ERA in MLB (4.00). Those potential issues combined make backing Boston a hard pass.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN ATHLETICS +1.5 (+105).

Oakland is 21-23 on the run line as a road underdog while Boston is 10-15 on the run line as a home favorite and 15-21 on the run line as a favorite in general. While the Red Sox have surged late, they are just 6-8 over their last 14 games and 23-22 straight up at home this season.

With Medina having allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in his last 3 starts and the Red Sox inevitably having to use their bullpen early, back the ATHLETICS +1.5 (+105).

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Over/Under

BET OVER 10.5 (-110).

Both Boston and Oakland are in the top 10 in MLB in hitting the Over. The Red Sox are 46-40-2 this season while Oakland is 45-38-6. Boston is 24-19-1 O/U after a win and 25-19-1 O/U at home this season.

The Red Sox have cashed the over in 3 of its last 5 while Oakland has gone north of the total in 7 of its last 8. Considering the recent trends, back the OVER 10.5 (-110).

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Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (21-41) open a 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox (32-29) Tuesday at Fenway Park. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Athletics vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Red Sox lead 3-0

Oakland comes into the game having lost 11 of their last 12 contests, a stretch that includes a 3-game sweep at the hands of the Red Sox in Oakland.

Boston won 8 of 10 games on their recent road trip and now return home where they are 13-14 on the season.

Athletics at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Jared Koenig vs. RHP Nick Pivetta

Koenig (0-1, 9.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.75 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 4 IP.

  • Made his big-league debut in Atlanta Wednesday. He allowed just 1 run through four innings but got the hook after allowing a walk and 2 extra base hits to open the 5th inning.
  • Recorded a 2.21 ERA and 10.4 K/9 in 9 appearances (8 starts) spanning 53 IP at Triple-A this year.

Pivetta (5-5, 3.78 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 66 2/3 IP.

  • Was slow out of the gate but has been dominant lately. He has totaled 46 IP while putting up a 1.96 ERA, 9.4 K/9, and just 3 home runs allowed over his last 7 starts.
  • Hurled 7 scoreless innings in his previous start against Oakland, one in which he whiffed 7 batters and allowed only 2 hits.

Athletics at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:21 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Athletics +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Red Sox -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Athletics +1.5 (-112) | Red Sox -1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Athletics at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Athletics 3

Money line

These are two teams going in opposite directions and Pivetta has really been rolling lately. These odds are pretty steep, though, and we’ll skip to the run line to try and find some better value. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Red Sox outscored the A’s 20-4 in their recent 3-game series, and they’ll have the benefit of playing at home this time around. They also have the clear pitching edge and should win by multiple runs. Back the RED SOX -1.5 (-108).

Over/Under

Oakland is 29th in runs per game, as well as in wRC+ vs. right-handed pitching. Pivetta may completely shut them down, so even if the Boston bats have a pretty good day, this game should slide in UNDER 9.5 (-115).

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Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (23-15) go for a three-game sweep of the Boston Red Sox (22-16) Thursday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Athletics vs. Red Sox with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Athletics 2-0.

LHP Sean Manaea gets the start for the Athletics. Manaea is 3-1 with a 3.07 ERA (41 IP, 14 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 across 7 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 7 1/3 IP with 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and 10 K Friday vs. the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • Career vs. the Red Sox: 3-2 with a 6.84 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.41 WHIP and 7.5 K/9 in 5 starts.
    • Vs. Red Sox on the current roster: 60 at-bats with a .233/.270/.300 slash line, 14/3 K/BB, 1 HR and 6 RBIs.
    • Career at Fenway Park: 1-2 with a 13.14 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 2.43 WHIP and 6.6 K/9 over 3 starts.

RHP Garrett Richards is on the mound for the Red Sox. Richards is 2-2 with a 4.54 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 over 7 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 11-6, in 7 IP with 4 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 5 K at the Baltimore Orioles Saturday.
  • Career vs. the Athletics: 3-4 with a 4.29 ERA (79 2/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.39 WHIP and 7.6 K/9 over 14 starts and 4 relief appearances.
    • Vs. Athletics on the current roster: 139 at-bats with a .245/.289/.353 slash line, 30/7 K/BB, 3 HR and 16 RBIs.

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Athletics at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Red Sox -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+145) | Red Sox +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Athletics 3

Money line (ML)

BET the RED SOX (-110) for 1 unit because of Manaea’s struggles throughout his career against the Boston and the Red Sox hitters’ effectiveness against left-handed pitching.

Boston’s lineup ranks in the top 10 vs. lefties in several advanced hitting categories such as wRC+, wOBA, BB/K and OPS and the Red Sox have an 8-3 record this season when facing left-handed starters.

Furthermore, Manaea’s most used pitch in his arsenal is his sinker and a few dangerous bats in Boston’s lineup hit the sinker well.

The Red Sox’s second (CF Alex Verdugo), third (DH J.D. Martinez) and fifth (3B Rafael Devers) hitter all have a plus-run value and have a .479 or better wOBA vs. the sinker this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the RED SOX -1.5 (+170) ALTERNATE LINE for a one-fifth unit since Manaea has given up 18 earned runs in his three starts at Fenway, this Red Sox lineup hits the sinker well and Boston’s bullpen has looked good so far this season so they can be trusted to hold a lead.

The Red Sox relievers are top 10 in xFIP, SIERA, home runs per nine innings, WAR and K-BB%.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Over because I expect Boston to do damage to Manaea early, which could result in Oakland using fewer effective relievers if the game is deemed as a “lost cause.”

However, neither lineup has been consistent lately and Over bettors might need Boston to carry them to the finish line since Oakland’s lineup has scored more than four runs just once in the past seven games.

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