Fantasy football waiver wire: Week 14 free-agent forecast

Here are the top waiver-wire targets for Week 14 in fantasy football.

For most fantasy football leagues, Week 14 represents the final chance to make a mark on the regular season.

Some teams have already locked in a playoff berth, while some are fighting for a shot to compete in the fantasy postseason. Others, however, know they have no chance of making it.

That doesn’t mean the waiver wire isn’t still an essential tool to utilize while playing spoiler.

After Thanksgiving gave us no teams on a bye, there’s the final bye-pocalypse in Week 14. Six teams will have the week off, including the Indianapolis Colts, New England Patriots, Houston Texans, Baltimore Ravens, Washington Commanders and Denver Broncos.

We’ll be taking a look at the top available players rostered in Yahoo, using the 75% rostered mark (at least 25% availability) as the threshold. If you have any questions about prioritizing a certain player over another, don’t be afraid to hit me up on X, formerly Twitter, (@KevinHickey11). Your questions and comments are always welcome!

We also will be taking a look at some deeper players to stash and the top streaming options for the upcoming week.

Fantasy football waiver wire recommendations refer to 12-team league formats, unless specifically stated. Check back for any updates throughout Monday and Tuesday as more injury news becomes available.

Fantasy football: Carolina Panthers WR breakdown

A revamped receiving corps brings plenty of promise … or does it?

By any metric, the Carolina Panthers were a disaster in 2023. They traded up to select quarterback Bryce Young with the first overall pick, and then watched as No. 2 selection C.J. Stroud lit up the NFL with the Houston Texans. They hired Frank Reich as head coach with the idea that he’d help mentor their would-be franchise quarterback … and fired him after 11 games.

They hit the reset button once again during the offseason. The highlights: hiring Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive coordinator Dave Canales as head coach, committing north of $150 million in free agency to overhaul the interior of the offensive line, and adding talent on the outside by drafting wide receiver Xavier Legette, and trading for Diontae Johnson from the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Those new wideouts will team with top returning receiver Adam Thielen to give Young a much more talented group than what he dealt with as a rookie. While these moves portend marked improvement, nothing is certain, so let’s look at what we can expect from Carolina’s receivers in 2024.

What should fantasy footballers expect from the Carolina receiving corps?

Is there any fantasy worth to be found among Carolina’s new-look receiving corps?

Four quarterbacks attempted passes for the Carolina Panthers last season. None of them return. Leading receiver DJ Moore is also gone, traded to the Chicago Bears as part of the package used to acquire the No. 1 overall pick, which became Alabama’s Bryce Young.

The team hired Frank Reich as their new head coach to help speed Young’s transition from college to the pros, and the hope is he’ll be ready to guide the club in Week 1, though veteran Andy Dalton was signed as an insurance policy.

Add it up and you’re left with a massive overhaul: a new coach, two new QBs, and three of the projected top-five receivers were added in the offseason. That includes a pair of veterans in longtime Minnesota Vikings WR Adam Thielen along with DJ Chark Jr., most recently of the Detroit Lions, and a rookie in the form of second-round pick Jonathan Mingo.

With so many moving parts, it’s a good time to take an initial look at Carolina’s receiver room to gauge what they might have to offer fantasy owners in 2023.

Fantasy football team previews: NFC North

It’s time to catch up on all of the NFC North’s fantasy-based changes.

The 2022 fantasy football draft season is starting to heat up now that we’ve gone through the height of free agency and all of the chosen rookies have been assigned to their professional home cities.

The landscape has changed a great deal for many franchises after a whirlwind offseason, and our divisional preview series will help you stay on top of all of the changes to date.

AFC divisional previews

East | North | South | West

NFC divisional previews

East | North | South | West

Fantasy football draft: Where to target Minnesota Vikings WR Adam Thielen

Analyzing Minnesota Vikings WR Adam Thielen’s 2021 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

Following up on a disappointing season, Minnesota Vikings WR Adam Thielen will have tempered expectations. Below, we look at Adam Thielen‘s 2021 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Thielen had back-to-back breakout seasons in 2017 and ’18 as he solidified himself as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL a few years ago. Having played his collegiate ball at Minnesota State, not much was expected of Thielen.

He’s shattered expectations, but after setting the bar high, he failed to tally 1,000 receiving yards the past two seasons.

With the addition of WR Justin Jefferson and his ascension to stardom, Thielen will be a WR2 again for the first time since WR Stefon Diggs (now with the Buffalo Bills) was in Minnesota.

The good part for fantasy football managers is that Thielen being the secondary threat may be a positive.

Thielen’s ADP: 67.14

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com)

Thielen is being taken as the 22nd wide receiver off the board in most leagues.

Still having seen over 100 targets last season, Thielen’s stock should rise in PPR formats. He’s been taken as high as No. 15 and as low as No. 130.

As for his own team, Thielen is the fourth Vikings typically taken. Draft type likely hurts his cause as rookie QB Kellen Mond, who isn’t expected to start, is being selected a few spots ahead.

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Thielen’s 2020 stats

Games: 15

Targets: 108

Receptions: 74

Receiving yards: 925

Touchdowns: 14

Where should you take Thielen in your fantasy football draft?

Thielen shouldn’t slide too far down the board in PPR leagues.

He had 74 receptions last season. If QB Kirk Cousins can play up to his potential and the Vikings start to veer away from a run-heavy offense led by RB Dalvin Cook, Thielen could have a huge season.

The upside isn’t great as it’s unlikely he tops 100 receptions for the third time in his career. He’s not a keeper option for most teams, and in dynasty leagues, he should be retained but potentially dealt if your team stands little chance.

Ultimately, Thielen is a great fifth-round pick in PPR leagues and could go as high as the fourth round in most drafts. If you need receivers, he’s a terrific option in the late fourth round as he should rebound in a dynamic offense.

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Fantasy Football Market Report: Week 7

Checking in on the fantasy football options whose value is rising and falling.

One of the things I believe that has made me consistently successful in fantasy football leagues is that I find a way to avoid teams altogether. This year as I prepared for the one fantasy football draft and one fantasy football auction that mean most to me, my list of teams I wanted nothing to do with under any circumstance was limited to the New York Jets, Washington Football Team and Jacksonville Jaguars. I entered the fray knowing there was no way I was going to end up with anyone on any of those teams. I would take Mecole Hardman before I took Terry McLaurin, D.J. Chark or Jamison Crowder…

That’s me.

Now I’m wondering if I want anyone from the NFC East – and that includes Dallas Cowboys RB Zeke Elliott. Saquon and Dak are gone. The Eagles can’t keep anyone but Carson Wentz healthy (who would have figured that?). As least Dak could post giant fantasy football numbers because his defense stunk. Saquon was the only Giant I wanted and I still want nobody from WFT — which is more in line with WTF.

Through six weeks of the season, the teams of the NFC East are a dumpster fire. They have a combined record of 5-18-1. If you take the games in which they didn’t play each other and one team likely had to win, their record is 2-15-1 outside the division.

This is bad on a scale rarely seen.

The good news? There is none.

The bad news? If things hold up in the NFL and the fantasy football playoffs are held in Weeks 14-16, of the 12 games those four teams will play, only one of them will be against a division opponent (when Dallas is scheduled to play Philly in Week 16). At least if they were playing each other, you could get excited about the inept possibilities.

In the leagues that matter to me, I am fortunately underrepresented by teams from the NFC East. More of you should join me.

Here is the Week 7 Fantasy Market Report:

Fantasy Football Risers

Ronald Jones, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

For most of his short career, Jones has been a player with a lot of talent who never put it all together. In his first two seasons, he never rushed for more than 80 yards in a game. In his last three, he has topped 100 yards in each rushing 60 times for 330 yards and two touchdowns. It’s taken him two-and-half years to live up to being a big deal in Tampa, but he’s finally done it.

Deshaun Watson, QB, Houston Texans

His stock took a dive (so did his team) to start the year, but people forget he played the Chiefs, Ravens and Steelers in those game – and two were on the road. Once he got past that hurdle, over the last three games, he has topped 300 yards in each – throwing for 994 yards and nine touchdowns. Those are the kind of numbers he was drafted for and the reason he is almost unbenchable.

Mike Davis, RB, Carolina Panthers

When Christian McCaffrey went down, seeing as he was the No. 1 overall pick in most leagues, it was a death blow. But, those who handcuffed McCaffrey with Davis have been keeping their heads above water. In the four games McCaffrey has been out, Davis has two games with 84 or more rushing yards and has scored a touchdown in each game. His role may greatly diminish when McCaffrey returns, but he has been a solid RB2 in any format.

Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings

Thielen was drafted to be a borderline WR1 – a guy barely in or barely out of the top 10 on draft day. But, while Justin Jefferson has been stealing the headlines of late, Thielen has seven touchdowns in six games and only has one game in which he didn’t score. He is a machine and the guy Kirk Cousins looks to when he needs a big catch. Minnesota may stink and his quarterback is a bum, but Thielen just keeps on rolling.

Darrell Henderson, RB, Los Angeles Rams

Henderson has become one of the more interesting backs this season as the guy grabbing the job to replace Todd Gurley. In the opener, he had just three carries for six yards. But, in the five games since, he has rushed for 80 or more yards three times and has scored four touchdowns. His disparity just keeps growing, even with Malcolm Brown and rookie Cam Akers available.

Fantasy Football Fallers

Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens

What made Jackson the MVP last year was that he was an incredible rushing threat, but also had three or more TD passes in seven of 15 games. This season, the only game he had three passing TDs was Week 1. He’s still someone I wish I had in every league. He’ll never be benched, but he hasn’t been light’s out, which is what everyone who took him as the first or second fantasy QB expected. I never want to go up against him, but he has yet to have that one-man gang game that blows an opponent out of the water.

Jarvis Landry, WR, Cleveland Browns

The knock on Landry is that his value is much higher in PPR leagues because he has never been known as a touchdown threat. But, he’s been a bust in any format. He doesn’t have more than five receptions in any game, has just two games with more than 50 receiving yards (61 and 88) and his next touchdown will be his first touchdown. He’s pushed himself out of lineups and firmly in trade talks to move him as a name, not for his production.

Devin Singletary, RB, Buffalo Bills

He had the chance to be the go-to guy in the run game, especially when injuries made him about the only option. But, through six games, he has just one touchdown, brings little as a receiver in the Bills offense and, over the last three games, has rushed 39 times for just 113 yards. He is becoming a harder sell all the time to justify starting every week.

Zach Ertz, TE, Philadelphia Eagles

This a real head-scratcher. He’s expected to miss three or so weeks, but that is actually a good thing for Ertz owners. At a time when some tight ends can dominate weeks, Ertz was considered one of them, but hasn’t been that. Not even close. In six games, he has more than 42 yards receiving just once, less than 20 in half of them and has just one catch of more than 12 yards. At least he doesn’t hurt an owner now because his bad games don’t count against them.

Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots

You weren’t expecting a ton of touchdowns from Edelman, but you were expecting receptions and yards. In five games, he has just 20 catches for 302 yards – with eight receptions and 179 yards coming in one game. He proved against Seattle in Week 2 that he still has dominance in him, but, over the last three games, he has caught just seven passes for 66 yards. He’s borderline dump-worthy for those with deep rosters.