Fantasy football: Where to draft Carolina Panthers QB Bryce Young

Analyzing Carolina Panthers QB Bryce Young’s 2023 fantasy football ADP and where to target him in fantasy drafts.

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Carolina Panthers QB Bryce Young has enormous expectations heaped upon his shoulder after the team traded up to grab him with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. It cost Carolina a lot of draft picks, as well as WR DJ Moore.

The 2021 Heisman Trophy winner has impressed Carolina brass with his composure and skills, and the future looks tremendously bright for the former Door Dash driver in Tuscaloosa.

However, is Young someone fantasy managers will want to trust in 2023? It’s always difficult to count upon rookies in fantasy football, especially at QB. There are growing pains. But, if fantasy managers are going to trust anybody, Young could be the one.

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Bryce Young’s ADP: 110.72

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Young might be the No. 1 overall pick from the 2023 NFL Draft, but fantasy managers have been a little more bearish about his stock prospects heading into his rookie campaign.

To be fair, it isn’t so much that fantasy managers don’t trust Young, but the personnel around him isn’t exactly Pro Bowl caliber. The team did go out and grab RB Miles Sanders to handle the run game, and the club went out and brought in veteran WRs DJ Chark Jr. and Adam Thielen. TE Hayden Hurst will also be a nice safety valve and red-zone addition. Still, it’s a bit of a hodgepodge, rather than a star-laden skill position group.

Among quarterbacks, Young’s ADP (110.72) is 19th in redraft leagues, just behind Tennessee Titans rookie QB Will Levis (103.40), New York Giants QB Daniel Jones (103.74) and Houston Texans’ first-year QB C.J. Stroud (108.54).

Young’s ADP puts him just ahead of the Detroit Lions’ Jared Goff (111.79), the New Orleans Saints’ Derek Carr (121.55) and the San Francisco 49ers’ Brock Purdy (124.72).

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Bryce Young’s 2022 stats (Alabama)

Games: 12

Passing yards: 3,328

Completions | attempts: 245 | 380

Passing touchdowns: 32

Interceptions: 5

Carries | rushing yards: 49 | 185

Rushing touchdowns: 4

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Where should you draft Young?

Where you should select the rookie out of Alabama really depends upon the type of fantasy football format you participate.

If you’re in a redraft league, Young is only going to be worth drafting as a low-end QB2, if at all. He might be left to the waiver wire in a majority of leagues, and simply used as a bye-week filler if the matchup is favorable when your primary starter is off.

However, in you’re in leagues which use 2 starting signal callers, Young is going to be a valuable contributor worth scooping up in Rounds 10-12. And, if you’re playing in a dynasty league, Young is going to go off the board, he’ll go in the middle rounds, and in rookie-only leagues he is worth scooping up in the middle to late part of Round 1.

Since most fantasy managers take part in redraft leagues, Young is likely to go undrafted in a majority of leagues with 12 or fewer teams.

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Will Bryce Young bring anything to the fantasy football table in 2023?

Does Young have what it takes — and the weaponry — to succeed as a fantasy rookie?

When the Carolina Panthers were looking to finally solve their problem at quarterback – which has been a thing ever since Cam Newton was injured in 2018 – they looked to make a splash move to stop their quarterback carousel. Since 2019, that revolving door has included Kyle Allen, Teddy Bridgewater, Sam Darnold, Baker Mayfield and PJ Walker.

In order to get their choice of quarterbacks in the 2023 draft, the Panthers traded four picks and wide receiver DJ Moore to move up to No. 1 to draft Alabama quarterback Bryce Young. A two-year starter at Alabama, who threw for 8,200 yards and 79 touchdowns in that span, there is no questioning Young’s ability. The biggest concern is something he can’t control – his lack of prototypical quarterback size.

At just 5-foot-10, 204 pounds, Young is setting records that aren’t viewed as positives. In the modern era of the NFL, there have only been two long-term starting quarterbacks who were under 6-foot tall – Russell Wilson (5-foot-11) and Doug Flutie (5-foot-10). Young comes to the NFL with a big hurdle to overcome, but the Panthers clearly believe his talent outshines his height impediment.

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What has made Young rise to the top of college quarterbacks – he won the Heisman Trophy in 2021 – is that he is arguably one of the smartest and most instinctive quarterbacks to come out of the college game in years. He quickly processes plays as they develop and rarely throws a pass that doesn’t give his receiver an advantage. NFL scouts and front office personnel have raved about his ability to read, diagnose, react and process what is happening in front of him.

The Panthers hedged their bet in the offseason, despite knowing they planned to take a quarterback in the draft – even before the Chicago Bears accepted the king’s ransom offered to move up. The team signed veteran Andy Dalton to serve as a mentor and an insurance policy in the event new head coach Frank Reich doesn’t believe Young will be ready to start in Week 1.

To date, that hasn’t been an issue. There have been nothing but rave reviews of Young’s ability to absorb the playbook and understand the nuances that come with each play called. His vision and instincts have wowed the Panthers coaching staff, and his intangibles have many in the organization believing that he can be in Carolina what Wilson was in Seattle – an immediate starter, an elite game manager and, eventually, a Super Bowl champion.

One major concern is the lack of prolific weapons for Young. Carolina revamped its receiving corps, landing Adam Thielen as the WR1. He’s in obvious decline athletically and comes with minor injury concerns. The rest of the presumed starting cast figures to be rounded out by oft-injured DJ Chark Jr. and to-date, second-round bust Terrace Marshall Jr. Rookie Jonathan Mingo will work to make his presence felt, too. TE Hayden Hurst is serviceable but is hardly a game-changing player at his position.

Fantasy football outlook

Most quarterback fantasy rankings and ADP have Young rated in the mid-20s, which wouldn’t have him drafted leagues with less than 12 players. Currently, his value is much higher in leagues where players can be carried over from one year to the next.

The bust rate for quarterbacks taken high in drafts has been significant. Carolina has employed two of them (Mayfield and Darnold) after both washed out with the teams that drafted them. The argument will remain that Young will struggle to see over much larger players in front of him or absorb the punishment quarterbacks take, but his intelligence and ability to extend plays will lead to success. He’s a reach to draft as a rookie, but his upside is incredible, and he could be a last-round QB2 steal if he and Reich get on the same page early.

2023 NFL Draft: Day 1 fantasy football recap

Live blogging the impact of each fantasy-relevant pick from Round 1.

The 2023 NFL Draft is finally upon us, and prospects are now rookies with NFL cities to call home. Follow along for real-time analysis of the opening round’s impact on fantasy football plans for 2023.

Fantasy draft season may not be close to hitting its crescendo, but hardcore gamers have been selecting players prior to the conclusion of the collegiate bowl season. It’s time to let the real fun begin!

Also see: Day 2 | Day 3

Round 1 fantasy football reaction